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Quantitative evaluation of the green production and consumption policies in China 中国绿色生产与消费政策的定量评价
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.06.010
Zhengxin Wang , Yueqi Jv , Minghuan Shou , Gang Peng

Dual control of energy consumption is an effective method proposed in China to launch and deepen the transition in energy use. It has obtained favorable results; however, the resource consumption and pollution emissions per unit of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) remain high. This article quantitatively studies the current policies’ effects to promote the advancement of dual control of energy consumption and develop future policies. Green production and consumption policies promote the development of dual control of energy consumption; therefore, this paper examines these policies through text mining and a quantitative evaluation system. The results suggest strong state demand for developing green production and consumption and the necessity for scientific evaluation; however, the state’s focus on the relevant policy tools is imbalanced. Constraint policy tools have the highest proportion of restricting pollutant emissions but lack comprehensiveness. Incentive and guidance policy tools have the problems of poor targets and low volume. Additionally, by constructing policy modeling consistency (PMC) index models for evaluating green production and consumption policies, six selected policies indicate solid performance, but some still have problems regarding policy timeframe, policy function, and green process. Based on the conclusions, this paper provides some targeted recommendations.

能源消费双控是中国提出的启动和深化能源利用转型的有效途径。取得了良好的效果;但是,单位国内生产总值的资源消耗和污染排放仍然很高。本文定量研究了现行政策的效果,以促进能源消费双重控制的推进,并制定未来的政策。绿色生产和消费政策促进了能源消费双重调控的发展;因此,本文通过文本挖掘和定量评价系统来检验这些政策。研究结果表明,发展绿色生产和消费的国家需求强烈,科学评价的必要性;然而,国家对相关政策工具的关注是不平衡的。约束性政策工具限制污染物排放的比例最高,但缺乏综合性。激励引导政策工具存在针对性差、量小的问题。此外,通过构建政策建模一致性(PMC)指标模型对绿色生产和消费政策进行评价,结果表明,6项绿色生产和消费政策表现稳健,但部分政策在政策时间框架、政策功能和绿色过程等方面仍存在问题。在此基础上,提出了针对性的建议。
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引用次数: 3
Does the digital economy contribute to carbon emissions reduction? A city-level spatial analysis in China 数字经济是否有助于减少碳排放?中国城市层面空间分析
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.06.001
Jun Wang, Xi Luo, Jie Zhu

The rapid development of the digital economy provides an unprecedented opportunity for China to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. While previous studies have explored the relationship between the digital economy, digital technologies, and energy, the impact of the digital economy on carbon emissions has not received sufficient attention in the literature. Meanwhile, although cities are the basic units for carbon emission reduction policies, few studies have explored carbon emissions at the city level in China. This study investigates the spatial correlation and spillover effects of the digital economy development on carbon emission reduction in 248 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2019. The proposed approach relies on Morans I test and the spatial Durbin model (SDM). First, the study’s results show that carbon emissions are more severe in industry-intensive cities in northeast and central China than in the eastern coast during the sample period. Second, the development of the digital economy is conducive to reducing carbon emissions. Third, Morans I and SDM tests find that the digital economy has a significant spatial effect on carbon emissions, with a close spatial connection between cities. Based on the above findings, this study offers relevant policy recommendations and suggestions for realizing China's carbon neutrality goal.

数字经济的快速发展为中国到2060年实现碳中和提供了前所未有的机遇。虽然以往的研究已经探讨了数字经济、数字技术和能源之间的关系,但数字经济对碳排放的影响在文献中没有得到足够的重视。同时,虽然城市是碳减排政策的基本单位,但对中国城市层面碳排放的研究却很少。研究了2011 - 2019年中国248个地级市数字经济发展对碳减排的空间相关性和溢出效应。提出的方法依赖于Moran的I测试和空间Durbin模型(SDM)。首先,研究结果表明,在样本期内,东北和中部工业密集型城市的碳排放比东部沿海地区更为严重。第二,发展数字经济有利于减少碳排放。第三,Moran’s I和SDM检验发现,数字经济对碳排放具有显著的空间效应,城市之间的空间联系密切。基于以上发现,本研究为实现中国碳中和目标提供了相关的政策建议和建议。
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引用次数: 26
Analysis of cooperation equilibrium of participants in power battery recycling chains considering information barrier 考虑信息壁垒的动力电池回收链参与者合作均衡分析
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.06.006
Yanhong Gao , Youdi Liu , Zhixiong Tan , Zhendong Li

