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The moderating role of financial development in the nexus between population aging and saving 金融发展在人口老龄化与储蓄关系中的调节作用
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09670-5
Dong-Hyeon Kim, Peiyao Liu, Shu-Chin Lin

The paper empirically investigates the saving consequence of population aging, an issue that is important for policymaking and still far from uncontroversial. Rather than providing another piece of evidence to verify the positive or negative correlation between population aging and saving, the contribution of the paper is to consider the moderating role of financial development in the nexus. In a cross-country panel data setting, we find that population aging proxied by old-age dependency decreases saving, but the effect diminishes with financial development. The opposite is found for life expectancy. Financial development weakens the saving-increasing effect of life expectancy. The findings hold for different types of saving and controlling for per-capita income growth. The data suggest that life expectancy may offset the effect of old-age dependency, limiting the influence of population aging on saving. The evidence also suggests that financial development constrains the saving effect of population aging and the need to consider a country’s extent of financial development to address the saving consequence as a population ages.

本文对人口老龄化带来的储蓄后果进行了实证研究,这一问题对政策制定非常重要,但仍远非毫无争议。本文的贡献不是提供另一个证据来验证人口老龄化与储蓄之间的正相关或负相关关系,而是考虑金融发展在这一关系中的调节作用。通过跨国面板数据,我们发现以老年受抚养人为代表的人口老龄化会减少储蓄,但随着金融的发展,这种影响会减弱。而预期寿命则与此相反。金融发展削弱了预期寿命对储蓄增加的影响。这些结论在不同类型的储蓄和控制人均收入增长的情况下都是成立的。数据表明,预期寿命可能会抵消老年抚养的影响,从而限制人口老龄化对储蓄的影响。证据还表明,金融发展限制了人口老龄化对储蓄的影响,需要考虑一个国家的金融发展程度,以解决人口老龄化对储蓄的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Energy transition and the role of circular supply chains: toward resource efficiency and sustainable economic practices 能源转型和循环供应链的作用:实现资源效率和可持续经济实践
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09655-4
Liang Cheng

This study examines the various complex elements essential for shifting toward a circular economy (CE). Panel data from 27 European Union (EU) countries and the UK are utilized for this purpose. This research investigates the convergence of socioeconomic, environmental, institutional, and demographic elements, specifically focusing on the environmental deterioration, inequity, and asymmetry that have been exacerbated in the three years since the COVID-19 pandemic (2019–2022). Concurrently, the lack of energy in the Eurozone poses significant obstacles to the cohesiveness of society and the successful execution of (C.E) policy. The main objective of this study is to thoroughly examine how the circular economy is impacted by innovation, population density, changes in the structure of the energy market, environmental sustainability, institutional efficacy, and social safety nets. Results indicate a strong and favorable relationship between involvement in circular economy projects and attributes including resource efficiency, entrepreneurial endeavors, and institutional quality. The analysis findings suggest a positive correlation between the level of social protection provided to the populace and their propensity to adopt CE principles. Currently, EU member states rely more on raw materials than they can recycle. It is also crucial to emphasize that a mere 1% increase in the market dominance of the top producers of natural gas and electricity is associated with a corresponding drop in the circularity rate of 0.33% and 0.30%, respectively. These results suggest that uneven competition in the energy markets may jeopardize EU member states' efforts to collect garbage for recycling.

本研究探讨了向循环经济(CE)转变所必需的各种复杂要素。为此采用了 27 个欧洲联盟(欧盟)国家和英国的面板数据。本研究调查了社会经济、环境、制度和人口等要素的融合情况,特别关注 COVID-19 大流行后三年(2019-2022 年)内加剧的环境恶化、不公平和不对称问题。同时,欧元区缺乏活力,这对社会的凝聚力和(C.E)政策的成功执行构成了重大障碍。本研究的主要目的是深入研究创新、人口密度、能源市场结构变化、环境可持续性、机构效率和社会安全网如何影响循环经济。研究结果表明,参与循环经济项目与资源效率、创业努力和机构质量等属性之间存在密切而有利的关系。分析结果表明,为民众提供的社会保障水平与他们采用循环经济原则的倾向之间存在正相关。目前,欧盟成员国对原材料的依赖超过了其可回收利用的程度。还必须强调的是,天然气和电力的最大生产商的市场主导地位每增加 1%,循环利用率就会相应下降 0.33% 和 0.30%。这些结果表明,能源市场的不均衡竞争可能会危及欧盟成员国收集垃圾进行循环利用的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Does banking sector support for achieving the sustainable development goals affect bank loan loss provisions? International evidence 银行业对实现可持续发展目标的支持会影响银行贷款损失准备金吗?国际证据
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09659-0
Peterson K. Ozili

