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Comment on “Developments and Implications of Central Bank Digital Currency: The Case of China e-CNY” 《央行数字货币的发展与启示:以中国e-CNY为例》评论
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12381
Shinichi Uchida
<p>Xu (<span>2022</span>) contains a wide range of information regarding e-CNY, which facilitates our understanding of the project with concise explanation. It also covers most of the important issues on a central bank digital currency (CBDC) including the relationship between the public and private sectors, the roles of banks and nonbanks, the impacts of CBDC on the domestic and international financial systems, and anonymity and privacy issues.</p><p>Appreciating the overall structure of the paper, I have a few comments. First, one feature of e-CNY, which has implications for the financial and monetary system, is the limits on the amount of holdings and the value per transaction. These limits are designed to avoid an abrupt shift from commercial bank deposits to the CBDC. Xu's section 2 discusses the possibility of the unbundling of banking businesses into deposits, payments, and loans. In this context, the impacts of a CBDC could be different depending on its design choices, most importantly the holding/transaction limits, and the degree of public acceptance that result. Xu also discusses the impacts of e-CNY on money. As discussed rightly, a CBDC will affect M0, M1, and M2, and again, the impacts will depend on the design choices. Therefore, this point might be worth mentioning in Xu's paper.</p><p>Secondly and related to the first point, Xu speculates that the future banking business may be quite different from that in the past. This may be the case, but the issue is what will cause such changes. Xu points out various factors including the easier access to mutual funds by consumers, the greater use of nonbank payment services, and the wider use of data of fund-flows. These factors are, and will be, caused by digitalization itself, rather than by the introduction of a CBDC. It might be useful to elaborate the explanation in section 2 by distinguishing the impact of the general trend of digitalization in finance and that of the introduction of a CBDC.</p><p>Thirdly in relation to the legal tender status of e-CNY, Xu writes that “people cannot refuse to accept e-CNY as long as they have the facilities.” If merchants have the facilities, they will not refuse it. However, in many jurisdictions, the legal tender status is not enough to enforce them to use such form of a currency in a particular transaction. Merchants can always say they do not want to sell their goods to a customer with e-CNY or any payment instruments, based on the principle of freedom of contract. While I am a stranger to Chinese laws, I have heard that some merchants do refuse to sell their goods for paper CNY which has the status of being legal tender. While legal tender status will be an important advantage to private digital money, it is not perfect. In order to be accepted widely, a CBDC would need to have features that make people feel willing to use it, including being user-friendly.</p><p>In the current version of his paper, Xu explains the proposed design of the e-CNY mo
Xu(2022)包含了关于e-CNY的广泛信息,通过简明的解释有助于我们对项目的理解。它还涵盖了中央银行数字货币(CBDC)的大多数重要问题,包括公共和私营部门之间的关系,银行和非银行机构的作用,CBDC对国内和国际金融体系的影响,以及匿名和隐私问题。欣赏论文的整体结构,我有一些意见。首先,对金融和货币体系有影响的e-CNY的一个特征是对持有量和每笔交易价值的限制。这些限制旨在避免从商业银行存款突然转向央行数字货币。Xu的第2节讨论了将银行业务拆分为存款、支付和贷款的可能性。在这种情况下,CBDC的影响可能会因其设计选择而有所不同,最重要的是持有/交易限制,以及由此产生的公众接受程度。徐还讨论了e-CNY对货币的影响。如前所述,CBDC将影响M0、M1和M2,而且影响将取决于设计选择。因此,这一点可能值得在徐的论文中提及。其次,与第一点相关,徐推测未来的银行业务可能与过去大不相同。这可能是事实,但问题是什么会导致这样的变化。徐指出了各种因素,包括消费者更容易获得共同基金,更多地使用非银行支付服务,以及更广泛地使用资金流动数据。这些因素是,也将是由数字化本身引起的,而不是由CBDC的引入引起的。通过区分金融数字化总体趋势的影响和引入CBDC的影响,阐述第2节中的解释可能是有用的。第三,关于e-CNY的法定货币地位,徐写道:“只要有条件,人们就不能拒绝接受e-CNY。”如果商家有条件,他们不会拒绝。然而,在许多司法管辖区,法定货币的地位不足以强制它们在特定交易中使用这种形式的货币。基于合同自由原则,商家总是可以说他们不希望通过e-CNY或任何支付工具向客户出售商品。虽然我对中国法律不熟悉,但我听说一些商家确实拒绝以具有法定货币地位的纸质人民币出售商品。虽然法定货币地位将是私人数字货币的一个重要优势,但它并不完美。为了被广泛接受,CBDC需要具有让人们愿意使用它的功能,包括用户友好。在他的论文的当前版本中,Xu更详细地解释了e-CNY的拟议设计,包括交易限制。他还讨论了引入CBDC对银行业务的影响,考虑到金融服务的数字化,并提到了CBDC的用户友好性对其普遍接受的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
Comment on “Developments and Implications of Central Bank Digital Currency: The Case of China e-CNY” 《央行数字货币的发展与启示:以中国e-CNY为例》评论
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12382
Eswar Prasad
