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Towards a new methodological framework for the delimitation of rural and urban areas: a case study of Serbia 建立农村和城市地区划界的新方法框架:塞尔维亚个案研究
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2018.1503551
A. Gajić, Nikola Krunić, Branko M. Protić
ABSTRACT Abstract: Identification of urban and rural areas has been a widely present topic in the past decades, both in scientific research and in the policy and practice of spatial/regional development and territorial governance. The internationally accepted OECD definition does not produce appropriate results that are able to include the multidimensionality of these territories. In this context, the aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of relevant criteria and indicators of urbanity/rurality that may be significant for the establishment of a methodological framework for identifying urban and rural areas in Serbia. Multivariate analysis (PCA, FA and CA) was used to group local self-government units (LSGU) in Serbia that share similar characteristics. The research resulted in five types of areas which indicate that rural and urban areas in Serbia are very diverse in terms of physiogeographical, socio-economic and functional characteristics. The results of this paper offer a more detailed analysis based on scientifically and empirically selected indicators and can be applied in the practice of spatial and urban planning, and in the adaptation of strategic development documents at the regional or national level.
摘要:城乡区域划分是近几十年来科学研究以及空间/区域发展和国土治理政策与实践中广泛讨论的话题。国际上接受的经合组织定义没有产生能够包括这些领土的多维性的适当结果。在这方面,本文的目的是分析和选择城市/农村的相关标准和指标,这些标准和指标可能对建立确定塞尔维亚城市和农村地区的方法框架具有重要意义。采用多元分析(PCA, FA和CA)对塞尔维亚具有相似特征的地方自治单位(LSGU)进行分组。研究得出了五种类型的地区,这表明塞尔维亚的农村和城市地区在自然地理、社会经济和功能特征方面非常不同。本文的结果基于科学和经验选择的指标提供了更详细的分析,可以应用于空间和城市规划的实践,以及区域或国家层面的战略发展文件的适应。
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引用次数: 14
The dynamics of tourist excursion ratios in Slovakia show caves from 2000 to 2014 从2000年到2014年,斯洛伐克的游客游览比例动态变化
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2018.1503552
Alena Gessert, J. Nestorová-Dická, Ivo Sninčák
ABSTRACT Show caves are one of the most important targets in developing local ecotourism strategies. This work focuses on a tourism visit rate incidence through an Attractiveness Index concerning 12 selected show caves in Slovakia. Our study focuses on visitor counts published from 2000 to 2014. A set of eight criteria were selected in order to analyse and determine the appeal that each cave may have for visitors. Establishing the “degree” of appeal as an indicator of the tourism and geographic absolute attractiveness value is based on a principal components factor analysis; the resultant single factor was correlated with our selected criteria. We find a strong correlation between touristic cave attractiveness and cave locations, ease of cave passage access (vehicle and trail) infrastructures, cave location in main tourism regions, and the growth of urban areas as they encroach on show cave locations. Similar studies in valorization of show caves tourism have not been attempted in Slovakia or Eastern Europe. The data and result from this study are also clearly important from a managerial perspective. This general framework could be easily expanded to include additional attributes that might be relevant for other market segments or other vacation experiences.
摘要:展示洞穴是开发当地生态旅游战略的重要目标之一。这项工作的重点是通过对斯洛伐克12个选定的展示洞穴的吸引力指数来研究旅游访问率。我们的研究重点是2000年至2014年发布的游客数量。为了分析和确定每个洞穴对游客的吸引力,他们选择了一套八项标准。在主成分因子分析的基础上,建立了“吸引力程度”作为旅游地理绝对吸引力值的指标;由此产生的单因素与我们选择的标准相关。研究发现,旅游洞穴的吸引力与洞穴位置、洞穴通道(交通工具和步道)基础设施的便利性、主要旅游区的洞穴位置以及城市区域的增长之间存在很强的相关性,因为它们正在蚕食展示洞穴的位置。在斯洛伐克或东欧还没有进行过类似的岩洞旅游增值研究。从管理角度来看,本研究的数据和结果显然也很重要。这个通用框架可以很容易地扩展,以包含可能与其他细分市场或其他度假体验相关的附加属性。
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引用次数: 5
Assessing the influences of service provision on pace and short and medium term development patterns of residential housing in Dar es Salaam 评估服务提供对达累斯萨拉姆住宅的速度和中短期发展模式的影响
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2018.1500490
A. Namangaya, R. Kiunsi
ABSTRACT The connection between city development patterns, housing and service provision is critical as it affects allocation of scarce resources in the cities of Sub Sahara Africa, where the adopted planning models and concepts seem to have minimal success. Through spatial analysis and quantitative research this study explores sequencing of servicing and housing development as it impacts city spatial growth patterns in a context of resource deficiency in Dar es Salaam City. The study finds that despite households’ land ownership being crucial in city spatial expansion process towards residential house ownership, their actual construction and occupation will depend on the accessibility of services. Moreover, it was established that as more services become available, proportionally, number of people settling in new areas increases. Since this process happens equally in planned and unplanned settlements, this study indicates that it is the availability of services and not land allocation that triggers actual development of residential housing. Thus, service provision determines the pace of change in short and medium city spatial patterns. This implies that in the context of public resource deficiency and self-help housing, strategic investments in basic services such as electricity connection, public transport and portable water is the way to influence actual city development pattern rather than providing plots.
