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Only attractive women are welcome: Board bias and CEO selection 只欢迎有魅力的女性:董事会偏见和CEO选择
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101233
Tom Aabo , Viktor Raaby Jensen
CEOs matter, and beauty matters. Based on social identity theory, we argue that women and men are likely to be held to different beauty standards by the boards of directors when these boards select the new CEO. Our empirical results support our arguments. Specifically, we investigate 959 CEO turnovers in non-financial S&P 1500 firms in the period from 2008 to 2022. We find that newly appointed female CEOs are significantly more attractive than their male peers. Thus, the median female CEO is more attractive than a male CEO at the 75th percentile level. We find no indication of an economic rationale for such a biased beauty preference. When investors are informed of the new CEO, they value CEO beauty equally across the two genders (i.e., no gender bias). The discrimination by the boards of directors seems to be related to women's minority status (i.e., we get similar results for non-white candidates) rather than the sexualization of women although we cannot rule out that both may coincide. Our findings are robust and economically significant. Thus, they are important in understanding the lack of gender equality and the avenues through which women face (beauty) discrimination in the upper echelons.
首席执行官很重要,美貌也很重要。基于社会认同理论,我们认为当董事会选择新的CEO时,女性和男性可能会被董事会持有不同的审美标准。我们的实证结果支持我们的论点。具体而言,我们调查了2008年至2022年期间标准普尔1500强非金融企业中959名CEO的离职情况。我们发现,新上任的女性ceo明显比男性同行更具吸引力。因此,在第75个百分位数的水平上,女性CEO比男性CEO更具吸引力。我们没有发现任何迹象表明这种有偏见的美貌偏好有经济依据。当投资者得知新任CEO的消息后,他们对CEO美貌的评价是男女平等的(即没有性别偏见)。董事会的歧视似乎与女性的少数民族地位有关(即,我们对非白人候选人得到了类似的结果),而不是女性的性化,尽管我们不能排除两者可能同时发生。我们的发现是可靠的,具有经济意义。因此,它们对于理解性别平等的缺乏以及女性在上层面临(美貌)歧视的途径非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Information concealment effects or signaling effect of industrial policy: Evidence from stock price crash risk 产业政策的信息隐藏效应或信号效应:来自股价崩盘风险的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101234
Guangrui Liu , Ying Fang , Jiani Yan , Ming Zhou , Zixin He
Industrial policies generate both positive and negative information effects. Existing research largely emphasizes their signaling benefits while overlooking potential adverse impacts. Using the High-Tech Enterprise Identification Policy (HTEP) as a quasi-natural experiment, this study applies a staggered difference-in-differences model to examine how industrial policy influences stock price crash risk. The findings reveal that HTEP produces an information concealment effect that heightens crash risk. This effect is most pronounced among nonstate-owned and pseudo high-tech enterprises, where controlling shareholders conceal negative information for tax arbitrage and equity transfer, further increasing risk. Channel analysis indicates that HTEP intensifies information asymmetry among external investors, amplifying market instability. Grounded in Type II agency theory, the study identifies research and development information manipulation as a new mechanism linking industrial policy to crash risk, thereby expanding the theoretical framework of stock price dynamics. These results provide empirical evidence on the information effects of industrial policy and offer policy insights to improve the design and execution of innovation-driven industrial strategies worldwide.