<p>Xu (<span>2022</span>) provides an overview of the structure and purpose of China's e-CNY and also discusses its implications for the international monetary system. In this comment, I will expand on some of the points in Xu's paper, drawing on Prasad (<span>2021</span>) and a forthcoming Hoover Institution report (Duffie <i>et al</i>., <span>2022</span>) that examines the implications of the e-CNY for US policy and geopolitical influence (I am a member of the working group).</p><p>The renminbi has become the fifth most important currency in international payments (based on SWIFT data). In 2016, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) included the renminbi in an elite basket of currencies that comprise the Special Drawing Rights, making it an official reserve currency. Since then, the renminbi's progress has stalled. The renminbi's share of international payments has fallen to about 2% and the share of global foreign exchange reserves held in renminbi-denominated assets has plateaued at about 3%.</p><p>China's rollout of the e-CNY trials makes it one of the first major economies to do so. The second phase of e-CNY trials is already underway in a number of major metropolises and with a number of financial and nonfinancial institutions participating. Will the e-CNY be a game changer that elevates the renminbi's role in international finance?</p><p>The e-CNY will initially only be usable for payments within China, although this could change over time. In my assessment, China's Cross-border Interbank Payments System (CIPS) is a more important innovation that makes it easier to use the currency for international transactions. CIPS also has messaging capabilities, which makes it possible to bypass SWIFT and could help evade US direct as well as indirect financial sanctions, a tempting prospect for many governments around the world. As the renminbi becomes more widely used, countries that have strong trade and financial links with China might start to invoice and settle their trade transactions directly in that currency. The e-CNY could eventually be linked up to the cross-border payments system, further digitizing international payments.</p><p>However, the e-CNY by itself will make little difference to the renminbi as a reserve currency. One reason is that cross-border capital flows into and out of China are subject to restrictions. Another is that the renminbi's exchange rate is still managed by China's central bank. The Chinese government has certainly reduced restrictions on capital flows and signaled its plans to eventually have an open capital account. Moreover, the central bank has committed to reducing its intervention in foreign exchange markets and letting market forces have their say.</p><p>Still, in reality, China's government has shown that, when pressures build up for significant currency moves as capital flows shift, it will revert to its command and control mentality by tightening capital controls and exchange rate management. Foreign in
Xu(2022)概述了中国e-CNY的结构和目的,并讨论了其对国际货币体系的影响。在这篇评论中,我将扩展徐论文中的一些观点,借鉴普拉萨德(2021年)和即将发布的胡佛研究所报告(Duffie等人,2022年),该报告研究了e-CNY对美国政策和地缘政治影响的影响(我是工作组成员)。人民币已成为国际支付中第五大最重要的货币(基于SWIFT数据)。2016年,国际货币基金组织(IMF)将人民币纳入特别提款权(sdr)组成的精英货币篮子,使其成为官方储备货币。自那以来,人民币的升值停滞不前。人民币在国际支付中的份额已降至2%左右,以人民币计价的资产占全球外汇储备的份额已稳定在3%左右。中国推出电子人民币试点,使其成为首批这样做的主要经济体之一。第二阶段的电子人民币试点已经在一些主要城市展开,一些金融和非金融机构参与其中。电子人民币会改变游戏规则,提升人民币在国际金融中的地位吗?电子人民币最初将只用于中国境内的支付,不过这可能会随着时间的推移而改变。在我看来,中国的跨境银行间支付系统(CIPS)是一项更重要的创新,它使人民币更容易用于国际交易。CIPS还具有信息传递功能,这使得它有可能绕过SWIFT,并有助于逃避美国的直接和间接金融制裁,这对全球许多政府来说都是一个诱人的前景。随着人民币得到更广泛的使用,与中国有密切贸易和金融联系的国家可能会开始直接用人民币开具发票和结算贸易交易。e-CNY最终可能与跨境支付系统相连,进一步实现国际支付的数字化。然而,e-CNY本身对人民币作为储备货币的地位影响不大。原因之一是跨境资本流入和流出中国受到限制。另一个原因是人民币汇率仍由中国央行管理。中国政府当然已经减少了对资本流动的限制,并表示计划最终开放资本账户。此外,中国央行已承诺减少对外汇市场的干预,让市场力量发挥作用。然而,在现实中,中国政府已经表明,当资本流动转向、要求人民币大幅升值的压力加大时,中国政府将通过收紧资本管制和汇率管理,恢复命令和控制的心态。因此,包括各国央行在内的外国投资者,将对以市场驱动的汇率自由进出中国资本市场的前景保持警惕。无论如何,人民币不太可能被视为避险货币。外国投资者的信任建立在一个坚持法治的制度和一个内置制衡机制的政治制度之上,就连政府也要遵守法治。一些人认为,中国确实有法治,有足够的自我纠正机制,可以防止政府采取可能损害金融稳定和/或增长的政策行动。这并不是像美国那样的制度化的制衡体系的替代品,在美国,行政部门、立法部门和司法部门独立于其他部门,并对其他部门肆无忌惮地行使权力起到约束作用。美国金融机构在特朗普政府时期受到了严峻考验,但似乎幸免于难。鉴于美国经济的主导地位、金融市场的深度和流动性,以及仍然健全的制度框架,美元目前仍是主要储备货币。近年来,无论是作为支付货币还是作为储备货币,人民币取得的任何进步,大多是以牺牲欧元和英镑为代价的。甚至当国际货币基金组织将人民币纳入特别提款权货币篮子时,其10.9%的权重很大程度上是以篮子中的其他货币——欧元、英镑和日元——而不是美元为代价的。如果中国政府继续改革其金融市场并取消对资本流动的限制,e-CNY和中国的跨境支付系统将共同增强人民币作为国际支付货币的作用。但它们不会实质性改变人民币作为储备货币的角色,也不会削弱美元作为全球主要储备货币的地位。
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引用次数: 2
Comment on “Why Fintech Is Not Changing Japanese Banking” 评论“为什么金融科技没有改变日本银行业”
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12394
Yuko Kawai
