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The role of pre-pandemic teleworking and E-commerce culture in the COVID-19 dispersion in Europe. 流行前的远程办公和电子商务文化在欧洲 COVID-19 传播中的作用。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00286-1
Konstantinos Christopoulos, Konstantinos Eleftheriou, Peter Nijkamp

The threats of the coronavirus have shifted the workplace of many people from office to home and also made e-commerce the primary medium for purchases. While these changes were made in an effort to mitigate contagion, there are no studies, to the best of our knowledge, that address if teleworking and e-commerce culture prior to the pandemic influenced the dispersion of the virus. In our study we examine whether pre-existing teleworking practices and e-commerce activity have played an important role in the COVID-19 dispersion in Europe. Based on a set of data from all European countries, the present study employs the Philips & Sul methodology to explore corona convergence patterns. Our findings suggest that pre-existing e-commerce activity and teleworking practices had little to no effect in reducing the initial opportunities of individuals to contract the virus leading to the conclusion that other social interactions must have played a more important role.

冠状病毒的威胁使许多人的工作场所从办公室转移到家中,也使电子商务成为主要的购买媒介。虽然做出这些改变是为了减轻传染性,但据我们所知,目前还没有研究探讨大流行之前的远程办公和电子商务文化是否影响了病毒的传播。在我们的研究中,我们考察了之前存在的远程办公实践和电子商务活动是否在 COVID-19 在欧洲的传播中发挥了重要作用。本研究以欧洲各国的一组数据为基础,采用 Philips & Sul 方法来探讨电晕聚合模式。我们的研究结果表明,先前存在的电子商务活动和远程办公做法对减少个人感染病毒的初始机会几乎没有影响,因此得出结论认为,其他社会互动必须发挥更重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
The Time-Varying Connectedness Between China's Crude Oil Futures and International Oil Markets: A Return and Volatility Spillover Analysis. 中国原油期货与国际石油市场之间的时变关联性:回报与波动溢出分析》。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00288-z
Jiasha Fu, Hui Qiao

This paper examines the relationship between world crude oil markets following the introduction of Shanghai crude oil futures from the perspective of network connectedness based on the vector autoregressive model. The connectedness measurement method proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (Econ J 119(534):158-171, 2009, Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66, 2012. 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.02.006, J Econom 182(1):119-134, 2014. 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012) is adopted to study a time-varying interdependence relationship. The empirical results show that the world crude oil markets exhibit a high degree of integration from both returns and volatility; however, the direction and magnitude contributed by each market varies significantly. Specifically, the West Texas Intermediate futures and Brent spot and futures markets were found to have the highest contributions to the world oil market over the entire sample period and take leading roles, whereas Dubai futures market was found to be the most important receiver, and has received the most spillover from other markets and passed it throughout the system. Shanghai crude oil futures is not yet highly connected with other markets. Moreover, heterogeneous changes in the direction, intensity, and persistence of the spillover were observed across markets after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. This study reveals the integration level of Shanghai crude oil futures and the dynamics of linkages between regional crude oil markets, which is of great significance for market participants, policymakers, and future researchers.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12076-021-00288-z.

本文基于向量自回归模型,从网络关联性的角度研究了上海原油期货推出后世界原油市场之间的关系。Diebold和Yilmaz提出的连通性测量方法(Econ J 119(534):158-171, 2009, Int J Forecast 28(1):57-66, 2012.10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.02.006, J Econom 182(1):119-134, 2014.10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012)来研究时变相互依存关系。实证结果表明,世界原油市场无论从收益率还是波动率来看,都表现出高度的一体化;然而,各市场贡献的方向和幅度却有很大差异。具体而言,西德克萨斯中质原油期货市场和布伦特原油现货及期货市场在整个样本期间对世界原油市场的贡献最大,起着主导作用;而迪拜原油期货市场则是最重要的接收者,接收了最多来自其他市场的溢出效应并在整个系统中传递。上海原油期货与其他市场的关联度还不高。此外,在 2020 年 COVID-19 疫情爆发后,各市场的溢出方向、强度和持续性发生了异质性变化。本研究揭示了上海原油期货的一体化水平和区域原油市场之间的动态联系,对市场参与者、政策制定者和未来研究者具有重要意义:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s12076-021-00288-z。
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引用次数: 0
New insights into an old issue: modelling the U.S. food prices. 对一个老问题的新见解:美国食品价格模型。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-022-00319-3
Dervis Kirikkaleli, Ibrahim Darbaz