城市发展模式、住房和服务提供之间的联系至关重要,因为它影响撒哈拉以南非洲城市稀缺资源的分配,在那里采用的规划模式和概念似乎很少成功。通过空间分析和定量研究,本研究探讨了达累斯萨拉姆市资源匮乏背景下服务和住房发展顺序对城市空间增长模式的影响。研究发现,尽管家庭土地所有权在城市向住宅所有权的空间扩张过程中起着至关重要的作用,但其实际建设和占用将取决于服务的可及性。此外,可以确定的是,随着提供更多的服务,按比例在新地区定居的人数也会增加。由于这一过程在规划和非规划住区中同样发生,本研究表明,是服务的可得性而不是土地分配触发了住宅的实际发展。因此,服务提供决定了中短期城市空间格局的变化速度。这意味着,在公共资源匮乏和自助住房的背景下,对电力连接、公共交通和饮用水等基本服务的战略投资是影响城市实际发展模式的方式,而不是提供地块。
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引用次数: 7
Artificial neural networks and geostatistical models for housing valuations in urban residential areas 基于人工神经网络和地统计模型的城市住宅估价
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2018.1498364
M. C. Morillo Balsera, S. Martínez-Cuevas, Iñigo Molina Sánchez, Cesar Garcia-Aranda, M. E. Martinez Izquierdo
ABSTRACT Property valuation studies often use classical statistics techniques. Among these techniques, the Artificial Neural Networks are the most applied, overcoming the inflexibility and the linearity of the hedonic models. Other researchers have used Geostatistics techniques, specifically the Kriging Method, for interpreting spatial-temporal variability and to predict housing unit prices. The innovation of this study is to highlight how the Kriging Method can help to better understand the urban environment, improving the results obtained by classical statistics. This study presents two different methods that share the general objective of extracting information regarding a city’s housing from datasets. The procedures applied are Ordinary Kriging (Geostatistics) and Multi-Layer Perceptron algorithm (Artificial Neural Networks). These methods were used to predict housing unit prices in the municipality of Pozuelo de Alarcon (Madrid). The implementation of both methods provides us with the urban characteristics of the study area and the most significant variables related to price. The main conclusion is that the Ordinary Kriging models and the Neural Networks models, applied to predicting housing unit prices are necessary methodologies to improve the information obtained in classical statistical techniques. Abbreviations: ANN: Artificial Neural Networks; OK: ordinary Kriging; MLP: multi-layer perceptron
房地产估价研究经常使用经典的统计技术。在这些技术中,人工神经网络是应用最多的,它克服了享乐模型的不灵活性和线性性。其他研究人员使用地质统计学技术,特别是克里格方法,来解释时空变化并预测住房单价。本研究的创新之处在于突出了克里格方法如何帮助更好地理解城市环境,改进了经典统计的结果。本研究提出了两种不同的方法,它们的共同目标是从数据集中提取有关城市住房的信息。应用的程序是普通克里格(地质统计学)和多层感知器算法(人工神经网络)。这些方法用于预测Pozuelo de Alarcon市(马德里)的住房单价。这两种方法的实施为我们提供了研究区域的城市特征和与价格相关的最显著变量。本文的主要结论是,将普通克里格模型和神经网络模型应用于住房价格预测是改进经典统计技术所获得信息的必要方法。缩写:ANN:人工神经网络;OK:普通克里格;多层感知器
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引用次数: 6
Assessment of greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural sources in order to plan for needs of low carbon economy at local level in Poland 评估农业来源的温室气体排放,以便在波兰地方一级规划低碳经济的需要
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-02-12 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2018.1436447
P. Wiśniewski, M. Kistowski
