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Personality traits and behavioral biases of Indian financial professionals 印度金融专业人士的人格特征与行为偏见
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-07-12 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-11-2021-0246
H. Baker, Sujata Kapoor, Tanu Khare
PurposeFinancial professionals are increasingly important in the Indian financial system. Our study examines the association between the Big Five personality traits and Indian financial professionals' behavioral biases when making investment decisions.Design/methodology/approachAfter testing our questionnaire's reliability and validity, we used it to obtain the sample responses. We used multiple regression analysis and other statistical tools to identify the relationships between the Big Five personality traits and behavioral biases.FindingsOur findings reveal a high level of extraversion and conscientiousness, a moderate level of agreeableness and openness and a low neuroticism level among financial professionals. The results show a significant association between neuroticism, extraversion, openness and all behavioral biases except anchoring bias. The neuroticism trait has a statistically significant relationship with all behavioral biases examined, whereas agreeableness and conscientiousness traits lack a significant association with behavioral biases. The openness trait is associated with many emotional biases and cognitive heuristics, while the extraversion trait has a significantly positive relationship with availability bias.Research limitations/implicationsFuture researchers could analyze primary (survey) and secondary investor data from brokerage houses. Using a larger sample could provide more generalizable findings. Researchers could also consider other aspects of investment decision-making using various asset classes. Understanding financial professionals' personality traits and behavioral biases could help them develop strategies to suit client needs.Originality/valueThis study provides the first comprehensive examination of the association between personality traits and behavioral biases of Indian financial professionals.
金融专业人士在印度金融体系中越来越重要。我们的研究考察了五大人格特征与印度金融专业人士在做出投资决策时的行为偏差之间的关系。设计/方法/方法在测试了我们的问卷的信度和效度之后,我们使用它来获得样本回复。我们使用多元回归分析和其他统计工具来确定五大人格特征与行为偏差之间的关系。研究结果显示,金融专业人士具有较高的外向性和严谨性,中等的亲和性和开放性,较低的神经质水平。结果表明,除锚定偏差外,神经质、外向性、开放性与所有行为偏差均存在显著相关。神经质特质与所有行为偏差有显著的相关关系,而随和和尽责特质与行为偏差没有显著的关联。开放性特质与许多情绪偏差和认知启发式相关,而外向性特质与可得性偏差显著正相关。研究局限/启示未来的研究人员可以分析来自经纪公司的初级(调查)和次级投资者数据。使用更大的样本可以提供更普遍的发现。研究人员还可以考虑使用各种资产类别进行投资决策的其他方面。了解金融专业人士的个性特征和行为偏见可以帮助他们制定适合客户需求的策略。原创性/价值本研究首次全面考察了印度金融专业人士的人格特质与行为偏差之间的关系。
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引用次数: 3
Management accountants' susceptibility to overconfidence: the overplacement perspective 管理会计师对过度自信的敏感性:过度定位的视角
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-07-2021-0138
Z. Enslin
PurposeOverconfidence bias is considered to be a very influential decision-making bias in the business environment. This paper aims to identify the susceptibility of management accountants to overconfidence-related overplacement bias and to determine its pervasiveness among these professionals.Design/methodology/approachTwo international samples of management accountants were surveyed using overplacement bias elicitation questions. The hypothesis that bias susceptibility varies between management accountants in different hierarchical employment positions was tested employing binary logistic regression.FindingsManagement accountants are found to be susceptible to overplacement bias, yet its pervasiveness among the samples is similar to other sample populations in comparable studies. Management accountants in the position of Chief Financial Officer (CFO) were found to be more susceptible to overplacement bias than their colleagues in other management accountant and business management positions.Research limitations/implicationsThe use of convenience sampling represents a limitation of the research.Practical implicationsThe findings confirm that there is a need for syllabi and continual professional development projects to educate management accountants on this bias. CFOs are especially at risk of being overconfident, which may not be in the best interest of the business.Originality/valueThis is the first paper to assess overplacement bias in management accountants as a group of decision-makers, especially within the context of their increasing involvement in business decision-making.
