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Revisiting the power of future expectations and educational path dependencies 重新审视未来期望和教育路径依赖的力量
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100581
Kaspar Burger

Individuals from more advantaged socioeconomic backgrounds and those with loftier future expectations typically have higher educational attainment. However, it is important to understand just how consequential future expectations are for educational attainment independent of socioeconomic origins—because these expectations might enable intergenerational social mobility. Moreover, it is unclear whether institutional structures moderate the influences of socioeconomic origins and future expectations on educational attainment. I address these questions by analyzing educational attainment as it relates to transitions in a system that offers multiple educational tracks. Using data from a 15-year longitudinal study conducted in Switzerland (N = 4986), I analyze transitions from lower- to upper-secondary education (academic vs. vocational tracks) and from there to university. Path models reveal that both socioeconomic origins and future expectations are significantly associated with individuals’ probability of moving along academic paths and into university, but future expectations have a strong unique predictive power even when controlling for socioeconomic origins. However, because the education system partially channels educational trajectories along distinct educational tracks, it minimizes the beneficial effect of future expectations on educational attainment and—by extension—intergenerational social mobility. I conclude that socioeconomic advantage and optimistic future expectations may only shape educational attainment to the extent that institutional opportunity structures allow such resources to take effect.

来自更有利的社会经济背景和那些对未来有更高期望的人通常有更高的教育成就。然而,重要的是要了解未来对教育成就的期望是如何独立于社会经济来源的,因为这些期望可能会使代际社会流动。此外,尚不清楚制度结构是否会缓和社会经济来源和未来期望对教育成就的影响。我通过分析教育成就来解决这些问题,因为它与提供多种教育轨道的系统中的过渡有关。使用在瑞士进行的一项长达15年的纵向研究的数据(N = 4986),我分析了从初中到高中教育(学术与职业轨道)以及从高中到大学的转变。路径模型显示,社会经济来源和未来预期都与个人沿着学术道路进入大学的概率显著相关,但未来预期即使在控制社会经济来源的情况下也具有强大的独特预测能力。然而,由于教育系统部分地沿着不同的教育轨迹引导教育轨迹,它最大限度地减少了对教育成就的未来预期的有益影响,并进一步扩大了代际社会流动性。我的结论是,社会经济优势和乐观的未来预期可能只会在制度机会结构允许这些资源发挥作用的程度上影响教育成就。
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引用次数: 0
The intragenerational mobility of the top income earners during financial crises, a story of a cohort 金融危机期间最高收入者的代际流动,一个群体的故事
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100565
Stav Federman , Assaf Sarid , Meir Yaish

In this study, we explore the dynamics of the intragenerational mobility of the top income earners during financial crises. We analyze panel data on the income levels of a cohort consisting of 22,601 individuals in Israel born between 1963 and 1973, for the period between 1995 and 2013. Studying a specific cohort allows us to focus on the changes caused by period effects, rather than cohort replacement distortions. We use common intragenerational mobility measurements before, during, and after two major recessions- the Dot.com crisis and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008- which occurred during the analyzed period. However, since these are usually descriptive, we adopt a methodology that enables us to calculate confidence intervals of these measurements and thus test for changes over time. Our results show if the two crises had any effect on the intragenerational mobility of the top income earners of the analyzed cohort, it was a minor and transitory effect.

在这项研究中,我们探讨了金融危机期间最高收入者代际流动的动态。我们分析了一个由22601名出生于1963年至1973年的以色列人组成的队列1995年至2013年期间收入水平的面板数据。研究一个特定的队列可以让我们专注于周期效应引起的变化,而不是队列替代扭曲。我们使用了两次大衰退之前、期间和之后的常见代际流动性测量——Dot.com危机和2008年全球金融危机——这两次衰退发生在分析期间。然而,由于这些通常是描述性的,我们采用了一种方法,使我们能够计算这些测量的置信区间,从而测试随时间的变化。我们的研究结果表明,如果这两次危机对被分析人群中最高收入者的代际流动性有任何影响,那只是一个微小的暂时影响。
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引用次数: 0
Links between life-course SES and frailty trajectory moderated by community environment resources: Person-environment Fit perspective 社区环境资源对生命历程SES与脆弱轨迹的影响:人-环境契合度视角
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100580
Huiying Liu , Mi Zhang , Beizhuo Chen , Lixuan Huang , Xinyi Zhao