The study attempts to add significant outcomes to the U.S. food prices literature by performing a dynamic regression model and a frequency domain causality test to explore the causality and relationships between U.S. food prices, energy prices, economic policy uncertainty, and the value of the U.S. dollar. It is shown that dollar price negatively affects the food price index at both high and low volatility periods. Furthermore, it is presented that there is a permanent long-run causal relationship running from the dollar index to the food price index. The results indicated that there is a significant positive relationship between the energy price index and the food price index. Moreover, energy is found to be a long-run and permanent cause of the food price index. The effect of uncertainty has not been sufficiently explored in the food pricing field, the outcome of this study reveals that uncertainty increases the food price index at high volatility times. Besides, uncertainty is shown to be the long-run and permanent cause of the food price index.

本研究试图通过动态回归模型和频域因果检验来探索美国食品价格、能源价格、经济政策不确定性和美元价值之间的因果关系和关系,为美国食品价格文献添加显著的结果。结果表明,美元价格对食品价格指数在高波动期和低波动期均有负向影响。此外,本文还提出了美元指数与食品价格指数之间存在长期的因果关系。结果表明,能源价格指数与食品价格指数之间存在显著的正相关关系。此外,能源被发现是食品价格指数的一个长期和永久的原因。不确定性的影响在食品定价领域尚未得到充分的探讨,本研究的结果表明,不确定性在高波动时期增加了食品价格指数。此外,不确定性被证明是食品价格指数的长期和永久性原因。
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引用次数: 1
Sustainability spillover effects and partnership between East Asia & Pacific versus North America: interactions of social, environment and economy. 东亚太平洋与北美的可持续性溢出效应与伙伴关系:社会、环境和经济的相互作用。
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00282-5
Mehrab Nodehi, Abbas Assari Arani, Vahid Mohamad Taghvaee

The three sustainability pillars of social, environment and economy were initially introduced by the United Nations in 2002, addressing major global sustainability issues including economic problems, income inequality, environmental pollution and social shortcomings. Comparing East Asia & Pacific with North America, there is a growing concern over economic, political and even social competition as a result of recent development and industrialization that is taking place in Asian countries. This might lead to an unhealthy conflict that favors regional independency as opposed to the current globalization and trade facilitation trend. As a result, this study aims to assess the effects of development in three main pillars of sustainability (social, environment and economy) in the East Asia and Pacific on that of North America and vice versa. To estimate this interactive or spillover effects of sustainable development (or sustainability elasticities), our research employs Econometric methodologies including Simultaneous Equations System, Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) and Granger Causality approaches during 1971-2016. The results show that most of the sustainability elasticities are positive between and inside the two regions, supporting the synergetic character of the sustainability spillover effects and confirming constructive role of globalization and openness in the sustainability progress. Based on the results, this research suggests policy-makers to follow cooperative and flow-based governance rather than the placed-based or regional independent thinking that supports integrated sustainable development benefiting not only the two parties but also the overall global sustainability.

