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Deep State Continuum in Pakistan and Implications for India 巴基斯坦的深层政府统一体及其对印度的影响
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2176062
A. Rasheed
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引用次数: 0
Emerging Dynamics Between the Chinese State and Big-Tech: The Case of Alibaba 中国政府与科技巨头之间的新动态:以阿里巴巴为例
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2181424
Megha Shrivastava
Abstract The past few years have been tumultuous for the Chinese State and big-tech relations. The ground reality for the big-tech internet companies in China has transformed from being indulgent and overreaching to scrutiny and crackdown. This article attempts to analyse the dynamics between the Chinese State and big tech, taking Alibaba’s journey as a case study. This article departs from earlier studies by examining the case of Alibaba within a set of common trends and assumptions about State-big tech dynamics, which are also seen emerging in China. It argues that the unfolding trends follow a pattern that targets certain platform companies and ultimately motivates them to go global. It also highlights that Xi Jinping’s stricter control of the Party and bureaucracy, and renewed emphasis on Mao Zedong’s thought is bringing stricter scrutiny for private enterprises.
过去几年,中国政府与大型科技公司的关系一直动荡不安。中国大型科技互联网公司的现实已经从纵容和过度扩张转变为审查和打击。本文试图以阿里巴巴的发展历程为例,分析中国政府与大型科技公司之间的动态关系。本文从早期的研究出发,在一系列关于国家大型科技动态的共同趋势和假设中研究阿里巴巴的案例,这些趋势和假设也出现在中国。该公司认为,正在展开的趋势遵循一种模式,即针对某些平台公司,并最终促使它们走向全球。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency in Emergency: A Perception Study of Hierarchical Versus Flat Organizational Structures for Joint Disaster Response in the Bay of Bengal Region 紧急情况下的效率:孟加拉湾地区联合救灾的分层与扁平组织结构的感知研究
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2183580
R. Bhatt, D. Garge
Introduction L arge-scale disasters have far-reaching impacts that transcend national borders, making a coordinated, “one region-one response” approach essential, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Bay of Bengal region has recognized this need and is actively developing structures for regional cooperation, including in disaster management. However, there is a pressing need for a structural framework that enables a coordinated, multilateral, and regional response through the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC).To this end, this study analyzes the benefits of flat structures over hierarchical structures in the dynamic management of disaster response when various responders, including government officials, military, NGOs, volunteers, and the community, must quickly engage, pass information, take decisions, coordinate, and collaborate to work efficiently in the chaotic post-disaster environment. A structured questionnaire was administered to a stratified sample of 127 respondents, and the resulting quantitative data suggests that information management and coordination, initiative and quick decisions, and adaptability and flexibility are key enablers of effective disaster response. Emerging acceptance trends also indicate that flat structures are more beneficial than hierarchical structures.While accountability, value addition at each level, and conflict resolution were noted as major benefits of hierarchical structures, responders across strata indicated that these factors are not a priority in a disaster response scenario. The study's recommendations cater to the differing aspirations of all strata of stakeholders and should assist in creating an optimal regional disaster response structure for the Bay of Bengal region. By highlighting the importance of a coordinated and multilateral approach, this study underscores the urgent need for regional cooperation in disaster management and the potential benefits of flat structures in enabling effective disaster response. The Bay of Bengal region is undergoing structural changes to enhance regional cooperation and implement a coordinated, multilateral disaster response framework through BIMSTEC. This quantitative study aims to evaluate the perceptions of stakeholders towards the benefits of flat organizational structures over hierarchical structures for disaster response management. Findings indicate that information management,
大规模灾害具有超越国界的深远影响,因此必须采取协调一致的“一区一应对”方法,特别是在2019冠状病毒病大流行之后。孟加拉湾区域认识到这一需要,并正在积极发展区域合作结构,包括灾害管理方面的合作。然而,迫切需要一个结构性框架,通过“孟加拉湾多部门技术和经济合作倡议”(BIMSTEC),实现协调、多边和区域反应。为此,本研究分析了扁平结构相对于分层结构在灾害响应动态管理中的优势,包括政府官员、军队、非政府组织、志愿者和社区在内的各种响应者必须快速参与、传递信息、做出决策、协调和协作,以便在混乱的灾后环境中高效工作。对127名分层样本进行了结构化问卷调查,得出的定量数据表明,信息管理和协调、主动性和快速决策以及适应性和灵活性是有效应对灾害的关键因素。新兴的接受趋势也表明,扁平结构比分层结构更有益。虽然责任制、每个层次的增值和冲突解决被认为是分层结构的主要好处,但各阶层的响应者表示,这些因素在灾难响应场景中并不是优先考虑的因素。该研究的建议迎合了所有利益相关者阶层的不同愿望,并应有助于为孟加拉湾地区建立一个最佳的区域灾害响应结构。通过强调协调和多边方法的重要性,本研究强调了在灾害管理方面开展区域合作的迫切需要,以及扁平化结构在有效应对灾害方面的潜在好处。孟加拉湾地区正在进行结构性改革,以加强区域合作,并通过BIMSTEC实施协调的多边灾害应对框架。本定量研究旨在评估利益相关者对灾害响应管理中扁平组织结构优于分层结构的好处的看法。研究结果表明,信息管理、