Introduction

Drawing from the life course and person-environment fit perspectives, this study examined whether life-course SES disadvantages during childhood, adulthood and old- age influence frailty development in late- life and how community environment resources moderated the association between life-course SES disadvantages and frailty trajectories over a seven-year follow-up period.

Methods

Data from 11,675 participants aged ≥ 50 years at baseline who participated in the four waves (2011-2018) of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Survey (CHARLS) were used. Life-course SES disadvantages were self-reported, and community environment resources (basic infrastructure and voluntary organizations) were ascertained from informed officials in the community. Frailty development was measured at each wave by the Frailty Index (FI) based on 39 potential deficits. Multilevel growth modeling was used to examine the interactive effect of life-course SES disadvantages and community environment resources on frailty development.

Results

Life-course SES disadvantage exerted cumulatively negative effects on frailty trajectory, and individuals with SES disadvantages in two or three life stages reported higher initial levels of and faster increases in frailty scores. Community environmental resources (basic infrastructure and voluntary organizations) had a protective effect on frailty development and buffered the negative effects of SES vulnerability experiences accumulated over the life course. Community basic infrastructure resources played an important role in slowing the progression of frailty for individuals with cumulative SES disadvantage and downward mobility.

Discussion

Our findings provided new evidence of person-environmental docility among older adults, documenting the role of community resources in buffering SES disparities in health during later-life.

本研究从生命历程和人-环境契合度的角度,考察了童年、成年和老年阶段的生命历程SES劣势是否影响晚年的脆弱性发展,以及社区环境资源如何调节生命历程SES劣势与脆弱性轨迹之间的关联。方法采用中国健康与退休纵向调查(CHARLS)四期(2011-2018年)11675名≥50岁的基线参与者的数据。终生SES劣势由自我报告,社区环境资源(基础设施和志愿组织)由社区知情官员确定。在每一波中,脆弱性发展通过基于39个潜在缺陷的脆弱性指数(FI)来衡量。采用多水平增长模型研究了社会经济地位劣势与社区环境资源对脆弱性发展的交互影响。结果终生经济地位劣势对衰弱轨迹具有累积负向影响,两三个生命阶段经济地位劣势个体的初始水平较高,衰弱评分上升速度较快。社区环境资源(基础设施和志愿组织)对脆弱性发展具有保护作用,缓冲了SES脆弱性经历在生命过程中积累的负面影响。社区基础设施资源在减缓累积社会地位劣势和向下流动个体的脆弱性进程中发挥了重要作用。讨论:我们的研究结果为老年人的人-环境顺从性提供了新的证据,记录了社区资源在缓冲SES晚年健康差异中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the caregiver stress process: Does family caregiving really lead to worse mental health outcomes? 重新审视照顾者的压力过程:家庭照顾真的会导致更糟糕的心理健康结果吗?
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100579
Sae Hwang Han

While the act of caregiving is often characterized as a stressful experience detrimental to mental health, recent studies are challenging this view by reporting robust health and well-being benefits linked to family caregiving. The current study attempted to provide an explanation of this apparent paradox by focusing on the role played by family health problems in the association between being a caregiver and mental health. Framed within the life course perspective and focusing on caregiving provided to aging mothers, the current study aimed 1) to demonstrate how the linkage between caregiving and depression reported in earlier studies may be misleading and 2) to further investigate whether caregiving to an aging mother may lead to any mental health benefits. Using longitudinal data drawn from the nationally representative US Health and Retirement Study, I follow adult children 50 and older who had a living mother during the observation period (N = 4812; 18,442 person-wave observations). A series of within-between random effects models were estimated to explicate how health conditions of aging mothers (i.e., disability and dementia) and caregiving transitions of adult children were associated with changes in depressive symptoms of adult children. Findings demonstrated that caregiving transitions were unrelated to depressive symptoms among adult children once the model controlled for the confounding effects of having their mother experience disability and dementia. Further, caregiving behavior was found to buffer the direct detrimental effect of maternal disability on adult children’s depressive symptoms. This study adds to the growing body of research that cautions against characterizing caregiving as a chronic stressor detrimental to mental health and further echoes earlier calls for a more balanced portrayal of caregiving in policy reports and research literature.

