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The role of techno-economic factors for net zero carbon emissions in Pakistan 技术经济因素对巴基斯坦净零碳排放的作用
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023013
Muhammad Amir Raza, M. M. Aman, A. G. Abro, Muhammad Shahid, D. Ara, Tufail Ahmed Waseer, M. Tunio, N. A. Tunio, S. Soomro, T. Jumani
The Government of Pakistan has established clean energy transition goals in the national Alternative and Renewable Energy (ARE) Policy. The goal of this policy is to increase the 30% capacity of green energy in total energy mix by 2030. In this regard, the aim of this study is to develop a de-carbonization plan for achieving net zero emissions through the deployment of a green energy system for the period 2021 to 2040 by incorporating the ARE policy targets. The Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP®) software is used for finding the unidirectional causality among gross domestic product, population within the country, energy demand, renewable energy production and CO2 emissions for Pakistan. The results revealed that energy production of 564.16 TWh is enough to meet the energy demand of 480.10 TWh with CO2 emissions of 22.19 million metric tons, having a population of 242.1 million people and GDP growth rate of 5.8%, in the year 2040 in Pakistan. The share of green energy production is 535.07 TWh, which can be utilized fully for meeting energy demand in the country, and almost zero emissions will produce till 2040. CO2 emissions produced by burning natural gas were 20.64 million metric tons in 2020, which then reduced to 3.25 million metric tons in 2040. CO2 emissions produced by burning furnace oil are also reduced from 4.19 million metric tons in 2020 to 2.06 million metric tons in 2040. CO2 emissions produced by burning coal were 24.85 million metric tons in 2020, which then reduced to 16.88 million metric tons in 2040. Energy demand is directly related to the population and GDP of the country, while renewable utilization is inversely proportional to carbon emissions. The declining trend of carbon emissions in Pakistan would help to achieve net zero emissions targets by mid-century. This technique would bring prosperity in the development of a clean, green and sustainable environment.
巴基斯坦政府在国家替代能源和可再生能源政策中确立了清洁能源转型目标。该政策的目标是到2030年将绿色能源占总能源结构的比例提高到30%。在这方面,本研究的目的是制定一项脱碳计划,通过纳入ARE政策目标,在2021年至2040年期间部署绿色能源系统,实现净零排放。低排放分析平台(LEAP®)软件用于寻找巴基斯坦国内生产总值、国内人口、能源需求、可再生能源生产和二氧化碳排放之间的单向因果关系。结果表明,到2040年,巴基斯坦拥有2.421亿人口,GDP增长率为5.8%,564.16太瓦时的能源产量足以满足480.10太瓦时的能源需求,二氧化碳排放量为2219万吨。绿色能源生产份额为535.07太瓦时,可充分利用,满足国家能源需求,到2040年将实现几乎零排放。2020年,天然气燃烧产生的二氧化碳排放量为2064万吨,到2040年减少到325万吨。燃烧炉油产生的二氧化碳排放量也从2020年的419万吨减少到2040年的206万吨。2020年燃煤产生的二氧化碳排放量为2485万吨,到2040年减少到1688万吨。能源需求与该国的人口和GDP直接相关,而可再生能源利用与碳排放成反比。巴基斯坦碳排放量的下降趋势将有助于到本世纪中叶实现净零排放目标。这项技术将为建设一个清洁、绿色和可持续的环境带来繁荣。
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引用次数: 2
Modelling and development of sustainable energy systems 可持续能源系统的建模和发展
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023014
Muhammad Amir Raza, M. Aman, Abdul Ghani Abro, Muhammad Shahid, D. Ara, Tufail Ahmed Waseer, Mohsin Ali Tunio, Shakir Ali Soomro, Nadeem Ahmed Tunio, R. Haider
Due to the recent climate change, organizations all over the globe are developing plans for reducing carbon emissions by developing clean energy technologies and energy efficient devices. However, the path for transition to green energy system is still unclear and in general, the representation of green energy supply for transition pathways is limited. Therefore, this study outlines a plan for getting Swedish energy sector completely carbon neutral by 2050. The approach can also be applicable to the majority of nations worldwide. Computer based simulations are performed on Energy PLAN software for making clean, green and sustainable energy system that can balance every component of entire energy system during the study period 2022 to 2050. This study takes into account the sustainable use of renewable sources for all economic sectors as well as the interchange of energy with nearby nations under the two scenarios. Additionally, the energy system works in tandem with other industries to create a fully carbon-free environment. The results revealed that, 50% de-carbonization is possible till 2035 and 100% de-carbonization is possible till 2050. This enables a discussion of how ambitious 10-year goals might serve as a first step toward the mid-century elimination of fossil fuels from the energy sector.
