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The development of cycling in European countries since 1990 1990年以来欧洲国家自行车运动的发展
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-05-18 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.2.5411
P. Schepers, M. Helbich, M. Hagenzieker, B. Geus, M. Dozza, N. Agerholm, A. Niska, N. Airaksinen, F. Papon, R. Gerike, T. Bjørnskau, R. Aldred
High pre-World-War-2 modal shares of cycling in European countries sharply decreased during the post-war decades. In the 1990s, European governments introduced policies to increase bicycle use. However, a database or longitudinal study on the development of bicycle use in European countries is lacking. The goal of this paper is to examine to what degree the amount of cycling has increased over the past decades, also in the context of potentially competing modes. Distances travelled per capita according to National Travel Surveys have been collected and were aggregated to seven 4-year periods between 1990 and 2017. Multilevel regression analyses on distance travelled per capita by bicycle, on foot, by public transport, and by passenger car were conducted for all countries. Additionally, analyses were conducted for which the 14 countries with data on bicycle use were divided in three groups categorised according to distance cycled per capita at the beginning of the study period. Distance cycled per capita per year ranged from some 30 km to 900 km. The results of all four regression analyses suggested that distance cycled per capita remained fairly constant over the past decades. Germany is an exception with some 150 km per capita more, in relative terms a 50% increase. Geographical variation in development is evidenced by a substantial increase of distance cycled per inhabitant in the capital cities of the countries included in the study. The outcomes suggest distance travelled on foot and by public transport (bus, tram, and metro) also remained fairly constant while the distance travelled by car increased by about 10% during the study period. We did not find indications that cycling substitutes travel on foot, by public transport or by car.
二战前欧洲国家自行车运动的高模式份额在战后几十年急剧下降。20世纪90年代,欧洲各国政府出台了增加自行车使用量的政策。然而,缺乏关于欧洲国家自行车使用发展的数据库或纵向研究。本文的目标是研究在过去几十年中,自行车运动的数量增加到了什么程度,以及在潜在的竞争模式的背景下。根据国家旅行调查,收集了人均旅行距离,并将其汇总为1990年至2017年间的七个4年期。对所有国家的自行车、步行、公共交通和乘用车人均出行距离进行了多层次回归分析。此外,还进行了分析,将有自行车使用数据的14个国家分为三组,根据研究期开始时的人均骑行距离进行分类。人均每年骑行距离从30公里到900公里不等。所有四项回归分析的结果表明,在过去几十年中,人均骑行距离保持相当恒定。德国是个例外,人均里程增加了约150公里,相对增长了50%。研究中包括的国家首都的人均骑行距离大幅增加,这证明了发展的地理差异。研究结果表明,在研究期间,步行和乘坐公共交通工具(公共汽车、电车和地铁)的距离也保持不变,而开车的距离增加了约10%。我们没有发现骑自行车的替代品步行、乘坐公共交通工具或汽车出行的迹象。
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引用次数: 12
A vulnerability analysis of rail network disruptions during winter weather in the Netherlands 荷兰冬季铁路网中断的脆弱性分析
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-04-22 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.2.3956
D. Neves, K. Geurs, L. Paix, Erik Lindhout, Maarten Zanen
This paper presents a rail network vulnerability analysis to identify which links within the Dutch rail network are most vulnerable to winter weather. A vulnerability index was developed to measure rail vulnerability during winter weather based on switch-related disruptions, integrating both node and link components into a probabilistic measure of vulnerability. The analysis looked at disruption data for 379 Dutch stations during the years 2007-2017. Links in dense population areas, which operate a high number of switches, are most susceptible to winter disturbances. Particularly, three main railway stations (Utrecht, Amersfoort and Zwolle) are the most critical locations within the network in terms of extreme winter conditions and disruptions. In addition, we developed two scenarios to analyse implications of different railway switch reduction strategies on rail vulnerability. The proposed rail vulnerability index can be a useful tool to define operational strategies to reduce the vulnerability of the Dutch railway network. Decreasing the number of switches at station areas appears to be more effective for reducing railway vulnerability than decreasing the number of switches throughout the entire network.
