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Do clean energy stocks diversify the risk of FinTech stocks? Connectedness and portfolio implications 清洁能源股是否能分散金融科技股的风险?关联性和投资组合的影响
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101019
Irene Henriques, Perry Sadorsky

The FinTech sector is growing rapidly, prompting a need to explore effective investment diversification strategies for stocks in this sector. The existing literature has identified the benefits of using clean energy stocks to diversify stock portfolios and the purpose of this research is to estimate how useful clean energy stocks are for diversifying an investment in FinTech stocks. This study uses a QVAR model to estimate the dynamic return connectedness between FinTech stocks and clean energy stocks for the period September 2016 to April 2024. Total connectedness is time varying and is higher in the tails than at the median. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic had a large but short-term impact on connectedness. Under normal market conditions, systemic risk increases by 3.5% per year. FinTech is a net transmitter of shocks to nuclear energy but is mostly unaffected by shocks from wind, solar, and nuclear energy stocks illustrating the diversification benefits of these sub-sectors. Portfolio analysis shows that adding solar, wind, and nuclear energy to a portfolio with FinTech can produce higher risk adjusted returns and lower drawdown than an investment solely in FinTech stocks. These results are robust across various portfolio rebalancing frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly). For example, a minimum connectedness portfolio rebalanced daily has an average annual return of 11% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.37. These values are higher than their respective values for an investment solely in FinTech stocks (5.4%, 0.11). Thus, clean energy stocks do provide diversification benefits for investments in FinTech stocks.

金融科技行业发展迅速,因此需要探索针对该行业股票的有效投资分散策略。现有文献指出了利用清洁能源股票分散股票投资组合的益处,本研究的目的是估算清洁能源股票对分散金融科技股投资的作用。本研究使用 QVAR 模型来估算 2016 年 9 月至 2024 年 4 月期间金融科技股与清洁能源股之间的动态收益关联性。总关联度随时间变化,尾部高于中位数。COVID-19 大流行的爆发对关联度产生了巨大但短期的影响。在正常市场条件下,系统性风险每年增加 3.5%。金融科技是核能冲击的净传播者,但大部分情况下不受风能、太阳能和核能股票冲击的影响,这说明了这些子行业的多样化优势。投资组合分析显示,与只投资金融科技股相比,在投资组合中加入太阳能、风能和核能,可以产生更高的风险调整回报和更低的缩水率。这些结果在不同的投资组合再平衡频率(日、周、月)下都很稳健。例如,每日重新平衡的最低连通性投资组合的平均年回报率为 11%,夏普比率为 0.37。这些数值都高于只投资金融科技股的相应数值(5.4%、0.11)。因此,清洁能源股票确实能为金融科技股投资带来多样化收益。
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引用次数: 0
Digital transformation and corporate risk taking: Evidence from China 数字化转型与企业风险承担:来自中国的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101012
Hui Wu, Yu Wang

Companies' risk preference and risk performance, which reflect their inclination to seek higher returns, significantly influence their decisions and behaviors. The current development of digital transformation is an effective strategy to improve enterprises' competitiveness. Studies have earlier examined the functions of digitalization, such as improving business operations and efficiency. Using data from 2847 listed companies in China from 2011 to 2019, this study examines the extent of digital transformation in enterprises and its impact on their risk performance behavior. The results show that digital transformation significantly improves enterprises' risk performance. Mechanism testing shows that optimized corporate governance processes and increased investment in research and innovation act as positive intermediaries through which digitalization affects the level of corporate risk performance. These findings contribute to our understanding of the role of enterprises' digital transformation behavior and recommend relevant policies to facilitate a more effective path for enterprise development and reform.

企业的风险偏好和风险表现,反映了企业追求更高收益的倾向,对企业的决策和行为产生重要影响。当前,数字化转型的发展是提高企业竞争力的有效战略。此前已有研究探讨了数字化的功能,如改善企业运营、提高效率等。本研究利用 2011 年至 2019 年中国 2847 家上市公司的数据,考察了企业数字化转型的程度及其对企业风险绩效行为的影响。结果表明,数字化转型能显著提高企业的风险绩效。机制检验表明,优化公司治理流程和增加科研创新投入是数字化影响企业风险绩效水平的积极中介。这些发现有助于我们理解企业数字化转型行为的作用,并提出相关政策建议,为企业发展和改革提供更有效的路径。
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引用次数: 0
Research on safe-haven currencies under global uncertainty —A new perception based on the East Asian market 全球不确定性下的避险货币研究--基于东亚市场的新认识
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101013
Changrong Lu , Fandi Yu , Jiaxiang Li , Shilong Li

