Journal of Public Transportation最新文献_第4页

Decency in the digital era: Exploring preferences of transit riding among females in different life stages 数字时代的礼仪：探索不同人生阶段女性的交通出行偏好

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100112

Bing Yan , Chen Wan , Yinli Chen , Chengcheng Yu , Lu Huang

Investigating women’s public transit usage intentions (TUIs) is essential for enhancing service quality and ensuring female passengers’ travel rights. However, for women with distinct socioeconomic backgrounds, the heterogeneity of factors impacting their TUIs is not thoroughly explored. In this research, we conducted a survey in Hangzhou, China, collected 1294 valid questionnaires from women, and employed the Latent Class Analysis method (LCA) and Ordered Logit Model (OLM) to identify the distinct determinants of TUIs among different female groups. The findings reveal that: (1) Retired elderly women, who are less able to walk, require more spatial accessibility of transit services and the availability to reduce their first/last-mile walking and waiting time; (2) Middle-aged and high-income groups prioritize comfort, punctuality, and safety, particularly favoring the provision of ladies-only seating areas; (3) Young and student groups' transit usage is predominantly influenced by fare policies. By incorporating digital technologies, customized operational strategies such as real-time transit information systems, surveillance cameras, tiered discount schemes, and digital payment services are recommended to improve the TUIs among different female groups. Our work contributes to creating a more female-friendly public transit environment.

调查女性的公共交通使用意向对于提高服务质量和保障女性乘客的出行权利至关重要。然而，对于具有不同社会经济背景的女性，影响其tui的因素的异质性尚未得到充分探讨。在本研究中，我们在中国杭州进行了一项调查，收集了1294份有效的女性问卷，并采用潜在类分析方法（LCA）和有序Logit模型（OLM）来确定不同女性群体中tui的不同决定因素。研究结果表明：(1)老年退休妇女对公共交通服务的空间可达性要求更高，对减少第一英里/最后一英里步行和等待时间的可得性要求更高；(2)中年和高收入人群优先考虑舒适性、准时性和安全性，尤其喜欢提供女性专用座位区；(3)青年和学生群体的交通使用主要受票价政策的影响。通过结合数字技术，建议采用定制的运营策略，如实时交通信息系统、监控摄像头、分层折扣计划和数字支付服务，以改善不同女性群体的tui。我们的工作有助于创造一个更有利于女性的公共交通环境。

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引用次数: 0

How access distance to high-speed rail stations affects individual travel behavior in small cities: A case study of the Chengdu-Chongqing corridor 小城市高铁站距离对个人出行行为的影响——以成渝走廊为例

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100127

Weiwei Cao , Feng Shi , Qihua Zhu , Qi Li

The rapid development of high-speed rail (HSR) has generated significant economic and social impacts and garnered extensive scholarly attention. However, there remains a lack of analysis on how access distance to HSR stations affects local residents’ travel behavior from the perspective of the individual. This study attempts to answer this question by utilizing large-scale railway travel data from residents of small cities in China. The raw dataset was provided by the Chengdu Railway Bureau, covering the period from January 1, 2014, to March 20, 2018. Taking the Chengdu-Chongqing HSR as a case study, we used the spatial distance between the residential addresses of individuals and HSR stations as a proxy for accessibility, and we selected over 340,000 residents from eight small cities along the route as observations. A negative binomial regression was employed to estimate the impact of access distance to HSR stations on individual travel behavior. The results indicate that individuals’ access distance to HSR stations has significantly negative effects on the number of HSR trips. Variables representing the individual characteristics of previous travel behavior, ticket purchasing behavior, social status, and wealth significantly affect individual travel frequency. More importantly, the study also demonstrates heterogeneity in the effects of HSR station accessibility on different groups in terms of sex, age, and place of residence. Compared with females and rural residents, the negative impact of HSR station accessibility on male and urban residents' travel behavior is less pronounced. The analysis also shows that HSR station accessibility negatively affects individual travel frequency across different groups, with middle-aged and elderly groups being more sensitive to accessibility constraints. These findings enrich existing research on travel behavior.