目的过度自信偏差被认为是商业环境中非常有影响力的决策偏差。本文旨在确定管理会计师对过度自信相关的过度安置偏见的敏感性,并确定其在这些专业人员中的普遍性。设计/方法/方法两个国际样本的管理会计师进行了调查,使用过度安置偏见引出问题。运用二元logistic回归对不同层级就业岗位的管理会计师偏见敏感性存在差异的假设进行检验。研究发现管理会计师易受过度安置偏见的影响,但其在样本中的普遍性与可比研究中的其他样本人群相似。研究发现,担任首席财务官(CFO)职位的管理会计师比担任其他管理会计和企业管理职位的同事更容易出现overplacement偏见。研究局限性/启示使用方便抽样代表了研究的局限性。实际意义研究结果证实,有必要制定教学大纲和持续专业发展项目来教育管理会计师这种偏见。首席财务官们尤其有过度自信的风险,这可能不符合企业的最佳利益。原创性/价值这是第一篇评估管理会计师作为一组决策者的过度安置偏见的论文,特别是在他们越来越多地参与商业决策的背景下。
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引用次数: 1
Determinants of annual reports complexity in the United States of America: an application of the Tobit model 美国年度报告复杂性的决定因素:Tobit模型的应用
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2021-0265
F. Bendriouch, Imad Jabbouri, M. M’hamdi, Harit Satt, S. Katona, Rhita Serir
PurposeThis paper explores the factors that shape the complexity of company annual reports in the USA. Using a general-to-specific modeling approach, this study examines the determinants of annual reports' tone complexity.Design/methodology/approachNegative relationships were found between agency problems and tone; agency costs and readability of annual reports; profitability and tone; and ownership structure and tone complexity.FindingsThese relationships helped to confirm several of this study’s hypotheses, whereas positive associations were found between investment growth opportunities and tone complexity, which contradicts one of our initial hypotheses. Findings reveal that the more complex the language in an annual report is, the more difficult it is to strategically make a judgment or decision about the reported financial situation.Originality/valueAnalyzing these variables allows security analysts and investors to obtain important information, not available in the financial statements, which would enhance their understanding of the firm and improve their recommendations and investment decision-making process.
本文探讨了影响美国公司年度报告复杂性的因素。使用通用到特定的建模方法,本研究考察了年度报告语气复杂性的决定因素。设计/方法/方法代理问题与语气呈负相关;代理费用和年度报告的可读性;盈利能力和基调;以及所有权结构和语气的复杂性。这些关系有助于证实本研究的几个假设,而投资增长机会和音调复杂性之间发现了正相关,这与我们最初的一个假设相矛盾。调查结果显示,年度报告中的语言越复杂,就越难以对报告的财务状况做出战略性判断或决定。原创性/价值分析这些变量可以让证券分析师和投资者获得财务报表中没有的重要信息,这将增强他们对公司的了解,并改进他们的建议和投资决策过程。
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引用次数: 0
Behavioural finance and cryptocurrencies 行为金融学和加密货币
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-11-2021-0256
Antonis Ballis, Thanos Verousis

Purpose

The present study sets out to examine the empirical literature on the behavioural aspects of cryptocurrencies, showing the findings of related studies and discussing the various results. A systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important in terms of providing a guide for future research. Key topics include an extent review on the issue of herding behaviour amongst cryptocurrencies, momentum effects and overreaction, contagion effect, sentiment and uncertainty, along with studies related to investment decision-making, optimism bias, disposition, lottery and size effects.

Design/methodology/approach

Systematic literature review.

Findings

A systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important in terms of providing a guide for future research. Key topics include an extent review on the issue of herding behaviour amongst cryptocurrencies, momentum effects and overreaction, contagion effect, sentiment (investor's, market's) and uncertainty, along with studies related to investment decision-making, optimism bias, disposition, lottery and size effect.