<p>Iwashita (<span>2022</span>) argues that Japan's FinTech is underdeveloped as banks and their customers, especially the elderly and conservative corporate customers, cling to the traditional financial service formats. He further argues that the supremacy of banking services before the Internet era may have hindered changes on the supply side, that is, the service level was sufficiently convenient therefore the relevant parties did not want to expose themselves to the risks of cyberattacks and the costs of system renewals. Iwashita also mentions that the aging population may have worked against digitization due to the low digital literacy of the elderly.</p><p>Iwashita (<span>2022</span>) also touches on the possibility of near-future developments, to be prompted by the global advancements in digitalization, the supporting attitude of the Japanese government to promote technological progresses, and the changing attitudes of customers. The change of tax filing obligations expected in 2023 is also mentioned as a factor which may promote the electronification of receipts and invoices, leading to more digital payments.</p><p>I agree with most of the points presented in Iwashita (<span>2022</span>). While Japan's FinTech industry became active in around 2015,<sup>1</sup> which almost coincided with the timing of the start of FinTech activities in other parts of the world, the progress of less-cash and more-efficient financial services has been slower in Japan in comparison to her international peers since then. As Iwashita indicates, the Covid crisis has accelerated the change of attitudes of financial institutions, customers and the government in Japan.</p><p>To further deepen the analysis and enhance the value of the recommendations presented by Iwashita (<span>2022</span>), I would like to suggest following points.</p><p>First, to expand the list of possible actions by banks and the government to promote FinTech in Japan, it may be worthwhile to identify changes of the payment systems in some European countries achieving less-cash status while, like Japan, their societies are aging and their banking systems are well developed. Sweden, where cash usage has decreased in an extraordinary manner (Riksbank (Sweden), <span>2017</span>; Bach <i>et al</i>., <span>2018</span>), suggests that the central bank's actions to promote an effective cash handling system by imposing the costs on to the private sector, and technological developments to make digital methods cheaper and more convenient may have contributed to the extraordinary rapid decline of cash usage. Another analysis (Riksbank (Sweden), <span>2020</span>) offers the hypothesis that the combination of a couple of events, such as the introduction of mandatory receipt issuance for cash and the popularization of a bank-consortium-led digital payment application, made cash less attractive to digital methods. By learning from these examples, Japan may be able to build concrete action plans to promote
Iwashita(2022)认为,由于银行及其客户,特别是老年人和保守的企业客户,坚持传统的金融服务模式,日本的金融科技不发达。他进一步认为,在互联网时代之前,银行服务的霸权可能阻碍了供给侧的变化,即服务水平足够方便,因此相关方不愿意承担网络攻击的风险和系统更新的成本。Iwashita还提到,由于老年人的数字素养较低,人口老龄化可能会阻碍数字化。Iwashita(2022)还谈到了近期发展的可能性,这是由全球数字化的进步、日本政府对促进技术进步的支持态度以及客户态度的变化所推动的。预计2023年税务申报义务的变化也被认为是可能促进收据和发票电子化的一个因素,从而导致更多的数字支付。我同意岩田(2022)中提出的大部分观点。虽然日本的金融科技行业在2015年左右开始活跃,1几乎与世界其他地区的金融科技活动开始的时间一致,但自那时以来,与国际同行相比,日本的低现金和更高效的金融服务的进展一直较慢。正如Iwashita所说,新冠疫情加速了日本金融机构、客户和政府态度的转变。为了进一步深化分析,提升Iwashita(2022)提出的建议的价值,我想提出以下几点建议。首先,为了扩大银行和政府在日本推广金融科技的可能行动清单,可能值得确定一些欧洲国家实现较少现金状态的支付系统的变化,而像日本一样,他们的社会正在老龄化,他们的银行系统也很发达。瑞典,现金使用量以非同寻常的方式下降(瑞典央行,2017年);巴赫等人(Bach et al., 2018)的研究表明,央行通过将成本强加给私营部门来促进有效现金处理系统的行动,以及使数字方法更便宜、更方便的技术发展,可能导致了现金使用量的快速下降。另一项分析(Riksbank (Sweden), 2020)提出了这样一个假设,即一些事件的结合,例如引入强制性现金收据发行和银行-财团主导的数字支付应用的普及,使现金对数字方法的吸引力降低。通过从这些例子中学习,日本也许能够制定具体的行动计划来促进金融科技。其次,讨论数字化金融服务可能存在的风险,以及解决这些风险的方法,可能会受到赞赏,因为在推动金融科技的过程中需要考虑到负面后果。例如,日本银行提到了对私营部门驱动的无现金社会的一些担忧,例如根据安全水平或地理分布,法定货币现金支付的不完美替代,并得出结论,发行中央银行数字货币可能是解决方案(日本银行,2020)。列出金融科技服务的理想功能也可能是有用的,以减少潜在的问题,如安全性、弹性、普遍访问、即时支付能力(结算终局性)和互操作性。在结束我的评论时,我想重申岩田聪的观点,即重视“满足用户”的需求和提供更大的盈利能力。最终的目标不是推广FinTech本身,而是从用户的角度提高生产力。我相信Iwashita(2022)对现状的根本原因分析将对日本银行业在不久的将来的变化有很大的帮助。
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引用次数: 1
Comment on “Why Fintech Is Not Changing Japanese Banking” 评论“为什么金融科技没有改变日本银行业”
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12391
Teruo Nakatsuma
<p>Although the term “fintech” has now filtered down into everyday language, fintech services have not yet been fully integrated into everyday life, at least in Japan. Iwashita (<span>2022</span>) overviews the current disappointing state of fintech in Japan, assesses which conditions keep fintech services from taking off, and discusses potential “game changers” that would pave the way for fintech services to gain wider acceptance in the coming decade.</p><p>Iwashita (<span>2022</span>) points out two major hindrances to which he attributes the low acceptance of fintech services in Japan; one is related to consumers' attitudes to digital devices and the other is related to corporations' readiness for digital technologies.