高速铁路（HSR）的快速发展产生了重大的经济和社会影响，并引起了广泛的学术关注。然而，从个体角度分析高铁站点的访问距离如何影响当地居民的出行行为仍然缺乏。本研究试图通过利用中国小城市居民的大规模铁路旅行数据来回答这个问题。原始数据集由成都铁路局提供，覆盖时间为2014年1月1日至2018年3月20日。以成渝高铁为例，以个人居住地址与高铁站点之间的空间距离作为可达性指标，选取沿线8个小城市的34万多名居民作为观察对象。采用负二项回归方法估计高铁站点入口距离对个体出行行为的影响。结果表明，个体到高铁站点的距离对高铁出行次数有显著的负向影响。以往出行行为、购票行为、社会地位、财富等代表个体特征的变量显著影响个体出行频率。更重要的是，研究还揭示了高铁站点可达性对不同性别、年龄和居住地人群的影响存在异质性。与女性和农村居民相比，高铁站点可达性对男性和城市居民出行行为的负面影响不明显。分析还表明，高铁站点可达性对不同人群的个人出行频率有负向影响，中老年人群对可达性约束更为敏感。这些发现丰富了现有的关于旅行行为的研究。

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引用次数: 0

From the fringes to the mainstream and back? The geography of pandemic-driven evolution of fare-free public transport in the United States 从边缘到主流再回到主流？大流行驱动的美国免费公共交通演变的地理特征

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100119

Monika Maciejewska , Wojciech Kębłowski , Merlin Gillard

The article examines the surprising uptake of the fare-free public transport (FFPT) policy in the United States during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic. While sanitary lockdowns led to a drastic reduction of mobility, safe public transport (PT) services had to be maintained to cater for “essential workers”. To achieve this, many urban transit agencies (TAs) adopted FFPT. To examine where PT became fare-free during the pandemic, we built and analysed a new dataset based on information from nearly 400 urban TAs across the US. Our findings indicate that two-thirds of the public TAs in urban areas opted to suspend fare collection amid the pandemic, with the analysis uncovering 73 cases of full FFPT on top of the 29 that had existed before the pandemic. FFPT emerged in areas with diverse demographic and economic profiles. Localities with higher Democratic Party support were more likely to abolish fares and sustain the suspensions, while larger transit agencies with substantial vehicle fleets tended to resume fare collection sooner. These findings highlight the complex factors influencing the adoption and duration of FFPT programmes in response to the pandemic, and underscore the adaptability of PT policies in the response. In sum, we observe that FFPT has shifted from the policy margins to the mainstream, having transformed from a highly controversial measure to a widely accepted strategy. Although the number of FFPT cases decreased significantly after the initial waves of the pandemic, it nonetheless remained much higher than pre-pandemic levels, with 40 TAs continuing to offer fare-free services.

本文考察了美国在2019冠状病毒病大流行的头两年出人意料地采用免费公共交通（FFPT）政策。虽然卫生封锁导致流动性急剧减少，但必须维持安全的公共交通服务，以满足“基本工作人员”的需求。为了实现这一目标，许多城市交通机构采用了FFPT。为了研究大流行期间PT在哪里免费，我们根据来自美国近400个城市ta的信息建立并分析了一个新的数据集。我们的研究结果表明，在大流行期间，城市地区三分之二的公共交通服务选择暂停收费，分析发现，除了大流行前存在的29例完全FFPT病例外，还有73例完全FFPT病例。FFPT出现在人口和经济状况各不相同的地区。民主党支持率较高的地方更有可能取消收费并维持暂停收费，而拥有大量车队的大型运输机构往往会更快地恢复收费。这些调查结果突出表明，为应对这一流行病，影响FFPT方案的采用和持续时间的复杂因素，并强调了PT政策在应对过程中的适应性。总之，我们观察到FFPT已经从政策边缘转变为主流，从一个高度争议的措施转变为一个被广泛接受的策略。尽管在大流行的最初几波之后，FFPT病例数量显著减少，但仍远高于大流行前的水平，有40个TAs继续提供免费服务。

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引用次数: 0

Evaluating the accessibility and equity of key amenities in the X-minute and Y-monetary-cost city: A double-threshold cumulative opportunity measure 评估x分钟和y货币成本城市关键设施的可达性和公平性：双门槛累积机会度量

