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Statistical EOF analysis of spatiotemporal glacier mass-balance variability: a case study of Mittivakkat Gletscher, SE Greenland 冰川物质平衡时空变率的统计EOF分析——以格陵兰岛东南部Mittivakkat Gletscher冰川为例
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1386581
S. Mernild, A. Beckerman, N. Knudsen, B. Hasholt, J. Yde
Abstract An Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) variance analysis was performed to map in detail the spatiotemporal variability in individual stake mass-balances (ba) on Mittivakkat Gletscher (MG) – in a region where at present five out of ~20.000 glaciers have mass-balance observations. The EOF analysis suggested that observed ba was summarized by two modes: EOF1 and EOF2 represented 80% (significant) and 6% (insignificant) of the explained variance, respectively. EOF1 captured a decline in ba that was uniformly distributed in space at all stakes. The decline was correlated with albedo observations and air temperature observations from nearby stations. EOF2, however, described variations in ba that were heterogeneously distributed among stakes and associated with local slope and aspect. Low elevation stakes (~<400 m a.s.l.) showed relatively negative (out of phase) correlation and higher elevated stakes relatively positive (in phase) eigenvector correlation values with EOF2. Such relatively negative and positive eigenvector correlation values were present where the constituted of exposed glacier ice or snow cover, respectively. The results from this study show how EOF analyses can provide information on spatiotemporal patterns of glacier mass-balance. Understanding such detailed variabilities in mass-balance on a Greenlandic glacier is of interest because a fifth of the Arctic contribution from glaciers and ice caps to sea-level rise originates from Greenland.
摘要采用经验正交函数(EOF)方差分析方法,详细绘制了米蒂瓦卡特格列奇冰川(MG) -上单个冰柱质量平衡(ba)的时空变异性。目前,该地区约20000个冰川中有5个有质量平衡观测。EOF分析表明,观察到的ba由两种模式总结:EOF1和EOF2分别代表解释方差的80%(显著)和6%(不显著)。EOF1捕捉到了ba在空间上均匀分布的下降。这种下降与附近站点的反照率观测和气温观测有关。然而,EOF2描述了ba在桩中分布不均,并与当地坡度和坡向有关的变化。低海拔桩(~<400 m a.s.l)与EOF2呈相对负(非相)相关,高海拔桩与EOF2呈相对正(同相)相关。在由暴露的冰川冰或积雪构成的区域,分别存在相对负的和正的特征向量相关值。本研究的结果表明,EOF分析可以提供冰川物质平衡时空格局的信息。了解格陵兰冰川物质平衡的这种详细变化是有意义的,因为北极冰川和冰盖对海平面上升的贡献有五分之一来自格陵兰岛。
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引用次数: 3
Immigrant groups and the local environment: socio-spatial differentiation in Czech metropolitan areas 移民群体与地方环境:捷克大都市区的社会空间差异
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1370382
Ivana Přidalová, Jiří Hasman
Abstract The spatial distribution of immigrant groups is a more relevant topic now than ever before. While the study of this topic has a long tradition in the “traditional” immigration countries, it is rare in the very different context of Central and Eastern Europe, especially at the level of metropolitan areas. This study aims to address this gap by providing an analysis of the spatial distribution of various immigrant groups (defined by country of citizenship) in 17 Czech metropolitan areas, and its determinants. First, we characterize the specific situation of the Czech immigration system. Then we use cluster analysis to create a typology of neighbourhoods and compare the distribution of immigrant groups in each type of neighbourhood. Finally, we use regression analysis to examine which characteristics of the local environment are connected to concentrations of different immigrant groups. We show that the presence of foreigners remains associated with core urban areas. Some predominantly Western citizens act as gentrifiers, being associated with spacious pre-war apartments in prestigious inner-city areas, but there are also signs of suburbanization among more well-off immigrants to Czech metropolitan areas. We identify little evidence of ghettoization of immigrants into socially excluded areas.
