Pub Date : 2023-10-30DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262672
Xinxin Ma
ABSTRACTThe Chinese government has promoted the development of risky financial markets under the market-oriented reform period. Meanwhile, social trust has changed with institutional transitions. This study investigates the influence of social trust on risky financial market participation in China based on the national longitudinal data of 2014–2018. It also estimates the effects of social trust by education, age, urban/rural hukou resident groups, and periods. The empirical results indicate that social trust positively affects the probability of holding risky financial assets and their shares. However, these effects turn insignificant when accounting for unobservable individual heterogeneity. The positive effect of social trust is more pronounced among the younger generation, highly educated groups, women, and urban hukou residents compared to their counterparts. Additionally, the positive impact of social trust is observed to be stronger in the period following the 2015 stock market crash shock than in the period before 2015.KEYWORDS: Social trustrisky financial marketrisky financial assetChina Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.Notes1. In 2015, stock prices, which had been rising since the beginning of the year, collapsed on June 12. Within a month, A-shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange lost one-third of their total stock market capitalisation. An unprecedented situation emerged in the Shanghai A-share market, with nearly half of the stocks suspended from trading. The government implemented financial market bailout policies, including massive funds, and the stock market returned to its starting point in October. This event is known as the 2015 stock market crash shock.2. The options for each question ranged from 0 (do not trust) to 10 (completely trust). I calculated the total value of these two questions. I also performed the estimations using the trust in a stranger or trust in a foreigner separately; the results were approximately similar to those that used the total score of these two indicators. Hence, I only presented the results using these two indicators in this study. The other results are available upon request.3. There are thirteen options for the question, ‘Which organisations are you a member of?’ They are as follows: (1) Communist Party of China; (2) Democratic party; (3) People’s Congresses (representatives) at the county/district level and above the county/district level; (4) County/district and above county/district Political Consultative Conference (Member); (5) Trade union; (6) Communist Youth League; (7) Women’s Federation; (8) Federation of Industry and Commerce; (9) Informal networking organisations (communities, networks, salons, etc.); (10) religious/belief group; (11) Association of private business owners; (12) Self-employed workers association; (13) Others. The dummy variable for Communist Party of China membership is set to 1 if a respondent selected option (1) and 0 i
摘要在市场化改革时期,中国政府推动了风险金融市场的发展。同时,社会信任也随着制度变迁而发生变化。本研究基于2014-2018年全国纵向数据,考察社会信任对中国高风险金融市场参与的影响。它还根据教育程度、年龄、城乡户口居民群体和时期估算了社会信任的影响。实证结果表明,社会信任正向影响风险金融资产持有概率及其股份。然而,当考虑到不可观察的个体异质性时,这些影响就变得微不足道了。与其他群体相比,社会信任的积极影响在年轻一代、高学历群体、女性和城市户口居民中更为明显。此外,社会信任的积极影响在2015年股灾冲击之后的时期比2015年之前的时期更强。关键词:社会信任风险金融市场风险金融资产中国披露声明作者未报告潜在利益冲突。2015年,自年初以来一直在上涨的股价在6月12日暴跌。在一个月内,上海证券交易所(Shanghai Stock Exchange)的a股市值蒸发了三分之一。上海a股市场出现了前所未有的局面,近一半的股票停牌。政府实施了大规模资金等金融市场救助政策,股市回到了10月份的起点。这一事件被称为2015年股市崩盘。每个问题的选项范围从0(不信任)到10(完全信任)。我计算了这两个问题的总价值。我还分别使用对陌生人的信任和对外国人的信任进行了估计;结果与使用这两个指标的总分的结果大致相似。因此,我在本研究中只使用这两个指标来呈现结果。其他结果可应要求提供。这个问题有13个选项,“你是哪个组织的成员?”它们是:(一)中国共产党;(2)民主党;(三)县(区)以上各级人民代表大会(代表);(四)县/区及以上县/区政协(委员);(五)工会;(六)共青团;(七)妇联;(八)全国工商联;(9)非正式网络组织(社区、网络、沙龙等);(十)宗教信仰团体;(十一)私营企业主协会;(十二)个体工商户协会;(13)其他。如果受访者选择选项(1),则中国共产党成员的虚拟变量设置为1,如果受访者选择选项(2)至(13)中的任何其他选项,则设置为0。该研究使用人均家庭收入和拥有住房作为收入因素指标,与以往的研究一致(Chen & Ji, Citation2017;Chetty et al., Citation2017;Ge et al., Citation2021)。结果发现,这两个变量之间可能存在相关性。我计算了家庭收入与拥有住房的相关系数,结果为0.175,说明这两个变量之间的共线性问题可以忽略。对于“你认为自己的理财素养如何?”,当选项为“高水平”或“非常高水平”时,值等于1;当选项为“正常”、“低水平”或“非常低水平”时,值等于零。对于“你对未来有信心吗?”,我构建了一个乐观度的量表变量,从1(非常低)到5(非常高)。值越高,乐观的可能性越高。对于“你认为钱应该用而不是存起来吗?”,我构建了一个货币价值的尺度变量,范围从1(不同意)到5(同意)。对于“我更喜欢生活在现在而不考虑未来”这个问题,我构建了一个时间偏好的尺度变量,范围从1(否)到5(是)。该值越高,时间偏好折扣越高。本研究得到了日本科学促进会[20H01512]的支持。
{"title":"Social trust and risky financial market participation: Evidence from China","authors":"Xinxin Ma","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2262672","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2262672","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTThe Chinese government has promoted the development of risky financial markets under the market-oriented reform period. Meanwhile, social trust has changed with institutional transitions. This study investigates the influence of social trust on risky financial market participation in China based on the national longitudinal data of 2014–2018. It also estimates the effects of social trust by education, age, urban/rural hukou resident groups, and periods. The empirical results indicate that social trust positively affects the probability of holding risky financial assets and their shares. However, these effects