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100128

Yue Chen , Shunping Jia , Qi Xu

Accessibility is essential for the equitable planning of key amenities such as job, healthcare, and education in the X-minute city. However, previous studies tend to ignore the monetary cost of travel in accessibility modelling or fail to provide an effective accessibility planning tool based on the monetary cost. To fill the gap, this paper proposes a double threshold cumulative opportunity measure considering the travel time and monetary cost and applies it in the accessibility and equity evaluation of six amenities by public transportation (PT) and private car (PC) in the X-minute and Y-monetary-cost city. The effects of the monetary cost on accessibility and equity are fully explored. And the proposed method is compared with traditional accessibility models to show its advantages. The results from two typical combinations of thresholds show that the accessibility of all amenities by PT is still much lower than that of PC. It also presents a more uneven spatial distribution, originating from the accessibility gap in different housing areas. Among different amenities, education and scenery are the most inequitably distributed. Moreover, the incorporation of the travel cost threshold is needed in modelling as the traditional method will overestimate the accessibility and have contrary effects on the equity of PT and PC. Compared with existing methods, the double-threshold cumulative opportunity measure has better simplicity and interpretability. And the new model is more general as the traditional method can be viewed as a special form of it. This study provides insights for planners and policymakers to make targeted adjustments to resource allocation and transportation policies in future transportation and urban planning in the X-minute and Y-monetary-cost city.

可达性对于在x分钟城市中公平规划工作、医疗保健和教育等关键设施至关重要。然而，以往的研究在可达性建模中往往忽略了出行的货币成本，或者未能提供一种有效的基于货币成本的可达性规划工具。为了填补这一空白，本文提出了考虑出行时间和货币成本的双阈值累积机会测度，并将其应用于x分钟、y货币成本城市公共交通（PT）和私家车（PC） 6种便利设施的可达性和公平性评价。充分探讨了货币成本对可及性和公平性的影响。并与传统可达性模型进行了比较，证明了该方法的优越性。两个典型阈值组合的结果表明，PT对所有设施的可达性仍远低于PC。由于不同居住区域的可达性差异，其空间分布也更加不均匀。在不同的设施中，教育和风景的分配最不公平。此外，由于传统方法会高估可达性，并对可达性和可达性产生相反的影响，因此需要在建模中加入出行成本阈值。与现有方法相比，双阈值累积机会测度具有更好的简洁性和可解释性。新模型具有较强的通用性，可以看作是传统方法的一种特殊形式。本研究为未来在x分钟和y货币成本城市的交通和城市规划中，规划者和决策者有针对性地调整资源配置和交通政策提供了参考。

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引用次数: 0

Benefits from a new transit line: Exploring the impact of rare users and spatially heterogeneous variations in intensity of use 新交通线路的好处：探索罕见用户的影响和使用强度的空间异质性变化

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100120

Durba Kundu , Somwrita Sarkar , Emily Moylan

What are the city-wide benefits of introducing a new transit mode? Justification of a new transit mode is often based on claims of transformational change regarding mode share, ridership, or passenger-kilometers travelled (PKT). Detractors argue that these dramatic benefits are not experienced uniformly across populations or places. This paper quantifies the extent and intensity of the change in travel behaviour caused by the addition of a new mode and builds on measures of increased ridership and PKT to explore who is travelling on the new mode and in what ways. Recent advances in smartcard data analysis provide detailed insights into transit ridership but are often temporally limited, restricting the ability to analyse long-term behavioural trends. While research on transit ridership patterns exists, few studies compare users of the old and new modes in terms of spatial distribution and intensity of use. This study relies on a long baseline of data to estimate the home locations of travellers and their intensity of use. Our findings challenge assumptions about infrequent users and reveal that rare users significantly influence ridership patterns. Increased reach of ridership is substantiated based on the appearance of new cards 48 % higher than usual after the light rail introduction. However, only about 4 % of new card IDs make trips at a rate equivalent to a daily commute. The results show strong spatial patterns, with 50 % of frequent light rail riders having inferred home locations at the new stations and 63 % of daily riders not using the bus to access the light rail. This approach suggests that (1) rare users, though they ride less often, have a notable impact on ridership trends; (2) transit-access distances are shorter than conventional assumptions of approximately half-a-mile; and (3) ridership benefits show strong spatial patterns.

