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Pandemic effects in the Solow growth model 索洛增长模型中的大流行效应
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12376
Julio Carmona, Ángel León

We show how diseases can affect economic growth in a Solow growth model, with population growth and no technical progress, but modified to include a saving rate that depends on the individual health status. We successively insert this model into the SIS (susceptible–infected–susceptible) and SIR (susceptible–infected–recovered) models of disease spreading. In these two models, the spread of the infection proceeds according to the so-called basic reproductive number. This number determines in which of the two possible equilibria, the disease-free or the pandemic equilibrium, the economy ends. We show that output per capita is always lower in the pandemic steady state, which implies a contraction in the economy's production possibilities frontier.

我们展示了疾病如何在索洛增长模型中影响经济增长,在人口增长和没有技术进步的情况下,但修改为包括取决于个人健康状况的储蓄率。我们先后将该模型插入疾病传播的SIS(易感-感染-易感)和SIR(易感-感染-恢复)模型中。在这两个模型中,感染的传播是根据所谓的基本繁殖数进行的。这个数字决定了经济在两种可能的均衡——无疾病均衡或大流行均衡——中的哪一种状态下结束。我们表明,在流行病稳定状态下,人均产出总是较低的,这意味着经济的生产可能性边界的收缩。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution in strategic multilateral exchange: Taxing emissions or trading on permit markets? 战略性多边交易中的污染:对排放征税还是在许可证市场上交易?
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12378
Ludovic A. Julien, Anicet B. Kabré, Louis de Mesnard

We introduce polluting emissions in a sequential noncooperative oligopoly model of bilateral exchange. In one sector, a leader and a follower use polluting technologies which create negative externalities on the payoffs of strategic traders who belong to the other sector. By modeling emissions as a negative externality, we show that the leader pollutes more (less) than the follower when strategies are substitutes (complements). Then, we consider the implementation of public policies to control the levels of emissions, namely, two taxation mechanisms and a permit market. We study the effects of these public policies. Moreover, we determine the conditions under which these public policies can implement a Pareto-improving allocation.

在本文中,我们在Julien和Tricou(2012)的生产部门的顺序双边寡头垄断模型中引入了污染排放,该模型扩展了Gabszewicz和Michel(1997)的双边寡头垄断模式。我们提出了一个平衡概念,即排放的斯塔克伯格-库诺平衡。通过将排放建模为负外部性,我们显著地表明,在存在战略替代性(互补性)的情况下,领导者比她的直接追随者污染更多(更少)。因此,我们研究了两种控制排放水平的监管方式,即三种税收机制和许可证市场。然后,我们比较了这两种政策,我们发现偏好很重要,即经济政策的有效性也取决于偏好。
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引用次数: 1
Employment to output elasticities and reforms towards flexicurity: Evidence from OECD countries 就业产出弹性和弹性保障改革:来自经合组织国家的证据
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12375
Holger Görg, Cecília Hornok, Catia Montagna, George E. Onwordi

Labor market reforms in the direction of “flexicurity” have been widely endorsed as a means to increase an economy's ability to adjust to negative shocks while offering adequate social safety nets. This paper empirically examines how such reforms influence employment's responsiveness to output fluctuations (employment–output elasticity). To address this question, we employ a single equation error correction model with policy interactions on a panel of OECD countries, which also incorporates the period of the Great Recession, and distinguish between passive and active labor market policy types. Flexicurity is represented by three policy measures: unemployment benefit generosity, the flexibility of hiring and firing rules, and spending on active labor market policies. We find that the effects of any single policy change are shaped by the broader existing policy mix within which it takes place. A hypothetical flexicurity reform towards the policy mix of Denmark, a well-known example of the flexicurity regime, is found to increase or leave unchanged countries' short-run employment–output elasticities, depending on the initial policy mix. These results are robust to accounting for a large set of additional labor market institutions.