The backdrop of this research is the high global uncertainty that has amplified the demand for safe-haven assets, particularly in the East Asian market. This paper redefines the concept of a “safe-haven” currency to align with contemporary geopolitical and trade policy uncertainties, diverging from the traditional volatility index (VIX) risk measure. We investigate the risk aversion properties of East Asian currencies under these nonmarket risks using dynamic heterogeneous panel data analysis and robustness checks with double machine learning. Empirical results reveal that no East Asian currency qualifies as a safe haven under geopolitical risk and trade policy uncertainty. However, the Japanese yen (JPY) maintains its status under the VIX indicator. This study highlights the insufficiency of traditional safe havens like the JPY and underscores the importance of considering nonmarket risks, challenging the effectiveness of traditional investment strategies amid modern geopolitical and policy uncertainties. The findings suggest that investors should prioritize nonmarket risks and call for reform in the global monetary system to enhance currency resilience. The novel methodological approach to evaluating safe-haven currencies addresses the need for diversified currency portfolios to mitigate nonmarket risks.

本研究的背景是全球高度的不确定性放大了对避险资产的需求,尤其是在东亚市场。本文重新定义了 "避险 "货币的概念,使其与当代地缘政治和贸易政策的不确定性相一致,与传统的波动率指数(VIX)风险度量方法不同。我们利用动态异质面板数据分析和双重机器学习的稳健性检验,研究了东亚货币在这些非市场风险下的避险属性。实证结果表明,在地缘政治风险和贸易政策不确定性的情况下,没有一种东亚货币有资格成为避风港。然而,日元(JPY)在 VIX 指标下保持了其地位。这项研究凸显了日元等传统避风港的不足,强调了考虑非市场风险的重要性,对现代地缘政治和政策不确定性下传统投资策略的有效性提出了挑战。研究结果表明,投资者应优先考虑非市场风险,并呼吁改革全球货币体系,以增强货币的弹性。评估避险货币的新方法论解决了多元化货币投资组合的需求,以降低非市场风险。
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引用次数: 0
Tail risk network analysis of Asian banks 亚洲银行尾部风险网络分析
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101017
Thach N. Pham, Robert Powell, Deepa Bannigidadmath

This study aims to investigate the tail risk dependence of individual banks in Asian emerging markets. Using value at risk and conditional value at risk to measure tail risk and employing the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to build the network, this study analysed interconnectedness at three levels: system-wide, country level and individual bank level. This study yields three key findings. First, banks in Asian emerging markets have a notably high tail risk network, particularly during more extreme market conditions. Second, the smaller and more interconnected banks are the most systemically important in the region, rather than the largest banks. Third, the time-varying results suggest that tail risk dependence, primarily attributed to cross-country connectivity, increased after the global financial crisis but has decreased in recent years.

本研究旨在探讨亚洲新兴市场中单个银行的尾部风险依赖性。本研究使用风险价值和条件风险价值来衡量尾部风险,并使用最小绝对缩减和选择算子回归来构建网络,从三个层面分析了相互关联性:全系统层面、国家层面和单个银行层面。本研究得出了三个主要结论。首先,亚洲新兴市场银行的尾部风险网络明显较高,尤其是在较为极端的市场条件下。其次,该地区最具系统重要性的是规模较小、相互关联度较高的银行,而不是规模最大的银行。第三,时变结果表明,尾部风险依赖性(主要归因于跨国连通性)在全球金融危机后有所增加,但近年来有所下降。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling interconnectedness and risk spillover among cryptocurrencies and other asset classes 揭示加密货币和其他资产类别之间的相互关联性和风险溢出效应
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101018
Shivani Narayan, Dilip Kumar

The study investigates the interconnectedness and risk spillover among a diverse range of financial assets, including thirty-three cryptocurrencies, thirteen sectoral indices, six exchange rates, four precious metals, and six energy commodities. Using diverse methodologies, including partial correlation network, dynamic causality index, Granger causality network, cross-quantilogram and Bayesian graphical VAR model, the findings reveal intriguing insights, such as cryptocurrencies exhibiting a negative relation with other asset classes, minimal interconnectedness during the COVID-19 pandemic, and their vulnerability to shocks. Moreover, there is a stronger dependence structure from energy commodities and exchange rates to other classes, while moderate temporal dependencies exist between cryptocurrencies and other assets. These results emphasize the need for understanding and managing risks in the cryptocurrency market and highlight the interconnected nature of financial markets. The interconnectedness among various asset classes is mainly driven by variables representing market and economic sentiment, uncertainty and business confidence.

