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Seasonality and consumer confidence 季节性和消费者信心
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12449
Balázs Zélity

This research empirically investigates whether consumer confidence is affected by seasonal daylight fluctuations. Cross-country panel regressions are run with two different datasets. It is found that both solar elevation and sunlight duration positively affect consumer confidence. The presence of country and year-by-month fixed effects as well as controls for the business cycle help rule out alternative explanations. A one standard deviation increase in solar elevation or sunlight duration is associated with a 0.03–0.04 SD increase in consumer confidence.

本研究通过实证调查消费者信心是否受季节性日光波动的影响。利用两个不同的数据集进行了跨国面板回归。结果发现,太阳高度和日照时间都会对消费者信心产生积极影响。国家和逐年逐月固定效应以及对商业周期的控制有助于排除其他解释。太阳高度或日照时间每增加一个标准差,消费者信心就会增加 0.03-0.04 个标准差。
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引用次数: 0
The ratchet effect and the probability of proceeding to the next stage: An experiment 棘轮效应和进入下一阶段的概率:一项实验
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12448
Shigeo Morita, Tomoharu Mori

The ratchet effect is an economic phenomenon where agents strategically restrict their efforts to conceal information on their characteristics under the dynamic setting. This study experimentally examines the effect of the probability of proceeding to the next stage on ratcheting behavior. We find evidence that if the probability is smaller than 1, the ratchet effect is mitigated.

棘轮效应是一种经济现象,即在动态环境下,行为主体策略性地限制其隐藏自身特征信息的努力。本研究通过实验检验了进入下一阶段的概率对棘轮行为的影响。我们发现,如果概率小于 1,棘轮效应就会减轻。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of mainstream financial press attention on stock pricing efficiency in the China stock market 主流财经媒体关注度对中国股市股票定价效率的影响
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12445
Haiyuan Yin, Xiangmiao Hu

As the pivotal figure of information transmission in the capital market, the mainstream financial press has a significant impact on the operation of the stock market. Based on the mainstream financial press, this study obtains the news reports of 945 China A-share listed companies in 2010–2019 and analyzes the relationship between the attention of the mainstream financial press and the efficiency of stock pricing. Further, we explore the mediating effect of corporate governance in this correlation. The empirical results show that the more reports on listed companies from the mainstream financial press the lower the delay level of the stock price of listed companies. At the same time, the characteristics information of the stock price increases, the higher the stock pricing efficiency. The attitude of press reports of listed companies also has an impact on the efficiency of stock pricing. The improvement of pricing efficiency will be achieved through neutral reporting. Mainstream financial press reports indirectly improve the efficiency of stock pricing by reducing the agency costs of the two types, and corporate governance plays a significant intermediary role in it. Finally, compared with market-oriented media, the effect of policy-oriented mainstream financial press on pricing efficiency is more significant.

主流财经媒体作为资本市场信息传递的枢纽,对股票市场的运行有着重要影响。本研究以主流财经媒体为研究对象,获取了 2010-2019 年我国 945 家 A 股上市公司的新闻报道,分析了主流财经媒体关注度与股票定价效率之间的关系。此外,我们还探讨了公司治理在这一相关关系中的中介效应。实证结果表明,主流财经媒体对上市公司的报道越多,上市公司股价的延迟水平越低。同时,股价的特征信息越多,股票定价效率越高。上市公司对新闻报道的态度也会对股票定价效率产生影响。定价效率的提高将通过中性报道来实现。主流财经媒体报道通过降低两类媒体的代理成本间接提高了股票定价效率,而公司治理在其中起到了重要的中介作用。最后,与市场导向型媒体相比,政策导向型主流财经媒体对定价效率的影响更为显著。
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引用次数: 0
Self-serving attribution and managerial investment decision 自我服务归因与管理投资决策
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12444
Chune Young Chung, Changhwan Choi, Amirhossein Fard

This study examines whether managerial overconfidence coupled with self-attribution bias distorts the investment decisions of firms. To this end, we investigate the impact of overconfidence on asymmetric investment cash flow sensitivity (ICS). We find that managerial overconfidence affects ICS in a downward-sticky direction, which is reinforced by overconfidence coupled with managerial self-attribution. The results for both unconstrained and constrained firms are qualitatively consistent with those for the overall sample; however, the constrained subsample provides slightly weaker results. Thus, our findings indicate that managerial overconfidence and self-attribution to recent successes may induce managers to make excessive investment commitments.