本文对铁路网的脆弱性进行了分析,以确定荷兰铁路网中哪些路段最容易受到冬季天气的影响。基于与道岔相关的中断,开发了一个脆弱性指数来衡量冬季天气期间的铁路脆弱性,将节点和链路组件集成到脆弱性的概率测量中。该分析查看了2007-2017年期间379个荷兰电台的中断数据。人口密集地区的链路操作着大量的开关,最容易受到冬季干扰。特别是,就极端冬季条件和中断而言,三个主要火车站(乌得勒支、阿默斯富特和兹沃勒)是网络中最关键的位置。此外,我们开发了两个场景来分析不同的铁路道岔减少策略对铁路脆弱性的影响。拟议的铁路脆弱性指数可以成为一个有用的工具,用于确定降低荷兰铁路网脆弱性的运营战略。减少车站区域的交换机数量似乎比减少整个网络中的交换机数量更能有效地降低铁路脆弱性。
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引用次数: 3
COVID-19 transmission risk minimization at public transportation stops using Differential Evolution algorithm 使用差分进化算法最小化公共交通站点的新冠肺炎传播风险
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.1.5129
M. M. Mutlu, İ̇̇lyas Cihan Aksoy, Y. Alver
Public transportation vehicles, with their confined spaces and limited ventilation, are considered among the primary factors in the spread of COVID-19. As a measure to slow the spread of the virus during the pandemic, governments have applied passenger capacity restrictions to ensure physical distancing. On the other hand, the increase in the risk of disease transmission associated with passengers waiting together at stops is omitted. In this study, we consider the risk of disease transmission as a travel cost and formulate a risk minimization problem as a transit network frequency setting problem. We develop a bi-level optimization model minimizing the total infection risk occurring at stops, namely, the cumulative disease transmission risk cost. The Differential Evolution algorithm is employed to cope with the NP-hard bi-level transportation network design problem. We propose a novel objective function for the upper-level model, considering the infection risk cost based on passenger traffic at public transportation stops. A congested user-equilibrium transit assignment model is utilized to determine passenger movement. The proposed model is applied to a small-size hypothetical network, and a mid-size test network. Experimental studies provide evidence that the model can produce optimal solutions. Optimization results show significant improvements in the reduction of disease transmission risk compared to the optimizations depending on the traditional practice of transportation network planning based on user and operator costs. The proposed model provides risk cost reductions of 51% and 22% compared to the optimal solutions based on user cost minimization in the hypothetical network and Mandl’s network, respectively.
公共交通工具空间狭窄,通风有限,被认为是新冠肺炎传播的主要因素之一。作为在疫情期间减缓病毒传播的一项措施,各国政府实施了乘客容量限制,以确保保持物理距离。另一方面,省略了与在车站一起等待的乘客相关的疾病传播风险的增加。在这项研究中,我们将疾病传播的风险视为旅行成本,并将风险最小化问题公式化为公交网络频率设置问题。我们开发了一个双层优化模型,最小化站点发生的总感染风险,即累积疾病传播风险成本。采用差分进化算法来解决NP难的双层交通网络设计问题。我们为上层模型提出了一个新的目标函数,考虑了基于公共交通站点客运量的感染风险成本。利用拥挤用户均衡公交分配模型来确定乘客流动。将所提出的模型应用于小型假设网络和中型测试网络。实验研究证明,该模型可以产生最优解。优化结果显示,与基于用户和运营商成本的交通网络规划传统做法的优化相比,在降低疾病传播风险方面有显著改进。与假设网络和Mandl网络中基于用户成本最小化的最优解决方案相比,所提出的模型分别降低了51%和22%的风险成本。
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引用次数: 4
Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on commuting 新冠肺炎封锁对通勤的影响
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.1.5135
Takeru Shibayama, Fabian Sandholzer, Barbara Laa, T. Brezina
We carried out an international online survey about changes in everyday mobility during the COVID-19 outbreak in 21 languages, collecting more than 11,000 responses from more than 100 countries. In this paper, we present our analysis about commuting travels of the responses between 23 March and 12 May 2020 from the fourteen countries with 100 or more responses, namely Austria, Brazil, Bulgaria, Czechia, Germany, Hungary, Iran, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Thailand, and the UK. Home office is used typically by between 40% and 60% of working respondents. Among people with workplaces with possibility for home office, the percentage is between 60% and 80%. Among people with workplaces where presence is essential, the percentage does not typically go beyond 30%. This result potentially implies an ultimate magnitude of a strong home office measure. Among those who continued to commute but switched commuting transport modes from public transport to others, the COVID-19 infection risk in public transport is the reason that is most often referred to, but many of those who changed to private cars and to bicycles report reduced travel time, too. Measures to encourage the use of active travel modes where possible are strongly recommended, as this would potentially mitigate undesirable modal shift towards private motorized modes triggered by perception of infection risks while travelling with public transport.