产业政策产生正面和负面的信息效应。现有的研究大多强调了它们的信号作用,而忽视了潜在的不利影响。本研究以高新技术企业认定政策(HTEP)为准自然实验,运用交错差中差模型考察产业政策对股价崩盘风险的影响。研究结果表明,HTEP产生了信息隐藏效应,增加了撞车风险。这种影响在非国有企业和伪高新技术企业中最为明显,控股股东隐瞒负面信息进行税收套利和股权转让,进一步增加了风险。渠道分析表明,HTEP加剧了外部投资者之间的信息不对称,放大了市场的不稳定性。本研究以第二类代理理论为基础,将研发信息操纵作为产业政策与崩溃风险联系的新机制,拓展了股价动态的理论框架。这些结果为产业政策的信息效应提供了实证证据,并为改善全球创新驱动产业战略的设计和执行提供了政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Trade policy uncertainty and stock price crash risk: The role of geographic segment disclosure 贸易政策不确定性与股价崩盘风险:地理区域信息披露的作用
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101231
Haneen Abedalqader , Shao-Chi Chang
This paper aims to examine how trade policy uncertainty (TPU) affects firm-specific stock price crash risk and the extent to which corporate disclosures and governance can mitigate this vulnerability. Using a global panel database of publicly listed firms from 17 countries over the period 2010–2023, we find a positive and significant relationship between TPU and stock price crash risk, suggesting that firms exposed to trade policy shocks are more vulnerable to sudden negative price movements. As a result of opacity, firms with less transparent geographical segment disclosure tend to hoard bad news, suggesting that opacity compounds this tendency. Furthermore, we investigate how segment reporting complexity, supply chain concentration, and governance mechanisms serve as moderating factors. We find that high segment reporting complexity and supply chain concentration exacerbate the TPU-crash risk relationship by increasing operational and informational opacity. The TPU-induced crash risk decreases with strong institutional ownership and enhanced analyst coverage, but increases with high information asymmetry. In light of rising global trade policy uncertainty, geographical segment disclosure, operational structure, and governance are crucial to moderating firm-level financial fragility.
本文旨在研究贸易政策不确定性(TPU)如何影响公司特定的股价崩溃风险,以及公司披露和治理在多大程度上可以减轻这种脆弱性。利用2010-2023年间17个国家上市公司的全球面板数据库,我们发现TPU与股价崩盘风险之间存在显著的正相关关系,这表明受到贸易政策冲击的公司更容易受到突然的负面价格波动的影响。由于不透明,地理区域信息披露不透明的公司倾向于囤积坏消息,这表明不透明加剧了这种趋势。此外,我们研究了分部报告的复杂性、供应链集中度和治理机制如何作为调节因素。研究发现,较高的分部报告复杂性和供应链集中度增加了运营和信息的不透明性,从而加剧了tpu -崩溃风险关系。tpu引发的崩溃风险随着机构所有权的增强和分析师覆盖率的增加而降低,但随着信息不对称的增加而增加。鉴于全球贸易政策不确定性上升,地理部门披露、运营结构和治理对于缓和企业层面的金融脆弱性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Green interactions and corporate climate risk exposure: Evidence from China's investor-firm digital interactive platforms 绿色互动与企业气候风险暴露:来自中国投资者-公司数字互动平台的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101229
Silu Pang, Chunlin Cheng, Yihan Han, Guihong Hua
Retail investors' green interactions—their oversight and recommendations on corporate climate risks through official interactive platforms—have become a growing informal governance mechanism as climate change gains global prominence. Drawing on social exchange theory, this study examines how such interactions between retail investors and listed firms influence corporate climate risk exposure (CRE). Using data from China's investor-firm interactive platforms covering 1798 firms from 2014 to 2022, we find that green interactions significantly reduce CRE, with stronger effects among firms exhibiting higher social responsibility conformity and larger retail investor bases. Advocacy-oriented and information-oriented messages are most effective, and their impact is amplified by firms' response quality. We identify three mechanisms behind this relationship: heightened climate risk perception, lower information transmission costs, and strengthened investor trust. These findings deepen understanding of retail investor activism in corporate climate governance and offer insights for integrating grassroots engagement into climate policy and financial regulation.