移民群体的空间分布是一个比以往任何时候都更有意义的话题。虽然对这一主题的研究在“传统”移民国家有着悠久的传统,但在中欧和东欧非常不同的背景下,特别是在大都市地区的层面上,这一主题的研究却很少。本研究旨在通过分析捷克17个大都市地区不同移民群体(按国籍定义)的空间分布及其决定因素,来解决这一差距。首先,我们描述了捷克移民制度的具体情况。然后,我们使用聚类分析来创建社区类型,并比较每种类型社区中移民群体的分布。最后,我们使用回归分析来检验当地环境的哪些特征与不同移民群体的集中有关。我们表明,外国人的存在仍然与核心城市地区有关。一些以西方为主的公民充当着中产阶级的角色,住在著名的内城地区宽敞的战前公寓里,但在捷克大都市地区较富裕的移民中,也有郊区化的迹象。我们几乎没有发现移民进入社会排斥地区的犹太区化的证据。
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引用次数: 11
Unplanned urban growth: land use/land cover change in the Guwahati Metropolitan Area, India 无计划的城市增长:印度古瓦哈蒂大都市区的土地利用/土地覆盖变化
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1405357
C. K. Pawe, A. Saikia
Abstract Unplanned urban growth, particularly in developing countries has led to changes in land use/land cover (LULC). Numerous Indian cities face problems of unplanned LULC change due to nominal or non-existent planning efforts compounded by rapid urban population growth. The Guwahati Metropolitan Area (GMA) is one such urban centre. The present study assesses the trajectories of LULC change using Landsat imageries acquired in 1976, 1989, 2002 and 2015. Natural and semi natural vegetated area and artificial and natural water bodies decreased while built-up areas, cultivated and managed areas, and natural and semi natural non-vegetated areas increased. The built-up area increased from 23.9 in 1976 to 115.1 km2 in 2015 becoming the dominant land cover class accounting for 41.8% of the total geographical area. During this period, natural and semi natural vegetated land were reduced by 88.9 km2 at an annual rate of 2.2 km2. Over the years there was an increasing trend of built-up land and cultivated and managed areas in the peripheral areas of the city while natural and semi natural vegetated land diminished. Consequently, as in many other developing countries, there is an urgent need for the governmental authorities and other stakeholders to implement effective urban planning policies.
无计划的城市增长,特别是在发展中国家,导致了土地利用/土地覆盖(LULC)的变化。由于名义上或根本不存在的规划努力,加上城市人口的快速增长,许多印度城市面临着计划外的LULC变化问题。古瓦哈蒂都会区(GMA)就是这样一个城市中心。本研究利用1976年、1989年、2002年和2015年获得的陆地卫星图像评估了LULC的变化轨迹。自然和半自然植被面积、人工和自然水体减少,建成区、耕地和管理面积、自然和半自然非植被面积增加。建成区面积从1976年的23.9 km2增加到2015年的115.1 km2,成为占总地理面积41.8%的主要土地覆盖类型。在此期间,自然和半自然植被地以每年2.2 km2的速度减少88.9 km2。多年来,城市外围地区的建设用地和耕地管理面积呈增加趋势,自然和半自然植被用地呈减少趋势。因此,与许多其他发展中国家一样,政府当局和其他利益攸关方迫切需要实施有效的城市规划政策。
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引用次数: 51
Urban transformations and rural-city connections in Africa 非洲的城市转型和城乡联系
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1367698
Jytte Agergaard, Sinne Borby Ortenbjerg
It is projected that by the middle of this century, the majority of Africans will be urban residents, although with huge variations between countries, as is the case today (McGranahan & Satterthwai...
据预测,到本世纪中叶,大多数非洲人将成为城市居民,尽管各国之间存在巨大差异,就像今天的情况一样(McGranahan & Satterthwai……
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引用次数: 9
Residential mobility trajectories and integration in Douala and Bafoussam, Cameroon 喀麦隆杜阿拉和巴富萨姆的居民流动轨迹和一体化
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1362351
Aristide Yemmafouo, C. Ngouanet, Romeo Keumo Songong, Nicodème Djikeng Teufack, Sophie Ariane Djuidje
Abstract This study examines how migrant households relocate their homes in two Cameroonian cities over the course of lifetimes or even generations. The central claim is that homeownership is the ultimate sign of integration into city life. Using qualitative and quantitative research methods (218 interviews, 30 focus groups and a household survey, sample size 686), the study argues that three key factors explain why people move: the quality of housing they can affords, the proximity to a workplace and the potential for homeownership. Three residential model trajectories are identified. The first describes a journey from being a new migrant who is a guest of family or friends in the city centre to being a married family with kids owning a home in the urban periphery. The second model continues that journey by returning back to the city centre in pursuit of more convenient, high-status home location (if finances permit). A third model describes moves to sites all over the city later in life as older individuals seek to maximize family income in the way they use multiple properties. Understanding residential mobility patterns has the potential to lead to a better public policies and more effective private investments in the housing sector.
