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Are Doctors Better Health Ministers? 医生是更好的卫生部长吗?
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1086/710331
Adam Pilny, Felix Roesel
Appointing or electing professionals to be public officials is a double-edged sword. Experts can use their rich knowledge to implement reforms, but they can also favor their own profession. In this study, we compare physician-trained state health ministers to ministers of other professions in Germany during 1955–2017. German state health ministers have great power to determine hospital capacities and infrastructure. Our results show that physician-trained health ministers increase hospital capacities, capital, and funding by the statutory health insurance (SHI). This prompts hospitals to hire more physicians, but with little impact on hospital outputs. As a result, total factor productivity (TFP) growth in hospital care slows down substantially under physician-ministers. At the same time, job satisfaction of hospital doctors tends to increase. We conclude that, in particular, the medical profession benefits from medical doctors in office.
任命或选举专业人士担任公职人员是一把双刃剑。专家可以利用他们丰富的知识来实施改革,但他们也可以支持自己的职业。在这项研究中,我们比较了1955年至2017年间德国受过医生培训的州卫生部长与其他职业的部长。德国国家卫生部长拥有决定医院容量和基础设施的巨大权力。我们的研究结果表明,经过医生培训的卫生部长通过法定健康保险(SHI)增加了医院的容量、资本和资金。这促使医院雇佣更多的医生,但对医院产出的影响很小。因此,在医生部长的领导下,医院护理的全要素生产率(TFP)增长大幅放缓。同时,医院医生的工作满意度也呈上升趋势。我们得出的结论是,医学界尤其受益于在职医生。
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引用次数: 6
The Effects of Medicare Payment Changes on Nursing Home Staffing 医疗保险支付变化对养老院人员配置的影响
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1086/710563
Daifeng He, Peter McHenry, J. Mellor
In light of persistent shortcomings in nursing home care quality and evidence that lower nurse staffing levels could be harmful to residents, we examine whether staffing levels are affected by changes in Medicare reimbursement rates. We exploit a 2006 change in Medicare’s methodology for adjusting provider payments for geographic differences in costs, a change that generated plausibly exogenous variation in nursing facility reimbursement rates. Our method compares facilities with higher and lower shares of Medicare resident days, which were differentially exposed to the payment changes we examine. Using panel data on US nursing homes from 2003 through 2009, we find that higher Medicare payments increased nurse staffing hours per resident day. Additional results suggest that changes in Medicare payments did not affect other measures of quality.
鉴于养老院护理质量的持续缺陷,以及有证据表明护士人员配备水平的降低可能对居民有害,我们研究了人员配备水平是否受到医疗保险报销率变化的影响。我们利用2006年医疗保险方法的变化,根据成本的地理差异调整提供者的支付,这一变化在护理机构报销率上产生了看似外生的变化。我们的方法比较了医疗保险住院天数比例较高和较低的设施,这些设施在我们检查的支付变化中受到的影响不同。使用2003年至2009年美国养老院的面板数据,我们发现,更高的医疗保险支付增加了每位住院护士的工作时间。其他结果表明,医疗保险支付的变化并没有影响其他质量指标。
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引用次数: 3
Exploiting Incomplete Information in Risk Adjustment Using Constrained Regression 利用约束回归挖掘风险调整中的不完全信息
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1086/710526
R. V. van Kleef, F. Eijkenaar, R. van Vliet, M. Nielen
Health insurance markets with regulated premiums typically include risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate selection incentives. Even the most sophisticated RA models, however, tend to undercompensate (overcompensate) insurers for people in poor (good) health. One reason RA models are imperfect is that some predictors cannot serve as risk adjustor because they are not available for the entire population. This paper applies an indirect method to exploit such predictive information: constrained regression. Our focus is on the Netherlands where morbidity data from general practitioners (GPs) are available for only around 10 percent of the population. We combine this incomplete sample with complete data (N=16.7 million) on spending and risk adjustors. In a first step, we find that GP morbidity data are predictive net of the Dutch RA model. In a second step, we use the GP morbidity data to impose constraints on the coefficients of the RA model. This results in more RA funds being sent to undercompensated groups. Using a split-sample approach, we simulate two constrained regression models and compare the outcomes to those of an unconstrained model. Our findings indicate that constrained regression can be a useful tool to exploit predictive information that is available for only a sample of the population.
