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Red light game identifies ineffective criminal deterrence 闯红灯游戏确认了无效的犯罪威慑力
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12572
Jonathan Hofer

The proceeding investigates the ineffectiveness of law enforcement placement in specific circumstances from the penological framework of rational choice theory. This work employs game theory modeling to determine an individual's propensity to commit a crime. The succeeding illustrates how it is counterproductive to nudge potential criminals where socially preferable behavior corresponds to a pure strategy Nash equilibrium in a simultaneous two-player game. The result of this analysis demonstrates an addendum to contemporary rational choice theory in criminology. The solutions of these stage games show that increasing the placement of criminal deterrents, like surveillance or fines intended to reduce the number of opportunities to commit deviant behavior, is dysfunctional under particular circumstances. This suggests that law enforcement resources should not be directed to enforcing certain crimes. The implications of this work could help optimize department assets and personnel hours.

该论文从理性选择理论的刑罚学框架出发,研究了在特定情况下执法安置的无效性。这项工作采用博弈论模型来确定个人的犯罪倾向。接下来的分析说明,在社会优选行为与同时进行的双人博弈中的纯策略纳什均衡相对应的情况下,对潜在罪犯进行劝导会产生反效果。这一分析结果为当代犯罪学中的理性选择理论提供了补充。这些阶段博弈的解表明,在特定情况下,增加犯罪威慑措施(如旨在减少实施异常行为机会的监控或罚款)的投放是失灵的。这表明,执法资源不应被用于执行某些犯罪。这项工作的意义有助于优化部门资产和人员的工作时间。
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引用次数: 0
Currencies and culture: An amusing journey into the impacts of exchange rates on global creative industries 货币与文化:汇率对全球创意产业影响的有趣之旅
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12567
Shao Baorui, Zhang Zhiyuan, Li Zhao

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate changes on cultural services trade balances in China, Japan, the United States, United Kingdom, France, and Germany from 2006 to 2015. These six countries represent dominant players whose experiences reflect global impacts. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models test for J-curve effects. Cultural distance matrices combined with cluster analysis explore how cultural proximity influences trade structures. Results demonstrate a J-curve effect in China contrasting with a reverse J-curve in the United States. China and Japan form one cultural trade cluster distinct from a Western bloc of the United States, United Kingdom, and France. This signifies emerging economies have developed unique cultural trade models. The research enriches empirical evidence on exchange rate impacts for understudied cultural services trade. Introducing cultural distance provides a novel perspective and policy insights for emerging economies.

本文研究了 2006 年至 2015 年汇率变动对中国、日本、美国、英国、法国和德国文化服务贸易差额的影响。这六个国家代表着主导者,其经历反映了全球影响。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型检验了 J 曲线效应。文化距离矩阵与聚类分析相结合,探讨了文化接近性如何影响贸易结构。结果表明,中国的 J 曲线效应与美国的反向 J 曲线形成对比。中国和日本形成了一个文化贸易集群,有别于由美国、英国和法国组成的西方集团。这表明新兴经济体已经形成了独特的文化贸易模式。这项研究丰富了有关汇率对研究不足的文化服务贸易影响的经验证据。文化距离的引入为新兴经济体提供了新的视角和政策见解。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating occupational digitalization via skillshed analysis 通过技能流域分析引领职业数字化
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12569
G. Jason Jolley, Clara Bone, Hunter Bacot, Tuyen Pham

The rapid digitalization of jobs in the United States and globally provides both an economic opportunity and a challenge for upskilling and reskilling the workforce. Retraining and reintegrating displaced or at-risk workers, particularly in a competitive labor market, brings significant economic benefits to communities, employers, and employees. Individuals in at-risk or declining occupations likely lack requisite digital literacy and associated skills that enable them to transition smoothly into roles that require digital proficiency. Drawing from research indicating the rapid digitalization of the U.S. economy and workforce, this study employs skillshed analysis to examine a sample of vulnerable occupations within coal-related industries. The goal is to evaluate training gaps and wage differentials for individuals shifting from coal-related occupations to roles requiring higher levels of digital literacy. Providing quality reemployment options for coal-economy workers reduces the barriers to transitioning to more sustainable energy provision, yet prior studies have found that coal-economy workers possess lower levels of digital literacy. Our study reaffirms these prior findings that many coal economy workers lack the requisite knowledge, training, and educational attainment to easily transition to occupations requiring high degrees of digitalization. As a result, to be successful in retraining and upskilling those in coal-related occupations and to meet sustainable development goals, it is necessary to assist these workers in their transition into viable occupations.

