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The corrupt politics of chemical weapons 化学武器的腐败政治
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12530
Piers Robinson

The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) is a significant component of the global governance structure and considered a gold standard international body with 193 member states and scientific divisions expected to adhere rigorously to objectivity and political neutrality. However, OPCW's reputation has recently been tarnished. Dissenting scientists from within the organization have raised serious questions about the integrity of an OPCW fact-finding mission (FFM) investigating the alleged chemical attack in Douma, Syria on April 7, 2018. The OPCW FFMs are tainted in three ways: (1) they rely upon information provided via intermediaries connected to states that are belligerents in the war in Syria; (2) the organizational structure of an FFM excludes scientific and verification divisions of the OPCW; and (3) control of FFMs is held by a bureaucratic office staffed by career diplomats who are from states involved with the Syrian war. Furthermore, officials involved with the Douma FFM investigation report the following anomalies: (a) an original interim report was secretly altered in order to make an unsubstantiated suggestion that an alleged attack had occurred; (b) A U.S. delegation was allowed to brief the FFM, an action prohibited by the Chemical Weapons Convention; and (c) formal attempts by the inspectors to obtain transparency and dialog was rejected by the OPCW. Meanwhile, the United States and its allies have dismissed questions as Russian “disinformation” or as a “conspiracy theory.” Overall, analysis of the alleged Douma attack and the OPCW's FFM supports the thesis that key international organizations have been effectively captured, or at the very least heavily influenced, by particular states that assume their own impartiality. This shortcoming poses a risk to international peace and security.

禁止化学武器组织(OPCW)是全球治理结构的重要组成部分,被认为是一个黄金标准的国际机构,拥有193个成员国和科学部门,应严格遵守客观性和政治中立性。然而,禁化武组织的声誉最近受到了损害。禁化武组织内部持不同意见的科学家对调查2018年4月7日叙利亚杜马化武袭击的实况调查团(FFM)的完整性提出了严重质疑。禁化武组织的ffm在三个方面受到了污染:(1)它们依赖于通过与叙利亚战争交战国有关的中间人提供的信息;(2)实况调查团的组织结构不包括禁化武组织的科学和核查部门;(3) ffm的控制权掌握在一个由职业外交官组成的官僚机构手中,这些外交官来自参与叙利亚战争的国家。此外,参与杜马实况调查团调查的官员报告了下列异常情况:(a)一份最初的临时报告被秘密修改,以便提出未经证实的建议,指称发生了一次攻击;(b)允许美国代表团向实况调查团作简报,这是《化学武器公约》所禁止的行动;(c)核查人员争取透明度和对话的正式尝试被禁化武组织拒绝。与此同时,美国及其盟友将这些问题斥为俄罗斯的“虚假信息”或“阴谋论”。总的来说,对所谓的杜马袭击和禁化武组织的实况调查团的分析支持这样一种论点,即主要的国际组织已被某些自认为公正的国家有效地控制,或至少受到严重影响。这一缺点对国际和平与安全构成威胁。
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引用次数: 0
How hotel firm value fluctuates with alternative leveraging strategies 酒店企业价值如何随不同杠杆策略而波动?
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12528
Ying Chen, Eric Valenzuela, Don Capener

This study empirically examines the impact of leverage and capital structure on firm value for the US hotel industry from 1991 to 2017. We find strong evidence that leverage positively relates to firm value for firms in the hotel industry. This relationship is most robust for hotel firms with low financial health, consistent with the theory that firms signal positive information through capital structure. We also find that the relationship between leverage and firm value was weakened during the financial crisis, particularly for firms close to financial distress. Our results suggest that hotel management, creditors, and investors should pay attention to the magnifying effect of leverage on firm performance and the impact of financial crises on the value of debt. This study's empirical results also support the idea that firms in the hotel industry signal to outside investors through debt.

本研究实证检验了 1991 年至 2017 年美国酒店业杠杆率和资本结构对公司价值的影响。我们发现有力的证据表明,杠杆率与酒店业企业的公司价值呈正相关。这种关系对于财务状况较差的酒店企业最为稳健,这与企业通过资本结构传递积极信息的理论相一致。我们还发现,在金融危机期间,杠杆与公司价值之间的关系有所减弱,尤其是对于接近财务困境的公司而言。我们的研究结果表明,酒店管理层、债权人和投资者应关注杠杆对公司业绩的放大效应以及金融危机对债务价值的影响。本研究的实证结果还支持了酒店业企业通过债务向外部投资者发出信号的观点。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of new prison construction on the likelihood of incarceration 新监狱建设对监禁可能性的影响
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-27 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12529
Daniel D. Bonneau, Joshua C. Hall

Prison overcrowding is a major public policy issue with roughly 2.2 million individuals currently incarcerated in the United States. In the absence of reductions in the prison population, the only way to address overcrowding are the expansion of current facilities or the construction of new prisons. Previous research has demonstrated that factors unrelated to the law can affect the decisions made by prosecutors and judges. We investigate the effect of newly constructed prisons in Florida on the probability of defendants being sentenced to prison within 6 months of the prison receiving inmates. The results reveal that these defendants have a greater likelihood of being incarcerated in prison compared to similar defendants whose cases were resolved before the prison became operational. This indicates the potential for a regional-level substitution between jail and prison incarceration.

