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A Cluster Analysis of Temporal Patterns of Travel Production in the Netherlands: Dominant within-day and day-to-day patterns and their association with Urbanization Levels 荷兰旅行生产时间模式的聚类分析:日内和日间的主要模式及其与城市化水平的关系
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6499
Zahra Eftekhar, Adam Pel, Hans Van Lint
This paper explores temporal patterns in travel production using a full month of production data from traffic analysis zones (TAZ) in the (entire) Netherlands. The mentioned data is a processed aggregated derivative (due to privacy concerns) from GSM traces of a Dutch telecommunication company. This research thus also sheds light on whether such a processed data source is representative of both regular and non-regular patterns in travel production and how such data can be used for planning purposes. To this end, we construct normalized matrix (heatmap) representations of weekly hour-by-hour travel production patterns of over 1200 TAZs, which we cluster using K-means combined with deep convolutional neural networks (inception V3) to extract relevant features. A silhouette score shows that three dominant clusters of temporal patterns can be discerned (K=3). These three clusters have distinctly different within-day and day-to-day production patterns in terms of peak period intensity over different days of the week. Subsequently, a spatial analysis of these clusters reveals that the differences can be related to (easily observable) land-use features such as urbanization levels (i.e., Urban, Rural, and mixed-level). To substantiate this hypothesis and the usefulness of this clustering result, we apply an OVR-SMOTE-XGBoost ensemble classification model on the land-use features of the TAZs (i.e., to identify their cluster). The results of our clustering analysis show that given the land-use features, the overall production patterns are identifiable. Further analysis of the mixed-level areas shows a more complex relationship between temporal heterogeneity and spatial characteristics. Population density seems to impose additional uncertainty on the temporal patterns. All in all, feature selection and spatial and temporal discretization play essential roles in identifying the dominant trip production patterns. These findings are directly useful for data-driven estimation and prediction of demand time series. Furthermore, this study provides further insights into people's mobility, relevant for transportation analysis and policies.
本文利用荷兰(整个)交通分析区(TAZ)的全月生产数据,探讨了出行生产的时间模式。上述数据是荷兰一家电信公司 GSM 跟踪数据经过处理后的汇总衍生数据(出于隐私考虑)。因此,本研究还揭示了这样一个经过处理的数据源是否能代表常规和非常规的出行模式,以及如何将此类数据用于规划目的。为此,我们构建了 1200 多个 TAZ 的每周逐小时旅行生产模式的归一化矩阵(热图)表示法,并使用 K-means 结合深度卷积神经网络(inception V3)对其进行聚类,以提取相关特征。剪影评分显示,可以发现三个主要的时间模式聚类(K=3)。这三个群组在一周内不同日期的高峰期强度方面具有明显不同的日内和日间生产模式。随后,对这些群组的空间分析表明,这些差异与(易于观察到的)土地利用特征有关,如城市化水平(即城市、农村和混合水平)。为了证实这一假设和聚类结果的实用性,我们对 TAZ 的土地利用特征应用了 OVR-SMOTE-XGBoost 集合分类模型(即识别其聚类)。聚类分析结果表明,根据土地利用特征,总体生产模式是可以识别的。对混合水平区域的进一步分析表明,时间异质性与空间特征之间的关系更为复杂。人口密度似乎给时间模式带来了额外的不确定性。总之,特征选择和时空离散化在识别主要行程生产模式方面发挥着至关重要的作用。这些发现对数据驱动的需求时间序列估计和预测直接有用。此外,这项研究还为交通分析和政策提供了有关人们流动性的进一步见解。
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引用次数: 0
Planning for the sustainability of freight and logistics 规划货运和物流的可持续性
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6145
Sam McLeod, Michael Browne
Policy-makers face challenges managing the movement of goods while responding to increasingly urgent sustainability problems. Freight policy is fragmented over many regulatory fields, often with ambiguous or contested objectives. Empirical freight transport research can be difficult to translate directly into policy settings, and policy measures often have substantial unintended consequences, especially over long time periods. These foundational challenges can make effective policy implementation difficult. Through a review of the literature, and drawing on diverse applied research and practice experiences, we categorise intertemporal problems in designing regional freight policy, and identify principles for informing practical policy synthesis. These principles provide a framework for decision-makers who formulate policy, and for researchers who critically evaluate it. Adoption and refinement of these principles will improve the translation of research into policy through time, recognising the inherently complex and uncertain nature of planning for the movement of goods.
