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The Challenge in 2000–2009 to Phillips-Curve-Based Accounts of UK Economic Policy: Comment on Cristiano 2000-2009年基于菲利普斯曲线的英国经济政策分析所面临的挑战:评论克里斯蒂亚诺
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11242717
Edward Nelson
A series of research papers that appeared from 2000 to 2009 made the case that the UK authorities in the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s eschewed Phillips-curve-based analysis and that, consequently, the UK Great Inflation of the 1970s should not be regarded as resulting from policymakers’ pursuit of a perceived long-run inflation/unemployment trade-off. The position advanced in these 2000−2009 papers was that, instead, UK economic policy until 1979 subscribed to a nonmonetary perspective on inflation. This perspective implied UK authorities’ rejection of Phillips-curve-type trade-off analysis, but it also meant that they misjudged the importance of monetary policy in inflation control, thereby compounding the country's inflation problem. When this series of papers began to appear at the start of the 2000s, the trade-off-centered interpretation of the US Great Inflation was highly prevalent and was also being applied to the UK Great Inflation. By late in the decade, however, the case—as outlined in the 2000−2009 papers—against Phillips-curve-based accounts of historical policy conduct had gained notable acceptance among central bankers and academic researchers who discussed the UK Great Inflation. This article corrects erroneous statements that the challenge to Phillips-curve-based accounts of historical UK policymaker behavior only appeared in research starting in the 2010s.
2000 年至 2009 年间发表的一系列研究论文提出,20 世纪 50 年代、60 年代和 70 年代的英国当局回避了基于菲利普斯曲线的分析,因此,不应将 20 世纪 70 年代的英国大通胀视为决策者追求长期通胀/失业权衡的结果。2000-2009 年的这些论文所提出的立场是,1979 年之前的英国经济政策赞同从非货币角度看待通货膨胀。这种观点意味着英国当局拒绝接受菲利普斯曲线类型的权衡分析,但同时也意味着他们错误地估计了货币政策在通货膨胀控制中的重要性,从而加剧了英国的通货膨胀问题。当这一系列论文在 2000 年代初开始出现时,以权衡为中心对美国大通胀的解释非常盛行,并且也被应用于英国大通胀。然而,到了本世纪末,2000-2009 年论文中提出的反对以菲利普斯曲线为基础来解释历史政策行为的观点,在讨论英国大通胀的央行行长和学术研究人员中得到了广泛认可。本文纠正了一些错误的说法,即对基于菲利普斯曲线的英国决策者历史行为的质疑只是出现在 2010 年代开始的研究中。
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引用次数: 0
A History of Brazilian Economic Thought: From Colonial Times through the Early 21st Century ed. by Ricardo Bielschowsky, Mauro Boianovsky, and Mauricio C. Coutinho 巴西经济思想史》:从殖民时代到 21 世纪初》,Ricardo Bielschowsky、Mauro Boianovsky 和 Mauricio C. Coutinho 编辑
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11242725
Matheus Assaf
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引用次数: 0
Nineteenth-Century French Liberal Economists and Women's Work: The Dark Side of Industrialization 十九世纪法国自由主义经济学家与妇女的工作:工业化的阴暗面
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11242733
Nathalie Sigot
This article reconstructs the debates on the woman question in which nineteenth-century French liberal economists participated: it aims at showing that their analysis contradicted their conviction that, in Bastiat's words, “men's interests, when left to themselves, tend to . . . work together for progress and the general good.” Indeed, French liberals are usually labeled optimistic: they denounced the pessimistic and fatalist character of the “English school of economics” based on Ricardo's rent theory and Malthus's law of population. On the contrary, they attempted to prove that economic development improved the situation of all, especially that of workers. However, their optimism did not extend to their analysis of the situation of women: most of them recognized that women were not benefiting from the general improvement in terms of wages, labor conditions, and social mobility. The article then shows that the reasons they gave to explain the bad situation of women present many challenges, linked respectively to the issue of state intervention and wage theory. Moreover, it is unlikely that the only solution they proposed for improving it, that is, the promotion of female education, could have worked.
本文重构了十九世纪法国自由主义经济学家参与的关于妇女问题的辩论:旨在说明他们的分析与他们的信念相矛盾,即用巴斯蒂亚的话说,"人的利益,如果由他们自己决定,往往会......共同促进进步和普遍利益"。事实上,法国自由主义者通常被贴上乐观主义的标签:他们谴责以李嘉图的地租理论和马尔萨斯的人口定律为基础的 "英国经济学派 "的悲观主义和宿命论特征。相反,他们试图证明经济发展改善了所有人的境况,尤其是工人的境况。然而,他们的乐观并没有延伸到对妇女状况的分析中:他们中的大多数人都认识到,妇女并没有从工资、劳动条件和社会流动性的普遍改善中受益。文章随后指出,他们解释妇女境况不佳的理由提出了许多挑战,这些挑战分别与国家干预和工资理论有关。此外,他们提出的改善妇女状况的唯一解决方案,即促进女性教育,也不太可能奏效。
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引用次数: 0
MIT and the Origins of the Modern Theory of Asset Pricing 麻省理工学院与现代资产定价理论的起源
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156232
R. Backhouse
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引用次数: 0
Staatswissenschaften and the Mathematical Policy Science of Jan Tinbergen 国家科学与扬-廷伯根的数学政策科学
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156240
Erwin Dekker
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引用次数: 0
Visualization or Mathematization? The London School of Economics and “Diagrammatic Economics” in the 1930s 可视化还是数学化?20 世纪 30 年代伦敦经济学院与 "图表经济学
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156200
Yann Giraud
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引用次数: 0
Setting the Stage for Disciplinary Transformations: Riker, McKenzie, and the Case of the University of Rochester 为学科转型搭建舞台:里克、麦肯齐和罗切斯特大学案例
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11158675
Gianluca Damiani
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引用次数: 0
The Frame for the Not-Yet Existent: How American, European, and Soviet Scholars Jointly Shaped Modern Mathematical Economics 尚未存在的框架:美国、欧洲和苏联学者如何共同塑造了现代数理经济学
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156216
Ivan Boldyrev
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引用次数: 0
Applying Pure Mathematics: IMPA and the Entanglements of Mathematical Economics in Brazil 应用纯数学:IMPA 与巴西数学经济学的纠葛
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156224
Matheus Assaf
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引用次数: 0
Local Entanglements in the History of Mathematical Economics 数理经济学史上的局部纠葛
IF 0.7 2区 历史学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1215/00182702-11156192
Juan Carvajalino, T. Mueller
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引用次数: 0
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History of Political Economy
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