</p><p>The first hindrance is the hesitation of older people to use digital devices such as personal computers and smartphones. Unlike the younger people who have been using such devices from their childhood, the older people still favor face-to-face communication. Given that the older retired people tend to accumulate more savings than younger working-age people, Japanese banks have an incentive to accommodate those older customers with traditional face-to-face services.</p><p>The second is the unpreparedness or unwillingness of Japanese companies to adopt new digital technologies. Iwashita's (<span>2022</span>) Table 3 compares Japan with three other developed countries (USA, UK, and Germany) in terms of business information and communication technology (ICT) tool usage, which shows that Japanese companies use ICT tools far less than the others in all respects. This does not necessarily mean that Japanese companies did nothing about information technology (IT) investment. Iwashita states that they did reasonably invest in their IT systems for financial accounting, billing, payments, and other accounting tasks, but their systems are mostly for internal use and have little interoperability with the internet. In addition, national and municipal governments face the same problem of legacy IT systems. As a result, Japanese banks need to maintain their traditional channels of financial transactions for the continuation of business relations with private companies as well as government agencies.</p><p>Iwashita (<span>2022</span>), however, claims that the inertia can be broken and fintech services will become more widely accepted in Japan for the following five reasons. First, the global expansion of digital finance. Fintech services are rapidly expanding in emerging economies, and this trend will put pressure on Japanese financial service users. Second, the digitization of government services. Japan's Digital Agency was established on September 1, 2021. It is designed to oversee the digitization of government services at both national and municipal levels, which may ease the Japanese people's fears of the internet, in general, and breaches of privacy, in particular. Third, the shifts in strategic goals of financial institutions. Nega
虽然“金融科技”一词现在已经渗透到日常语言中,但金融科技服务还没有完全融入日常生活,至少在日本是这样。Iwashita(2022)概述了日本目前令人失望的金融科技状况,评估了哪些条件阻碍了金融科技服务的发展,并讨论了潜在的“游戏规则改变者”,这些改变将为金融科技服务在未来十年获得更广泛的接受铺平道路。Iwashita(2022)指出了日本金融科技服务接受度低的两个主要障碍;一个与消费者对数字设备的态度有关,另一个与企业对数字技术的准备有关。第一个障碍是老年人对使用个人电脑和智能手机等数字设备犹豫不决。不像年轻人从小就开始使用这些设备,老年人仍然喜欢面对面的交流。考虑到老年退休人员往往比年轻的工作年龄人群积累更多的储蓄,日本银行有动力为这些老年客户提供传统的面对面服务。二是日本企业没有准备好或不愿采用新的数字技术。Iwashita的(2022)表3比较了日本与其他三个发达国家(美国、英国和德国)在商业信息和通信技术(ICT)工具使用方面的情况,结果表明,日本公司在所有方面使用ICT工具的次数都远远少于其他国家。这并不一定意味着日本企业在信息技术(IT)投资方面无所作为。Iwashita表示,他们确实合理地投资了他们的IT系统,用于财务会计、计费、支付和其他会计任务,但他们的系统主要用于内部使用,几乎没有与互联网的互操作性。此外,国家和地方政府面临着遗留IT系统的相同问题。因此,日本银行需要保持其传统的金融交易渠道,以继续与私营公司和政府机构保持业务关系。然而,Iwashita(2022)声称,由于以下五个原因,惯性可以被打破,金融科技服务将在日本得到更广泛的接受。一是数字金融的全球扩张。金融科技服务在新兴经济体迅速扩张,这一趋势将给日本金融服务用户带来压力。二是政务服务数字化。日本数码厅成立于2021年9月1日。它旨在监督国家和市级政府服务的数字化,这可能会缓解日本人对互联网的恐惧,尤其是对侵犯隐私的恐惧。三是金融机构战略目标的转变。负利率和人口萎缩正迫使日本金融机构改变其传统的“规模问题”策略。第四,代际转换。讨厌数字设备的老年人将被积极使用互联网的下一代所取代。第五,实行强制性发票。从2023年开始,所有企业都将被要求开具消费税发票,这将促进商业伙伴之间的电子信息交换。关于这些原因,我有一些评论和问题,关于它们是否以及如何影响日本对金融科技服务的接受。首先,在我看来,日本的国民身份证号码“我的号码”是政府服务数字化成功的关键。日本政府试图在医疗保险卡、驾照、银行账户等物品上贴上标签。“我的号码”会在多大程度上被日本人接受?它会像印度的Aadhaar一样无处不在吗?要实现这一目标,必须采取哪些措施?第二,日本的地方银行正在为生存而挣扎,但由于缺乏资源,它们似乎无力投资新的it系统。为了加强地区银行的经营基础,日本政府通过免除反垄断法,鼓励地区银行之间的合并。这项政策会奏效吗?最后,如果公司之间的所有交易都在网上进行,那么计费、支付和税收等会计任务可以通过人工智能、机器人流程自动化和其他数字技术在理论上完全自动化。如果这样的未来来到日本,传统金融机构是否会过时,被数字金融所取代?他们能足够快地适应这些新技术吗?
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引用次数: 1
Why Fintech Is Not Changing Japanese Banking 金融科技为何不能改变日本银行业
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-04-22 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12390
Naoyuki Iwashita

Several years have passed since fintech first attracted attention in Japan. Although various new fintech services have emerged due to deregulation and policies to promote fintech's development and adoption, the overall composition and functioning of Japan's financial industry has not changed significantly despite fintech advances in other economies. The industry in Japan continues to be dominated by face-to-face interactions and has experienced little digitization. In Japan, sophisticated financial services were available before the widespread use of the internet, and most people have resisted conducting financial transactions using their smartphones. In addition, there has been almost no progress in digitizing accounting work in corporations. However, this stagnation in digitization on the demand side of financial services is changing for several reasons. Digitization in the government sector and the introduction of a new invoice system in 2023 will provide an opportunity for change. This time, Japan's financial services should undergo a significant digital transformation.

