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Seismic activity analysis of five major earthquake source segments in the Sumatra megathrust zone 苏门答腊大逆冲带五大震源段地震活动性分析
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.1555
J. Rizal, Agus Yodi Gunawan, Sapto W. Indratno, I. Meilano
The Sumatra megathrust zone has five major earthquake sources, namely the Aceh-Andaman, Nias-Simeulue, Mentawai-Siberut, Mentawai-Pagai, and Enggano segments. This paper provides seismic activity analysis in these five segments via an unobserved process study of tectonic plate movements, which is conducted in two cases: each of the five segments independently (Case 1), and a pair of two adjacent segments (Case 2). To do this, two specific types of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs), i.e., Poisson-HMMs and Copula-HMMs, dealing with unobserved process issues, are applied. In practice, the data used is the annual frequency of mainshock earthquakes with a magnitude of >4.6 that occurred from 1971 to 2018. This data is obtained by working out the declustering process and estimating the magnitude of completeness from a particular earthquake catalogue. Due to the incompleteness of the data sets, the parameters of the two HMMs are estimated using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Results show that for Case 1, the model that fits the data for each of the five segments is the 3-state Poisson-HMM. The three states, in this instance, stand for the rates of seismic activity that correspond to the dynamic level of tectonic plate movements. Furthermore, in Case 2, the selected model for the Aceh-Andaman with Nias-Simeulue is the 2-state Gumbel Copula-HMM. Meanwhile, for the three groups remaining, namely Nias-Simeulue with Mentawai-Siberut, Mentawai-Siberut with Mentawai-Pagai, and Mentawai-Pagai with Enggano, the appropriate models are Gaussian, Gumbel, and Frank Copulas, respectively. In this case, the number of states represents the seismic activity association of two adjacent segments that corresponds to the association level of two adjacent tectonic plate dynamics.
苏门答腊巨型逆冲带有五个主要震源,即亚齐-安达曼、尼亚斯-西莫鲁、明打威-西比路、明打威-巴盖和恩加诺段。本文通过构造板块运动的未观测过程研究,对这五个板块进行地震活动分析,该研究分为两种情况:五个板块中的每一个独立(案例1),以及两个相邻的板块(案例2)。为此,应用了两种特定类型的隐马尔可夫模型(hmm),即泊松- hmm和copula - hmm,用于处理未观测过程问题。在实践中,使用的数据是1971年至2018年发生的震级为bbbb4.6的主震年频率。这些数据是通过计算聚类过程和估计特定地震目录的完整程度而获得的。由于数据集的不完全性,采用期望最大化算法对两种hmm的参数进行估计。结果表明,对于Case 1,拟合5个片段数据的模型为3-state Poisson-HMM。在这种情况下,这三种状态代表了与构造板块运动的动态水平相对应的地震活动速率。此外,在案例2中,具有nias - simmeulue的亚齐-安达曼选择的模型是2状态Gumbel Copula-HMM。同时,对于剩下的三组,即Nias-Simeulue与Mentawai-Siberut、Mentawai-Siberut与Mentawai-Pagai、Mentawai-Pagai与Enggano,合适的模型分别是高斯、Gumbel和Frank Copulas。在这种情况下,状态数代表两个相邻段的地震活动关联,对应于两个相邻构造板块动力学的关联水平。
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引用次数: 0
Post-earthquake building assessments 地震后建筑评估
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.1568
S. Khakurel, T. Yeow, Sandip Saha, R. Dhakal
Major seismic events occurring around urban centres often cause widespread damage to the building stock. Engineers are then required to perform safety inspections of these buildings. This process may be time-consuming and can cause residents or businesses to be displaced for a considerable duration even if the building is safe to occupy. Furthermore, other post-earthquake recovery phases, such as repair and demolition/reconstruction works, may not even initiate until the building inspection phase is complete. As such, the disruptions caused by post-earthquake inspection need to be considered when modelling building occupancy/functionality downtime.This study uses the data obtained from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake to develop a post-earthquake inspection duration quantification model. Firstly, the duration of the rapid assessment phase is estimated from the number of damaged buildings to be assessed, the total number of available engineers, and the median time needed for assessing each building. Secondly, the probability of a building being assigned a certain colour tag (White, Yellow or Red) is derived based on the extent of damage. Finally, both sets of information are combined to quantify the post-earthquake inspection duration. A case study is examined to demonstrate the application of the proposed model.