由于最近的气候变化,全球各地的组织都在制定计划,通过开发清洁能源技术和节能设备来减少碳排放。然而,向绿色能源系统转型的路径仍不明确,总体而言,绿色能源供应对转型路径的代表有限。因此,这项研究概述了到2050年使瑞典能源部门完全实现碳中和的计划。这种方法也适用于世界上大多数国家。利用Energy PLAN软件进行了计算机模拟,研究了在2022 - 2050年期间建立清洁、绿色和可持续的能源系统,使整个能源系统的各个组成部分保持平衡。这项研究考虑到所有经济部门对可再生能源的可持续利用,以及在这两种情况下与邻近国家的能源交换。此外,能源系统与其他行业协同工作,创造一个完全无碳的环境。结果表明,到2035年可实现50%的脱碳,到2050年可实现100%的脱碳。这使得人们可以讨论雄心勃勃的10年目标如何作为本世纪中叶从能源部门消除化石燃料的第一步。
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引用次数: 2
Empirical assessment of drivers of electricity prices in East Africa: Panel data experience of Rwanda, Uganda, Tanzania, Burundi, and Kenya 东非电价驱动因素的实证评估:卢旺达、乌干达、坦桑尼亚、布隆迪和肯尼亚的面板数据经验
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023001
Mburamatare Daniel, W. Gboney, Hakizimana Khan Jean de Dieu, Akumuntu Joseph, Fidèle Mutemberezi
Sustainable electricity supply plays a key role in economic development. Cost recovery, profitability and affordability of electricity through power tariff regulation, have become a subject of conflict between private providers and regulators. Consequently, regulators need to balance the interests of all stakeholders. The objective of this study, is to measure to which extent, Electricity Net Consumption (EC), Electricity Net Generation (EG), electricity transmission and distribution losses (Losses), International Average Crude oil prices (FP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Industry Value Added (IVA) could influence the Average Electricity Prices (EP) in East Africa, especially in Rwanda, Uganda, Tanzania, Burundi, and Kenya. The data are from World Bank Indicators and cover the period from 2000 to 2019. This study adopts a three-stage approach, consisting of panel unit root tests, panel cointegration tests and estimating the long run cointegration relationship of the variables in a panel context. We applied four different panel unit root tests including ADF-Fisher Chi-square, Levin, Lin and Chu (LLC); PP-Fisher Chi-square, and Im, Pesaran, and Shin, (IPS). The results reveal that the variables are non-stationary at "level", stationary at first-differences and integrated with order one denoted as I(1). The Pedroni, Kao and Johansen Fisher co-integration tests were performed. This study uses full modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) to estimate the long run relationship among the variables. We find that the increase in EG, FP, and CPI increase the Average Electricity Prices (EP); while the increase in Losses, EC, and IVA decreases EP. Therefore, we recommend the promotion of long-term investment policies in renewable sources and efficient policies to reduce technical and commercial losses. In addition, this study suggests that appropriate policies related to subsidized electricity prices would, however, prevent adverse effects related to inefficient over-consumption of electricity.
