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Substitutability of urban sustainability assessment indicators: A semantic similarity analysis
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.11.007
Yunlin He , Tianshu Yu , Jiangming Ma
Urban sustainability assessment is an effective method for objectively presenting the current state of sustainable urban development and diagnosing sustainability-related issues. As the global community intensifies its efforts to implement the sustainable development goals (SDGs), the demand for assessing progress in urban sustainable development has increased. This has led to the emergence of numerous indicator systems with varying scales and themes published by different entities. Cities participating in these evaluations often encounter difficulties in matching indicators or the absence of certain indicators. In this context, urban decision-makers and planners urgently need to identify substitute indicators that can express the semantic meaning of the original indicators and consider the availability of indicators for participating cities. Hence, this study explores the relationships of substitution between indicators and constructs a collection of substitute indicators to serve as a reference for sustainable urban development assessment. Specifically, building on a review of international and Chinese indicators related to urban sustainability assessment, this study employs natural semantic analysis methods based on the Word2Vec model and cosine similarity algorithm to calculate the similarity between indicators related to sustainable urban development. The results show that the Skip-gram algorithm with a word vector dimensionality of 600 has the best performance in terms of calculating the similarity between sustainable urban development assessment indicators. The findings provide valuable insights into selecting substitute indicators for future sustainable urban development assessment, particularly in China.
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引用次数: 0
Exploration of home care models for disabled older adults in China: Challenges and choices
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.11.015
Lingling Zhang , Ling Yang
This study explores the challenges and strategies of home care models for older adults with disabilities in China. The following challenges have been identified: limited policy support and lack of effective connections between different systems, pressure on caregivers, underestimation of caregivers’ value, and inadequate service capacity of community institutions. Evidence-based suggestions to promote the development of home care models for older adults with disabilities include establishing a family caregiver compensation mechanism and psychological support system, strengthening community health centers from quantity to service capabilities for aging-in-place services, and promoting the integration of pension, disability, and health insurance systems.
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable reputation of lithium-ion battery supplier and its impact on transaction equilibrium in the electric vehicle supply chain
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.11.004
Yuan Liu , Yunqi Li , Jingjing Hao , Lingxuan Sun
In the lithium-ion battery (LIB) supply-chain, transactions involve several rounds of ordering, production and delivery between LIB suppliers and electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers. The sustainable performance of LIB suppliers, related to various characteristics, significantly affects the participants’ sustainable reputations. The EV-LIB supply-chain transaction mechanism is explored from the perspective of the exchange economy comprehensively addressing both short-term economic profit and long-term sustainable reputation. Specifically, a “profit-reputation” utility function is proposed to reflect participants’ expectations regarding cooperation profit and sustainable reputation. Additionally, an Edgeworth box model is developed to describe the participant’s balance determinations as a contract curve, revealing the Pareto conditions for mutually beneficial transactions based on sustainable performance. Furthermore, several principal-agent models are established to analyze the equilibrium of sustainable transactions within the EV-LIB supply-chain under varying dominance scenarios. A case study of an EV-LIB transaction is conducted to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness. This study aims to assist supply chain managers, researchers and decision-makers in exploring the role of participant’s sustainable reputation and its influence on supply-chain transaction and equilibrium, particularly in the context of designing cooperative contracts and negotiation process to foster sustainable supply chains.
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引用次数: 0
Construction of an indicator library for cities’ sustainable development
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.11.010
Maomao Yan , Feng Yang , Lingna Liu , Dehua Guo , Chao Li
Cities are key to countries’ strategies for achieving the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs). In China, evaluating cities’ sustainable development (CSD) processes and abilities requires establishing an indicator library for cities’ sustainable development (ILCSD). Based on the SDG framework, and referring to typical evaluation systems and international standards, this study proposes an ILCSD, aiming to promote new urbanization and high-quality development in China. Using a step-by-step “eliminate–replace–augment” indicator selection method that takes mature indicators from existing standards for city evaluation, we form an ILCSD that responds to the SDGs while meeting China’s specific needs. Using the ILCSD, cities can select a set of indicators to assess and monitor their strengths and weaknesses. Through empirical analysis, we verify the feasibility of using ILCSD to construct a CSD evaluation system for Beijing, China. For the first time, ILCSD has established a mapping relationship between the core indicators from domestic and foreign standards of city development and the SDGs . It provides a tool for cities in different regions, at different stages of development and with different endowment types to select high-quality indicators according to local conditions, effectively solving the “last mile” problem of SDGs implementation at the city level. In the process of implementing indicators, we further suggest that important indicators with incomplete statistical data should nevertheless be included in the scope of cities’ statistical monitoring. This study’s findings can facilitate China’s contribution to global sustainable development indicators and to future revisions of international standards.