我们以21种语言开展了一项关于COVID-19疫情期间日常流动性变化的国际在线调查,收集了来自100多个国家的1.1万多份回复。在本文中,我们分析了2020年3月23日至5月12日期间来自14个国家(即奥地利、巴西、保加利亚、捷克、德国、匈牙利、伊朗、意大利、日本、马来西亚、斯洛伐克、斯洛文尼亚、泰国和英国)的100个或更多回复的通勤行程。40%到60%的在职受访者通常使用家庭办公室。在有可能在家办公的工作场所的人中,这一比例在60%到80%之间。在那些工作场所必须在场的人中,这一比例通常不会超过30%。这一结果可能暗示了一个强有力的家庭办公措施的最终规模。在那些继续通勤但从公共交通工具改为其他通勤方式的人中,最常提到的原因是公共交通工具中的COVID-19感染风险,但许多改用私家车和自行车的人也报告说旅行时间缩短了。强烈建议采取措施,尽可能鼓励使用主动出行方式,因为这可能会减轻乘坐公共交通工具时因感知到感染风险而引发的向私人机动出行方式的不良转变。
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引用次数: 42
Editorial: Special issue of the 8th Symposium of the European Association of Research in Transportation 社论:第八届欧洲交通研究协会研讨会特刊
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.1.5639
Virginie Lurkin, N. Mouter
This special issue presents three selected papers from the 8th Symposium of the European Association of Research in Transportation (hEART) that was held from 4 to 6 September 2019 in Budapest, Hungary. The three contributions reflect the interdisciplinary nature of the conference, covering different areas of transportation research with different methodologies. They also all connect to some of the current challenges of the community, as highlighted by the keynote speakers.
本特刊介绍了2019年9月4日至6日在匈牙利布达佩斯举行的欧洲交通研究协会第八届研讨会上的三篇精选论文。这三项贡献反映了会议的跨学科性质,涵盖了交通研究的不同领域,采用了不同的方法。正如主旨发言人所强调的那样,它们都与社区当前的一些挑战有关。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-agent programming to enhance resiliency of earthquake-prone old metropolitan areas by transit-oriented development under public-private partnership 多主体规划,通过公私合作下以交通为导向的发展,增强易受地震影响的老城区的复原力
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.1.4304
Hojjatollah Soleimani, H. Poorzahedy
Deteriorated urban areas in large cities have poor living standards, are inaccessible and small-sized, and have unstable building structures. Earthquake hazards may turn such situations into human disasters. In most cases, neither the governments nor the owners of these properties have enough budgets for renovating them. The purpose of this paper is to take advantage of Transit Oriented Development concepts to simultaneously solve two major urban area problems: (a) renovation of deteriorated urban areas and prevention of urban sprawl, and (b) design of transit network and promotion of transit-oriented development to reduce traffic congestion, pollution, and other unwanted outcomes of the extensive automobile use in large metropolitan areas. This paper proposes a bilevel multi-agent programming in which each agent maximizes the respective benefits while being subjected to the results of the decisions by others. We formulate the problem and solve it by a novel meta-heuristic algorithm. After analyzing the set of solutions to a test problem, we apply the algorithm on this rather large, real case urban area, and discuss the results. The solution results indicate that the proposed methodology: (a) reduces the total travel time in transportation networks of the city, (b) turns the deteriorated urban developments into a new and attractive environment, (c) provides a profitable investment for the construction industries in the context of Build-Operate-Transfer scheme, and (d) upgrades urban life for the city in general, and alleviates earthquake hazards for the inhabitants of the deteriorated urban areas, in particular.
