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Business group heterogeneity and firm outcomes: Evidence from Korean chaebols 企业集团异质性与公司业绩:韩国企业集团的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101056
Romain Ducret, Dušan Isakov
This study examines how business group heterogeneity affects firm outcomes using data from Korean chaebols (2007–2019). We employ a three-level empirical strategy considering: 1) market-level average effects, 2) effects across categories of business groups, and 3) group-specific effects capturing unobservable attributes. Our analysis reveals substantial variations in affiliation effects between business groups, often diverging from average market-level effects. We find that group resources significantly impact affiliate performance - investors assign higher valuations to firms affiliated with large, financially sound, and well-performing business groups. While performance effects are primarily market-driven, we document considerable heterogeneity in financial and investment policies across groups, likely influenced by unobservable characteristics such as controlling shareholders' preferences. Our findings highlight the importance of considering business group heterogeneity when analyzing affiliate performance
本研究利用韩国企业集团的数据(2007-2019 年)研究了企业集团的异质性如何影响企业成果。我们采用了三个层面的实证策略,分别是:1:1) 市场层面的平均效应;2) 不同类别企业集团之间的效应;3) 反映不可观察属性的特定集团效应。我们的分析揭示了不同企业集团之间关联效应的巨大差异,这种差异往往与市场层面的平均效应不同。我们发现,集团资源对关联公司业绩有重大影响--投资者对与规模大、财务稳健、业绩良好的企业集团有关联的公司给予更高的估值。虽然业绩效应主要由市场驱动,但我们发现各集团的财务和投资政策存在相当大的异质性,这很可能受到控股股东偏好等不可观测特征的影响。我们的研究结果凸显了在分析关联公司业绩时考虑企业集团异质性的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Under the microscope: Trade initiation activities around earnings and takeover announcements in a market with continuous disclosure 显微镜下:持续披露市场中围绕盈利和收购公告的交易启动活动
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101054
Priyantha Mudalige , Petko S. Kalev
We examine the impact of the release time of earnings and takeover announcements on trade initiation motives on the ASX — a market with continuous disclosure. This investigation uses intraday high-frequency data of the constituent stocks of the S&P/ASX50 index and measures market sidedness around the announcements to infer trade initiation motives. We find that during a continuous trading session: (i) in a two-sided market, investors initiate both buy and sell trades just before announcements are released during trading sessions, and (ii) in a one-sided market, investors execute either buy or sell trades just after the announcements. Our results suggest that differential information is the likely motive for trade initiation just before the release of announcements. Finally, our results suggest that announcements released during continuous trading sessions are more effective in controlling information leakage.
在澳大利亚证券交易所(ASX)这个持续披露的市场上,我们研究了盈利和收购公告的发布时间对交易启动动机的影响。这项研究使用了 S&P/ASX50 指数成分股的盘中高频数据,并衡量了公告发布前后的市场两面性,从而推断出交易启动动机。我们发现,在连续交易时段内:(i) 在双面市场中,投资者会在交易时段内公告发布前启动买入和卖出交易;(ii) 在单面市场中,投资者会在公告发布后执行买入或卖出交易。我们的结果表明,差异信息可能是在公告发布前启动交易的动机。最后,我们的结果表明,在连续交易时段发布的公告能更有效地控制信息泄露。
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引用次数: 0
Stock, foreign exchange and commodity markets linkages: Implications for risk diversification and portfolio management 股票、外汇和商品市场的联系:对风险分散和投资组合管理的影响
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-11-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101053
Jorge A. Muñoz Mendoza , Carmen L. Veloso Ramos , Carlos L. Delgado Fuentealba , Edinson E. Cornejo Saavedra , Sandra M. Sepúlveda Yelpo
We analyze connectedness for a system composed of 111 financial markets from January 3, 2011, to December 29, 2023. Stock, foreign exchange, and commodity markets are included in the sample. Using a two-stage approach based on Principal Component Analysis to remove common global factors affecting financial market returns, we employ a LASSO-VAR model to estimate the global network of financial markets. Our results reveal that financial markets are closely linked. Common global factors intensify spillovers between financial markets. After being removed, financial markets transmit significant idiosyncratic shocks that are not explained by systemic variations. Our results also allow us to accurately identify the markets that are idiosyncratically less vulnerable to liquidity shocks, and those that are most relevant transmitting this kind of disturbances. These findings are relevant for investment decisions, risk management, and financial regulators.
