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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF MERGERS: EFFICIENCY GAINS AND IMPACT ON CONSUMER PRICES 并购的实证分析:效率提升及其对消费者价格的影响
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1093/JOCLEC/NHAA001
Céline Bonnet, Jan Philip Schain
In this article, we extend the literature on merger simulation models by incorporating its potential synergy gains into structural econometric analysis. We present an integrated approach. We estimate a structural demand and supply model dealing with two-part tariff contracts between manufacturers and retailers as in Bonnet and Dubois (2010). This model allows us to recover the marginal cost of each differentiated product. Then we estimate potential efficiency gains using the data envelopment analysis approach of Bogetoft and Wang (2005), and some assumptions about exogenous cost shifters. In the last step, we simulate the new price equilibrium post-merger by taking into account synergy gains, and derive price and welfare effects. We use a home scan data set of dairy dessert purchases in France, and show that synergy gains could offset the upward pressure on prices post. Moreover, in this market, the increase in industry profit due to the merger is more driven by its induced synergy gains than by the market power increase.
在本文中,我们通过将其潜在的协同收益纳入结构计量经济学分析,扩展了有关合并模拟模型的文献。我们提出了一种综合方法。我们估计了一个结构性需求和供应模型,处理制造商和零售商之间的两部分关税合同,如Bonnet和Dubois(2010)。这个模型使我们能够收回每个差异化产品的边际成本。然后,我们使用Bogetoft和Wang(2005)的数据包络分析方法和一些关于外生成本转移的假设来估计潜在的效率收益。在最后一步,我们通过考虑协同收益来模拟并购后新的价格均衡,并推导出价格和福利效应。我们使用家庭扫描的数据集,乳品甜点购买在法国,并表明协同收益可以抵消价格上涨的压力后。而且,在这个市场中,并购所带来的行业利润增长更多地是由并购所带来的协同收益驱动的,而不是由市场势力的增长驱动的。
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引用次数: 42
HARMFUL SIGNALS: CARTEL PROHIBITION AND OLIGOPOLY THEORY IN THE AGE OF MACHINE LEARNING 有害信号:机器学习时代的卡特尔禁令与寡头垄断理论
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-10-28 DOI: 10.1093/joclec/nhz011
Stefan Thomas
The traditional legal approach for distinguishing between illicit collusion and legitimate oligopoly conduct is to rely on criteria that relate to the means and form of how rivals interact, such as elements of “practical cooperation”, or on the finding of an anticompetitive intent. These criteria ultimately refer to the inner sphere of natural persons and its emanations in communicative acts. Some authors therefore conclude that the cartel prohibition of Article 101 Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU) or Section 1 of the U.S. Sherman Act is unable to capture collusion if it is achieved by autonomously acting computers relying on machine learning capabilities. It is instead suggested here to define collusion as parallel informational signals, which achieve a supracompetitive equilibrium, and to use the consumer welfare standard as a proxy for distinguishing between illicit collusion and legitimate oligopoly conduct. This approach is not tantamount to the idea of prohibiting tacit collusion as such. Rather, it is to check singular elements of communication, that is, “informational signals”, within an existing oligopolistic setting for their propensity to create consumer harm. This approach can help to close potential regulatory gaps currently associated with the surge of algorithmic pricing.