决策者在应对日益紧迫的可持续性问题的同时,还面临着管理货物运输的挑战。货运政策分散在许多监管领域,其目标往往模糊不清或存在争议。货运实证研究很难直接转化为政策设置,政策措施往往会产生意想不到的严重后果,尤其是在很长一段时间内。这些基本挑战会使政策难以有效实施。通过回顾文献,并借鉴各种应用研究和实践经验,我们对区域货运政策设计中的跨时空问题进行了分类,并确定了指导实际政策综合的原则。这些原则为制定政策的决策者和严格评估政策的研究人员提供了一个框架。采用和完善这些原则将有助于将研究成果及时转化为政策,同时认识到货物运输规划本身的复杂性和不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating post-pandemic effects of working from home and teleconferencing on travel behaviour 估计大流行后在家工作和电话会议对旅行行为的影响
4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6733
Roel Faber, Marije Hamersma, Mathijs De Haas, Lizet Krabbenborg, Arjen 't Hoen
Like in many other countries, the Dutch government instructed people to work from home where possible during the COVID-19 pandemic to halt the transmission of the virus. This policy seems to have resulted in a structural increase in working from home and teleconferencing that will outlast the pandemic. However, the longer-term effects on travel behaviour are still unclear. Making use of panel data collected using the Netherlands Mobility Panel, this paper has two main aims. First, it analyses developments in working from home and teleconferencing since COVID-19. Second, it estimates the expected post-pandemic effects on travel behaviour. The results show that compared to before the pandemic, the average number of hours that people work from home has doubled and roughly two-thirds of respondents indicate that they teleconference more often. We estimate that structural, post-pandemic increases in working from home and teleconferencing will result in a negative effect on distances travelled by train (-3% to -9%), by bus, tram, and metro (-1% to -5%) and car (-1 to -5%). The estimated effect on the distance travelled by bicycle (-2% to 0%), and walking (0% to +1%) is smaller or even positive, due to people making more complementary trips for other purposes when working from home. When interpreting these results, we should keep in mind that due to various other factors, such as population growth, total travel demand will still grow in the near future.
与许多其他国家一样,荷兰政府指示人们在COVID-19大流行期间尽可能在家工作,以阻止病毒的传播。这一政策似乎导致了在家工作和远程会议的结构性增加,这种增加将持续到大流行结束。然而,对旅行行为的长期影响尚不清楚。利用荷兰移动面板收集的面板数据,本文有两个主要目的。首先,分析了自COVID-19以来在家工作和远程会议的发展情况。其次,它估计了大流行后对旅行行为的预期影响。结果显示,与大流行之前相比,人们在家工作的平均时间增加了一倍,大约三分之二的受访者表示,他们更频繁地进行电话会议。我们估计,大流行后在家工作和远程会议的结构性增加将对乘坐火车(-3%至-9%)、公共汽车、有轨电车和地铁(-1%至-5%)和汽车(-1%至-5%)的旅行距离产生负面影响。对骑自行车(-2%至0%)和步行(0%至+1%)的距离的估计影响较小,甚至是正的,因为人们在家工作时为了其他目的进行了更多的互补旅行。在解释这些结果时,我们应该记住,由于各种其他因素,如人口增长,总旅游需求在不久的将来仍将增长。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic analysis of the investment decision of electric vehicle charging facilities and the promotion effect measurement for electric vehicles 电动汽车充电设施投资决策的动态分析及对电动汽车的推广效果衡量
4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.2.6666
Lefeng Shi, Guanhong Chen, Song Wang
This paper aims to analyze the deep reason why there exists hesitation when investors decide whether invest in EV charging facilities (ECFs). To this end, a series of theoretic models are built and derived, and some enlightening results are got. The main results confirm that charging facility investors are insufficiently motivated to follow a moderately aggressive investment strategy in the early stages of EV development. For stimulating ECFs’ investment, the marginal conditions in which the investors choose active or conservative investment strategies to lay out charging facilities are analyzed, and the effects under different ECFs investment strategies are quantized in terms of driving the market development of EVs. Based on the findings, relevant policy suggestions are proposed. Finally, to verify the gained results, a case study in the context of China is given.