This study investigates whether banking sector support for the realization of the SDGs affects bank loan loss provisions (LLPs). Using country-level data for 28 countries from 2011 to 2018 and using the panel fixed effect regression estimation method, it was found that banking sector support for achieving SDG7 and SDG10 leads to a significant decrease in bank loan loss provisions. Banks that support the realization of SDG6, and operate in countries that have strong institutions, experience a significant decrease in LLPs while banks that support the realization of SDG7, and operate in countries that have strong institutions, experience a significant increase in LLPs. The regional results are mixed. In the Asian region, banking sector support for achieving SDG13 decreases bank LLPs while banking sector support for achieving SDG8 and SDG10 increases bank LLPs. In the European region, banking sector support for achieving SDG3 decreases bank LLPs while banking sector support for achieving SDG4 and SDG6 increase bank LLPs. In the African region, banking sector support for achieving SDG6 increases bank LLPs.

本研究探讨了银行业对实现可持续发展目标的支持是否会影响银行贷款损失准备金(LLPs)。利用 2011 年至 2018 年 28 个国家的国家级数据,采用面板固定效应回归估计方法,发现银行业支持实现可持续发展目标 7 和可持续发展目标 10 会导致银行贷款损失准备金显著下降。支持实现可持续发展目标6且在机构健全的国家运营的银行,其贷款损失准备金会显著减少,而支持实现可持续发展目标7且在机构健全的国家运营的银行,其贷款损失准备金会显著增加。各区域的结果参差不齐。在亚洲地区,银行业支持实现可持续发展目标 13 会减少银行的有限法律责任合 同,而支持实现可持续发展目标 8 和可持续发展目标 10 则会增加银行的有限法律责任合 同。在欧洲地区,银行业支持实现可持续发展目标 3 会减少银行有限责任合伙,而银行业支持实现可持续发展目标 4 和可持续发展目标 6 则会增加银行有限责任合伙。在非洲地区,银行业对实现可持续发展目标 6 的支持会增加银行的有限法律责任合 同。
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引用次数: 0
Fostering sustainability: integrating social responsibility, green finance, and corporate performance 促进可持续发展:整合社会责任、绿色金融和企业绩效
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09656-3

Abstract

This study delves into the interrelationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and green finance, investigating their collective impact on corporate performance through a comprehensive survey spanning various industries, business years, and company sizes. Advanced analytical tools, including SmartPLS and SPSS Impact, were employed in this research. The findings highlight that green finance significantly influences CSR performance, elucidating the specific mechanism of this relationship through path analysis and neural network analysis. The results indicate that the implementation of green finance not only facilitates the fulfillment of corporate social responsibilities but also yields positive effects by enhancing corporate brand value, thereby improving customer satisfaction and fostering employee loyalty. This revelation signifies a novel paradigm for enterprise development, accentuating the integration of economic profitability, social responsibility, and environmental protection. Such an approach not only assists companies in establishing a positive brand image but also propels sustainable development and fosters common interests.

摘要 本研究深入探讨了企业社会责任(CSR)与绿色金融之间的相互关系,通过对不同行业、经营年份和公司规模的全面调查,研究了它们对企业绩效的共同影响。研究采用了先进的分析工具,包括 SmartPLS 和 SPSS Impact。研究结果凸显了绿色金融对企业社会责任绩效的重要影响,并通过路径分析和神经网络分析阐明了这一关系的具体机制。研究结果表明,实施绿色金融不仅有利于企业履行社会责任,还能通过提升企业品牌价值产生积极影响,从而提高客户满意度和员工忠诚度。这一启示标志着一种新的企业发展模式,强调经济盈利、社会责任和环境保护的融合。这种方法不仅有助于企业树立积极的品牌形象,还能推动可持续发展,促进共同利益。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets 解读新兴市场中金融包容性、稳定性和影子银行的相互作用
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09657-2

Abstract

This paper fills the momentous gap by explicitly investigating the interplay of financial inclusion, financial stability, and shadow banking in 11 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2010 to 2021. Employing panel quantile regression approaches, including simultaneous bootstrapped quantile regression and generalized quantile regression, the results indicate that while financial inclusion has a negative impact on financial stability, its impact is less pronounced in countries with high stability. Moreover, shadow banking, whether broadly or narrowly defined, tends to weaken the negative effects of financial inclusion, particularly in EMEs with medium and high levels of financial stability. Finally, Dumitrescu–Hurlin's panel causality test confirms bidirectional causality between financial stability and financial inclusion, financial stability and shadow banking, as well as financial inclusion and shadow banking. These findings highlight the need for policymakers in EMEs to prudently adjust shadow banking regulations to maximize their positive impact on financial inclusion and stability while concurrently minimizing potential risks.

