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Methods for Farm Valuation Les méthodes d’évaluation des exploitations agricoles Methoden zur Bewertung von landwirtschaftlichen Betrieben 农业估价方法农业开发估价方法
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12392
Laure Latruffe, Yann Desjeux, Geoffroy Enjolras, Philippe Jeanneaux

Valuation of a farm at current market value is a crucial part of the process of farm transfer, be it between family members through inheritance or on the open market between buyers and sellers. This article explains the methods available to and used by professionals in France to value farms, and presents results of an application of the methods on bookkeeping data for French representative commercial farms.

The literature is rich on business valuation methods but less so in the farming context. Some assets are often very specific (farm buildings, livestock, agricultural land) and the activities of farms are by nature diverse and risky, making it difficult to standardise their valuation. There are two broad categories of methods. Economic methods are based on cash flows and profitability generated by the assets and include the fundamental and financial methods. The fundamental (or discounted cash-flows or long-term returns or capitalisation) method consists of valuing the farm as an industrial project that will generate cash flows in the future, over a chosen time horizon, for example the duration of a long-term rental agreement (nine years in France). The farm value is thus the sum of the future net cash flows discounted at an appropriate rate. The financial (or profitability) method is based on the estimation of the farm investors’ potential remuneration, which can be approximated by the farm net profit (farm income from which the farm manager's labour remuneration has been subtracted).

The second category of methods relies on the separately-valued assets mainly with the patrimonial method (or liquidation and accounting valuation method). Each tangible asset is estimated separately, with the current market value or with the book value of assets available in the balance sheet. While the fundamental method is generally preferred by buyers (that is to say, future farmers) and banks, sellers favour the patrimonial method as it generates high values. In practice both sets of methods are often used in combination.

In 2021 an online survey was conducted of 67 land experts and farm accountants in France who regularly estimate farm values for farmers (both sellers or buyers) (Enjolras et al., 2023). As shown in Figure 1, the highest share of experts (56 per cent) used the patrimonial method, although the fundamental and financial methods together account for a comparable share of experts (53 per cent). The survey also highlighted the difficult conciliation of perspectives between sellers and buyers and the need to consider intangible factors, as seen in Figure 2.

The different methods were applied to the 2017 and 2018 French Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) bookkeeping data (Jeanneaux et al., 2022). Figure 3 shows that wine-growing farms have the highest values on average. Pig and beef cattle farms have high average patrimonial values, reflecting their high capita

以当前市场价值对农场进行估价是农场转让过程中的一个关键部分,无论是通过继承在家庭成员之间进行,还是在买卖双方之间的公开市场上进行。本文解释了法国专业人员可使用和使用的农场估价方法,并介绍了这些方法在法国有代表性的商业农场记账数据中的应用结果。文献中有大量关于商业估价方法的内容,但在农业背景下则较少。一些资产通常非常具体(农场建筑、牲畜、农业用地),农场的活动本质上是多样的和有风险的,因此很难对其估价进行标准化。有两大类方法。经济方法以资产产生的现金流和盈利能力为基础,包括基本方法和财务方法。基本(或贴现现金流或长期回报或资本化)方法包括将农场作为一个工业项目进行估价,该项目将在选定的时间范围内,例如长期租赁协议的期限(在法国为九年),在未来产生现金流。因此,农场价值是以适当利率贴现的未来净现金流的总和。财务(或盈利)方法基于对农场投资者潜在薪酬的估计,可以用农场净利润(农场收入减去农场经理的劳动报酬)来近似。第二类方法依赖于主要采用继承法(或清算和会计估价法)单独估价的资产。每项有形资产都是单独估计的,采用当前市场价值或资产负债表中可用资产的账面价值。虽然买家(也就是说,未来的农民)和银行通常更喜欢基本方法,但卖家更喜欢继承方法,因为它能产生高价值。在实践中,这两套方法经常结合使用。2021年,对法国67名土地专家和农场会计师进行了一项在线调查,他们定期为农民(包括卖家或买家)估计农场价值(Enjollas et al.,2023)。如图1所示,使用世袭法的专家比例最高(56%),尽管基本方法和财务方法合计占专家比例相当(53%)。该调查还强调了卖家和买家之间难以调和的观点,以及考虑无形因素的必要性,如图2所示。2017年和2018年法国农场会计数据网络(FADN)的记账数据采用了不同的方法(Jeanneaux et al.,2022)。图3显示,葡萄酒种植农场的平均价值最高。养猪场和肉牛养殖场的平均遗产价值很高,反映出它们的高资本密集度。然而,用基本面和财务方法计算的肉牛养殖场平均值最低,这表明这些养殖场的市场条件不太有利。需要进一步的研究来实证评估价值的驱动因素,特别是无形资产的价值部分。
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引用次数: 0
Methods for Farm Valuation 农场估价方法
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692x.12392
L. Latruffe, Y. Desjeux, G. Enjolras, P. Jeanneaux
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Quality of CAP Strategic Planning through Enhancing the Role of Agricultural Economics Améliorer la qualité de la planification stratégique de la PAC en renforçant le rôle de l'économie agricole Qualitätsverbesserung in der GAP-Strategieplanung durch eine stärkere Rolle der Agrarökonomie 通过加强农业经济学的作用提高CAP战略规划的质量通过加强农业经济学在差距中的作用提高CAP的战略规划质量
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12393
Emil Erjavec, Ilona Rac