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引用次数: 0
Overview of China’s national park system reform process
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.11.011
Yufei Wang , Yixin Hu , Jingyi Liu
Having experienced a high economic growth rate, China is entering into a low one as the country needs to carry out policy reforms for better governance. In recent years, the national park system reform has been one of the pilot policies that has attracted great attention from local governments and the public. The central government established corresponding management systems during the institutional restructuring in 2018, and five out of ten pilots were selected due to their good performance on policy reform in 2021. This paper provides an overview of the policy background, a general introduction to the system, and a discussion of policy implementations. Our research suggests that China’s national parks need to improve their laws and regulations and establish an eco-compensation mechanism to encourage residents to participate in conservation and receive increasing benefits through green development.
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引用次数: 0
Identifying influencing factors and characterizing key issues in urban sustainable development capacity through machine learning 通过机器学习识别城市可持续发展能力中的影响因素并确定关键问题的特征
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.008
Houbo Zhou , Lijie Gao , Longyu Shi , Qiuli Lv
In response to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and China’s “Dual Carbon” Goals (DCGs means the goals of “Carbon Peak and carbon neutrality”), this paper from the perspective of the construction of China’s Innovation Demonstration Zones for Sustainable Development Agenda (IDZSDAs), combines carbon emission-related metrics to construct a comprehensive assessment system for Urban Sustainable Development Capacity (USDC). After obtaining USDC assessment results through the assessment system, an approach combining Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and Random Forest (RF) based on machine learning is proposed for identifying influencing factors and characterizing key issues. Combining Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) analysis, the study further summarizes the systemic patterns and future directions of urban sustainable development. A case study on the IDZSDAs from 2015 to 2022 reveals that: (1) the combined identification method based on machine learning and CCD models effectively quantifies influencing factors and key issues in the urban sustainable development process; (2) the correspondence between influencing factors and key subsystems identified by the LASSO-RF combination model is generally consistent with the development situations in various cities; and (3) the machine learning-based combined recognition method is scalable and dynamic. It enables decision-makers to accurately identify influencing factors and characterize key issues based on actual urban development needs.
为响应联合国可持续发展目标和中国 "双碳 "目标(DCGs,即 "碳峰值和碳中和 "目标),本文从中国可持续发展议程创新示范区(IDZSDAs)建设的角度出发,结合碳排放相关指标,构建了城市可持续发展能力(USDC)综合评估体系。通过该评估系统获得城市可持续发展能力评估结果后,提出了一种基于机器学习的最小绝对收缩和选择操作器(LASSO)回归与随机森林(RF)相结合的方法,用于识别影响因素和表征关键问题。结合耦合协调度(CCD)分析,该研究进一步总结了城市可持续发展的系统模式和未来方向。对 2015 至 2022 年 IDZSDA 的案例研究表明(1)基于机器学习和 CCD 模型的组合识别方法有效量化了城市可持续发展过程中的影响因素和关键问题;(2)LASSO-RF 组合模型识别的影响因素和关键子系统之间的对应关系与各城市的发展状况基本一致;(3)基于机器学习的组合识别方法具有可扩展性和动态性。它使决策者能够根据实际的城市发展需求准确识别影响因素,并对关键问题进行定性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of rural sustainable development and analysis and prediction of obstacles and coupled coordinated development: A case study of Zaozhuang City 农村可持续发展评估与障碍分析预测及耦合协调发展:枣庄市案例研究
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.010
Xuesong Zhan , Huize Zhang , Yufei Zhao , Yu He , Dazheng Li , Fang Wang , Yufen Zhang , Chaofeng Shao