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引用次数: 0
India in the Emerging World Order 新兴世界秩序中的印度
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2182041
P. Chari
T he fact that bipolarity is passing and a new multipolar world structure has emerged, merits a deeper examination. In the political sphere, the interests of the super powers, collaborative or competitive, do influence the existing international order. At the level of avoiding mutual conflict or ensuring peace in Europe, the super powers have taken many steps to reduce tension. But their competition for dominance of the Third World continues. Their influence is particularly evident in conflict situations obtaining, for instance, in Southern Africa and West Asia. At the strategic level, the super powers far outdistance other nuclear powers in numbers and sophistication of their weaponry—both nuclear and conventional. Not merely that. The obtaining level of their military research permits their retaining this lead, and increasing it in future. A caveat might be entered here. The development of entirely new types of weapons like cruise missiles or laser devices by other countries may alter defensive and offensive capabilities radically. Still, it is doubtful, whether, other nuclear weapons countries could successfully contend with the super powers at the military level. And yet, one might pause to reflect if military superiority is today of cardinal importance. It does not appear to be readily translatable into political power. Take the case of the super powers. The United States was singularly unsuccessful in its Vietnam intervention, although it utilized the most sophisticated conventional weaponry in the American arsenal over a prolonged period. Quite obviously, the forces of Vietnamese nationalism and political will succeeded when pitted against superior military technology. In West Asia, political influence has see-sawed between the super powers. The Arab-Israeli war of 1973 obtained for the Arabs a political, though not a military victory through their adroit use of the oil weapon. Soviet influence, used on the side of the Arabs, stood at its acme. But the Kissinger diplomacy successfully re-established American influence, thereby eroding the Soviet advantage. Again in Angola, the United States, paralysed by the Vietnam and Watergate disclosures, was unable to achieve its objectives. The Soviet Union appears poised to consolidate its political gains in Southern Africa
双极性正在过去,一个新的多极世界结构已经出现,这一事实值得深入研究。在政治领域,超级大国的利益,无论是合作还是竞争,都会影响现有的国际秩序。在避免相互冲突或确保欧洲和平的层面上,超级大国采取了许多措施来缓解紧张局势。但他们争夺第三世界主导地位的竞争仍在继续。它们的影响在冲突局势中尤其明显,例如在南部非洲和西亚。在战略层面,超级大国在核武器和常规武器的数量和先进程度上远远超过其他核大国。不仅如此。他们的军事研究水平使他们能够保持这种领先地位,并在未来不断提高。此处可能会输入警告。其他国家开发巡航导弹或激光装置等全新武器可能会从根本上改变防御和进攻能力。尽管如此,其他核武器国家能否在军事层面成功地与超级大国抗衡仍令人怀疑。然而,人们可能会停下来思考军事优势在今天是否至关重要。它似乎不容易转化为政治权力。以超级大国为例。美国对越南的干预非常失败,尽管它在很长一段时间内使用了美国武器库中最先进的常规武器。很明显,越南民族主义和政治意愿的力量在与优越的军事技术对抗时取得了成功。在西亚,政治影响力在超级大国之间摇摆不定。1973年的阿以战争为阿拉伯人赢得了一场政治胜利,尽管不是通过他们熟练使用石油武器取得的军事胜利。苏联对阿拉伯人的影响达到了极致。但基辛格外交成功地重新确立了美国的影响力,从而削弱了苏联的优势。在安哥拉,由于越南事件和水门事件的曝光,美国陷入瘫痪,无法实现其目标。苏联似乎准备巩固其在南部非洲的政治成果
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引用次数: 0
Economic Rationale for the Proposed Bridge Between India and Sri Lanka: An Analytical Perspective 印度和斯里兰卡之间拟议桥梁的经济原理:分析视角
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2180703
Gayasha Sathsarani Samarakoon, M. Sarvananthan
Abstract The Governments of India and Sri Lanka signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to build a bridge across the Palk Strait in July 2002 to join the island nation with the mainland of South Asia by road and rail. The objective of this article is to highlight the likely impact the proposed bridge would have on trade in goods and services and travel between the two countries and beyond. The overall argument herein is that any development activity would have positive and negative outcomes and that on a balance of probability, the positive outcomes of the proposed bridge could outweigh the negative outcomes. The proposed bridge across the Palk Strait could be an alternative to the proposed Sethusamudram project (that could potentially cause environmental damage) rekindled by the Tamil Nadu state assembly in January 2023 in order to stimulate economic growth in the lagging southern parts of Tamil Nadu.