虽然看护行为通常被描述为一种不利于心理健康的压力体验,但最近的研究通过报告与家庭看护相关的强大健康和福祉益处来挑战这一观点。目前的研究试图通过关注家庭健康问题在照顾者和心理健康之间的关系中所起的作用,来解释这一明显的悖论。本研究从生命历程的角度出发,聚焦于对老年母亲的照顾,旨在1)证明早期研究中所报道的照顾与抑郁之间的联系可能具有误导性;2)进一步调查对老年母亲的照顾是否会带来任何心理健康益处。使用来自具有全国代表性的美国健康与退休研究的纵向数据,我跟踪了50岁及以上的成年子女,他们在观察期间有一位在世的母亲(N = 4812;18442人波观测值)。估计了一系列中间随机效应模型,以解释老年母亲的健康状况(即残疾和痴呆)和成年子女的照顾过渡如何与成年子女抑郁症状的变化相关。研究结果表明,一旦模型控制了母亲经历残疾和痴呆的混杂影响,成年子女的照顾转变与抑郁症状无关。此外,看护行为可以缓冲母亲残疾对成年子女抑郁症状的直接不利影响。这项研究增加了越来越多的研究,这些研究警告人们不要将护理描述为有害心理健康的慢性压力源,并进一步呼应了早先的呼吁,即在政策报告和研究文献中对护理进行更平衡的描述。
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引用次数: 0
Who returned home? The COVID-19 pandemic and young adults’ residential transitions 谁回家了?COVID-19大流行与年轻人的居住过渡
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100582
Lei Lei , Scott J. South

The COVID-19 pandemic is thought to have led to an increase in the percentage of young adults living with their parents, but the relative contributions made by moves into and out of the parental home to this increase are unknown. Also unknown is whether changes in the likelihood of home leaving and returning were concentrated among privileged or disadvantaged youth. This study used data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics Transition into Adulthood Supplement (2013–2021) and estimated logistic regression models to examine changes in the levels and correlates of moving into (n = 1872) and out of (n = 1852) the parental home before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. Results show that relative to pre-pandemic trends, during the COVID-19 pandemic young adults were more likely to move back to the parental home and less likely to leave it. The increase in the likelihood of returning home was concentrated among young, white college students from advantaged families. The decline in leaving home was most pronounced among white and employed young adults.

据认为,新冠肺炎大流行导致与父母同住的年轻人比例上升,但搬进和搬出父母家对这一增长的相对贡献尚不清楚。同样未知的是,离家和回家可能性的变化是否集中在特权青年或弱势青年中。本研究使用了收入动态过渡到成年期补充小组研究(2013-2021)的数据,并估计了逻辑回归模型,以检查美国COVID-19大流行爆发前后搬进(n = 1872)和搬出(n = 1852)父母家的水平和相关性的变化。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,年轻人更有可能搬回父母家,而不太可能离开父母家。返乡可能性的增加主要集中在来自优越家庭的年轻白人大学生中。离家出走率的下降在白人和有工作的年轻人中最为明显。
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引用次数: 0
The trifecta of adulthood: Housing, partnering and childbearing trajectories 成年的三要素:住房、伴侣和生育轨迹
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100577
Jolene Tan