In the era of large-scale retirement of power batteries, there are information barriers and high recovery costs in their recycling. In view of this, in this study we constructed a tripartite evolutionary game model of the cooperation between power battery production and recycling enterprises and government participation. We analyzed the strategic choice of the three parties in the process of power battery recycling and simulated the influence of participants' willingness and information barriers on the strategic choices of the parties. The results showed that power battery production and recycling enterprises, and the government are affected by each other's willingness to participate at different degrees. The willingness of power battery manufacturers and recycling enterprises to cooperate with each other decreased with increases in information barriers.By analyzing the impact of information barrier on power battery recycling, some suggestions are put forward to provide decision-making reference for promoting the sustainable development of power battery industry.

在动力电池大规模退役的时代,动力电池的回收存在信息壁垒和较高的回收成本。鉴于此,本研究构建了动力电池生产与回收企业合作与政府参与的三方演化博弈模型。我们分析了动力电池回收过程中三方的战略选择,模拟了参与者意愿和信息壁垒对三方战略选择的影响。研究结果表明,动力电池生产和回收企业与政府均不同程度地受到彼此参与意愿的影响。动力电池生产企业与回收企业的合作意愿随着信息壁垒的增加而降低。通过分析信息壁垒对动力电池回收的影响,提出相关建议,为推动动力电池行业的可持续发展提供决策参考。
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引用次数: 2
The effect of human capital on energy consumption: Evidence from an extended version of STIRPAT framework 人力资本对能源消耗的影响:来自STIRPAT框架扩展版本的证据
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.06.004
Yajun Wang, Junbing Huang, Xiaochen Cai

Human capital is an important aspect of energy consumption, exerting crucial effects on economic growth, technological progress, and economic restructuring. This paper presents an in-depth investigation of the effect of human capital on energy consumption using an extended version of the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology framework. The estimated results using a panel dataset covering China’s 30 provincial regions during the period 1997–2018 and applying fixed effects with instrumental variables and the generalized method of moments indicated that an increase in human capital significantly drove energy consumption. A 1% increase in human capital increased energy consumption by approximately 0.3%. A two-step channel analysis to test scale, technical, and structural effects revealed that the positive effect of human capital on energy consumption is based primarily on the scale effect. However, highly educated human capital alleviates the energy pressure of this effect. In contrast to the scale effect, both the technical and structural effects of human capital reduced energy consumption, and this reduction is primarily correlated with enterprises’ utility-oriented technological progress. Finally, we present strategic energy control policy implications related to human capital.

人力资本是能源消费的重要方面,对经济增长、技术进步和经济结构调整起着至关重要的作用。本文利用人口、富裕和技术回归的随机影响框架的扩展版本,对人力资本对能源消费的影响进行了深入研究。利用1997-2018年覆盖中国30个省区的面板数据集,运用工具变量和广义矩量法的固定效应,估算结果表明,人力资本的增加显著推动了能源消费。人力资本每增加1%,能源消耗就会增加约0.3%。通过对规模效应、技术效应和结构效应的两步通道分析发现,人力资本对能源消费的正向影响主要基于规模效应。而高学历人力资本则缓解了这一效应带来的能量压力。与规模效应相反,人力资本的技术效应和结构效应都降低了能源消耗,而且这种降低主要与企业以效用为导向的技术进步相关。最后,我们提出了与人力资本相关的战略能源控制政策含义。
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引用次数: 6
Impact of environmental absorption capacity on PM2.5 concentration in China 中国环境吸收能力对PM2.5浓度的影响
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.06.009
Lin Li , Jinhua Cheng , Beidi Diao