摘要 本文通过明确研究 2010 年至 2021 年 11 个新兴市场经济体(EMEs)的金融包容性、金融稳定性和影子银行的相互作用,填补了这一重大空白。采用面板量值回归方法,包括同步引导量值回归和广义量值回归,结果表明,虽然金融包容性对金融稳定性有负面影响,但在稳定性高的国家,其影响并不明显。此外,无论是广义还是狭义的影子银行,都倾向于削弱金融包容性的负面影响,尤其是在金融稳定性处于中等和高等水平的经济、中等收入国家。最后,Dumitrescu-Hurlin 的面板因果检验证实了金融稳定性与金融包容性、金融稳定性与影子银行以及金融包容性与影子银行之间的双向因果关系。这些研究结果突出表明,经济、中等收入国家的政策制定者需要审慎调整影子银行法规,以最大限度地发挥其对金融包容性和稳定性的积极影响,同时最大限度地降低潜在风险。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable energy utility investment role in energy transformation progress: case of Mongolia 可持续能源公用事业投资在能源转型进展中的作用:蒙古案例
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09660-7
Huimin Jia, Yanqiu Wu

In response to the global imperative for sustainable energy, understanding the determinants of investments in sustainable utilities becomes crucial. This study focuses on exploring these factors in the context of Mongolia, covering the years 1980 to 2021 and utilizing the autoregressive distributed lag technique. Findings reveal that an increase in the consumer price index has a detrimental impact on investment. Interestingly, the development of information and communication technology shows limited influence on sustainable utilities investments in Mongolia. Conversely, larger economies exhibit a positive correlation, suggesting that they foster more substantial investments in sustainable utilities. Notably, economic risk emerges as a significant factor, negatively affecting investment. This underscores the importance of providing a stable and predictable investment environment. In light of these findings, practical policy recommendations for Mongolia include strategies such as digitalization, the establishment of green financing mechanisms, and the encouragement of public–private partnerships.

为了应对全球对可持续能源的迫切需求,了解可持续公用事业投资的决定因素变得至关重要。本研究以蒙古国为背景,利用自回归分布式滞后技术,重点探讨了这些因素,时间跨度为 1980 年至 2021 年。研究结果表明,消费价格指数的上升对投资有不利影响。有趣的是,信息和通信技术的发展对蒙古可持续公用事业投资的影响有限。相反,较大的经济体表现出正相关性,这表明它们促进了对可持续公用事业的更多投资。值得注意的是,经济风险是一个重要因素,对投资产生负面影响。这强调了提供稳定和可预测的投资环境的重要性。鉴于这些发现,针对蒙古的实用政策建议包括数字化、建立绿色融资机制和鼓励公私合作伙伴关系等战略。
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引用次数: 0
Technology adoption, innovation policy and catching-up. 技术采用、创新政策和赶超。
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09644-7
Juan R. Perilla Jiménez, Thomas H. W. Ziesemer

A model is proposed where economic growth is driven by innovation alongside the diffusion and adoption of technology from the frontier. Innovation investments are related to households savings, which generates multiple equilibria with low and high levels of innovation and productivity. Low-level equilibria are unstable. Starting from a position with low levels of investment and innovation, increasing investments are associated with high but decreasing dependence on international technology diffusion. A major objective of policy-making is to increase investment sufficiently in the lower end to reach the high-level steady state. An economic rationale is provided for the existence of productivity improving equilibria, where distance to the frontier is reduced based on a tax and subsidy mechanism designed to boost innovation and speed up catching-up.

我们提出了一个模型,在这个模型中,经济增长是由创新以及前沿技术的传播和采用所驱动的。创新投资与家庭储蓄相关,这就产生了创新和生产率水平有高有低的多重均衡。低水平均衡是不稳定的。从低水平的投资和创新开始,投资的增加与对国际技术传播的高度依赖有关,但依赖程度会降低。决策的一个主要目标是在低端充分增加投资,以达到高水平的稳定状态。为提高生产率均衡状态的存在提供了经济学依据,在这种均衡状态下,与前沿的距离会根据旨在促进创新和加速赶超的税收和补贴机制而缩小。
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引用次数: 0
Tailoring social welfare and energy transition for an aging population 为老龄化人口定制社会福利和能源转型
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09634-9
Li’ao Song, Cheng Jin

This study employs OECD panel data from 2005 to 2021 and utilizes the CS-ARDL (Cross-sectionally Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag) method to reveal a notable positive correlation between the Human Development Index (HDI) and pension income levels. A 1% increase in HDI corresponds to approximately 0.6% and 0.7% increases in short- and long-term pension income. Additionally, green energy deployment positively influences pensions, with a 1% increase leading to about 0.09% and 0.17% increases in the short and long term, respectively. Economic size (GDP) demonstrates a robust positive relationship, and ICT development significantly impacts pension income levels. Policymakers are advised to prioritize local green power generation, sustainable pension funds, and green loans to enhance the welfare of aging populations in OECD countries.