可持续电力供应在经济发展中起着关键作用。通过电价监管实现电力的成本回收、盈利能力和可负担性,已成为私营供应商与监管机构之间冲突的主题。因此,监管机构需要平衡所有利益相关者的利益。本研究的目的,是衡量在何种程度上,电力净消耗(EC),电力净发电量(EG),输电和配电损失(损失),国际平均原油价格(FP),消费者价格指数(CPI),工业增加值(IVA)可以影响平均电价(EP)在东非,特别是在卢旺达,乌干达,坦桑尼亚,布隆迪和肯尼亚。数据来自世界银行指标,涵盖2000年至2019年。本研究采用三阶段方法,包括面板单位根检验、面板协整检验和面板背景下变量长期协整关系的估计。我们采用了四种不同的面板单位根检验,包括ADF-Fisher卡方检验,Levin, Lin和Chu (LLC);p - fisher卡方,Im, Pesaran, Shin, (IPS)。结果表明,变量在“水平”处是非平稳的,在一阶差分处是平稳的,并与一阶积分,表示为I(1)。采用Pedroni、Kao和Johansen Fisher协整检验。本研究采用全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)来估计变量之间的长期关系。我们发现,EG、FP和CPI的增加增加了平均电价(EP);而loss、EC和IVA的增加会降低EP。因此,我们建议促进可再生能源的长期投资政策和有效的政策,以减少技术和商业损失。此外,这项研究表明,与补贴电价有关的适当政策将防止与低效率的过度用电有关的不利影响。
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引用次数: 2
Preventive control method for stable operation of proton exchange membrane fuel-cell stacks 质子交换膜燃料电池堆稳定运行的预防性控制方法
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023004
Yuto Tsuzuki, Y. Akimoto, K. Okajima
Flooding and dry-out are major drawback issues in proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC), which necessitate adequate prevention control techniques. In a fuel-cell stack, as flooding and dry-out occur on the inlet and outlet sides, respectively, both faults can exist simultaneously. Therefore, the timely detection of these two contradictory faults is crucial for implementing timely control measures. In this study, we propose a preventive control method that detects the fault signs early for more effective prevention. The proposed method uses a curve-fitting method, which uses overpotential as the control index. As the control index can be obtained by measuring the current, voltage, and temperature, the evaluation can be performed quickly, making it easy to implement in a PEMFC system. Under a single fault, the stack output power, hydrogen consumption, and power efficiency of the proposed preventive control method and the previous study on flooding were compared. The results showed that our preventive control method could detect flooding sooner and was superior in stack output power, hydrogen consumption, and power generation compared to the fault control method. Under conditions of mixed flooding and dry-out, both flooding and dry-out were detected using the overpotential as the control index. Thus, because the proposed method initiates control measures before the fault progresses, it is possible to ensure the continued stable operation of the fuel cells.
浸透和干透是质子交换膜燃料电池(PEMFC)的主要缺陷,需要适当的预防控制技术。在燃料电池堆中,当进水和干干分别发生在进口和出口两侧时,这两种故障可以同时存在。因此,及时发现这两种相互矛盾的故障对于及时采取控制措施至关重要。在本研究中,我们提出了一种早期发现故障迹象的预防控制方法,以更有效地预防。该方法采用了以过电位为控制指标的曲线拟合方法。由于控制指标可以通过测量电流、电压和温度来获得,因此可以快速进行评估,使其易于在PEMFC系统中实现。在单故障情况下,对比了本文提出的预防控制方法与前人的驱油研究方法的堆输出功率、耗氢量和功率效率。结果表明,与故障控制方法相比,预防控制方法可以更快地发现泛洪,并且在堆输出功率、耗氢量和发电量方面都具有优势。在混淹和混干条件下,以过电位为控制指标,同时检测混淹和混干。因此,由于该方法在故障发生前就启动了控制措施,有可能保证燃料电池的持续稳定运行。
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引用次数: 0
Prediction of the equivalent circulation density using machine learning algorithms based on real-time data 利用基于实时数据的机器学习算法预测等效循环密度
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023023
Abdelrahman Kandil, S. Khaled, T. Elfakharany
Equivalent circulation density (ECD) is one of the most important parameters that should be considered while designing drilling programs. With increasing the wells' deep, offshore hydrocarbon extraction, the costly daily rate of downhole measurements, operating restrictions, and the fluctuations in the global market prices, it is necessary to reduce the non-productive time and costs associated with hole problems resulting from ignoring and incorrect evaluation of ECD. Therefore, optimizing ECD and selecting the best drilling parameters are curial tasks in such operations. The main objective of this work is to predict ECD using three machine learning algorithms: an artificial neural network (ANN) with a Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation algorithm, a K neighbors regressor (knn), and a passive aggressive regressor (par). These models are based on 14 critical operation parameters that have been provided by downhole sensors during drilling operations such as annular pressure, annular temperature, and rate of penetration, etc. In the study, 4663 data points were selected and included, where 80% to 85% of the data set has been used for training and validation according to the algorithm, and the remaining data points were reserved for testing. In addition, several statistical tests were used to evaluate the accuracy of the models, including root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R2), and mean squared error (MSE). The results of the developed models show various consistencies and accuracy, while the ANN shows a high accuracy with an R2 of nearly 0.999 for the training, validation, and testing, as well as the overall of them. The RMSE is 0.000211, 0.000253, 0.00293, and 0.00315 for overall, training, validation, and testing, respectively. This work expands the use of artificial intelligence in the gas and oil industry. The developed ANN model is more flexible in response to challenges, reduces dependence on humans, and thus, reduces the chance of human omission, as well as increasing the efficiency of operations.