Substantial changes in residential transitions and family formation patterns have been observed in Western societies, but less attention has been paid to the de-standardisation of adulthood pathways in East Asian contexts, where unique social, economic and cultural circumstances may produce diverse trajectories that are less explored in existing theoretical and empirical frameworks. Adopting a life course perspective, this study identifies the multi-trajectories of housing, partnering and childbearing across adulthood in Taiwan, a setting marked by high housing costs and low fertility rates. Data from the Taiwanese Panel Study of Family Dynamics 2000–2020 (N = 6,931) were used for group-based trajectory modelling, and mixed-effects multinomial regression was employed to examine the likelihood of group membership given early-life resources and social origin. Six common housing–partnering–childbearing trajectories were identified. The most prevalent living arrangement was living in parental homes (50.7%), followed by rental homes (25%), self-owned homes (15.5%) and dorms or other (8.8%). Union formation generally precedes childbearing, whereas housing transitions may occur at various time points. Young adults’ home-leaving and homeownership access appear to be closely related to their parental backgrounds, such as their parents’ educational attainment and occupational status. Overall, the findings are consistent with the de-standardisation of pathways to adulthood, demonstrating the diversity in adult trajectories and the lack of a single dominant pattern.

在西方社会中,人们观察到居住转变和家庭形成模式发生了实质性变化,但在东亚背景下,人们对成年道路的去标准化关注较少,在东亚,独特的社会、经济和文化环境可能会产生不同的轨迹,而现有的理论和经验框架很少对此进行探索。从生命历程的角度,本研究确定了台湾成年后的住房、伴侣关系和生育的多目标,这是一个以高住房成本和低生育率为标志的环境。2000–2020年台湾家庭动力学小组研究(N=6931)的数据用于基于群体的轨迹建模,并采用混合效应多项式回归来检验在给定早期生活资源和社会出身的情况下加入群体的可能性。确定了六种共同的住房——伴侣关系——生育轨迹。最普遍的生活安排是住在父母家(50.7%),其次是出租屋(25%)、自住屋(15.5%)和宿舍或其他(8.8%)。联盟的形成通常先于生育,而住房过渡可能发生在不同的时间点。年轻人的离家和拥有住房的机会似乎与他们的父母背景密切相关,例如他们父母的教育程度和职业状况。总的来说,这些发现与成年途径的去标准化一致,证明了成年轨迹的多样性和缺乏单一的主导模式。
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引用次数: 0
Do early life traumas moderate the impact of cumulative pandemic stress on anger? 早期生活创伤是否能缓和累积的流行病压力对愤怒的影响?
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100576
Patricia Louie , Terrence D. Hill , Laura Upenieks

Do early life traumas condition the psychological consequences of pandemic stressors? Using national data from the Crime, Health, and Politics Survey (May-June 2021), we examine whether early life traumas buffer or amplify the impact of cumulative pandemic stressors (CPS) on anger, an understudied measure of emotional distress. We examine two competing perspectives. The trauma amplification perspective posits that people who experience early life traumas are especially vulnerable to subsequent stressors, while the trauma resiliency perspective suggests the opposite, that people who experience traumas in early life are less vulnerable to subsequent stressors. The trauma resiliency perspective was partially supported by our analyses. Although early life traumas abated the impact of three or more pandemic stressors on anger, we failed to observe any attenuation at lower levels of pandemic stress exposure. We extend previous research by recasting the common stress proliferation model as a stress modification model and by focusing on feelings of anger. Findings are discussed in the context of social stress, mental health, and the COVID-19 pandemic.

早期生活创伤是否会影响疫情压力源的心理后果?利用犯罪、健康和政治调查(2021年5月至6月)的全国数据,我们研究了早期生活创伤是否缓冲或放大了累积的流行病压力源(CPS)对愤怒的影响,愤怒是一种研究不足的情绪困扰衡量标准。我们考察了两种相互竞争的观点。创伤放大的观点认为,经历早期创伤的人特别容易受到随后的压力源的影响,而创伤恢复的观点则相反,在早期经历创伤的人不太容易受到随后压力源的伤害。我们的分析部分支持了创伤恢复能力的观点。尽管早期生活创伤减轻了三种或三种以上大流行压力源对愤怒的影响,但我们没有观察到在较低水平的大流行压力暴露下有任何减弱。我们通过将常见的压力扩散模型重塑为压力修正模型,并关注愤怒情绪,扩展了先前的研究。研究结果是在社会压力、心理健康和新冠肺炎大流行的背景下讨论的。
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引用次数: 0
Personal network dynamics across the life course: A relationship-related structural approach 贯穿生命历程的个人网络动态:一种关系相关的结构方法
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100567
Betina Hollstein