Air pollution, especially fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution, has a great negative impact on human production and normal life. It is a hot issue of global concern, and it is also a huge test for China’s high-quality socioeconomic development. Environmental absorption capacity (EAC) is the guarantee of the structure and function of a healthy atmospheric environmental system. It plays an important role in the automatic accommodation, absorption, and digestion of air pollutants produced by humans in the process of industrialization and civilization. Understanding the absorption capacity of environmental elements on PM2.5, and exploring the impact of EAC on PM2.5 concentration are of great significance to the development of new ideas for air pollution control. This paper constructed an index system to calculate the EAC index from two dimensions (natural resource endowment and impact of human activities), analyzed and discussed the impact of EAC on PM2.5 concentration and its heterogeneity effect through panel regression model, generalized panel quantile regression based on MCMC optimization and scenario analysis, by using the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2017. The results suggested that: (i) The overall level of national EAC was low, and the regional differences were large. EAC was influenced by natural resource endowment and human activities, while natural endowment was the main factor affecting EAC, and human activities were the main factor causing the fluctuation and the regional difference of EAC. (ii) As the result of full sample regression demonstrated, the enhancement of EAC had a significant negative influence on the reduction of PM2.5 concentration. In areas with high PM2.5 concentration, the effect of EAC was more obvious, but the effect did not necessarily increase with the increase of PM2.5 concentration. Also, in extreme cases, the effect did not pass the significance test. (iii) According to the results of heterogeneity effect analysis, the effect of EAC on PM2.5 concentration was significantly negative in sustainable scenario and emergency scenario, while the effect was not significant in Soylent Green scenario. The conclusion provides important implications for the prevention and control of air pollution and the improvement of atmospheric environmental quality.

大气污染,特别是细颗粒物(PM2.5)污染,对人类的生产和正常生活产生了很大的负面影响。这是全球关注的热点问题,也是对中国经济社会高质量发展的巨大考验。环境吸收能力(EAC)是健康大气环境系统结构和功能的保证。它对人类在工业化和文明过程中产生的空气污染物的自动调节、吸收和消化起着重要的作用。了解环境要素对PM2.5的吸收能力,探索EAC对PM2.5浓度的影响,对开拓大气污染治理新思路具有重要意义。本文构建了从自然资源禀赋和人类活动影响两个维度计算EAC指数的指标体系,利用2004 - 2017年中国30个省份的面板数据,通过面板回归模型、基于MCMC优化的广义面板分位数回归和情景分析,分析和探讨了EAC对PM2.5浓度的影响及其异质性效应。结果表明:(1)全国生态环境承载力总体水平较低,区域差异较大。生态承载力受自然资源禀赋和人类活动的影响,自然禀赋是影响生态承载力的主要因素,人类活动是造成生态承载力波动和区域差异的主要因素。(二)全样本回归结果表明,EAC的增强对PM2.5浓度的降低具有显著的负向影响。在PM2.5浓度高的地区,EAC的效果更为明显,但效果并不一定随着PM2.5浓度的增加而增加。此外,在极端情况下,效果不通过显著性检验。(iii)异质性效应分析结果显示,在可持续情景和应急情景下,EAC对PM2.5浓度的影响显著为负,而在Soylent Green情景下,影响不显著。该结论对防治大气污染和改善大气环境质量具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution paths of green economy modes and their trend of hypercycle economy 绿色经济模式演化路径及其超循环经济发展趋势
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.03.001
Zhiguang Zhang

