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Captured institutions and permeated business – the longevity of Hungarian autocracy 被俘虏的机构和被渗透的企业--匈牙利专制制度的长期存在
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2024.2306423
Andrea Éltető, József Péter Martin
The aim of the article is to show how modern autocracies can distort traditional institutions’ principles of functioning and form state–business relations for their own benefit. Our case study is H...
本文旨在说明现代专制国家如何扭曲传统机构的运作原则,并为了自身利益而形成国家与企业之间的关系。我们的案例研究是匈牙利。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty in Central and Eastern European markets. Evidence from Twitter-based uncertainty measures 中欧和东欧市场的不确定性。基于推特的不确定性测量方法提供的证据
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2288737
Paweł Kropiński
Increasing uncertainty has frequently been associated with alterations in investor behaviour in scientific discourse. Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) despite generating 10% of the EU’s GDP, has la...
在科学论述中,不确定性的增加经常与投资者行为的改变联系在一起。中欧和东欧(CEE)尽管创造了欧盟国内生产总值的 10%,但其投资行为却在不断变化。
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引用次数: 0
A thickened demand for populism: comparison of voters’ attitudes in CEE and Western Europe 民粹主义需求增大:中欧和东欧及西欧选民态度比较
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2287767
Paulina Lenik
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引用次数: 0
Research and development expenditures, technology spillovers, and green productivity in agriculture: an empirical analysis 农业的研发支出、技术溢出效应和绿色生产力:实证分析
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2287769
Haiyan Deng, Boqun Lyu, Zhiyang Shen, Michael Vardanyan
We study the relationship between technology spillovers from trade, domestic research and development (R&D) spending, and the growth in green total factor productivity within the agricultural secto...
我们研究了贸易技术溢出效应、国内研发(R&D)支出与农业部门绿色全要素生产率增长之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers of household saving in East Central European countries. A push and pull model perspective 中东欧国家家庭储蓄的驱动因素。推拉模式视角
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2287764
Viktória Endrődi-Kovács, Vivien Czeczeli, Gábor Kutasi
There is no consensus in the economics theory about the determinants of household saving. The article composes vector error correction (VEC) models to identify the determinants of household saving ...
经济学理论界对家庭储蓄的决定因素尚未达成共识。本文建立了向量误差修正(VEC)模型,以确定家庭储蓄的决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
What drives the hidden side of Uzbekistan’s shadow economy? 是什么推动了乌兹别克斯坦影子经济不为人知的一面?
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2287757
M. Ishaq Bhatti, Nicolas Hamelin, Temurbek Saidov
This study examines factors influencing Uzbekistan’s shadow economy rate, with a focus on GDP, corruption index, tax rate (TR), and the unemployment rate. Using a quantitative approach, we analyse ...
本研究探讨了影响乌兹别克斯坦影子经济比率的因素,重点关注国内生产总值、腐败指数、税率(TR)和失业率。我们采用定量方法分析了...
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引用次数: 0
Return of activist state in a former transition star: the curious case of Hungary 前转型之星的积极国家回归:匈牙利的奇特案例
IF 2.2 3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2273694
Péter Ákos Bod
European governments have become more active in economic affairs since the great financial crisis of 2008; the Covid-19 epidemic and Russia’s war in Ukraine have triggered a variety of government i...