监狱人满为患是一个重大的公共政策问题,目前美国约有 220 万人被监禁。在监狱人口没有减少的情况下,解决监狱人满为患问题的唯一办法就是扩建现有设施或建造新监狱。以往的研究表明,与法律无关的因素会影响检察官和法官的决策。我们调查了佛罗里达州新建监狱对被告在监狱接收囚犯后 6 个月内被判处监禁的概率的影响。结果表明,与监狱投入使用前已结案的类似被告相比,这些被告被监禁的可能性更大。这表明,监狱和监狱监禁之间可能存在区域层面的替代关系。
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引用次数: 0
Stratification economics in the land of persistent inequalities 持续不平等土地上的分层经济学
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12527
Luis Monroy-Gómez-Franco, Paloma Villagómez-Ornelas

Stratification economics has emerged as a field that puts historically and institutionally determined intergroup hierarchies at the forefront of distributive analysis. However, most of the existing theoretical and empirical literature has focused on studying the US stratification regime, limiting the potential application of this analytical framework to other geographies. This paper applies the theoretical framework of stratification economics to analyze the Mexican distributive regime. In the process, we show that expanding the regional focus of stratification economics requires incorporating several insights from other traditions of stratification analysis. Furthermore, we show that a stratification economics approach overcomes several pitfalls of more traditional approaches to analyzing the Mexican distributive regime, such as the human capital approach that anchored several public policy interventions deployed at the beginning of the XXIst century.

分层经济学作为一个新兴领域,将历史和制度决定的群体间等级制度置于分配分析的前沿。然而,现有的理论和实证文献大多侧重于研究美国的分层制度,限制了这一分析框架在其他地域的潜在应用。本文运用分层经济学的理论框架来分析墨西哥的分配制度。在这一过程中,我们表明,要扩大分层经济学的区域重点,就必须纳入其他传统分层分析的若干见解。此外,我们还表明,分层经济学方法克服了分析墨西哥分配制度的较传统方法的若干缺陷,如人力资本方法,该方法是二十一世纪初部署的若干公共政策干预措施的基础。
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引用次数: 1
Productivity Factors and the Growth of the Manufacturing Sector among the East African Community Members States: Testing the Adequacy of the Endogenous Growth Hypothesis 生产力因素与东非共同体成员国制造业的增长:检验内生增长假说的充分性
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-24 DOI: 10.47672/aje.1512
Benjamin Musiita, Leward Jeke, Dickson Turyareeba, Mugambe Kenneth, Ben Boyi, Thomas Kisaalita, Richard Richard Mwesige, Geoffrey Kahangane
Purpose: It is well documented that the manufacturing industry plays a vital role in a country's economic growth and progress. This study benchmarks the endogenous growth paradigm in order to assess the productivity drivers that may affect the output growth of the manufacturing sector in East African Community member states. The empirical model covering the years 2000–2020 was constructed using panel data. Methodology: The study adopts a longitudinal research design and tables used to present summary estimates. Analysis has been achieved using stata statistical package version 17.0. A D-GMM estimator was employed to estimate the underlying empirical model. Findings: Foreign direct investments, inflation, trade openness, and lending interest rates were shown to be the most influential variables in the rise of manufacturing sector production among EAC member states out of a large sample of productivity indicators analyzed in the study. Recommendations: The results show that EAC countries can boost their manufacturing output by attracting more FDI, keeping inflation low, boosting cross-border trade, and enacting policies to lower the costs associated with credit access. Unique in this study is the analysis, first of its kind, of the productivity drivers of the growth in manufacturing sector output in the East African Community member states within the general framework of endogenous growth theory.     
目的:众所周知,制造业在一个国家的经济增长和进步中起着至关重要的作用。本研究以内生增长范式为基准,以评估可能影响东非共同体成员国制造业产出增长的生产力驱动因素。利用面板数据构建了2000-2020年的实证模型。研究方法:本研究采用纵向研究设计,并采用表格进行汇总估计。使用stata统计包版本17.0实现了分析。采用D-GMM估计器对基础经验模型进行估计。研究结果:在本研究分析的大量生产率指标样本中,外国直接投资、通货膨胀、贸易开放程度和贷款利率被证明是影响EAC成员国制造业生产增长的最重要变量。建议:研究结果表明,东亚共同体国家可以通过吸引更多外国直接投资、保持低通胀、促进跨境贸易以及制定降低信贷成本的政策来提高制造业产出。本研究的独特之处在于,首次在内生增长理论的一般框架内分析了东非共同体成员国制造业产出增长的生产率驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of infant daycare on later-in-life employment outcomes 婴儿日托对日后就业结果的影响
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12524
David M. Zimmer

