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A different way of thinking about seismic risk 另一种思考地震风险的方式
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-09-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.3.141-149
J. Hare
Seismic risk has traditionally been approached using probabilistic analysis. This dilutes the potential impact of low probability, extreme events that may lead to severe consequences including excessive land damage, building damage, injuries and death. The communication of risk in probabilistic terms is also not clearly understood by most audiences. Further, it is evident that few building developers, owners and users have a good understanding the implications of this and the capacity design of buildings, which may not be repairable after a severe event. There is also an adverse impact on planning and land use, where decisions that may affect many people are based on a limited view of adverse outcomes such as liquefaction, lateral spread and slope stability in severe earthquakes. A different way of thinking about seismic risk is proposed. An approach of using scenarios derived from a combination of deterministic as well as probabilistic thinking would prompt consideration of impacts over a range of events. This would allow full consideration of which outcomes are clearly not acceptable and which are. This may facilitate planning for both private and public sector, with a common understanding that is relatively easily communicated to both experts and lay people. This risk evaluation framework would also facilitate consideration of mitigation, by bringing focus on unacceptable outcomes of severe events that are currently obscured by pure probabilistic analysis. This was missing in Christchurch, which experienced the sort of event we can readily anticipate and should actively plan for in other parts of New Zealand. This would help us avoid future red zones and excessive damage and demolition. It will inform development of building codes and standards and will help us evaluate risk and provide resilience and redundancy across the range of interconnected infrastructure networks. Informed debate is needed with key decision makers to discuss the underlying objectives of our regulation and how these may be better met by such an approach, without engineers allowing themselves to be trapped in past thinking and assumptions.
地震风险传统上采用概率分析方法。这削弱了低概率极端事件的潜在影响,这些事件可能导致严重后果,包括过度的土地破坏、建筑物损坏、人员伤亡。大多数受众也不清楚概率术语中的风险沟通。此外,很明显,很少有建筑开发商、业主和用户能很好地理解这一点的含义以及建筑的容量设计,这些建筑在严重事件后可能无法修复。对规划和土地利用也有不利影响,可能影响许多人的决策是基于对严重地震中液化、横向扩展和边坡稳定性等不利结果的有限看法。提出了一种不同的地震风险思考方式。使用确定性和概率性思维相结合的情景的方法将促使考虑对一系列事件的影响。这将允许充分考虑哪些结果显然是不可接受的,哪些是可接受的。这可能有助于私营和公共部门的规划,有一个相对容易传达给专家和非专业人员的共同理解。该风险评估框架还将通过关注目前被纯粹的概率分析所掩盖的严重事件的不可接受的结果,促进对缓解措施的考虑。这在克赖斯特彻奇是缺失的,它经历了我们可以很容易预测的事件,应该在新西兰其他地区积极计划。这将有助于我们避免未来的红色区域以及过度的破坏和拆除。它将为建筑规范和标准的制定提供信息,并将帮助我们评估风险,在一系列互连的基础设施网络中提供弹性和冗余。需要与关键决策者进行知情的辩论,讨论我们监管的基本目标,以及如何通过这种方法更好地实现这些目标,而不让工程师陷入过去的思维和假设。
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引用次数: 6
A modal seismic design procedure based on a selected level of ductility demand 一种基于延性需求选定水平的模态抗震设计程序
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.2.78-94
M. Baradaran, F. Behnamfar
Determination of seismic design forces of structures is performed by the building codes usually using response reduction (or behaviour) factors that incorporate indeterminacy and ductility capacity of lateral bearing systems. In this procedure story drifts are checked as a final design step approximately preventing stories from assuming excessive ductility demands, or seismic damage. If this procedure is reversed, a more logical seismic design approach may be developed by starting with a ductility-controlled procedure. It is the incentive of this research in which by using a large number of earthquakes, first nonlinear acceleration spectra are developed for different levels of ductility demand. Then an energy-based modal procedure is developed in which the system ductility demand is distributed between the important vibration modes based on their contribution. Finally, the developed method is applied to seismic design of several buildings selected from both regular and irregular structural systems. Comparison with a sample code design establishes success of the method in developing a more rational seismic design.