美国乃至全球工作岗位的快速数字化,既为劳动力技能的提升和再培训提供了经济机遇,也带来了挑战。对失业或面临风险的工人进行再培训和重新融入社会,尤其是在竞争激烈的劳动力市场上,可为社区、雇主和雇员带来巨大的经济效益。从事高风险或衰退职业的人员很可能缺乏必要的数字素养和相关技能,无法顺利过渡到需要熟练掌握数字技术的岗位。研究表明,美国经济和劳动力正在迅速数字化,本研究利用技能分层分析法,对煤炭相关行业中的弱势职业进行了抽样调查。目的是评估从与煤炭相关的职业转向对数字素养要求更高的角色的个人的培训差距和工资差异。为煤炭行业工人提供高质量的再就业选择减少了向更可持续的能源供应转型的障碍,但之前的研究发现煤炭行业工人的数字素养水平较低。我们的研究再次证实了之前的研究结果,即许多煤炭经济工人缺乏必要的知识、培训和教育程度,无法轻松过渡到需要高度数字化的职业。因此,要成功地对煤炭相关职业的工人进行再培训和技能提升,并实现可持续发展目标,就必须帮助这些工人向可行的职业过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Ancient labor satisfied, exploited, and relieved, expressed in the modern era 古代劳动的满足、剥削和解脱,在现代得到了体现
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12543
Marty Rowland

Labor faces a universal process of increasing exploitation as the following processes converge: Labor is increasingly divorced from a community purpose; the community's economy becomes privatized, which leads to debt bondage and the loss of personal land or availability of land for personal use. This process is repeated from early records of 10,000 BC to the present day. In ancient times, a wise ruler would respond to widespread debt bondage by canceling private debts for the sake of the community. However, there are now no wise rulers on the horizon to cancel debts. This paper may give those who labor, inspiration to continue their struggle for wealth distribution equity.

随着以下过程的交汇,劳动面临着日益加剧的剥削的普遍过程:劳动越来越脱离社区的目的;社区经济私有化,导致债务束缚和个人土地的丧失或个人可用土地的丧失。从公元前 1 万年的早期记录到今天,这一过程一直在重复。在古代,明智的统治者会为了社会的利益取消私人债务,以应对普遍的债务束缚。然而,现在没有明君来取消债务。本文或许能激励那些劳动者继续为财富分配公平而奋斗。
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引用次数: 0
Global cryptocurrency use, corruption, and the shadow economy: New insights into the underlying linkages 全球加密货币的使用、腐败和影子经济:对内在联系的新认识
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12566
Aziz N. Berdiev, Rajeev K. Goel, James W. Saunoris

The recent prevalence of digital currencies has challenged policymakers as they try to control the supply of money and rein in clandestine activities. Corruption and shadow economy are widely prevalent illegal/unobserved activities that have been hard to eliminate worldwide. These longstanding and entrenched activities have possibly found a new avenue to thrive and evade detection/punishment. So disentangling the nexus between corruption, shadow economy, and digital currencies is important. Using recent cross-country data, this paper analyzes the interrelationships between corruption, shadow economy, and cryptocurrencies. We argue that a large underground sector in a nation provides a mechanism through which corrupt government officials use cryptocurrencies to conceal their unauthorized earnings. Employing formal mediation analysis, our results show that the positive nexus between corruption and cryptocurrency adoption is mediated by the shadow sector. Quantitatively speaking, three-fourths of the correlation between corruption and cryptocurrency usage is mediated by the shadow economy. The primary implication of our findings is that effective monitoring of cryptocurrencies should pay attention to policies to control both corruption and the shadow economy.

