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Corruption dynamics and political instability 腐败动态和政治不稳定
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12712
Maurizio Lisciandra, Antonio Miralles Asensio, Fabio Monteforte

This paper introduces a model where a briber designs a bribing schedule targeted at the governing party within a bipartisan system to secure favorable treatment. Detected corruption increases voters' resentment, and in turn, the risk of political turnover—raising the minimum acceptable bribe. Periods without corruption mitigate such a risk. Should the briber deem bribing unprofitable for sufficiently high levels of resentment, resentment converges to a steady state in finite time. Conversely, if the briber perceives bribing as profitable regardless of the resentment level, the dynamics may result in continuous bribing and an unbounded increase in resentment (exploding dynamics). The model underscores the complexity of addressing corruption, emphasizing the need to balance reducing corruption with preventing excessive political instability. Societal forgiveness and sensitivity significantly shape corruption dynamics and public resentment. While forgiveness reduces long-run resentment, it concurrently exacerbates long-term corruption and, on balance, may have a detrimental effect on long-term welfare. Sensitivity has no long-run effect on resentment, while it reduces both corruption activity and political instability in the long term. Finally, exogenous political instability exacerbates corruption, resentment, and the risk of exploding dynamics.

本文介绍了一个模型,在该模型中,行贿者设计了一个针对两党制中执政党的贿赂计划,以确保获得有利的待遇。被发现的腐败行为会增加选民的不满情绪,进而增加政治更替的风险--提高可接受的最低贿赂额。没有腐败的时期会降低这种风险。如果贿赂者认为贿赂无利可图,怨恨程度足够高,怨恨就会在有限时间内趋于稳定状态。反之,如果行贿者认为行贿有利可图,而不管怨恨程度如何,那么动态可能会导致持续行贿和怨恨的无限制增长(爆炸动态)。该模型突出了解决腐败问题的复杂性,强调需要在减少腐败与防止政治过度不稳定之间取得平衡。社会宽容度和敏感度在很大程度上影响着腐败动态和公众怨恨。虽然宽恕会减少长期怨恨,但同时会加剧长期腐败,总的来说,可能会对长期福利产生不利影响。敏感性对不满情绪没有长期影响,但却在长期内减少了腐败活动和政治不稳定性。最后,外生的政治不稳定性会加剧腐败、怨恨和动态爆炸的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Habits and externalities 习惯和外部因素
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12711
Arthur J. Caplan

We develop a conceptual model characterizing two types of individuals: one myopic and the other hyperopic. A myopic individual ignores his private contributions to both a social and private negative externality, as well as the effect that his accumulation of stuff (i.e., the stock of consumption goods) has on his habit parameter. A hyperopic individual internalizes both externalities as well as his habit-formation effect. We find that the hyperopic individual consumes a greater amount of a clean good and a lesser amount of a dirty good, with the magnitude of the latter difference being greater than the magnitude of the former. Consequently, the hyperopic individual's cumulative consumption of the two goods is lower. The hyperopic individual's lower cumulative consumption also contributes to a less-persistent consumption habit. Further, we explore the extent to which the allocation of consumption across the clean and dirty goods made by an astigmatic individual (an intermediate type of individual who internalizes the private externality, as well as the habit-formation effect) diverges from the myopic individual's allocation. We consider the implications of our findings for traditional environmental tax policy as it applies to myopic and astigmatic individuals. Conceptually, we find that Pigovian tax rates in the presence of habit formation diverge from corresponding standard rates that ignore habit formation based on the difference between the magnitudes of the cumulative marginal benefit associated with habit formation and the marginal cost associated with the accumulation of stuff. Results from a simple numerical analysis demonstrate these conceptual results and more.

我们建立了一个概念模型,描述了两类人的特征:一类是近视眼,另一类是远视眼。近视型个体忽略了他个人对社会和私人负外部性的贡献,也忽略了他的积累(即消费品存量)对其习惯参数的影响。远视个体会将外部性及其习惯形成效应内化。我们发现,远视眼个体对清洁物品的消费较多,而对肮脏物品的消费较少,后者的差额大于前者的差额。因此,远视者对这两种物品的累积消费较低。远视者较低的累积消费也会导致较不持久的消费习惯。此外,我们还探讨了散光个体(一种将私人外部性和习惯养成效应内化的中间类型个体)在清洁和肮脏商品上的消费分配与近视个体的分配之间的差异程度。我们考虑了我们的发现对传统环境税收政策的影响,因为它适用于近视和散光个体。从概念上讲,我们发现在存在习惯养成的情况下,丕戈维税率与忽略习惯养成的相应标准税率之间存在差异,其依据是与习惯养成相关的累积边际收益与与积累物品相关的边际成本之间的差异。一个简单的数值分析结果证明了这些概念性结果以及更多。
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引用次数: 0
Policy rules and political polarization 政策规则和政治两极化
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12710
Carsten Hefeker, Michael Neugart

We develop a model to analyze policymakers' incentives to install policy rules, comparing the case of no rule with a binding and a contingent policy rule that allows policymakers to suspend the rule in response to a sufficiently large shock. First, abstracting from political polarization, we show that the choice of the policy rule depends on policymakers' policy targets. Depending on the policy target, there is an unambiguous ranking going from a no-rule regime to a contingent rule to a binding rule. Next, allowing for political polarization, the incentive to install the different types of rules changes with political polarization between different policymakers and their probability of being elected into office. Increasing political polarization when there is a sufficiently high election probability for policymakers with a high policy target increases the preference for more binding policy rules. It also leads to stricter rules in a contingent rule regime.