本研究探讨了管理者过度自信与自我归因偏差是否会扭曲企业的投资决策。为此,我们研究了过度自信对非对称投资现金流敏感性(ICS)的影响。我们发现,管理者的过度自信会向下-粘性方向影响投资现金流敏感性,而过度自信加上管理者的自我归因会强化这种影响。无约束企业和受约束企业的结果与总体样本的结果在性质上是一致的;但是,受约束子样本的结果稍弱。因此,我们的研究结果表明,管理者的过度自信和对近期成功的自我归因可能会诱使管理者做出过度的投资承诺。
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引用次数: 0
Does digital transformation crowd out the employment of lower skill labor? 数字化转型是否会挤占低技能劳动力的就业?
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12446
Ying Wu, Yuanyue Deng

This paper investigates the effect of digital transformation on the employment of low-skilled labor. Using a large sample of Chinese listed firms for the 2008–2021 period, we find that digital transformation reduces the employment of low-skilled labor. This result is robust to a battery of sensitivity tests and is attenuated for firms located in regions with higher unemployment rates and for small enterprises. Mechanism tests show that digital transformation affects the employment of low-skilled labor through the wage effect channel and the substitution effect channel. The paper deepens our understanding of the economic effect of digital transformation on the labor market.

本文研究了数字化转型对低技能劳动力就业的影响。通过对 2008-2021 年间中国上市企业的大样本研究,我们发现数字化转型减少了低技能劳动力的就业。这一结果在一系列敏感性测试中都是稳健的,而且对于位于失业率较高地区的企业和小型企业来说,这一影响有所减弱。机制检验表明,数字化转型通过工资效应渠道和替代效应渠道影响低技能劳动力的就业。本文加深了我们对数字化转型对劳动力市场经济效应的理解。
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引用次数: 0
The nexus of ESG requirements and industry concentration 环境、社会和治理要求与行业集中度的关系
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12442
Yenpo Tai, Mei-Yu Lee, Chu-Ping Lo, Su-Ying Hsu

This paper examines the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) requirements for an industry in an n-oligopolistic model and investigates the relationship between the degree of industry concentration and the degree of ESG requirements. It is shown that the factors influencing the degree of ESG requirements include the number of firms, the elasticity of market demand, and the market concentration ratio. In the case of linear market demand, the degree of requirements is negatively affected by firm number only, regardless of the elasticity of market demand or market concentration ratio. In addition, the degree of ESG requirements is positively (negatively) related to the industry profit/concentration, when market demand is convex (concave). This paper demonstrates that the degree of ESG requirements is sensitive to firm number, market demand, and market concentration ratio and serves as a pragmatic reference for the government.

本文研究了 n-oligopolistic 模型中的行业环境、社会和治理(ESG)要求,并探讨了行业集中度与 ESG 要求程度之间的关系。研究表明,影响 ESG 要求程度的因素包括企业数量、市场需求弹性和市场集中率。在线性市场需求的情况下,无论市场需求弹性或市场集中率如何,要求程度只受企业数量的负面影响。此外,当市场需求呈凸形(凹形)时,ESG 要求程度与行业利润/集中度呈正(负)相关。本文证明了环境、社会和治理要求程度对企业数量、市场需求和市场集中率的敏感性,为政府提供了务实的参考。
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引用次数: 0
The relationship between the Big Five personality traits and earnings: Evidence from a meta-analysis 五大人格特质与收入之间的关系:来自荟萃分析的证据
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12437
Melchior Vella

This meta-analysis examines the relationship between the Big Five personality traits and earnings. The results reveal that openness to experience, conscientiousness, and extraversion exhibit positive correlations with earnings, whereas agreeableness and neuroticism are inversely correlated with earnings. Overall, personality has a modest-to-small effect on earnings, with variations in results depending on econometric models used. Accounting for publication bias, socioeconomic background, and cognitive ability in models affects effect sizes. The findings also underscore the potential for omitted variable bias in the reported personality effects on earnings when relevant factors are omitted from the earnings equation.