发生在城市中心附近的重大地震事件往往会对建筑物造成广泛的破坏。然后要求工程师对这些建筑物进行安全检查。这个过程可能很耗时,并且可能导致居民或企业在相当长的一段时间内流离失所,即使建筑物是安全的。此外,其他灾后恢复阶段,例如维修和拆卸/重建工程,甚至可能在建筑物检查阶段完成后才开始。因此,在对建筑物占用/功能停机时间进行建模时,需要考虑地震后检查造成的中断。本研究利用2011年克赖斯特彻奇地震的数据,建立了震后检验持续时间量化模型。首先,根据待评估的受损建筑物数量、可用工程师总数和评估每座建筑物所需的中位数时间来估计快速评估阶段的持续时间。其次,根据建筑物的损坏程度,得出建筑物被赋予某种颜色标签(白色、黄色或红色)的概率。最后,将两组信息结合起来量化震后检测时间。通过一个案例研究来证明所提出的模型的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Performance of rocking frames with friction tension-only devices 带有摩擦张力装置的摇摆框架的性能
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.1583
Kiran Rangwani, G. MacRae, G. Rodgers
The implementation of a new friction tension-only “GripNGrab” device attached to a rocking steel frame is described. The device, when subject to significant tension dissipates energy via sliding in the frictional component. When the device is loaded in the compression direction, almost no compressive force is carried, but displacement occurs in the ratchetting component. This absence of any significant compressive force within the dissipative system means that the rocking frame will always recentre after uplift from earthquake shaking. A 9 m tall 4.75m wide 3-storey steel concentrically braced rocking frame is designed for low-damage seismic performance. Restoring forces are provided by (i) gravity, (ii) friction “GripNGrab” (GNG) tension-only dissipation devices at the base, and (iii) beam-slab effects. The initial fundamental period of the structure was 0.16s. The initial structure used a 10mm GNG ratchet pitch, and had a GNG strength to not slide under serviceability level shaking. Elastic, pushover, cyclic pushover, as well as time history analyses, with different shaking intensities are conducted using OpenSEES software. The scope of work is limited to a single building and a single ground motion. Parameters varied included the presence of beam-slab effects, and the GNG device stiffness, strength and tooth pitch.It is shown that the full behaviour of the frame could be understood considering cyclic pushover analysis. The peak uplift displacement was conservatively estimated from the peak roof displacement using rigid body mechanics and the tension-only device provided no resistance to full frame recentring. For the frames considered, cumulative uplift displacements, necessary to determine the inelastic displacement capacity of the tension only device, were up to 28 times the peak uplift displacement, not necessarily occurring at the maximum shaking intensity. Maximum frame base shear force demands were up to 1.43 times that from pushover analysis. When the beam-slab, connecting the rocking frame to the rest of the structure, increased the lateral force resistance, the base shear increased significantly, reduced peak roof displacements, and increased the effective number of peak uplift displacement cycles (NPUDc). For large shaking intensities, yielding of the beam-slab occurred resulting in permanent peak roof and uplift displacements. The GNG device strength, stiffness and tooth pitch variations for the cases studied did not significantly affect the response. Initial stiffness, and secant stiffness, based methods to predict the response of rocking frames were non-conservative for these short-period structures with small energy dissipation, and a simple improvement to match the behaviour was developed for the case studied based on the R-T-m relationship for a range of shaking intensity.