当量循环密度(ECD)是设计钻井方案时应考虑的最重要参数之一。随着深海油气开采井数量的增加、每天昂贵的井下测量费用、作业限制以及全球市场价格的波动,有必要减少因忽视和错误评估ECD而导致的井眼问题所带来的非生产时间和成本。因此,优化ECD和选择最佳钻井参数是此类作业的关键任务。这项工作的主要目标是使用三种机器学习算法来预测ECD:具有Levenberg-Marquardt反向传播算法的人工神经网络(ANN), K邻居回归器(knn)和被动攻击回归器(par)。这些模型基于钻井过程中井下传感器提供的14个关键操作参数,如环空压力、环空温度和钻速等。在本研究中,选取并纳入了4663个数据点,其中80% - 85%的数据集已经按照算法进行了训练和验证,剩余的数据点保留用于测试。此外,还采用了包括均方根误差(RMSE)、相关系数(R2)和均方误差(MSE)在内的多项统计检验来评价模型的准确性。所开发的模型的结果具有不同的一致性和准确性,而人工神经网络在训练、验证和测试以及整体上都具有较高的准确性,R2接近0.999。对于总体、训练、验证和测试,RMSE分别为0.000211、0.000253、0.00293和0.00315。这项工作扩大了人工智能在天然气和石油行业的应用。开发的人工神经网络模型在应对挑战方面更加灵活,减少了对人工的依赖,从而减少了人为遗漏的机会,提高了操作效率。
{"title":"Prediction of the equivalent circulation density using machine learning algorithms based on real-time data","authors":"Abdelrahman Kandil, S. Khaled, T. Elfakharany","doi":"10.3934/energy.2023023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3934/energy.2023023","url":null,"abstract":"Equivalent circulation density (ECD) is one of the most important parameters that should be considered while designing drilling programs. With increasing the wells' deep, offshore hydrocarbon extraction, the costly daily rate of downhole measurements, operating restrictions, and the fluctuations in the global market prices, it is necessary to reduce the non-productive time and costs associated with hole problems resulting from ignoring and incorrect evaluation of ECD. Therefore, optimizing ECD and selecting the best drilling parameters are curial tasks in such operations. The main objective of this work is to predict ECD using three machine learning algorithms: an artificial neural network (ANN) with a Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation algorithm, a K neighbors regressor (knn), and a passive aggressive regressor (par). These models are based on 14 critical operation parameters that have been provided by downhole sensors during drilling operations such as annular pressure, annular temperature, and rate of penetration, etc. In the study, 4663 data points were selected and included, where 80% to 85% of the data set has been used for training and validation according to the algorithm, and the remaining data points were reserved for testing. In addition, several statistical tests were used to evaluate the accuracy of the models, including root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R2), and mean squared error (MSE). The results of the developed models show various consistencies and accuracy, while the ANN shows a high accuracy with an R2 of nearly 0.999 for the training, validation, and testing, as well as the overall of them. The RMSE is 0.000211, 0.000253, 0.00293, and 0.00315 for overall, training, validation, and testing, respectively. This work expands the use of artificial intelligence in the gas and oil industry. The developed ANN model is more flexible in response to challenges, reduces dependence on humans, and thus, reduces the chance of human omission, as well as increasing the efficiency of operations.","PeriodicalId":45696,"journal":{"name":"AIMS Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70230443","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analytical assessment of the filed results on the PV system connectors performance under operating temperature 对工作温度下光伏系统连接器性能的现场结果进行分析评估
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023029
Mebarek Lahbib, M. Boussaid, H. Moungar, A. Tahri
In this study, we will shed light on the aggressive effect of a blowing sandstorm in the presence of high temperatures on the photovoltaic inter-module connectors in a solar station located in the desert environment of southwestern Algeria. After a short period of operation, it is observed that the MC4 connectors, which tighten the interconnection between the photovoltaic modules, are completely faulty because of sand grains carried away by a wind blowing at an average annual speed, which exceeds 6 m/s. Then, we analyzed and evaluated the connector failure to propose an appropriate solution. We checked the variations of the intrinsic temperatures of each connector employing the thermocouple for the three cases of operating temperatures, as well as the current measurement flowing through each connector, to calculate the powers dissipated in each branch of the circuit. Finally, this experimental work shows that a loss of power reaches almost 10% from the nominal power of the typical case. The proposed solution for this problem is to cover the connectors with an impervious plastic cover.
