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Branching out or inwards? The logic of fractals in Russian studies 向外扩张还是向内扩张?俄国研究中的分形逻辑
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2147382
Tomila Lankina
ABSTRACT This essay reflects upon the consequences of Russia’s war against Ukraine on the sub-field of Russian studies in political science. I argue that the war has exposed some blind spots in our knowledge. Notably, it has left us struggling to understand the historically deprived communities in Russia whose values, sentiments, and vulnerabilities may be indirect buttresses to both support for Putin and the war. I discuss two key issues in the sub-field: (1) the elite-centered approaches in research in mainstream work on Russia, not least due to data availability preoccupations; and (2) the paucity of inter-disciplinary perspectives, particularly the reluctance of mainstream studies to cast their nets into history and sociology. Disciplinary pressures – the credibility revolution – complicate a historically sensitive revision of long-internalized assumptions. I draw on my recent work on the historical underpinnings of social structure and its implications for civil society, protest, and support for democracy in Russia.
摘要本文在俄罗斯政治学研究的子领域反思了俄罗斯对乌克兰战争的后果。我认为战争暴露了我们知识上的一些盲点。值得注意的是,这让我们很难理解俄罗斯历史上被剥夺的社区,他们的价值观、情感和脆弱性可能是支持普京和战争的间接支柱。我讨论了该子领域的两个关键问题:(1)俄罗斯主流研究中以精英为中心的方法,尤其是由于数据可用性问题;以及(2)缺乏跨学科的视角,特别是主流研究不愿将其网络投向历史和社会学。纪律压力——信誉革命——使长期内化的假设的历史敏感修正变得复杂。我借鉴了我最近关于社会结构的历史基础及其对俄罗斯公民社会、抗议和支持民主的影响的工作。
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引用次数: 11
Credibility revolution and the future of Russian studies 可信度革命与俄罗斯研究的未来
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2148446
A. Libman
ABSTRACT The credibility revolution transformed quantitative social sciences and was both a curse and a blessing for Russian studies. On the one hand, Russia turned out to be an attractive field for experimentalist research, which allowed Russian studies to gain unprecedented recognition in the broader disciplines. On the other hand, a focus on causal identification could have contributed to insufficient attention to potentially important topics relevant for understanding Russia and to some aspects of the Russian setting able to augment the general social science discourse. The war in Ukraine makes many causal identification designs used for studying Russia (with the exception of natural experiments) difficult or impossible to implement. It may make the return to other approaches and de-emphasizing causal identification necessary, at least to some extent. At the same time, the question remains of how the general social science disciplines will perceive such shift in focus.
可信度革命改变了定量社会科学,对俄罗斯研究来说是祸也是福。一方面,俄罗斯被证明是一个具有吸引力的实验主义研究领域,这使得俄罗斯研究在更广泛的学科中获得了前所未有的认可。另一方面,对因果识别的关注可能会导致对与理解俄罗斯相关的潜在重要主题的关注不足,以及对能够扩大一般社会科学话语的俄罗斯环境的某些方面的关注不足。乌克兰战争使得许多用于研究俄罗斯的因果识别设计(自然实验除外)难以或不可能实施。至少在某种程度上,它可能会使我们回到其他方法,不再强调因果关系的识别。与此同时,一般社会科学学科将如何看待这种焦点转移的问题仍然存在。
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引用次数: 10
Demographic and attitudinal legacies of the Armenian genocide 亚美尼亚种族灭绝的人口和态度遗产
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-15 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2143116
Max Schaub
ABSTRACT This paper presents the results of the first-ever representative survey on the demographic and attitudinal legacies of the Armenian genocide. The data, collected in 2018, maps the varied geographical origins of the citizens of contemporary Armenia and traces their links to the genocide. Around half of contemporary Armenians descend from refugees of the genocide, while about a third had family members killed. The data also inform debates on how violence transforms societies. Respondents who lost family members during the genocide show elevated levels of ethnocentrism, and lower levels of prosocial behaviour. However, rather than victimization being associated with militarism and hawkishness, the same individuals tend to be less supportive of military solutions. Even though the genocide took place more than a century ago, its demographic and attitudinal legacies remain clearly visible in contemporary Armenia.