区分非法勾结和合法寡头垄断行为的传统法律方法是依据与竞争对手如何互动的手段和形式有关的标准,例如“实际合作”的要素,或依据反竞争意图的认定。这些标准最终涉及自然人的内部领域及其在交际行为中的散发。因此,一些作者得出结论,《欧盟运作条约》第101条或《美国谢尔曼法案》第1条的卡特尔禁令,如果是通过依赖机器学习能力的自主行动计算机实现的,就无法捕捉到共谋。相反,这里建议将共谋定义为平行的信息信号,以实现超竞争平衡,并使用消费者福利标准来区分非法共谋和合法寡头垄断行为。这种做法并不等同于禁止暗中串通的想法。相反,它是为了在现有的寡头垄断环境中检查通信的单一元素,即“信息信号”,以确定其对消费者造成伤害的倾向。这种方法可以帮助弥补目前与算法定价激增相关的潜在监管缺口。
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引用次数: 4
THE EFFECTS OF BROADCASTING DIGITIZATION ON EU COMPETITION LAW: A TALE OF EU COPYRIGHT POLICIES 广播数字化对欧盟竞争法的影响&以欧盟版权政策为例
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-09-18 DOI: 10.1093/joclec/nhz013
Konstantina Bania
In recent years, buzz terms such as “geo-blocking”, “online content portability”, and “digital copyright” have been making rounds in EU policy circles. This is largely attributed to the “Digital Single Market Strategy”, an ambitious reform the objective of which is to ensure seamless cross-border access to online services. Pursuit of this objective appears to be largely driven by the assumption that limiting the exclusivity of copyright would stimulate intra-Union competition in content markets. Against the background of EU competence limitations in the field of copyright and the increasing popularity of global U.S. firms in European audiovisual markets, this paper argues that EU Competition Law has vainly been instrumentalized to complete a single market for content. More particularly, based on legal and policy developments, which appear to challenge widespread licensing practices, sector-specific economics, and the case law that sets the conditions under which competition enforcement may introduce limits to copyright protection, this study develops the following twofold argument: in an attempt to create a single market for copyright-protected broadcast content, the EU has stretched the boundaries of competition law in an excessive manner and such unjustified interference with copyright is simply inadequate to promote competition and market integration.
近年来,诸如“地理屏蔽”、“在线内容可移植性”和“数字版权”等热门术语在欧盟政策圈中不断出现。这在很大程度上归功于“数字单一市场战略”,这是一项雄心勃勃的改革,其目标是确保无缝跨境获得在线服务。追求这一目标似乎主要是因为这样一种假设,即限制版权的排他性将刺激内容市场的联盟内部竞争。本文认为,在欧盟版权领域的权限限制以及美国跨国公司在欧洲视听市场日益受欢迎的背景下,欧盟竞争法被用来完成单一的内容市场是徒劳的。更具体地说,基于法律和政策的发展,这些发展似乎挑战了广泛的许可做法、特定部门的经济学,以及为竞争执法可能对版权保护施加限制设定条件的判例法,本研究提出了以下双重论点:为了为受版权保护的广播内容创造一个单一的市场,欧盟过度拉伸了竞争法的界限,这种对版权的无理干涉根本不足以促进竞争和市场一体化。
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引用次数: 0
Collusive Algorithms as Mere Tools, Super-tools or Legal Persons 共谋算法作为工具、超级工具或法人
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-09-18 DOI: 10.1093/joclec/nhz010
G. Zheng, Hong Wu
The widespread use of algorithmic technologies makes rules on tacit collusion, which are already controversial in antitrust law, more complicated. These rules have obvious limitations in effectively regulating algorithmic collusion. Although some scholars and practitioners within antitrust circles in the United States, Europe and beyond have taken notice of this problem, they have failed to a large extent to make clear its specific manifestations, root causes, and effective legal solutions. In this article, the authors make a strong argument that it is no longer appropriate to regard algorithms as mere tools of firms, and that the distinct features of machine learning algorithms as super-tools and as legal persons may inevitably bring about two new cracks in antitrust law. This article clarifies the root causes why these rules are inapplicable to a large extent to algorithmic collusion particularly in the case of machine learning algorithms, classifies the new legal cracks, and provides sound legal criteria for the courts and competition authorities to assess the legality of algorithmic collusion much more accurately. More importantly, this article proposes an efficacious solution to revive the market pricing mechanism for the purposes of resolving the two new cracks identified in antitrust law.