So far there is a lack of specialized research on the entire path and the law of the evolution of green economy modes, especially studies on its future trend. Some studies have been done only on its sub-process, in which there are some shortcomings such as overlapping and incomplete classification of economy modes, as well as the lack of mechanism models to describe the modes. This paper attempts to solve those problems. Firstly, various green economy modes are extracted and classified, and then their evolution paths are identified and reviewed, according to sustainable development theory, hypercycle theory, etc., and to practical investigation. Secondly, theoretical models for each green economy mode and their multilevel dynamic evolution models in a practical field (forestry as an example) are established by the modeling method of system structure. Finally, the evolution law of green economy mode is analyzed systematically by means of the above-mentioned models. According to the research, some conclusions are drawn as follows: First, green economy modes have evolved through three stages as a whole. The first is the start-up stage, in which the mode is the ‘from cradle to grave’ end-treatment green economy (GE-I). The second is the growth stage, in which the mode is the ‘from cradle to cradle’ resources-chain closed-loop green economy (GE-Ⅱ). The third is the mature stage, in which the mode will be the ‘from breeding to breeding ‘three-chain hypercycle economy (GE-Ⅲ). Second, GE-Ⅱ has evolved through a specific process. In depth, the basic framework of GE-Ⅱ is based on the circular economy theory; and then it is combined gradually with some other relevant theories and technologies that are cleaner production, low-carbon economy and sharing economy and so on. In breadth, GE-Ⅱ is expanded layer by layer from unified enterprise GE-Ⅱ to diversified enterprise ( or cluster) GE-Ⅱ, and to societal GE-Ⅱ. The operational principle of GE-Ⅱ can be described by 3R theoretical model that includes 3 subsystems of reduction, recycle and reuse (3R), which are connected into an organic whole by resources chain. Third, GE-Ⅲ is evolving through a specific process of three-chain (3C) stage by stage expansion, from resources-chain primary hypercycle to eco-chain secondary hypercycle, and to value-chain tertiary hypercycle. The operational principle of GE-Ⅲ can be described by 5R-3C theoretical model that includes 5 subsystems of reduction, recycle, reuse, recultivation and reallocation (5R) , which are connected into an environment-economy self-organizing system by resources chain, ecochain and value chain. In the system, resources chain is the foundation, eco-chain is the support, and value chain is the impetus. The 3C hypercycle promotes and catalyze each other to realize mutualism between ecosystem and industrial system. Fourth, the related field of GE-Ⅲ includes the principal part of renewable-resource-based industry, and the expanded part of other relev

到目前为止,对绿色经济模式演化的整个路径和规律的专门研究,特别是对其未来趋势的研究还比较缺乏。一些研究仅对其子过程进行了研究,存在经济模式分类重叠、不完整、缺乏描述经济模式的机制模型等不足。本文试图解决这些问题。首先,根据可持续发展理论、超循环理论等,结合实践考察,对各种绿色经济模式进行了提取和分类,并对其演化路径进行了识别和梳理。其次,采用系统结构建模的方法,建立了各绿色经济模式的理论模型及其在实际领域(以林业为例)的多层次动态演化模型;最后,运用上述模型系统地分析了绿色经济模式的演化规律。研究得出以下结论:第一,绿色经济模式总体上经历了三个发展阶段。第一个阶段是启动阶段,这一阶段的模式是“从摇篮到坟墓”的末端处理绿色经济(GE-I)。二是成长期,模式为“从摇篮到摇篮”的资源链闭环绿色经济(GE-Ⅱ)。三是成熟期,模式为“从养殖到养殖”的三链超循环经济(GE-Ⅲ)。第二,GE-Ⅱ是通过一个特定的过程发展起来的。在深度上,GE-Ⅱ的基本框架是建立在循环经济理论基础之上的;然后逐步与清洁生产、低碳经济、共享经济等相关理论和技术相结合。在广度上,从统一的企业GE-Ⅱ逐层扩展到多元化的企业(或集群)GE-Ⅱ,再到社会性的GE-Ⅱ。GE-Ⅱ的运行原理可以用3R理论模型来描述,该模型包括还原、回收和再利用(3R)三个子系统,它们通过资源链连接成一个有机整体。第三,GE-Ⅲ正在经历一个特定的三链(3C)逐步扩张的过程,从资源链一级超循环到生态链二级超循环,再到价值链三级超循环。GE-Ⅲ的运行原理可以用5R- 3c理论模型来描述,该模型包括减量化、再循环、再利用、再循环和再分配(5R)五个子系统,通过资源链、生态链和价值链连接成一个环境经济自组织系统。其中,资源链是基础,生态链是支撑,价值链是动力。3C超循环相互促进、催化,实现生态系统与产业体系的共生。第四,GE-Ⅲ的相关领域既包括以可再生资源为基础的产业主体,也包括其他相关产业乃至整个社会的扩展部分。现在在实践中,GE-Ⅲ已经初步形成。建立生态文明是未来绿色经济的发展趋势。
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引用次数: 10
Air pollution and the domestic value-added for Chinese exporters 空气污染与中国出口商的国内附加值
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.03.003
Yan Du , Fangzhou Cao , Jie Yan , Mao Zhou