turn insignificant when accounting for unobservable individual heterogeneity. The positive effect of social trust is more pronounced among the younger generation, highly educated groups, women, and urban hukou residents compared to their counterparts. Additionally, the positive impact of social trust is observed to be stronger in the period following the 2015 stock market crash shock than in the period before 2015.KEYWORDS: Social trustrisky financial marketrisky financial assetChina Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.Notes1. In 2015, stock prices, which had been rising since the beginning of the year, collapsed on June 12. Within a month, A-shares on the Shanghai Stock Exchange lost one-third of their total stock market capitalisation. An unprecedented situation emerged in the Shanghai A-share market, with nearly half of the stocks suspended from trading. The government implemented financial market bailout policies, including massive funds, and the stock market returned to its starting point in October. This event is known as the 2015 stock market crash shock.2. The options for each question ranged from 0 (do not trust) to 10 (completely trust). I calculated the total value of these two questions. I also performed the estimations using the trust in a stranger or trust in a foreigner separately; the results were approximately similar to those that used the total score of these two indicators. Hence, I only presented the results using these two indicators in this study. The other results are available upon request.3. There are thirteen options for the question, ‘Which organisations are you a member of?’ They are as follows: (1) Communist Party of China; (2) Democratic party; (3) People’s Congresses (representatives) at the county/district level and above the county/district level; (4) County/district and above county/district Political Consultative Conference (Member); (5) Trade union; (6) Communist Youth League; (7) Women’s Federation; (8) Federation of Industry and Commerce; (9) Informal networking organisations (communities, networks, salons, etc.); (10) religious/belief group; (11) Association of private business owners; (12) Self-employed workers association; (13) Others. The dummy variable for Communist Party of China membership is set to 1 if a respondent selected option (1) and 0 i","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"224 19","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136067424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-27DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262626
Jan Pavel, Jana Tepperová, Markéta Arltová
ABSTRACTAnalysis of the structural balance is a crucial element for assessing the character of fiscal policy. However, this approach entails potential shortcomings, where some tax revenues may be affected by the development of variables other than the economic cycle. This can lead to skewed assessments of the fiscal effort because of the existence of windfall revenues/losses. We address this issue and identify windfall revenues in the Czech Republic. First, we calculate the elasticities of individual taxes on relevant macroeconomic variables. Then we test these variables for sensitivity to the economic cycle. The absence of such sensitivity suggests the possibility of windfall revenue. Further, we quantify the volume of the windfall revenue for 2007–2019. We found that the development of the rental market is the main factor influencing windfall revenue in the Czech Republic. The windfall revenue range is around 0.15% of GDP per year.KEYWORDS: Windfall revenuestax elasticitiesstructural balancefiscal effort AcknowledgmentsThe present paper was supported by the long-term institutional scientific research funding scheme in the Faculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business (IP 100040).Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. A typical example is the MTO (Medium Term Objective) rule in the EU. If a member state does not reach the MTO value, it must show a fiscal effort of at least 0.5% of GDP per year.2. A detailed description of the estimation methodology is available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/legislativa/metodiky/2020/metodika-odvozeni-vydajovych-ramcu-statn-39442/. The results, including the data used, are available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/verejny-sektor/makroekonomika/makroekonomicka-predikce/2022/makroekonomicka-predikce-listopad-2022–492723. Income from the sale of real estate is exempt in the case of holding by the taxpayer for more than ten years; until 2020, the time test was five years. If the real estate is used for the living of the taxpayer or the living of his family members, the time test for exemption of the income is two years. The time test can be even shorter if the money received from selling the real estate is used for the own living of the taxpayer or his family again. The closeness of the relationship of the family members is specified within the law. If taxable, the purchase price can be considered as a taxable expense up to the amount of taxable income, similar to selling shares.Additional informationFundingThe work was supported by the Prague University of Economics and Business.