Originality/value

The authors' survey paper complements recent papers in the area by offering a systematic account on the influence of behavioural factors on cryptocurrencies. Further, this study's purpose is not just to index the relevant literature, but rather to showcase and pinpoint several research areas that have emerged in the field of behavioural cryptocurrency research. For all these reasons, a systematic literature review of cryptocurrencies in behavioural finance seems to be timely and particularly important.

本研究旨在研究有关加密货币行为方面的实证文献,展示相关研究的结果并讨论各种结果。在行为金融学中对加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时的,而且对于为未来的研究提供指导尤为重要。关键主题包括对加密货币之间的羊群行为、动量效应和过度反应、传染效应、情绪和不确定性问题的程度审查,以及与投资决策、乐观偏见、性格、彩票和规模效应相关的研究。设计/方法/方法系统文献综述。在行为金融学中对加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时的,而且对于为未来的研究提供指导尤为重要。关键主题包括对加密货币之间的羊群行为、动量效应和过度反应、传染效应、情绪(投资者、市场)和不确定性问题的程度审查,以及与投资决策、乐观偏见、处置、彩票和规模效应相关的研究。作者的调查论文通过系统地描述行为因素对加密货币的影响,补充了该领域最近的论文。此外,本研究的目的不仅仅是索引相关文献,而是展示和指出行为加密货币研究领域出现的几个研究领域。由于所有这些原因,对行为金融学中的加密货币进行系统的文献综述似乎是及时且特别重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Risk attitudes and demand for insurance: micro evidence from Ghana 风险态度和保险需求:来自加纳的微观证据
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2022-0017
P. Asuming, Deborah Aba Gaisie
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to understand how risk attitudes drive demand for different types of insurance amongst Ghanaians.Design/methodology/approachThis study uses data from a nationally representative survey of Ghanaian households (Ghana Living Standards Survey Round 7). Risk aversion is measured following the approach of Holt and Laury (2002) in the use of hypothetical questions about investment. Probit regressions are used to estimate the effect of risk aversion on insurance outcomes.FindingsThe paper finds evidence that supports the theory that risk attitudes influence insurance demand. Specifically, risk aversion is positively related to the uptake of insurance in general and in particular, public health insurance. Unlike previous literature, the authors do not find the sex of the respondent to affect the relationship between risk aversion and insurance demand except for private health insurance. Socio-economic factors such as wealth, age and education were found to strongly predict insurance demand.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings confirm that risk attitude influence the demand for insurance in developing countries but socio-economic factors play a strong role in explaining low insurance penetration in such contexts.Originality/valueTheoretically, attitudes towards risk have been strongly linked with insurance demand. Yet, empirical evidence on this relationship is limited in developing countries where insurance penetration is very low. This study is among the first to document the influence of risk attitude on the demand of a range of insurance products using a large nationally representative sample of individuals in a developing country.
目的本研究的目的是了解风险态度如何驱动加纳人对不同类型保险的需求。设计/方法/方法本研究使用了来自加纳家庭的全国代表性调查(加纳生活水平调查第7轮)的数据。风险规避是根据Holt和laurie(2002)的方法在使用关于投资的假设问题中进行测量的。概率回归用于估计风险规避对保险结果的影响。研究发现:本文发现了支持风险态度影响保险需求理论的证据。具体而言,风险厌恶与一般保险特别是公共健康保险的吸收呈正相关。与以往文献不同的是,除了私人健康保险外,作者没有发现被调查者的性别影响风险厌恶与保险需求之间的关系。社会经济因素如财富、年龄和教育程度对保险需求有很强的预测作用。研究局限/启示研究结果证实,风险态度影响发展中国家的保险需求,但社会经济因素在解释这种情况下的低保险渗透率方面发挥了重要作用。原创性/价值理论上,对风险的态度与保险需求密切相关。然而,在保险渗透率非常低的发展中国家,关于这种关系的经验证据有限。这项研究是第一个记录风险态度对一系列保险产品需求的影响的研究之一,使用了一个发展中国家具有全国代表性的大型个人样本。
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引用次数: 0
The disposition effect and its manifestations in South African investor teams 南非投资者团队的处置效应及其表现
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-20 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-01-2022-0027
Philani Shandu, I. Alagidede