在这项研究中,我们将阐明在高温下吹沙尘暴对位于阿尔及利亚西南部沙漠环境中的太阳能站的光伏组件间连接器的积极影响。经过一段时间的运行,观察到用于紧固光伏组件之间互连的MC4连接器,由于年平均风速超过6米/秒的大风吹走了沙粒,导致MC4连接器完全失效。然后,我们对连接器故障进行了分析和评估,提出了合适的解决方案。我们检查了在三种工作温度下使用热电偶的每个连接器的固有温度的变化,以及流经每个连接器的电流测量,以计算电路中每个分支的功耗。最后,本实验工作表明,在典型情况下,功率损失几乎达到标称功率的10%。针对这个问题提出的解决方案是用不透水的塑料盖覆盖连接器。
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引用次数: 0
Remaining useful life indirect prediction of lithium-ion batteries using CNN-BiGRU fusion model and TPE optimization 基于CNN-BiGRU融合模型和TPE优化的锂离子电池剩余使用寿命间接预测
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023043
Xiaoyu Zheng, Dewang Chen, Yusheng Wang, Liping Zhuang

The performance of lithium-ion batteries declines rapidly over time, inducing anxiety in their usage. Ascertaining the capacity of these batteries is difficult to measure directly during online remaining useful life (RUL) prediction, and a single deep learning model falls short of accuracy and applicability in RUL predictive analysis. Hence, this study proposes a lithium-ion battery RUL indirect prediction model, fusing convolutional neural networks and bidirectional gated recurrent units (CNN-BiGRU). The analysis of characteristic parameters of battery life status reveals the selection of pressure discharge time, average discharge voltage and average temperature as health factors of lithium-ion batteries. Following this, a CNN-BiGRU model for lithium-ion battery RUL indirect prediction is established, and the Tree-structured Parzen Estimator (TPE) adaptive hyperparameter optimization method is used for CNN-BiGRU model hyperparameter optimization. Overall, comparison experiments on single-model and other fusion models demonstrate our proposed model's superiority in the prediction of RUL in terms of stability and accuracy.

<abstract>< >随着时间的推移,锂离子电池的性能迅速下降,在使用中引起焦虑。在在线剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测中,很难直接测量这些电池的容量,单一的深度学习模型在RUL预测分析中缺乏准确性和适用性。因此,本研究提出了一种融合卷积神经网络和双向门控循环单元(CNN-BiGRU)的锂离子电池RUL间接预测模型。通过对电池寿命状态特征参数的分析,选择压力放电时间、平均放电电压和平均温度作为锂离子电池的健康因素。在此基础上,建立了用于锂离子电池RUL间接预测的CNN-BiGRU模型,并采用树结构Parzen Estimator (TPE)自适应超参数优化方法对CNN-BiGRU模型进行了超参数优化。总体而言,单模型和其他融合模型的对比实验表明,我们提出的模型在预测RUL的稳定性和准确性方面具有优势。& lt; / abstract>
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引用次数: 0
Building-integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) systems: A science mapping approach 建筑集成光伏(BIPV)系统:一种科学测绘方法
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023052
Eliseo Zarate-Perez, Juan Grados, Santiago Rubiños, Herbert Grados-Espinoza, Jacob Astocondor-Villar

Solar energy is one of the most important renewable energy sources due to its wide availability and applicability. One way to use this resource is by building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV). Therefore, it is essential to develop a scientific map of BIPV systems and a comprehensive review of the scientific literature that identifies future research directions. For that reason, the bibliometric research methodology enables the quantification and evaluation of the performance, quality and influence of the generated maps and their elements. In this regard, an analysis of the scientific production related to BIPV, indexed from 2001 to 2022, was carried out using the Scopus database. This was done using a scientific mapping approach via the SciMAT tool to analyze the co-occurrence of terms through clustering techniques. The BIPV was integrated with the themes of buildings, investments, numerical models, office buildings, photovoltaic modules, roofs, solar cells and zero-energy buildings. As photovoltaic technology progresses, the production of flexible PV elements is increasing in lieu of silicon substrate-based PV elements, and this is of current scientific interest. The evaluations of BIPVs in various climatic contexts are encouraging in warm and sunny climates. BIPVs demonstrated high-energy generation, while in temperate climates, BIPV windows exhibited a reduction in heating and cooling loads, indicating notable efficiency. Despite significant benefits, BIPVs face challenges such as upfront costs, integration complexities and durability concerns. Therefore, silicon solar cells are considered a cross-cutting theme within the BIPV research field. It is highlighted that this study provides a comprehensive scientific mapping and critical review of the literature in the field of BIPV systems. This bibliometric analysis not only quantifies the performance and quality of the generated maps but also identifies key thematic areas that have evolved.

