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Long Soviet shadows: the nomenklatura ties of Putin elites 漫长的苏联阴影:普京精英的名义联系
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-11 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2062657
Maria Snegovaya, K. Petrov
ABSTRACT Recent studies of Putin-era elites have focused primarily on the role of siloviki. We bring the focus back to an analysis of the elite continuity within the Soviet regime. By compiling a dataset of the Putin-regime elites, we track their professional and family backgrounds to discover that the proportion of Putin-regime elites with Soviet nomenklatura origin (which comprised only 1–3% of the population during the Soviet period) constitutes approximately 60% of contemporary elites. Most have ties in the middle and lower, rather than the top, ranks of the nomenklatura. In addition, the share of those with nomenklatura backgrounds in Putin-era elites is significantly higher than the share of siloviki. These results reflect a noticeable continuity between the Soviet-era and Putin-regime elites 30 years after the transition. This often-ignored characteristic helps understand the absence of an elite split and a high degree of elite compliance with re-autocratization in Putin’s Russia.
摘要最近对普京时代精英的研究主要集中在西洛维基的角色上。我们将重点放在对苏联政权内部精英连续性的分析上。通过汇编普京政权精英的数据集,我们追踪了他们的职业和家庭背景,发现具有苏联血统的普京政权精英(在苏联时期仅占人口的1-3%)约占当代精英的60%。大多数人的关系都在中下层,而不是上层。此外,普京时代精英中具有诺门克拉图拉背景的人所占比例明显高于西洛维基。这些结果反映了苏联时代和普京政权精英在过渡30年后的明显连续性。这一经常被忽视的特征有助于理解普京领导下的俄罗斯没有精英分裂,精英高度遵守重新独裁。
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引用次数: 5
Media framing of political protests – reporting bias and the discrediting of political activism 媒体诬陷政治抗议——报道偏见和诋毁政治活动
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2061817
Pál Susánszky, Á. Kopper, F. T. Zsigo
ABSTRACT Recently several European countries shifted to illiberalism and made attempts to dominate the media and political narratives. The question we raise is how media populism in Hungary contributes to the buttressing of the regime by discrediting protests. We offer a four-level media analysis. First, we ask whether the pro-government media is characterized by so-called selection bias. Second, we focus on framingbias relying on ideas presented by the protest paradigm. Third, we highlight the tone of disdain that characterizes numerous pro-governmental utterances. Finally, we point out the significance of iconic frames. Contrary to our expectations, we found no selection bias, but there was a clear framing bias in pro-governmental media, which was made harsher by the derogatory tone of pro-governmental media and the dog-whistling produced by iconic frames. By identifying how media populism operates, our aim is to offer a way to grasp democratic backsliding by concentrating on the media.
摘要最近,一些欧洲国家转向了非自由主义,并试图主导媒体和政治叙事。我们提出的问题是,匈牙利的媒体民粹主义如何通过抹黑抗议活动来支持政权。我们提供四级媒体分析。首先,我们要问亲政府的媒体是否有所谓的选择偏见。其次,我们关注的是基于抗议范式提出的观点的兄弟偏见。第三,我们强调了许多亲政府言论的轻蔑语气。最后,我们指出了标志性框架的意义。与我们的预期相反,我们没有发现选择偏见,但亲政府媒体存在明显的框架偏见,亲政府媒体的贬损语气和标志性框架产生的狗叫声使这种偏见更加严厉。通过识别媒体民粹主义的运作方式,我们的目标是通过专注于媒体来提供一种抓住民主倒退的方法。
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引用次数: 4
Antisemitism in Russia: evaluating its decline and potential resurgence 俄罗斯的反犹主义:评估其衰落和潜在的复苏
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-28 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2035127
Thomas D. Sherlock
ABSTRACT The treatment of Jews by the state and society in Russia is an important measure of Russia’s civic and political character. The evidence presented in this paper indicates that Russian Jews now enjoy the greatest freedom from antisemitism in modern Russian history. The explanation for the decline of antisemitism is found in two categories: the political and the societal. At the level of “high politics,” the post-Soviet Russian state has abandoned Soviet policies that promoted or condoned the persecution and discrimination of Jews. This development was preceded and reinforced by the bottom-up growth in Russian society of a more tolerant attitude toward Jews. The first two sections of the paper explain the decline in antisemitism at elite and mass levels in Russia, underscoring mutually supportive institutional, political, and socio-cultural changes. The final part of the paper suggests that public expressions of antisemitism may re-emerge due to the weakening of the factors that have thus far restrained this prejudice.