自 2008 年大金融危机以来,欧洲各国政府在经济事务中变得更加积极;Covid-19 疫情和俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争引发了各种政府行动。
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引用次数: 0
Trade unions and workers’ welfare in Vietnam 越南的工会和工人福利
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262670
Dung Kieu Nguyen, Thi Bich Tran, Mai Thi Xuan Nguyen, Anh Thi Mai Pham
ABSTRACTThe role of trade unions in the labour market is currently a hot topic in Vietnam as there is a plan to transition from a single state-led union system to a new system that allows the participation of some types of independent unions. This study provides the first evidence on the links between union coverage and workers’ welfare utilising a Vietnamese national representative dataset. An instrument variable technique is applied for estimation. Using cross-sectional data, the study finds that union coverage negatively affects both sexes in terms of earnings and labour supply while positively affecting their participation in social insurance. However, the effects disappear for women in terms of earnings and for both sexes in terms of labour supply when investigating the non-state sector. The study also shows some important results using panel data.KEYWORDS: Trade unionworkerwelfareincomework hourssocial insurance Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1. In this study, we use the commands IVREG2 and XTIVREG2 of STATA for IV estimations and IV-FE estimations, respectively. For binary outcome (e.g. social insurance participation), we also use these commands because the IVPROBIT command works with continuous endogenous covariates only and a command like IVLOGIT does not exist.2. For each wave, VLFS is designed on a 2-2-2 rotation basis. A household is surveyed for two consecutive quarters. It is then temporarily excluded from the survey for another two consecutive quarters. It is surveyed again in the next two quarters. Therefore, we can construct a short-panel data sample with two periods from the 2018 wave of VLFS. Each worker in the sample was observed twice. The first observation of the worker conducted in the first half of that year is considered to be made in the first period. The second observation of the same worker conducted in the second half of that year is considered to be made in the second period (i.e. a part of the sample were observed twice, the first observed in Quarter II and the second observed in Quarter III of that year. The rest of the sample were also observed twice, the first observed in Quarter I and the second observed in Quarter IV of that year).3. For quantile fixed effect estimation, we cannot use XTQREG command of STATA because it works only with a large number of periods while we has only a short panel of data with two periods. Therefore, we use QREGPD for the estimations.
摘要工会在劳动力市场中的作用目前是越南的一个热门话题,因为越南计划从单一的国家主导的工会体系过渡到允许某些类型的独立工会参与的新体系。本研究利用越南国家代表性数据集提供了工会覆盖率与工人福利之间联系的第一个证据。采用仪器变量技术进行估计。通过使用横截面数据,该研究发现,工会覆盖在收入和劳动力供应方面对两性都产生了负面影响,同时对他们参与社会保险产生了积极影响。然而,在调查非国有部门时,就收入而言,对妇女的影响消失了,就劳动力供应而言,对两性的影响也消失了。该研究还显示了使用面板数据的一些重要结果。关键词:工会工人福利收入工作时间社会保险披露声明作者未发现潜在的利益冲突在本研究中,我们分别使用STATA的IVREG2和XTIVREG2命令进行IV估计和IV- fe估计。对于二进制结果(例如社会保险参与),我们也使用这些命令,因为IVPROBIT命令只与连续的内生协变量一起工作,而像IVLOGIT这样的命令不存在。对于每个波,VLFS都是按照2-2-2旋转的方式设计的。连续两个季度对一个家庭进行调查。之后,该指数将被连续两个季度暂时排除在调查之外。接下来的两个季度将再次接受调查。因此,我们可以从2018年的VLFS浪潮中构建两个周期的短面板数据样本。样本中的每个工人都被观察了两次。在该年度上半年对该工人进行的第一次观察视为在第一期进行。在该年下半年对同一名工人进行的第二次观察,会被视为在该年第二期进行(即部分样本在该年第II季被观察两次,第一次在该年第III季被观察,第二次在该年第III季被观察)。其余的样本也被观察了两次,第一次是在第一季度观察到的,第二次是在当年的第四季度观察到的。对于分位数固定效应估计,我们不能使用STATA的XTQREG命令,因为它只适用于大量的周期,而我们只有两个周期的短数据面板。因此,我们使用QREGPD进行估计。
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引用次数: 0
Social trust and risky financial market participation: Evidence from China 社会信任与高风险金融市场参与:来自中国的证据
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262672
Xinxin Ma
