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Does economic growth stimulate energy consumption? New evidence from national and regional levels in China 经济增长会刺激能源消费吗?来自中国国家和区域层面的新证据
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.06.003
Defu Zhao , Jiahai Yuan , Shan Fu , Yan Song , Yuan Wang , Yanyan Liu , Jian Zhang

A detailed investigation of the nexus between economic growth and energy use is imperative for formulating sustainable development policies. In this study, we examine panel cointegration and causality relations among economic growth, energy use, capital stock, and labor in 30 Chinese provinces between 2000–2019. We conduct a comprehensive empirical analysis based on panel modeling and a neoclassical production function. The findings of the second-generation panel unit root and co-integration tests reveal that these variables have long-term co-integration linkages. We then perform a panel cointegration estimation using the fully modified ordinary least squares technique and find that total energy consumption, electricity consumption, capital stock, and labor significantly influence economic growth at the national and regional levels in China. Moreover, the outcomes of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality test indicate the existence of a two-way causal nexus between economic output and total energy consumption at the national level, but only a causal link from GDP to total energy use in the eastern and central regions. Conversely, a causality from total energy use to economic output is identified in the western region. Finally, we provide policy implications for the sustainable development of both energy and the economy at the national and regional levels.

为了制订可持续发展政策,必须详细调查经济增长和能源使用之间的关系。在本研究中,我们检验了2000-2019年间中国30个省份的经济增长、能源使用、资本存量和劳动力之间的面板协整和因果关系。本文基于面板模型和新古典生产函数进行了全面的实证分析。第二代面板单位根和协整检验的结果表明,这些变量具有长期协整联系。然后,我们使用完全修正的普通最小二乘技术进行面板协整估计,发现总能源消耗、电力消耗、资本存量和劳动力显著影响中国国家和地区层面的经济增长。此外,dumitrescue - hurlin因果检验的结果表明,在国家层面上,经济产出与能源消费总量之间存在双向因果关系,但在东部和中部地区,GDP与能源消费总量之间仅存在因果关系。相反,在西部地区,能源使用总量与经济产出之间存在因果关系。最后,我们在国家和区域层面为能源和经济的可持续发展提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 2
Government subsidies, dual-credit policy, and enterprise performance: Empirical evidence from Chinese listed new energy vehicle companies 政府补贴、双积分政策与企业绩效:来自中国新能源汽车上市公司的经验证据
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.06.004
Lingling Pei , Hui Kong , Yiyin Xu
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引用次数: 0
Modeling urban land use dynamics using Markov-chain and cellular automata in Gondar City, Northwest Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西北部贡达尔市城市土地利用动态的马尔可夫链和元胞自动机建模
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.06.007
Ergo Beyene , Amare Sewnet Minale

Modeling urban land-use dynamics is critical for urban experts’ and infrastructure managers’ planning. This study attempts to explore the land-use/land-cover (LULC) dynamics of Gondar using satellite images from 1984 to 2020. Markov-Chain and Cellular Automata (MC-CA) models have been recognized as performing well in predicting urban land-use change. However, only a few models work in Ethiopia in general, and no study in Gondar has applied this approach to study urban land-use patterns. Therefore, Gondar land-use/land-cover changes of Gondar were predicted using the MC-CA model in IDRISI. The built-up area in Gondar city covered 1 413 ha (3% of the total area) in 1984 and increased to 2 380 ha (5%) in 1994; 21 153 ha (45.5%) in 2004; 22 622 ha (48.7%) in 2014; and 23 427 ha (50.5%) in 2020. The area has been predicted to reach 57.5% in the 2050s, showing a faster increase that will cause a very vast loss of farmland. This will increase urban sprawl challenges as well as overall environmental disequilibrium in the preceding decade. Thus, innovative and careful structures and systems in urban planning are required to secure a sustainable urban future and to make our cities livable and competitive in the paradigm of sustainable cities.