介绍了一种新的仅摩擦张力的“GripNGrab”装置在摇摆钢架上的实现。当受到显著张力时,该装置通过在摩擦部件中滑动来耗散能量。当装置在压缩方向上加载时,几乎不携带压缩力,但棘轮部件中发生位移。耗散系统中没有任何显著的压缩力,这意味着摇摆框架在地震震动引起的隆起后总是会重新集中。设计了一个高9米、宽4.75米的3层钢制同心支撑摇摆框架,具有低损伤抗震性能。恢复力由(i)重力、(ii)底部的摩擦“GripNGrab”(GNG)纯张力耗散装置和(iii)梁板效应提供。该结构的初始基本周期为0.16s。初始结构使用10mm的GNG棘轮节距,并且具有在正常使用水平振动下不滑动的GNG强度。使用OpenSEES软件对不同振动强度的弹性、推覆、循环推覆以及时间历程进行了分析。工程范围仅限于单个建筑和单个地面运动。变化的参数包括梁板效应的存在,以及GNG装置的刚度、强度和齿距。结果表明,考虑到循环pushover分析,可以理解框架的全部行为。峰值隆起位移是使用刚体力学根据峰值屋顶位移保守估计的,并且仅限张力的装置对全框架重新定心没有阻力。对于所考虑的框架,确定仅受拉装置的非弹性位移能力所必需的累积上拔位移高达峰值上拔位移的28倍,而不一定发生在最大震动强度下。最大框架基础剪力需求是推倒分析的1.43倍。当梁板将摇摆框架连接到结构的其余部分时,增加了侧向力阻力,基底剪力显著增加,减少了屋顶的峰值位移,并增加了峰值隆起位移循环的有效次数(NPUDc)。对于大的振动强度,梁板发生屈服,导致永久性的峰值屋顶和隆起位移。在所研究的情况下,GNG装置的强度、刚度和齿距变化对响应没有显著影响。对于这些具有较小能量耗散的短周期结构,基于初始刚度和割线刚度的方法预测摇摆框架的响应是非保守的,并且针对所研究的基于一系列振动强度的R-T-m关系的情况,开发了一种简单的改进来匹配行为。
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引用次数: 0
Review of recently constructed concrete wall-steel frame hybrid buildings 回顾近年来建造的混凝土-钢框架混合结构建筑
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.1602
M. C. L. Pascua, R. Henry, Charlotte Toma
Around New Zealand there has been an increasing trend of ‘hybrid’ multi-storey buildings that combine reinforced concrete walls with structural steel framing systems. This study aims to characterise and understand this type of building, focusing on buildings constructed in Auckland and Christchurch from 2014 onwards. Drawings from a total of 50 buildings were reviewed, and their structural features were documented, including building use, building height, lateral load resisting system, ductility, wall configuration, wall construction method, steel framing system and suspended floor system. Meetings with structural engineers were conducted to validate the review findings and to further understand design principles and decisions that lead to these outcomes. A typology comprising five building types with distinct lateral load-resisting systems was proposed based on the building review. Results showed regional differences between Auckland and Christchurch, owing to building use and seismic hazard in the respective cities. Auckland buildings surveyed tended to be residential buildings five storeys or higher made of precast walls connected with steel beams. Christchurch buildings, on the other hand, were primarily commercial buildings three to seven storeys high with dual frame-wall systems. Structural connections between steel frames and concrete walls were also documented, showing that bolted connections with headed stud embedment were most common. The results can be used to identify critical aspects of these mixed structural systems for further investigation and to develop archetype building designs that can be used for modelling and testing.