PurposeThe study endeavours to determine (1) whether the disposition effect exists among South African investor teams, (2) whether it is causally intensified by a set of psychosocial factors and (3) whether the disposition effect causally reduces investor welfare.Design/methodology/approachFollowing a natural field experimentation design involving a sample of investor teams participating in the 2019 run of the JSE University Investment Challenge, the authors use regression adjustments as well as bootstrap tests to investigate the casual implications of a set of psychosocial factors on the intensity of the disposition effect, as well on the attenuation of market-adjusted ex post returns (i.e. investor welfare).FindingsSouth African investor teams are susceptible to the disposition effect, and their susceptibility to the bias is associated with attenuated investor welfare. Furthermore, low female representation in an investor team causally intensifies the disposition effect, subsequently leading to a causal reduction in investor welfare.Originality/valueUsing evidence from real-world observation, the authors contribute to the literature on team gender diversity and investment decision-making, and – using Hofstede's (2001) cultural dimensions – the authors offer a comprehensive account for how differences in culture may lead to differences in gender-related disposition effects across different nationalities. The authors also introduce to the literature experimental evidence from the field that clearly demonstrates that – among South African investor teams – a causal relationship exists (1) between female representation and the disposition effect, and (2) between the disposition effect and investor welfare.
目的:本研究试图确定(1)处置效应是否存在于南非投资者团队中,(2)它是否因一系列心理社会因素而加剧,(3)处置效应是否会导致投资者福利的减少。设计/方法/方法采用自然现场实验设计,涉及参加2019年JSE大学投资挑战赛的投资者团队样本,作者使用回归调整和bootstrap测试来调查一系列心理社会因素对处置效应强度的偶然影响,以及对市场调整后回报(即投资者福利)衰减的影响。研究结果:南非投资者团队容易受到处置效应的影响,他们对偏见的敏感性与投资者福利的减弱有关。此外,投资者团队中女性比例较低会加剧处置效应,从而导致投资者福利的因果减少。原创性/价值利用现实世界的观察证据,作者撰写了关于团队性别多样性和投资决策的文献,并且-使用Hofstede(2001)的文化维度-作者提供了文化差异如何导致不同国籍的性别相关倾向影响差异的综合解释。作者还在文献中引入了该领域的实验证据,这些证据清楚地表明,在南非的投资者团队中,存在(1)女性代表与处置效应之间的因果关系,以及(2)处置效应与投资者福利之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 2
Investor behavior and cryptocurrency market bubbles during the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19大流行期间的投资者行为和加密货币市场泡沫
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2021-0190
Emna Mnif, Bassem Salhi, Khaireddine Mouakha, Anis Jarboui
PurposeCryptocurrencies lack fundamental values and are often subject to behavioral bias leading to market bubbles. This study aims to investigate the contribution of the coronavirus pandemic to the creation of market bubbles.Design/methodology/approachThis study identifies four major cryptocurrency market bubbles by using the Phillips et al. (2016) (hereafter PSY) test. Subsequently, the co-movements of the coronavirus proxies with PSY measurement using the wavelet approach were studied.FindingsShort-lived bubbles are detected at the beginning of the studied period, and more extended bubble periods are identified at the end. Besides, the empirical results show evidence of significant negative co-movement between each pandemic proxy and each cryptocurrency bubble measurement.Research limitations/implicationsGiven the complex financial dynamics of the cryptocurrency markets due to some behavioral biases in some circumstances, investors can benefit from the date stamping of the bubbles bursting to make the best trading positions. In the same way, governments could support the healthy development of cryptocurrencies by preventing bubbles during such pandemics.Originality/valueThe financial bubble is commonly attributed to a change in investor behavior. Because traders and investors think they can resell the asset at a higher price in the future. This study explored the contribution of the COVID-19 pandemic in the creation of these bubbles by date stamping their occurrence and explosive periods. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is the first attempt that explores the contribution of the COVID-19 pandemic to the creation of bubbles caused by a change in the investors’ behavior.