本研究采用 2005 年至 2021 年的经合组织面板数据,并利用 CS-ARDL(横截面增强自回归分布滞后)方法揭示了人类发展指数(HDI)与养老金收入水平之间显著的正相关关系。人类发展指数每增加 1%,短期和长期养老金收入就会分别增加约 0.6% 和 0.7%。此外,绿色能源的使用也对养老金产生积极影响,每增加 1%,短期和长期养老金收入分别增加约 0.09% 和 0.17%。经济规模(GDP)显示出稳健的正向关系,信息和通信技术的发展对养老金收入水平有显著影响。建议政策制定者优先考虑地方绿色发电、可持续养老基金和绿色贷款,以提高经合组织国家老龄人口的福利。
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引用次数: 0
Economic integration through renewable energy and digital currency in RCEP 通过 RCEP 中的可再生能源和数字货币实现经济一体化
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09646-5
Wen Jiayu, Zehao Wang

This research examines economic integration within the RCEP subset of 13 countries from 2000 to 2020, focusing on the impact of green energy and digital currency adoption. A 1% increase in sustainable energy deployment yields significant short-term (0.01%) and long-term (0.05%) improvements; while, a 1% rise in electronic banking transactions results in substantial short-term (0.19%) and long-term (0.26%) enhancements. A 1% GDP increase leads to notable short-term (0.32%) and long-term (0.59%) improvements, emphasizing economic strength’s importance. Improved internet access (1% increase) contributes to short-term (0.09%) and long-term (0.10%) economic integration. Conversely, a 1% increase in economic risk corresponds to a significant long-term reduction (0.33%) in economic integration. The research suggests crucial policy implications, emphasizing prioritizing green power generation, strengthening digital infrastructure, and promoting eco-friendly blockchain technologies for sustainable economic integration.

本研究考察了 2000 年至 2020 年 RCEP 子集 13 个国家的经济一体化情况,重点关注采用绿色能源和数字货币的影响。可持续能源部署每增加 1%,就会带来显著的短期(0.01%)和长期(0.05%)改善;而电子银行交易每增加 1%,就会带来显著的短期(0.19%)和长期(0.26%)改善。国内生产总值每增长 1%,短期(0.32%)和长期(0.59%)都会有明显改善,突出了经济实力的重要性。互联网接入的改善(增加 1%)有助于短期(0.09%)和长期(0.10%)的经济一体化。相反,经济风险每增加 1%,经济一体化的长期程度就会显著降低(0.33%)。研究提出了重要的政策影响,强调优先考虑绿色发电、加强数字基础设施和推广生态友好型区块链技术,以实现可持续的经济一体化。
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引用次数: 0
How does central enterprise reform promote total factor productivity of defense firms in China? 央企改革如何促进中国国防企业的全要素生产率?
IF 3.1 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09643-8
Huaijia Zhu, Bo Chen, Huaiqi Zhu

Since 2017, the reform of central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China has had a profound impact on the operations and development of military-industrial enterprises. To study the influence of SOE reform on the total factor productivity (TFP) of China's state-owned military-industrial listed enterprises, this study uses a difference-in-differences model to conduct empirical tests. Its sample consists of relevant data from 115 military-industrial listed enterprises from 2011 to 2021. The results show that SOE reform has effectively improved the TFP of state-owned military-industrial listed enterprises. Furthermore, through heterogeneity testing, it was found that government subsidies weakened the impact of SOE reform on the TFP of military-industrial enterprises. Stock incentives had a greater impact on TFP than mergers and acquisitions. In similar conditions, motivating employees was more conducive to improving operational efficiency. The mechanism by which SOE reform affects the TFP of military-industrial enterprises is reflected in decreased agency costs and improving governance efficiency. The empirical results confirm the positive role of SOE reform and have certain enlightening significance for how to implement a scientific and reasonable subsidy system as well as how to design more effective reform measures.

2017 年以来,中国中央国有企业改革对军工企业的运营和发展产生了深远影响。为研究国企改革对我国国有军工上市企业全要素生产率(TFP)的影响,本研究采用差分模型进行实证检验。样本包括 115 家军工上市企业 2011 年至 2021 年的相关数据。结果表明,国有企业改革有效提高了国有军工上市企业的全要素生产率。此外,通过异质性检验发现,政府补贴削弱了国企改革对军工企业全要素生产率的影响。与并购相比,股权激励对全要素生产率的影响更大。在类似条件下,激励员工更有利于提高经营效率。国有企业改革对军工企业全要素生产率的影响机制体现在降低代理成本和提高治理效率上。实证结果证实了国有企业改革的积极作用,对如何实施科学合理的补贴制度以及如何设计更有效的改革措施具有一定的启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Economic Change and Restructuring
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