本文旨在分析投资者在决定是否投资电动汽车充电设施时存在犹豫的深层原因。为此,建立并推导了一系列的理论模型,得到了一些有启发性的结果。主要结果证实,在电动汽车发展的早期阶段,充电设施投资者没有足够的动力遵循适度激进的投资策略。为了刺激电动汽车投资,分析了投资者选择主动或保守投资策略布局充电设施的边际条件,并从驱动电动汽车市场发展的角度量化了不同投资策略下电动汽车投资的效果。在此基础上,提出了相关政策建议。最后,为了验证所得结果,给出了中国背景下的案例研究。
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引用次数: 0
Travel time, delay and CO2 impacts of SAE L3 driving automation of passenger cars on the European motorway network SAE L3自动驾驶乘用车在欧洲高速公路网上的行驶时间、延迟和二氧化碳影响
4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6553
Elina Aittoniemi, Teemu Itkonen, Satu Innamaa
Impacts of driving automation on traffic flow and emissions are usually studied with traffic simulations using only few speed limits and traffic volumes. Without considering the real-world prevalence of simulated scenarios, it is unknown how the results translate to real-world conditions, such as a regional motorway network. The present study assessed the potential impacts of conditionally automated driving, described by stable vehicle motion control and longer time gaps, on the European motorway network assuming no changes in other influential factors, such as travel demand or vehicle fleet. Traffic simulations provided estimates of the effect magnitude per vehicle kilometre travelled (VKT) in representative conditions, and results were scaled up using map-, traffic- and weather-related data, accounting for the VKT per condition. Overall, the impacts of automated vehicles (AVs) on the European motorway network are likely small. Travel times and delay are estimated to increase by 0.8% and 1.3% respectively at a 100% AV penetration rate among passenger cars, and CO2 emissions to drop by 0.5%. While large reductions of average travel time (up to 8.0–10.4%), delay (up to 17.5–34.8%) and emissions (up to 13.5–15.0%) were found at high traffic volumes, most (86%) of the VKT accumulate at low traffic volumes, with small estimated effects. Thus, although beneficial in some conditions, the AVs considered in this study are not likely to support Europe’s sustainability goals. Findings advocate a comprehensive approach: Whereas impacts are likely greatest in heavy traffic, the prevalence of conditions must be considered in network level assessment.
驾驶自动化对交通流和排放的影响研究通常只使用少量的限速和交通量进行交通模拟。如果不考虑现实世界中普遍存在的模拟场景,则不知道结果如何转化为现实世界的条件,例如区域高速公路网络。目前的研究评估了有条件自动驾驶的潜在影响,通过稳定的车辆运动控制和更长的时间间隔来描述,假设其他影响因素(如旅行需求或车队)没有变化。交通模拟提供了代表性条件下每车辆行驶公里(VKT)影响程度的估计,并使用地图、交通和天气相关数据对结果进行了缩放,计算了每种条件下的VKT。总体而言,自动驾驶汽车(AVs)对欧洲高速公路网络的影响可能很小。如果自动驾驶汽车在乘用车中的普及率达到100%,预计出行时间和延误时间将分别增加0.8%和1.3%,二氧化碳排放量将下降0.5%。虽然在高交通量时,平均行车时间(高达8.0-10.4%)、延误(高达17.5-34.8%)和排放(高达13.5-15.0%)大幅减少,但大部分(86%)的VKT在低交通量时累积,估计影响很小。因此,尽管在某些条件下是有益的,但本研究中考虑的自动驾驶汽车不太可能支持欧洲的可持续发展目标。研究结果主张采用综合方法:尽管在繁忙的交通中影响可能最大,但在网络级别评估中必须考虑条件的普遍性。
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引用次数: 0
BIVEC 2021 Special Issue Editorial Note BIVEC 2021特刊编辑说明
4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6892
Bert Van Wee
This Special Issue has its basis in the BIVEC-GIBET Transport Research Days 2021. The three papers reflect the broad scope of the BIVEC-GIBET, including several disciplines, all transport modes, and many research methods. What the research of BIVEC-GIBET has in common, is a focus on societally and policy relevant research.
本期特刊以2021年交通运输研究日为基础。这三篇论文反映了BIVEC-GIBET的广泛范围,包括多个学科,所有运输模式和许多研究方法。BIVEC-GIBET研究的共同之处在于关注社会和政策相关的研究。
{"title":"BIVEC 2021 Special Issue Editorial Note","authors":"Bert Van Wee","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6892","url":null,"abstract":"This Special Issue has its basis in the BIVEC-GIBET Transport Research Days 2021. The three papers reflect the broad scope of the BIVEC-GIBET, including several disciplines, all transport modes, and many research methods. What the research of BIVEC-GIBET has in common, is a focus on societally and policy relevant research.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136259478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Locating Automated Parcel Lockers (APL) with known customers’ demand: a mixed approach proposal 定位具有已知客户需求的自动包裹寄存柜(APL):一个混合方法建议
4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.2.6786
Filippo Maria Ottaviani, Giovanni Zenezini, Alberto De Marco, Antonio Carlin
Logistics Service Providers (LSP) are increasingly adopting Automated Parcel Lockers (APLs) to mitigate the operational pressure of last-mile logistics. The optimal location of APL stations is key for reaching customers’ demand while keeping the investment reasonable. Previous studies developed optimization algorithms and applied them to virtual instances of the problem, lacking applicability to real-life situations encountered by LSPs who aim to serve an urban area with such technology. This study proposes a novel solution to the APLs location problem by combining mixed-integer linear programming and greedy heuristics algorithms. The study tested the propose solution on real customers’ demand data related to Turin, Italy. Results show that covering 90% of the estimated potential demand requires 10 to 11 APLs, on average. The adopted approach enables finding an optimal solution grounded in a real geographical context without requiring time-consuming optimization.