算法技术的广泛使用使反垄断法中已经存在争议的隐性串通规则变得更加复杂。这些规则在有效监管算法共谋方面存在明显的局限性。尽管美国、欧洲及其他国家反垄断界的一些学者和从业者已经注意到了这一问题,但他们在很大程度上没有明确其具体表现、根源和有效的法律解决方案。在这篇文章中,作者提出了一个强有力的论点,即不再适合将算法仅仅视为企业的工具,机器学习算法作为超级工具和法人的独特特征可能不可避免地会给反垄断法带来两个新的裂缝。本文阐明了这些规则在很大程度上不适用于算法共谋的根本原因,特别是在机器学习算法的情况下,对新的法律漏洞进行了分类,并为法院和竞争主管部门更准确地评估算法共谋的合法性提供了健全的法律标准。更重要的是,本文提出了重振市场定价机制的有效解决方案,以解决反垄断法中发现的两个新漏洞。
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引用次数: 2
INDUSTRY IMPACT OF CARTELS: EVIDENCE FROM THE STOCK MARKET1 卡特尔对行业的影响:来自股票市场的证据
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-09-18 DOI: 10.1093/joclec/nhz017
Iwan Bos, Wilko Letterie, Nina M. Scherl
This paper conducts an event study analysis to empirically assess the industry-wide impact of cartels. Using a sample of recent European cartel cases, we estimate the effect of the surprise inspection and final decision on the stock market value of cartel and noncartel firms. The overall effect of both events is negative for cartel members and statistically insignificant for noncartel members. However, the impact of the inspection is significantly negative for European noncartel suppliers and for noncartel suppliers in nonchemicals industries. This is consistent with the theory that cartels can create additional damages through positively affecting the performance of their competitors.
本文进行了一项事件研究分析,以实证评估卡特尔对整个行业的影响。利用最近欧洲卡特尔案件的样本,我们估计了突击检查和最终决定对卡特尔和非卡特尔公司股票市场价值的影响。这两个事件的总体影响对卡特尔成员来说是负面的,对非卡特尔成员来说在统计上是微不足道的。然而,检查的影响对欧洲非核心供应商和非化学品行业的非核心供应商来说都是显著的负面影响。这与卡特尔可以通过积极影响其竞争对手的表现来造成额外损害的理论是一致的。
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引用次数: 5
THE CASE FOR LIMITING PRIVATE EXCESSIVE PRICING LITIGATION 限制私人过高定价诉讼的案例
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-09-18 DOI: 10.1093/joclec/nhz015
M. Gal
In the European Union, private litigation of competition law violations is in its nascence. As this article shows, excessive pricing raises strong concerns for such litigation, for three reasons: (1) the inherent difficulty of defining what constitutes an unfair price; (2) additional challenges inherent to private excessive pricing litigation, such as the need to pinpoint when exactly a price becomes unfair; and (3) the institutional features of general courts in EU member states, which are ill-suited to the required tasks. We elaborate on these concerns, pointing to four specific challenges inherent to private litigation and to three instances where a lack of sufficient economic understanding could entrap general courts (a cost trap, a fairness trap, and a monopolistic competition trap). Together, these factors create a risk of error costs much higher than any experienced so far, which could potentially reduce welfare. The article suggests some measures that can be taken to ensure that welfare is served.