随着气候变化日益成为全球关注的焦点,散户投资者的绿色互动——他们通过官方互动平台对企业气候风险的监督和建议——已经成为一种日益增长的非正式治理机制。本研究运用社会交换理论,探讨散户投资者与上市公司之间的互动如何影响企业气候风险暴露。利用涵盖2014 - 2022年中国1798家企业的投资者-企业互动平台数据,我们发现绿色互动显著降低了CRE,且在社会责任一致性较高、散户投资者基数较大的企业中效果更强。以宣传为导向和以信息为导向的信息是最有效的,它们的影响被企业的反应质量放大。我们确定了这种关系背后的三个机制:提高气候风险感知、降低信息传递成本和加强投资者信任。这些发现加深了对公司气候治理中散户投资者行动主义的理解,并为将基层参与纳入气候政策和金融监管提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Multivariate crash risk and worldwide stock returns 多元崩盘风险与全球股票收益
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101230
Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Vuong Thao Tran, Angel Zhong
This paper examines the pricing of multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), which measures the conditional probability that a stock crashes when one or more systematic risk factors crash. Using data from 48 countries between 1992 and 2021, we show that MCRASH is a robust predictor of expected stock returns. The premium is stronger in emerging markets and concentrated in cyclical industries, consistent with differences in institutional quality, earnings cyclicality, and macroeconomic exposure. We also document that cultural dimensions condition the pricing of MCRASH. Individualism and uncertainty avoidance strengthen the premium, trust dampens it, and power distance intensifies it during high-volatility states. These results highlight the state-dependent role of culture in shaping investor responses to systemic risk.
本文研究了多元崩溃风险(MCRASH)的定价,它衡量了当一个或多个系统性风险因素崩溃时股票崩溃的条件概率。使用1992年至2021年间48个国家的数据,我们表明MCRASH是预期股票回报的稳健预测因子。这种溢价在新兴市场更为强劲,且集中在周期性行业,这与机构质量、盈利周期性和宏观经济敞口的差异一致。我们还记录了文化维度对MCRASH定价的影响。在高波动状态下,个人主义和不确定性规避强化了溢价,信任抑制了溢价,权力距离强化了溢价。这些结果突出了文化在塑造投资者对系统性风险的反应方面的国家依赖作用。
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引用次数: 0
Share pledging by controlling shareholders and firm investment efficiency: Evidence from China 控股股东股权质押与企业投资效率:来自中国的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101228
Yuanqi Zhou , Ya Zhang , Zhenghua Shuai , Yu-en Lin
Share pledging is not strictly regulated in emerging markets, making it into a mechanism for controlling shareholders to cash out financing. Using data from Chinese listed companies (2008–2020), this study examines the relationship between controlling shareholder share pledging and corporate investment efficiency by incorporating the reinvestment behavior of pledged funds into an analytical framework. Results reveal a significant negative correlation between share pledging and investment efficiency by reducing information transparency, weakening corporate social responsibility(CSR), and damaging the effectiveness of internal control. However, pledged fund inflow can alleviate financing constraints and function as a reservoir to improve investment efficiency. When pledged funds flow into the enterprise, the reservoir effect becomes dominant, particularly in firms experiencing underinvestment issues. In this scenario, share pledges alleviate financing constraints, improve corporate investment efficiency. In contrast, when pledged funds flow out of the enterprise, weakened corporate governance from equity pledges triggers the tunneling effect, which exacerbates agency conflicts and reduces investment efficiency. Further analysis reveals that the tunneling effect is weaker for companies with high audit quality, strong media attention, and check-and-balance ownership. These findings, which remain robust after a series of tests including instrumental variable method(IV), propensity score matching(PSM), and alternative variable measurements, contribute to understanding share pledges' actual impact and mechanisms on firm-level resource allocation, yielding significant theoretical and practical insights for improving corporate governance and regulatory systems in emerging markets.