Building on Georg Simmel’s concept of “form”, the article presents a relationship related structural concept of social relationships that specifically accounts for opportunities and constraints resulting from the fact that relationships are solidified patterns of interaction that, once established, can develop a power of their own (inertia, momentum) that cannot easily be influenced by the involved actors. In this “relationship-related structural approach”, social relationships or “forms” can be understood as specific constellations of “basic structural properties”, i.e. specifications of various aspects of quantity, of time, of space, of similarity, and including also a certain degree of freedom to enter or quit a relationship, knowledge about one another, and types and degree of institutionalization. The specification of these structural properties impacts the functional capacity of relationships, as well as the dynamics of both relationships and networks, especially the ways in which relationships are formed, maintained, or lost. Referring to various life course transitions from different phases of the life course, it is demonstrated how this approach helps to better understand the dynamics of social relationships and networks and the impact of life events on personal relationships across the life course. Finally, implications of this novel perspective for life course and network research are discussed.

在格奥尔格·西梅尔的“形式”概念的基础上,文章提出了一个与关系相关的社会关系结构概念,该概念专门解释了由于关系是固化的互动模式而产生的机会和限制,一旦建立,可以发展出自己的力量(惯性、动量),而这种力量不容易受到相关参与者的影响。在这种“与关系相关的结构方法”中,社会关系或“形式”可以理解为“基本结构属性”的特定星座,即数量、时间、空间、相似性的各个方面的规范,还包括进入或退出关系的一定自由度、对彼此的了解、,以及制度化的类型和程度。这些结构特性的规范影响关系的功能能力,以及关系和网络的动态,尤其是关系形成、维持或丢失的方式。参考生命过程不同阶段的各种生命过程转换,展示了这种方法如何帮助更好地理解社会关系和网络的动态,以及生命事件对整个生命过程中个人关系的影响。最后,讨论了这一新颖视角对生命历程和网络研究的启示。
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引用次数: 1
Can drug policies modify cannabis use starting choice? Insights from criminalisation in Italy 毒品政策能改变大麻使用的起始选择吗?意大利刑事定罪的启示
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100566
Elisa Benedetti , Gabriele Lombardi , Sabrina Molinaro

A key question in the ongoing drug policy debate is whether legalising cannabis leads to an increase in cannabis use. In Europe although no country has yet moved to legalisation, many have decriminalised personal possession. However, some jurisdictions are still discussing increased sanctions or have further strengthened penalties for the possession of illicit substances in order to deter widespread cannabis use. This is the case in Italy, where a law introduced in 2006 and repealed in 2014 de facto criminalised personal drug possession, and a potential increase in penalties is currently being debated as a policy option. Despite the intense public debate surrounding the legal status of cannabis, limited empirical research has been conducted in Europe to assess the population-level effects of drug policy reforms, mainly due to data availability constraints. In this study, we analyse the effect of criminalisation on the age of onset of cannabis use using an unique dataset that combines seven waves (2001–2017) of the nationally representative Italian Population Survey on Alcohol and other Drugs with relevant socio-economic data. The final dataset comprises 77,650 observations. Leveraging the rare opportunity to examine the effects of a policy that remained in force for a limited period, our empirical investigation employs a Complementary Log-Log model to analyse the starting rate, that is, the transition rate from non-use to use. To do so, we use self-reported data on the age of first cannabis use. Our results suggest that the implementation of stricter punishments has a significant effect in reducing the likelihood of early cannabis use initiation. The observed impact of criminalisation is limited in younger ages and diminished as adulthood approaches. This paper also discusses other considerations related to the social costs of criminalisation, which should also be taken into account in the ongoing policy debate.