摘要俄罗斯国家和社会对犹太人的待遇是衡量俄罗斯公民和政治品格的重要标准。本文提供的证据表明,俄罗斯犹太人现在享有俄罗斯现代史上最大的反犹太主义自由。反犹太主义衰落的原因有两类:政治和社会。在“高级政治”层面,后苏联时代的俄罗斯国家放弃了苏联促进或纵容迫害和歧视犹太人的政策。在这一发展之前,俄罗斯社会自下而上地对犹太人采取了更宽容的态度。论文的前两部分解释了俄罗斯精英和大众层面反犹太主义的衰落,强调了相互支持的制度、政治和社会文化变革。论文的最后一部分表明,由于迄今为止限制这种偏见的因素的削弱,反犹太主义的公开表达可能会再次出现。
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引用次数: 0
Is Telegram a “harbinger of freedom”? The performance, practices, and perception of platforms as political actors in authoritarian states 电报是“自由的先兆”吗?作为专制国家政治行动者的平台的表现、实践和感知
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-04 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2030645
M. Wijermars, T. Lokot
ABSTRACT This paper examines the practices, performance, and perceptions of the messaging platform Telegram as an actor in the 2020 Belarus protests, using publicly available data from Telegram’s public statements, protest-related Telegram groups, and media coverage. Developing a novel conceptualization of platform actorness, we critically assess Telegram’s role in the protests and examine whether Telegram is seen as playing an active role in Belarusian contentious politics. We find that Telegram’s performance and practices drive citizens to form affective connections to the platform and to perceive Telegram as an ally in their struggle against repressions and digital censorship. Meanwhile, the Belarusian state uses Telegram’s aversion to censorship and content moderation to intervene in contentious politics by co-opting grassroots approaches and mimicking manipulative efforts of other authoritarian regimes. Our conceptual framework is applicable to post-Soviet authoritarian contexts, but can also serve as a useful heuristic for analyzing platform actorness in other regime types.
本文使用来自Telegram的公开声明、与抗议相关的Telegram组和媒体报道的公开数据,研究了消息平台Telegram在2020年白俄罗斯抗议活动中作为行动者的做法、表现和看法。我们提出了一个新的平台角色概念,批判性地评估了Telegram在抗议活动中的作用,并研究了Telegram是否被视为在白俄罗斯有争议的政治中发挥了积极作用。我们发现,Telegram的表现和做法促使公民与该平台形成情感联系,并将Telegram视为他们与压制和数字审查作斗争的盟友。与此同时,白俄罗斯政府利用Telegram对审查制度和内容节制的厌恶,通过采纳基层方法和模仿其他威权政权的操纵手段,干预有争议的政治。我们的概念框架适用于后苏联威权主义背景,但也可以作为分析其他政权类型中的平台行动者的有用启发式。
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引用次数: 19
The geopolitical orientations of ordinary Belarusians: survey evidence from early 2020 普通白俄罗斯人的地缘政治取向:2020年初的调查证据
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-03-04 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2030126
J. O’Loughlin, G. Toal
ABSTRACT Examining geopolitical orientations in a representative survey of Belarus in early 2020, we adopt a critical geopolitical perspective that highlights geopolitical cultures as fields of contestation and debate over a state’s identity, orientation, and enduring interests. We examine support among 1210 Belarusians to four foreign policy options for the country – neutrality as the best foreign policy, joining the European Union, staying in the Eurasian Economic Union, or developing close relations with both these organizations. We also analyze responses to where Belarus should be on an 11-point scale from aligned with the West to aligned with Russia. In early 2020, Belarusians indicated divided geopolitical preferences in the same way as other post-Soviet societies along demographic, ideological, and attitudinal cleavages. Lukashenka’s quarter-century dictatorship has left Belarus in a condition of nascent (geo)political polarization. The 2020 electoral crisis alone did not polarize Belarus; it was already a dividing polity.