This paper evaluates the causal effect of air pollution on the share of domestic value-added in exports for Chinese exporters. Precipitation is employed as an instrument for air pollution to alleviate the endogeneity. Our baseline instrument variable estimation identifies a significant and negative effect of air pollution on the share of domestic value added in exports. Specifically, each 1 mg/m3 increase in yearly PM2.5 exposure is associated with 3.144 7 units decrease of the domestic value-added rate of firms’ exports.This result holds when wind speed,air flow index and thermal inversions are used as alternative instruments. Further, it is shown that air pollution is detrimental to the health of employees, and also has negative effect on firms’ productivity as well as firms’innovation capacity. All of these may have a negative effect on domestic production and therefore reduce the share of value added done domestically. Lastly, greater effect is found for the central region, the east of Hu Huanyong line, cities of low altitude and high pressure, and also for foreign-invested firms. This paper provides empirical evidence that air pollution may affect the organization of global production, i.e., the share of domestic value added in Chinese exports, and it certainly contributes to more comprehensive understanding of the effect of air pollution.

本文评估了空气污染对中国出口商出口中国内增加值份额的因果影响。降水作为空气污染的一种手段来缓解内生性。我们的基准工具变量估计确定了空气污染对出口中国内增加值份额的显著负面影响。具体而言,PM2.5年暴露量每增加1 mg/m3,企业出口的国内增加值就会减少3.1447个单位。当风速、气流指数和热逆温被用作替代仪器时,这个结果是成立的。进一步研究表明,空气污染不仅对员工的健康有害,而且对企业的生产力和创新能力也有负面影响。所有这些都可能对国内生产产生负面影响,从而减少国内增加值的份额。最后,中部地区、胡焕庸线以东、低空高压城市和外资企业受影响较大。本文提供的经验证据表明,空气污染可能会影响全球生产的组织,即中国出口产品中国内增加值的份额,这无疑有助于更全面地理解空气污染的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Impact of the green credit policy on external financing, economic growth and energy consumption of the manufacturing industry 绿色信贷政策对制造业外部融资、经济增长和能耗的影响
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.03.007
Sheng Wu , Liangpeng Wu , Xianglian Zhao

China attempts to achieve energy conservation, emission reduction and environmental protection through the implementation of the green credit policy, but its implementation impact is still controversial. An important content of the green credit policy is to require banking and financial institutions to tighten the credit exposure of industries of ‘high pollution and high energy consumption’ and industries with overcapacity, so as to use economic leverage to curb their blind expansion and reduce energy consumption by controlling external financing. This paper examined the impact and the lingering effects of the green credit policy on external financing, economic growth and energy consumption in the manufacturing industry, which was most influenced by the green credit policy, from 2003 to 2016 by using the DID method. Furthermore, this paper estimated the dynamic endogenous relationships among external financing, economic growth and energy consumption with two-step system GMM model to investigate the influential path of the green credit policy. The results showed that: the green credit policy had a significant negative impact on the external financing of manufacturing industry, but its negative impact on the economic growth and energy consumption of manufacturing industry was not statistically significant, and the effect of the green credit policy had a dynamic feature of weakening with time. Additionally, in the manufacturing industry, there was a bilateral causal relationship between the energy consumption and economic growth of the control group industry and the processing group industry. There was a bilateral causal relationship between the economic growth and external financing of the control group industries in the manufacturing industry. There was a unilateral causal relationship between the economic growth and external financing of the processing group industries in the manufacturing industry, while the external causality existed between the control group industries and the processing group industries in the manufacturing industry. The causal relationship between the financing and energy consumption was not statistically significant. At present, the transmission path of the green credit policy is that the green credit policy controls external financing, then affects economic growth and ultimately inhibits energy consumption, but the effectiveness of the path is not statistically significant. The conclusion of this paper provides policy reference and scientific basis for the adjustment and improvement of green credit.