摘要本研究考察了喀麦隆两个城市的移民家庭在一生甚至几代人的过程中如何搬迁他们的家园。其核心主张是,拥有住房是融入城市生活的最终标志。该研究采用定性和定量研究方法(218次访谈,30个焦点小组和一项家庭调查,样本量为686),认为有三个关键因素可以解释人们为什么搬家:他们能负担得起的住房质量,离工作场所的距离以及拥有住房的可能性。确定了三种居住模式轨迹。第一个描述的是一个新移民的旅程,从一个在市中心做客的家人或朋友,到一个已婚家庭,带着孩子在城市边缘拥有自己的房子。第二种模式则继续这一旅程,回到市中心,寻找更方便、地位更高的住所(如果经济状况允许的话)。第三种模式描述了老年人在晚年搬到城市各处,因为他们寻求通过使用多处房产来最大化家庭收入。了解居民流动模式有可能导致更好的公共政策和更有效的住房部门私人投资。
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引用次数: 2
Town dwellers in their networks: urban-rural mobility and household strategies in Cameroon 城镇居民的网络:喀麦隆的城乡流动和家庭战略
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1354715
Hélène Mainet
Abstract Urban-rural interactions are important features of spatial dynamics in Africa that have been affected by recent economic, social and cultural transformations. The attention of academics and policy-makers has concentrated on the impact of such mobility on rural actors and economies. Our objective is to consider the point of view of urban households and to analyse how they manage to develop and use their “rural connections”. The paper is based on in-depth qualitative fieldwork conducted in Cameroon, in Douala and Bafoussam. It presents an analysis of the configurations of urban resident mobility to rural regions. By mapping mobility we show the role of linkages with rural areas in urban household strategies. We also illustrate how a major city and a fast-growing secondary one differ in their connections with rural areas. The paper addresses what is one of the recurrent questions in the literature: will urban-rural linkages change in the long-term as the trend towards urbanization intensifies. Urban-rural mobility remains crucial, contributes to creating complex and dynamic networks. Collective connections are reaffirming the importance of the village and the region of origin. Mobility is a key element for many urban households in developing their urban position and strategies.
城乡互动是非洲空间动态的重要特征,受到近年来经济、社会和文化转型的影响。学者和决策者的注意力集中在这种流动对农村行为者和经济的影响上。我们的目标是考虑城市家庭的观点,并分析他们如何设法发展和利用他们的“农村联系”。这篇论文是基于在喀麦隆杜阿拉和巴富萨姆进行的深入的定性实地调查。分析了城市居民向农村流动的结构。通过绘制流动性地图,我们展示了与农村地区的联系在城市家庭战略中的作用。我们还说明了一个主要城市和一个快速发展的次要城市与农村地区的联系是如何不同的。本文解决了文献中反复出现的问题之一:城乡联系是否会随着城市化趋势的加剧而长期改变?城乡流动仍然至关重要,有助于创建复杂和动态的网络。集体联系重申了村庄和原籍地区的重要性。流动性是许多城市家庭发展其城市定位和战略的一个关键因素。
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引用次数: 12
Exploring the future of rural–urban connections in sub-Saharan Africa: modelling urban expansion and its impact on food production in the Addis Ababa region 探索撒哈拉以南非洲城乡联系的未来:模拟亚的斯亚贝巴地区城市扩张及其对粮食生产的影响
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1350926
Hany Abo-El-Wafa, Kumelachew Yeshitela, S. Pauleit
Abstract The built-up area of Addis Ababa and its surrounding towns is expanding into the peri-urban region leading to high losses of farmland, directly influencing the food production for the urban population. This paper investigates the patterns of settlement growth in the region surrounding Addis Ababa and their impact on peri-urban agriculture using an urban spatial scenario design model. The effects of two population density scenarios are explored within the framework of a proposed master plan. The model output was used to estimate areas of different suitability levels that would be lost to the modelled settlement expansion. The settlement area in 2038 would represent 29% of the case study’s total area in the low-density scenario but only 19% in the high-density scenario. Compared to the low-density scenario, the high-density scenario would only require a third of the agricultural land transformed into settlement areas. Settlement development would contribute to higher losses of land suitable for cultivating important export products, high nutritional value and import-substituting products. The scenario approach can support sustainable regional planning for settlement expansion that conserves valuable farmland in the peri-urban area and contributes to building capacity for strategic planning of the city regions of sub-Saharan Africa.