结构抗震设计力的确定由建筑规范执行,通常使用包含横向承载系统的不确定性和延性能力的响应折减(或性能)因素。在该程序中,作为最终设计步骤,对层间偏移进行检查,大致防止层间出现过度延性要求或地震损伤。如果该程序被颠倒,则可以从延性控制程序开始,开发出一种更符合逻辑的抗震设计方法。这项研究的动机是,通过使用大量地震,针对不同延性需求水平开发了第一个非线性加速度谱。然后开发了一个基于能量的模态程序,其中系统延性需求根据其贡献分布在重要的振动模式之间。最后,将所开发的方法应用于从规则和不规则结构体系中选择的几栋建筑的抗震设计。与示例代码设计的比较表明,该方法在开发更合理的抗震设计方面取得了成功。
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引用次数: 1
Seismic bracing performance of plasterboard timber walls 石膏板木墙的抗震支撑性能
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.2.56-66
Angela Liu, D. Carradine
The goal of this study is to develop a racking model of plasterboard-sheathed timber walls as part of the efforts towards performance-based seismic engineering of low-rise light timber-framed (LTF) residential buildings in New Zealand. Residential buildings in New Zealand are primarily stand-alone low-rise LTF buildings, and their bracing elements are commonly plasterboard-sheathed LTF walls. It is an essential part of performance-based seismic designs of LTF buildings to be able to simulate the racking performance of plasterboard walls. In this study, racking test results of 12 plasterboard walls were collected and studied to gain insight into the seismic performance of plasterboard-sheathed LTF walls. The racking performance of these walls was examined in terms of stiffness/strength degradation, displacement capacity, superposition applicability and failure mechanisms. Subsequently, a mathematical analysis model for simulating racking performance of LTF plasterboard walls is developed and presented. The developed racking model is a closed-form wall model and could be easily used for conducting three-dimensional non-linear push-over studies of seismic performance of LTF buildings.
本研究的目标是开发石膏板护木墙的货架模型,作为新西兰低层轻木结构(LTF)住宅建筑基于性能的抗震工程的一部分。新西兰的住宅建筑主要是独立的低层LTF建筑,其支撑元素通常是石膏板覆盖的LTF墙壁。能够模拟石膏板墙体的货架性能是LTF建筑基于性能的抗震设计的重要组成部分。本研究收集并研究了12个石膏板墙体的机架试验结果,以深入了解石膏板护套LTF墙体的抗震性能。从刚度/强度退化、位移能力、叠加适用性和破坏机制等方面考察了这些墙体的货架性能。在此基础上,建立了LTF石膏板墙体货架性能的数学分析模型。所建立的搁架模型是一种封闭型墙体模型,可方便地用于LTF建筑抗震性能的三维非线性推倒研究。
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引用次数: 6
Editorial 编辑
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.2.i-ii
R. Dhakal
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引用次数: 0
Experimental studies on in-plane performance of plasterboard sheathed ceiling diaphragms 石膏板吊顶隔板面内性能的试验研究
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.2.95-106
Angela Liu, Minghao Li, R. Shelton
The ultimate goal of this study is to develop a model representing the in-plane behaviour of plasterboard ceiling diaphragms, as part of the efforts towards performance-based seismic engineering of low-rise light timber-framed (LTF) residential buildings in New Zealand (NZ). LTF residential buildings in NZ are constructed according to a prescriptive standard – NZS 3604 Timber-framed buildings [1]. With regards to seismic resisting systems, LTF buildings constructed to NZS3604 often have irregular bracing arrangements within a floor plan. A damage survey of LTF buildings after the Canterbury earthquake revealed that structural irregularity (irregular bracing arrangement within a plan) significantly exacerbated the earthquake damage to LTF buildings. When a building has irregular bracing arrangements, the building will have not only translational deflections but also a torsional response in earthquakes. How effectively the induced torsion can be resolved depends on the stiffness of the floors/roof diaphragms. Ceiling and floor diaphragms in LTF buildings in NZ have different construction details from the rest of the world and there appears to be no information available on timber diaphragms typical of NZ practice. This paper presents experimental studies undertaken on plasterboard ceiling diaphragms as typical of NZ residential practice. Based on the test results, a mathematical model simulating the in-plane stiffness of plasterboard ceiling diaphragms was developed, and the developed model has a similar format to that of plasterboard bracing wall elements presented in an accompany paper by Liu [2]. With these two models, three-dimensional non-linear push-over studies of LTF buildings can be undertaken to calculate seismic performance of irregular LTF buildings.