本研究调查了各种金融资产之间的相互联系和风险溢出,包括 33 种加密货币、13 个行业指数、6 种汇率、4 种贵金属和 6 种能源商品。研究采用了多种方法,包括部分相关网络、动态因果关系指数、格兰杰因果关系网络、交叉量表和贝叶斯图形 VAR 模型,结果揭示了一些耐人寻味的见解,如加密货币与其他资产类别呈现负相关关系,在 COVID-19 大流行期间相互关联度极低,以及易受冲击影响等。此外,从能源商品和汇率到其他类别的资产之间存在更强的依赖结构,而加密货币和其他资产之间存在适度的时间依赖关系。这些结果强调了了解和管理加密货币市场风险的必要性,并突出了金融市场相互关联的性质。各类资产之间的相互关联性主要由代表市场和经济情绪、不确定性和商业信心的变量驱动。
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引用次数: 0
Deep reinforcement learning for portfolio selection 用于投资组合选择的深度强化学习
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101016
Yifu Jiang , Jose Olmo , Majed Atwi

This study proposes an advanced model-free deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework to construct optimal portfolio strategies in dynamic, complex, and large-dimensional financial markets. Investors' risk aversion and transaction cost constraints are embedded in an extended Markowitz's mean-variance reward function by employing a twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradient (TD3) algorithm. This study designs a DRL-TD3-based risk and transaction cost-sensitive portfolio that combines advanced exploration strategies and dynamic policy updates. The proposed portfolio method effectively addresses the challenges posed by high-dimensional state and action spaces in complex financial markets. This methodology provides two optimal portfolios by flexibly controlling transaction and risk costs with (i) the constituents of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and (ii) the constituents of the S&P100 index. Results demonstrate a strong portfolio performance of the proposed DRL portfolio compared to those of several competitors from the traditional and DRL literatures.

本研究提出了一种先进的无模型深度强化学习(DRL)框架,用于构建动态、复杂和大维度金融市场中的最优投资组合策略。通过采用双延迟深度确定性策略梯度(TD3)算法,将投资者的风险规避和交易成本约束嵌入到扩展的马科维茨均值-方差报酬函数中。本研究设计了一种基于 DRL-TD3 的风险和交易成本敏感型投资组合,它结合了先进的探索策略和动态策略更新。所提出的投资组合方法能有效解决复杂金融市场中高维状态和行动空间带来的挑战。该方法通过灵活控制交易和风险成本,提供了两个最优投资组合:(i) 道琼斯工业平均指数成分股;(ii) S&P100 指数成分股。结果表明,与传统和 DRL 文献中的几个竞争对手相比,所提出的 DRL 投资组合具有很强的投资组合性能。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of environmental, social, and governance rating disagreement on real earnings management in Chinese listed companies 环境、社会和治理评级分歧对中国上市公司实际收益管理的影响
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101015
Ge Li , Yuxiang Cheng

This study examines the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) rating disagreement on real earnings management in Chinese companies. Using ESG ratings from Huazheng, Wind, SynTao Green Finance, and Bloomberg, we find that increased disagreements in ESG rating lead to higher real earnings management in the current period and over the next 1 to 2 years. This effect is driven by external attention, compensation incentives, and reputational pressure. Furthermore, companies with a financial management background and younger management show a stronger correlation. Specifically, ESG rating disagreement has a significant impact on the manipulation of discretionary expenses and production costs but not on operating cash flows. Additionally, high ESG-rated companies tend to manage their earnings through discretionary expenses when rating disagreements arise. Overall, this study reveals the potential incentive mechanisms for such companies, providing theoretical support for understanding the factors influencing real earnings management. It also suggests that regulators and investors should fully consider the impact of ESG rating disagreement when assessing company performance.