大城市中的恶化城市地区生活水平低,人迹罕至,面积小,建筑结构不稳定。地震灾害可能会把这种情况变成人类灾难。在大多数情况下,无论是政府还是这些房产的所有者都没有足够的预算来翻新它们。本文的目的是利用以公交为导向的发展理念,同时解决两个主要的城市区域问题:(a)改造恶化的城市区域和防止城市蔓延,以及(b)设计公交网络和促进以公交为主导的发展,以减少交通拥堵、污染、,以及在大城市地区广泛使用汽车的其他不希望的结果。本文提出了一种双层多智能体规划,在该规划中,每个智能体在服从他人决策结果的同时,使各自的利益最大化。我们将问题公式化,并通过一种新的元启发式算法进行求解。在分析了一个测试问题的解集后,我们将该算法应用于这个相当大的真实城市区域,并讨论了结果。解决方案的结果表明,所提出的方法:(a)减少了城市交通网络中的总出行时间,(b)将恶化的城市发展变成一个新的、有吸引力的环境,(c)在建设-运营-转移计划的背景下为建筑业提供了有利可图的投资,以及(d)总体上提升了城市生活,特别是减轻了恶化的城市地区居民的地震危险。
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引用次数: 3
Network vulnerability analysis based on the overall and inequity impacts of the distribution of the added travel time to the network users 基于网络脆弱性分析的增加出行时间分配对网络用户的整体和不公平影响
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.1.5363
Behnam Tahmasbi, Hossein Haghshenas, Salehe Birzhandi
Vulnerability has been a major concern in the performance evaluation of transportation networks. In the concept of vulnerability, the key step is to identify the critical link, which are the ones susceptible to severe operational degradation caused by any type of failure. Several studies have been devoted to this issue by introducing indicators that illustrate the network's operational degradation's overall impact. However, the impact of the interrupted network on users can be further evaluated using the inequity perspective. Here, we present a method to assess network vulnerability to operational degradation based on spatial inequity impacts. The importance of a link is determined by calculating the Gini-coefficient of the distribution of added travel time to the users when the link is disabled. Furthermore, the overall impact of link failure is calculated based on the total extra travel time. The final link's importance is determined by the non-dominated sorting method based on the Pareto optimality concept considering both overall and inequity objectives. Measures quantifying overall and inequity impacts of link failure allow planners to determine how this influences the disadvantaged distribution and help them make decisions associated with maintenance plans that consider link failure's equity impact.
脆弱性一直是运输网络绩效评估中的一个主要问题。在漏洞概念中,关键步骤是识别关键环节,这些环节容易受到任何类型故障导致的严重操作降级的影响。针对这一问题进行了几项研究,引入了一些指标来说明网络运营退化的总体影响。然而,中断的网络对用户的影响可以使用不公平的视角进行进一步评估。在这里,我们提出了一种基于空间不公平影响评估网络易受运营退化影响的方法。当链接被禁用时,通过计算增加的旅行时间分配给用户的基尼系数来确定链接的重要性。此外,链路故障的总体影响是基于总的额外行程时间来计算的。最后一个环节的重要性是由基于帕累托最优概念的非支配排序方法确定的,该方法同时考虑了总体目标和不公平目标。量化链路故障的总体和不公平影响的措施使规划者能够确定这如何影响不利分布,并帮助他们做出与考虑链路故障的公平影响的维护计划相关的决策。
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引用次数: 3
Estimating impacts of covid19 on transport capacity in railway networks 估计covid - 19对铁路网运输能力的影响
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2020-12-26 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2021.21.1.4939
Nikola Bevsinovi'c, C. Szymula
Due to the covid19 crisis, public transport (PT) systems are facing new challenges. Regarding restrictive measures such as physical distancing and the successive returning of passengers after the “intelligent lockdown”, significant lack of transport capacity can be expected. In this paper, the transport capacity of a PT network is assessed, using a mathematical passenger route choice and train scheduling model. By analysing the overall number of transported passengers and the resulting link and train utilization; the networks capabilities of facilitating different demands under capacity restrictions (e.g. physical distancing) are addressed. The analysis is performed on the Dutch railway network. The results show that at most 50% of the pre-covid19 demand can be transported, while most of the trains will be highly utilized reaching their maximum occupation. Thus, significantly more parts of the network are becoming highly utilized, leading to a more congested and vulnerable system than in normal conditions before covid19.