& lt; abstract>太阳能具有广泛的可获得性和适用性,是最重要的可再生能源之一。利用这种资源的一种方法是建筑集成光伏(BIPV)。因此,有必要绘制BIPV系统的科学地图,并对科学文献进行全面审查,以确定未来的研究方向。因此,文献计量学研究方法能够对生成的地图及其要素的性能、质量和影响进行量化和评价。在这方面,我们使用Scopus数据库对2001年至2022年与BIPV相关的科学产出进行了分析。这是使用科学的映射方法完成的,通过SciMAT工具通过聚类技术分析术语的共现性。BIPV与建筑、投资、数值模型、办公楼、光伏组件、屋顶、太阳能电池和零能耗建筑等主题相结合。随着光伏技术的进步,柔性光伏元件的产量正在增加,以取代硅基光伏元件,这是当前科学关注的问题。在温暖和阳光充足的气候条件下,各种气候背景下bipv的评估结果令人鼓舞。BIPV显示出高能发电,而在温带气候下,BIPV窗口显示出加热和冷却负荷的减少,表明显着的效率。尽管bipv具有显著的优势,但也面临着前期成本、集成复杂性和耐用性等挑战。因此,硅太阳能电池被认为是BIPV研究领域的一个交叉主题。值得强调的是,本研究为BIPV系统领域的文献提供了全面的科学映射和批判性回顾。这种文献计量学分析不仅量化了所生成地图的性能和质量,而且还确定了已经发展的关键主题领域。& lt; / abstract>
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引用次数: 0
Techno-economic analysis of battery storage systems and hydrogen-based storage systems as an alternative to grid expansion in the medium voltage grid in Germany 德国中压电网中电池储能系统和氢基储能系统作为电网扩展替代方案的技术经济分析
IF 1.8 Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023019
Franz Teske, Jan Schubert, Adrian Fehrle, Felix Funk, J. Franke
The decentralization of the energy system in Germany is leading to enormous investments in grid expansion, as the current regulation creates an obligation to expand the power grid to eliminate bottlenecks. Meanwhile, opportunities to leverage grid-friendly control of storage systems are neglected to alleviate the need for investment. For this reason, it is necessary to investigate intelligent alternatives to grid expansion, such as storage systems, to efficiently integrate distributed technologies into the power system and reduce the need for grid expansion. In this work, two representative configurations of a medium voltage grid in Germany are developed for the years 2022 and 2050, and different storage systems are compared economically with the grid expansion in a model-based simulation. Hydrogen storage and battery storage were chosen as storage systems. The results show that grid expansion is the least expensive option if only the grid expansion costs are included in the analysis. However, if additional uses for the storage systems are considered, the battery storage systems are more economical. While in the scenario for 2050 the grid expansion causes costs of approx. 56,000 EUR per year, revenues of at least 58,000 EUR per year can be achieved via the revenue opportunities of the battery storage, representing a 3.5% margin. Heat extraction, arbitrage trading, and avoidance of grid expansion in superimposed grid levels were integrated as additional revenue streams/sources. A robust data basis and cost degressions were assumed for the simulations to generate meaningful results. Overall, hydrogen storage systems are economically inferior to battery storage systems and grid expansion for this use case. The results demonstrate the complexity of analyzing the trade-offs in terms of storage as an alternative to grid expansion as well as the opportunities presented using battery storage instead.