In China, the Innovation Demonstration Zone for the National Sustainable Development Agenda is a key initiative for executing the United Nations (UN) 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The Zone also plays critical roles in addressing the developmental bottlenecks that China faces and sharing Chinese insights into global sustainable development efforts. On July 15, 2022, the State Council endorsed the Zone’s establishment in Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, where it focuses on innovation-led sustainable development in rural areas. Research into the levels, impediments, interdependencies, and evolutionary trends of rural sustainable development is crucial. Therefore, this research aimed to assist in comprehensively assessing developmental challenges and facilitating the harmonious advancement of social, economic, and environmental aspects in rural areas. In pursuit of the three fundamental dimensions of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), namely development’s drivers, quality, and equity, this study was grounded in China’s national Rural Revitalization Strategy and the demands of sustainable development strategies. It also aligns with the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the associated SDG indicators. Focusing on four key areas, namely production elements, natural elements, social elements, and rural governance, this study developed an evaluation index system for assessing the level of rural sustainable development. It employed a range of analytical models, including the game theory-based combination empowerment method, barrier degree model, coupling degree model, coupling coordination degree model, and gray prediction GM(1,1) model, to analyze the status and evolving trends of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang City from 2015 to 2022. The key findings were as follows: ① Relative to the baseline year 2015, the sustainable development level in Zaozhuang’s rural areas has shifted toward an improved state overall. ② The primary barrier to achieving rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang is the city’s rural governance system. ③ While the components of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang are in the early stages of both basic and moderate coordination, an overall enhancement has occurred in their integrative coordination. ④ Between 2023 and 2025, the level of integrative coordination in Zaozhuang is expected to rise steadily. However, reaching a state of advanced coordination will require additional time for development.
在中国,国家可持续发展议程创新示范区是落实联合国 2030 年可持续发展议程的重要举措。该示范区在解决中国面临的发展瓶颈、分享中国对全球可持续发展努力的见解方面也发挥着至关重要的作用。2022年7月15日,国务院批准在山东省枣庄市设立可持续发展实验区,重点研究以创新为引领的农村地区可持续发展问题。研究农村可持续发展的水平、障碍、相互依存关系和演变趋势至关重要。因此,本研究旨在帮助全面评估发展挑战,促进农村地区社会、经济和环境的和谐发展。为了实现联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)的三个基本维度,即发展的动力、质量和公平,本研究立足于中国国家乡村振兴战略和可持续发展战略的要求。同时,本研究也与联合国 2030 年可持续发展议程及相关的可持续发展目标指标相一致。本研究围绕生产要素、自然要素、社会要素和乡村治理四个关键领域,建立了乡村可持续发展水平评价指标体系。研究采用基于博弈论的组合赋权法、障碍度模型、耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型、灰色预测GM(1,1)模型等分析模型,分析了枣庄市2015-2022年农村可持续发展的现状及演变趋势。主要结论如下相对于基线年 2015 年,枣庄市农村可持续发展水平总体上向好的方向转变。枣庄市实现农村可持续发展的主要障碍是农村治理体系。枣庄市农村可持续发展的各个环节处于基本协调和适度协调的初级阶段,但整体协调性有所增强; ③枣庄市农村可持续发展的各个环节处于基本协调和适度协调的初级阶段,但整体协调性有所增强。2023 年至 2025 年,枣庄的综合协调水平将稳步提高。然而,达到高级协调状态还需要更多的发展时间。
{"title":"Assessment of rural sustainable development and analysis and prediction of obstacles and coupled coordinated development: A case study of Zaozhuang City","authors":"Xuesong Zhan ,&nbsp;Huize Zhang ,&nbsp;Yufei Zhao ,&nbsp;Yu He ,&nbsp;Dazheng Li ,&nbsp;Fang Wang ,&nbsp;Yufen Zhang ,&nbsp;Chaofeng Shao","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In China, the Innovation Demonstration Zone for the National Sustainable Development Agenda is a key initiative for executing the United Nations (UN) 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The Zone also plays critical roles in addressing