在欧洲联盟,针对违反竞争法的私人诉讼正在兴起。正如本文所示,过高的定价引起了人们对此类诉讼的强烈关注,原因有三:(1)界定什么是不公平价格的固有困难;(2) 私人过度定价诉讼所固有的额外挑战,例如需要准确确定价格何时变得不公平;以及(3)欧盟成员国普通法院的制度特征,不适合执行所需任务。我们详细阐述了这些担忧,指出了私人诉讼固有的四个具体挑战,以及缺乏足够的经济理解可能会使普通法院陷入困境的三个例子(成本陷阱、公平陷阱和垄断竞争陷阱)。这些因素加在一起,造成错误成本的风险比迄今为止经历的任何错误成本都要高得多,这可能会降低福利。这篇文章提出了一些可以采取的措施,以确保福利得到服务。
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引用次数: 0
THE CHICAGO SCHOOL AND THE FORMAL RULE OF LAW 芝加哥学派和正式的法治
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.1093/JOCLEC/NHZ002
R. Stones
The Chicago School advanced a particular conceptualisation of the relationship between law and economics in antitrust that has been misunderstood for decades. A well-known consequence for US antitrust of their scholarship was for greater determinations of legality through the ad hoc, conduct-specific analysis of the rule of reason standard, inspiring advocacy for a similarly “more economic” approach to EU competition law. But although supporting the substantive economic outcomes of overturning rules of per se illegality, Bork, Posner, Easterbrook, and other Chicagoans routinely and consistently rejected this form of market intervention for determining legality. Rather than ex post effects-based analysis, the Chicagoan approach was to incorporate economics ex ante into the design of generalised norms (rules, presumptions, structured tests) to thereby foster legal certainty and administrability, virtues associated with the formal rule of law. The overlooked importance of the formal rule of law ideal can be discerned from Bork and Easterbrook’s antitrust writing, Posner’s economic analysis of law, and even traced back to the foundational scholarship of the Chicago School of economics. Reemphasising the importance of legal form in Chicagoan writing challenges their common contemporary portrayal, supporters of a particular version of “more economic” European enforcement, and the supposedly “neo”-Chicago approach.
芝加哥学派提出了一种关于反垄断中法律与经济关系的特殊概念,这种概念几十年来一直被误解。他们的学术成果给美国反垄断带来了一个众所周知的后果,那就是通过对理性规则标准进行特别的、针对具体行为的分析,对合法性做出了更大的确定,这激发了对欧盟竞争法采取类似“更经济”方法的倡导。但是,尽管支持推翻违法性本身的规则所带来的实质性经济结果,博克、波斯纳、伊斯特布鲁克和其他芝加哥人却例行公事地、一贯地拒绝以这种形式的市场干预来决定合法性。芝加哥学派的方法不是基于事后效应的分析,而是将事前经济学纳入一般规范(规则、假设、结构化测试)的设计中,从而促进法律确定性和可管理性,这是与正式法治相关的美德。从博克和伊斯特布鲁克的反垄断著作、波斯纳对法律的经济分析,甚至可以追溯到芝加哥经济学派的基础学术,都可以看出形式法治理想被忽视的重要性。重新强调芝加哥写作中法律形式的重要性,挑战了他们共同的当代形象,挑战了某一特定版本的“更经济”欧洲执法的支持者,挑战了所谓的“新”芝加哥方法。
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引用次数: 3
GOVERNING CHINA’S ADMINISTRATIVE MONOPOLIES UNDER THE ANTI-MONOPOLY LAW: A TEN-YEAR REVIEW (2008–2018) AND BEYOND 《反垄断法下的中国行政垄断治理:十年回顾(2008-2018)及以后》
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-03-14 DOI: 10.1093/JOCLEC/NHZ009
Zhanjiang Zhang, Baiding Wu
An important focus of China’s Anti-Monopoly Law (AML) is “administrative monopolies”—government-imposed restraints on competition. Since adopting the AML in 2008, China gradually has strengthened its efforts to curb administrative monopolies. Despite notable reforms such as the creation of the Fair Competition Review System (FCRS), government restrictions remain a major obstacle to competition in China’s economy. The 2008 legislation narrowly defined what constitutes improper government intervention, adopted a permissive standard for determining when public restraints were legitimate, and relied heavily on internal administrative controls to correct infringements. This paper draws upon experience in China and abroad to enhance the ability of China’s competition authorities to challenge administrative monopolies. Suggested upgrades include augmenting the robustness of FCRS, introducing new tools to improve competition advocacy, bolstering the ability of competition authorities to initiate or join litigation to attack administrative monopolies, and narrowing the range of justifications that can immunize public restraints.