引入一种新的交通方式对整个城市有什么好处？一种新的交通方式的正当性通常是基于对模式共享、客流量或乘客公里数（PKT）的转型变革的主张。批评者认为，这些巨大的好处并不是在不同的人群或地区都能享受到的。本文量化了增加一种新模式所引起的出行行为变化的程度和强度，并以增加的乘客量和PKT为基础，探索谁在使用新模式以及以何种方式出行。智能卡数据分析的最新进展提供了对公交乘客的详细见解，但往往是暂时的，限制了分析长期行为趋势的能力。虽然有关于交通出行模式的研究，但很少有研究比较新旧交通方式的用户在空间分布和使用强度方面的差异。这项研究依靠一长串基线数据来估计旅行者的住所及其使用强度。我们的研究结果挑战了关于非频繁用户的假设，并揭示了罕见用户对乘客模式的显著影响。在轻轨引入后，新卡的出现证实了乘客人数的增加，比平时高出48% %。然而，只有大约4% %的新身份证的出行速度相当于每天的通勤速度。结果显示出强烈的空间模式，50% %的经常乘坐轻轨的乘客在新车站推断出了他们的家的位置，63% %的日常乘客不使用公共汽车访问轻轨。这种方法表明：(1)稀有用户，尽管他们骑行的频率较低，但对骑行趋势有显著影响；(2)公交通道距离比传统假设的大约半英里短；(3)客流量效益表现出较强的空间格局。

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引用次数: 0

Exploring changes in station catchment areas after opening new urban rail transit lines using cellular signalling data 利用蜂窝信号数据探索开通新的城市轨道交通线路后车站集水区的变化

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100134

Yan Cheng , Yuan Qin , Sitao Wang , Taku Fujiyama

Improving the accuracy of demand forecasting and increasing ridership are imperative for ensuring urban rail transit’s sustainable development. However, the station catchment area, which is important for planning and operation in URT, was commonly oversimplified in previous studies and cannot be validated due to limited data availability and accuracy. Furthermore, how station catchment areas change with topological changes in urban rail transit networks has been sparsely investigated. This study explores changes in station catchment areas after opening new urban rail transit lines. Using cellular signalling data from Shanghai in November 2019 and 2023, it analysed passenger trips related to three new lines (Lines 15, 14, and 18) and their adjacent stations. Comparative analysis and visualisation techniques were employed to analyse the changes in areas and centroids of station catchment areas, the source of induced passengers and the diversion patterns among new and existing stations. Results show significant differences in area and centroid changes between existing stations within and outside the influential area of new lines. The relative location of existing and new lines and transfer status change were key factors influencing the changes of existing stations affected by new lines. Among frequent and super passengers of new lines, approximately 75 % had infrequent usage of the entire rail transit system before the opening of new lines, and about 5 % who used the system frequently developed new travel demands associated with the new lines. Notably, only 2 % diverted from existing lines. Both the average access and egress distance of induced passengers and the weighted average diversion distance were influenced by the station density of the areas that new lines pass through. Although the majority of diverted passengers were from close stations on parallel existing lines, some passengers who lived in the previously underserved areas may divert from distant stations to the new lines. The findings can facilitate a more accurate station ridership forecasting for proactive planning of URT and can provide policy implications for increasing ridership.

提高需求预测的准确性，增加客流量是保证城市轨道交通可持续发展的必然要求。然而，在以往的研究中，由于数据的可用性和准确性有限，车站集水区通常被过度简化，无法验证，这对城市轨道交通的规划和运营至关重要。此外，关于城市轨道交通网络中车站集水区如何随拓扑变化而变化的研究也很少。本研究探讨城市轨道交通新线路开通后车站集水区的变化。该研究利用2019年11月和2023年上海的手机信号数据，分析了三条新线路（15号线、14号线和18号线）及其邻近车站的乘客出行情况。采用对比分析和可视化技术，分析了车站集水区的面积和中心点的变化、诱导乘客的来源以及新旧车站之间的分流模式。结果表明，新线影响区内外既有站点的面积和质心变化存在显著差异。既有线与新线的相对位置和换乘状态变化是影响新线影响下既有站变化的关键因素。在新线路的常客和超级乘客中，大约75% %的人在新线路开通之前不经常使用整个轨道交通系统，大约5% %的人经常使用该系统，并产生了与新线路相关的新旅行需求。值得注意的是，只有2% %从现有线路改道。诱导旅客的平均出入口距离和加权平均导流距离均受新建线路途经区域站点密度的影响。虽然大多数改道的乘客来自与现有线路平行的近站，但一些居住在服务不足地区的乘客可能会从较远的车站改道到新线路。研究结果有助于更准确地预测城市轨道交通的客流量，并为提高客流量提供政策建议。

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引用次数: 0

A novel framework for the assessment of public-transport drivers' well-being and satisfaction based on physiological data 基于生理数据的公共交通司机幸福感和满意度评估的新框架