{"title":"Windfall revenues and structural balance in the Czech Republic","authors":"Jan Pavel, Jana Tepperová, Markéta Arltová","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2262626","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2262626","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTAnalysis of the structural balance is a crucial element for assessing the character of fiscal policy. However, this approach entails potential shortcomings, where some tax revenues may be affected by the development of variables other than the economic cycle. This can lead to skewed assessments of the fiscal effort because of the existence of windfall revenues/losses. We address this issue and identify windfall revenues in the Czech Republic. First, we calculate the elasticities of individual taxes on relevant macroeconomic variables. Then we test these variables for sensitivity to the economic cycle. The absence of such sensitivity suggests the possibility of windfall revenue. Further, we quantify the volume of the windfall revenue for 2007–2019. We found that the development of the rental market is the main factor influencing windfall revenue in the Czech Republic. The windfall revenue range is around 0.15% of GDP per year.KEYWORDS: Windfall revenuestax elasticitiesstructural balancefiscal effort AcknowledgmentsThe present paper was supported by the long-term institutional scientific research funding scheme in the Faculty of Finance and Accounting, Prague University of Economics and Business (IP 100040).Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. A typical example is the MTO (Medium Term Objective) rule in the EU. If a member state does not reach the MTO value, it must show a fiscal effort of at least 0.5% of GDP per year.2. A detailed description of the estimation methodology is available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/legislativa/metodiky/2020/metodika-odvozeni-vydajovych-ramcu-statn-39442/. The results, including the data used, are available at https://www.mfcr.cz/cs/verejny-sektor/makroekonomika/makroekonomicka-predikce/2022/makroekonomicka-predikce-listopad-2022–492723. Income from the sale of real estate is exempt in the case of holding by the taxpayer for more than ten years; until 2020, the time test was five years. If the real estate is used for the living of the taxpayer or the living of his family members, the time test for exemption of the income is two years. The time test can be even shorter if the money received from selling the real estate is used for the own living of the taxpayer or his family again. The closeness of the relationship of the family members is specified within the law. If taxable, the purchase price can be considered as a taxable expense up to the amount of taxable income, similar to selling shares.Additional informationFundingThe work was supported by the Prague University of Economics and Business.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"63 4","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136235846","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-17DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2263215
Kadri Männasoo, Miina Hõbenael, Svetlana Ridala
ABSTRACTThis study investigates the relationship between the unemployment of working-age men with their skills in the local languages, Russian and Latvian, and in English, the most spoken foreign language in Latvia. To determine who benefits and from which language skills in the labour market, the analysis uses data from the Eurostat Adult Education Survey (AES 2016) and the Baltic Institute of Social Sciences Language Survey (BISS 2008). The results show an inverse link between language skills and unemployment for Latvians and Russian speakers, but more so for the latter. English skills benefit the older Latvian workers without a tertiary degree, while for Russians the benefits are greater and more general. Latvian skills benefit the younger tertiary-educated Russian speakers. For Latvians, the link between Russian-language skills and unemployment remains inconclusive. The analysis considers the bilingual context and the measurement bias of self-reported language skills.KEYWORDS: Language skillsunemploymentpost-Soviet bilingualismLatviaRussian language minority AcknowledgmentsThe authors would like to thank the participants at the 4th Baltic Economic Association Conference, the 14th International ECEE Conference and the 8th European User Conference for EU-Microdata for their useful comments and suggestions.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Data availability statementThe data that support the findings of this study are available from Eurostat (Adult Education Survey 2016) and the Baltic Institute of Social Sciences (Language Survey 2008). The responsibility for all conclusions drawn from either dataset lies entirely with the authors.Notes1. The first Russian school was founded in 1789 in Riga.2. The analysis on the BISS 2008 data also uses the bilingualism variable based on the use and intensity of both languages in communications at home.3. Estimating small samples with limited observations produces insignificant outcomes.4. The principal components combine the Latvian/Russian and English skills from the AES (2016) and receptive and expressive language skills from the BISS (2008) Language Survey.5. Latvia joined the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and the EU in 2004, adopted the euro and joined the European Monetary Union (EMU) in 2014 and became a member of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in 2016.Additional informationFundingThe research leading to these results has received funding from the EEA Grants 2014-2021 Baltic Research Programme under project S-BMT-21–8 (LT08-2-LMT-K-01–073). This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation programme under Grant Agreement No 952574 and the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No 734712. This work was also supported by the European Regional Development Fund under Grant number 2014-2020.4.01.16-0032.