本研究探讨了中国企业环境、社会和治理(ESG)评级分歧对实际收益管理的影响。利用华正、Wind、新道绿色财经和彭博社的 ESG 评级,我们发现 ESG 评级分歧的增加会导致当期和未来 1 到 2 年内实际收益管理的增加。这种效应是由外部关注、薪酬激励和声誉压力驱动的。此外,具有财务管理背景的公司和更年轻的管理层表现出更强的相关性。具体来说,ESG 评级分歧对可支配支出和生产成本的操纵有显著影响,但对经营现金流没有影响。此外,当出现评级分歧时,ESG评级高的公司倾向于通过酌情支出来管理其收益。总之,本研究揭示了这类公司的潜在激励机制,为理解实际收益管理的影响因素提供了理论支持。研究还表明,监管机构和投资者在评估公司业绩时应充分考虑 ESG 评级分歧的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Fintech on labor allocation efficiency in firms: Empirical evidence from China 金融科技对企业劳动分配效率的影响:来自中国的经验证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101011
James Ang , Zhenli Yan , Tusheng Xiao , Chun Yuan , Jingfang Wang

Fintech has significantly influenced the traditional financial industry by introducing advanced technologies and innovative business models that have resulted in profound impacts. This study examines the effects of Fintech development on labor allocation efficiency and explores its underlying mechanisms. Using a set of Chinese A-share public firms from 2011 to 2020, we find that Fintech development plays a positive role in labor allocation efficiency, mainly by mitigating labor overinvestment. This positive effect is further reinforced by market competition. We also find that the primary pathways of this enhancement include lowering information asymmetry, mitigating agency issues, and substituting low-skilled labor. Moreover, we show that the dimensions of depth and digital integration are particularly important in improving labor allocation efficiency.

金融科技通过引入先进技术和创新商业模式,对传统金融业产生了深远影响。本研究考察了金融科技发展对劳动力配置效率的影响,并探讨了其内在机制。我们以2011-2020年中国A股上市公司为研究对象,发现金融科技发展对劳动力配置效率有积极作用,主要是通过缓解劳动力过度投资。市场竞争进一步强化了这一积极作用。我们还发现,这种提升的主要途径包括降低信息不对称、缓解代理问题和替代低技能劳动力。此外,我们还表明,深度和数字一体化在提高劳动力配置效率方面尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of digital economy and environmental regulation on green total factor productivity: Evidence from China 数字经济和环境监管对绿色全要素生产率的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101010
Yonghui Lian, Haoran Dong, Hong Cao

Drawing on data collected from 30 provinces in China between 2010 and 2020, we attempt to investigate how the digital economy and environmental regulation affect green total factor productivity in different regions. The findings indicate that both environmental regulation and the digital economy substantially positively affect the green total factor productivity. Additionally, environmental regulation and the digital economy have a mutually reinforcing interaction effect. This study presents significant implications for government agencies working to reform environmental regulations and promote the development of the digital economy.

基于 2010-2020 年间中国 30 个省份的数据,我们试图研究数字经济和环境监管如何影响不同地区的绿色全要素生产率。研究结果表明,环境规制和数字经济对绿色全要素生产率都有显著的正向影响。此外,环境监管和数字经济还具有相互促进的互动效应。这项研究对政府机构改革环境法规和促进数字经济发展具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Does social capital matter in underwriter's fees? 社会资本对承销商的费用有影响吗?
IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2024.101005
Alex Annan Abakah

This study examines the influence of bond issuer's social capital on underwriting fees. Investors rely on accurate information to evaluate bond quality, while underwriters assume inventory risk stemming from uncertain investor demand. We posit that social capital enhances the quality of information disclosed by the issuer, consequently impacting the fees underwriters charge for bearing this risk. Utilizing data on new tax-exempt municipal bonds issued from U.S. counties over the period 1990–2017, we find that underwriters charge significantly lower fees for bonds issued from counties with higher social capital. This result remains robust after controlling for issuer and bond characteristics, as well as addressing potential endogeneity concerns. Further investigations show that the observed effect persists only in situations where underwriters bear greater risk, suggesting that social capital functions as a valuable form of certification within the underwriting process.

本研究探讨了债券发行人的社会资本对承销费的影响。投资者依靠准确的信息来评估债券质量,而承销商则要承担投资者需求不确定所带来的存货风险。我们认为,社会资本会提高发行人披露信息的质量,从而影响承销商为承担这种风险而收取的费用。利用 1990-2017 年间美国各县发行的新免税市政债券的数据,我们发现承销商对社会资本较高的县发行的债券收取的费用明显较低。在控制了发行人和债券特征并解决了潜在的内生性问题后,这一结果依然稳健。进一步的研究表明,只有在承销商承担更大风险的情况下,观察到的效应才会持续存在,这表明社会资本在承销过程中起到了宝贵的认证作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Finance Journal
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