This paper first develops a theoretical model of the returns to daycare, which attempts to show that families enroll their children into daycare based on its expected benefits and costs. The paper then moves to an empirical study that seeks to determine whether enrolling an infant in daycare affects his or her later-in-life employment and poverty status. To identify the causal effect of interest, the econometric approach employs a recently developed panel estimator that accommodates the dynamic nature of later-in-life employment and income, while also controlling for unobserved heterogeneity. The main finding is that, although infant daycare enrollment appears to correlate with positive later-in-life outcomes, addressing potential bias in that link renders the estimated effects highly imprecise, such that one cannot confidently conclude whether daycare helps or hinders later-in-life outcomes.

本文首先建立了日托回报的理论模型,试图表明家庭根据其预期收益和成本让孩子进入日托。然后,论文转向一项实证研究,试图确定让婴儿进入日托中心是否会影响他或她以后的就业和收入。为了确定利益的因果影响,计量经济学方法采用了最近开发的面板估计器,该估计器适应了晚年就业和收入的动态性质,同时也控制了未观察到的异质性。主要的结论是,尽管婴儿日托的注册似乎与以后积极的生活结果相关,但这种联系在很大程度上源于孩子的父母,他们无论如何都会经历积极的结果,让孩子进入日托。JEL代码:C23;D13关键词:固定效果;动态儿童保育david.zimmer@wku.edu;肯塔基州鲍灵格林西肯塔基大学Grise Hall 426
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引用次数: 0
An exploratory study of the impact of tax freedom on geographic living-cost differentials 税收自由对地理生活成本差异影响的探索性研究
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12525
Richard J. Cebula, Christopher M. Duquette, G. Jason Jolley

In the United States, there exist enormous geographic differentials in the cost of living. A sound, basic understanding of factors that influence such geographic living-cost differentials is important to help formulate useful policies to address various contemporary economic and social problems such as public-school funding across counties. In this exploratory study of the effects of tax freedom on geographic living-cost differentials, the following hypothesis is investigated using panel data for the period 2009 through 2020. The higher the average overall freedom from taxation in a state in the forms of personal income taxation, property taxation, and sales taxation, the lower the overall cost of living in the state. In this exploratory study, strong empirical support is obtained for this heretofore effectively overlooked hypothesis.