摘要本文介绍了有史以来第一次关于亚美尼亚种族灭绝的人口和态度遗产的代表性调查结果。这些数据收集于2018年,绘制了当代亚美尼亚公民的各种地理起源图,并追溯了他们与种族灭绝的联系。大约一半的当代亚美尼亚人是种族灭绝的难民,而大约三分之一的家庭成员被杀害。这些数据还为关于暴力如何改变社会的辩论提供了信息。在种族灭绝期间失去家庭成员的受访者表现出较高的种族中心主义水平,而较低的亲社会行为水平。然而,这些人往往不太支持军事解决方案,而不是将受害与军国主义和鹰派联系在一起。尽管种族灭绝发生在一个多世纪前,但其人口和态度遗产在当代亚美尼亚仍然清晰可见。
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引用次数: 0
How the internet and social media reduce government approval: empirical evidence from Russian regions 互联网和社交媒体如何减少政府批准:来自俄罗斯地区的经验证据
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-11-14 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2142427
Dina Rosenberg, Eugenia Tarnikova
ABSTRACT In this paper we study the effect of the internet and social media on government approval. On the one hand, the internet exposes people to independent information, which makes them possibly more critical of the government. On the other, many countries use the internet for propaganda, which might increase support for the government. We study these effects via the example of Russia. We utilize data from an existing survey: the resulting dataset contains data on 17,824 individual-level observations from 64 regions in Russia, 2010–2019. We find that more intensive internet use and access to social media are associated with a decrease in government approval. Yet, the influence of social media is more nuanced. The Russian-language homegrown network VKontakte increases public approval of the government. To partially account for self-selection bias, we use the propensity score matching method. Our results remain robust and allow us to make causal inferences.
本文研究了互联网和社交媒体对政府审批的影响。一方面,互联网使人们接触到独立的信息,这可能使他们对政府更加挑剔。另一方面,许多国家利用互联网进行宣传,这可能会增加对政府的支持。我们以俄罗斯为例来研究这些影响。我们利用现有调查的数据:所得数据集包含2010-2019年俄罗斯64个地区的17,824个个人观测数据。我们发现,更密集的互联网使用和对社交媒体的访问与政府批准的减少有关。然而,社交媒体的影响更为微妙。俄罗斯本土的俄语网络VKontakte提高了公众对政府的认可。为了部分解释自我选择偏差,我们使用倾向得分匹配方法。我们的结果仍然是可靠的,并允许我们做出因果推论。
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引用次数: 0
Central planning casts long shadows: new evidence on misallocation and growth 中央计划投下长长的阴影:关于分配不当和增长的新证据
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2097458
J. Hagemejer, Joanna Tyrowicz
ABSTRACT We analyze the link between resource misallocation resulting from central planning and subsequent long-term economic growth under a market-based system. We construct two novel data sets for Poland. We show that misalignment of resources under central planning coincides with lower subsequent economic growth, despite the fact that market mechanisms are reinstated. This result is robust even three decades after the collapse of central planning. We provide several explanations for these patterns.
本文分析了市场经济体制下中央计划经济导致的资源错配与经济长期增长之间的关系。我们为波兰构建了两个新的数据集。我们发现,尽管市场机制得以恢复,但中央计划下的资源失调与随后较低的经济增长相吻合。即使在中央计划经济崩溃三十年后,这一结果仍然是强有力的。我们为这些模式提供了几种解释。
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引用次数: 0
“You’re a disgrace to the uniform!” Lev Protiv’s challenge to the police in Moscow streets and on YouTube “你是军服的耻辱!”列夫·普罗提夫在莫斯科街头和YouTube上对警察的挑战
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-26 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2093030
Gilles Favarel-garrigues
ABSTRACT Lev Protiv presents itself as a “social project” intertwining civic involvement, moral policing, and entertaining YouTube content. Promoting a healthy lifestyle and claiming to defend innocent youth, Moscow vigilantes have patrolled public spaces since 2014 in search of people consuming alcohol or smoking, for the purpose of enforcing the law. However, their targets are not only drunkards and youth subculture, but also police who are reluctant to implement the law. Financially supported by the government for two years in 2014 and 2015, and earning money thanks to its YouTube channel, why is Lev Protiv’s vigilante activity, openly challenging state authority, tolerated in an authoritarian regime? Based on analysis of raid videos and ethnographic observation, this paper shows that Lev Protiv has imposed a particular form of police oversight from below, forcing law enforcement officers to act as vigilante auxiliaries, partially in line with the governmental management of civil society.