the developmental bottlenecks that China faces and sharing Chinese insights into global sustainable development efforts. On July 15, 2022, the State Council endorsed the Zone’s establishment in Zaozhuang City, Shandong Province, where it focuses on innovation-led sustainable development in rural areas. Research into the levels, impediments, interdependencies, and evolutionary trends of rural sustainable development is crucial. Therefore, this research aimed to assist in comprehensively assessing developmental challenges and facilitating the harmonious advancement of social, economic, and environmental aspects in rural areas. In pursuit of the three fundamental dimensions of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), namely development’s drivers, quality, and equity, this study was grounded in China’s national Rural Revitalization Strategy and the demands of sustainable development strategies. It also aligns with the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the associated SDG indicators. Focusing on four key areas, namely production elements, natural elements, social elements, and rural governance, this study developed an evaluation index system for assessing the level of rural sustainable development. It employed a range of analytical models, including the game theory-based combination empowerment method, barrier degree model, coupling degree model, coupling coordination degree model, and gray prediction GM(1,1) model, to analyze the status and evolving trends of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang City from 2015 to 2022. The key findings were as follows: ① Relative to the baseline year 2015, the sustainable development level in Zaozhuang’s rural areas has shifted toward an improved state overall. ② The primary barrier to achieving rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang is the city’s rural governance system. ③ While the components of rural sustainable development in Zaozhuang are in the early stages of both basic and moderate coordination, an overall enhancement has occurred in their integrative coordination. ④ Between 2023 and 2025, the level of integrative coordination in Zaozhuang is expected to rise steadily. However, reaching a state of advanced coordination will require additional time for development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":"22 3","pages":"Pages 312-325"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effect of building energy efficiency standards on carbon emission efficiency in commercial buildings 建筑节能标准对商业建筑碳排放效率的影响
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.004
Xia Wang , Qi Ye , Yan Du , Mao Zhou
The building sector plays a crucial role in the worldwide shift toward achieving net-zero emissions. Building energy efficiency standards (BEESs) are highly effective policies for reducing carbon emissions. Therefore, exploring the provincial variations in carbon emission efficiency (CEE) in the building sector and identifying the effect of BEESs on CEE is crucial. This study focuses on commercial buildings in China and applies a difference in differences model to evaluate the impact of BEESs on the CEE of commercial buildings. The slacks-based measure–data envelopment analysis model is employed to assess the CEE of commercial buildings in 30 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2019. Furthermore, heterogeneous tests are used to explore how climate characteristics and economic conditions affect the efficiency of BEESs. The results indicate that BEESs positively influence the CEE of commercial buildings. Specifically, a 1% increase in the intensity of BEESs causes a 0.148 4% increase in the CEE of commercial buildings. Moreover, the impact of BEESs is particularly pronounced in the southern and western provinces. This study provides valuable scientific evidence for governments to enhance BEESs implementation.