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100129

Guy Wachtel , Yuval Hadas

This paper presents a novel framework for data collection and fusion, for better analysis and assessment of public transportation (PT) drivers' well-being and satisfaction using physiological data. The goal of this framework, when combined with machine learning (ML) and discrete choice models (DCMs) to predict drivers' physiological states based on fleet management data, is to improve service reliability and assess the drivers' well-being and satisfaction. A case study based on different ML models and data collected from available physiological indicators was conducted to demonstrate the framework's ability to predict such features as Heart Rate (HR) and Electrodermal Activity (EDA) based on Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) and Automatic Fare Collection (AFC) systems. The results indicate a significant correlation between service measures (e.g., layover duration, route characteristics and complexity) and the drivers' well-being. Our framework offers practical guidance for decision-makers to enhance operational planning, leading to improved efficiency and healthier working conditions for drivers. Future research should expand the application of the framework to different areas and branches of PT, incorporate additional physiological sensors, and integrate more ML models and DCMs for extensive analysis.

本文提出了一种新的数据收集和融合框架，以便利用生理数据更好地分析和评估公共交通（PT）司机的幸福感和满意度。该框架的目标是，结合机器学习（ML）和离散选择模型（dcm），根据车队管理数据预测驾驶员的生理状态，从而提高服务可靠性，评估驾驶员的幸福感和满意度。基于不同的机器学习模型和从可用生理指标收集的数据进行了案例研究，以证明该框架能够基于自动车辆定位（AVL）和自动收费（AFC）系统预测心率（HR）和皮电活动（EDA）等特征。结果表明，服务措施（如停留时间、路线特征和复杂性）与驾驶员幸福感之间存在显著相关性。我们的框架为决策者提供了切实可行的指导，以加强运营规划，从而提高效率，为司机提供更健康的工作条件。未来的研究应将该框架的应用扩展到PT的不同领域和分支，纳入更多的生理传感器，并整合更多的ML模型和dcm进行广泛的分析。

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引用次数: 0

Planning for gold: identifying opportunities for public transport interventions through machine learning and appraisal automation 规划黄金：通过机器学习和评估自动化识别公共交通干预的机会

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100136

David Arquati, Liam McGrath

Improving public transport connectivity is crucial for decarbonisation and economic growth. Current transport planning approaches to addressing connectivity problems rely on trial-and-error approaches to identify problems and generate options, limited by planners' incomplete knowledge and the overwhelming volume of available travel data.

We introduce a machine-assisted approach to identify opportunities for connectivity enhancements from origin-destination data and generate prioritised intervention options. Using an origin-destination matrix for Greater London covering approximately 1200 activity centres, our method applies trajectory clustering to identify potential high-demand corridors with poor public transport quality.

Our prototype automatically generates multiple public transport scheme options (local bus, express bus, metro) within these corridors along with approximate operating costs. These options are batch-tested using accelerated assignment modelling that optimises mode choice, frequency, and route generation, and the results are given ordered according to benefit-cost ratios.

This approach is now being used to supplement human planners’ knowledge in the development of new express bus services in London.

改善公共交通连通性对脱碳和经济增长至关重要。目前解决交通连接问题的交通规划方法依赖于反复试验的方法来识别问题并提出解决方案，这受到规划者知识不全和大量可用出行数据的限制。我们引入了一种机器辅助方法，从起点-目的地数据中识别连接性增强的机会，并生成优先的干预方案。使用覆盖约1200个活动中心的大伦敦起点-目的地矩阵，我们的方法应用轨迹聚类来识别公共交通质量差的潜在高需求走廊。我们的原型在这些走廊内自动生成多种公共交通方案选项（本地公交、快速公交、地铁）以及大致的运营成本。使用加速分配模型对这些选项进行批量测试，优化模式选择、频率和路线生成，并根据效益-成本比给出结果。这种方法现在正被用来补充人类规划师的知识，以开发伦敦新的快速公交服务。

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引用次数: 0

Counting in: A methodological framework for the accessibility assessment of on-demand transit 计算：按需交通可达性评估的方法框架