在美国,生活成本存在着巨大的地域差异。对影响这种地理生活成本差异的因素有一个健全的、基本的了解,对于帮助制定有用的政策来解决各种当代经济和社会问题,如各县公立学校的经费,是很重要的。在这项关于税收自由对地理生活成本差异影响的探索性研究中,使用2009年至2020年期间的面板数据调查了以下假设。一个州的个人所得税、财产税和销售税的平均总体自由度越高,该州的总体生活成本就越低。在本探索性研究中,为这一迄今为止被有效忽视的假设获得了强有力的实证支持。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to symposium: Dimensions of US economic freedom at the sub-national level 研讨会简介:美国经济自由在地方层面的维度
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12526
James E. Payne, James W. Saunoris
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引用次数: 0
The Transformative Power of Financial Services on Economic Growth among Households in Mbarara Municipality 金融服务对姆巴拉拉市家庭经济增长的变革力量
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.47672/aje.1497
N. Frederick, Mugisha Kyoma
Purpose: To establish the relationship between status of available financial services and economic growth of households in Mbarara municipality in Uganda. Methodology: The study adopted cross sectional research design. Out of the 16,861 household of in Mbarara municipality, 100 households were selected using Yaro Yamane’s Statistical formula which gives a better representative sample size out of a big population size as compared to other methods (Yamane, 1969).A Standard linear regression analysis was carried out. Findings: The study findings revealed that there is a substantial positive relationship between status of financial services available and level of economic growth of households in Mbarara Municipality with 41.4% of high level the economic growth of people Mbarara Municipality is because of the good status of financial services available. Other factors such as inflation and government policy accounted for 58.6% of the level of Economic growth of people Mbarara Municipality in Uganda  Recommendations: The study also recommends that the government and other stake holders such as Mbarara municipal council and other non-governmental organizations should increase on the status of financial services available buy increasing accessibility, quality and usage since they account for 41.4% of the level the economic growth of people Mbarara Municipality Strategies to control other factors like inflation and political instability such as encouraging industrialization and exports should be put in place so since they account for 58.6% of the level of Economic growth of people Mbarara Municipality  
目的:建立乌干达姆巴拉拉市家庭可用金融服务状况与经济增长之间的关系。研究方法:采用横断面研究设计。在Mbarara市的16,861户家庭中,使用Yaro Yamane的统计公式选择了100户家庭,与其他方法相比,该公式在大人口规模中提供了更好的代表性样本量(Yamane, 1969)。采用标准线性回归分析。研究发现:姆巴拉拉市家庭金融服务状况与经济增长水平之间存在显著的正相关关系,其中41.4%的高水平居民经济增长是由于金融服务状况良好。通货膨胀和政府政策等其他因素占乌干达姆巴拉拉市人民经济增长水平的58.6%。该研究还建议,政府和其他利益相关者,如姆巴拉拉市议会和其他非政府组织,应提高金融服务的地位,增加可及性。质量和使用,因为它们占人民的经济增长水平的41.4%。控制其他因素,如通货膨胀和政治不稳定,如鼓励工业化和出口的战略应该到位,因为它们占人民的经济增长水平的58.6%
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引用次数: 0
Avoidable hospital admissions depend on the primary healthcare governance model? A global health perspective from Europe countries 可避免的住院取决于初级医疗治理模式?从欧洲国家看全球健康
IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/ajes.12523
João Paulo Magalhães, Joana Pestana, Renato Lourenço Silva, António Pereira, André Biscaia

Primary healthcare (PHC) governance model, namely its financing scheme, might impact the health outcomes, particularly in chronic conditions, through avoidable hospital admissions (AvH). Therefore, the study aims to assess how the PHC financial governance model determines AvH, as well as how this interacts with the health system financing (HSF) scheme. An observational study comparing the GP employment type (publicly and self/privately) with asthma and COPD, and Diabetes AvH per 100,000 habitants in 26 countries of the European Region, was performed. It considered 4 regression models with structural determinants, service delivery and HSF schemes. GP self/privately employed group associated with social health insurance scheme was significantly associated with higher total AvH (OR = 28.27 [CI 95% 2.34–77.54]), and for asthma and COPD AvH (OR = 21.88 [CI 95% 6.69–180.18]). Diabetes AvH were significantly associated with increasing GP outpatient coverage (model 1) and GP availability (model 2) under a GP self/privately employed group (respectively, OR = 17.01 [CI 95% 3.67–20.63] and OR = 17.80 [CI 95% 8.12–130.35]). The study evidenced that publicly employed GPs working in a tax-based HSF scheme ensure better health outcomes for the population. Although some limitations of equity and categorisation, the results show that the governance model might influence population health outcomes.

初级医疗保健(PHC)的管理模式,即其融资计划,可能会通过可避免的入院治疗(AvH)影响健康结果,尤其是慢性病患者的健康结果。因此,本研究旨在评估初级医疗保健的财务管理模式如何决定可避免入院率,以及这种模式与医疗系统融资(HSF)计划之间的相互作用。一项观察性研究比较了欧洲地区 26 个国家的全科医生就业类型(公立和自营/私立)与哮喘和慢性阻塞性肺病以及每 10 万居民糖尿病 AvH 的关系。该研究考虑了结构性决定因素、服务提供和 HSF 计划等 4 个回归模型。与社会医疗保险计划相关的全科医生自雇/私雇群体与较高的总急性呼吸道感染发病率(OR = 28.27 [CI 95% 2.34-77.54])以及哮喘和慢性阻塞性肺病急性呼吸道感染发病率(OR = 21.88 [CI 95% 6.69-180.18])显著相关。在全科医生自雇/私雇组别中,糖尿病 AvH 与全科医生门诊覆盖率(模型 1)和全科医生可用性(模型 2)的增加明显相关(分别为 OR = 17.01 [CI 95% 3.67-20.63] 和 OR = 17.80 [CI 95% 8.12-130.35])。该研究证明,在以税收为基础的恒常医疗基金计划中工作的公职全科医生可确保为民众提供更好的医疗服务。尽管在公平性和分类方面存在一些局限性,但研究结果表明,管理模式可能会影响人口的健康结果。
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引用次数: 0
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