{"title":"Language skills and unemployment: post-Soviet bilingualism in Latvia","authors":"Kadri Männasoo, Miina Hõbenael, Svetlana Ridala","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2263215","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2263215","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTThis study investigates the relationship between the unemployment of working-age men with their skills in the local languages, Russian and Latvian, and in English, the most spoken foreign language in Latvia. To determine who benefits and from which language skills in the labour market, the analysis uses data from the Eurostat Adult Education Survey (AES 2016) and the Baltic Institute of Social Sciences Language Survey (BISS 2008). The results show an inverse link between language skills and unemployment for Latvians and Russian speakers, but more so for the latter. English skills benefit the older Latvian workers without a tertiary degree, while for Russians the benefits are greater and more general. Latvian skills benefit the younger tertiary-educated Russian speakers. For Latvians, the link between Russian-language skills and unemployment remains inconclusive. The analysis considers the bilingual context and the measurement bias of self-reported language skills.KEYWORDS: Language skillsunemploymentpost-Soviet bilingualismLatviaRussian language minority AcknowledgmentsThe authors would like to thank the participants at the 4th Baltic Economic Association Conference, the 14th International ECEE Conference and the 8th European User Conference for EU-Microdata for their useful comments and suggestions.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Data availability statementThe data that support the findings of this study are available from Eurostat (Adult Education Survey 2016) and the Baltic Institute of Social Sciences (Language Survey 2008). The responsibility for all conclusions drawn from either dataset lies entirely with the authors.Notes1. The first Russian school was founded in 1789 in Riga.2. The analysis on the BISS 2008 data also uses the bilingualism variable based on the use and intensity of both languages in communications at home.3. Estimating small samples with limited observations produces insignificant outcomes.4. The principal components combine the Latvian/Russian and English skills from the AES (2016) and receptive and expressive language skills from the BISS (2008) Language Survey.5. Latvia joined the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and the EU in 2004, adopted the euro and joined the European Monetary Union (EMU) in 2014 and became a member of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in 2016.Additional informationFundingThe research leading to these results has received funding from the EEA Grants 2014-2021 Baltic Research Programme under project S-BMT-21–8 (LT08-2-LMT-K-01–073). This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation programme under Grant Agreement No 952574 and the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant Agreement No 734712. This work was also supported by the European Regional Development Fund under Grant number 2014-2020.4.01.16-0032.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"22 4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136037942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-16DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2262688
Nikola Šubová, Ján Buleca, Ermanno Affuso, Franklin G. Mixon
ABSTRACTDuring the past two decades, two global events highlighted the importance of household savings to economies and individuals, and their relation to economic activity and growth. First, the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 reminded the world that household savings are essential for economic recovery and sustainable economic development. Second, the recent COVID-19 pandemic showed how vulnerable household savings are to various external shocks. This paper investigates the relationship between household savings rates and real GDP in the four countries of the Visegrád Group, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia, for the period 1996–2021. Our empirical analyses indicate short-run Granger causality from real GDP to household savings rates, and from household savings rates to real GDP, in both the Czech Republic and Hungary. Additionally, we also report significant long-run relationships between household savings rates and real GDP, particularly in Hungary .KEYWORDS: SavingsGDPVisegrád groupcointegrationvector error correction model AcknowledgmentsThe authors thank two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments. This research was supported by J. William Fulbright Commission for Educational Exchange in the Slovak Republic, the Scientific Grant Agency of the Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Sport of Slovakia, and the Slovak Academy of Sciences within project VEGA 1/0646/2023. The content is the sole responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily reflect the official views of the aforementioned entities.