金融科技首次在日本引起关注已经过去了好几年。尽管由于放松管制和促进金融科技发展和采用的政策,出现了各种新的金融科技服务,但尽管金融科技在其他经济体取得了进步,但日本金融业的整体构成和功能并未发生显着变化。日本的行业仍然以面对面的互动为主,数字化程度很低。在日本,在互联网广泛使用之前,就有了复杂的金融服务,大多数人都拒绝使用智能手机进行金融交易。此外,在企业会计工作数字化方面几乎没有任何进展。然而,由于几个原因,金融服务需求端的数字化停滞正在发生变化。政府部门的数字化和2023年新发票系统的引入将为变革提供机会。这一次,日本的金融服务应该经历一次重大的数字化转型。
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引用次数: 4
Comment on “Chinese Fintech Innovation and Regulation” 评《中国金融科技创新与监管》
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-03-13 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12389
Johannes Ehrentraud
<p>While the digitalization of finance is a global phenomenon, the trend is most remarkable in China, which is now home to two of the largest tech companies—big techs—in the world (Alibaba and Tencent). Against this backdrop, Chinese regulators have been confronted with the Herculean challenge to find a balance that embraces the promise of fintech while reducing potential harm to the financial system.</p><p>Chorzempa and Huang (<span>2022</span>) offer a review of the development of fintech in China and related regulatory actions. They highlight a number of yet unresolved policy issues, draw lessons from China's experience and offer some recommendations for Chinese authorities. Their paper concludes by assessing the regulatory response to fintech in China as being largely successful.</p><p>In China, to a large part, discussing fintech means discussing big techs. China is the largest market for both fintech credit and big tech credit in the world (FSB, <span>2020</span>); and two big tech firms jointly account for 94% of its mobile payments market (Carstens <i>et al</i>., <span>2021</span>). In 2018, big techs processed payments equivalent to 38% of gross domestic product (GDP) and they now have market capitalizations and credit ratings comparable to those of large banks (FSB, <span>2020</span>).</p><p>Big techs have unique business models that differ from those of fintech players. Most importantly, big techs are exploiting activities with strong network effects, under which every additional user creates value for all others (see chapter 3 in BIS, <span>2019</span>). Chui (<span>2021</span>) argues that these network effects can help explain the rise of Alibaba and Tencent, and that they ventured into financial services as a means to survive against competition, which is why he sees them as “accidental financiers” rather than “aggressive invaders”, at least during the initial stage.</p><p>Big techs' activities in financial services come with several policy challenges. Some are traditional policy concerns: financial risks, consumer protection and operational resilience; others are new challenges surrounding the concentration of market power and data governance (Carstens <i>et al</i>., <span>2021</span>). These challenges are increasingly attracting the attention of policymakers. China is one of the countries where policy initiatives have emerged to cope with the risks presented by big techs, specifically in the areas of competition, data, conduct of business, operational resilience, and financial stability (Crisanto <i>et al</i>., <span>2021a</span>).</p><p>Against this backdrop, Chorzempa and Huang review how fintech developed in China and what factors contributed to its growth. Their discussion usefully refers to the underlying economics of financial services in the context of digital innovation (Feyen <i>et al</i>., <span>2021</span>); and contrasts the Chinese experience with that of other countries. Building on this, Chorzempa and Huang provid
虽然金融数字化是一种全球现象,但这一趋势在中国最为显著,中国现在是世界上最大的两家科技公司(阿里巴巴和腾讯)的所在地。在这种背景下,中国监管机构面临着一项艰巨的挑战,即在拥抱金融科技前景的同时,减少对金融体系的潜在危害。Chorzempa和Huang(2022)对中国金融科技的发展和相关监管行动进行了回顾。他们强调了一些尚未解决的政策问题,从中国的经验中吸取了教训,并为中国当局提供了一些建议。他们的论文最后评估了中国对金融科技的监管反应在很大程度上是成功的。在中国,讨论金融科技在很大程度上意味着讨论大型科技公司。中国是全球最大的金融科技信贷和大型科技信贷市场(FSB, 2020);和两家大型科技公司共同占其移动支付市场的94% (Carstens et al., 2021)。2018年,大型科技公司处理的支付相当于国内生产总值(GDP)的38%,它们现在的市值和信用评级与大型银行相当(FSB, 2020)。大型科技公司拥有与金融科技公司不同的独特商业模式。最重要的是,大型科技公司正在利用具有强大网络效应的活动,在这些活动中,每个额外的用户都为所有其他人创造价值(见BIS, 2019年第3章)。Chui(2021)认为,这些网络效应可以帮助解释阿里巴巴和腾讯的崛起,他们冒险进入金融服务领域是为了在竞争中生存,这就是为什么他认为他们是“偶然的金融家”,而不是“侵略性的入侵者”,至少在初始阶段是这样。大型科技公司在金融服务领域的活动面临着几项政策挑战。其中一些是传统的政策问题:金融风险、消费者保护和运营弹性;其他则是围绕市场力量集中和数据治理的新挑战(Carstens et al., 2021)。这些挑战正日益引起政策制定者的注意。中国是已经出台政策举措来应对大型科技公司带来的风险的国家之一,特别是在竞争、数据、商业行为、运营弹性和金融稳定等领域(Crisanto等人,2021a)。在此背景下,Chorzempa和Huang回顾了金融科技在中国的发展历程,以及推动其发展的因素。他们的讨论有用地提到了数字创新背景下金融服务的潜在经济学(Feyen等人,2021);并将中国的经验与其他国家的经验进行对比。在此基础上,Chorzempa和Huang基于概念框架“金融科技树”(Ehrentraud et al., 2020)概述了金融科技政策的发展。审查的政策领域包括支付、点对点贷款、加密货币、金融控股公司、竞争政策、数据保护和蚂蚁集团的“整改”。作为他们的主要建议之一,与Restoy(2021)和Crisanto等人(2021b)一致,Chorzempa和Huang主张更多基于实体的监管,以解决大型科技公司独特特征带来的独特风险,并减少监管套利的范围。这项建议应该得到大力支持。基于实体的方法的主要原理是,执行类似活动的不同实体产生的风险不一定相同。提供金融服务的金融科技/大型科技公司必须已经满足监管要求,这些要求原则上与对其他市场参与者施加的要求一致。但这些基于活动的规则可能还不够。在某种程度上,风险不仅来自特定服务的提供,还来自活动的组合(就像大型科技公司的情况一样),因此需要基于实体的规则。
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引用次数: 1
Comment on “Measuring Digital Financial Inclusion in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: A New Index” 《衡量新兴市场和发展中经济体的数字普惠金融:一个新指标》评论
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12387
Yan Shen
<p>Khera et al. (<span>2022</span>) provides a novel measurement of digital financial inclusion using a three-stage principal component approach (PCA) for 52 emerging market and developing economies. Based on this new index, they have found that the adoption of digital financial services has been a key driver of financial inclusion, and countries/regions in Africa and Asia and regions have achieved greater progress. They also warn against a digital divide and call for policies to close the gap.</p><p>The novelty of this new index rests on three characteristics: it is focused; it is comprehensive, and it utilizes the PCA approach. This index focuses on the payment aspects of financial inclusion, and considers the “access” and “usage” aspects of both digital and traditional aspects of financial inclusion. The three-stage PCA approach first extracts the supply-side and demand-side aspects of financial inclusion for both traditional and digital financial services, then extracts the principal components of the access and usage indices for the traditional and digital financial inclusion, respectively, and finally builds up a comprehensive index encompassing all these subcomponents.