在新西兰各地,将钢筋混凝土墙与钢结构框架系统相结合的“混合”多层建筑越来越多。本研究旨在描述和理解这类建筑,重点关注2014年以来在奥克兰和克赖斯特彻奇建造的建筑。审查了总共50栋建筑的图纸,并记录了它们的结构特征,包括建筑用途、建筑高度、横向荷载抵抗系统、延性、墙壁配置、墙壁施工方法、钢框架系统和悬吊地板系统。与结构工程师举行了会议,以验证审查结果,并进一步了解导致这些结果的设计原则和决策。在建筑审查的基础上,提出了一种由五种具有不同横向荷载抵抗系统的建筑类型组成的类型。结果显示,由于各自城市的建筑用途和地震危险性,奥克兰和克赖斯特彻奇之间存在区域差异。调查的奥克兰建筑往往是五层或五层以上的住宅楼,由预制墙和钢梁连接而成。另一方面,基督城的建筑主要是三到七层楼高的商业建筑,采用双框架墙系统。还记录了钢框架和混凝土墙之间的结构连接,表明带双头螺栓嵌入的螺栓连接最为常见。研究结果可用于确定这些混合结构系统的关键方面,以供进一步研究,并开发可用于建模和测试的原型建筑设计。
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引用次数: 0
Seismic effects of bracing irregularity of light timber-framed buildings 轻型木框架建筑支撑不规则性的地震效应
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.56.1.29-37
Angela Liu, Minghao Li
Most residential buildings in New Zealand are low-rise light timber-framed (LTF) buildings, constructed according to a prescriptive standard – NZS 3604:2011 Timber-framed buildings. NZS 3604:2011 tabulates the seismic demand and also specifies the test procedure for evaluating the seismic resistance of proprietary LTF walls, which are often plasterboard walls. Designers need to ensure the provided total seismic bracing capacity is at least equal to the total seismic bracing demand, provided that bracing arrangements satisfy the specified irregularity limits.The irregularity limits of bracing arrangements in NZS3604:2011 were established based on engineering rules of thumb rather than rigorous scientific evidence. Earthquake damage observed in the 2010/11 Canterbury earthquake sequence demonstrated that simple regular LTF houses performed well while irregular houses often had significant damage that was uneconomical to repair. This suggested that the irregularity of LTF buildings was an important factor responsible for the exacerbated earthquake damage.To quantify seismic effects of permissible irregularities in NZS 3604:2011 and provide scientific evidence for elaborating irregularity limits in NZS 3604:2011, three single storey LTF buildings with varying degrees of permissible plan irregularities were designed and their seismic performance was studied by conducting three-dimensional non-linear push-over analyses. For the non-linear push-over analyses, the in-plane behaviour of LTF walls and ceiling diaphragms were modelled using the models, developed based on NZ practice, as reported in previous research.The study revealed that permissible irregular bracing arrangements in NZS 3604:2011 could amplify lateral deflections significantly, in comparison with the regular counterparts. As a result, irregular LTF buildings within the scope of NZS 3604:2011 could be susceptible to damage due to excessive deformations in earthquakes and this suggests that the irregularity limits in current NZS 3604:2011 be reviewed and tightened.
新西兰的大多数住宅建筑都是低层轻木结构(LTF)建筑,按照规定性标准- NZS 3604:2011木结构建筑建造。NZS 3604:2011列出了抗震需求,并规定了评估专有LTF墙(通常是石膏板墙)抗震性能的测试程序。设计人员需要确保提供的总抗震支撑能力至少等于总抗震支撑需求,前提是支撑布置满足规定的不规则限制。NZS3604:2011中支撑布置的不规则限制是基于工程经验规则而不是严格的科学证据建立的。在2010/11年坎特伯雷地震序列中观察到的地震破坏表明,简单的规则LTF房屋表现良好,而不规则房屋往往受到严重破坏,修复起来不经济。这表明LTF建筑物的不规则性是造成地震破坏加剧的重要因素。为了量化NZS 3604:2011中允许不规则度的地震影响,并为详细阐述NZS 3604:2011中不规则度限制提供科学依据,设计了3栋具有不同程度允许平面不规则度的单层LTF建筑,并通过三维非线性倾覆分析研究了其抗震性能。对于非线性倾覆分析,LTF墙壁和天花板隔板的平面内行为使用基于新西兰实践的模型进行建模,正如之前的研究所报道的那样。研究表明,与常规支撑相比,NZS 3604:2011中允许的不规则支撑布置可以显著放大横向挠度。因此,在NZS 3604:2011范围内的不规则LTF建筑可能由于地震中的过度变形而容易受到损坏,这表明,目前NZS 3604:2011中的不规则限制应进行审查并加强。
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引用次数: 1
Considerations on seismic hazard disaggregation in terms of occurrence or exceedance in New Zealand 关于新西兰地震灾害发生或超越分类的考虑
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.56.1.1-10
M. Fox
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) is widely accepted as the most robust approach for evaluating the seismic hazard at a given site and provides the basis for seismic loads in most design codes. To obtain more detailed information on the specific earthquake scenarios contributing to the hazard at a site, it is common to include seismic hazard disaggregation results within a PSHA. This is mostly done in terms of exceedance of the intensity level of interest, but for many applications a disaggregation in terms of occurrence of the intensity level of interest is more appropriate. A number of researchers have examined the theoretical differences between the exceedance and occurrence approaches; however, few have provided extensive application examples. This paper therefore compares the approaches for 24 sites across New Zealand. It is shown that the two different approaches can result in moderate differences in the mean magnitudes and site-to-source distances, as well as differences in the relative contributions from different Tectonic Region Types. Whilst some weak trends are identified, it is concluded that generally it is not possible to know a priori whether the difference between occurrence or exceedance approaches would have a tangible impact on disaggregation results or the results of subsequent applications. It is therefore recommended that developers of seismic hazard analysis software and providers of seismic hazard data products make both approaches readily available.