城市土地利用动态建模对于城市专家和基础设施管理者的规划至关重要。本研究试图利用1984年至2020年的卫星图像探索贡达尔的土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)动态。马尔可夫链和元胞自动机(MC-CA)模型在预测城市土地利用变化方面表现良好。然而,只有少数模型在埃塞俄比亚普遍有效,贡达尔的研究也没有将这种方法应用于研究城市土地利用模式。因此,使用IDRISI中的MC-CA模型预测了贡达尔的土地利用/土地覆盖变化。贡达尔市的建成区面积在1984年达到1 413公顷(占总面积的3%),1994年增加到2 380公顷(5%);2004年为21153公顷(45.5%);2014年为22622公顷(48.7%);2020年为23427公顷(50.5%)。据预测,该地区在2050年代将达到57.5%,增长速度更快,将导致大量农田流失。这将增加城市扩张的挑战,以及前十年的整体环境失衡。因此,城市规划中需要创新和谨慎的结构和系统,以确保可持续的城市未来,并使我们的城市在可持续城市的模式中宜居和具有竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
The impact and heterogeneity analysis of digital financial inclusion on non-farm employment of rural labor 数字金融普惠对农村劳动力非农就业的影响及异质性分析
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.06.006
Jin Ren, Tingting Gao, Xin Shi, Xinrui Chen, Keyi Mu

This study examines the effects of digital financial inclusion on non-farm employment of rural labor and the mediating mechanism of innovation and entrepreneurship activity using China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) and the provincial index of digital financial inclusion. Through the empirical test of the Probit model and mediation effect model, we found that: firstly, digital financial inclusion can promote non-farm employment of rural labor, with the level of digitalization having the most significant impact; secondly, by encouraging innovation and entrepreneurial activity, digital financial inclusion can promote non-farm employment of rural labor; thirdly, the driving effect of digital financial inclusion on non-farm employment of rural labor is more pronounced among the unmarried, eastern region, and male labor. Therefore, we should improve the construction of rural digital infrastructure and accelerate the development of inclusive rural finance to promote more diversified non-farm employment options for “disadvantaged groups”; encourage and support innovation at the government level, and create a favorable atmosphere for innovation and entrepreneurship. Simultaneously, farmers’ digital literacy and financial knowledge should be improved so that more can adopt and take advantage of digital financial inclusion.

本研究利用中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)和省级数字金融普惠指数,考察了数字金融普惠对农村劳动力非农就业的影响以及创新创业活动的中介机制。通过Probit模型和中介效应模型的实证检验,我们发现:首先,数字金融普惠能够促进农村劳动力的非农就业,其中数字化水平的影响最为显著;其次,通过鼓励创新创业活动,数字金融普惠可以促进农村劳动力的非农就业;第三,数字金融普惠对农村劳动力非农就业的驱动作用在未婚、东部地区和男性劳动力中更为显著。因此,要完善农村数字基础设施建设,加快发展普惠性农村金融,促进“弱势群体”非农就业选择更加多样化;鼓励和支持政府层面的创新,营造良好的创新创业氛围。同时,农民的数字素养和金融知识应该得到提高,以便更多的人能够采用和利用数字金融包容性。
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引用次数: 2
Has China-ASEAN Trade opening increased China’s carbon emissions? 中国-东盟贸易开放是否增加了中国的碳排放?
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.06.002
Yanchun Yi, Yixin Geng, Mingxin Yang

This study uses carbon emission data at the provincial level in China between 1998–2018 and the proportion of the total import and export trade between provinces and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in GDP to measure the level of China-ASEAN trade openness. It examines the impact of China-ASEAN trade openness on carbon emissions and its transmission mechanism, and selects the RMB/USD exchange rate as an instrumental variable to address the endogeneity of China-ASEAN trade openness variables. The impact of China-ASEAN trade openness on China’s environment is estimated within a two-stage least squares framework. The results show that trade openness between China and ASEAN positively impacts China’s environment and can facilitate carbon emission reduction. The scale, structural, and technology effects brought by China-ASEAN trade liberalization jointly promote China’s carbon dioxide emission reduction. An inverted “U” relationship is found between economic growth and environmental quality in China, and some provinces and municipalities have now crossed the inflection point of the curve, in which carbon emi-ssions decrease with an increase in per capita wealth.