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Data availability statementData are available from the authors upon request.Notes1. The savings rate sharply increased during the first two quarters of 2020. More specifically, it rose by about five percentage points through the first quarter and by about 12%-points through the second quarter (Dossche & Zlatanos, Citation2020).2. The household savings rate in the Czech Republic was about 21.1%, while household savings rates in Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia were about 8.8%, 15.1% and 10.9%, respectively (Eurostat, Citation2021b).3. See Caudill et al. (Citation2020) for a more extensive discussion.4. One of the main arguments underpinning the studies of savings rates and GDP states that savings play an important role in increasing GDP (Aghion et al., Citation2016; Botev et al., Citation2019). Household savings are also considered to be central to economic development (Sekantsi & Kalebe, Citation2015; Gross et al., Citation2020).5. A few studies analyse the link between savings and GDP in both developed and developing countries at the same time (e.g. Brueckner et al., Citation2023; Misztal, Citation2011).6. They are located in the tables labelled ‘GDP and main aggregates per capita’ (nama_10_pc), and ‘Key indicators’ (nasa_10_ki).7. Rejection of the null hypothesis occurs when the calculated t-statistic is greater than the critical va
摘要在过去的二十年中,两个全球性事件突出了家庭储蓄对经济和个人的重要性,以及它们与经济活动和增长的关系。首先,2008年的全球金融危机提醒世界,家庭储蓄对经济复苏和可持续经济发展至关重要。其次,最近的COVID-19大流行表明,家庭储蓄在各种外部冲击面前是多么脆弱。本文研究了1996-2021年期间,Visegrád集团的四个国家,即捷克共和国、匈牙利、波兰和斯洛伐克的家庭储蓄率与实际GDP之间的关系。我们的实证分析表明,在捷克共和国和匈牙利,实际GDP与家庭储蓄率、家庭储蓄率与实际GDP之间存在短期格兰杰因果关系。此外,我们还报告了家庭储蓄率和实际GDP之间显著的长期关系,特别是在匈牙利。关键词:SavingsGDPVisegrád群体协整向量误差修正模型致谢作者感谢两位匿名评论者的有益评论。这项研究得到了斯洛伐克共和国J. William Fulbright教育交流委员会、斯洛伐克教育、科学、研究和体育部科学资助机构以及斯洛伐克科学院的支持,项目为VEGA 1/0646/2023。内容是作者的唯一责任,并不一定反映上述实体的官方观点。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。数据可用性声明数据可根据要求从作者处获得。在2020年前两个季度,储蓄率急剧上升。更具体地说,它在第一季度上升了约5个百分点,在第二季度上升了约12% (Dossche & Zlatanos, Citation2020)。捷克共和国的家庭储蓄率约为21.1%,而波兰、匈牙利和斯洛伐克的家庭储蓄率分别约为8.8%、15.1%和10.9% (Eurostat, Citation2021b)。参见Caudill et al. (Citation2020)进行更广泛的讨论。支持储蓄率和GDP研究的主要论点之一是,储蓄在提高GDP方面发挥着重要作用(Aghion等人,Citation2016;Botev等人,Citation2019)。家庭储蓄也被认为是经济发展的核心(Sekantsi & Kalebe, Citation2015;Gross et al., Citation2020)。一些研究同时分析了发达国家和发展中国家储蓄与GDP之间的联系(例如Brueckner等人,Citation2023;Misztal Citation2011)。6。它们位于标有“人均国内生产总值和主要总量”(nama_10_pc)和“关键指标”(nasa_10_ki)的表格中。当计算出的t统计量大于临界值时,就会拒绝原假设。整个分析是使用R软件执行的(R Core Team, Citation2018)。当前的人口老龄化伴随着减缓挑战(Kluge等人,Citation2018;Lyons等人,Citation2018)。
{"title":"The link between household savings rates and GDP: evidence from the Visegrád group","authors":"Nikola Šubová, Ján Buleca, Ermanno Affuso, Franklin G. Mixon","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2262688","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2262688","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTDuring the past two decades, two global events highlighted the importance of household savings to economies and individuals, and their relation to economic activity and growth. First, the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 reminded the world that household savings are essential for economic recovery and sustainable economic development. Second, the recent COVID-19 pandemic showed how vulnerable household savings are to various external shocks. This paper investigates the relationship between household savings rates and real GDP in the four countries of the Visegrád Group, namely the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia, for the period 1996–2021. Our empirical analyses indicate short-run Granger causality from real GDP to household savings rates, and from household savings rates to real GDP, in both the Czech Republic and Hungary. Additionally, we also report significant long-run relationships between household savings rates and real GDP, particularly in Hungary .KEYWORDS: SavingsGDPVisegrád groupcointegrationvector error correction model AcknowledgmentsThe authors thank two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments. This research was supported by J. William Fulbright Commission for Educational Exchange in the Slovak Republic, the Scientific Grant Agency of the Ministry of Education, Science, Research and Sport of Slovakia, and the Slovak Academy of Sciences within project VEGA 1/0646/2023. The content is the sole responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily reflect the official views of the aforementioned entities.