本研究的最终目标是开发一个代表石膏板天花板隔板平面内性能的模型,作为新西兰低层轻质木框架(LTF)住宅基于性能的抗震工程的一部分。新西兰LTF住宅楼是根据NZS 3604木框架建筑规范标准[1]建造的。关于抗震系统,按照NZS3604建造的LTF建筑在平面图中通常具有不规则的支撑布置。坎特伯雷地震后对LTF建筑的损坏调查显示,结构不规则(计划中不规则的支撑布置)显著加剧了LTF建筑在地震中的损坏。当建筑物具有不规则的支撑布置时,建筑物在地震中不仅会产生平移偏转,还会产生扭转反应。如何有效地解决诱导扭转取决于地板/屋顶隔板的刚度。新西兰LTF建筑的天花板和地板隔板的施工细节与世界其他地方不同,而且似乎没有关于新西兰典型做法的木材隔板的信息。本文介绍了在新西兰住宅实践中对石膏板天花板隔板进行的实验研究。根据试验结果,建立了一个模拟石膏板天花板隔板平面内刚度的数学模型,该模型的格式与刘[2]的一篇论文中提出的石膏板支撑墙单元的格式相似。利用这两个模型,可以对LTF建筑进行三维非线性推覆研究,以计算不规则LTF建筑的抗震性能。
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引用次数: 4
Basin edge effects and damping 盆地边缘效应和阻尼
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-06-30 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.52.2.67-77
R. Ballagh, A. Cattanach
The Kaikōura earthquake brought the concept of basin effects to the forefront of conversation about building in the Wellington CBD. Local exceedances of ULS design spectra were observed in many waterfront sites in the 1.5-2.5s period range. This, coupled with low yield levels and certain structural forms present in previous generations of building design, meant that significant damage occurred in many buildings around the Wellington waterfront. A primary cause for the high spectral accelerations was the geological structure of the Wellington CBD. This paper will focus on the behaviour of generic buildings in response to these particular ground motions and suggest how lessons from this can inform the design of future buildings. It uses the Kaikōura Earthquake as the centre point for discussions about the relationship between building behaviour on soft soils and the effects on this of different forms of damping. More broadly, the aim is to help spark debate in the earthquake engineering community on the question: What sorts of structures should we be building on soft soil sites? This paper has been written in the wake of a number of damaging earthquakes throughout New Zealand, and with the concurrent increase in sophistication and spread of tools for analysing the effects of the ground motions induced by these earthquakes. The genesis of the ideas presented herein was in analysis of many waterfront buildings following the Kaikoura earthquake, and the attempts, often in vain, to match modelled building behaviour- where small tweaks in assumptions could have a radical effect on results- with actual observed damage – where cracks may have been seen in concrete or in partitions, but assessment of actual plastic strains reached in steel bars or beams was basically conjecture.  This paper is broad in scope, therefore cannot possibly give each aspect the coverage of a series of papers which consider them in isolation and in detail. We nonetheless strongly believe that a holistic view of all topics is critical for design, and that the authors as ‘front line’ structural engineers are well positioned to present this. Sincere attempts have been made to justify our point of view with a strong basis in first principles, and backed by nonlinear time history analysis, or by reference to the work of others. We acknowledge that our beliefs are not shared by everyone and that some conclusions are provocative. It is neither the intent nor even the hope that we have the last word on this topic.
Kaikōura地震将盆地效应的概念带到了惠灵顿中央商务区建筑的讨论前沿。在1.5-2.5秒的时间范围内,在许多海滨场地观测到超低硫柴油设计谱的局部超标现象。再加上前几代建筑设计中存在的低屈服水平和某些结构形式,意味着惠灵顿海滨周围的许多建筑都发生了重大损坏。高光谱加速度的主要原因是惠灵顿中央商务区的地质结构。本文将重点关注普通建筑对这些特定地面运动的反应,并建议如何从中吸取教训,为未来建筑的设计提供信息。它以Kaikōura地震为中心,讨论了软土上建筑行为之间的关系以及不同形式的阻尼对此的影响。更广泛地说,其目的是帮助在地震工程界引发关于以下问题的辩论:我们应该在软土场地上建造什么样的结构?这篇论文是在新西兰各地发生多起破坏性地震之后撰写的,同时分析这些地震引起的地面运动影响的工具也越来越复杂和普及。本文提出的想法的起源是对凯库拉地震后许多海滨建筑的分析,试图将建模的建筑行为(假设中的微小调整可能会对结果产生根本影响)与实际观察到的损坏(混凝土或隔墙中可能出现裂缝)相匹配,但往往是徒劳的,但对钢筋或梁中实际达到的塑性应变的评估基本上是猜测。这篇论文的范围很广,因此不可能像一系列孤立而详细地考虑它们的论文那样涵盖每一个方面。尽管如此,我们坚信,对所有主题的整体看法对设计至关重要,作为“一线”结构工程师的作者完全有能力提出这一点。人们真诚地试图以第一性原理为坚实基础,以非线性时程分析或参考他人的工作来证明我们的观点。我们承认,并非每个人都认同我们的信仰,有些结论具有挑衅性。这既不是我们的意图,也不是我们对这个问题有最后发言权的希望。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of surface fault rupture on residential structures during the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake, New Zealand 2016年新西兰7.8级Kaikōura地震中地表断层破裂对住宅结构的影响
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-31 DOI: 10.5459/BNZSEE.52.1.1-22
R. V. Van Dissen, T. Stahl, A. King, J. Pettinga, C. Fenton, T. Little, N. Litchfield, M. Stirling, R. Langridge, A. Nicol, J. Kearse, D. Barrell, P. Villamor