本研究利用1998-2008年中国省级碳排放数据以及各省与东南亚国家联盟(东盟)进出口贸易总额占GDP的比例来衡量中国-东盟贸易开放水平。考察了中国-东盟贸易开放对碳排放的影响及其传导机制,并选取人民币/美元汇率作为工具变量来解决中国-东盟的贸易开放变量的内生性问题。中国-东盟贸易开放对中国环境的影响是在两阶段最小二乘法框架内估计的。结果表明,中国与东盟的贸易开放对中国的环境产生了积极影响,有利于碳减排。中国-东盟贸易自由化带来的规模效应、结构效应和技术效应共同推动了中国的二氧化碳减排。在中国,经济增长与环境质量之间存在倒“U”型关系,一些省市现在已经跨过了曲线的拐点,其中碳排放随着人均财富的增加而减少。
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引用次数: 1
Regional difference and dynamic evolution of development quality of power industry in China 中国电力工业发展质量的区域差异与动态演变
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.03.001
Sha Yu , Yongjian Pu , Lefeng Shi , Hao Yu , Yixiang Huang

To achieve the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality and maintain high-quality economic growth, China is currently striving to improve the quality of development of its power sector. In this regard, revealing the regional differences and evolutionary trends in the development quality of China’ power sector has a high value to inspire the next improvement direction toward how to integrate regional power recourses to an overall optimization level. Motived by this purpose, this paper uses the entropy method to evaluate the comprehensive and subsystem indices of the development quality of the power industry, and reveals their regional differences and evolutionary trends with the help of the Dagum Gini coefficient and Kernel density estimation methods. The findings show that: There are obvious regional differences in the development quality of China’s power industry, and the differences are steadily declining in all regions except the West. Regional differences are mainly derived from inter-regional differences, with the largest inter-regional differences in the East-Northeast region. Intra-regional differences show a distribution pattern of East > West > Northeast > Center.

为实现碳调峰和碳中和目标,保持经济高质量增长,中国正在努力提高电力行业发展质量。因此,揭示中国电力行业发展质量的区域差异及其演化趋势,对于如何整合区域电力资源达到整体优化水平,对下一步的改进方向具有较高的启发价值。基于此,本文采用熵值法对电力工业发展质量的综合指标和分系统指标进行评价,并借助Dagum基尼系数和核密度估计方法揭示其区域差异和演化趋势。研究结果表明:中国电力工业发展质量存在明显的区域差异,除西部地区外,各地区差异均在稳步下降。区域差异主要来源于区域间差异,区域间差异最大的是东北偏东地区。区域内差异呈现出东部>西比;在东北中心。
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引用次数: 2
Whether the digital economy will successfully encourage the integration of urban and rural development: A case study in China 数字经济能否成功促进城乡一体化发展——以中国为例
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.03.002
Yafei Wang, Qingyun Peng, Chao Jin, Jin Ren, Yuanyuan Fu, Xiaofeng Yue

The digital economy has become an important driver for stimulating economic growth. The digital economy has now widely penetrated the fields of economy and society, providing new opportunities for the development of urban-rural integration. Based on panel data for 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020, this study constructed an index system for the integration of the digital economy and the development of urban–rural areas and conducted a systematic measurement analysis. Additionally, we used a two-step system of GMM estimation to analyze the impact of the digital economy on the development of urban-rural integration. The findings demonstrate the significant imbalance paradox of China’s digital economy development, which is shown in a gradient where the eastern region is higher than the center and the central region is higher than the west. Urban-rural integration levels in China fluctuate and display geographical variance, typically displaying high levels in the east and low levels in the west. Urban-rural integration is significantly encouraged by the digital economy, yet it varies in variability between different areas and dimensions. Additionally, rural human capital moderates the favorable effects of the digital economy on urban-rural integration. As a result, in order to achieve the integrated development of urban and rural areas, it is imperative to fully exploit the active role of the digital economy, better support the development of rural revitalization, bridge the “digital divide” between urban and rural development, and build a strong foundation for the formation of a digital urban-rural integrated development pattern with urban and rural areas and common construction and sharing.