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Data availability statementData are available from the authors upon request.Notes1. The savings rate sharply increased during the first two quarters of 2020. More specifically, it rose by about five percentage points through the first quarter and by about 12%-points through the second quarter (Dossche & Zlatanos, Citation2020).2. The household savings rate in the Czech Republic was about 21.1%, while household savings rates in Poland, Hungary, and Slovakia were about 8.8%, 15.1% and 10.9%, respectively (Eurostat, Citation2021b).3. See Caudill et al. (Citation2020) for a more extensive discussion.4. One of the main arguments underpinning the studies of savings rates and GDP states that savings play an important role in increasing GDP (Aghion et al., Citation2016; Botev et al., Citation2019). Household savings are also considered to be central to economic development (Sekantsi & Kalebe, Citation2015; Gross et al., Citation2020).5. A few studies analyse the link between savings and GDP in both developed and developing countries at the same time (e.g. Brueckner et al., Citation2023; Misztal, Citation2011).6. They are located in the tables labelled ‘GDP and main aggregates per capita’ (nama_10_pc), and ‘Key indicators’ (nasa_10_ki).7. Rejection of the null hypothesis occurs when the calculated t-statistic is greater than the critical va","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"184 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136142584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-28DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2236868
Dragana Radicic, Z. Borovic, Jelena Trivić
ABSTRACT The main goal of this article is to investigate the source of productivity growth for the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries, at the industry level, based on the Schumpeterian creative destruction mechanisms. Our study provides valuable insights into productivity drivers for the CEE countries, which are vital for the policy makers. To measure productivity, we calculate the Total factor Productivity (TFP) measure based on the raw labour, at the industry level. There is a substantial productivity gap at the industry level between the CEE and core European countries (EU14). The result of econometric analysis suggests that the further a country lies behind the frontier, the higher is the rate of TFP growth, i.e. the convergence process.
{"title":"Total factor productivity gap between the “New” and “Old” Europe: an industry-level perspective","authors":"Dragana Radicic, Z. Borovic, Jelena Trivić","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2236868","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2236868","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The main goal of this article is to investigate the source of productivity growth for the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries, at the industry level, based on the Schumpeterian creative destruction mechanisms. Our study provides valuable insights into productivity drivers for the CEE countries, which are vital for the policy makers. To measure productivity, we calculate the Total factor Productivity (TFP) measure based on the raw labour, at the industry level. There is a substantial productivity gap at the industry level between the CEE and core European countries (EU14). The result of econometric analysis suggests that the further a country lies behind the frontier, the higher is the rate of TFP growth, i.e. the convergence process.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"35 1","pages":"770 - 795"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42813610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
ABSTRACT This study examines the impact of market segmentation on R&D investment in transitional economy. Based on the analysis of 14,032 Chinese private firms, we find that market segmentation has an inverted U-shaped relationship with firm R&D investment, that is, private firms’ innovation investment presents a trend of first increase and then decrease in relation to the deepening of market segmentation. In addition, this study explores the moderating effect of marketisation change speed (MCS), and the results indicate that MCS strengthens the inverted U-shaped relationship between market segmentation and R&D investment of private firms. Our findings provide insights into how emerging economies leverage the role of the market to better stimulate private sector investment in innovation.