Lev Protiv将自己呈现为一个“社会项目”,它将公民参与、道德监管和YouTube娱乐内容交织在一起。自2014年以来,莫斯科的义务警员提倡健康的生活方式,并声称要保护无辜的年轻人,他们在公共场所巡逻,寻找喝酒或吸烟的人,以执行法律。然而,他们的目标不仅是酗酒者和青少年亚文化,还有不愿执行法律的警察。在2014年和2015年的两年里,他得到了政府的财政支持,并通过其YouTube频道赚钱,为什么列夫普罗蒂夫公开挑战国家权威的义务警察活动在威权政权中被容忍?基于对突袭录像的分析和民族志观察,本文表明列夫普罗提夫从下而上实施了一种特殊形式的警察监督,迫使执法人员充当义务警员的辅助人员,这在一定程度上符合政府对公民社会的管理。
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引用次数: 0
Populism for the ambivalent: anti-polarization and support for Ukraine’s Sluha Narodu party 民粹主义的矛盾之处:反对两极分化,支持乌克兰人民民主联盟(Sluha Narodu)党
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2082823
K. Ash, Miroslav Shapovalov
ABSTRACT Volodymyr Zelensky and his party Sluha Narodu won Ukraine’s 2019 presidential and parliamentary elections after espousing populist rhetoric. Yet their brand of populism diverged from the far left, the far right, and the center. We propose that Zelensky and Sluha Narodu campaigned as “anti-polarization” populists, drawing on opposition to pre-existing polarization in the Ukrainian political establishment while capitalizing on weak party identification among Ukrainian voters. We utilize electoral results, data from a survey carried out immediately prior to the 2019 parliamentary elections, and interviews to identify Sluha Narodu’s sources of support. We find Sluha Narodu’s supporters were more likely to hold moderately strong or neutral opinions on key issues in Ukrainian politics and to mix both the Russian and Ukrainian languages in their daily lives. Interviews suggest these voters valued character in choosing Sluha Narodu over what were conventionally understood to be salient issues in Ukrainian politics.
摘要Volodymyr Zelensky和他的政党Sluha Narodu在支持民粹主义言论后赢得了乌克兰2019年总统和议会选举。然而,他们的民粹主义品牌与极左翼、极右翼和中间派有所不同。我们建议泽连斯基和斯拉哈·纳罗杜以“反两极分化”民粹主义者的身份竞选,利用对乌克兰政治体制中先前存在的两极分化的反对,同时利用乌克兰选民中薄弱的政党认同。我们利用选举结果、2019年议会选举前进行的调查数据和采访来确定Sluha Narodu的支持来源。我们发现,Sluha Narodu的支持者更有可能在乌克兰政治的关键问题上持有适度强烈或中立的意见,并在日常生活中混合使用俄语和乌克兰语。采访表明,这些选民在选择斯拉哈·纳罗杜时看重性格,而不是传统上被认为是乌克兰政治中的突出问题。
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引用次数: 4
Understandings of democracy and “good citizenship” in Ukraine: utopia for the people, participation in politics not required 乌克兰对民主和“好公民”的理解:人民的乌托邦,不需要参与政治
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2084280
Joanna Szostek, Dariya Orlova
ABSTRACT This article investigates and compares how people in diverse peripheral regions of Ukraine understood democracy, their role as citizens in a democracy, and the meaning of “good citizenship” in 2021, the year before Russia’s full-scale invasion. We conduct thematic analysis of focus group discussions to demonstrate gaps and inconsistencies in the understandings of democracy articulated by our participants. We find that a utopian understanding of democracy is common, in which authorities are expected to “listen to the people” and keep them satisfied, but the need for government to manage conflicting interests is not recognized. Understandings of good citizenship are inclusive and pro-social, but mostly detached from institutional politics. We observe similarity across regions in how democracy is understood in the abstract. However, the meaning ascribed to democracy often varied when discussion moved from the abstract to particular country examples – a finding relevant beyond the Ukrainian case, for survey-based research on public understandings of democracy more generally.