以“灵活保障”为方向的劳动力市场改革已被广泛认可为一种手段,可以提高经济适应负面冲击的能力,同时提供足够的社会安全网。本文实证研究了这些改革如何影响就业对产出波动的反应(就业-产出弹性)。为了解决这个问题,我们在经合组织国家小组中采用了一个具有政策互动的单方程误差校正模型,该模型还纳入了大衰退时期,并区分了被动和主动劳动力市场政策类型。灵活性体现在三个政策措施上:失业救济金的慷慨、雇佣和解雇规则的灵活性,以及在积极的劳动力市场政策上的支出。我们发现,任何单一政策变化的影响都是由更广泛的现有政策组合决定的。针对丹麦政策组合的假设性灵活保障改革是灵活保障制度的一个著名例子,根据最初的政策组合,可以增加或保持国家的短期就业-产出弹性不变。这些结果对于一大批额外的劳动力市场机构来说是稳健的。
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引用次数: 6
Corporate social responsibility and market entry 企业社会责任与市场准入
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12374
Domenico Buccella, Michał Wojna

Is the decision of firms to pursue social interest and promote social progress philanthropic or motivated by strategic reasons? Using a simple Spence–Dixit entry model game with homogeneous goods, this paper studies the possible anticompetitive effect of the adoption of corporate social responsibility (CSR) in the form of “consumer friendliness” (i.e., firms’ attention to the welfare of consumers). It is shown that, when the market becomes contestable, the incumbent can select to adopt CSR to hamper to a greater extent the potential entrant, regardless of its choice to engage in CSR activities. In other words, CSR can become a strategic barrier to entry.

企业追求社会利益和促进社会进步的决定是出于慈善还是出于战略原因?本文利用一个具有同质商品的简单Spence-Dixit进入模型博弈,研究了以“消费者友好”(即企业对消费者福利的关注)形式承担企业社会责任可能产生的反竞争效应。研究表明,当市场变得具有竞争性时,在任者可以选择采用企业社会责任,从而在更大程度上阻碍潜在的进入者,无论其选择从事企业社会责任活动。换句话说,企业社会责任可以成为进入市场的战略障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Good students, avid readers: The cost of academic success 好学生,狂热的读者:学术成功的代价
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12373
Antonello E. Scorcu, Laura Vici, Roberto Zanola

The effects of reading habits on academic performances have been carefully investigated, but little is known about the effects of academic achievements on students’ leisure reading. This paper investigates this issue by estimating the effects of academic achievements, proxied by the number of exams passed, on leisure reading, measured by the number of leisure books read in a year. Using an online survey submitted to the students at the University of Bologna, Italy, we adopt a two-step control-function technique to control for endogeneity. The empirical evidence suggests the existence of a negative relationship between students’ academic achievements and the time devoted to leisure reading. This result holds for students of different fields of study and is stronger for male students. The Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition supports the existence of a gender-specific idiosyncratic effect.

阅读习惯对学习成绩的影响已经被仔细研究过,但对于学习成绩对学生业余阅读的影响却知之甚少。本文通过评估学术成就(以通过考试的次数为代表)对休闲阅读(以一年中阅读的休闲书籍数量为衡量标准)的影响来研究这一问题。利用一份提交给意大利博洛尼亚大学学生的在线调查,我们采用两步控制函数技术来控制内生性。经验证据表明,学生的学习成绩与休闲阅读时间之间存在负相关关系。这一结果适用于不同学习领域的学生,在男学生中更为明显。布林德-瓦哈卡的分解支持了性别特异效应的存在。
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引用次数: 0
Public overspending in higher education 高等教育公共超支
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12372
Luiz Brotherhood, Bruno R. Delalibera, Luciene Torres de Mello Pereira

We study the trade-off between governmental investments in pretertiary and tertiary education from an efficiency point of view. We develop a model comprising agents with different incomes and abilities, public and private schools, and public universities that select applicants based on an admission exam. Reallocating governmental resources from tertiary to pretertiary education may positively affect aggregate production and human capital if some conditions are satisfied. For instance, in an economy with a high proportion of credit-constrained students, a reallocation of expenditure toward public schools benefits many students, compensating for the negative effect of a decrease in public university investments. We also quantitatively investigate the optimal allocation of public investment between pretertiary and tertiary education, and we find that a 10% increase in productivity of public investments in pretertiary education could increase the optimal GDP between 2.1% and 3%.