摘要在2020年初对白俄罗斯进行的一项具有代表性的调查中,我们考察了地缘政治取向,采用了一种批判性的地缘政治视角,强调地缘政治文化是对一个国家的身份、取向和持久利益进行争论和辩论的领域。我们研究了1210名白俄罗斯人对该国四种外交政策选择的支持——中立是最佳外交政策,加入欧盟,留在欧亚经济联盟,或与这两个组织发展密切关系。我们还分析了白俄罗斯从与西方结盟到与俄罗斯结盟的11分制。2020年初,白俄罗斯人与其他后苏联社会一样,在人口、意识形态和态度上表现出不同的地缘政治偏好。卢卡申科长达四分之一世纪的独裁统治使白俄罗斯处于新生的(地缘)政治两极分化状态。仅2020年的选举危机并没有使白俄罗斯两极分化;这已经是一个分裂的政体。
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引用次数: 5
Anti-regime action and geopolitical polarization: understanding protester dispositions in Belarus 反政权行动与地缘政治两极分化:对白俄罗斯抗议者倾向的理解
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-28 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2034134
O. Onuch, Gwendolyn Sasse
ABSTRACT Do geopolitical orientations distinguish anti-Lukashenka protesters from non-protesters in Belarus? Employing data from an original online protest survey among 18+year-old citizens of Belarus residing in the country (MOBILISE 2020, n= 17,174) fielded 18August2020–29January2021, this paper compares protesters (n = 11,719) to non-protesters (n = 5,455) to better understand the dispositions that distinguish them. First, our logistic regression analysis finds robust evidence of polarization along geopolitical lines (with protesters preferring apro-EU and an anti-Russia orientation). Second, we show that pro-EU foreign policy preferences of protesters are neither temporally determined nor driven by the crisis, and are thus foundational among the positions held by anti-regime protesters. Third, we find that pro-EU and anti-Russia attitudes align with liberal democratic dispositions. Our study calls for the more systematic integration of foreign policy preferences into the comparative study of mobilization.
摘要在白俄罗斯,反卢卡申科抗议者和非抗议者的地缘政治取向有区别吗?本文采用了2020年8月18日至2021年1月29日对居住在该国的18岁以上白俄罗斯公民进行的原始在线抗议调查(MOBILISE 2020,n=17174)的数据,将抗议者(n=11719)与非抗议者(n=5455)进行了比较,以更好地了解区分他们的倾向。首先,我们的逻辑回归分析发现了地缘政治两极分化的有力证据(抗议者更倾向于支持欧盟和反俄)。其次,我们表明,抗议者的亲欧盟外交政策偏好既不是暂时决定的,也不是由危机驱动的,因此是反政权抗议者所持立场的基础。第三,我们发现亲欧盟和反俄罗斯的态度与自由民主倾向一致。我们的研究呼吁将外交政策偏好更系统地纳入动员的比较研究。
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引用次数: 7
The Belarus crisis: people, protest, and political dispositions 白俄罗斯危机:人民、抗议和政治倾向
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2042138
O. Onuch, Gwendolyn Sasse
ABSTRACT His symposium employs established social science theory to frame and place into comparative perspective the case of Belarusian mass mobilization that began in August 2020. We not only argue and explain how this is a case of mass mobilization that occurred in a competitive authoritarian context, but also that is a far more “typical” example (rather than an outlier) of protest mobilization occurring in political repressive contexts. We propose both empirical and methodological guidance for the study and analysis of such cases, whilst warning against accepting initial reports of mass protest phenomena at face value. Examining how each study presented in this special issue makes a measured and innovative empirical and conceptual contribution, correcting or revisiting accepted “truths,” providing a new framing and/or analyzing original data. The case of Belarus before and after August 2020 underlines the importance and the empirical and ethical challenges of studying stability and change in public opinion and state-society relations in authoritarian settings.