加密货币缺乏基本价值,经常受到行为偏差的影响,导致市场泡沫。本研究旨在调查冠状病毒大流行对市场泡沫产生的贡献。设计/方法/方法本研究通过使用Phillips等人(2016)(以下简称PSY)测试确定了四个主要的加密货币市场泡沫。随后,利用小波方法研究了冠状病毒代理与PSY测量的共同运动。研究发现在研究周期开始时发现了短暂的泡沫,在研究结束时发现了更长的泡沫周期。此外,实证结果显示,每种流行病代理和每种加密货币泡沫测量之间存在显著的负向联合运动。考虑到在某些情况下由于一些行为偏差而导致的加密货币市场复杂的金融动态,投资者可以从泡沫破裂的日期戳中受益,以建立最佳的交易头寸。同样,政府可以通过在此类流行病期间防止泡沫来支持加密货币的健康发展。独创性/价值金融泡沫通常归因于投资者行为的改变。因为交易员和投资者认为他们可以在未来以更高的价格转售资产。本研究通过日期戳戳这些泡沫的发生和爆发时期,探讨了COVID-19大流行对这些泡沫产生的贡献。据作者所知,这项研究是首次尝试探索COVID-19大流行对投资者行为变化导致的泡沫产生的贡献。
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引用次数: 6
Short-run and long-run determinants of bitcoin returns: transnational evidence 比特币回报的短期和长期决定因素:跨国证据
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-03 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-02-2022-0040
Priti Dubey
PurposeBitcoin has emerged as a phenomenal asset earning abnormal profits. However, the factors with predictability power over its price are not widely studied. Therefore, this study aims to explore the factors that determine bitcoin prices. The analysis explores the determinants belonging to four categories – macro economic, financial, technical and fundamental factors.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs random effects regression on the panel data of five countries. Then Granger causality test is applied on the time series of all the variables. Lastly, diagnostic tests are conducted to confirm the findings to be robust and reliable.FindingsThe findings suggest that oil price, bitcoin supply, trading volume and market capitalization significantly impact the price of bitcoin in the long run. In short run, bitcoin returns are only caused by oil price and market capitalization. Interestingly, bitcoin returns influence its attractiveness to investors, market capitalization, S&P 500 returns and trading volume, in the short run.Practical implicationsThe technical analysis is found to be redundant in the short run. In the long run, technical as well as fundamental analysis are useful. The bitcoin is found to be a good diversification tool as it has no linkages with the stock markets and gold market. It is also an inflationary hedger owing its limited supply.Originality/valueThe studies on cryptocurrency market have not conducted the analysis across countries. This study captures the cross-sectional effects along with time effects. The study also includes 17 variables belonging to four categories.