Areas that experience permanent ground deformation in earthquakes (e.g., surface fault rupture, slope failure, and/or liquefaction) typically sustain greater damage and loss compared to areas that experience strong ground shaking alone. The 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake generated ≥220 km of surface fault rupture. The amount and style of surface rupture deformation varied considerably, ranging from centimetre-scale distributed folding to metre-scale discrete rupture. About a dozen buildings – mainly residential (or residential-type) structures comprising single-storey timber-framed houses, barns and wool sheds with lightweight roofing material – were directly impacted by surface fault rupture with the severity of damage correlating with both local discrete fault displacement and local strain. However, none of these buildings collapsed. This included a house built directly atop a discrete rupture that experienced ~10 m of lateral offset. The foundation and flooring system of this structure allowed decoupling of much of the ground deformation from the superstructure thus preventing collapse. Nevertheless, buildings directly impacted by surface faulting suffered greater damage than comparable structures immediately outside the zone of surface rupture deformation. From a life-safety standpoint, all these buildings performed satisfactorily and provide insight into construction styles that could be employed to facilitate non-collapse performance resulting from surface fault rupture and, in certain instances, even post-event functionality.
在地震中经历永久性地面变形的地区(例如,地表断层破裂、边坡破坏和/或液化)通常比仅经历强烈地面震动的地区遭受更大的破坏和损失。2016年Mw 7.8 Kaikōura地震导致地表断层破裂≥220公里。地表破裂变形的数量和形式变化很大,从厘米尺度的分布褶皱到米尺度的离散破裂。大约12座建筑——主要是住宅(或住宅类型)结构,包括单层木结构房屋、谷仓和轻质屋顶材料的羊毛棚——直接受到地表断层破裂的影响,破坏的严重程度与局部离散断层位移和局部应变相关。然而,这些建筑物都没有倒塌。这包括直接建在一个离散破裂上的房子,经历了大约10米的横向偏移。这种结构的基础和地板系统可以将大部分地面变形与上层结构解耦,从而防止倒塌。然而,直接受到地表断裂影响的建筑物比紧接在地表破裂变形区外的类似建筑物遭受更大的破坏。从生命安全的角度来看,所有这些建筑都表现得令人满意,并为建筑风格提供了见解,这些建筑风格可以用于促进地表断层破裂导致的不倒塌性能,在某些情况下,甚至可以用于事后功能。
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引用次数: 4
Seismic response of torsionally irregular single story structures 扭转不规则单层结构的地震反应
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-31 DOI: 10.5459/BNZSEE.52.1.44-53
E. Au, G. MacRae, D. Pettinga, B. Deam, V. Sadashiva, Hossein Soleimankhani
Impulse ground motions are applied to single story structures with different in-plane wall strength and stiffness, rotational inertia, and out-of-plane wall stiffness to obtain the dynamic response considering torsion. A simple hand method to evaluate the impulse response is developed. It is shown that the median increase in response of the critical component considering torsion from many earthquake records is similar to that from impulse records. Using this information, a simple design methodology is proposed which enables the likely earthquake response of critical elements considering torsion to be obtained from building analyses not considering torsion. A design example is also provided.
将脉冲地震动应用于具有不同面内墙体强度和刚度、转动惯量和面外墙体刚度的单层结构,得到考虑扭转的动力响应。提出了一种简单的估算脉冲响应的方法。结果表明,从许多地震记录中得到的考虑扭转的临界分量响应中值增量与从冲击记录中得到的响应中值增量相似。利用这些信息,提出了一种简单的设计方法,可以从不考虑扭转的建筑物分析中获得考虑扭转的关键元件的可能地震反应。最后给出了一个设计实例。
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引用次数: 0
Development of cladding contribution functions for seismic loss estimation 地震损失估算中包层贡献函数的发展
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2019-03-31 DOI: 10.5459/BNZSEE.52.1.23-43
S. Khakurel, T. Yeow, Frankie Chen, Zam Wang, S. Saha, R. Dhakal
One method to rapidly estimate seismic losses during the structural design phase is to use contribution functions. These are relationships between expected losses (e.g. damage repair costs, downtime, and injury) for a wide range of building components (e.g. cladding, partitions, and ceilings) and the building’s response. This study aims to develop contribution functions for common types of cladding used in different types of buildings considering damage repair costs. In the first part of this study, a building survey was performed to identify types and quantity of cladding used in residential, commercial and industrial buildings in Christchurch, New Zealand; where it was found that the most common cladding types are glazing, masonry veneer, monolithic cladding and precast panels. The data collected during the survey was also used to develop cladding distribution (i.e. density) functions. The second step involved identifying fragility functions from relevant literature which are applicable to the cladding detailing used in New Zealand. The third step involved surveying consultants, suppliers and builders on typical repair/replacement cost. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations were performed to combine the cladding density function with the fragility functions and the repair cost for each type of cladding to derive contribution functions for various types of cladding and building usage. An example (case study) is provided to demonstrate its usage.