他的研讨会采用既定的社会科学理论,以比较的视角来构建和放置始于2020年8月的白俄罗斯群众动员的案例。我们不仅争论并解释了这是一个发生在竞争性威权背景下的大规模动员的案例,而且这是一个发生在政治压迫背景下的抗议动员的更“典型”的例子(而不是一个异常值)。我们提出了研究和分析此类案例的经验和方法指导,同时警告不要只从表面上接受大规模抗议现象的初步报告。考察本期特刊中介绍的每一项研究如何在经验和概念上做出衡量和创新的贡献,纠正或重新审视公认的“真理”,提供新的框架和/或分析原始数据。白俄罗斯在2020年8月前后的案例强调了在威权环境下研究公众舆论和国家-社会关系的稳定和变化的重要性以及经验和伦理挑战。
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引用次数: 5
Protest, platforms, and the state in the Belarus crisis 白俄罗斯危机中的抗议、政纲和国家
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2037196
Graeme B. Robertson
ABSTRACT Despite nationwide mass protests in August 2020, the regime of Aleksandr Lukashenka remains in power in Belarus. In this essay, I discuss three articles focusing on the origins of the protests, the role of social media platforms and the strategies and results of state repression. Together they provide new insights on the events in Belarus and deepen our understanding of contemporary urban revolutions.
尽管2020年8月发生了全国性的大规模抗议活动,但亚历山大·卢卡申科政权仍然在白俄罗斯掌权。在本文中,我将讨论三篇文章,重点关注抗议活动的起源、社交媒体平台的作用以及国家镇压的策略和结果。它们共同提供了关于白俄罗斯事件的新见解,并加深了我们对当代城市革命的理解。
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引用次数: 5
Russia’s return to Africa: a renewed challenge to the West? 俄罗斯重返非洲:对西方的新挑战?
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-25 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2034357
R. Kanet, Dina Moulioukova
ABSTRACT We track the major developments in Soviet-African relations as a prelude to recently revived Russian policy. Russian policy today is much less ideological than that of the Soviet Union and relies more on the establishment of mutually beneficial economic relations. Soviet/Russian policy in Africa over six decades has been motivated by more than by traditional security concerns. In the case of the former, the effort to encourage and speed up a global communist revolution, along with geopolitical competition with the US and the West were central. Now, although geopolitical competition remains an element of Russian policy, the major interest has been markets for exports and access to energy and minerals as part of the goal of re-establishing Russia as a major global power.
摘要:我们追踪苏非关系的重大发展,作为俄罗斯最近恢复政策的前奏。今天的俄罗斯政策远没有苏联那么意识形态化,更多地依赖于建立互利的经济关系。60多年来,苏联/俄罗斯在非洲的政策不仅仅是出于传统的安全考虑。就前者而言,鼓励和加快全球共产主义革命的努力,以及与美国和西方的地缘政治竞争是核心。现在,尽管地缘政治竞争仍然是俄罗斯政策的一个组成部分,但主要的兴趣一直是出口市场以及获得能源和矿产的机会,这是将俄罗斯重建为全球主要大国的目标的一部分。
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引用次数: 2
Attitudes towards democracy and the market in Belarus: what has changed and why it matters 白俄罗斯对民主和市场的态度:发生了什么变化以及为什么重要
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Pub Date : 2022-02-25 DOI: 10.1080/1060586X.2022.2029034
Félix Krawatzek, J. Langbein
ABSTRACT For more than two decades a key pillar of regime stability in Belarus was legitimation through economic stability and security, prompting experts to speak of a “social contract” between the state and its citizens. The 2020 protests, however, convey significant dissatisfaction with the Lukashenka regime across a broad social and generational base. By comparing survey data from late 2020 with data from 2011 and 2018, we examine changing attitudes towards democracy and state involvement in economic affairs. We find a departure from paternalist values, implying an erosion of the value base for the previous social contract. Belarusian society has become more supportive of liberal political and economic values. This trend is particularly driven by the older generation and does not exclude Lukashenka’s support base. Meanwhile, attitudes towards democracy and the market have implications for people’s social and institutional trust, preference for democracy, and political participation.
二十多年来,白俄罗斯政权稳定的一个关键支柱是通过经济稳定和安全来实现合法性,这促使专家们谈论国家与公民之间的“社会契约”。然而,2020年的抗议活动在广泛的社会和世代基础上表达了对卢卡申科政权的严重不满。通过将2020年底的调查数据与2011年和2018年的数据进行比较,我们研究了人们对民主和国家参与经济事务态度的变化。我们发现家长主义价值观的背离,意味着对先前社会契约的价值基础的侵蚀。白俄罗斯社会变得更加支持自由的政治和经济价值观。这一趋势主要是由老一辈人推动的,并不排除卢卡申科的支持基础。同时,对民主和市场的态度影响人们对社会和制度的信任、对民主的偏好和政治参与。
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引用次数: 2
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Post-Soviet Affairs
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