比特币已经成为一种赚取异常利润的现象级资产。然而,对其价格具有可预见性的因素研究并不广泛。因此,本研究旨在探讨决定比特币价格的因素。分析探讨了四类决定因素——宏观经济、金融、技术和基本面因素。设计/方法/方法本研究对五个国家的面板数据采用随机效应回归。然后对所有变量的时间序列进行格兰杰因果检验。最后,进行诊断测试,以确认结果是稳健和可靠的。研究结果表明,从长远来看,油价、比特币供应、交易量和市值对比特币价格有显著影响。短期来看,比特币的回报只受油价和市值的影响。有趣的是,在短期内,比特币的回报会影响其对投资者的吸引力、市值、标准普尔500指数的回报和交易量。实际意义短期来看,技术分析是多余的。从长远来看,技术分析和基本面分析都是有用的。比特币被认为是一个很好的分散工具,因为它与股票市场和黄金市场没有联系。由于其供应量有限,它也是一种通胀对冲工具。关于加密货币市场的研究并没有进行跨国家的分析。本研究捕捉了横截面效应和时间效应。该研究还包括17个变量,属于4类。
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引用次数: 7
The impact of anchoring bias on investment decision-making: evidence from Ghana 锚定偏差对投资决策的影响:来自加纳的证据
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2020-0223
E. Laryea, Sally Peaches Owusu
PurposeThe objective of this paper is to explore how anchoring affects the dynamics of investor decision-making with regard to mutual funds and how this bias differs amongst gender and level of financial knowledge.Design/methodology/approachAn experimental research design was adopted to uncover the relationship between the variables under study; this involved the use of a questionnaire with an embedded experiment. Data obtained from the study were analysed using Pearson's chi-square test and two-way analysis of variance.FindingsThe findings show that, overall, investors were prone to be significantly influenced by the anchoring bias. The study finds a strong, albeit not significant, association between participants' susceptibility to anchor and both gender and the level of financial knowledge of participants. Females were observed to be more likely to anchor than their male counterparts. Also, a higher level of financial knowledge did not help to reduce the possibility of anchoring; it rather increased it.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings of the study cannot be interpreted as suggesting causality as the study only tests for association between variables and not causality. Additionally, external validity cannot be fully established as a result of the quasi-experiment approach used.Practical implicationsThe study adds to the body of knowledge on the influences of behavioural biases in the sub-region to make investors aware of their biases in order to minimise the influence of these biases on their investment decisions.Originality/valueThis study differs from earlier studies in that it analyses the presence of anchoring as influenced by a completely different set of variables (expertise and gender) and also does it within the context of an African country where there remains a paucity of research on behavioural finance.
本文的目的是探讨锚定如何影响共同基金投资者决策的动态,以及这种偏见在性别和金融知识水平之间的差异。设计/方法/方法采用实验研究设计来揭示被研究变量之间的关系;这包括使用问卷和嵌入式实验。本研究数据采用Pearson卡方检验和双向方差分析进行分析。研究结果表明,总体而言,投资者容易受到锚定偏差的显著影响。研究发现,参与者对锚的敏感性与性别和参与者的金融知识水平之间存在很强的关联,尽管不是很显著。女性被观察到比男性更容易锚定。此外,较高的金融知识水平无助于降低锚定的可能性;反而增加了它。研究局限性/启示研究结果不能被解释为表明因果关系,因为研究只测试变量之间的关联,而不是因果关系。此外,由于采用准实验方法,外部效度不能完全建立。实际意义本研究增加了关于该次区域行为偏差影响的知识体系,使投资者意识到他们的偏差,以尽量减少这些偏差对其投资决策的影响。原创性/价值本研究与早期研究的不同之处在于,它分析了锚定的存在受到一组完全不同的变量(专业知识和性别)的影响,并且是在一个非洲国家的背景下进行的,该国家对行为金融学的研究仍然缺乏。
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引用次数: 1
Feedback trading in global stock markets under uncertainty of COVID-19 新冠肺炎不确定性下全球股市反馈交易
IF 2 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-08-2021-0154
E. Coşkun