在全球实现净零排放的过程中,建筑行业发挥着至关重要的作用。建筑能效标准(BEES)是减少碳排放的高效政策。因此,探索建筑领域碳排放效率(CEE)的省际差异并确定 BEES 对 CEE 的影响至关重要。本研究以中国商业建筑为研究对象,采用差异模型评估 BEES 对商业建筑碳排放效率的影响。研究采用基于松弛的计量-数据包络分析模型,评估了 2000 年至 2019 年中国 30 个省份商业建筑的 CEE。此外,还采用了异质性检验来探讨气候特征和经济条件如何影响 BEES 的效率。结果表明,BEES 对商业建筑的 CEE 有积极影响。具体来说,BEES 的强度每增加 1%,商业建筑的 CEE 就会增加 0.148 4%。此外,BEES 的影响在南部和西部省份尤为明显。这项研究为政府加强 BEESs 的实施提供了宝贵的科学依据。
{"title":"Effect of building energy efficiency standards on carbon emission efficiency in commercial buildings","authors":"Xia Wang ,&nbsp;Qi Ye ,&nbsp;Yan Du ,&nbsp;Mao Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The building sector plays a crucial role in the worldwide shift toward achieving net-zero emissions. Building energy efficiency standards (BEESs) are highly effective policies for reducing carbon emissions. Therefore, exploring the provincial variations in carbon emission efficiency (CEE) in the building sector and identifying the effect of BEESs on CEE is crucial. This study focuses on commercial buildings in China and applies a difference in differences model to evaluate the impact of BEESs on the CEE of commercial buildings. The slacks-based measure–data envelopment analysis model is employed to assess the CEE of commercial buildings in 30 Chinese provinces from 2000 to 2019. Furthermore, heterogeneous tests are used to explore how climate characteristics and economic conditions affect the efficiency of BEESs. The results indicate that BEESs positively influence the CEE of commercial buildings. Specifically, a 1% increase in the intensity of BEESs causes a 0.148 4% increase in the CEE of commercial buildings. Moreover, the impact of BEESs is particularly pronounced in the southern and western provinces. This study provides valuable scientific evidence for governments to enhance BEESs implementation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":"22 3","pages":"Pages 250-257"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533883","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Moderating effect of corporate financialization on the impact of climate policy on corporate green innovation: Evidence from China 企业金融化对气候政策对企业绿色创新影响的调节作用:来自中国的证据
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.002
Chao Tu , Zhilong Qin , Qingqing Yang
With intensifying global climate change, humanity is confronted with unparalleled environmental challenges and risks. This study employs the staggered difference-in-difference model to examine the relationship between climate policy and green innovation in the corporate financialization context. Using Chinese-listed company data from 2008 to 2020, our analysis reveals a favorable correlation between China’s carbon emission trading policy (CCTP) and advancements in green innovation. Furthermore, we find that the level of corporate financialization moderates this correlation, diminishing the driving effect of CCTP on green innovation. Additionally, results of heterogeneity analysis show that this moderating consequence is more evident in non-state-owned and low-digitization enterprises compared with state-owned and high-digitization ones. Our findings contribute to the existing literature by clarifying the interaction between CCTP, green innovation, and corporate financialization. Our research provides valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders seeking to strengthen climate policies and encourages green innovation in different types of businesses.
随着全球气候变化的加剧,人类面临着前所未有的环境挑战和风险。本研究采用交错差分模型来研究企业金融化背景下气候政策与绿色创新之间的关系。利用 2008 年至 2020 年的中国上市公司数据,我们的分析揭示了中国碳排放交易政策(CCTP)与绿色创新进步之间的有利相关性。此外,我们还发现,企业金融化水平调节了这种相关性,削弱了碳排放交易政策对绿色创新的推动作用。此外,异质性分析结果表明,与国有企业和高数字化企业相比,这种调节作用在非国有企业和低数字化企业中更为明显。我们的研究结果阐明了 CCTP、绿色创新和企业金融化之间的互动关系,为现有文献做出了贡献。我们的研究为决策者和利益相关者加强气候政策和鼓励不同类型企业的绿色创新提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Technological anxiety: Analysis of the impact of industrial intelligence on employment in China 技术焦虑工业智能化对中国就业的影响分析
IF 3.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.013
Yang Shen , Pengfei Zhou
Employment is the greatest livelihood. Whether the impact of industrial robotics technology materialized in machines on employment in the digital age is an “icing on the cake” or “adding fuel to the fire” needs further study. This study aims to analyze the impact of the installation and application of industrial robots on labor demand in the context of the Chinese economy. First, from the theoretical logic and the economic development law, this study gives the prior judgment and research hypothesis that industrial intelligence will increase jobs. Then, based on the panel data of 269 cities in China from 2006 to 2021, we use the two-way fixed effect model, dynamic threshold model, and two-stage intermediary effect model. The objective is to investigate the impact of industrial intelligence on enterprise labor demand and its path mechanism. Results show that the overall effect of industrial intelligence on the labor force with the installation density index of industrial robots as the proxy variable is the “creation effect”. In other words, advanced digital technology has created additional jobs, and the overall supply of employment in the labor market has increased. The conclusion is still valid after the endogeneity identification and robustness test. In addition, the positive effect has a nonlinear effect on the network scale. When the installation density of industrial robots exceeds a particular threshold value, the division of labor continues to deepen under the combined action of the production efficiency and compensation effects, which will cause enterprises to increase labor demand further. Further research showed that industrial intelligence can increase employment by promoting synergistic agglomeration and improving labor price distortions. This study concludes that in the digital China era, the introduction and installation of industrial robots by enterprises can affect the optimal allocation of the labor market. This phenomenon has essential experience and reference significance for guiding industrial digitalization and intelligent transformation and promoting the high-quality development of people’s livelihood.