在新兴市场,股权质押并未受到严格监管,这使其成为控股股东套现融资的一种机制。本文利用2008-2020年中国上市公司的数据,将质押资金的再投资行为纳入分析框架,考察了控股股东股权质押与公司投资效率之间的关系。结果表明,股权质押与投资效率之间存在显著的负相关关系,降低了信息透明度,削弱了企业社会责任,损害了内部控制的有效性。而质押资金流入可以缓解融资约束,起到蓄水池的作用,提高投资效率。当质押资金流入企业时,蓄水池效应就占主导地位,特别是在遇到投资不足问题的公司。在这种情况下,股权质押缓解了融资约束,提高了企业投资效率。而当质押资金流出企业时,股权质押导致的公司治理弱化引发了隧道效应,加剧了代理冲突,降低了投资效率。进一步分析发现,对于审计质量高、媒体关注度强、所有权制衡的公司,隧道效应较弱。这些发现在经过工具变量法(IV)、倾向得分匹配(PSM)和替代变量测量等一系列测试后仍然稳健,有助于理解股权质押对公司层面资源配置的实际影响和机制,为改善新兴市场的公司治理和监管体系提供重要的理论和实践见解。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of financial uncertainty on the price dynamics of global bond funds 金融不确定性对全球债券基金价格动态的影响
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101227
Zhuhua Jiang , Oguzhan Ozcelebi , Zheng Lü , Rim El Khoury , Seong-Min Yoon
This study examines how financial uncertainty shocks shape global bond funds’ return and volatility dynamics focusing on four key indicators: equity market volatility (VIX), bond market volatility (MOVE), central bank digital currency uncertainty (CBDCU) and geopolitical risk (GPR). Using weekly data from 2015 to 2024 across four major global bond funds (BNDX, TPINX, MGBIX and FGBFX), we employ a multi-method empirical framework that integrates TVP-SV-VAR, BEKK-multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH), CCC-MGARCH and wavelet quantile regression to capture time variation, volatility spillovers and distributional effects. The findings reveal heterogeneous and asymmetric responses to uncertainty shocks wherein MOVE and GPR exert persistent volatility effects, VIX generates short-term flight-to-safety flows and CBDCU introduces asymmetric risks through safe-haven dynamics and disintermediation. Fund behaviour is highly conditional—BNDX demonstrates temporary safe-haven behaviour under digital monetary shocks, MGBIX provides long-term diversification benefits, FGBFX serves as a conditional safe haven and TPINX disproportionately transmits shocks due to its emerging market (EM)/high-yield exposure. These results challenge the perception of global bond funds as uniformly defensive assets and underscore the importance of aligning fund selection with uncertainty source and investment horizon. Beyond investment insights, this study has relevant policy implications, indicating how CBDCU can be incorporated into regulatory stress tests, EM-focused funds require closer macro-prudential monitoring and policymakers should adapt liquidity and duration risk frameworks to evolving sources of systemic uncertainty.
本研究考察了金融不确定性冲击如何影响全球债券基金的回报和波动动态,重点关注四个关键指标:股票市场波动率(VIX)、债券市场波动率(MOVE)、央行数字货币不确定性(CBDCU)和地缘政治风险(GPR)。利用2015年至2024年全球四大债券基金(BNDX、TPINX、MGBIX和FGBFX)的每周数据,我们采用了一个多方法实证框架,该框架整合了TVP-SV-VAR、bekk -多元广义自回归条件异方差(MGARCH)、cc -MGARCH和小波分位数回归,以捕捉时间变化、波动溢出和分布效应。研究结果揭示了对不确定性冲击的异质和不对称反应,其中MOVE和GPR发挥持续波动效应,VIX产生短期避险资金,CBDCU通过避险动态和脱中介引入不对称风险。基金行为是高度有条件的——bndx在数字货币冲击下表现出暂时的避险行为,MGBIX提供长期多元化收益,FGBFX作为有条件的避险天堂,TPINX由于其新兴市场(EM)/高收益敞口而不成比例地传递冲击。这些结果挑战了全球债券基金作为统一防御资产的看法,并强调了将基金选择与不确定性来源和投资范围相一致的重要性。除了投资见解之外,本研究还具有相关的政策含义,表明CBDCU如何纳入监管压力测试,新兴市场基金需要更密切的宏观审慎监测,政策制定者应根据不断变化的系统性不确定性来源调整流动性和持续时间风险框架。
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引用次数: 0
The rare disaster concern index: RIX 罕见灾害关注指数:RIX
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101226
Weihan Li , Jin E. Zhang , Xinfeng Ruan , Pakorn Aschakulporn
This study aims to deepen the understanding of the Rare Disaster Concern Index (RIX) by redefining its concept, developing its exact model within the Gram–Charlier density, and constructing its time series to enhance its theoretical foundation and numerical application in capturing extreme market risks. Through comparative analysis with conventional indices across various term structures, we uncover the capability of the RIX in reflecting higher-order risks in financial markets. Our findings demonstrate the heightened sensitivity of the RIX to extreme market movements, especially within the left lower range, emphasizing its importance in strategic risk management and investment decision-making.