这项元分析研究了五大人格特质与收入之间的关系。结果显示,经验开放性、自觉性和外向性与收入呈正相关,而宜人性和神经质与收入呈反相关。总体而言,性格对收入的影响不大不小,不同的计量经济学模型得出的结果也不尽相同。在模型中考虑出版偏差、社会经济背景和认知能力会影响效应大小。研究结果还强调,如果在收入等式中省略了相关因素,报告的性格对收入的影响可能会出现遗漏变量偏差。
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引用次数: 0
A theory of entry dissuasion 入境劝阻理论
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12441
Domenico Buccella, Luciano Fanti

In an industry with homogeneous goods, this note compares the standard incumbent's strategic capacity choice versus the incumbent's pre-emptive payment (profit) transfer (PPT) strategy (i.e., pre-entry acquisition). It is shown that via the transfer option, the incumbent holds its monopoly position “dissuading” the potential competitor entry for a range of fixed costs larger than under strategic capacity. Moreover, in that range, at least one firm is better off under PPT, while the other is indifferent between PPT and capacity choice. That is, in contestable markets, the incumbent can keep its dominant position in an easier way than standard models predict.

在具有同质商品的行业中,本论文比较了在位者的标准战略产能选择与在位者的抢先支付(利润)转移(PPT)战略(即进入前收购)。结果表明,通过转移选择,在固定成本范围大于战略产能的情况下,在位者可以保持其垄断地位,"阻止 "潜在竞争者进入。此外,在这一范围内,至少有一家公司在 PPT 条件下会更好,而另一家公司则在 PPT 和产能选择之间无动于衷。也就是说,在有竞争的市场中,现有企业比标准模型预测的更容易保持其主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
Multiple regimes in the preferences for redistribution 再分配偏好的多重制度
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12443
Andros Kourtellos, Kyriakos Petrou

This paper provides novel evidence of nonlinearities in the formation of preferences for redistribution by uncovering evidence of multiple regimes consistent with the presence of multiple equilibria and multiple steady states. Using threshold regressions that account for the endogeneity of the threshold variable, countries are classified into three groups that share common characteristics. Finally, our analysis reveals substantial evidence of parameter heterogeneity in the coefficient estimates of threshold regressions.

本文通过发现与多重均衡和多重稳定状态一致的多重制度证据,提供了再分配偏好形成过程中的非线性新证据。利用考虑了门槛变量内生性的门槛回归,我们将国家划分为具有共同特征的三组。最后,我们的分析揭示了门槛回归系数估计值中参数异质性的大量证据。
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引用次数: 0
ECB monetary policy communication events: Do they move euro area yields? 欧洲央行货币政策沟通活动:它们会影响欧元区收益率吗?
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1111/boer.12439
Linas Jurkšas, Rokas Kaminskas, Deimantė Vasiliauskaitė

This study aims to determine and compare the impact of four different types of European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy communication events on euro area sovereign yields on an intraday basis since 2014. Our paper distinguishes it from similar studies in that we analyze a broad range of ECB communication types. The results reveal that ECB decisions and press conferences have the most substantial intraday impact on normalized sovereign yields while the impact of speeches and accounts appears to be much weaker. Countries with the highest debt levels (such as Italy, Spain, and France) experienced the most robust changes in fiscal costs, while the period encompassing the economic shock induced by the Covid-19 pandemic shows weaker effects.

本研究旨在确定并比较自 2014 年以来四种不同类型的欧洲中央银行(ECB)货币政策沟通事件对欧元区主权收益率的影响。我们的论文有别于类似的研究,因为我们分析了广泛的欧洲央行沟通类型。结果显示,欧洲央行决议和新闻发布会对正常化主权收益率的日内影响最大,而讲话和账户的影响似乎要弱得多。债务水平最高的国家(如意大利、西班牙和法国)在财政成本方面经历了最强劲的变化,而包含由 Covid-19 大流行病引发的经济冲击的时期则显示出较弱的影响。
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Bulletin of Economic Research
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