社会、环境和经济三大可持续发展支柱最初是由联合国于2002年提出的,旨在解决全球主要的可持续发展问题,包括经济问题、收入不平等、环境污染和社会缺陷。将东亚和太平洋地区与北美地区进行比较,由于亚洲国家最近的发展和工业化,人们越来越关注经济、政治甚至社会竞争。这可能导致与当前全球化和贸易便利化趋势相反的有利于区域独立的不健康冲突。因此,本研究旨在评价东亚和太平洋地区可持续性的三个主要支柱(社会、环境和经济)的发展对北美的影响,反之亦然。为了估计可持续发展(或可持续弹性)的这种相互作用或溢出效应,我们在1971-2016年期间采用了计量经济学方法,包括联立方程组、向量自回归(VAR)和格兰杰因果关系方法。结果表明,区域间和区域内的大部分可持续性弹性均为正弹性,支持了可持续性溢出效应的协同性特征,并证实了全球化和开放在可持续发展进程中的建设性作用。基于研究结果,本研究建议决策者应遵循基于合作和流动的治理,而不是基于地方或区域的独立思维,以支持一体化可持续发展,不仅有利于双方,也有利于全球整体可持续发展。
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引用次数: 20
Spatio-temporal variations and contextual factors of the supply of Airbnb in Rome. An initial investigation. 罗马地区爱彼迎供应的时空变化及环境因素。初步调查
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-05-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-022-00302-y
Massimiliano Crisci, Federico Benassi, Hamidreza Rabiei-Dastjerdi, Gavin McArdle

This paper offers an analysis of the supply of Airbnb accommodation in Rome, one of the main tourist destinations in the world, the third-largest city in Europe, by the number of Airbnb listings. The aim is to focus on the recent spatial trend of Airbnb listings, including the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, and highlight the main housing and socioeconomic characteristics of the neighbourhoods associated with a strong presence of Airbnb listings. The study is developed with quantitative methods and spatial regression (spatial lag and spatial error using OLS as a benchmark), based on data collected from the Inside Airbnb and Tomslee websites. In the period 2014-2019, the listing trend in Rome has been increasing in absolute numbers. After the start of the pandemic, the trend became negative, and the decline of Airbnb offerings is more substantial for shared accommodation. Airbnb supply is related to the distance from the city centre, the average income of the area, empty apartments, singles and the share of foreign residents coming from high-income countries. A signal of spatial diffusion of Airbnb listings emerges in the coastal area, even if they are increasingly concentrated in the historic centre, where there is a monoculture of short-term renting.

罗马是世界主要旅游目的地之一,也是欧洲第三大城市,本文根据 Airbnb 房源数量对罗马的 Airbnb 住宿供应情况进行了分析。研究的目的是关注近期 Airbnb 房源的空间趋势,包括 COVID-19 大流行期间,并突出与 Airbnb 房源大量存在相关的街区的主要住房和社会经济特征。本研究以从 Inside Airbnb 和 Tomslee 网站收集的数据为基础,采用定量方法和空间回归(以 OLS 为基准的空间滞后和空间误差)。2014-2019 年间,罗马的房源绝对数量呈上升趋势。大流行开始后,这一趋势变成了负数,Airbnb 提供的共享住宿减少的幅度更大。Airbnb 供应与距离市中心的远近、该地区的平均收入、空置公寓、单身和来自高收入国家的外国居民比例有关。沿海地区出现了 Airbnb 房源空间扩散的信号,尽管这些房源越来越多地集中在历史中心,那里的短期租房文化比较单一。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of maize commercialization among smallholder farmers: empirical evidence from North Western Ethiopia 小农玉米商业化分析:来自埃塞俄比亚西北部的经验证据
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00289-y
Agerie Nega Wassihun, Fikeremaryam Birara Feleke, Tadie Mirie Abate, Gebrehiwot Abebe Bayeh
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引用次数: 0
The existence and mechanism of the domestic pollution haven hypothesis: evidence from 265 cities in China 生活污染避风港假说的存在与机制:来自265个中国城市的证据
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-11-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00285-2
Shimei Wu, Haotian Zhang
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引用次数: 5
The geographic redistribution of income in the United States, 1970–2010: the role of the super-wealthy 1970-2010年美国收入的地域再分配:超级富豪的角色
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00283-4
John R. Posey
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引用次数: 1
Regional drivers of green inventions in OECD countries 经合组织国家绿色发明的区域驱动因素
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-10-28 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00284-3
Paulo Vitor Levate, E. Gonçalves, Juliana Gonçalves Taveira
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引用次数: 0
Directional dummies in gravity models: application to Japanese inter-municipal migration by age-sex group 重力模型中的定向假人:按年龄和性别分组在日本城市间迁移中的应用
IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2021-10-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12076-021-00287-0
T. Mizuno, Mitsuhiro Fujimoto
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences
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