中国试图通过实施绿色信贷政策来实现节能减排和环境保护,但其实施效果仍存在争议。绿色信贷政策的一个重要内容是要求银行和金融机构收紧“高污染、高能耗”行业和产能过剩行业的信贷敞口,通过控制外部融资,利用经济杠杆抑制其盲目扩张,降低能耗。本文采用DID方法,研究了2003 - 2016年绿色信贷政策对受绿色信贷政策影响最大的制造业的外部融资、经济增长和能源消耗的影响及余留效应。在此基础上,利用两步制GMM模型估计了外部融资、经济增长和能源消费三者之间的动态内生关系,探讨了绿色信贷政策的影响路径。研究结果表明:绿色信贷政策对制造业外部融资具有显著的负向影响,但对制造业经济增长和能源消耗的负向影响不具有统计学意义,并且绿色信贷政策的影响具有随时间减弱的动态特征。此外,在制造业中,控制组行业和加工组行业的能源消耗与经济增长之间存在双边因果关系。制造业中控制组行业的经济增长与外部融资存在双边因果关系。制造业中加工集团产业的经济增长与外部融资存在单边因果关系,而制造业中控制组产业与加工集团产业之间存在外部因果关系。融资与能源消耗之间的因果关系无统计学意义。目前绿色信贷政策的传导路径是绿色信贷政策控制外部融资,进而影响经济增长,最终抑制能源消费,但该路径的有效性并不具有统计学意义。本文的研究结论为绿色信贷的调整和完善提供了政策参考和科学依据。
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引用次数: 30
China’s factor reallocation effect considering energy 考虑能源因素的中国要素再配置效应
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.03.005
Guangqing Xu, Xiaoyu Chen

Decomposing growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) into internal growth effect and the effect of factor reallocation formed by the flow of capital, labor and energy between sectors, we took 23 subsectors as the research object and adopted the multi-sector growth accounting framework (MSGAF) to verify the ‘structural bonus hypothesis’ from 2005 to 2017. The study drew the following conclusions: First, internal growth effect represented by sectoral technology progress was still the main contributor to TFP growth of the overall economy, but the contribution rate had decreased. Second, the reallocation effect of capital changed from structural burden to structural bonus. Third, the reallocation effect of labor showed a trend of first rising and then falling, changing from structural bonus to structural burden. Forth, the effect of energy reallocation was gradually emerging, with a shift from structural burden to structural bonus. Based on these research results, we argue that more attention should be paid to the efficiency of factor reallocation in addition to the technology progress. The inefficiency of factor reallocation caused by imperfect market and asymmetric information would partially offset the effect of technology progress and hinder the high-quality economic development. In view of the reallocation of capital, labor and energy, we propose the following suggestions: For capital, macro-control and market mechanism should be comprehensively accounted for. Further, capital must be allocated per the principle of profit maximization to ensure that its elasticity and allocation efficiency will be improved. The reallocation of labor should not only be limited to the 3-sector level. More attention should be paid to the marginal output differences within the secondary sector. For energy, attention should be paid to the elasticity of energy output between sectors to avoid inefficient allocation. It is also necessary to accelerate the phase-out of industries with high energy consumption and high pollution, promote the development of low energy industries to encourage ‘energy conservation and emission reduction’ as well as ‘green development’ by increasing the effect of energy reallocation.