我们分析了 2011 年 1 月 3 日至 2023 年 12 月 29 日期间由 111 个金融市场组成的系统的连通性。样本包括股票、外汇和商品市场。我们采用基于主成分分析的两阶段方法来剔除影响金融市场收益的全球共同因素,并采用 LASSO-VAR 模型来估计全球金融市场网络。我们的研究结果表明,金融市场是紧密联系在一起的。全球共同因素加剧了金融市场之间的溢出效应。剔除这些因素后,金融市场仍会传递系统性变化无法解释的重大特异性冲击。我们的研究结果还使我们能够准确地识别出哪些市场不易受到流动性冲击的特异性影响,以及哪些市场最容易传播此类干扰。这些发现对投资决策、风险管理和金融监管机构都有意义。
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引用次数: 0
Value of climate change news: A textual analysis 气候变化新闻的价值:文本分析
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101052
Mohammad R. Allahdadi, Torun Fretheim, Kjetil Vindedal
There is a growing consensus that climate change poses a financial material risk to investors. In the face of escalating climate change risks, investors are seeking strategies to safeguard their portfolios. Building on a growing literature that combines textual analysis and dynamic hedging approach, we propose a method to construct portfolios of publicly traded assets that dynamically hedge climate change risk in the Norwegian stock market.
As climate risk is not directly observable, we apply Latent Dirichlet Allocation to extract news on climate change from more than 400,000 articles published in the Norwegian newspaper Dagens Næringsliv between January 2013 and February 2022. Using these data, we develop the DN Climate Change News Index and use innovations in this index as a hedge target. The hedge portfolios are constructed using third-party environmental scores from MSCI and Sustainalytics, along with firm-level data of equities listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange.
The DN Climate Change News Index show high correlations with international counterparts, indicating its ability to capture major global climate events and assessing the intensity of climate change–related news coverage. However, despite a positive out-of-sample correlation, the mimicking portfolio approach fails to construct efficient hedge portfolios against innovations in the index. Hedge portfolios based on Sustainalytics E-scores show a 0.21 out-of-sample correlation with innovations in the DN Climate Change News Index, indicating that the index may provide a relevant signal for investors.
气候变化给投资者带来重大金融风险,这一点已日益成为共识。面对不断升级的气候变化风险,投资者正在寻求保护其投资组合的策略。由于气候风险无法直接观测,我们采用潜在德里希特分配(Latent Dirichlet Allocation)方法,从2013年1月至2022年2月期间挪威报纸《Dagens Næringsliv》发表的40多万篇文章中提取有关气候变化的新闻。利用这些数据,我们开发了DN气候变化新闻指数,并将该指数中的创新作为对冲目标。对冲投资组合是利用 MSCI 和 Sustainalytics 的第三方环境评分以及奥斯陆证券交易所上市股票的公司级数据构建的。DN 气候变化新闻指数与国际同类指数显示出很高的相关性,这表明它有能力捕捉全球重大气候事件并评估气候变化相关新闻报道的强度。然而,尽管样本外相关性为正,模仿投资组合方法却无法针对指数的创新构建有效的对冲投资组合。基于 Sustainalytics E 分数的对冲投资组合与 DN 气候变化新闻指数的样本外相关性为 0.21,表明该指数可为投资者提供相关信号。
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引用次数: 0
Firms' gender composition, loan collateral, and sustainable finance 企业的性别构成、贷款抵押和可持续融资
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101051
Rudresh Pandey , Xian He , Dengjun Zhang
This study evaluates gender gaps in the collateral requirements of bank loans using a sample of firms in Latin America. We measure firm-level gender composition through ownership and workforce, both of which are directly related to women's economic empowerment. Additionally, we evaluate the differences in the impacts of firms' gender composition on collateral borrowing between banks that adopt sustainable finance codes of conduct and those that do not. Our empirical findings indicate that female-dominant firms are less likely to be required to provide collateral for their bank loans, and when collateral is required, its value is relatively lower. However, banks adopting sustainable finance codes are not less likely to grant collateral loans to female-dominant firms; in fact, these banks even require greater collateral values from these firms. The implications derived from our empirical findings concern gender inequality in accessing financial credit in developing countries and underscore the need for designing sustainable finance codes that specifically consider and rectify the challenges faced by female-owned firms, especially by firms with a majority female workforce.