最近,数字货币的盛行给政策制定者带来了挑战,因为他们正试图控制货币供应并遏制地下活动。腐败和影子经济是广泛存在的非法/不被注意的活动,在世界范围内难以消除。这些由来已久、根深蒂固的活动可能找到了新的途径,得以蓬勃发展并逃避侦查/惩罚。因此,厘清腐败、影子经济和数字货币之间的关系非常重要。本文利用最新的跨国数据,分析了腐败、影子经济和加密货币之间的相互关系。我们认为,一个国家庞大的地下部门提供了一种机制,腐败的政府官员可以通过这种机制利用加密货币掩盖其未经授权的收入。通过正式中介分析,我们的结果表明,腐败与加密货币采用之间的正相关关系是由影子部门中介的。从数量上看,腐败与加密货币使用之间的相关性有四分之三是由影子经济中介的。我们研究结果的主要意义在于,对加密货币的有效监管应同时关注控制腐败和影子经济的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Rent and Labor Exploitation Editor comments 租金与劳动剥削 编辑评论
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12557
Marty Rowland
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引用次数: 0
Are skepticism and moderation dominating attitudes toward AI-based technologies? 对人工智能技术的态度是否以怀疑和节制为主?
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12565
Simona-Vasilica Oprea, Ionut Nica, Adela Bâra, Irina-Alexandra Georgescu

AI advancements are poised to substantially modify human abilities in the foreseeable future. They include the integration of Brain–Computer Interfaces (BCIs) to augment cognitive functions, the application of gene editing, and the utilization of AI-powered robotic exoskeletons to enhance physical strength. This study employs a comprehensive analytical framework combining factor analysis, clustering, ANOVA, and logistic regression to investigate public attitudes toward these transformative technologies. Our findings reveal three distinct clusters of public opinion reflecting varying optimism and concern toward AI technologies. Cluster 1 (1574 participants) held a positive view with high excitement while Cluster 2 (1334 participants) showed a balanced stance. Cluster 3 (2199 participants) expressed heightened concern despite some excitement. Notably, regional disparities, particularly between urban and rural participants, emerge as a prominent factor influencing these attitudes (ANOVA, F = 15.2, p < 0.001). Furthermore, logistic regression identifies key influencers of public perception, highlighting the significant roles played by religion and regional factors. The implications of these findings extend beyond understanding public sentiment. They underscore the need for informed policies that promote education and awareness about AI technologies, address ethical concerns, and engage the public in decision-making processes. As society navigates this transformative technological landscape, a nuanced understanding of public attitudes becomes paramount, guiding ethical regulation, innovation, and public engagement strategies. This study provides valuable insights into the intricate dynamics surrounding AI acceptance and highlights the importance of adapting measures to evolving perceptions and attitudes among the general public.

在可预见的未来,人工智能的进步将大大改变人类的能力。这些技术包括整合脑机接口(BCI)以增强认知功能、应用基因编辑以及利用人工智能驱动的机器人外骨骼增强体力。本研究采用了一个综合分析框架,将因子分析、聚类分析、方差分析和逻辑回归结合起来,调查公众对这些变革性技术的态度。我们的研究结果显示了三个不同的公众舆论群组,反映了对人工智能技术不同的乐观和担忧态度。群组 1(1574 名参与者)对人工智能技术持积极态度,兴奋度很高,而群组 2(1334 名参与者)则表现出一种平衡的立场。第 3 组(2199 位参与者)尽管有些兴奋,但也表示了高度的担忧。值得注意的是,地区差异,特别是城乡参与者之间的差异,成为影响这些态度的一个突出因素(方差分析,F = 15.2,p < 0.001)。此外,逻辑回归确定了公众看法的主要影响因素,突出了宗教和地区因素的重要作用。这些发现的意义不仅仅在于了解公众情绪。它们强调了制定知情政策的必要性,以促进有关人工智能技术的教育和认识,解决伦理问题,并让公众参与决策过程。随着社会在这一变革性的技术领域中不断前行,对公众态度的细致入微的了解变得至关重要,它将为伦理监管、创新和公众参与战略提供指导。本研究为了解人工智能接受度的复杂动态提供了宝贵的见解,并强调了调整措施以适应公众不断变化的观念和态度的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Agribusiness rent extraction 农业企业租金提取
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12555
Antonio A. R. Ioris