ABSTRACTThe Chinese government has promoted the development of risky financial markets under the market-oriented reform period. Meanwhile, social trust has changed with institutional transitions. This study investigates the influence of social trust on risky financial market participation in China based on the national longitudinal data of 2014–2018. It also estimates the effects of social trust by education, age, urban/rural hukou resident groups, and periods. The empirical results indicate that social trust positively affects the probability of holding risky financial assets and their shares. However, these effects turn insignificant when accounting for unobservable individual heterogeneity. The positive effect of social trust is more pronounced among the younger generation, highly educated groups, women, and urban hukou residents compared to their counterparts. Additionally, the positive impact of social trust is observed to be stronger in the period following the 2015 stock market crash shock than in the period before 2015.KEYWORDS: Social trustrisky financial marketrisky financial assetChina Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.Notes1. In 2015, stock prices, which had been rising since the beginning of the year, collapsed on June 12. Within a month, A-shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange lost one-third of their total stock market capitalisation. An unprecedented situation emerged in the Shanghai A-share market, with nearly half of the stocks suspended from trading. The government implemented financial market bailout policies, including massive funds, and the stock market returned to its starting point in October. This event is known as the 2015 stock market crash shock.2. The options for each question ranged from 0 (do not trust) to 10 (completely trust). I calculated the total value of these two questions. I also performed the estimations using the trust in a stranger or trust in a foreigner separately; the results were approximately similar to those that used the total score of these two indicators. Hence, I only presented the results using these two indicators in this study. The other results are available upon request.3. There are thirteen options for the question, ‘Which organisations are you a member of?’ They are as follows: (1) Communist Party of China; (2) Democratic party; (3) People’s Congresses (representatives) at the county/district level and above the county/district level; (4) County/district and above county/district Political Consultative Conference (Member); (5) Trade union; (6) Communist Youth League; (7) Women’s Federation; (8) Federation of Industry and Commerce; (9) Informal networking organisations (communities, networks, salons, etc.); (10) religious/belief group; (11) Association of private business owners; (12) Self-employed workers association; (13) Others. The dummy variable for Communist Party of China membership is set to 1 if a respondent selected option (1) and 0 i
摘要在市场化改革时期,中国政府推动了风险金融市场的发展。同时,社会信任也随着制度变迁而发生变化。本研究基于2014-2018年全国纵向数据,考察社会信任对中国高风险金融市场参与的影响。它还根据教育程度、年龄、城乡户口居民群体和时期估算了社会信任的影响。实证结果表明,社会信任正向影响风险金融资产持有概率及其股份。然而,当考虑到不可观察的个体异质性时,这些影响就变得微不足道了。与其他群体相比,社会信任的积极影响在年轻一代、高学历群体、女性和城市户口居民中更为明显。此外,社会信任的积极影响在2015年股灾冲击之后的时期比2015年之前的时期更强。关键词:社会信任风险金融市场风险金融资产中国披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。2015年,自年初以来一直在上涨的股价在6月12日暴跌。在一个月内,上海证券交易所(Shanghai Stock Exchange)的a股市值蒸发了三分之一。上海a股市场出现了前所未有的局面,近一半的股票停牌。政府实施了大规模资金等金融市场救助政策,股市回到了10月份的起点。这一事件被称为2015年股市崩盘。每个问题的选项范围从0(不信任)到10(完全信任)。我计算了这两个问题的总价值。我还分别使用对陌生人的信任和对外国人的信任进行了估计;结果与使用这两个指标的总分的结果大致相似。因此,我在本研究中只使用这两个指标来呈现结果。其他结果可应要求提供。这个问题有13个选项,“你是哪个组织的成员?”它们是:(一)中国共产党;(2)民主党;(三)县(区)以上各级人民代表大会(代表);(四)县/区及以上县/区政协(委员);(五)工会;(六)共青团;(七)妇联;(八)全国工商联;(9)非正式网络组织(社区、网络、沙龙等);(十)宗教信仰团体;(十一)私营企业主协会;(十二)个体工商户协会;(13)其他。如果受访者选择选项(1),则中国共产党成员的虚拟变量设置为1,如果受访者选择选项(2)至(13)中的任何其他选项,则设置为0。该研究使用人均家庭收入和拥有住房作为收入因素指标,与以往的研究一致(Chen & Ji, Citation2017;Chetty et al., Citation2017;Ge et al., Citation2021)。结果发现,这两个变量之间可能存在相关性。我计算了家庭收入与拥有住房的相关系数,结果为0.175,说明这两个变量之间的共线性问题可以忽略。对于“你认为自己的理财素养如何?”,当选项为“高水平”或“非常高水平”时,值等于1;当选项为“正常”、“低水平”或“非常低水平”时,值等于零。对于“你对未来有信心吗?”,我构建了一个乐观度的量表变量,从1(非常低)到5(非常高)。值越高,乐观的可能性越高。对于“你认为钱应该用而不是存起来吗?”,我构建了一个货币价值的尺度变量,范围从1(不同意)到5(同意)。对于“我更喜欢生活在现在而不考虑未来”这个问题,我构建了一个时间偏好的尺度变量,范围从1(否)到5(是)。该值越高,时间偏好折扣越高。本研究得到了日本科学促进会[20H01512]的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Windfall revenues and structural balance in the Czech Republic 捷克共和国的意外收入和结构平衡