Abstract Agriculture is often not included in the baseline greenhouse gas (GHG) emission inventories created for local low carbon economy plans in Poland and other European countries. We therefore estimate the size of the carbon footprint from agricultural sources and indicate the share of agriculture in the total GHG emissions in selected Polish communes (LAU level 2). We propose a solution whereby local government units can estimate their carbon footprint independently and monitor the impact of actions taken to reduce emissions. The value of the carbon footprint from agriculture in the selected communes varies from .5 to 46.5 thousand Mg CO2eq/year, with a mean value of 12.6 thousand Mg CO2eq/year and a standard deviation of 11.4 thousand Mg CO2eq/year. Per capita, these values range from 10 kg CO2eq/year to 8.4 Mg CO2eq/year, with a mean of 1.1 Mg CO2eq/year and a standard deviation of 1.5 Mg CO2eq/year. In all communes, the contribution of agriculture to total emissions is at an average of 14% (values range from .2 to 57.4%). The obtained results confirm the appropriateness of including emissions from the agricultural sector and other related sources in low carbon economy plans.
农业通常不包括在波兰和其他欧洲国家为当地低碳经济计划创建的基线温室气体(GHG)排放清单中。因此,我们估算了农业碳足迹的规模,并指出农业在选定的波兰公社的温室气体排放总量中所占的份额(LAU 2级)。我们提出了一个解决方案,即地方政府单位可以独立估算其碳足迹,并监测为减少排放而采取的行动的影响。所选公社的农业碳足迹值在0.5 ~ 46.5万Mg CO2eq/年之间变化,平均值为12.6万Mg CO2eq/年,标准差为11.4万Mg CO2eq/年。这些值的人均范围从10 kg CO2eq/年到8.4 Mg CO2eq/年,平均值为1.1 Mg CO2eq/年,标准差为1.5 Mg CO2eq/年。在所有公社中,农业对总排放量的贡献平均为14%(数值范围从0.2%到57.4%)。所得结果证实了将农业部门和其他相关来源的排放纳入低碳经济计划的适当性。
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引用次数: 13
Long-term growth and metropolitan spatial structures: an analysis of factors influencing urban patch size under different economic cycles 长期增长与都市空间结构:不同经济周期下城市斑块大小的影响因素分析
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1386582
L. Salvati, A. Ferrara, F. Chelli
Abstract Urban forms are increasingly reflective of socio-economic change in metropolitan regions. The present study illustrates an original approach to identify latent mechanisms of urban growth through the analysis of metropolitan spatial structures and their proximate drivers of change. Urban transformations are evaluated here using built-up patches as the elementary analysis unit and background socio-economic attributes at four stages of the “city life cycle” (urbanization, suburbanization, dis-urbanization, re-urbanization). Regression models based on 13 indicators assessing urban patch area and shape, nearest neighbour urban patch area and shape, elevation, distance from 5 urban centres, 2 road infrastructures and sea coastline, were run with the aim to investigate direction and intensity of metropolitan growth in post-war Athens (1948–2012), a southern European city shifting from a compact mono-centric form towards discontinuous urban structures. Mono-centric configurations were characterized by linear dependence of urban patch size from the distance to central cities. Shifts toward scattered urban forms were associated with changes in the multivariate relationship between urban patch size and territorial drivers, pointing out the increased complexity of dispersed metropolitan structures. Our approach integrates economic and ecological visions of urban landscapes and contributes to understanding long-term mechanisms of metropolitan growth under dynamic spatial equilibriums. Investigating the multiple relationships between form and functions at the base of socio-economic transformations are relevant issues when identifying and profiling urbanization cycles.