</p><p>The constructed index provides a good chance to measure the level of the adoption of digital financial services in a specific country, and hence provides an instrument for evaluating the policy implications of financial inclusion, especially digital financial inclusion. For example, the subindex provides a chance to evaluate the severeness of the digital divide and the risk of financial exclusion. The indices show wide variations in digital financial inclusion across countries, whether it is mainly driven by a reluctance in constructing more digital financial infrastructure due to financial constraints, or a distrust of digital technology will need further investigation.</p><p>Overall, this index has great potential for deepening our understanding of the relationships between comprehensive financial inclusion, digital financial inclusion as well as traditional financial inclusion. In this aspect, Khera et al. (<span>2022</span>) may wish to provide more discussions so that the importance of subindices can be better appreciated. For example, Khera et al.’s Figures 1 and 2 indicate that African countries excel in digital financial inclusion, so it would be insightful to explain which of the access and the usage components are relevant in promoting the development in digital financial inclusion. Another example is Khera et al.’s Figure 3 that contains the interesting finding, namely, for countries with low traditional financial inclusion, the variance of traditional financial inclusion is larger than the variance of countries with high-traditional financial inclusion. This implies that efforts in pursuing digital financial inclusion vary more in countries with low levels of traditional financial inclusion.</p><p>Some additional empirical evidences may also help to convinc
Khera等人(2022)使用三阶段主成分法(PCA)为52个新兴市场和发展中经济体提供了一种新的数字普惠金融测量方法。基于这一新指数,他们发现数字金融服务的采用已成为普惠金融的关键驱动力,非洲和亚洲的国家/地区及地区取得了更大进展。他们还对数字鸿沟提出了警告,并呼吁制定缩小差距的政策。这个新指数的新颖之处在于三个特点:重点突出;它是全面的,它利用了PCA方法。该指数侧重于普惠金融的支付方面,并考虑了普惠金融的数字和传统方面的“访问”和“使用”方面。三阶段PCA方法首先提取传统金融服务和数字金融服务普惠金融的供给侧和需求侧,然后分别提取传统金融服务和数字金融服务普惠金融的准入和使用指数的主成分,最后构建包含所有这些子成分的综合指数。构建的指数为衡量特定国家采用数字金融服务的水平提供了一个很好的机会,从而为评估普惠金融,特别是数字普惠金融的政策影响提供了一个工具。例如,该分类指数提供了一个评估数字鸿沟严重程度和金融排斥风险的机会。这些指数显示,各国在数字金融普惠方面存在很大差异,这主要是由于资金限制导致不愿建设更多数字金融基础设施,还是由于对数字技术的不信任,这需要进一步调查。总体而言,该指数在加深我们对全面普惠金融、数字普惠金融和传统普惠金融之间关系的理解方面具有巨大潜力。在这方面,Khera等人(2022)可能希望提供更多的讨论,以便更好地了解子指数的重要性。例如,Khera等人的图1和图2表明,非洲国家在数字普惠金融方面表现出色,因此解释哪些接入和使用组件与促进数字普惠金融的发展相关将是有见地的。另一个例子是Khera等人的图3,其中包含了一个有趣的发现,即对于传统普惠金融水平低的国家,传统普惠金融的方差大于传统普惠金融水平高的国家的方差。这意味着,在传统普惠金融水平较低的国家,追求数字普惠金融的努力差异更大。一些额外的经验证据也可能有助于说服读者相信这个指数的有效性。例如,Khera等人(2022)的图3将蒙古列为综合和数字普惠金融最先进的国家,他们的图4显示,加纳在数字普惠金融改善方面排名第一。介绍两国2014年至2017年传统普惠金融的准入和使用情况以及发展情况的一些统计数据将有所帮助。一些稳健性检查也可以帮助读者和用户认识到该指数的重要性。例如,构建索引的一种方法是将PCA方法应用于一个阶段而不是三个阶段的所有变量。这种策略可以避免将第一阶段和第二阶段指标直接作为原始数据进行预测所带来的误差,也可以让读者对普惠金融的现状有一个更广阔的视角。
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引用次数: 1
Comments on “Fintech and Financial Inclusion in Southeast Asia and India” 评论“东南亚和印度的金融科技和普惠金融”
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12386
M. Chatib Basri
<p>Morgan (<span>2022</span>) writes an interesting and valuable survey on fintech and financial inclusion in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and India. This paper is very timely and topical. It provides a good and informative description of the development of financial technology and digital payments in India and ASEAN. This paper also shows how fintech can help promote financial inclusion. Morgan argues that fintech adoption is spreading faster in higher income countries, and, within countries, it is spreading faster among higher income and more highly educated groups. In addition, Morgan points out the potential of digital payments for expanding financial inclusion. The information that Morgan provides is very useful for readers who want to know about the development of fintech in India and ASEAN. Morgan examines differences in the strategies and implementation of financial inclusion and fintech between India and ASEAN and draws lessons and policy recommendations from these findings. This paper also provides a comparative perspective on regulatory developments in several ASEAN countries and India. I agree very much with the author's analyses and findings, however, to enrich and sharpen Morgan's analysis, I suggest several things:</p><p>First, Morgan does discuss general concepts of how fintech can promote financial inclusion, but it would be more interesting for example if he could provide examples or discuss how fintech in India or ASEAN can reduce transaction costs in financial transactions.</p><p>Second, Morgan points out that despite the rapid growth of alternative finance in recent years, the overall rate of penetration is still small. It will be useful if he could elaborate on the prospects of alternative finance in the future.</p><p>Third, one of the objectives of Morgan's paper is to discuss the relationship between financial inclusion and financial stability as well as the various risks that arise from the development of this fintech. However, I found the argument is very general. I think Morgan should be more articulate and more explicit about this so that readers can see this argument clearly.</p><p>Fourth, on regulatory issue, we understand that digital innovation happens so fast, the production cycle becomes so short. Goods or services made today will become obsolete in a short period of time. So how does the government regulate it? Regulations will tend to lose ground quickly when the new technologies emerge. How can the government make regulations for one industry or one product, if the rules soon become obsolete due to new innovations. Government regulations or laws, I believe, will need to be more general and flexible in the future. The issue is that if the regulations are not explicit, how can they adequately govern them? The conundrum is that while innovation cannot be stifled, it must be protected. What is the best way to draw this line? This is a big issue that might become a potential problem in the future.
