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Boosting economic growth through energy in Africa: the role of Chinese investment and institutional quality 通过能源促进非洲经济增长:中国投资的作用和制度质量
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1968709
A. Zakari, Irfan Khan
ABSTRACT In 2019, Chinese investment rose to $110 billion across all sectors in Africa. However, there are many criticisms that the Chinese presence is a curse to the development of Africa. Hence, we direct our attention to unravel the truth about these allegations by examining the underlying effect of institutional quality and Chinese investment in Africa on energy consumption (EC) and its impact on economic growth. We applied a panel corrected standard error (PCSE) econometric procedure for a selected 21 sub-Saharan African countries. Our results show that energy consumption promotes economic growth. Similarly, the study revealed that the institutional quality and Chinese investment in Africa were the underlying factors for the positive effect of energy consumption and economic growth. Therefore, our results expand the economic growth literature and inform policymakers of the need to pay attention to bilateral trade and investment with China.
2019年,中国在非洲所有领域的投资增至1100亿美元。然而,也有很多人批评中国的存在是非洲发展的诅咒。因此,我们通过研究制度质量和中国在非洲投资对能源消费(EC)的潜在影响及其对经济增长的影响,将注意力转移到解开这些指控的真相上。我们对选定的21个撒哈拉以南非洲国家应用了面板校正标准误差(PCSE)计量经济学程序。我们的研究结果表明,能源消费促进经济增长。同样,研究表明,制度质量和中国在非洲的投资是能源消费和经济增长产生积极影响的潜在因素。因此,我们的研究结果扩展了经济增长文献,并告知政策制定者需要关注与中国的双边贸易和投资。
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引用次数: 63
Resurgent Asia; diversity in development 复苏的亚洲;发展多样性
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1953352
V. Balasubramanyam
The title of the book says it all. It is about the rebirth and growth of Asia towards the position of equivalence in the world economy, it once held in the historic past, but dwindled to insignificance by the middle of the twentieth century. In the year 1500, Asia accounted for 62% of both world income and population. But by the year 1820, though it had restored its share of population to 65%, its share in world income had declined to 56.5%, with India and China together accounting for almost 46% of the total. The decline in Asia’s share of world GDP continued unabated and reached a low of 14.9% by the year 1962 with a significant contribution by China and India to this decline. It is the revival of Asia from this state of the doldrums to one of the dramatic growth and development from 1970s onwards, which is aptly referred to by Deepak Nayyar as a resurgence of the Asian economies. The growth and development experience of each of the Asian countries discussed in the book differs significantly from that of the others as the subtitle of Nayyar’s book suggests. Deepak Nayyar has many strings to his bow: an eminent economist, a prolific writer, an administrator in academia and government, and an advisor to international institutions. His wide range of expertise and knowledge of economic development is reflected in his discussion of the decline and rise of Asia that collates many sides to the story. The analysis in the book is unique. It is grounded in economic theory and history and is not confined to a chronological narration of events or regression analysis-oriented conclusions. It complements other incisive reviews of the recent growth and development experience of the two large Asian economies; China – edited and authored by David, Chris, and Shujie (2010) and India = edited and authored by Rakesh (2018). This review discusses the main issues in Nayyar’s wide-ranging analysis of the growth and development of 14 major Asian economies.
这本书的标题说明了一切。它是关于亚洲的重生和增长,走向世界经济中的对等地位,它曾经在历史上占有一席之地,但在20世纪中叶变得微不足道。1500年,亚洲的收入和人口都占世界的62%。但到了1820年,尽管它的人口份额恢复到65%,但它在世界收入中的份额却下降到了56.5%,其中印度和中国加起来几乎占了总数的46%。亚洲在世界GDP中所占份额的下降有增无减,到1962年达到了14.9%的低点,中国和印度对这一下降做出了重大贡献。这是亚洲从这种低迷状态到20世纪70年代以来的戏剧性增长和发展之一的复兴,这被Deepak Nayyar恰当地称为亚洲经济的复苏。正如纳亚书的副标题所示,书中讨论的每个亚洲国家的成长和发展经验都与其他国家有很大不同。迪帕克·纳亚尔(Deepak Nayyar)身怀多重身段:杰出的经济学家、多产的作家、学术界和政府的管理者,以及国际机构的顾问。他对经济发展的广泛专业知识和知识反映在他对亚洲衰落和崛起的讨论中,这些讨论整理了故事的许多方面。书中的分析是独一无二的。它以经济理论和历史为基础,并不局限于按时间顺序叙述事件或以回归分析为导向的结论。它补充了对亚洲两大经济体近期增长和发展经验的其他深刻评论;中国-由David、Chris和Shujie编辑和撰写(2010),印度=由Rakesh编辑和撰写(2018)。这篇评论讨论了Nayyar对14个主要亚洲经济体的增长和发展的广泛分析中的主要问题。
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引用次数: 0
Herding behavior in Hong Kong stock market during the COVID-19 period: a systematic detection approach 新冠肺炎期间香港股市羊群行为的系统检测方法
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-05 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1948320
Conghua Wen, Zixi Yang, Ruichun Jiang
ABSTRACT The study intends to conduct a systematic mechanism for herding detection in the Hong Kong stock market. We take stocks from three market sectors as samples and investigate the existence of herding in the two periods: before and during the outbreak of COVID-19 in Hong Kong, from August 2019 to July 2020. We adopt CCK model-based OLS and quantile regression to examine herding in each observed period and employ HS model to measure the magnitude of herding during the time. The empirical results indicate the emergence of mild herding from August 2019 to January 2020, and the herding phenomenon is generally weakened between February and July 2020. Our study confirms the implication of the systematic herding detection mechanism that can improve the sensitivity of detection and capture the magnitude and variation of herding.