PurposeAlthough some research has been carried out on feedback trading in different asset classes, there have been few empirical investigations that consider both major and emerging stock markets (Koutmos, 1997; Antoniou et al., 2005; Kim, 2009) stock index futures (Salm and Schuppli, 2010). In this study, the author examines positive/negative feedback trading in both developed-emerging-frontier-standalone (51) stock markets for 2010–2020 and sub-periods including COVID-19 period.Design/methodology/approachThe hypothesis “feedback trading behaviour led the price boom/bust in the stock markets during the first quarter of COVID-19 pandemic” is tested by employing the Sentana and Wadhwani (1992) framework and using asymmetrical GARCH models (GJRGARCH, EGARCH) in accordance with the empirical literature.FindingsThe following conclusions can be drawn from the present study; (1) There is no evidence to support a significant distinction between developed, emerging, frontier or standalone markets or high/upper middle, lower middle income economies in the case of feedback trading. It is more likely to be a general phenomenon reflecting the outcomes of general human psychology (2) in the long term (2010–2020) based on the feedback trading results Asian stock markets appear to be far from efficiency.Research limitations/implicationsStock markets are selected based on data availability.Practical implicationsSeveral inferences can be drawn about overall results. First, investors and portfolio managers should beware of their investment decisions during bearish market conditions where volatility is on the rise and also when there is a strong reaction to bad news/negative shocks in the market. Moreover, investing in Asia stock markets may require more attention since those markets are reputed to be more “idiosyncratic”, less reliant on economic and corporate fundamentals in their pricing. Moreover, the impact of foreign investors on stock market volatility and returns and weaker implementation of regulations also affect the efficiency of the markets (Lipinsky and Ong, 2014).Originality/valueTo the best of the author’s knowledge, most studies in the field of feedback trading in stock markets have only focused on a small sample of countries and second, the effect of COVID-19 uncertainty on the stock markets have not been addressed in the literature with respect to feedback trading. This paper fills these literature gaps. This study is expected to provide useful insights for understanding the instabilities in stock markets particularly under conditions of high uncertainty and to fill the gap in the literature by comparing the results for a large sample of countries both in the long term and in the pandemic.Highlights for reviewThis study has shown that feedback trading is more prevalent in Asian stock markets in the long run in Europe, America or Middle East for the period 2010–2020.Positive feedback traders generally dominated most of the stock markets during the
虽然对不同资产类别的反馈交易进行了一些研究,但很少有实证调查同时考虑主要和新兴股票市场(Koutmos, 1997;Antoniou等人,2005;股指期货(Salm and Schuppli, 2010)。在本研究中,作者考察了2010-2020年发达-新兴-前沿独立(51)股票市场和包括COVID-19在内的子时期的正/负反馈交易。设计/方法/方法采用Sentana和Wadhwani(1992)框架,并根据实证文献使用不对称GARCH模型(GJRGARCH, EGARCH),对“反馈交易行为导致COVID-19大流行第一季度股票市场价格暴涨/暴跌”这一假设进行了检验。从本研究中可以得出以下结论:(1)在反馈交易的情况下,没有证据支持发达市场、新兴市场、前沿市场或独立市场或高/中上收入经济体、中低收入经济体之间存在显著区别。从反馈交易结果来看,这更可能是一种反映长期(2010-2020)人类普遍心理(2)结果的普遍现象。研究的局限性/意义股票市场的选择是基于数据的可用性。实际意义总的结果可以得出几个推论。首先,投资者和投资组合经理应该注意他们在市场波动率上升的熊市条件下的投资决策,以及当市场对坏消息/负面冲击有强烈反应时。此外,投资亚洲股市可能需要更多关注,因为这些市场被认为更为“特殊”,在定价方面较少依赖于经济和企业基本面。此外,外国投资者对股票市场波动和回报的影响以及监管执行不力也影响了市场的效率(Lipinsky和Ong, 2014)。原创性/价值据作者所知,股票市场反馈交易领域的大多数研究仅关注于国家的小样本,其次,关于反馈交易的文献中尚未解决COVID-19不确定性对股票市场的影响。本文填补了这些文献空白。预计这项研究将为理解股票市场的不稳定性,特别是在高度不确定性条件下的不稳定性提供有用的见解,并通过比较大量国家样本在长期和大流行期间的结果来填补文献中的空白。本研究表明,从长远来看,反馈交易在2010-2020年期间在欧洲、美国或中东的亚洲股票市场更为普遍。在COVID-19大流行初期,正反馈交易者普遍主导了大多数股票市场。另一个重要发现是,马来西亚、日本、菲律宾、爱沙尼亚、葡萄牙和乌克兰的股票市场由负面反馈交易者主导,这可能被解释为“处置效应”,即他们出售“过去的赢家”。在印度尼西亚、新西兰、中国、奥地利、希腊、英国、芬兰、西班牙、冰岛、挪威、瑞士、波兰、土耳其、智利和阿根廷,即使在不确定的条件下,也不存在正反馈和负反馈交易。
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引用次数: 2
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Review of Behavioral Finance
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