本研究以拉丁美洲的企业为样本,评估了银行贷款抵押要求方面的性别差距。我们通过所有权和劳动力来衡量公司层面的性别构成,这两者都与妇女的经济赋权直接相关。此外,我们还评估了采用可持续金融行为准则的银行与未采用可持续金融行为准则的银行之间,企业性别构成对抵押借款影响的差异。我们的实证研究结果表明,女性占主导地位的企业被要求为银行贷款提供抵押品的可能性较低,而且在要求提供抵押品时,抵押品的价值也相对较低。然而,采用可持续金融准则的银行并没有减少向女性占主导地位的企业发放抵押贷款的可能性;事实上,这些银行甚至要求这些企业提供更高的抵押价值。我们的实证研究结果所产生的影响涉及发展中国家在获得金融信贷方面的性别不平等问题,并强调有必要制定可持续金融准则,专门考虑和纠正女性所有企业,尤其是女性劳动力占多数的企业所面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Cognitive, affective, and normative factors affecting digital insurance adoption among persons with disabilities: A two-stage SEM-ANN analysis 影响残疾人采用数字保险的认知、情感和规范因素:两阶段 SEM-ANN 分析
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101048
Somya Gupta , Majdi Hassen , Dharen Kumar Pandey , Ganesh P. Sahu
This study evaluates the determinants of digital insurance adoption among persons with disabilities (PWDs) using the cognitive, affective, and normative (CAN) model. The study considers (i) cognitive factors such as perceived credibility, perceived knowledge, perceived usefulness, perceived complexity, and facilitating conditions; (ii) affective factors including technology anxiety and technology pleasure; and (iii) normative factors encompassing social influence. Moreover, it explores the relationship between perceived complexity and behavioral intention (BI) to adopt digital insurance among PWDs, as mediated by perceived knowledge. This study employs a two-stage hybrid structural equation modeling–artificial neural network (SEM-ANN) approach to test the hypothesis, and data from 323 physically challenged participants were collected. Empirical results show that all factors, except for perceived complexity and technological anxiety, significantly predict BI adoption of digital insurance among PWDs, whereas perceived usefulness was found to have the highest impact on BI. Although perceived complexity affects perceived knowledge, it does not significantly mediate the relationship between complexity and BI. This study expands on the CAN model and provides practical insights for PWDs in adopting digital insurance.
本研究采用认知、情感和规范(CAN)模型评估了残疾人(PWDs)采用数字保险的决定因素。研究考虑了(i)认知因素,如感知可信度、感知知识、感知有用性、感知复杂性和便利条件;(ii)情感因素,包括技术焦虑和技术乐趣;以及(iii)规范因素,包括社会影响。此外,本研究还探讨了感知复杂性与残疾人采用数字保险的行为意向(BI)之间的关系,以及感知知识的中介作用。本研究采用了两阶段混合结构方程建模-人工神经网络(SEM-ANN)方法来验证假设,并收集了 323 名身体残疾参与者的数据。实证结果表明,除感知复杂性和技术焦虑外,所有因素都能显著预测残疾人对数字保险的商业智能采用情况,而感知有用性对商业智能的影响最大。虽然感知复杂性会影响感知知识,但它对复杂性与 BI 之间的关系并没有明显的中介作用。本研究对 CAN 模型进行了扩展,为残疾人采用数字保险提供了实用见解。
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引用次数: 0
Riding the geopolitical storm or dodging bullets: Geopolitical risk timing of mutual funds 驾驭地缘政治风暴还是躲避子弹?共同基金的地缘政治风险时机选择
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101047
Jie Liu , Zhenshan Chen , Gengyan Lin , Yinglun Zhu
This study investigates the mutual fund timing of geopolitical risk and corresponding economic consequences based on open-end active stock funds data in China from January 2005 to June 2023. Mutual funds are effective at timing geopolitical risks, evidenced by their tendency to reduce market risk exposure before periods of heightened geopolitical risk. We find that geopolitical risk timing is significantly positively associated with fund performance with persistence in mutual funds' geopolitical risk timing abilities. This effect remains robust even after controlling for market, volatility, and liquidity timing of mutual funds. The results suggest that mutual funds with superior geopolitical risk timing attract greater fund inflows, highlighting their positive market value. Fund managers with experience as macro analysts and political connections are more sophisticated in timing geopolitical risk than their counterparts.
本研究基于 2005 年 1 月至 2023 年 6 月中国开放式主动股票型基金的数据,研究了共同基金对地缘政治风险的时机把握及相应的经济后果。共同基金能够有效地把握地缘政治风险的时机,这表现在共同基金倾向于在地缘政治风险高发期之前降低市场风险敞口。我们发现,地缘政治风险择时与基金业绩显著正相关,共同基金的地缘政治风险择时能力具有持续性。即使在控制了共同基金的市场、波动性和流动性时机后,这一效应依然稳健。结果表明,具有卓越地缘政治风险时机把握能力的共同基金能吸引更多资金流入,从而凸显其积极的市场价值。具有宏观分析经验和政治关系的基金经理在地缘政治风险时机把握方面比其他基金经理更老练。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating probability of default via delinquencies? Evidence from European P2P lending market 通过拖欠估算违约概率?欧洲 P2P 借贷市场的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101050
Asror Nigmonov , Syed Shams , Povilas Urbonas
The unprecedented growth of the financial sector's digital transformation opens wide areas to the scaling up of finance in innovative and knowledge-based projects. Improving risk management takes centre stage in the acceleration of this process. This study uses loan-book data from the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market to empirically investigate the determinants of default risk. Using the loan-book database covering the period from 2014 to 2020, we examine multiple factors related to the default risk of loans issued by P2P lending platforms. The results indicate that a higher interest rate and higher stock market returns increase the probability of default in the P2P lending market. Results are robust to additional tests based on endogeneity correction, the LASSO method and sampling bias. The severity of the impact of market returns and interest rates is found to be significantly different based on the levels of financial technology (FinTech) adoption and banking sector distress. Increases in the market interest rate are found to boost the sensitivity of P2P loan defaults to stock market volatility. This study contributes to existing literature on risk management models with its consideration of country-specific factors, paving the way to future best practices in the market.