正在进行的毒品政策辩论中的一个关键问题是,大麻合法化是否会导致大麻使用的增加。在欧洲,尽管还没有国家走向合法化,但许多国家已经将个人财产合法化。然而,一些司法管辖区仍在讨论加强制裁或进一步加强对持有非法物质的处罚,以阻止大麻的广泛使用。意大利的情况就是这样,2006年出台并于2014年废除的一项法律将个人持有毒品事实上定为犯罪,目前正在讨论是否可能增加处罚作为一种政策选择。尽管围绕大麻的法律地位展开了激烈的公开辩论,但欧洲为评估毒品政策改革对人口层面的影响而进行的实证研究有限,这主要是由于数据可用性的限制。在这项研究中,我们使用一个独特的数据集分析了刑事定罪对大麻使用年龄的影响,该数据集结合了具有全国代表性的意大利酒精和其他毒品人口调查的七波(2001-2007年)和相关的社会经济数据。最终数据集包括77650个观测值。利用这一难得的机会来检验一项在有限时间内仍然有效的政策的影响,我们的实证调查采用了补充对数对数模型来分析启动率,即从不使用到使用的过渡率。为此,我们使用了关于首次使用大麻年龄的自我报告数据。我们的研究结果表明,实施更严格的惩罚在降低早期开始使用大麻的可能性方面具有显著效果。观察到的刑事定罪的影响在年轻人中是有限的,并且随着成年期的临近而减弱。本文还讨论了与刑事定罪的社会成本有关的其他考虑因素,在正在进行的政策辩论中也应考虑这些因素。
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引用次数: 0
Religiosity and trajectories of lifetime fertility intentions – Evidence from a German panel study 宗教信仰和一生生育意愿的轨迹——来自德国小组研究的证据
IF 3.4 2区 社会学 Q1 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100578
Christoph Bein , Jasmin Passet-Wittig , Martin Bujard , Anne H. Gauthier

Much of the literature on fertility intentions has shown that they are broadly predictive of fertility behaviour. Fertility intentions tend to change over a person’s life. How religiosity affects these changes over time has rarely been the subject of investigation. In this paper, we focus on whether and how religiosity affects trajectories of lifetime fertility intentions. Specifically, we examine whether highly religious people start with higher fertility intentions and are more likely to sustain them during their life course compared to their less religious counterparts. We apply random and fixed effects growth curve models to data from the German family panel pairfam, using a sample of 6214 women and 5802 men aged 14–46. We find that religiosity mainly contributes to explain the starting level at teenage years but not the trajectories of lifetime fertility intentions as people get older. Highly religious people start with higher intentions than less religious people. However, similarly to less religious people they experience a decline in their fertility intentions with age. This study demonstrates that religiosity is an important variable in research on fertility intentions but with changing relevance over the life course.

许多关于生育意向的文献表明,它们可以广泛地预测生育行为。生育意向往往会随着人的一生而改变。随着时间的推移,宗教信仰是如何影响这些变化的,这很少成为研究的主题。在本文中,我们关注的是宗教信仰是否以及如何影响一生生育意愿的轨迹。具体来说,我们研究了高度宗教信仰的人是否一开始就有更高的生育意愿,与不那么宗教信仰的人相比,他们是否更有可能在一生中保持这种意愿。我们将随机效应和固定效应增长曲线模型应用于来自德国家庭面板的数据,使用14-46岁的6214名女性和5802名男性样本。我们发现,宗教信仰主要有助于解释青少年时期的起始水平,而不是随着人们年龄的增长而终生生育意愿的轨迹。高度信教的人比不那么信教的人有更高的意图。然而,与宗教信仰较少的人类似,随着年龄的增长,他们的生育意愿也会下降。本研究表明,宗教信仰是研究生育意向的一个重要变量,但随着生活过程的变化而变化。
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引用次数: 0
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Advances in Life Course Research
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