亚的斯亚贝巴及其周边城镇的建成区正在向城郊地区扩张,导致农田大量流失,直接影响城市人口的粮食生产。本文利用城市空间情景设计模型研究了亚的斯亚贝巴周边地区的聚落增长模式及其对城郊农业的影响。在拟议的总体规划框架内探讨了两种人口密度情景的影响。利用模型的输出来估计不同适宜度的区域将因模型的聚落扩张而损失。在低密度情景下,2038年的定居点面积将占案例研究总面积的29%,而在高密度情景下,这一比例仅为19%。与低密度方案相比,高密度方案只需要将三分之一的农业用地转变为定居区。聚落的发展将造成适合种植重要出口产品、高营养价值和进口替代产品的土地的更大损失。情景方法可以支持可持续的住区扩展区域规划,从而保护城郊地区的宝贵农田,并有助于撒哈拉以南非洲城市区域战略规划的能力建设。
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引用次数: 17
Spatial and social transformations in a secondary city: the role of mobility in Sekondi-Takoradi, Ghana 二级城市的空间和社会转型:加纳Sekondi-Takoradi城市流动性的作用
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-06-28 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1343672
P. Yankson, K. Gough, J. Esson, E. Amankwaa
Abstract Existing research on urban Ghana mainly focuses on processes occurring within the country’s major cities, thereby reproducing a trend within the social sciences to overlook the role of intermediate and secondary cities. This paper aims to address this shortcoming by exploring spatial and social transformations in Sekondi–Takoradi, one of Ghana’s secondary cities and the metropolitan area serving the region’s emerging rubber industries as well as the country’s oil and gas economy. Using qualitative interviews conducted with residents in five of the city’s neighbourhoods, and a modified version of Kaufmann’s typology of mobility, we examine migration into Sekondi–Takoradi, residential mobility within the city and the daily mobility of the city’s residents. The paper highlights how these diverse forms of mobility interact with processes taking place both within and outside Sekondi–Takoradi, most notably influencing and being influenced by livelihood strategies. It is argued that the city and its hinterlands can best be envisaged as a mobile networked whole, rather than consisting of disconnected and compartmentalized locales. The paper thus contributes to broader debates on how mobility shapes urbanization by providing new empirical data on events unfolding in Africa’s secondary cities, and extends existing research by providing a counter-narrative to literature that examines the city and its surrounding rural areas separately.
关于加纳城市的现有研究主要集中在该国主要城市内部发生的过程,从而再现了社会科学内部忽视中级和二级城市作用的趋势。本文旨在通过探索Sekondi-Takoradi的空间和社会转型来解决这一缺陷,Sekondi-Takoradi是加纳的二级城市之一,也是服务于该地区新兴橡胶工业以及该国石油和天然气经济的大都市区。通过对城市五个社区的居民进行定性访谈,以及对考夫曼流动性类型学的修改版本,我们研究了向Sekondi-Takoradi的迁移、城市内的住宅流动性和城市居民的日常流动性。本文强调了这些不同形式的流动如何与Sekondi-Takoradi内外发生的进程相互作用,最显著的是影响和被生计战略影响。有人认为,城市及其腹地最好被设想为一个移动的网络整体,而不是由不相连和分隔的区域组成。因此,本文通过提供有关非洲二线城市发展事件的新经验数据,有助于就流动性如何影响城市化展开更广泛的辩论,并通过提供对城市及其周边农村地区分别进行考察的文献的反叙述,扩展了现有的研究。
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引用次数: 20
Rural and urban livelihoods, social exclusion and social protection in sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲的农村和城市生计、社会排斥和社会保护
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-06-21 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1343674
Leo de Haan
Abstract This paper shows that with the decline of overall poverty, the concern for rising or persisting inequalities and the need for a transformative social protection, the capacity of countering social exclusion and promoting social justice also becomes increasingly relevant to urbanizing sub-Saharan Africa. It is argued that several parts of sub-Saharan Africa are likely to move towards pro-poor urbanization and show emerging changes in rural and urban livelihoods. Then, the practice of social protection programmes along the rural–urban continuum in sub-Saharan Africa is examined extensively in order to determine whether these practices align with emerging changes in livelihoods and tackle social exclusion in a transformative way. It is found that the livelihoods of the poor are enhanced and that social inclusion has increased. However, social protection’s adaptation to emerging changes in rural and urban livelihoods is still poor, and so is social protection’s capacity to tackle social exclusion in a transformative way. It is concluded that transformative social protection would require more structural interventions through empowering pressure on the state and innovative decentralization from the top.