金融业数字化转型的空前发展为扩大创新和知识型项目的融资规模开辟了广阔的空间。在加速这一进程的过程中,改进风险管理占据了中心位置。本研究利用点对点(P2P)借贷市场的贷款账簿数据,对违约风险的决定因素进行了实证研究。利用覆盖 2014 年至 2020 年的贷款账簿数据库,我们研究了与 P2P 网络借贷平台发放贷款的违约风险有关的多种因素。结果表明,较高的利率和较高的股市回报会增加 P2P 网络借贷市场的违约概率。基于内生性校正、LASSO 方法和抽样偏差的附加检验结果是稳健的。根据金融科技(FinTech)的采用水平和银行业的困境,市场回报率和利率影响的严重程度存在显著差异。研究发现,市场利率的上升会提高 P2P 贷款违约对股市波动的敏感性。本研究考虑了特定国家的因素,为现有的风险管理模型文献做出了贡献,为未来市场的最佳实践铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate risk disclosure in response to heightened entry threat: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China 企业风险披露以应对加剧的进入威胁:来自中国准自然实验的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101049
Jingru Wang , Zhuochen Wu , Xinwei Fang , Haoxin Xiu
Using the deregulation of market entry barriers in China as a quasi-natural experiment, this study examines how increased entry threats affect incumbent firms' risk disclosure. We find that firms respond by increasing their market-related risk disclosures. This effect is stronger among firms facing higher economic uncertainty, lower financial constraints, greater product market competition, and higher information transparency. Mechanism analysis shows that increased risk disclosure weakens the link between deregulation of market entry barriers and new firm entry, suggesting that such disclosures can effectively deter potential competitors. Moreover, while market reactions to market risk disclosures are neutral, they are negative for operational and financial risk disclosures. Our findings suggest that firms strategically disclose market risks to mitigate entry threats, thus enhancing their resilience and adaptability in dynamic markets.
本研究以中国放松市场进入壁垒管制为准自然实验,探讨了市场进入威胁的增加如何影响现有企业的风险披露。我们发现,企业会通过增加与市场相关的风险披露来做出反应。在面临较高经济不确定性、较低财务约束、更激烈的产品市场竞争和更高信息透明度的企业中,这种效应更强。机制分析表明,增加风险披露削弱了放松市场进入壁垒管制与新企业进入之间的联系,这表明风险披露可以有效阻止潜在竞争者。此外,市场对市场风险披露的反应是中性的,而对运营和财务风险披露的反应则是负面的。我们的研究结果表明,企业会战略性地披露市场风险,以减少进入市场的威胁,从而增强其在动态市场中的应变能力和适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Executive compensation disclosure in emerging markets with weak shareholder enforcement: A multi-level analysis 股东执行力薄弱的新兴市场的高管薪酬披露:多层次分析
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101045
Vagner Naysinger Machado , Igor Bernardi Sonza , Wilson Toshiro Nakamura , Johnny Silva Mendes , Marco Aurélio dos Santos
Using a quasi-experimental approach, this study examines the effect of the mandatory disclosure of executive compensation on the performance and liquidity of firms in emerging markets with weak legal protection such as Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Italy, and Spain. The results of the multi-level generalized linear models suggest that executive compensation disclosure positively impacts the accounting performance of firms in countries with weak legal protection. The findings also indicate that regulating such disclosure can help reduce agency problems. However, stricter executive compensation disclosure requirements do not impact market performance, as measured by the market-to-book ratio and Tobin's Q. In addition, there is a negative relationship between the regulation of executive compensation disclosure and the amount of cash retained by firms in countries with legal origins in French civil law.
本研究采用准实验方法,考察了在阿根廷、比利时、巴西、意大利和西班牙等法律保护薄弱的新兴市场,强制披露高管薪酬对企业绩效和流动性的影响。多层次广义线性模型的结果表明,在法律保护薄弱的国家,高管薪酬披露会对企业的会计业绩产生积极影响。研究结果还表明,规范此类披露有助于减少代理问题。此外,在法律起源于法国民法的国家,对高管薪酬披露的监管与企业保留的现金数量之间存在负相关关系。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Finance Journal
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