Extending strategic planning to the full range of Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) interventions could improve the impacts of this controversial public policy. Science, particularly agricultural economics, can play a role in improving the quality of planning and implementation of a reformed CAP. The preparation of Member States' Strategic Plans (SP) is rather formalistic, while the plans are not very rigorously designed. A major weakness is related to the CAP's political-economic characteristics and lies in the selection and definition of interventions: financially strong but poorly targeted interventions tend to be pre-fixed, which prevents a stronger focus on the results and quality of planning. The intervention logic functions as a black box, as the links between policy priorities and interventions are merely implied, with no clear, evidence-based links. Therefore, European decision makers should re-examine the concept of CAP SP and especially improve a support system and capacity building for SP designers. Greater involvement of academic research and scientific methods and tools in the preparation, monitoring and evaluation of plans, could significantly improve the quality of planning. This would require increased investment in research and dialogue among representatives of academia, government and the nongovernmental sector.

将战略规划扩展到全面的共同农业政策干预措施,可以改善这一有争议的公共政策的影响。科学,特别是农业经济学,可以在提高改革后的CAP的规划和实施质量方面发挥作用。成员国战略计划的编制相当形式化,而这些计划的设计并不严格。一个主要弱点与联合呼吁程序的政治经济特征有关,并在于干预措施的选择和定义:财政有力但目标不明确的干预措施往往是预先确定的,这阻碍了对规划结果和质量的更大关注。干预逻辑起着黑匣子的作用,因为政策优先事项和干预措施之间的联系只是隐含的,没有明确的循证联系。因此,欧洲决策者应该重新审视CAP SP的概念,特别是改进SP设计者的支持系统和能力建设。在计划的编制、监测和评估中更多地参与学术研究和科学方法和工具,可以大大提高规划的质量。这将需要增加对研究的投资,以及学术界、政府和非政府部门代表之间的对话。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Quality of CAP Strategic Planning through Enhancing the Role of Agricultural Economics 发挥农业经济学作用提高CAP战略规划质量
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692x.12393
E. Erjavec, I. Rac
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引用次数: 0
Does Agricultural Support Help with Climate Change Mitigation Efforts? Le soutien agricole contribue-t-il aux efforts d'atténuation du changement climatique ? Unterstützt die Förderung der Landwirtschaft die Bemühungen den Klimawandel einzudämmen? 农业支持有助于缓解气候变化吗?农业对气候变化的依恋做出了贡献吗?促进农业发展是否支持遏制气候变化的努力?
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12386
Jibran Punthakey, Hugo Valin, Martin von Lampe

Total support to the agricultural sector arising from public policies reached a record USD 817 billion per year in 2019–2021 for the 54 countries1 covered in the OECD Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation 2022 report (Figure 1). However, only a small share of this support was directed at longer-term efforts to combat climate change and other food system challenges.

Of the total support, USD 500 billion per year was paid by taxpayers from public budgets, with the remaining USD 317 billion per year being transferred by consumers through higher prices (market price support). In a small number of countries, policies also suppress prices for some or all commodities, generating a transfer (an implicit tax) of USD 117 billion away from agricultural producers. In total, USD 391 billion per year was transferred to producers in the potentially most distorting forms of support (market price support and payments based on output or the unconstrained use of variable inputs).

Along with forestry and other land use, agricultre represents around 22 per cent of anthropogenic GHG emissions; mainly methane and nitrous oxide from livestock, rice cultivation and fertiliser use, and carbon dioxide emissions through land use change, such as deforestation and carbon losses in agricultural soils. Lower GHG emissions can result from increasing productivity and efficiency in input use, adopting production techniques that reduce emissions, increasing soil carbon sequestration, afforestation and restoration of degraded lands, reducing food losses in the field and on the farm, and providing information and incentives to consumers to choose food with lower emissions intensities and reduce food waste.