城市形态日益反映大都市地区的社会经济变化。本研究阐述了一种通过分析都市空间结构及其变化的近因驱动因素来识别城市增长潜在机制的新颖方法。在“城市生命周期”的四个阶段(城市化、郊区化、去城市化、再城市化)中,以建筑斑块为基本分析单元和背景社会经济属性来评价城市转型。基于13个指标的回归模型评估了城市斑块面积和形状、最近的城市斑块面积和形状、海拔、与5个城市中心的距离、2个道路基础设施和海岸线,旨在调查战后雅典(1948-2012)大都市增长的方向和强度。雅典是一个南欧城市,从紧凑的单中心形式转变为不连续的城市结构。单中心格局的城市斑块大小与中心城市的距离呈线性关系。向分散城市形态的转变与城市斑块大小和地域驱动因素之间的多元关系的变化有关,表明分散的大都市结构的复杂性增加。我们的方法整合了城市景观的经济和生态视角,有助于理解动态空间平衡下大都市增长的长期机制。在社会经济转型的基础上调查形式和功能之间的多重关系是识别和描绘城市化周期时的相关问题。
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引用次数: 37
Developing survey metrics for analysing cross-border proximity 制定调查指标,以分析跨境接近性
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1405734
T. Makkonen, Allan M. Williams
Abstract Cross-border innovation cooperation (CBIC) has been heralded as one of the corner stones of innovation-driven growth opportunities for firms located in cross-border regions (CBRs). The success of this cooperation is affected by varying types of proximities identified in the literature as geographical, institutional, cultural, cognitive, technological, organizational and social. Although the topic has been widely discussed, the validation of the concept of proximity vis-à-vis CBIC has been persistently hindered by a lack of readily available empirical metrics. Therefore, this research note attempts to operationalize the varying types of proximity – in relation to CBIC – in the form of a questionnaire tested through pilot studies of two CBRs, at the Finnish–Swedish and Danish–German border, and for two contrasting service industries, namely knowledge-intensive business services and tourism. The findings indicate that the developed survey metrics are effective in depicting the phenomenon of proximity. The foundational work undertaken in this research note provides a platform, and catalyst, for more extensive investigations of the topic.
跨境创新合作(CBIC)被认为是跨境地区企业创新驱动增长机会的基石之一。这种合作的成功受到文献中所指出的地理、体制、文化、认知、技术、组织和社会等各种邻近因素的影响。尽管该主题已被广泛讨论,但由于缺乏现成的经验指标,对-à-vis CBIC接近概念的验证一直受到阻碍。因此,本研究报告试图通过对芬兰-瑞典和丹麦-德国边境的两个cbr进行试点研究,以及对两个截然不同的服务行业,即知识密集型商业服务和旅游业进行问卷调查,对与CBIC相关的不同类型的接近性进行操作。研究结果表明,开发的调查指标在描述接近现象方面是有效的。本研究报告中开展的基础工作为该主题的更广泛调查提供了平台和催化剂。
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引用次数: 8
The development of transport infrastructure and attitudes of the local population: a case study from the Republic of Serbia 交通基础设施的发展和当地居民的态度:来自塞尔维亚共和国的案例研究
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1419369
Smiljana Đukičin Vučković, Jasmina P. Đorđević, Jelena Milanković Jovanov, Ljubica Ivanović Bibić, Branko M. Protić, T. Đorđević, Milan Ivkov
Abstract In the last decades, the development of transport infrastructure has been necessary because of the population increase and expansion of urban centres. Infrastructure development leads to modification and changes in areas characterized by high human population density. The lack of adequate transport infrastructure inhibits local economic and social performance. In the period of economic stability (from 1970 to 1990), important roads that increased the connectedness of the Kolubara District (Western Serbia) with other parts of the country and the surrounding countries were built, but there is still a need for the construction of new roads. In order to examine the attitude of the local population in regard to transport infrastructure, a survey was conducted using a questionnaire consisting of closed questions. This topic is one that has not previously been examined. The data obtained were analyzed statistically and showed that local people have a positive attitude towards the existing infrastructure and towards the construction of new roads. There are statistically significant differences between the attitudes of the local population in different municipalities. The results from this research offer an opportunity to develop guidelines which can influence traffic development in these and similar areas.