本文调查并比较了乌克兰不同外围地区的人们如何理解民主,他们作为民主国家公民的角色,以及2021年(俄罗斯全面入侵的前一年)“好公民”的含义。我们对焦点小组讨论进行专题分析,以显示参与者对民主理解的差距和不一致之处。我们发现,对民主的乌托邦式理解是普遍存在的,在这种理解中,当局被期望“倾听人民”并让他们满意,但政府管理利益冲突的必要性却没有得到承认。对好公民的理解是包容的、亲社会的,但大多脱离了制度政治。我们观察到不同地区对民主的抽象理解有相似之处。然而,当讨论从抽象转移到特定国家的例子时,赋予民主的意义往往会发生变化-这一发现与乌克兰的情况无关,对于更普遍地对公众对民主的理解进行基于调查的研究。
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引用次数: 1
Making sense of the January 2022 protests in Kazakhstan: failing legitimacy, culture of protests, and elite readjustments 理解2022年1月哈萨克斯坦的抗议活动:失败的合法性、抗议文化和精英调整
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2077060
Diana T. Kudaibergenova, M. Laruelle
ABSTRACT In January 2022 mass protests spread quickly across the whole of Kazakhstan, becoming the largest mass mobilization in the country’s modern history. We analyze these mass protests through the framework of regime-society relations, arguing that a ey failure of the regime built by Nazarbayev is the inability to reconcile its neoliberal prosperity rhetoric with citizens’ calls for a welfare state. We then explore how a tradition of protests has been developing since 2011 and address the structural components of regime (in)stability and how they contributed to violence in the protests.
2022年1月,大规模抗议活动迅速蔓延到整个哈萨克斯坦,成为该国现代史上最大规模的群众动员。我们通过政权-社会关系的框架来分析这些大规模抗议活动,认为纳扎尔巴耶夫建立的政权的一个关键失败是无法调和其新自由主义繁荣的言论与公民对福利国家的呼吁。然后,我们探讨了自2011年以来抗议传统是如何发展的,并解决了政权稳定的结构组成部分以及它们如何导致抗议中的暴力。
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引用次数: 5
Explaining Putin’s impunity: public sector corruption and political trust in Russia 解释普京逍遥法外:俄罗斯的公共部门腐败和政治信任
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-27 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2063633
Marina Zaloznaya, Jennifer L. Glanville, W. Reisinger
ABSTRACT While corruption of different types has been shown to lower popular political trust in democratic regimes, evidence from non-democracies remains inconsistent. In some post-Soviet countries, for instance, widespread bribery and nepotism in the government co-exist with enduring popularity of top political leadership. Drawing on an unusually nuanced dataset from Russia (N = 2,350), we show that, in general, encounters with corruption in the public sector are associated with citizens’ lower trust of their government. At the same time, we theorize two caveats that attenuate this relationship, contributing to inconsistent findings in previous studies. First, we find that the negative association between corruption and political trust is significantly weaker when such corruption is beneficial to ordinary people. Second, citizens tend to “penalize” local rather than central government officials, which, we argue, is a result of top leaders’ ability to manipulate public discourse around corruption.
虽然不同类型的腐败已被证明会降低民众对民主政权的政治信任,但来自非民主国家的证据仍然不一致。例如,在一些后苏联国家,政府中普遍存在的贿赂和裙带关系与高层政治领导人的持久声望并存。利用来自俄罗斯的异常细致的数据集(N = 2350),我们表明,一般来说,在公共部门遇到腐败与公民对政府的信任度较低有关。与此同时,我们理论化了两个削弱这种关系的警告,这导致了先前研究中不一致的发现。首先,我们发现当腐败对普通民众有利时,腐败与政治信任之间的负相关关系显著减弱。其次,公民倾向于“惩罚”地方而不是中央政府官员,我们认为,这是最高领导人操纵围绕腐败的公共话语的能力的结果。
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引用次数: 0
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Post-Soviet Affairs
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