Current policies include subsidies for the use of variable inputs such as fertilisers, feed and fuel, amounting to USD 60 billion per year in 2019–2021 and directly contributing to GHG emissions. Moreover, support tied to specific commodities still accounts for a large share of gross farm receipts in some countries (Figure 2). Support for livestock products, which tend to have high GHG emissions intensities, amounted to USD 111 billion per year across the 54 countries, and exceeded 10 per cent of gross farm receipts in 5 countries.

Despite their importance for achieving food security, climate and other food systems goals, investments in these areas have been falling relative to the size of the sector for most of the past two decades. Overall, support to general services accounted for 13 per cent of total support for the sector in 2019–2021, down from 16 per cent in 2000–2002 (Figure 3). There is therefore considerable scope for reforms that support both food systems objectives and ensure that agriculture contributes to ambitious emissions reduction targets.

The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official views of the OECD or of its Member countries.

2019年至2021年,经合组织《2022年农业政策监测与评估》报告(图1)所涵盖的54个国家1每年因公共政策对农业部门的支持总额达到创纪录的8170亿美元。然而,这些支持中只有一小部分用于应对气候变化和其他粮食系统挑战的长期努力。在总支持中,每年5000亿美元由纳税人从公共预算中支付,每年剩余的3170亿美元由消费者通过更高的价格(市场价格支持)转移。在少数国家,政策也抑制了部分或全部商品的价格,从农业生产者那里产生了1170亿美元的转移(隐性税)。每年总共有3910亿美元以可能最扭曲的支持形式(市场价格支持和基于产出的支付或不受限制地使用可变投入)转移给生产者;主要是牲畜、水稻种植和化肥使用产生的甲烷和一氧化二氮,以及土地利用变化产生的二氧化碳排放,如森林砍伐和农业土壤中的碳损失。温室气体排放量的减少可以通过提高投入使用的生产力和效率、采用减少排放的生产技术、增加土壤固碳、植树造林和恢复退化土地、减少田间和农场的粮食损失、,以及向消费者提供信息和激励措施,让他们选择排放强度较低的食物,减少食物浪费。目前的政策包括对化肥、饲料和燃料等可变投入的使用补贴,金额为美元 60 2019-2021年每年10亿美元,直接导致温室气体排放。此外,在一些国家,与特定商品相关的支持仍然占农业总收入的很大份额(图2)。54个国家每年对温室气体排放强度较高的畜产品的支持达1110亿美元,超过5个国家农业总收入的10%。尽管这些领域对实现粮食安全、气候和其他粮食系统目标很重要,但在过去20年的大部分时间里,这些领域的投资相对于该行业的规模一直在下降。总体而言,2019-2021年,对一般服务的支持占该行业总支持的13%,低于2000-2002年的16%(图3)。因此,有相当大的改革空间,既支持粮食系统目标,又确保农业有助于实现雄心勃勃的减排目标。本文所表达的观点和所采用的论点均为作者的观点和论据,并不一定反映经合组织或其成员国的官方观点。
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引用次数: 0
Implementing the EU eco-scheme in the Netherlands: A results-based points system approach Mise en œuvre de l’éco-régime européen aux Pays-Bas : une approche par système de points fondé sur les résultats Umsetzung der EU-Öko-Regelungen in den Niederlanden : Ein ergebnisorientierter Ansatz mit einem Punktesystem 在荷兰实施欧盟生态计划:基于结果的积分系统方法
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12388
Roel Jongeneel, Ana Gonzalez-Martinez

The latest reform of the EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) aimed at making it more results-oriented in order to ensure the sustainability of the sector. From 1 January 2023, in the new policy framework, the European Commission introduced a new tool – eco-schemes. This tool presents several advantages compared to the former ‘greening’ since it includes more ambitious targets than the previous policy framework. Another difference with the previous system is that the eco-schemes focus on results rather than efforts, while creating some room for the EU Member States to design measures which take into account existing local circumstances and needs. For the implementation of the eco-schemes, the Netherlands has developed a menu-points-system. The Dutch system is a good policy improvement compared to the previous ‘greening’ measures. Nevertheless, due to its hybrid form, it does not yet lead to the best possible cost-efficiency measures. To achieve that, a ‘pure’ point-reward (instead of an effort-reward) should have been implemented. Another novelty of the Dutch eco-scheme policy is the development of a simulation tool, which can assist farmers to test different choices before they make their final decisions.