保费受监管的健康保险市场通常包括风险调整(RA),以减轻选择激励。然而,即使是最复杂的RA模型,也往往会对健康状况不佳(良好)的人的保险公司进行过度补偿。RA模型不完善的一个原因是,一些预测因子不能作为风险调节器,因为它们不适用于整个人群。本文应用了一种间接方法来利用这种预测信息:约束回归。我们的重点是荷兰,那里只有大约10%的人口可以获得全科医生的发病率数据。我们将这个不完整的样本与支出和风险调整者的完整数据(N=1670万)相结合。首先,我们发现全科医生的发病率数据是荷兰RA模型的预测网络。在第二步中,我们使用GP发病率数据对RA模型的系数施加约束。这导致更多的RA资金被送往补偿不足的群体。使用分裂样本方法,我们模拟了两个约束回归模型,并将结果与无约束模型的结果进行了比较。我们的研究结果表明,约束回归可以成为一种有用的工具,可以利用仅适用于人群样本的预测信息。
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引用次数: 4
The Extent of Externalities from Medicare Payment Policy 医疗保险支付政策的外部性程度
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.1086/718769
Alice Chen, Michael R Richards, C. Whaley, Xiaoxi Zhao
Medicare accounts for roughly 20 percent of medical expenditures in the United States and is the dominant payer for many treatments. Consequently, Medicare payment policy may have diffuse consequences. Using a contemporary bundled payment reform (the “CJR” program) and a difference-in-differences research design, we estimate Medicare’s spillover reach. We find that altered treatment decisions for targeted joint replacement procedures are closely, though not perfectly, mirrored between traditional Medicare, Medicare Advantage, and the nonelderly commercially insured populations. Results for untargeted procedures performed by CJR-affected physicians also show suggestive evidence consistent with a secondary spillover effect; however, this behavior change does not extend to less related procedures. Our findings align with the “norms hypothesis” for physician decision making but do not imply rigid and uniform treatment choices. Instead, key decision nodes appear to gain greater salience under Medicare’s new incentive structure, which leads to revised treatment choices for different payer-procedure combinations. Ignoring the breadth of externalities from Medicare policies risks understating their social welfare impact.
医疗保险约占美国医疗支出的20%,是许多治疗的主要支付方。因此,医疗保险支付政策可能会产生分散的后果。使用当代捆绑支付改革(“CJR”计划)和差异研究设计,我们估计了医疗保险的溢出范围。我们发现,有针对性的关节置换手术的治疗决策发生了变化,这在传统的医疗保险、医疗保险优势和非老年商业保险人群之间有着密切的反映,尽管并不完美。受CJR影响的医生进行的非靶向手术的结果也显示了与二次溢出效应一致的提示性证据;然而,这种行为变化并没有扩展到不太相关的过程。我们的研究结果与医生决策的“规范假说”一致,但并不意味着严格和统一的治疗选择。相反,在联邦医疗保险的新激励结构下,关键决策节点似乎变得更加突出,这导致了不同付款人程序组合的治疗选择的修订。忽视医疗保险政策的外部性的广度有可能低估其对社会福利的影响。
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引用次数: 3
An Apple a Day? Adult Food Stamp Eligibility and Health Care Utilization Among Immigrants 一天一个苹果?移民的成人食品券资格和医疗保健利用
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/709368
Chloe N. East, Andrew I. Friedson
In this study, we document the effect of food stamp access on adult health-care utilization. While the Food Stamp Program is one of the largest safety net programs in the United States today, the universal nature of the program across geographic areas and over time limits the potential for quasi-experimental analysis. To circumvent this issue, we use variation in documented immigrants’ eligibility for food stamps across states and over time due to welfare reform in 1996. Our estimates indicate that access to food stamps reduced physician visits. These findings have important implications for cost-benefit analyses of the Food Stamp Program, as reductions in physician visits due to food stamps may offset some of the program’s impact on the overall government budget because of the existence of government-provided health insurance programs such as Medicaid.