摘要本研究旨在对香港股票市场的羊群效应进行系统的检测。我们以三个市场板块的股票为样本,调查2019年8月至2020年7月香港新冠肺炎疫情爆发前和爆发期间两个时期是否存在羊群现象。我们采用基于CCK模型的OLS和分位数回归对各观测时段的放牧进行检验,并采用HS模型对各观测时段的放牧规模进行测量。实证结果表明,2019年8月至2020年1月出现轻度羊群现象,2020年2月至7月羊群现象普遍减弱。本研究证实了系统的羊群检测机制的意义,该机制可以提高检测的灵敏度,并可以捕捉羊群的大小和变化。
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引用次数: 3
Introduction to special section on global trading system with the New American administration: China, United States and Europe 美国新政府全球贸易体系专题导论:中国、美国和欧洲
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1960138
K. Fung
ABSTRACT In this Introduction to the Special IIssue on Global trading system with the New American Administration: China, United States and Europe, three excellent papers are presented. The first paper highlights the central and eastern European countries’ views on their relationships with China in the era of the pandemic. The second paper by Gao and Shaffer (forthcoming) presents a detailed legal discussion on the global value chains, including new development in intellectual property rights laws in China. The third paper by Wen (forthcoming) proposes that China should continue to participate in the global trading system and further reduce unnecessary government interventions in trade, investment and innovation. Finally, the Introduction highlights various important papers published by this Journal that are relevant to the theme. For example, Fung, Aminian, Fu and Tung (2018) and Fung, Amininian, Fu, Rhee and Tung (2020) are the first to introduce a formal, analytical digital firm model in the discussions of U.S.-China relations. Other outstanding papers include Lau (2019a), Cheng, hitten and Hua (2019), Garcia Herrero (2019) and Lin and Wang (forthcoming), all published in this Journal.
摘要:在美国新政府的全球贸易体系特刊《中国、美国和欧洲》的引言中,介绍了三篇优秀的论文。第一篇论文强调了中欧和东欧国家对疫情时代与中国关系的看法。高和谢弗的第二篇论文(即将发表)对全球价值链进行了详细的法律讨论,包括中国知识产权法的新发展。温即将发表的第三篇论文提出,中国应继续参与全球贸易体系,进一步减少政府对贸易、投资和创新的不必要干预。最后,引言重点介绍了《华尔街日报》发表的与主题相关的各种重要论文。例如,冯,Aminian,傅和董(2018)和冯,Amininian,傅,李和董(2020)是第一个在美中关系讨论中引入正式的、分析性的数字公司模型的人。其他优秀论文包括Lau(2019a)、Cheng、hitten和Hua(2019)、Garcia Herrero(2019)以及Lin和Wang(即将发表),均发表在本期刊上。
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引用次数: 0
Connection issues: a study on the limitations of knowledge transfer in Huawei’s African training centres 连接问题:华为非洲培训中心知识转移局限性研究
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1943194
H. Tugendhat
ABSTRACT Huawei has built several training centres across Africa. This study establishes the purpose of these centres in Kenya and Nigeria and presents original data on their success based on their objectives. Fieldwork was conducted in 2018 and follow-up interviews continued by phone until 2021. I find that Huawe’s investments offer no significant opportunities for knowledge transfers that could foster technological or industrial upgrading in Kenya or Nigeria’s telecommunications sectors. In part, this is due to domestic obstacles in the host countries. But, like other international equipment vendors operating in the region, knowledge transfers are also hindered by the limited scope of Huawei’s investments and the boundaries on the knowledge it is willing to share with domestic employees. I conclude that Kenya and Nigeria’s governments may underestimate the leverage they have over international equipment vendors to induce more meaningful opportunities for knowledge transfer.