概率地震危险性分析(PSHA)被广泛认为是评估给定地点地震危险性的最可靠的方法,并为大多数设计规范中的地震荷载提供了依据。为了获得对某一地点造成灾害的具体地震情景的更详细信息,通常在PSHA中包括地震灾害分类结果。这主要是根据超出兴趣的强度级别进行的,但是对于许多应用程序,根据兴趣的强度级别的出现进行分类更为合适。许多研究人员已经研究了超越和发生方法之间的理论差异;然而,很少有人提供广泛的应用实例。因此,本文比较了新西兰24个地点的方法。结果表明,两种方法在平均震级和震源点距离上存在中等差异,不同构造区域类型的相对贡献也存在差异。虽然确定了一些微弱的趋势,但得出的结论是,一般不可能先验地知道发生或超越方法之间的差异是否会对分解结果或随后应用的结果产生切实影响。因此,建议地震灾害分析软件的开发人员和地震灾害数据产品的提供者使这两种方法都易于获得。
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引用次数: 1
Challenges in post-earthquake recovery of damaged and neglected buildings in Christchurch CBD 克赖斯特彻奇中央商务区受损和被忽视建筑的灾后恢复面临的挑战
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.56.1.38-54
O. Filippova, K. Elwood, T. Collins
More than a decade since the 22 February 2011 earthquake devastated Christchurch CBD, partially demolished and neglected buildings remain present in the post-earthquake landscape. Christchurch City Council has made significant progress in recent years to reduce the level of neglected buildings across the central parts of the city. To encourage remediation of these buildings, the Council initiated the Barrier Sites programme to keep track of central city sites. This paper documents the current inventory of derelict properties and investigates issues that are delaying progress on these sites. We explore regulatory levers that can be used to influence action on these buildings (e.g. provisions in the Building Act and council bylaws). We also investigate how the local market drivers influence the speed of regeneration. Our review identifies gaps in the regulatory powers to act on barrier sites. Taking action involves meeting difficult definitions and tests under legislation and/or taking court proceedings. Specific legislative tools are needed to provide Councils with the powers they need to ensure action is taken on barrier sites to progress the regeneration of the city after a disaster. We also find that the delays in removing the cordon and uncertainties of the public sector anchor projects contained in the Blueprint have led to the loss of private investment and forced central city developments compete with more affordable commercial and residential offerings outside the CBD. With the passing of the 10-year anniversary of the earthquakes, this project offers a timely reminder of the mammoth struggles that the city has overcome evident in the numerous modern and resilient buildings, yet a few ‘battle sites’ slow the much-needed regeneration towards a resilient city centre.