2002年7月,印度和斯里兰卡政府签署了一份谅解备忘录(MoU),将修建一座跨越保禄海峡的桥梁,通过公路和铁路将这个岛国与南亚大陆连接起来。本文的目的是强调拟议中的桥梁可能对两国及其他国家之间的商品和服务贸易以及旅行产生的影响。这里的总体论点是,任何开发活动都会有积极和消极的结果,并且在概率的平衡上,拟议的桥梁的积极结果可能超过消极结果。2023年1月,泰米尔纳德邦议会为了刺激泰米尔纳德邦南部落后地区的经济增长,重新启动了拟议中的Sethusamudram项目(可能会造成环境破坏),而拟议中的跨越保克海峡的桥梁可能是拟议中的Sethusamudram项目的替代方案。
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引用次数: 0
The Braided River: A Journey along the Brahmaputra 辫状河:雅鲁藏布江之旅
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2176059
Hassan Momin
T he Brahmaputra is the oldest antecedent and the widest braided river flowing through China, India, and Bangladesh. It is known as Tsangpo in Tibet, Siang in the hills of Arunachal Pradesh, Dihang in the plains, Brahmaputra in Assam, and the Jamuna in Bangladesh. In The Braided River: A Journey along the Brahmaputra, Samrat Choudhury, a journalist and author, elucidates on the life around Brahmaputra in Assam and Bangladesh. The book is a travelogue wherein Choudhury describes his personal experiences juxtaposed with the broader environmental, socio-cultural, political, and strategic issues. The author begins his journey from Dibru Saikhowa to the three formative tributaries of Brahmaputra—Lohit, Dibang, and Siang—through Upper and Lower Assam, and finally to Bangladesh. In the first section, the author discusses the three Brahmaputra tributaries, illustrating their socio-political and cultural ethos. Choudhury notes the difficulties in obtaining the Inner Line Permit (ILP) due to the pervasive problem of illegal migrants attempting to enter Arunachal Pradesh. He notes how Lohit is considered sacred by the local communities as per Parshuram Kund tales. Choudhury mentions British explorers Captain F.M. Bailey and Captain Henry Morshead’s adventurous trip to the Dibang Valley, where they discovered a village called Mipi, which is still a small village on the Indian side of the McMahon Line (p. 66). The author expresses concern about a multipurpose dam being built in a high-risk zone along Dibang, opposed by the local Idu Mishmi tribe. After a long journey, the author and his photographer friend Akshay Mahajan, who accompanied him on some part of the journey, arrive at Pasighat, the oldest town in Arunachal Pradesh, which was founded by the British in order to establish authority over the Adi tribe, who were then known as Abor (p. 88). They also travelled to the small town of Tuting, located on the bank of the Siang River (the Indian avatar of the Tsangpo), and met a truck driver L.V. Sobro, who narrated to them the folktale about the town’s transformation. Choudhury observes how the mighty Brahmaputra changed course following the Great Earthquake of 1950, wearing out old Dibrugarh and making Tinsukia the hub of Upper Assam’s tea and oil industries. While visiting the chars (river islands) and the chaporis (sandbanks) on the Akha (a mobile boat clinic), he met Dr. Bhaben Bora and Dr. Juganta Deori who run local medical facilities and apprised him of the struggles of people living on the chars where government services reached only in 2008. Choudhury also tells the tale of his encounter with Atul Buragohain, an 86Strategic Analysis, 2023 Vol. 47, No. 1, 92–94, https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2023.2176059