我们从效率的角度研究了政府在学前教育和高等教育投资之间的权衡。我们开发了一个模型,包括不同收入和能力的代理人,公立和私立学校,以及根据入学考试选择申请人的公立大学。在一定条件下,政府资源从高等教育向学前教育的再配置对总生产和人力资本具有正向影响。例如,在一个信贷受限学生比例很高的经济体中,将支出重新分配给公立学校使许多学生受益,弥补了公立大学投资减少的负面影响。我们还定量研究了公共投资在学前教育和高等教育之间的最优配置,发现学前教育公共投资生产率每提高10%,最优GDP就会增加2.1%至3%。
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引用次数: 1
Nexus between economic risk and political risk in the United Kingdom: Evidence from wavelet coherence and quantile-on-quantile approaches 英国经济风险和政治风险之间的联系:来自小波相干性和分位数对分位数方法的证据
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12371
Fatih Ayhan, Mustafa Tevfik Kartal, Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, Derviş Kirikkaleli

This study examines the linkage between economic risk and political risk in the United Kingdom. This linkage has attracted the attention of policymakers; however, there is no consequence of the linkage in the existing literature. The study aims to close this gap for the UK case by applying wavelet coherence (WTC) and quantile-on-quantile regression (QQR) approaches and using quarterly data between 1984/Q1 and 2020/Q4. The results of the WTC reveal that there is time–frequency dependency between economic risk and political risk majorly in the medium and low frequencies. Moreover, the direction of the causality changes over time. Furthermore, the outcomes of the WTC show that economic risk leads political risk between 1995 and 2005, whereas political risk leads economic risk from 2006 to 2019. The outcomes of the QQR approach disclose that in the higher tail (0.7–0.95) of political risk and lower and medium tail (0.05–0.60) of economic risk, the effect of political risk on economic risk is positive and strong. On the flip side, at all quantiles (0.05–0.95) of economic risk and lower quantiles (0.10–0.30) of political risk, the effect of political risk on economic risk is positive and strong. The results are also validated by the outcomes of partial wavelet coherence, multiple wavelet coherence, and quantile regression. Hence, the results highlight the importance of political risk (economic risk) for economic risk (political risk) in the UK case.

本研究考察了英国经济风险和政治风险之间的联系。这种联系引起了政策制定者的注意;然而,在现有的文献中,并没有这种联系的后果。该研究旨在通过应用小波相干性(WTC)和分位数对分位数回归(QQR)方法,并使用1984/Q1和2020/Q4之间的季度数据,缩小英国案例中的这一差距。研究结果表明,经济风险与政治风险之间存在时频依赖关系,主要表现在中低频。此外,因果关系的方向随时间而变化。此外,WTC的结果表明,1995年至2005年期间,经济风险导致政治风险,而2006年至2019年期间,政治风险导致经济风险。QQR方法的结果显示,在政治风险的高尾(0.7-0.95)和经济风险的中尾(0.05-0.60),政治风险对经济风险的影响是正向的,且较强。另一方面,在经济风险的所有分位数(0.05-0.95)和政治风险的较低分位数(0.10-0.30)上,政治风险对经济风险的影响都是积极而强烈的。部分小波相干性、多小波相干性和分位数回归结果也验证了这一结果。因此,研究结果强调了政治风险(经济风险)对英国经济风险(政治风险)的重要性。
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引用次数: 6
Merger selection, evidence provision, and the timing of merger control 合并选择、证据提供和合并控制的时机
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12365
Andreea Cosnita-Langlais, Jean-Philippe Tropeano

Merger control impacts the type of merger projects that are submitted, as well as the information provided by the merging parties upon assessment. In this paper, we consider the outcomes in terms of selection of merger types and evidence provision of alternative timings for merger review, pre- or postconsummation of the merger. We show that the selection effect induced by the ex post merger review is welfare-improving due to the deterrence of the most anticompetitive merger projects. In contrast, the welfare impact of evidence provision under ex post assessment is ambiguous. Balancing these two effects makes possible the welfare comparison between the ex ante and the ex post merger policy enforcement.