欧盟共同农业政策的最新改革旨在使其更加注重成果,以确保该部门的可持续性。从2023年1月1日起,在新的政策框架中,欧盟委员会推出了一种新的工具——生态计划。与以前的“绿化”相比,该工具具有几个优势,因为它包含了比以前的政策框架更雄心勃勃的目标。与以前的制度的另一个不同之处在于,生态计划注重结果而非努力,同时为欧盟成员国设计考虑到当地现有情况和需求的措施创造了一些空间。为了实施生态计划,荷兰制定了菜单点制度。与以前的“绿化”措施相比,荷兰的制度是一个很好的政策改进。然而,由于其混合形式,它还没有产生尽可能好的成本效益措施。为了实现这一点,应该实施“纯”积分奖励(而不是努力奖励)。荷兰生态计划政策的另一个新颖之处是开发了一种模拟工具,可以帮助农民在做出最终决定之前测试不同的选择。
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引用次数: 1
Biodiversity Net Gain Initiative 生物多样性净收益倡议
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12391
Annie Wills
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引用次数: 0
The War in Ukraine, Food Security and the Role for Europe La guerre en Ukraine, la sécurité alimentaire et le rôle de l'Europe Der Krieg in der Ukraine, Ernährungssicherheit und die Rolle Europas 乌克兰战争、粮食安全和欧洲的作用
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12389
Maksym Chepeliev, Maryla Maliszewska, Maria Filipa Seara e Pereira

Food-security implications of the war in Ukraine are exacerbated by adverse weather events, spillover effects from the distortion of energy and fertiliser markets, and domestic policies that countries around the world have implemented in pursuit of food security. Estimates suggest that the cumulative effect of these channels in terms of restricting agricultural and food trade is in the order of over 10 times larger, and their cumulative effect on global food supply is on average three times more substantial than the direct agricultural supply disruptions in Ukraine. The latter, however, disproportionally impacts low-income countries that are particularly vulnerable to food supply shortages and price increases. In the case of the EU, although overall food availability is not at stake, food affordability for low-income households is a concern, especially when combined with rising prices of other essential goods, such as energy and transportation. To ensure the resilience of domestic and global food systems, the EU and its Member States should extend a set of already implemented policies, including better-targeted support for the low-income households in the region, implementation of trade facilitation measures via international cooperation, and support for agricultural production in the most vulnerable countries, and should also facilitate the restoration of Ukraine's lost agricultural assets.

不利的天气事件、能源和化肥市场扭曲的溢出效应,以及世界各国为追求粮食安全而实施的国内政策,加剧了乌克兰战争对粮食安全的影响。据估计,这些渠道在限制农业和粮食贸易方面的累积影响大约是10倍多,对全球粮食供应的累积影响平均是乌克兰直接农业供应中断的三倍。然而,后者对特别容易受到粮食供应短缺和价格上涨影响的低收入国家产生了不成比例的影响。就欧盟而言,尽管总体粮食供应不受影响,但低收入家庭的粮食负担能力令人担忧,尤其是在能源和交通等其他必需品价格上涨的情况下。为了确保国内和全球粮食系统的弹性,欧盟及其成员国应扩大一套已经实施的政策,包括更有针对性地支持该地区的低收入家庭,通过国际合作实施贸易便利化措施,以及支持最脆弱国家的农业生产,还应为恢复乌克兰失去的农业资产提供便利。
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引用次数: 3
Greening the CAP from Farm to Fork: Roots of Italy's Resistance to the Process of Reform Verdir la PAC de la ferme à la l'assiette : racines de la résistance de l'Italie au processus de réforme Die Ökologisierung der GAP: Ursachen des italienischen Widerstands gegen den Reformprozess 绿化从农场到叉子的上限:意大利抵制改革进程的根源
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692X.12387
Maria Antonietta Maneschi