布拉马普特拉河是流经中国、印度和孟加拉国的最古老的河流,也是最宽的辫状河。它在西藏被称为Tsangpo,在印控"阿鲁纳恰尔邦"的山区被称为Siang,在平原被称为Dihang,在阿萨姆邦被称为Brahmaputra,在孟加拉国被称为Jamuna。记者兼作家Samrat Choudhury在《辫状河:布拉马普特拉之旅》一书中阐述了阿萨姆邦和孟加拉国布拉马普特拉周围的生活。这本书是一本游记,乔杜里描述了他与更广泛的环境、社会文化、政治和战略问题并置的个人经历。作者开始了他的旅程,从迪布鲁·赛霍瓦(Dibru Saikhowa)到布拉马普特拉(Brahmaputra)的三条形成支流——洛希特(Lohit)、迪邦(Dibang)和暹罗(Siang)——穿过上阿萨姆邦和下阿萨姆邦,最后到达孟加拉国。在第一节中,作者讨论了布拉马普特拉河的三条支流,阐述了它们的社会政治和文化精神。Choudhury指出,由于非法移民试图进入印控"阿鲁纳恰尔邦"的普遍问题,在获得内部线路许可证(ILP)方面存在困难。他指出,根据Parshuram Kund的故事,当地社区是如何将Lohit视为神圣的。Choudhury提到英国探险家F.M.Bailey上尉和Henry Morshead上尉的迪邦山谷冒险之旅,在那里他们发现了一个名为Mipi的村庄,这个村庄仍然是麦克马洪线印度一侧的一个小村庄(第66页)。提交人对迪邦沿岸高风险地区正在修建的一座多用途大坝表示担忧,该大坝遭到当地Idu Mishmi部落的反对。经过一段漫长的旅程,作者和他的摄影师朋友Akshay Mahajan(陪同他完成了旅程的一部分)抵达了印控"阿鲁纳恰尔邦"最古老的城镇Pasighat,该镇是由英国人建立的,目的是对当时被称为Abor的阿迪部落建立权威(第88页)。他们还前往位于暹罗河畔的小镇图亭(Tsangpo的印度人化身),遇到了一位卡车司机L.V.Sobro,他向他们讲述了小镇转型的民间故事。Choudhury观察到强大的布拉马普特拉在1950年大地震后如何改变了路线,磨损了旧的迪布鲁加,使廷苏基亚成为上阿萨姆邦茶叶和石油工业的中心。在参观Akha(一家流动船诊所)上的chars(河岛)和chaporis(沙洲)时,他遇到了经营当地医疗设施的Bhaben Bora医生和Juganta Deori医生,并向他讲述了生活在chars上的人们的挣扎,直到2008年政府才提供服务。Choudhury还告诉了他与Atul Buragohain相遇的故事,《86战略分析》,2023年第47卷,第1期,92–94,https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2023.2176059
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引用次数: 0
Blame Game on Article 370: Patel, Nehru, and Ayyangar 关于第370条的指责游戏:帕特尔、尼赫鲁和艾扬加
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2023.2183589
Pavan Kumar
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引用次数: 0
Independent Kashmir: An Incomplete Aspiration 独立的克什米尔:一个不完整的愿望
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2022.2149983
Priyanka Singh
I ndependent Kashmir: An Incomplete Aspiration by noted author and expert Christopher Snedden touches upon a raw nerve in the discourse on Kashmir— the aspiration for independence. Snedden describes how and where exactly the idea germinated, sequentially tracing its evolution. This is Snedden’s third book on Kashmir; the first focussed on the so-called ‘Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK)’ that together with Gilgit-Baltistan forms Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK). The second book focused primarily on Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) in India. The latest volume deliberating the question of Azadi (independence) forms Snedden’s trilogy on Kashmir. The book examines aspirations pertaining to an ‘independent Kashmir’, actual or envisaged, and why it failed to fructify. Tracing the origin of Kashmiri nationalism since 1925, the book tracks sentiments around Azadi in various phases, especially since 1947. It dwells upon a potential independent path the ruler of Jammu & Kashmir (J&K) wished to chart, despite his latent ‘inertia and inabilities’ (p. 91). Snedden contends that the idea of Azadi is not new but a ‘lapsed or superseded one’ (p. 3). In this context, the book examines the paradigms of independence or Azadi from Maharaja Hari Singh’s reign to the Sheikh Abdullah era and finally in the aftermath of the onset of militancy that plagued the state. The onset of militancy is explained on a wide canvas of geopolitical developments as a chain of events that, among other things, may have propelled the violence in the Valley around 1989–90. Broadly, the book captures the contours of India’s approach