合并控制影响提交的合并项目类型,以及合并各方在评估时提供的信息。在本文中,我们考虑了合并评估的类型选择和证据提供的结果,包括合并完成前后的替代时间。我们发现,通过对大多数反竞争项目的威慑,并购后控制所诱导的选择效应是福利改善。相比之下,在合并后控制下提供证据对福利的影响是模糊的。平衡这两种影响使事前和事后执行之间的福利比较成为可能。
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引用次数: 0
Do voluntary commitment mechanisms improve welfare? The effect of mandatory and voluntary oaths in a social dilemma 自愿承诺机制能改善福利吗?社会困境中强制宣誓与自愿宣誓的作用
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12369
Brent J. Davis, Tarek Jaber-Lopez

We investigate whether oaths can enforce property rights in a social dilemma and increase welfare. We examine the impact of mandatory and voluntary oaths in a laboratory experiment where individuals can produce wealth, protect accumulated wealth, and take wealth from others. Individuals are more productive when oaths are mandatory compared to a no-oath environment. Subjects’ voluntary signing oaths behave similarly to those who sign a mandatory oath. When the oath is voluntary, nonoath-taking individuals engage in nonproductive behavior, negating the positive impact from the voluntary oath. Our results show that altering commitment mechanisms can result in varying welfare levels.

我们研究了在社会困境中宣誓是否能加强产权并增加福利。我们在一个实验室实验中检验了强制性和自愿性宣誓的影响,在这个实验中,个人可以创造财富,保护积累的财富,也可以从别人那里获取财富。与没有宣誓的环境相比,强制宣誓的环境下个人的工作效率更高。受试者自愿签署誓言的行为与那些签署强制性誓言的人相似。当宣誓是自愿的,不宣誓的个人从事非生产性行为,否定了自愿宣誓的积极影响。我们的研究结果表明,改变承诺机制可以导致不同的福利水平。
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引用次数: 2
FDI inflows, economic growth, and governance quality trilogy in developing countries: A panel VAR analysis 发展中国家FDI流入、经济增长和治理质量三部曲:面板VAR分析
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-07-22 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12364
Yosra Saidi, Anis Ochi, Samir Maktouf

This study provides evidence of the triangular relationship between governance quality, foreign direct investment, and economic growth. Unlike previous studies in the governance—foreign direct investment—growth literature, this study employed the panel vector autoregressive model to examine the impact of governance quality and foreign direct investment on economic growth. Moreover, we used the impulse response function tool, which was developed in the same context, to better understand the reaction of the two main variables of interest, foreign direct investment, and economic growth, after shocks to the governance quality variable. Finally, the analysis was completed by the variance decomposition of all variables. These analyses were conducted for 102 developing countries from 1996 to 2014. Overall, the results show that inward foreign direct investment has a significant impact and can strongly encourage economic growth. These results indicate that the quality of governance in developing countries does not affect foreign direct investment and economic growth.

本研究为治理质量、外国直接投资和经济增长之间的三角关系提供了证据。与以往关于治理-外国直接投资-增长的研究文献不同,本研究采用面板向量自回归模型来考察治理质量和外国直接投资对经济增长的影响。此外,我们使用了在相同背景下开发的脉冲响应函数工具,以更好地理解外国直接投资和经济增长这两个主要感兴趣变量在受到冲击后对治理质量变量的反应。最后,对各变量进行方差分解,完成分析。这些分析是在1996年至2014年期间对102个发展中国家进行的。总体而言,结果表明,外来直接投资具有显著的影响,并能有力地促进经济增长。这些结果表明,发展中国家的治理质量并不影响外国直接投资和经济增长。
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引用次数: 4
期刊
Bulletin of Economic Research
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