华为在非洲各地建立了多个培训中心。本研究确定了肯尼亚和尼日利亚这些中心的目的,并根据其目标提供了关于其成功的原始数据。实地调查于2018年进行,后续电话访谈持续到2021年。我发现华为的投资没有为知识转移提供重大机会,而知识转移可以促进肯尼亚或尼日利亚电信行业的技术或产业升级。在某种程度上,这是由于东道国的国内障碍。但是,与在该地区运营的其他国际设备供应商一样,知识转移也受到华为有限的投资范围和它愿意与国内员工分享的知识的界限的阻碍。我得出的结论是,肯尼亚和尼日利亚政府可能低估了他们对国际设备供应商的影响力,以吸引更多有意义的知识转移机会。
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引用次数: 3
‘Africa’s China’: Chinese manufacturing investment in Nigeria and channels for technology transfer “非洲的中国”:中国在尼日利亚的制造业投资和技术转让渠道
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-23 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1943184
Yunnan Chen
ABSTRACT Nigeria has been one of the primary destinations for Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) in Africa, with emerging clusters in manufacturing sectors. FDI holds potential for technology transfer processes that can foster wider industrialization and structural transformation, but this depends on the development of local linkages that can foster positive spillovers. Through fieldwork and structured survey methods, this paper examines drivers of Chinese outward investment in Nigeria, particularly from 2014 to 2017, highlighting linkages and mechanisms of technology transfer that may catalyze transformation processes and taking a critical view of their potential. I find that, while cases of technology and skills transfer exist, investing firms face challenges of poor infrastructure, lack of skills, and low social trust, which hinder the development of linkages and industrial supply chains. In the wake of the 2014 economic recession, firms cited political and exchange rate instability as challenging; however, greater localization and building local linkages make firms better prepared to weather such challenges.
尼日利亚一直是中国在非洲直接投资(FDI)的主要目的地之一,其制造业正在兴起。外国直接投资具有促进更广泛的工业化和结构转型的技术转让进程的潜力,但这取决于能够促进积极溢出效应的地方联系的发展。通过实地考察和结构化调查方法,本文考察了中国在尼日利亚对外投资的驱动因素,特别是从2014年到2017年,强调了可能催化转型过程的技术转移的联系和机制,并对其潜力进行了批判性的看法。我发现,虽然存在技术和技能转移的案例,但投资公司面临着基础设施差、技能缺乏和社会信任度低的挑战,这些挑战阻碍了联系和产业供应链的发展。在2014年经济衰退之后,企业将政治和汇率不稳定列为挑战;然而,更大的本地化和建立当地联系使公司更好地准备迎接这些挑战。
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引用次数: 6
Examining the nonlinear impact of the banking sector on economic growth: evidence from China’s Provinces 考察银行业对经济增长的非线性影响:来自中国各省的证据
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1943193
Hazwan Haini
ABSTRACT This study examines the nonlinear impact of banking sector development on economic growth in China’s provinces from 1990 to 2017 using dynamic panel estimators. China has experienced rapid economic growth since its reforms; however, China has a repressed financial system as its banking sector reforms have lagged behind other reforms. Meanwhile, the finance-growth literature traditionally posits a positive relationship between the two. Consequently, China presents an interesting case study on the relationship between banking sector development and economic growth. This study investigates whether the relationship is nonlinear, and identifies whether a threshold level exists, where the impact of the banking sector becomes insignificant or negative. The results show that the relationship between banking sector development and growth is nonlinear, suggesting that there is an optimal level. Furthermore, the results show that high levels of banking sector development crowd out the positive impact of private investment. Policy implications are discussed.