towards J&K post the 1950s, a period that coincided with Sheikh Abdullah’s diminishing influence in the state’s politics. Independent Kashmir focuses on three longstanding issues that are central to Kashmir and consequently to the book’s narrative. First, Snedden refers to the Kashmir issue as the by-product of the ‘permanent India-Pakistan shibboleth’ one that concerns perpetuity of disputes, bilateral contestations and no meaningful engagement (p. 2). Second, the issue of integration which in the Indian case has been eventually completed by revocation of Article 370 in August 2019. Third, the question of disenchantment among the populace of Kashmir Valley. All the three add up to a ‘vicious cycle’, affecting the Kashmiri people at large. The author asserts, albeit as a bracketed caveat, that post-Partition, there were expectations in the Strategic Analysis, 2022 Vol. 46, No. 6, 644–646, https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2022.2149983
著名作家兼专家Christopher Snedden的《独立的克什米尔:一个不完整的愿望》触及了克什米尔问题讨论中的一根神经——独立的愿望。Snedden描述了这个想法是如何以及在哪里产生的,并依次追溯了它的演变过程。这是Snedden关于克什米尔的第三本书;第一个集中在所谓的“阿扎德·查谟和克什米尔(AJK)”,该地区与吉尔吉特·巴尔蒂斯坦一起形成了巴基斯坦占领的克什米尔(PoK)。第二本书主要关注印度的查谟和克什米尔(J&K)。Snedden关于克什米尔问题的三部曲是关于阿扎迪(独立)问题的最新一卷。这本书探讨了与“独立克什米尔”有关的愿望,无论是实际的还是设想的,以及为什么它未能实现。该书追溯了1925年以来克什米尔民族主义的起源,追踪了各个阶段,特别是1947年以来围绕阿扎迪的情绪。它详细阐述了查谟和克什米尔统治者(J&K)希望绘制的一条潜在的独立道路,尽管他潜在的“惰性和无能”(第91页)。Snedden认为阿扎迪的想法并不新鲜,而是一个“过时或被取代的想法”(第3页)。在这种背景下,本书考察了从马哈拉贾·哈里·辛格统治到谢赫·阿卜杜拉时代,以及最终在困扰国家的战斗爆发之后,独立或阿扎迪的范式。在广泛的地缘政治发展中,战斗的开始被解释为一系列事件,除其他外,这些事件可能推动了1989年至90年左右山谷的暴力事件。总的来说,这本书捕捉到了20世纪50年代后印度对J&K的态度,这一时期恰逢谢赫·阿卜杜拉在该国政治中的影响力减弱。《独立克什米尔》聚焦于三个长期存在的问题,这三个问题是克什米尔的核心,也是本书叙事的核心。首先,Snedden将克什米尔问题称为“永久印巴陈词滥调”的副产品,该陈词滥调涉及永久争端、双边争端和没有意义的接触(第2页)。第二,一体化问题,在印度的案件中,通过2019年8月撤销第370条,最终完成了这一问题。第三,克什米尔山谷民众的觉醒问题。这三者加起来就是一个“恶性循环”,影响着整个克什米尔人民。作者断言,尽管这是一个括号内的警告,但在分治后,《战略分析》2022年第46卷第644-646号中有预期,https://doi.org/10.1080/09700161.2022.2149983
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引用次数: 0
New Russia-West Confrontation: War of Attrition or Escalation? 新俄西对峙:消耗战争还是升级战争?
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2022.2149980
K. Khudoley
Abstract The article analyses the ongoing Russia-West confrontation manifested mainly in the armed conflict in Ukraine, the world’s largest war of sanctions, a growing confrontation in cyberspace and politics, the erosion of the system of arms control treaties and a sharp reduction of cooperation in the humanitarian sphere. Russia and the West are fighting not only for influence in Ukraine but also over the future of international relations on a global scale in the coming decades. The most plausible development seems to be a war of attrition, which, however, does not rule out the risk of escalation.
摘要本文分析了俄罗斯与西方正在进行的对抗,主要表现为乌克兰的武装冲突、世界上最大的制裁战争、网络空间和政治领域日益激烈的对抗、军控条约体系的侵蚀以及人道主义领域合作的急剧减少。俄罗斯和西方不仅在为在乌克兰的影响力而战,而且还在为未来几十年全球国际关系的未来而战。最合理的发展似乎是消耗战,然而,这并不排除升级的风险。
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引用次数: 0
The False Promise of Liberal Order: Nostalgia, Delusion and the Rise of Trump 自由秩序的虚假承诺:怀旧、妄想与特朗普的崛起
IF 0.9 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/09700161.2022.2149982
Sanjeeta Kashyap
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引用次数: 1
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