就业是最大的民生。数字时代,工业机器人技术在机器上的具体化对就业的影响是 "锦上添花 "还是 "火上浇油",还需要进一步研究。本研究旨在以中国经济为背景,分析工业机器人的安装和应用对劳动力需求的影响。首先,从理论逻辑和经济发展规律出发,本研究给出了工业智能化将增加就业岗位的先验判断和研究假设。然后,基于 2006 年至 2021 年中国 269 个城市的面板数据,采用双向固定效应模型、动态门槛模型和两阶段中介效应模型。目的是研究产业智能化对企业用工需求的影响及其路径机制。结果表明,以工业机器人安装密度指数为替代变量,工业智能化对劳动力的总体影响是 "创造效应"。也就是说,先进的数字化技术创造了更多的就业岗位,劳动力市场的整体就业供给增加了。经过内生性识别和稳健性检验后,该结论依然有效。此外,正效应对网络规模有非线性影响。当工业机器人的安装密度超过某一临界值时,在生产效率效应和补偿效应的共同作用下,分工继续深化,会使企业进一步增加劳动力需求。进一步的研究表明,工业智能化可以通过促进协同集聚和改善劳动力价格扭曲来增加就业。本研究认为,在数字中国时代,企业引进和安装工业机器人会影响劳动力市场的优化配置。这一现象对于引导工业数字化、智能化转型,促进民生高质量发展具有不可或缺的经验和借鉴意义。
{"title":"Technological anxiety: Analysis of the impact of industrial intelligence on employment in China","authors":"Yang Shen ,&nbsp;Pengfei Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cjpre.2024.09.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Employment is the greatest livelihood. Whether the impact of industrial robotics technology materialized in machines on employment in the digital age is an “icing on the cake” or “adding fuel to the fire” needs further study. This study aims to analyze the impact of the installation and application of industrial robots on labor demand in the context of the Chinese economy. First, from the theoretical logic and the economic development law, this study gives the prior judgment and research hypothesis that industrial intelligence will increase jobs. Then, based on the panel data of 269 cities in China from 2006 to 2021, we use the two-way fixed effect model, dynamic threshold model, and two-stage intermediary effect model. The objective is to investigate the impact of industrial intelligence on enterprise labor demand and its path mechanism. Results show that the overall effect of industrial intelligence on the labor force with the installation density index of industrial robots as the proxy variable is the “creation effect”. In other words, advanced digital technology has created additional jobs, and the overall supply of employment in the labor market has increased. The conclusion is still valid after the endogeneity identification and robustness test. In addition, the positive effect has a nonlinear effect on the network scale. When the installation density of industrial robots exceeds a particular threshold value, the division of labor continues to deepen under the combined action of the production efficiency and compensation effects, which will cause enterprises to increase labor demand further. Further research showed that industrial intelligence can increase employment by promoting synergistic agglomeration and improving labor price distortions. This study concludes that in the digital China era, the introduction and installation of industrial robots by enterprises can affect the optimal allocation of the labor market. This phenomenon has essential experience and reference significance for guiding industrial digitalization and intelligent transformation and promoting the high-quality development of people’s livelihood.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45743,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment","volume":"22 3","pages":"Pages 343-355"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142533185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment
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