自2011年2月22日地震摧毁基督城CBD以来,十多年来,部分被拆除和被忽视的建筑仍然存在于地震后的景观中。近年来,克赖斯特彻奇市议会在减少城市中心地区被忽视的建筑水平方面取得了重大进展。为了鼓励修复这些建筑物,市议会发起了“屏障地点计划”,以追踪市中心的地点。本文记录了目前被遗弃财产的清单,并调查了延迟这些地点进展的问题。我们探讨了可用于影响对这些建筑物采取行动的监管杠杆(例如《建筑法》和理事会章程中的规定)。我们还研究了当地市场驱动因素如何影响再生速度。我们的审查确定了监管权力对障碍地点采取行动的差距。采取行动涉及满足立法规定的困难定义和检验标准和/或提起法庭诉讼。需要具体的立法工具来为地方议会提供他们所需的权力,以确保在灾害发生后采取行动,推进城市的重建。我们还发现,蓝图中包含的公共部门核心项目的拆除延误和不确定性导致了私人投资的损失,并迫使中心城市的开发项目与CBD以外更实惠的商业和住宅项目竞争。随着地震十周年的过去,这个项目及时地提醒人们,这座城市已经克服了巨大的斗争,这在众多现代和有弹性的建筑中是显而易见的,然而一些“战斗遗址”延缓了城市中心急需的重建。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the impact of design criteria on the expected seismic losses of multi-storey office buildings 研究设计规范对多层办公楼预期地震损失的影响
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.56.1.11-28
M. Williamson, Luis John, T. Sullivan
The Ministry of Building, Innovation and Employment is developing advice on how to deliver Low Damage Seismic Design (LDSD) protection for buildings through their Tū Kahika: Building Resilience platform. The draft LDSD advice is considering a design drift limit for multi-storey buildings of 0.5% as part of new damage control limit state design checks. The potential impact of this design criterion on the expected annual loss due to repair costs is investigated for generic reinforced concrete wall case-study office buildings of 4- and 12-storeys in both Wellington and Christchurch. The equivalent static method, in line with NZS 1170.5 and NZS 3101, was used to design the buildings to conventional and draft LDSD specifications, representing current and future state-of-practice designs. The draft LDSD advice aims to limit the expected annual loss of complying buildings to below 0.1% of building replacement cost. This research tested this expectation. Losses were estimated in accordance with FEMA P-58, using building responses from non-linear time history analyses. Although it is found that the new drift limit alone may not limit seismic losses to the target values owing to damage to acceleration-sensitive elements, the results do support the intentions of the draft design advice to significantly reduce the expected seismic losses of complying buildings. The study also highlighted the importance of using an accurate approximation of RC wall stiffness for LDSD, and provides insight into different design strategies that could be followed to effectively limit losses in RC wall buildings as part of LDSD.
建筑、创新和就业部正在制定如何通过其TúKahika:建筑弹性平台为建筑提供低损伤抗震设计(LDSD)保护的建议。LDSD建议草案正在考虑多层建筑0.5%的设计漂移限值,作为新的损坏控制限值状态设计检查的一部分。针对惠灵顿和克赖斯特彻奇的4层和12层普通钢筋混凝土墙案例研究办公楼,研究了该设计标准对维修成本造成的预期年度损失的潜在影响。根据NZS 1170.5和NZS 3101,等效静态法用于按照传统和LDSD规范草案设计建筑物,代表当前和未来的实践设计状态。LDSD建议草案旨在将合规建筑的预期年度损失限制在建筑重置成本的0.1%以下。这项研究检验了这种期望。根据FEMA P-58,使用非线性时程分析中的建筑物响应来估计损失。尽管已经发现,由于加速度敏感元件的损坏,仅新的漂移极限可能无法将地震损失限制在目标值,但结果确实支持了设计建议草案的意图,即显著降低符合要求的建筑物的预期地震损失。该研究还强调了在LDSD中使用RC墙刚度的精确近似值的重要性,并深入了解了作为LDSD的一部分,可以遵循的不同设计策略,以有效限制RC墙建筑的损失。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating fire following earthquake risk for Wellington City, New Zealand 新西兰惠灵顿市地震后火灾风险评估
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-02 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.55.4.241-256
F. Scheele, B. Lukovic, J. Moratalla, A. Dunant, N. Horspool
Fire following earthquake (FFE) is a significant hazard in urban areas subject to high seismicity. Wellington City has many characteristics that make it susceptible to ignitions and fire spread. These include proximity to major active faults, closely spaced timber-clad buildings, vulnerable water and gas infrastructure, frequent high winds and challenging access for emergency services. We modelled the ignitions, fire spread and suppression for five earthquake sources. Uncertainty in ground motions, the number and location of ignitions, weather conditions and firefighting capacity were accounted for. The mean loss per burn zone (area burnt due to ignition and fire spread) is $46m without fire suppression, indicating the potential property damage avoided by controlling the fire spread. The mean total loss for earthquake scenarios ranges from $0.28b for the Wairau Fault through to $3.17b for a Hikurangi Subduction Zone scenario, including the influence of fire suppression. Wind speed has a strong influence on the potential losses for each simulation and is a more significant factor than the number of ignitions for evaluating losses. Areas in Wellington City of relatively high risk are identified, which may inform risk mitigation strategies. The models may be applied to other urban areas.