由于2019冠状病毒病危机,公共交通(PT)系统正面临新的挑战。就“智能封城”后保持身体距离和乘客陆续返回等限制性措施而言,预计运输能力将严重不足。本文利用客运路线选择和列车调度数学模型,对客运网络的运输能力进行了评估。通过分析总客运量和由此产生的线路和列车利用率;解决了网络在容量限制(例如物理距离)下满足不同需求的能力。分析是在荷兰铁路网上进行的。结果表明,最多可以运输50%的疫情前需求,而大多数列车将得到高度利用,达到最大占用率。因此,网络中越来越多的部分被高度利用,导致系统比covid - 19之前的正常情况下更加拥挤和脆弱。
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引用次数: 3
Impact of a New Metro Line in Amsterdam on Ridership, Travel Times, Reliability and Societal Costs and Benefits 阿姆斯特丹一条新地铁线对乘客、出行时间、可靠性和社会成本与效益的影响
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2020-12-08 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2020.20.4.4084
Ties Brands, Malvika Dixit, N. V. Oort
The north-south metro line in Amsterdam became operational in summer 2018, accompanied by changes to the existing bus, metro, and tram network in the city. In this paper we undertake an ex-post analysis of the transportation impacts of the network change. Using two sets of smart card transactions, of 5-6 weeks each, and corresponding Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) data, a before-after comparison is made, concerning ridership, travel times, number of transfers, and travel time reliability. The results show a 4% increase in network wide working day ridership and a strong shift from tram and bus to metro. On an average working day, more than 6,000 hours of travel time is saved. 21% of travellers have more than 1 minute shorter travel time and 13% of travellers have more than 1 minute travel time increase. Furthermore, slightly fewer transfers are made, and the aggregated effect on travel time reliability is marginally positive. For an average working day (7am to 7pm), the resulting daily societal benefits of the new public transport network are approximately €54,200. On a yearly basis the transport related societal benefits are approximately 22 million euros. Doing an ex-post analysis is not common in the literature and in practice, and therefore in a lot of cases the realized benefits of large infrastructural investments remain unknown. This study provides an example of scientific methodology development using multiple data sources, that enables such ex-post evaluations, leading to improvements in public transport assessment and planning.
阿姆斯特丹的南北地铁线于2018年夏季投入运营,同时对城市现有的公共汽车、地铁和有轨电车网络进行了改造。本文对网络变化对交通运输的影响进行了事后分析。使用两组智能卡交易,每组5-6周,以及相应的自动车辆定位(AVL)数据,对客流量、出行时间、换乘次数和出行时间可靠性进行了前后比较。结果显示,整个网络的工作日客流量增加了4%,从有轨电车和公共汽车转向地铁的趋势强劲。平均每个工作日,可以节省6000多个小时的旅行时间。21%的旅客出行时间缩短超过1分钟,13%的旅客出行时间增加超过1分钟。此外,换乘次数略少,对旅行时间可靠性的总体影响为微正。平均一个工作日(从早上7点到晚上7点),新公共交通网络的每日社会效益约为54,200欧元。每年与交通相关的社会效益约为2200万欧元。进行事后分析在文献和实践中并不常见,因此在许多情况下,大型基础设施投资的实现收益仍然未知。这项研究提供了一个利用多种数据来源发展科学方法的例子,使这种事后评价成为可能,从而改善公共交通评估和规划。
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引用次数: 2
Techno-Economical and Ecological Potential of Electric Scooters: A Life Cycle Analysis 电动滑板车的技术经济和生态潜力:生命周期分析
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2020-11-10 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2020.20.4.4912
Markus Kazmaier, Tessa T. Taefi, T. Hettesheimer
In Germany, mobility is currently in a state of flux. Since June 2019, electric kick scooters (e-scooters) have been permitted on the roads, and this market is booming. This study employs a user survey to generate new data, supplemented by expert interviews to determine whether such e-scooters are a climate-friendly means of transport. The environmental impacts are quantified using a life cycle assessment. This results in a very accurate picture of e-scooters in Germany. The global warming potential of an e-scooter calculated in this study is 165 g CO2-eq./km, mostly due to material and production (that together account for 73% of the impact). By switching to e-scooters where the battery is swapped, the global warming potential can be reduced by 12%. The lowest value of 46 g CO2-eq./km is reached if all possibilities are exploited and the life span of e-scooters is increased to 15 months. Comparing these emissions with those of the replaced modal split, e-scooters are at best 8% above the modal split value of 39 g CO2-eq./km.
在德国,流动性目前处于不断变化的状态。自2019年6月以来,电动滑板车(电动滑板车)被允许上路,这个市场正在蓬勃发展。这项研究采用用户调查来产生新的数据,辅以专家访谈来确定这种电动滑板车是否是一种气候友好型交通工具。使用生命周期评估对环境影响进行量化。这就形成了一幅非常准确的德国电动滑板车的画面。本研究计算的一辆电动滑板车的全球变暖潜势为165克二氧化碳当量。,主要是由于材料和生产(两者加起来占73%的影响)。通过更换电池的电动滑板车,全球变暖的可能性可以降低12%。最低值为46 g co2当量。如果所有可能性都得到利用,电动滑板车的寿命将增加到15个月。将这些排放量与被替换的模态分裂进行比较,电动滑板车最多比模态分裂值39克二氧化碳当量/公里高出8%。
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引用次数: 11
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European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research
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