数字经济已成为拉动经济增长的重要驱动力。数字经济已经广泛渗透到经济社会领域,为城乡一体化发展提供了新的机遇。本研究基于2011-2020年中国30个省份的面板数据,构建了数字经济与城乡发展融合的指标体系,并进行了系统的测度分析。此外,我们使用两步GMM估计系统来分析数字经济对城乡一体化发展的影响。研究结果表明,中国数字经济发展存在显著的不平衡悖论,表现为东部高于中部、中部高于西部的梯度。中国的城乡一体化水平具有波动性和地域差异性,通常表现为东部高水平和西部低水平。数字经济极大地鼓励了城乡一体化,但不同地区和不同维度的城乡一体化差异很大。此外,农村人力资本调节了数字经济对城乡一体化的有利影响。因此,为了实现城乡一体化发展,必须充分发挥数字经济的积极作用,更好地支持乡村振兴的发展,弥合城乡发展之间的“数字鸿沟”,为形成城乡一体、共建共享的数字城乡融合发展格局奠定坚实基础。
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引用次数: 9
Integrating the valence theory and the norm activation theory to understand consumers’ e-waste recycling intention 整合价态理论和规范激活理论来理解消费者的电子垃圾回收意愿
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.03.003
Hong Thi Thu Nguyen

Electrical and electronic waste (e-waste) is a growing challenge, matching the widespread boom in the use of information and communication technology. Opposite to an alarming increasing amount of e-waste, a low rate of consumer engagement in ensuring the proper disposal of such materials intensifies the pressure on the existing e-waste crisis. To deal with this thorny problem, it is of great interest to grasp consumers’ disposal and recycling behavioral intentions. Therefore, this study attempts to understand complementary perspectives around consumers’ e-waste recycling intention based on the integration of the valence theory and the norm activation theory. Four data mining models using classification and prediction-based algorithms, namely Chi-squared automatic interaction detector (CHAID), Neural network, Discriminant analysis, and Quick, unbiased, efficient statistical tree (QUEST), were employed to analyze a set of the 398 data collected in Vietnam. The results revealed that the social support value is by far the most critical predictor, followed by the utilitarian value, task difficulty, and monetary risk. It is also noteworthy that the awareness of consequences, education background, the ascription of responsibility, and age were also ranked as critical affecting factors. The lowest influential predictors found in this study were income and gender. In addition, a comparison was made in terms of the classification performance of the four utilized data mining techniques. Based on several evaluation measurements (confusion matrix, accuracy, precision, recall, specificity, F-measure, ROC curve, and AUC), the aggregated results suggested that CHAID and Neural network performed the best. The findings of this research are expected to assist policymakers and future researchers in updating all information surrounding consumer behavioral intention-related topics focusing on e-waste. Furthermore, the adoption of data mining algorithms for prediction is another insight of this study, which may shed the light on data mining applications in such environmental studies in the future.

随着信息和通信技术的广泛使用,电气和电子废物(电子废物)是一个日益严峻的挑战。与电子废物数量惊人地增加相反,消费者在确保妥善处置这些材料方面的参与度较低,加剧了现有电子废物危机的压力。为了解决这一棘手的问题,掌握消费者的处理和回收行为意图是很有意义的。因此,本研究试图在价理论与规范激活理论整合的基础上,了解消费者电子垃圾回收意愿的互补视角。采用基于分类和预测算法的四种数据挖掘模型,即卡方自动交互检测器(CHAID)、神经网络、判别分析和快速、无偏、高效统计树(QUEST),对在越南收集的398组数据进行了分析。结果显示,社会支持价值是最重要的预测因子,其次是功利价值、任务难度和货币风险。同样值得注意的是,对后果的认识、教育背景、责任归属和年龄也被列为关键影响因素。在这项研究中,影响最小的预测因素是收入和性别。此外,还比较了四种数据挖掘技术的分类性能。综合多个评价指标(混淆矩阵、准确度、精密度、召回率、特异性、f值、ROC曲线和AUC),结果表明CHAID和神经网络表现最好。本研究的结果有望帮助政策制定者和未来的研究人员更新有关消费者行为意图的所有信息,重点关注电子垃圾。此外,采用数据挖掘算法进行预测是本研究的另一个见解,这可能会为未来数据挖掘在此类环境研究中的应用提供启示。
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引用次数: 1
Exploring the unique characteristics of environmental sustainability in China: Navigating future challenges 探索中国环境可持续性的独特特征:应对未来挑战
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2023.03.004
Md. Ziaul Islam , Shuwei Wang