在结构设计阶段快速估计地震损失的一种方法是使用贡献函数。这些是各种建筑组件(如覆层、隔板和天花板)的预期损失(如损坏修复成本、停机时间和伤害)与建筑响应之间的关系。本研究旨在开发考虑损坏修复成本的不同类型建筑中使用的常见类型覆层的贡献函数。在本研究的第一部分,进行了一项建筑调查,以确定新西兰克赖斯特彻奇住宅、商业和工业建筑中使用的覆层的类型和数量;发现最常见的覆层类型是玻璃、砖石贴面、整体覆层和预制板。调查期间收集的数据也用于开发包层分布(即密度)函数。第二步涉及从相关文献中识别脆性函数,这些文献适用于新西兰使用的覆层细节。第三步涉及调查顾问、供应商和建筑商的典型维修/更换成本。最后,进行蒙特卡罗模拟,将包层密度函数与每种类型包层的脆性函数和维修成本相结合,得出各种类型包层和建筑用途的贡献函数。提供了一个例子(案例研究)来演示它的用法。
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引用次数: 9
Preparation of small to medium-sized enterprises to earthquake disaster 中小企业应对地震灾害的准备工作
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-31 DOI: 10.5459/BNZSEE.51.4.171-182
T. Egbelakin, M. Poshdar, Kevin C. Walsh, J. Ingham, D. Johnston, J. Becker, Jasper Mbachu, E. Rasheed
Small to Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) are often vulnerable to the adversities caused by major earthquake events, which may include business disruption, damage to goods and property, impaired employee health and safety, financial strain and loss of revenue, or even total loss of the business. SMEs are expected to make critical decisions to prepare their businesses for an earthquake, in an attempt to ensure business continuity and the wellbeing of their employees, should a disaster occur. This study was conducted five years after the devastating Canterbury earthquakes and sought to examine the level of earthquake preparedness of SMEs by investigating the actions undertaken in two different suburban locations having differing seismicity. The extent of preparedness was assessed based on a list of twenty-one possible actions grouped into four categories being knowledge enrichment, insurance and business continuity, survival support actions, and seismic damage mitigation. The assessment involved a survey with an online questionnaire. Analysis of the collected data revealed a specific adoption pattern in the regions of study. The main preparedness action adopted by SMEs was the purchase of business insurance with the development of continuity plans. The least obtained preparedness action was related to survival support actions such as maintaining necessary emergency supplies. The overall adoption rate of the preparedness actions was less than 30%, with no significant difference between the regions studied, and close to 50% of SMEs having adopted less than five preparedness actions. This situation clearly requires urgent attention from all stakeholders involved in SMEs resilience before an earthquake disaster hits the regions.
中小型企业往往容易受到重大地震事件造成的不利影响,其中可能包括业务中断、货物和财产损坏、员工健康和安全受损、财务紧张和收入损失,甚至业务完全丧失。中小企业需要做出关键决策,为企业应对地震做好准备,以便在灾难发生时确保业务的连续性和员工的福祉。本研究是在破坏性的坎特伯雷地震发生五年后进行的,并试图通过调查在两个具有不同地震活动性的不同郊区地区所采取的行动来检查中小企业的地震准备水平。根据21项可能采取的行动清单对备灾程度进行了评估,这些行动分为四类,即丰富知识、保险和业务连续性、生存支助行动和减轻地震损害。评估包括一份在线问卷调查。对收集数据的分析揭示了研究区域的特定采用模式。中小企业采取的主要防备行动是购买商业保险,并制定连续性计划。获得最少的备灾行动与维持必要的应急用品等生存支助行动有关。准备行动的总体采用率低于30%,在所研究的区域之间没有显著差异,近50%的中小企业采取了少于五项准备行动。这种情况显然需要在地震灾害袭击该地区之前,参与中小企业恢复能力的所有利益攸关方给予紧急关注。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering
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