我们建立了一个模型来分析政策制定者制定政策规则的动机,比较了无规则情况下的约束性政策规则和允许政策制定者在受到足够大的冲击时中止规则的或有政策规则。首先,我们从政治两极分化中抽象出政策规则的选择取决于决策者的政策目标。根据政策目标的不同,从无规则制度到或有规则,再到有约束力的规则,会有一个明确的排序。其次,考虑到政治极化因素,制定不同类型规则的动机会随着不同决策者之间的政治极化及其当选概率的变化而变化。当政策目标较高的决策者的当选概率足够高时,政治两极分化的加剧会增加对更具约束力的政策规则的偏好。这也会导致或有规则制度中的规则更加严格。
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引用次数: 0
Criminal network, leniency, and market externalities 犯罪网络、宽大处理和市场外部性
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12709
Giovanni Immordino, Salvatore Piccolo, Paolo Roberti

We analyze the self-reporting incentives fostered by a leniency program within a criminal network formed by a supplier of an illegal good and his dealers who compete against each other in the product market. We show that when it is viable, a first-informant rule always performs better than an all-informant rule—that is, it induces a lower level of crime. Nevertheless, the viability of a first-informant rule may be compromised if the baseline probability of conviction is sufficiently low, thereby placing disproportionate reliance on leniency over other investigative efforts for securing convictions.

我们分析了在一个由非法商品供应商及其在产品市场上相互竞争的经销商组成的犯罪网络中,宽大处理计划所产生的自我报告激励机制。我们的研究表明,在可行的情况下,先告密者规则的效果总是优于全告密者规则,也就是说,先告密者规则诱发的犯罪率更低。尽管如此,如果定罪的基线概率足够低,第一知情人规则的可行性可能会受到影响,从而在确保定罪方面过度依赖宽大处理而非其他调查努力。
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引用次数: 0
The complementary role of distributive and criminal equity 分配公平与刑事公平的互补作用
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12708
Massimo D'Antoni, Avraham D. Tabbach

We conduct a theoretical analysis to explore how the distribution of wealth in society impacts the social costs of crime and law enforcement. We show that a reduction in inequality reduces these costs when enforcement and nonmonetary punishment are equitable, that is, they do not discriminate among offenders based on their wealth. However, when enforcement or nonmonetary punishment is discriminatory, a reduction in inequality may increase the social costs of crime and law enforcement, in particular when it occurs among poorer individuals. Thus, there is a complementarity between equity in criminal justice and distributional equity.

我们通过理论分析来探讨社会财富分配如何影响犯罪和执法的社会成本。我们的研究表明,当执法和非货币惩罚是公平的,即不因罪犯的财富而区别对待时,不平等的减少会降低这些成本。然而,当执法或非货币惩罚具有歧视性时,不平等的减少可能会增加犯罪和执法的社会成本,尤其是当不平等发生在较贫穷的个人身上时。因此,刑事司法公平与分配公平是相辅相成的。
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引用次数: 0
Politics and income taxes: Progress and progressivity 政治与所得税:进步与累进
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12704
Marcus Berliant, Pierre C. Boyer

This paper begins with a survey of the literature on the political economy approaches to labor income taxation. We focus on recent progress made by examining in detail the specific properties of nonlinear taxes derived in the context of voting. Next, we present new results on the existence of a majority voting equilibrium that unifies work in the standard framework. Finally, we discuss how recent theoretical results help us uncover empirical patterns from the last 50 years in the US tax system, namely, a sharp decrease in top marginal tax rates, the rise of the Earned Income Tax Credit, and increased progressivity in the middle of the income distribution.

本文首先概述了有关劳动所得税政治经济学方法的文献。我们将重点放在通过详细研究在投票背景下得出的非线性税收的具体属性而取得的最新进展上。接下来,我们介绍了关于多数投票均衡存在的新结果,这些结果统一了标准框架中的工作。最后,我们将讨论近期的理论成果如何帮助我们揭示美国税收制度在过去 50 年中的经验模式,即最高边际税率的大幅下降、劳动收入税收抵免的兴起以及收入分配中段累进性的增强。
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引用次数: 0
On the (robust) ex post stability of constitutions 论宪法的(稳健)事后稳定性
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12707
Daeyoung Jeong, Semin Kim

This paper explores the concept of ex post stability in voting systems, shifting the focus from the traditional ex ante perspective, where preferences are uncertain, to a setting where agents' preferences are fully known. We offer a comprehensive characterization of ex post stable constitutions within deterministic voting rule environments. We bridge the theoretical gap between ex post and ex ante stability, shedding light on their intricate relationship and implications for the design and evolution of voting systems. Additionally, our research further evaluates the resilience of these constitutions to changes in the voting environment, particularly their flexibility in response to varying alternative rule sets. This study not only contributes to a deeper understanding of constitutional stability but also provides insights into the dynamics of collective decision-making processes.