将全要素生产率(TFP)增长率分解为内部增长效应和部门间资本、劳动力和能源流动形成的要素再配置效应,以23个子部门为研究对象,采用多部门增长核算框架(MSGAF)对2005 - 2017年的“结构性红利假说”进行验证。研究得出以下结论:第一,以行业技术进步为代表的内部增长效应仍然是整体经济全要素生产率增长的主要贡献者,但贡献率有所下降。二是资本再配置效应由结构性负担向结构性红利转变。三是劳动力再配置效应呈现先上升后下降的趋势,由结构性红利向结构性负担转变。四是能量再配置效应逐步显现,由结构性负担向结构性红利转变。基于这些研究结果,我们认为在技术进步的基础上,应该更多地关注要素再配置的效率。市场不完善和信息不对称导致的要素再配置效率低下会部分抵消技术进步的影响,阻碍经济的高质量发展。针对资本、劳动力、能源的再配置问题,我们提出以下建议:对资本来说,要综合考虑宏观调控和市场机制。其次,资本配置必须遵循利润最大化的原则,以保证资本的弹性和配置效率的提高。劳动力的再配置不应仅仅局限于三部门层面。应更多地注意第二部门内部的边际产出差异。在能源方面,应注意部门间能源产出的弹性,避免低效配置。加快淘汰高耗能、高污染产业,促进低能耗产业发展,通过增强能源配置效应,鼓励“节能减排”和“绿色发展”。
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引用次数: 1
Do people really support conservation? Evidence from China and the United States 人们真的支持自然保护吗?来自中国和美国的证据
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.03.002
Mengqiao Wang

Survey studies have consistently shown strong public support for biodiversity conservation, even though conservation regulations often face strong local resistance when they are implemented. This seemingly contradictory phenomenon is due to the fact that previous polls have sought opinion only in the abstract, yet many conservation measures are implemented at the expense of local economic development, and policymakers often face a ‘Conservation-Development Tradeoff’-a policy dilemma that remains understudied by social scientists. To fill this gap, this study conducts one of the first comparative surveys on public support for biodiversity conservation in China and the United States. I measure public support for conservation using two separate question versions online. The ‘regular version’ asks directly about individual support for biodiversity conservation, and the “tradeoff version” asks the same question but in the context of the policy tradeoff. The results show that both American and Chinese citizens are highly supportive of conservation in the abstract. But after they learn about the tradeoff effect, the aggregate support falls sharply, and the Chinese citizens show significantly less support compared to their American counterparts. The survey findings expanded on existing academic research on public attitudes toward conservation policies and can encourage future conservation policymakers to understand the significance of the tradeoff issue, as conventional wisdom may have overestimated public support for biodiversity conservation. Moreover, as China has become a crucial player in global conservation governance, understanding the Chinese public sentiment on the real-world policy dilemma can have important implications for conservation policymaking in the world.

调查研究一致显示公众对生物多样性保护的强烈支持,尽管保护法规在实施时往往面临强烈的当地阻力。这一看似矛盾的现象是由于之前的民意调查只是在抽象层面上寻求意见,而许多保护措施的实施是以牺牲当地经济发展为代价的,政策制定者经常面临“保护与发展的权衡”——这是一个社会科学家尚未充分研究的政策困境。为了填补这一空白,本研究对中国和美国公众对生物多样性保护的支持度进行了首次比较调查。我在网上用两个不同的问题版本来衡量公众对自然保护的支持程度。“常规版本”直接询问个人对生物多样性保护的支持,而“权衡版本”提出了同样的问题,但在政策权衡的背景下。结果表明,中美两国公民在抽象意义上都高度支持保护。但在他们了解了权衡效应之后,总体支持率急剧下降,中国公民的支持率明显低于美国公民。调查结果扩展了现有的关于公众对保护政策态度的学术研究,并可以鼓励未来的保护政策制定者了解权衡问题的重要性,因为传统智慧可能高估了公众对生物多样性保护的支持。此外,随着中国成为全球保护治理的重要参与者,了解中国公众对现实世界政策困境的看法对世界各国的保护政策制定具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 2
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Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment
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