With the pace of global sustainable development, China has improved significantly in tackling environmental problems such as carbon emissions, climate change, air, water, and soil pollution, and wildlife extinction. Our study shows that despite China’s economic policy reform, several issues persist, including inequality between society and region, depletion and waste of resources, and damage to the natural environment. The study observed that China shuts low-level oil and coal-based power plants to prevent air pollution, promote a zero-carbon world, and reduce carbon intensity to 18.8%. The country also increased forest coverage by nearly 23.4%, declared five national parks in 2021, cleaned 98% of polluted water bodies, and improved the air quality in many big cities. A country like China has shown deep concern for environmental sustainability and has formulated many policies, laws, and regulations to prevent and conserve the environment and biodiversity and ensure sustainable economic development. This study argues that the Chinese concept of ecological civilization construction adheres to global sustainable development as both pursuits of achieving sustainable conservation of natural resources and improving the livelihoods of the people. Therefore, this paper reviews China’s policies toward ecological civilization (EC), which aim to create a beautiful China by 2035 on the outline of the UN Sustainable Development Goals 2030. The present study also addresses the issues the Chinese government faces while implementing environmental sustainability.

随着全球可持续发展的步伐,中国在应对碳排放、气候变化、空气、水和土壤污染以及野生动物灭绝等环境问题方面取得了显著进步。我们的研究表明,尽管中国进行了经济政策改革,但仍存在一些问题,包括社会和地区之间的不平等、资源的消耗和浪费以及对自然环境的破坏。该研究观察到,中国关闭了低水平的石油和煤炭发电厂,以防止空气污染,促进零碳世界,并将碳强度降至18.8%。中国还将森林覆盖率提高了近23.4%,在2021年宣布了五个国家公园,清洁了98%的污染水体,改善了许多大城市的空气质量。像中国这样的国家对环境可持续性表现出了深切的关注,并制定了许多政策、法律和法规来预防和保护环境和生物多样性,确保经济可持续发展。本研究认为,中国的生态文明建设理念坚持全球可持续发展,既是对实现自然资源可持续保护的追求,也是对改善人民生活的追求。因此,本文回顾了中国在2030年联合国可持续发展目标纲要上提出的到2035年建设美丽中国的生态文明政策。本研究还探讨了中国政府在实施环境可持续性时面临的问题。
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引用次数: 5
Does internet use improve the public evaluation of government environmental governance (GEG) in China? An analysis using the Chinese Social Survey, 2013-2017 互联网的使用是否提高了公众对中国政府环境治理的评价?基于2013-2017年中国社会调查的分析
IF 9.3 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2022.11.001
Jinghuan Chen, Jason A. Jean, Yunliang Zhang, Yixi Lu

Based on three datasets of the Chinese Social Survey (CSS) 2013, 2015, and 2017 and the National Statistical Yearbook, this study examined whether and in what ways using the Internet may or may not affect the public evaluation of government environmental governance (GEG). There are three main findings. First, Internet use has a negative influence on the public evaluation of GEG. Second, there has been an urban-rural difference in terms of Internet use; especially for the rural resident, increasing their use of the Internet significantly lowered their evaluation of GEG. Third, Internet use affects GEG mainly through political trust, whilst it tends to enhance people’s perception of environmental problems; however, it has little influence on their evaluation of GEG. This finding implies that public evaluation of GEG should be viewed as an important inter-subjective dimension of GEG; especially in the Internet era, it has become increasingly necessary for the government to not only continuously improve the quality of governance by dealing with actual/practical environmental issues, but also enhance its ability to react to the public opinions online effectively and appropriately.

基于2013年、2015年和2017年中国社会调查(CSS)和《国家统计年鉴》的三个数据集,本研究考察了互联网的使用是否以及以何种方式影响政府环境治理(GEG)的公众评价。主要有三个发现。首先,互联网使用对政府服务的公众评价有负面影响。第二,在互联网使用方面存在城乡差异;特别是对于农村居民来说,增加互联网的使用显著降低了他们对GEG的评价。第三,互联网的使用主要通过政治信任来影响环境绩效,同时它往往会增强人们对环境问题的感知;然而,这对他们对GEG的评价影响不大。这一发现表明,公众对政府绩效的评价应被视为政府绩效的一个重要的主体间维度;特别是在互联网时代,政府不仅要通过处理实际环境问题不断提高治理质量,而且要增强有效、恰当地回应网络民意的能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment
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