本研究旨在通过重新定义罕见灾害关注指数(RIX)的概念,建立其在Gram-Charlier密度内的精确模型,构建其时间序列来加深对其的理解,以增强其在捕捉极端市场风险方面的理论基础和数值应用。通过与不同期限结构的传统指数的比较分析,我们揭示了RIX在反映金融市场高阶风险方面的能力。我们的研究结果表明,RIX对极端市场波动的高度敏感性,特别是在左下角范围内,强调其在战略风险管理和投资决策中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring climate attention from investor queries: How textual signals drive green innovation 从投资者询问中衡量气候关注:文本信号如何推动绿色创新
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101224
Cheng Zhang , Menghan Li , Zhuoer Yang , Cheng Liu
This study examines how retail investors' climate attention influences corporate green innovation using data from Chinese A-share listed firms from 2013 to 2023. We construct a novel measure of climate attention referencing investor interaction platforms and a climate-related dictionary, which captures firm-level retail investors' climate attention more precisely than existing search-based measures. Empirical results reveal that strong climate attention from investors considerably enhances the quantity and quality of corporate green innovation. The mechanism analysis reveals that this effect operates by boosting managerial awareness, media focus, and analyst coverage of climate-related issues. Notably, we further demonstrate that CEOs' green experience constitutes a key boundary condition. When CEOs lack such experience, investor attention has a more prominent influence on motivating green innovation. These findings demonstrate that retail investors are a unique monitoring force and they underscore the importance of managerial backgrounds in shaping firms' responses to climate change.
本文利用2013 - 2023年中国a股上市公司的数据,考察了散户投资者的气候关注对企业绿色创新的影响。我们参考投资者互动平台和气候相关词典构建了一个新的气候关注度量,它比现有的基于搜索的度量更准确地捕获公司层面散户投资者的气候关注。实证结果表明,投资者强烈的气候关注显著提高了企业绿色创新的数量和质量。机制分析表明,这种效应通过提高管理意识、媒体关注和分析师对气候相关问题的报道来发挥作用。值得注意的是,我们进一步证明了ceo的绿色经验构成了一个关键的边界条件。当ceo缺乏此类经验时,投资者关注对激励绿色创新的影响更为突出。这些发现表明,散户投资者是一种独特的监督力量,它们强调了管理背景在塑造公司应对气候变化方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Climate risk and asset-liability maturity mismatches 气候风险与资产负债期限错配
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101223
WeiWei Li , Prasad Padmanabhan , Chia-Hsing Huang
This paper aims to investigate how climate change risks affect firms’ financing and investment decisions. Using annual data from Chinese firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges from 2007 to 2021, this study finds a statistically significant positive relationship between firm-level climate risk and asset-liability maturity mismatches, even after multiple robustness tests. Climate risks heighten mismatches by tightening financial constraints, worsening information asymmetry between insiders and outsiders, and increasing environmental, social, and governance-related investments. The effect is stronger among firms with weak banking relationships, no political connections, fewer institutional investors, smaller size, nonstate ownership, heavy pollution output, and higher proportions of female managers. Results further show that transition (policy) risks—rather than physical risks—drive the increase in mismatches. Finally, the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement appears to have weakened this linkage.
本文旨在探讨气候变化风险如何影响企业的融资和投资决策。利用2007年至2021年在上海和深圳证券交易所上市的中国公司的年度数据,本研究发现,即使经过多次稳健性检验,公司层面的气候风险与资产负债期限错配之间存在统计学上显著的正相关关系。气候风险加剧了金融约束,加剧了内部和外部之间的信息不对称,增加了与环境、社会和治理相关的投资,从而加剧了错配。在银行关系薄弱、没有政治联系、机构投资者较少、规模较小、非国有所有制、污染严重、女性经理比例较高的企业中,这种影响更强。结果进一步表明,过渡(政策)风险——而不是物理风险——导致了错配的增加。最后,2015年的《巴黎气候协定》似乎削弱了这种联系。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Finance Journal
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