地震后火灾是城市高地震活动性地区的一种重大灾害。惠灵顿市有许多特点,使它容易起火和火势蔓延。这些因素包括靠近主要活动断层、间隔紧密的木质建筑、脆弱的水和天然气基础设施、频繁的大风以及难以获得紧急服务。我们模拟了五个震源的点火、火势蔓延和灭火过程。地面运动的不确定性、点火装置的数量和位置、天气条件和消防能力都被考虑在内。在不进行灭火的情况下,每个燃烧区(因着火和火势蔓延而燃烧的区域)的平均损失为4600万美元,这表明通过控制火势蔓延避免了潜在的财产损失。地震情景的平均总损失从Wairau断层的2.8亿美元到Hikurangi俯冲带情景的31.7亿美元不等,其中包括灭火的影响。风速对每个模拟的潜在损失有很强的影响,是评估损失的一个比点火次数更重要的因素。确定了惠灵顿市风险相对较高的地区,这可能为减轻风险战略提供信息。该模型可应用于其他城市地区。
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引用次数: 0
Key Drivers in Using Low Damage Seismic Designs in Christchurch Buildings 克赖斯特彻奇建筑使用低损伤抗震设计的关键驱动因素
IF 1.7 Q3 Earth and Planetary Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-02 DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.55.4.214-228
Juliet Skidmore, G. Granello, A. Palermo
Following the extensive damage to Christchurch’s infrastructure in the 2010 and 2011 Canterbury earthquakes, a complete rebuild of the city centre has been undertaken, with a particular focus on seismic-resilient buildings. This paper explores the application of different seismic-resilient technologies to buildings in Christchurch, by interviewing the structural engineers responsible for the design of six case study structures. Focus is given to the structural performance and benefits of each technology, and the key factors driving the clients’ and engineers’ decision to use the system. Comparisons are then made between resilient technologies, looking at the relative construction times and cost, areas of difficulty in design and construction, and the expected performance. Assessments are made of the knowledgeability of stakeholders, including clients and engineers, in resilient design, and the aspects that need to be addressed in the ongoing research and development of new and existing resilient technologies.Results show that the main factors identified driving clients’ and engineers’ decisions to use a seismic-resilient design were the structural performance, ease of construction and publicity. Key issues that need to be addressed during the development of new resilient systems are the durability, constructability and cost of a design, in addition to the production of design and construction aids, to both support engineers and contractors in the process, and encourage them to undertake a seismic-resilient design. Ideas are presented for increasing client and public awareness of different resilient systems available so that the demand and commission for seismic-resilient buildings in the city may increase.
克赖斯特彻奇的基础设施在2010年和2011年坎特伯雷地震中遭到严重破坏后,已经对市中心进行了全面重建,重点是抗震建筑。本文通过采访负责六个案例研究结构设计的结构工程师,探讨了不同抗震技术在克赖斯特彻奇建筑中的应用。重点介绍了每种技术的结构性能和优点,以及驱动客户和工程师决定使用该系统的关键因素。然后对弹性技术进行比较,考察相对施工时间和成本、设计和施工中的困难区域以及预期性能。评估包括客户和工程师在内的利益相关者在弹性设计方面的知识能力,以及在新技术和现有弹性技术的持续研发中需要解决的方面。结果表明,驱动客户和工程师决定使用抗震设计的主要因素是结构性能、施工方便性和宣传。在开发新的弹性系统过程中需要解决的关键问题是设计的耐久性、可施工性和成本,以及设计和施工辅助工具的生产,以在这一过程中支持工程师和承包商,并鼓励他们进行抗震弹性设计。提出了提高客户和公众对不同弹性系统的认识的想法,以便增加城市对抗震建筑的需求和佣金。
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Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering
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