Morgan(2022)对东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)和印度的金融科技和金融包容性进行了一项有趣而有价值的调查。这篇论文很及时,很有话题性。它对印度和东盟的金融技术和数字支付的发展提供了很好的和翔实的描述。本文还展示了金融科技如何帮助促进普惠金融。摩根认为,金融科技在高收入国家的普及速度更快,在国家内部,它在高收入和受过高等教育的群体中传播得更快。此外,摩根还指出了数字支付在扩大普惠金融方面的潜力。Morgan提供的信息对于想要了解印度和东盟金融科技发展的读者非常有用。摩根研究了印度和东盟在金融普惠和金融科技的战略和实施方面的差异,并从这些发现中得出了经验教训和政策建议。本文还提供了几个东盟国家和印度监管发展的比较视角。我非常同意作者的分析和发现,然而,为了丰富和提高摩根的分析,我提出了几点建议:首先,摩根确实讨论了金融科技如何促进金融包容性的一般概念,但如果他能提供例子或讨论印度或东盟的金融科技如何降低金融交易中的交易成本,那将会更有趣。其次,摩根指出,尽管近年来另类金融发展迅速,但整体渗透率仍然很小。如果他能详细说明未来替代金融的前景,那将是有益的。第三,摩根论文的目标之一是讨论金融普惠与金融稳定之间的关系,以及这种金融科技发展所带来的各种风险。然而,我发现这个论点很笼统。我认为摩根应该更清楚更明确地说明这一点这样读者就能清楚地看到他的论点。第四,在监管问题上,我们知道数字创新发生得如此之快,生产周期变得如此之短。今天生产的商品或服务将在短时间内过时。那么政府是如何监管的呢?当新技术出现时,监管往往会迅速失效。如果规则很快就会因为新的创新而过时,政府怎么能对一个行业或一种产品制定规则呢?我认为,政府法规或法律在未来需要更加普遍和灵活。问题是,如果监管不明确,他们如何能充分地管理这些监管?难题在于,虽然创新不能被扼杀,但它必须得到保护。画这条线的最好方法是什么?这是一个大问题,将来可能会成为一个潜在的问题。在我看来,各国监管机构必须改变思维定式,从规则协议转向原则协议。如果摩根在阐述监管问题时能触及这个问题,那将是有益的。第五,在关于监管的讨论中,Morgan确实描述了几个东盟国家和印度的监管发展,但如果他也讨论了与此监管相关的潜在问题,那将是非常有趣的。第六,在结论部分,Morgan指出,金融科技往往会扩大收入和财富的差距。这是一个重要的问题。如果摩根能详细说明这个问题,那就太好了。尽管有这些评论和问题,但总的来说,本文值得一读,并为调查印度和东盟的金融科技发展做出了重要贡献。此外,本文还可以从中汲取各种教训,特别是与其他有类似问题的国家进行比较研究。
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引用次数: 1
Comments on “Chinese Fintech Innovation and Regulation” 评《中国金融科技创新与监管》
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12385
Jong-Wha Lee
<p>China has shown an impressive development of the fintech industry over the past decade or so. The fintech industry has grown fast in several areas, including mobile payments, online lending, and investment. The progress of the fintech industry has expanded access to financial services to hundreds of millions of people who could not get access to traditional financial institutions. The stunning performance of China's fintech industry has raised interesting questions: what are the key contributing factors to its success?; what is the government's role in supporting fintech development?; and is China's experience applicable to other countries?</p><p>Chorzempa and Huang (<span>2022</span>) provide a concise and informative analysis of China's fintech development. It also discusses how policies and regulatory measures have evolved since the advent of fintech and evaluates the government's recent crackdown on big fintech companies. It can be a useful reference for readers who want to understand the main characteristics of China's fintech industry and policy. Nevertheless, I have several comments.</p><p>First, it would be useful if Chorzempa and Huang analyze the main factors of China's fintech development more thoroughly with an empirical framework and data. They argue that China's fintech industry development since 2004 when Alibaba launched the online payment system is attributed to a number of factors including a big market size, a highly repressive financial policy, the rapid development of digital technology, and the relatively friendly approach of the authorities to fintech. To strengthen this main argument, further empirical exercises are recommended. Regarding this, a useful exercise would be to assess, quantitatively with cross-country data, the extent to which each of these key factors has contributed to the adoption and growth of fintech in China much faster than in other countries. Adopting a regression method can be helpful to investigate the role of demand and supply factors in the faster rise of fintech in China. Furthermore, it would be interesting to apply this empirical analysis to China's microdata and examine the determinants of fintech proliferation across regions in China. The Beijing University Digital Finance Inclusion Index of China's Peking University shows that despite a significant expansion of the fintech industry, there are considerable disparities across China's provinces and cities.</p><p>Second, it is necessary to carefully evaluate how the recent government crackdown on the fintech giants will affect the whole financial industry and the overall economy in the long term. Chorzempa and Huang (<span>2022</span>) points out that “change in the policy stance toward the Ant Group affects not just fintech activities, but also the policy enablers that will affect the whole sector.” While fostering innovation, China's lax regulation of the fintech industry in the past has created many risks and loopholes in the financial sys
中国的金融科技巨头已经表明,当消费者和企业渴望使用新的金融技术时,他们可以跨越到新的金融形式。没有国家的积极作用,私营部门的活力似乎是中国在金融科技行业取得卓越表现的关键因素。尽管自20世纪80年代以来,国家主导的改革和工业化战略一直是中国经济奇迹背后的推动力,但在未来几十年里,市场和企业家精神可能在金融科技行业和整体经济的发展中发挥更重要的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Comment on "Measuring Digital Financial Inclusion in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: A New Index" 《衡量新兴市场和发展中经济体的数字普惠金融:一个新指标》评论
IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1111/aepr.12388
Yasuyuki Sawada
<p>A recent Asian Development Bank (ADB) report reveals that the global digital sector expansion would allow Asia and the Pacific to generate an economic dividend of more than $1.7 trillion per year, and create 65 million new jobs annually over the next 5 years (Asian Development Bank (ADB), <span>2021</span>). In the finance sector, accelerated digitalization can potentially close the persistent financial inclusion gap between the rich and the poor, especially in developing countries. To empirically examine digital-based financial inclusion, Khera <i>et al</i>. (<span>2022</span>) develop a novel, comprehensive index of digital financial inclusion for 52 emerging and developing economies for 2014 and 2017. The index is constructed by combining the widely used cross-country data on financial inclusion and related aspects. Essentially, Khera <i>et al</i>. determine striking “digital leapfrogging” patterns in financial services. Countries in Asia and the Pacific as well as Africa have increasingly accelerated digital financial inclusion compared to other regions (Kera <i>et al</i>.’s Figure 2). In the wake of rapid digitalization, if the index is extended beyond 2020, it will offer valuable information to determine the impact of COVID-19 and identify suitable “build-better” policies for a desirable new normal.</p><p>Although Khera <i>et al</i>. and its database are significant, certain issues remain. First, Khera <i>et al</i>. can potentially strengthen the interpretation and analysis of each chart. For example, Khera <i>et al</i>. may discuss potential determinants of differentiated trajectories of the nexus between traditional financial and digital financial inclusion, as demonstrated in their Figure 4. While I agree with Khera <i>et al</i>. that these diverse patterns could be driven by substitution between traditional and digital financial services, they could have verified whether the upper-left group in their Figure 4 corresponds with an initially low level of traditional financial system.</p><p>Second, according to the list of variables employed, the new index seems to miss the popular use of digital financial transactions in the real world. For example, the poor in developing economies are already using mobile phone apps to receive or send money bilaterally, pay for online and offline purchases and transactions, for loan repayments and savings, and mobile phone recharge load.</p><p>Third, although the digital divide could drive financial exclusion of the poor, these heterogeneities of digital financial access or use are not considered in the index. The lack of financial and digital literacy could widen the initial digital gap between the rich and the poor. In addition to within-country gaps, digital divide can emerge across countries at an aggregate level, and it will be useful to show, for example, the distribution of the index in Khera <i>et al</i>.’s Figure 1 by subregions in Asia.</p><p>Fourth, the index may need to directly incorporate
亚洲开发银行(ADB)最近的一份报告显示,全球数字行业的扩张将使亚太地区每年产生超过1.7万亿美元的经济红利,并在未来5年内每年创造6500万个新就业岗位(亚洲开发银行(ADB), 2021年)。在金融部门,加速数字化有可能缩小贫富之间持续存在的普惠金融差距,特别是在发展中国家。为了实证检验基于数字的普惠金融,Khera等人(2022)为2014年和2017年的52个新兴和发展中经济体开发了一种新的、全面的数字普惠金融指数。该指数通过综合广泛使用的普惠金融及相关方面的跨国数据构建而成。从本质上讲,Khera等人确定了金融服务中引人注目的“数字跨越式”模式。与其他地区相比,亚太地区和非洲国家的数字普惠金融发展速度越来越快(Kera等人的图2)。在快速数字化之后,如果该指数延长到2020年以后,它将提供有价值的信息,以确定2019冠状病毒病的影响,并为理想的新常态确定合适的“建设更好”政策。尽管Khera等人及其数据库意义重大,但仍存在一些问题。首先,Khera等人可以潜在地加强对每个图表的解释和分析。例如,Khera等人可能会讨论传统金融和数字普惠金融之间联系的差异化轨迹的潜在决定因素,如图4所示。虽然我同意Khera等人的观点,即这些不同的模式可能是由传统金融服务和数字金融服务之间的替代所驱动的,但他们本可以验证图4中左上角的群体是否与最初较低水平的传统金融体系相对应。其次,根据所使用的变量列表,新指数似乎忽略了现实世界中数字金融交易的普遍使用。例如,发展中经济体的穷人已经在使用手机应用程序进行双边收款或汇款,支付线上和线下的购物和交易,偿还贷款和储蓄,以及手机充值。第三,尽管数字鸿沟可能导致穷人被金融排斥,但这些数字金融获取或使用的异质性并未被纳入该指数。缺乏金融和数字知识可能会扩大贫富之间最初的数字差距。除了国家内部差距之外,数字鸿沟还可能在总体水平上出现在国家之间,因此,显示Khera等人的图1中按亚洲次区域划分的指数分布将是有用的。第四,该指数可能需要直接纳入有关获得必要基础设施的信息(Khera et al., 2021)。例如,考虑到很大一部分工人和个体经营者以现金方式领取工资和付款,将现金转换为数字货币,进入便利店的金融亭等数字网点是数字金融交易必不可少的为了完善指数,有关于数字平台渗透率和网络准备程度的跨国数据(亚洲开发银行(ADB), 2021年)。最后,缺乏适当的数据隐私和网络安全法律、法规和条例可能导致不信任,破坏有效的数字普惠金融。根据世界经济论坛《全球风险报告(2020)》,76.1%的受访者将网络安全列为2020年的五大风险。必须将这些方面与治理质量结合起来。这些问题将推动该指数在未来进一步完善。
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引用次数: 2
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Asian Economic Policy Review
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