{"title":"Market segmentation, marketisation change speed and R&D investment of private firms","authors":"Bojun Hou, Yuehe Yu, Yifan Zhu, Xiaoxuan Zhu, Chen Zhu, Ji-wan Hong","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2236877","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2236877","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This study examines the impact of market segmentation on R&D investment in transitional economy. Based on the analysis of 14,032 Chinese private firms, we find that market segmentation has an inverted U-shaped relationship with firm R&D investment, that is, private firms’ innovation investment presents a trend of first increase and then decrease in relation to the deepening of market segmentation. In addition, this study explores the moderating effect of marketisation change speed (MCS), and the results indicate that MCS strengthens the inverted U-shaped relationship between market segmentation and R&D investment of private firms. Our findings provide insights into how emerging economies leverage the role of the market to better stimulate private sector investment in innovation.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46068780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-27DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2236878
M. Aluchna, B. Honig, B. Kamiński
ABSTRACT We examine gender bias related to the effect of women in executive management leadership. Specifically, we examine when women are recruited to executive positions and follow companies’ market performance before and after their appointment. Our study is conceptually situated within the field of queuing theory, suggesting certain patterns of labour market queuing behaviour according to race, gender, and class. We formulate two hypotheses: (1) the presence of female executives is associated with lower firm value; and (2) companies with female-centric executive boards are valued lower by investors than companies with male-centric boards. We test these hypotheses employing panel data, using a unique sample of 159 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in the years 2006–2015, with hand-collected data on the number of female directors on executive boards. Our results suggest that market queuing behaviour is evident in the case of Poland. Men are more often hired in executive roles than women, whereas females are more likely to be appointed to executive boards in firms which are performing poorly. Moreover, higher participation of women in executive positions is associated with resulting lower value in the long run. According to our interpretation, isomorphism and gender bias diffuse through the reproduction and valuation of capitalist markets.
{"title":"Glass ceiling or glass cliff: an examination of the role of female board members on market performance in Poland","authors":"M. Aluchna, B. Honig, B. Kamiński","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2236878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2236878","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT We examine gender bias related to the effect of women in executive management leadership. Specifically, we examine when women are recruited to executive positions and follow companies’ market performance before and after their appointment. Our study is conceptually situated within the field of queuing theory, suggesting certain patterns of labour market queuing behaviour according to race, gender, and class. We formulate two hypotheses: (1) the presence of female executives is associated with lower firm value; and (2) companies with female-centric executive boards are valued lower by investors than companies with male-centric boards. We test these hypotheses employing panel data, using a unique sample of 159 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in the years 2006–2015, with hand-collected data on the number of female directors on executive boards. Our results suggest that market queuing behaviour is evident in the case of Poland. Men are more often hired in executive roles than women, whereas females are more likely to be appointed to executive boards in firms which are performing poorly. Moreover, higher participation of women in executive positions is associated with resulting lower value in the long run. According to our interpretation, isomorphism and gender bias diffuse through the reproduction and valuation of capitalist markets.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41365071","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-27DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2236874
A. Plopeanu
ABSTRACT This article examines the influence of internal and external beliefs about the attribution of success in life on perceptions of corruption and corrupt behaviour. Using individual-level data from the Life in Transition Survey III for 21 former communist European countries, the results show that, on the one hand, beliefs that success in life is achieved eminently through effort and hard work and through intelligence, skills and competences reduce both the likelihood of perceiving corruption and acting corruptly. On the other hand, external attributes of life success achieved through political connections and breaking the law are associated with higher perceptions of corruption and bribery-related behaviour. These findings highlight the significant positive role of personal effort (rather than any help from unfair sources) and meritocracy in achieving success in life on the assessment of perceptions of corruption and corrupt behaviour in former communist European societies.
{"title":"Beliefs in the attributes of success in life and bribery in post-communist European countries","authors":"A. Plopeanu","doi":"10.1080/14631377.2023.2236874","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2236874","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This article examines the influence of internal and external beliefs about the attribution of success in life on perceptions of corruption and corrupt behaviour. Using individual-level data from the Life in Transition Survey III for 21 former communist European countries, the results show that, on the one hand, beliefs that success in life is achieved eminently through effort and hard work and through intelligence, skills and competences reduce both the likelihood of perceiving corruption and acting corruptly. On the other hand, external attributes of life success achieved through political connections and breaking the law are associated with higher perceptions of corruption and bribery-related behaviour. These findings highlight the significant positive role of personal effort (rather than any help from unfair sources) and meritocracy in achieving success in life on the assessment of perceptions of corruption and corrupt behaviour in former communist European societies.","PeriodicalId":46517,"journal":{"name":"Post-Communist Economies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41630828","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}