De nombreux États membres et diverses parties prenantes continuent d'avoir des positions conservatrices dans le processus de réforme de la PAC visant à améliorer la durabilité environnementale. Lors du dernier processus de réforme, le ministère italien de l'Agriculture a privilégié le maintien du statu quo pour les paiements, minimisant ainsi les ambitions environnementales. Derrière ce positionnement se cache une puissante organisation agricole – la Coldiretti – qui joue un rôle politique majeur dans le contexte italien. Coldiretti et le ministère ont construit un bloc historique qui exerce un pouvoir hégémonique dans le réseau italien de la politique agricole. A l'opposé, la coalition Cambiamo Agricultura (Changeons l'agriculture), qui se mobilise pour le verdissement de la PAC et pour une transition agroécologique, est très marginalisée. Cependant, des changements dans les équilibres de pouvoir pourraient émerger et la coalition Cambiamo Agricoltura pourrait potentiellement jouer un rôle majeur dans cette transition. Elle pourrait renforcer sa visibilité dans les médias nationaux ; informer la société civile et renforcer le consensus de l'opinion publique pour une transition du secteur agricole ; elle pourrait également ouvrir un dialogue direct et une collaboration avec la Coldiretti, favorisant l'intégration d'objectifs environnementaux ambitieux dans le discours de la principale organisation paysanne elle-même. Le résultat serait l'inclusion d'acteurs de la transition dans le processus de prise de décision, ce qui se traduirait par des positions plus vertes pour la prochaine réforme de la PAC.

Viele Mitgliedstaaten und verschiedene Interessengruppen vertreten im GAP-Reformprozess – bei dem es darum geht, die ökologische Nachhaltigkeit zu verbessern – weiterhin konservative Positionen. Während der letzten Reform sprach sich das italienische Landwirtschaftsministerium dafür aus, den Status quo bei den Beihilfen beizubehalten und minimierte so die ökologischen Ambitionen. Hinter dieser Positionierung steht eine mächtige Bauernorganisation – Coldiretti – die im italienischen Kontext eine zentrale Bedeutung hat. Coldiretti und das Ministerium haben eine historische Verbindung gebildet, die eine hegemoniale Macht in der italienischen Agrarpolitik ausübt. Demgegenüber steht die stark marginalisierte Koalition Cambiamo Agricultura, die sich für ein Greening der GAP und einen agrarökologischen Wandel einsetzt. Im bestehenden Kräfteverhältnis zeichnen sich jedoch eine mögliche Veränderungen ab, und die Koalition Cambiamo Agricoltura könnte hierbei eine wichtige Rolle spielen. Sie könnte ihre Sichtbarkeit in den nationalen Medien erhöhen, die Öffentlichkeit informieren und den gesellschaftlichen Konsens für eine Umstellung des Agrarsektors stärken. Außerdem könnte sie einen Dialog und eine direkte Zusammenarbeit mit Coldiretti beginnen, um so ehrgeizige Umweltziele in den Diskurs der wichtigsten Bauernorganisation zu integrieren. Das Ergebnis

在改革可持续发展环境的政治行动委员会的过程中,非政府组织成员和各党派领导人继续处于保护地位。意大利农业部部长Lors du dernier processus de réforme有权维护支付现状,最大限度地减少对环境的野心。Derrière的职位是一个强大的农业组织——la Coldiretti——在意大利的政治背景下。Coldiretti和部长们反对在意大利农业政治中行使权力的集团历史。坎比亚莫农业联盟(农业变革)是一个反对者,它动员了对政治行动委员会的裁决和农业生态的过渡,这是一个边缘化的组织。Cambiamo Agricoltura联盟的变化旨在增加过渡的潜力。Elle pourrait增强了国家媒体的可视性;民间社会的告密者,并迫使公众就农业部门的转型达成共识;这是科尔迪雷蒂之间的直接对话和合作,科尔迪雷提是主要组织paysanne elle-même话语中最受欢迎的环境目标。顾问将过渡参与者纳入企业决策过程,这是对政治行动委员会的立场和立场的传统。在上次改革期间,意大利农业部主张维持援助现状,从而最大限度地减少对环境的野心。在这一定位的背后是一个强大的农民组织——Coldiretti,它在意大利的背景下具有核心重要性。科尔迪雷蒂和农业部形成了在意大利农业政策中行使霸权的历史纽带。另一方面,还有一个被强烈边缘化的Cambiamo Agricultura联盟,该联盟主张绿化CAP和农业生态变化。然而,现有的力量平衡可能会发生变化,Cambiamo Agricoltura联盟可能会在这方面发挥重要作用。它可以提高其在国家媒体上的知名度,向公众宣传,并加强社会对农业部门变革的共识。它还可以发起与Coldiretti的对话和直接合作,将雄心勃勃的环境目标纳入主要农民组织的讨论中。其结果将是让变革所需的利益攸关方参与决策过程,这将在下一个联合呼吁程序改革过程中产生更环保的立场。
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引用次数: 0
The War in Ukraine Dominates the Economic, Social and Political Agenda 乌克兰战争主导了经济、社会和政治议程
IF 2.8 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1111/1746-692x.12390
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引用次数: 0
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