本文探讨了投票系统中的事后稳定性概念,将重点从偏好不确定的传统事前视角转移到代理人偏好完全已知的环境中。我们对确定性投票规则环境下的事后稳定构成进行了全面描述。我们弥合了事后稳定和事前稳定之间的理论差距,阐明了它们之间错综复杂的关系以及对投票系统设计和演变的影响。此外,我们的研究还进一步评估了这些结构对投票环境变化的适应能力,尤其是它们应对不同备选规则集的灵活性。这项研究不仅有助于加深对宪法稳定性的理解,还为集体决策过程的动态变化提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency and equity: A general equilibrium analysis of rent-seeking 效率与公平:寻租的一般均衡分析
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12706
Ben J. Heijdra, Pim Heijnen

We study the rent-seeking phenomenon using a simple, static general equilibrium model. The economy consists of two sectors, both employing a constant returns-to-scale technology with labor as its sole input. One of the sectors is a monopoly, where a continuum of agents compete for a share of monopoly profits (i.e. rent). Agents are heterogeneous in labor productivity and rent-seeking ability: they face a choice between engaging in (productive) work or vying for a share of the rent (i.e., a contest against other rent-seekers). At the aggregate level, rent-seeking reduces the available amount of labor in the economy and thereby lowers output and welfare (rent-seeking is inefficient). At the individual level, rent-seeking shifts income towards rent-seekers. Consequently, an economy with few rent-seekers tends to have high income inequality: an effect that is exacerbated by the fact that rent is decreasing in the number of rent-seekers (low levels of rent-seeking increase inequity). This tradeoff between efficiency and equity is the primary focus of this paper. We investigate how the distribution of rent-seeking ability and the correlation between labor productivity and rent-seeking ability shape this tradeoff.

我们通过一个简单的静态一般均衡模型来研究寻租现象。经济由两个部门组成,两个部门都采用以劳动力为唯一投入的规模收益不变技术。其中一个部门是垄断部门,由一系列代理人竞争垄断利润(即租金)。代理人在劳动生产率和寻租能力方面是异质的:他们面临着从事(生产性)工作或争夺租金份额(即与其他寻租者竞争)之间的选择。在总体层面上,寻租会减少经济中的可用劳动力数量,从而降低产出和福利(寻租是低效的)。在个人层面,寻租会使收入向寻租者转移。因此,寻租者少的经济体往往收入不平等程度高:而寻租者人数越少,租金越低(寻租水平低,不平等程度越高),这种效应就会加剧。效率与公平之间的这种权衡是本文的主要重点。我们研究了寻租能力的分布以及劳动生产率与寻租能力之间的相关性如何影响这种权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Presenting objects for random allocation 展示随机分配的对象
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-12 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12705
Peng Liu, Sijia Xu

For random allocation, whether a desirable rule exists or not hinges on the domain of agents' preferences, whose formation is affected by how objects are presented. We hence propose a model studying how to present objects so that the induced preference domain allows for designing a good rule. Motivated by practices in reality, we model the objects as combinations of several attribute values and a presentation of objects concerns a choice of presenting attributes and a ranking of them. Agents are assumed to formulate their preferences in a lexicographic manner according to the given presentation. We show that the domain of preferences induced by a presentation allows for a strategy-proof, efficient, and envy-free rule if and only if the presented attributes are conditionally binary.

对于随机分配来说,是否存在理想的规则取决于代理人的偏好域,而偏好域的形成会受到对象呈现方式的影响。因此,我们提出了一个研究如何展示对象的模型,以便通过诱导的偏好域设计出好的规则。受现实实践的启发,我们将对象建模为若干属性值的组合,而对象的呈现则涉及呈现属性的选择和排列。我们假定代理会根据给定的呈现方式,以词法的方式提出他们的偏好。我们证明,当且仅当呈现的属性是有条件的二进制属性时,呈现所引起的偏好域才允许制定一个防策略、高效且无嫉妒的规则。
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引用次数: 0
Weak redistribution and certainty equivalent domination 弱再分配和确定性等价支配
IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/jpet.12703
Stéphane Gauthier, Guy Laroque

We assess optimal deterministic nonlinear income taxation in a Mirrlees economy with a continuum of risk-averse agents whose utilities are quasilinear in labor. A weak redistribution motive makes random taxes more likely socially dominated by the deterministic policy where after-tax income lotteries are replaced with their certainty equivalents.

我们评估了米尔列斯经济中的最优确定性非线性所得税,该经济中存在一系列规避风险的代理人,他们的效用与劳动力呈类线性关系。弱再分配动机使得随机税更有可能被确定性政策所支配,在确定性政策中,税后收入彩票被其确定性等价物所取代。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Public Economic Theory
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