在过去的几十年里,由于人口的增加和城市中心的扩张,交通基础设施的发展是必要的。基础设施的发展导致人口密度高的地区发生改变和变化。缺乏适当的运输基础设施阻碍了当地的经济和社会绩效。在经济稳定时期(1970年至1990年),修建了一些重要的道路,增加了科卢巴拉区(西塞尔维亚)与该国其他地区和周边国家的连通性,但仍需要修建新的道路。为了研究当地居民对运输基础设施的态度,使用了一份由封闭式问题组成的调查表进行了调查。这个主题以前没有被研究过。对获得的数据进行统计分析,表明当地人对现有基础设施和新道路的建设持积极态度。不同城市的当地居民的态度有统计学上的显著差异。这项研究的结果为制定指导方针提供了机会,这些指导方针可以影响这些地区和类似地区的交通发展。
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引用次数: 5
Impacts of – and farmers’ adaptation to – land allocation policies in the north central uplands of Vietnam 越南中北部高地土地分配政策对农民和农民适应的影响
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1393344
R. F. Ginzburg, A. Thulstrup, T. T. Nielsen
Abstract A series of policies on land tenure have been implemented in Vietnam following the doi moi restructuring. This study assesses the impacts of these policies, the extent to which they have had intended effects and coping strategies adopted by farmers. Data were collected in five upland villages in Nghe An Province, North Central Vietnam. The intended effects of the land allocation policies were poverty alleviation, intensification of agriculture, agricultural modernization and forest protection. The policies implemented to achieve these goals include changes in land allocation, purportedly to increase land tenure security. However, the policies have been implemented in a very uneven manner and the effects differ widely due to differences in the local contexts in which they have been implemented. In general, farmers perceive the impacts of policies as adverse and have attempted to cope with their impact in a variety of ways. The paper argues that land allocation policies have: (1) decreased the amount of land available, (2) not improved land tenure security and (3) had a limited impact on farming practices. The differences between the five villages are great, demonstrating the very different results produced by national policies depending on the specific implementation modality and the local context.
摘要越南在土地所有制改革后实施了一系列的土地权属政策。本研究评估了这些政策的影响、它们产生预期效果的程度以及农民采取的应对策略。数据收集于越南中北部义安省的五个高地村庄。土地分配政策的预期效果是减轻贫困、加强农业、农业现代化和保护森林。为实现这些目标而实施的政策包括改变土地分配,据称是为了增加土地保有权的保障。然而,这些政策的执行方式非常不均衡,由于实施这些政策的地方背景不同,其效果也有很大差异。一般来说,农民认为政策的影响是不利的,并试图以各种方式应对其影响。本文认为,土地分配政策:(1)减少了可用土地的数量;(2)没有改善土地所有权的保障;(3)对农业实践的影响有限。五个村庄之间的差异很大,这表明国家政策根据具体实施方式和当地情况产生的结果非常不同。
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引用次数: 5
A comparison of results from geomorphological diversity evaluation methods in the Polish Lowland (Toruń Basin and Chełmno Lakeland) 波兰低地(托鲁奇盆地和Chełmno湖区)地貌多样性评价方法结果比较
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1343673
R. Kot
Abstract Geomorphological diversity is part of geodiversity. Study and evaluation of geodiversity, including geomorphological diversity, is often conducted in uplands and mountains, despite the fact that lowland areas are of equal importance. This paper evaluates geomorphological diversity in a small area of the Polish Lowland, using a variety of methods that have been applied in recent times for evaluating geodiversity, and presents the results on maps. By comparing these maps and analyzing the correlation coefficients of the results obtained, it was possible to identify the two methods that were best suited to indicating areas with the greatest geomorphological diversity in the lowlands. These two methods are least affected by the choice of elementary fields and data classification methods applied. The study identified the two areas with the greatest relief diversity and showed that they distinctly differ from one another. They demonstrate the major influence of processes, not only on the topographic parameters and landform types, but above all on identifying and defining total geomorphological diversity. These methods, which can be used to identify the areas with the greatest total geomorphological diversity, could readily be used in applied studies relating to abiotic ecosystem services and landscape management.
地貌多样性是地质多样性的一部分。地质多样性的研究和评价,包括地貌多样性,通常是在高地和山区进行的,尽管低地地区同样重要。本文对波兰低地一小块区域的地貌多样性进行了评估,采用了近年来用于评估地质多样性的各种方法,并在地图上展示了结果。通过比较这些地图并分析所获得结果的相关系数,可以确定最适合指示低地地貌多样性最大地区的两种方法。这两种方法受基本字段选择和数据分类方法的影响最小。研究确定了地形多样性最大的两个地区,并表明它们之间存在明显差异。它们证明了过程的主要影响,不仅对地形参数和地貌类型,而且最重要的是对识别和定义总的地貌多样性。这些方法可用于确定地貌多样性最丰富的地区,并可用于与非生物生态系统服务和景观管理有关的应用研究。
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引用次数: 19
期刊
Geografisk Tidsskrift-Danish Journal of Geography
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