物流服务提供商(LSP)越来越多地采用自动化包裹储物柜(api)来减轻最后一英里物流的运营压力。在保证投资合理的前提下,电站的最佳选址是满足客户需求的关键。先前的研究开发了优化算法,并将其应用于问题的虚拟实例,缺乏对lsp遇到的现实情况的适用性,lsp的目标是用这种技术服务于城市地区。本文将混合整数线性规划与贪心启发式算法相结合,提出了一种新的api定位方法。该研究在与意大利都灵相关的真实客户需求数据上测试了提出的解决方案。结果表明,要覆盖90%的估计潜在需求,平均需要10到11种原料药。采用的方法可以找到基于真实地理环境的最佳解决方案,而无需耗时的优化。
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引用次数: 0
Passenger Flows at Escalators – Arriving at Count Interval for Design Flow Estimation 自动扶梯上的客流-设计流量估计的到达计数间隔
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-11-10 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.4.5703
Dharitri Kahali, R. Rastogi
Selection of a count interval to extract flow data on pedestrian facilities seems to be governed by the operational environment of the facility and context of the study. Based on the flow condition, which may be intermittent, uniform, or periodic, the count interval has been found varying between 1 minute and 5 minutes. For instantaneous peaks, it is reduced to even 10s. The selection of a count interval will impact the flow values and subsequently the design requirements and operational efficiency. Present study, in this light, focusses on escalators located at metro rail stations. The study region is Delhi, India. Based on the analysis, the count interval for data extraction is recommended as 24 seconds, which is expected to result in a flow that does not cause unnecessary increase in facility size and keep it usable for most of the time. The absolute design flow value may be considered between 140–148 ped/m/min, which is the 5th highest rank order peak flow. The results are expected to optimize the resources, both for data collection and size of a facility.
选择一个计数间隔来提取行人设施的流量数据似乎取决于设施的运行环境和研究的背景。根据流量情况(可能是间歇性的、均匀的或周期性的),计数间隔在1分钟到5分钟之间变化。对于瞬时峰值,它被降低到甚至10秒。计数间隔的选择将影响流量值,进而影响设计要求和操作效率。从这个角度来看,目前的研究主要集中在地铁站的自动扶梯上。研究区域是印度德里。根据分析,建议将数据提取的计数间隔设置为24秒,这样可以避免不必要地增加设施大小,并使其在大多数时间都可用。设计流量绝对值可考虑在140 ~ 148 ped/m/min之间,为第5高阶峰值流量。研究结果有望优化数据收集和设施规模方面的资源。
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引用次数: 1
Modal shift to inland waterway transport 内陆水路运输模式转变
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-11-08 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.4.5474
Vendela Santén, S. Rogerson, J. Williamsson, J. Woxenius
Modal shift from road to water is a strategy prioritised by both the European Union and many of its member states. However, inland waterways remain underutilised in most member states, and even the small number of countries in which inland waterway transport is well established, the sector faces fierce competition from road-based solutions. There is potential to develop tools and strategies for expanding the use of inland waterways by better understanding what activities key actors can rely on to facilitate modal shift. In this multiple-case study, we identify activities that actors perform to realise modal shift to inland waterways in five cases from the North Sea Region, by conducting interviews, workshops, and field observations. In each case, the process of modal shift varied depending upon which actor initiated specific activities, the order of performing activities and the number of iterations required to advance. Activities revolved around understanding the current situation, identifying potential solutions, testing solutions and promoting solutions. Getting stakeholders on board and identifying goods flows were integrated in all themes. The structured and emergent approach were outlined, highlighting varying starting points (mature or immature market) and actor engagement (facilitating or initiating roles). Different actors could assume leading roles. Authorities can target initiatives and policies to form relevant alliances and support modal shift by approach, while practitioners can relate and be inspired by the described activities in the varying contexts and adhere to entrepreneurial roles. Realising large-scale modal shift requires multi-actor engagement, openness to emergent solutions and long-term endurance.