德国能源系统的分散化导致了对电网扩张的巨额投资,因为目前的法规规定了扩大电网以消除瓶颈的义务。与此同时,利用电网友好控制存储系统的机会被忽视,以减轻投资需求。因此,有必要研究智能的电网扩展替代方案,如存储系统,以有效地将分布式技术集成到电力系统中,减少电网扩展的需求。本文研究了德国2022年和2050年两种具有代表性的中压电网配置,并通过基于模型的仿真对不同的储能系统与电网扩容的经济性进行了比较。存储系统选择氢存储和电池存储。结果表明,如果只考虑电网扩展成本,电网扩展是成本最低的选择。然而,如果考虑到存储系统的其他用途,电池存储系统更经济。而在2050年的情景中,电网扩张导致的成本约为。每年56,000欧元,通过电池存储的收入机会,每年至少可以实现58,000欧元的收入,代表3.5%的利润率。热量提取、套利交易和避免叠加网格层中的网格扩张被整合为额外的收入流/来源。为了产生有意义的结果,假设了稳健的数据基础和成本下降。总的来说,在这种情况下,氢存储系统在经济上不如电池存储系统和电网扩展。结果表明,分析储能作为电网扩展的替代方案的权衡的复杂性,以及使用电池储能所带来的机会。
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引用次数: 0
A review on peak shaving techniques for smart grids 智能电网调峰技术研究进展
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.3934/energy.2023036
Syed Sabir Hussain Rizvi, Krishna Teerth Chaturvedi, Mohan Lal Kolhe

Peak shaving techniques have become increasingly important for managing peak demand and improving the reliability, efficiency, and resilience of modern power systems. In this review paper, we examine different peak shaving strategies for smart grids, including battery energy storage systems, nuclear and battery storage power plants, hybrid energy storage systems, photovoltaic system installations, the real-time scheduling of household appliances, repurposed electric vehicle batteries, uni- and bi-directional electric vehicle charging, the demand response, the time-of-use pricing, load shedding systems, distributed generation systems and energy-efficient management. We analyze the potential of each strategy to reduce peak demand and shift energy consumption to off-peak hours, as well as identify the key themes critical to the success of peak shaving for smart grids, including effective coordination and communication, data analytics and predictive modeling and clear policy and regulatory frameworks. Our review highlights the diverse range of innovative technologies and techniques available to utilities and power system operators and it emphasizes the need for continued research and development in emerging areas such as blockchain technology and artificial intelligence. Overall, the implementation of peak shaving strategies represents a significant step toward a more sustainable, reliable and efficient power system. By leveraging the latest technologies and techniques available, utilities and power system operators can better manage peak demand, integrate renewable energy sources, and create a more reliable and secure grid for the future. By discussing cutting-edge technologies and methods to effectively manage peak demand and incorporate renewable energy sources, this review paper emphasizes the significance of peak shaving strategies for smart grids as a crucial pathway towards realizing a more sustainable, dependable and efficient power system.

& lt; abstract>调峰技术在管理高峰需求和提高现代电力系统的可靠性、效率和弹性方面变得越来越重要。在这篇综述文章中,我们研究了智能电网的不同调峰策略,包括电池储能系统,核能和电池储能发电厂,混合能源存储系统,光伏系统安装,家用电器的实时调度,重新用途的电动汽车电池,单向和双向电动汽车充电,需求响应,使用时间定价,减载系统,分布式发电系统和节能管理。我们分析了每种策略在减少高峰需求和将能源消耗转移到非高峰时段方面的潜力,并确定了智能电网调峰成功的关键主题,包括有效的协调和沟通、数据分析和预测建模以及明确的政策和监管框架。我们的审查强调了公用事业和电力系统运营商可用的各种创新技术和技术,并强调了在区块链技术和人工智能等新兴领域继续研究和开发的必要性。总的来说,调峰策略的实施是朝着更加可持续、可靠和高效的电力系统迈出的重要一步。通过利用最新的技术和技术,公用事业和电力系统运营商可以更好地管理高峰需求,整合可再生能源,为未来创造一个更可靠、更安全的电网。通过讨论有效管理高峰需求和纳入可再生能源的前沿技术和方法,本文强调了智能电网的调峰策略是实现更可持续、更可靠和更高效的电力系统的重要途径。& lt; / abstract>
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