The article discusses the political-economy of agribusiness, making use of the category of rent that is considered as a proportion of exchange value diverted from production for the payment to the landowners and, crucially, its class-based allies. Rent is therefore more than just the extraction of value from the use of land, but there is a wider, deeply politicised capture of value from the network of relations that maintain land in production. Agribusiness rent primarily derives from the appropriation of land through the formation of a powerful network involving ‘state-landowners-private agroindustrial sector’, and this network provides the necessary conditions for the extraction of rent and the accumulation of capital.

这篇文章讨论了农业综合企业的政治经济学,利用了地租这一类别,将其视为从生产中转移出来的交换价值的一部分,用于支付给土地所有者及其关键的阶级盟友。因此,地租不仅仅是从土地使用中提取价值,而是从维持土地生产的关系网络中获取更广泛的、深层次政治化的价值。农业综合企业的地租主要来自于通过形成 "国有土地所有者-私营农工部门 "这一强大网络对土地的占有,而这一网络为地租的提取和资本的积累提供了必要条件。
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引用次数: 0
Who claims the federal adoption tax credit? Those who know about it 谁可以申请联邦收养税收抵免?知情者
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12564
Cullen T. Wallace

This research investigates which individuals are aware of and claim the federal adoption tax credit. Using a probit model, I find that the probability that one claims the credit increases with one's income and is lower for Black adoptive parents compared to White ones. These discrepancies in usage stem from different probabilities of knowing about the credit. However, conditional on awareness, I find that the probability of claiming the credit is no different among members of differing income or racial groups, implying that a direct way to increase take-up of the tax credit could simply be increasing awareness of it.

本研究调查了哪些人知道并申请联邦收养税收抵免。通过使用概率模型,我发现申请该税收抵免的概率随着个人收入的增加而增加,而且黑人养父母申请该税收抵免的概率低于白人养父母。这些使用率上的差异源于对该税收抵免的了解概率不同。然而,我发现,以知晓率为条件,不同收入或种族群体成员申请抵免的概率并无差别,这意味着提高税收抵免使用率的直接方法可能只是提高对它的知晓率。
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引用次数: 0
Capitals as bad equilibria 作为坏平衡的资本
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12560
Ådne Meling

Throughout the recent pandemic, governments used digital video technologies to facilitate social distancing during political meetings. In addition to enabling social distancing, a theoretical advantage of virtual political governance is that it has the potential to mitigate the hierarchical administrative relationship between capitals and regions and the differences in real estate prices and wealth that often follows from such hierarchical structures. However, hardly any governments are currently planning a long-term transition to work-from-home digital governance. On the contrary, several countries are doubling down on the centralization model of government by building new capitals in new locations. This article proposes that in a time of digital alternatives, physically centralized “capitals” could be considered examples of bad equilibrium.

在最近的大流行病中,各国政府利用数字视频技术促进了政治会议期间的社会距离。除了拉近社会距离之外,虚拟政治治理的一个理论优势在于,它有可能缓解首都和地区之间的等级行政关系,以及这种等级结构往往带来的房地产价格和财富差异。然而,目前几乎没有任何政府计划向在家办公的数字治理长期过渡。相反,一些国家正在通过在新地点建设新首都,加倍强化政府的中央集权模式。本文提出,在数字化替代时代,实体集中的 "首都 "可被视为不良平衡的典范。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
American Journal of Economics and Sociology
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