从公路到水的模式转变是欧盟及其许多成员国优先考虑的战略。然而,在大多数成员国,内陆水道仍然没有得到充分利用,即使是内陆水道运输在少数国家也很成熟,该行业也面临着来自公路解决方案的激烈竞争。通过更好地了解关键行为者可以依靠哪些活动来促进模式转变,有可能制定扩大内陆水道使用的工具和战略。在这项多案例研究中,我们通过进行访谈、研讨会和实地观察,确定了参与者为实现北海地区向内陆水道的模式转变而开展的活动。在每种情况下,模式转换的过程都会随着具体参与者发起的特定活动、执行活动的顺序以及推进所需的迭代次数而变化。活动围绕着了解当前形势、确定潜在解决方案、测试解决方案和推广解决方案展开。让利益攸关方参与并确定货物流动已纳入所有主题。概述了结构化和新兴的方法,强调了不同的起点(成熟或不成熟的市场)和参与者参与(促进或启动角色)。不同的演员可以扮演主角。当局可以针对举措和政策,形成相关联盟,并通过方法支持模式转变,而从业者可以在不同的背景下联系所描述的活动并受到启发,并坚持创业角色。实现大规模模式转变需要多方参与、对紧急解决方案持开放态度和长期耐力。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-objective railway timetabling including energy-efficient train trajectory optimization 包含节能列车轨道优化的多目标铁路调度
IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2021-10-20 DOI: 10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.4.5453
Gerben M. Scheepmaker, R. Goverde
Energy-efficient train driving is an important topic to railway undertakings (RUs) for sustainability and cost reduction. The timetable affects the possibilities for energy-efficient train driving by the amount of running time supplements, which is the topic of energy-efficient train timetabling (EETT). The scientific literature on EETT focuses mainly on the balance between total running time and energy consumption. However, in practice RUs consider a trade-off between the total running time, the infrastructure occupation and the timetable robustness, while energy efficiency is not considered. In this paper we consider a multiple-objective timetabling problem at a microscopic infrastructure level that adds energy consumption to the other three objectives. We approach the multiple-objective problem by a brute force search algorithm, where we use two different methods to compute the optimal solution: a weighted sum method and a distance metric method. We apply the method to a Dutch case study on the corridor between the stations Arnhem Central and Nijmegen with alternating Intercity and Sprinter trains, without intermediate overtaking possibilities. The results indicate that there is a balancing relationship between the total running time and energy consumption, without influencing the infrastructure occupation and robustness. The results of the 10 Pareto-optimal solutions show a variation of 5% for the total running time, 18% for the energy consumption, 0.3% for the extended cycle time, and 0.8% for the buffer time. The shortest running time leads to 18% more energy consumption than the longest running time with 5% more running time supplement. In both cases the extended cycle time and buffer time are almost constant. On the other hand, reducing the infrastructure occupation leads to homogenization of the timetable. Therefore, including energy consumption in the multiple-objective can be used to balance the trade-off between total running time and capacity consumption. 
列车节能驾驶是铁路企业可持续发展和降低成本的重要课题。列车时刻表通过补充运行时间的多少来影响节能型列车行驶的可能性,这是节能型列车时刻表研究的课题。关于EETT的科学文献主要集中在总运行时间和能量消耗之间的平衡。然而,在实践中,RUs考虑总运行时间、基础设施占用和时间表鲁棒性之间的权衡,而不考虑能源效率。在本文中,我们考虑了一个微观基础设施水平上的多目标时间表问题,该问题将能源消耗添加到其他三个目标中。我们通过蛮力搜索算法来处理多目标问题,其中我们使用两种不同的方法来计算最优解:加权和方法和距离度量方法。我们将该方法应用于荷兰的一个案例研究,该案例研究了阿纳姆中央站和奈梅亨站之间的走廊,城际列车和短跑列车交替行驶,没有中间超车的可能性。结果表明,总运行时间与能耗之间存在平衡关系,且不影响基础设施占用和鲁棒性。10个pareto最优解的结果表明,总运行时间的变化为5%,能耗的变化为18%,延长周期时间的变化为0.3%,缓冲时间的变化为0.8%。最短运行时间比最长运行时间多消耗18%的能量,并增加5%的运行时间。在这两种情况下,延长的周期时间和缓冲时间几乎是恒定的。另一方面,减少基础设施占用导致时间表同质化。因此,在多目标中包含能量消耗可以用来平衡总运行时间和容量消耗之间的权衡。
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引用次数: 1
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European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research
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