摘要本研究采用动态面板估计方法,考察了1990 - 2017年中国各省银行业发展对经济增长的非线性影响。改革开放以来,中国经济快速增长;然而,由于银行业改革滞后于其他改革,中国的金融体系受到了抑制。与此同时,金融增长文献传统上假设两者之间存在正相关关系。因此,中国为银行业发展与经济增长之间的关系提供了一个有趣的案例研究。本研究调查了这种关系是否是非线性的,并确定是否存在一个阈值水平,在这个阈值水平上,银行业的影响变得微不足道或消极。结果表明,银行业发展与增长的关系是非线性的,存在一个最优水平。此外,研究结果还表明,银行业的高水平发展挤掉了私人投资的积极影响。讨论了政策影响。
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引用次数: 2
Can Chinese investment lead to knowledge and technology transfers? The case of Madagascar 中国的投资能带来知识和技术转让吗?马达加斯加的情况
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1940452
David Landry, Yunnan Chen
ABSTRACT Madagascar’s geographic location, large long-established Chinese diaspora, low labor costs, and abundant arable land and natural resources have made it an attractive destination for Chinese outward investment over the past two decades, as rising wages in China and domestic competition drove firms to ‘go out.’ Chinese investors have been particularly active in the Malagasy agricultural, manufacturing, and mining sectors. China generated its own economic boom with the help of foreign investment, which raised the question whether Chinese investors could play a similar role – through the fostering of skills and technology upgrading – in other low-income countries. Focusing on agriculture and manufacturing, this paper uncovers some evidence of limited skills and technology transfers occurring through Chinese firms operating in Madagascar. However, Chinese investment in Madagascar remains limited in scope and has been challenged by a problematic policy environment.
摘要马达加斯加的地理位置、大量长期定居的中国侨民、低廉的劳动力成本以及丰富的耕地和自然资源,使其在过去20年中成为中国对外投资的一个有吸引力的目的地,因为中国工资的上涨和国内竞争促使企业“走出去”中国投资者在马达加斯加农业、制造业和采矿业尤其活跃。中国在外国投资的帮助下创造了自己的经济繁荣,这引发了一个问题,即中国投资者是否可以通过培养技能和技术升级在其他低收入国家发挥类似的作用。本文以农业和制造业为重点,揭示了在马达加斯加经营的中国公司进行有限技能和技术转让的一些证据。然而,中国在马达加斯加的投资范围仍然有限,并受到有问题的政策环境的挑战。
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引用次数: 3
The COVID-19 pandemic and the transformation of health policy: a syndemic perspective 2019冠状病毒病大流行与卫生政策转型:综合视角
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1940453
Xi Chen, Annie Fan
ABSTRACT The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is bringing about once-in-a-century changes to human society. Three key properties escalate the COVID-19 pandemic into a syndemic. To address this triple crisis, we discuss the importance of integrating early, targeted and coordinated public health measures with more equitable social policy and with a health-care policy that realigns incentives of the major players in the health-care market. Drawing on evidence from past and present epidemics as well as comparing variations in response to the current health emergency between China, the US and beyond, we navigate long-awaited health policy transformation in areas that help us better prepare for the next pandemic.
2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行正在给人类社会带来百年一遇的变化。三个关键特性使COVID-19大流行升级为流行病。为了解决这三重危机,我们讨论了将早期、有针对性和协调一致的公共卫生措施与更公平的社会政策和重新调整保健市场主要参与者的激励机制的保健政策结合起来的重要性。根据过去和现在疫情的证据,并比较中国、美国和其他国家在应对当前突发卫生事件方面的差异,我们在一些领域引导人们期待已久的卫生政策转型,帮助我们更好地为下一次大流行做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
Dual Circulation: a New Structural Economics view of development 双重循环:一种新的结构经济学发展观
IF 2 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-06-04 DOI: 10.1080/14765284.2021.1929793
L. Yifu, Xiaobing Wang
ABSTRACT This paper provides a detailed account of China’s Dual Circulation Development Paradigm and examines its theoretical foundation from the perspective of the New Structural Economics approach. The purpose of this Paradigm is to shift the focus from foreign to domestic circulation as the major driving force for China’s sustainable development, and to emphasize the importance of a positive reciprocal relationship between domestic and international economic circulations. This paper argues that aim of the Paradigm is to facilitate a qualitative leap in industrial upgrading to achieve both a higher-quality domestic circulation and a higher-level of international circulation. By explaining the development thinking from the Chinese policy-makers’ perspective, this paper also casts light on growth and development issues facing other countries.
本文从新结构经济学的视角对中国双循环发展范式进行了详细阐述,并考察了其理论基础。这一范式的目的是将重点从国外流通转移到国内流通作为中国可持续发展的主要动力,并强调国内和国际经济流通之间积极互惠关系的重要性。本文认为,范式的目标是促进产业升级的质的飞跃,以实现更高质量的国内流通和国际流通。通过从中国决策者的角度解释发展思维,本文也为其他国家面临的增长和发展问题提供了启示。
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引用次数: 29
期刊
Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies
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