3区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262626
Jan Pavel, Jana Tepperová, Markéta Arltová
ABSTRACTAnalysis of the structural balance is a crucial element for assessing the character of fiscal policy. However, this approach entails potential shortcomings, where some tax revenues may be affected by the development of variables other than the economic cycle. This can lead to skewed assessments of the fiscal effort because of the existence of windfall revenues/losses. We address this issue and identify windfall revenues in the Czech Republic. First, we calculate the elasticities of individual taxes on relevant macroeconomic variables. Then we test these variables for sensitivity to the economic cycle. The absence of such sensitivity suggests the possibility of windfall revenue. Further, we quantify the volume of the windfall revenue for 2007–2019. We found that the development of the rental market is the main factor influencing windfall revenue in the Czech Republic. The windfall revenue range is around 0.15% of GDP per year.KEYWORDS: Windfall revenuestax elasticitiesstructural balancefiscal effort AcknowledgmentsThe present paper was supported by the long-term institutional scientific research funding scheme in the Faculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business (IP 100040).Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. A typical example is the MTO (Medium Term Objective) rule in the EU. If a member state does not reach the MTO value, it must show a fiscal effort of at least 0.5% of GDP per year.2. A detailed description of the estimation methodology is available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/legislativa/metodiky/2020/metodika-odvozeni-vydajovych-ramcu-statn-39442/. The results, including the data used, are available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/verejny-sektor/makroekonomika/makroekonomicka-predikce/2022/makroekonomicka-predikce-listopad-2022–492723. Income from the sale of real estate is exempt in the case of holding by the taxpayer for more than ten years; until 2020, the time test was five years. If the real estate is used for the living of the taxpayer or the living of his family members, the time test for exemption of the income is two years. The time test can be even shorter if the money received from selling the real estate is used for the own living of the taxpayer or his family again. The closeness of the relationship of the family members is specified within the law. If taxable, the purchase price can be considered as a taxable expense up to the amount of taxable income, similar to selling shares.Additional informationFundingThe work was supported by the Prague University of Economics and Business.
摘要结构平衡分析是评价财政政策特征的重要内容。然而,这种方法有潜在的缺点,其中一些税收可能受到经济周期以外的变量发展的影响。由于存在意外收入/损失,这可能导致对财政努力的歪曲评估。我们解决了这个问题,并确定了捷克共和国的意外收入。首先,我们计算了个税对相关宏观经济变量的弹性。然后我们测试这些变量对经济周期的敏感性。缺乏这种敏感性意味着有可能获得意外收入。此外,我们量化了2007-2019年意外收入的数量。我们发现租赁市场的发展是影响捷克意外收入的主要因素。意外收入范围约为每年GDP的0.15%。本文得到了布拉格经济与商业大学财务与会计学院(IP 100040)长期机构科研资助计划的支持。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。一个典型的例子是欧盟的MTO(中期目标)规则。如果一个成员国没有达到MTO值,它必须显示出每年至少占GDP 0.5%的财政努力。估算方法的详细描述可在https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/legislativa/metodiky/2020/metodika-odvozeni-vydajovych-ramcu-statn-39442/上获得。结果,包括使用的数据,可在https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/verejny-sektor/makroekonomika/makroekonomicka-predikce/2022/makroekonomicka-predikce-listopad-2022 -492723获得。纳税人持有房地产10年以上的,免征出售所得;到2020年,时间的考验是5年。如果房地产用于纳税人的生活或其家庭成员的生活,免税的时间标准为2年。如果出售房地产所得的钱再次用于纳税人或其家人的生活,则时间可以更短。法律规定了家庭成员之间的亲密关系。如果应纳税,购买价格可以被视为应纳税的费用,不超过应纳税所得额,类似于出售股票。这项工作得到了布拉格经济与商业大学的支持。
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Post-Communist Economies
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