在本研究中,我们记录了食品券获取对成人医疗保健利用的影响。虽然食品券计划是当今美国最大的安全网计划之一,但该计划跨越地理区域和时间的普遍性限制了准实验性分析的潜力。为了规避这个问题,我们使用了1996年福利改革导致的各州和不同时期有证移民获得食品券资格的变化。我们的估计表明,获得食品券减少了看医生的次数。这些发现对食品券计划的成本效益分析具有重要意义,因为由于食品券而减少的医生就诊可能会抵消该计划对政府整体预算的影响,因为存在政府提供的医疗保险计划,如医疗补助计划。
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引用次数: 0
The Good Outcome of Bad News 坏消息带来的好结果
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/708930
Marco Bertoni, L. Corazzini, S. Robone
By favoring early diagnosis, mammography screening decreases breast cancer mortality and treatment costs. However, participation in public screening programs is low in many countries. We ran a randomized field experiment to assess whether costless manipulations of the informational content (restricted or enhanced information) and the framing (gain or loss framing) of the invitation letter to the breast cancer screening program in Messina (Italy) affects participation. We show that giving enhanced loss-framed information about the risks of not having a mammography increases the take-up. This manipulation is most effective among subgroups with lower baseline take-ups, thereby reducing inequalities in screening. Finally, subjects exposed to this manipulation are much less likely to postpone the screening conditional on participation, revealing enhanced awareness about the risks related with delayed participation.
通过有利于早期诊断,乳房x光检查降低了乳腺癌死亡率和治疗费用。然而,在许多国家,公众筛查项目的参与率很低。我们进行了一项随机现场实验,以评估意大利墨西拿乳腺癌筛查项目邀请函的信息内容(限制或增强信息)和框架(获得或失去框架)的无成本操作是否会影响参与。我们表明,提供关于不做乳房x光检查的风险的增强的丢失框架信息会增加接受率。这种操作在基线使用率较低的亚组中最有效,从而减少了筛查中的不平等。最后,暴露于这种操纵的受试者不太可能以参与为条件推迟筛查,这表明对延迟参与相关风险的认识增强了。
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引用次数: 7
Macroeconomic Shocks, Job Security, and Health 宏观经济冲击、就业保障和健康
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1086/708929
D. Johnston, M. Shields, Agne Suziedelyte
How do exogenous changes in the macroeconomic environment affect workers’ perceived job security, and consequently, their mental and physical health? To answer this question, we exploit variation in world commodity prices over the period 2001–17 and analyze panel data that include detailed classifications of mining workers. We find that commodity price increases cause increases in perceived job security, which in turn, significantly and substantively improves the mental health of workers. In contrast, we find no effects on physical health. Our results imply that the estimated welfare costs of recessions are much larger when the effects of job insecurity, and not only unemployment, are considered.
宏观经济环境的外生变化如何影响工人的工作安全感,从而影响他们的身心健康?为了回答这个问题,我们利用了2001-2007年期间世界商品价格的变化,并分析了包括采矿工人详细分类在内的面板数据。我们发现,商品价格上涨会导致人们对工作安全感的提高,这反过来又会显著和实质性地改善工人的心理健康。相比之下,我们没有发现对身体健康的影响。我们的研究结果表明,当考虑到工作不安全的影响,而不仅仅是失业的影响时,衰退的估计福利成本要大得多。
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引用次数: 7
Are We #Stayinghome to Flatten the Curve? 我们呆在家里是为了让曲线变平吗?
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-05-25 DOI: 10.1086/721705
James Sears, J. M. Villas-Boas, Vasco Villas-Boas, S. Villas-Boas
The recent spread of COVID-19 across the United States led to concerted efforts by states to “flatten the curve” through the adoption of stay-at-home mandates that encouraged individuals to reduce travel and maintain social distance. Combining data on changes in travel activity and human encounter rates with state policy adoption timing, we first characterize the overall changes in mobility patterns that accompanied the spread of COVID-19. We find evidence of dramatic nationwide declines in mobility and human encounters prior to adoption of any statewide mandates. Then, using difference-in-differences along with weighted and unweighted event study methods, we isolate the portion of those reductions directly attributable to statewide mandates. Once states adopt a mandate, we estimate further mandate-induced declines of between 2.1 and 7.0 percentage points relative to pre-COVID-19 baseline levels. While residents of mandate states soon returned to prior business visitation patterns, the impacts on distances traveled and human encounter rates persisted throughout the observed mandate periods. Our estimates of early mobility reductions and the responses to statewide stay-at-home policies convey important policy implications for the persistence of mobility behavior changes and states’ future reopenings.