本文表明,随着总体贫困率的下降、对不平等加剧或持续存在的担忧以及对变革性社会保护的需求,打击社会排斥和促进社会正义的能力也与撒哈拉以南非洲的城市化日益相关。有人认为,撒哈拉以南非洲的一些地区可能会走向有利于穷人的城市化,并在农村和城市生计方面出现新的变化。然后,广泛审查撒哈拉以南非洲农村-城市连续体的社会保护方案实践,以确定这些做法是否符合生计的新变化,并以变革的方式解决社会排斥问题。结果发现,穷人的生计得到了改善,社会包容有所增加。然而,社会保护对农村和城市生计新变化的适应能力仍然很差,社会保护以变革的方式解决社会排斥问题的能力也很差。最后得出的结论是,变革性的社会保护需要更多的结构性干预,通过对国家施加压力和自上而下的创新权力下放。
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引用次数: 9
The divergence between acceptability of municipal services and urbanization in developing countries: insights from Accra and Sekondi-Takoradi, Ghana 发展中国家市政服务可接受性与城市化之间的差异:来自加纳阿克拉和塞孔迪-塔科拉迪的见解
IF 2.3 4区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-29 DOI: 10.1080/00167223.2017.1331745
M. Oteng-Ababio, I. Smout, E. Amankwaa, J. Esson
Abstract In most developing countries, the provision of municipal services and infrastructure invariably fails to match the pace and demands of urbanization. The outcome is often increased informality due to improper planning, official bureaucratic barriers and perhaps insufficient and shrinking public resources, which then makes leveraging private capital for public service provision imperative. Drawing on in-depth qualitative fieldwork in two Ghanaian cities, this paper aims to extend literature on the divergence between service provision and urbanization in developing countries. More specifically, it attempts to qualify recent macro-level data indicating that access to water, sanitation and electricity services in Accra and Sekondi-Takoradi is improving substantively. Contrary to dominant policy narratives circulating in Ghana, we illustrate how the acceptability of key municipal services within urban settings is often inadequate, and how acceptability is tied to spatial and temporal factors. We then identify and examine the reasons underpinning these variations. Through exploring residents’ perceptions of key services, and examining critically the possibility and feasibility of meeting urban service needs through leveraging private resources, this paper contributes to broader academic debates over urban service provision, while also feeding into contemporary policy discussions concerning how to achieve several of the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030.
在大多数发展中国家,市政服务和基础设施的提供总是无法与城市化的步伐和需求相匹配。其结果往往是由于规划不当、官方官僚障碍以及公共资源不足和减少而导致非正式性增加,这使得利用私人资本提供公共服务变得势在必行。通过对加纳两个城市进行深入的定性实地考察,本文旨在扩展有关发展中国家服务提供与城市化之间差异的文献。更具体地说,它试图对最近的宏观数据进行验证,这些数据表明阿克拉和塞孔迪-塔科拉迪的供水、卫生和供电服务正在大幅改善。与加纳流行的主流政策叙述相反,我们说明了城市环境中关键市政服务的可接受性如何不足,以及可接受性如何与空间和时间因素联系在一起。然后,我们确定并检查支撑这些变化的原因。通过探索居民对关键服务的看法,并批判性地考察通过利用私人资源满足城市服务需求的可能性和可行性,本文有助于对城市服务提供进行更广泛的学术辩论,同时也为有关如何在2030年之前实现若干可持续发展目标的当代政策讨论提供参考。
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引用次数: 5
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Geografisk Tidsskrift-Danish Journal of Geography
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