中国《反垄断法》的一个重要重点是“行政垄断”——政府对竞争施加的限制。自2008年通过反垄断法以来,中国逐步加大了遏制行政垄断的力度。尽管进行了显著的改革,如建立了公平竞争审查制度,但政府的限制仍然是中国经济竞争的主要障碍。2008年的立法狭隘地定义了什么是政府不当干预,采用了一个宽松的标准来确定公共约束何时合法,并在很大程度上依赖内部行政控制来纠正侵权行为。本文借鉴国内外经验,提高我国竞争主管部门挑战行政垄断的能力。建议的升级包括增强FCRS的稳健性,引入新的工具来改进竞争宣传,增强竞争主管部门发起或加入诉讼以打击行政垄断的能力,以及缩小可以豁免公共限制的理由范围。
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引用次数: 3
ESTIMATING DIVERSION RATIOS IN HOSPITAL MERGERS 估计医院合并中的分流率
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-03-14 DOI: 10.1093/JOCLEC/NHZ006
C. Rossi, R. Whitehouse, A. Moore
Understanding patient choice is vital in assessing the closeness of competition between hospitals. The standard technique used in the UK is to estimate substitution patterns based on historical general practitioner (GP) referrals. In this paper we compare the results of the ‘GP referral’ methodology to a demand estimation approach. Using patient-level data over a 3-year period (2012/13–2014/15) we apply both methodologies to every hypothetical merger between hospitals in England, for three specialties. We find a high degree of consistency between the two approaches, suggesting that GP referral analysis is a useful and reliable filter in merger cases. There are a small number of cases, however, in which the GP referral approach filters out potentially problematic mergers. This is particularly true for ‘borderline’ cases. Filtering should therefore be done with caution and in conjunction with additional evidence.
了解患者的选择对于评估医院之间的竞争程度至关重要。英国使用的标准技术是根据历史全科医生(GP)转诊来估计替代模式。在本文中,我们将“全科医生转诊”方法的结果与需求估计方法进行了比较。使用三年期间(2012/13–2014/15)的患者水平数据,我们将这两种方法应用于英格兰三个专科医院之间的每一次假设合并。我们发现这两种方法高度一致,这表明全科医生转诊分析在合并病例中是一种有用且可靠的过滤器。然而,在少数情况下,全科医生转诊方法会过滤掉潜在的问题合并。“临界”情况尤其如此。因此,应谨慎进行过滤,并结合其他证据进行过滤。
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引用次数: 0
DOES MERGER POLICY CONVERGE AFTER THE 2004 EUROPEAN UNION REFORM? 2004年欧盟改革后,合并政策趋同了吗?
IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2019-03-14 DOI: 10.1093/JOCLEC/NHZ007
M. Bergman, M. Coate, A. Mai, Shawn W. Ulrick
The European Union (EU) formally changed its merger policy in 2004, moving from a dominance standard to one based on a significant impediment of effective competition, which appears more closely aligned with the U.S. substantial lessening of competition standard. We use data from both before and after this reform to explore whether EU policy has converged toward the U.S. standard. We start by identifying changes in the EU regime and detect a softer EU policy for unilateral effects. We model the outcomes of EU and U.S. investigations with logit models and use their predictions in decompositions and other exercises to show policy convergence for unilateral effects cases.
欧盟(EU)在2004年正式改变了其合并政策,从主导标准转变为基于有效竞争的重大障碍的标准,这似乎与美国大幅降低竞争标准更接近。我们使用改革前后的数据来探讨欧盟政策是否向美国标准趋同。我们首先确定欧盟制度的变化,并发现欧盟政策的单边影响。我们用logit模型对欧盟和美国的调查结果进行建模,并在分解和其他练习中使用他们的预测来显示单边效应案例的政策收敛性。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Journal of Competition Law & Economics
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