最近新冠肺炎在美国的传播促使各州共同努力,通过采取居家令来“拉平曲线”,鼓励个人减少旅行并保持社交距离。将旅行活动和人类接触率变化的数据与国家政策制定时间相结合,我们首先描述了伴随新冠肺炎传播的流动模式的总体变化。我们发现,有证据表明,在通过任何全州范围的授权之前,全国范围内的流动性和人际交往急剧下降。然后,使用差异以及加权和未加权事件研究方法,我们分离出直接归因于全州授权的减少部分。一旦各州通过授权,我们估计与新冠肺炎疫情前的基线水平相比,授权导致的进一步下降将在2.1至7.0个百分点之间。虽然强制令州的居民很快就恢复了以前的商业访问模式,但在观察到的强制令期间,对旅行距离和人员接触率的影响一直存在。我们对早期流动性减少的估计以及对全州居家政策的回应,为流动行为的持续变化和各州未来的重新开放传达了重要的政策含义。
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引用次数: 41
Healthy Babies 健康的婴儿
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1086/707831
Ji Yan
The recent economic literature on child development has underscored the importance of giving babies a healthy start. Despite the widespread use of prenatal care, whether this early investment improves infant health is not well understood. This study provides new causal evidence on this crucial issue using 1.4 million sibling births. The baseline within-family analysis shows a modest effect of prenatal care on the mean birth weight but large effects on adverse outcomes at the lower end of the birth weight distribution, where two channels are preventing low maternal weight gain and promoting prenatal smoking cessation. Similar results hold when we examine different subperiods or subgroups, consider multiple dimensions of care utilization, or use additional birth-varying controls. Overall, this study shows that adequate prenatal care has a significant payoff in terms of newborn health stock. From a policy perspective, it is important to improve prenatal care access for childbearing women.
最近关于儿童发展的经济学文献强调了给婴儿一个健康开端的重要性。尽管广泛使用产前护理,但这种早期投资是否能改善婴儿健康尚不清楚。这项研究使用了140万个兄弟姐妹的新生儿,为这一关键问题提供了新的因果证据。家庭内部基线分析显示,产前护理对平均出生体重的影响不大,但对出生体重分布低端的不良后果有很大影响,其中两个渠道是防止产妇体重增加低和促进产前戒烟。当我们检查不同的亚期或亚组,考虑护理利用的多个维度,或使用额外的出生变化控制时,类似的结果也成立。总的来说,这项研究表明,充分的产前护理在新生儿健康方面有显著的回报。从政策角度看,改善育龄妇女获得产前护理的机会十分重要。
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引用次数: 5
The Effects of State Scope of Practice Laws on the Labor Supply of Advanced Practice Registered Nurses 国家执业范围法对高级执业注册护士劳动力供给的影响
IF 3.7 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1086/716545
Sara Markowitz, Kathleen Adams
This paper studies the effects of changes in states’ scope of practice (SOP) laws for advanced practice registered nurses (APRNs) on individual labor supply decisions. Restrictive SOP impose costs and other barriers to practice that may affect these decisions. Using survey data on APRNs, we analyze employment in nursing, work hours, part-time work status, multiple job holding, self-employment, wages, and migration. Results show that the level of SOP restrictions are not strong determinants of many labor market decisions but APRNs working in states without oversight requirements are much more likely to be self-employed and to work more hours. APRNs are also found to commute to less restrictive SOP environments when geographically feasible. Increases in the labor supply of nurses when regulatory environments are relatively free from physician oversight requirements can bring an important change to the delivery of health care in the United States.
本文研究了各州高级执业注册护士执业范围(SOP)法律的变化对个人劳动力供应决策的影响。限制性SOP会增加成本和其他可能影响这些决策的实践障碍。利用APRN的调查数据,我们分析了护理就业、工作时间、兼职状态、多份工作、自营职业、工资和移民。结果表明,SOP限制水平并不是许多劳动力市场决策的有力决定因素,但在没有监督要求的州工作的APRN更有可能是自营职业者,工作时间更长。APRN也被发现在地理上可行的情况下可以通勤到限制较少的SOP环境。在监管环境相对不受医生监督要求的情况下,护士劳动力供应的增加可能会给美国的医疗服务带来重要变化。
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引用次数: 13
期刊
American Journal of Health Economics
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