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100122

Bogdan Kapatsila , Alex Hindle , Anson Stewart , Emily Grisé

This paper addresses an existing methodological and empirical gap by presenting a framework for conducting a regional cumulative accessibility analysis of a transit network with an on-demand component and demonstrating its application to the context of a mid-sized Canadian city. We rely on the concept of accessibility as a performance metric and propose a methodological approach for inferring inputs for accessibility calculations from actual on-demand operations in Edmonton, Canada, to develop the tool for the accessibility assessment of a transit network with an on-demand component. Our empirical findings show that on-demand zones that were introduced with a redesigned bus network saw the largest gains in transit accessibility, and we identified that excluding on-demand transit from accessibility analysis underestimates the systemic effect of the bus network redesign. While the use of the accessibility framework for the assessment of a transit system with an on-demand component offers a meaningful and comprehensive measure of the success both for the planning purposes at the stage of design and for the post-implementation evaluation of either incremental or systemic changes, on-demand service standards must be developed to ensure consistent service provision of on-demand services throughout the day. On the other hand, informed by the findings of our study and publicly available information about the operational costs of service provision we identified that on-demand service provides operational savings over fixed routes if ridership in the area is less or equal to eight passengers an hour.

本文提出了一个框架，对一个按需组成的交通网络进行区域累积可达性分析，并展示了其在加拿大一个中型城市的应用，从而解决了现有方法和经验上的差距。我们将可达性概念作为一种绩效指标，并提出了一种方法方法，用于推断加拿大埃德蒙顿实际按需运营的可达性计算输入，以开发具有按需组件的交通网络可达性评估工具。我们的实证研究结果表明，引入重新设计的公交网络的按需区域在公交可达性方面获得了最大的收益，并且我们发现，将按需公交排除在可达性分析之外低估了公交网络重新设计的系统效应。虽然使用可达性框架来评估具有按需组件的交通系统，为设计阶段的规划目的和对增量或系统变化的实施后评估提供了一个有意义和全面的成功衡量标准，但必须制定按需服务标准，以确保全天按需服务的一致提供。另一方面，根据我们的研究结果和有关服务提供的运营成本的公开信息，我们确定，如果该地区的乘客少于或等于每小时8名乘客，按需服务将比固定路线节省运营成本。

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引用次数: 0

Measuring transit service reliability at the route level? Exploring the relationship between reliability measures and ridership 在路线层面衡量交通服务的可靠性？探索可靠性措施与客流量之间的关系

IF 2 4区工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION

Journal of Public Transportation

Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2025.100132

Meisam Ghasedi , Jinhyung Lee , Scott Bell , Ehab Diab

Transit agencies are in a consistent struggle to offer an attractive service that draws a higher level of ridership. To improve the attractiveness of the service, one of the key objectives of agencies is to enhance transit service reliability. Service reliability refers to service punctuality and adherence to schedule. A considerable number of studies have focused on understanding the general factors affecting reliability. Nevertheless, it is rare to find studies that explore the association between different reliability measures and transit usage at the route level. Therefore, the aim of this study is to assess how different reliability measures relate to public transit-usage and which measures best explain variations in transit ridership. In total, 22 transit reliability measures that ranged from on-time performance (OTP) measures to service variation measures were assessed. Using land-use, socioeconomic, and detailed ridership datasets, in addition to data obtained from Winnipeg Transit’s Automated Vehicle Location (AVL) system, random coefficients mixed-effect models were estimated at the route level. The results show that, generally, deviation-based measures performed better than OTP measures in explaining transit ridership at the route level. The reliability measure of absolute deviation at terminals performed best in predicting variations in transit ridership, while controlling several influential factors. More importantly, the improvements in predication of ridership due to the use of reliability measures varied according to route’s ridership. This study offers planners and policymakers helpful insights into understanding the relationship between transit service reliability measures of choice and transit ridership at the route level of analysis.

公共交通机构一直在努力提供有吸引力的服务，吸引更多的乘客。为了提高过境服务的吸引力，各机构的主要目标之一是提高过境服务的可靠性。服务可靠性是指服务的准时性和对计划的遵守。相当多的研究集中在了解影响可靠性的一般因素。然而，很少有研究在路线水平上探讨不同可靠性措施与过境使用之间的关系。因此，本研究的目的是评估不同的可靠性测量与公共交通使用的关系，以及哪种测量最能解释交通客流量的变化。总共评估了22个交通可靠性指标，从准点率（OTP）指标到服务变化指标。利用土地利用、社会经济和详细的乘客数据集，以及从温尼伯运输公司的自动车辆定位（AVL）系统获得的数据，在路线层面估计了随机系数混合效应模型。结果表明，总体而言，基于偏差的度量在解释路线层面的公交客流量方面优于OTP度量。在控制多个影响因素的情况下，码头绝对偏差的可靠性度量在预测客流量变化方面表现最好。更重要的是，由于可靠性措施的使用，客运量预测的改进根据路线的客运量而变化。该研究为规划人员和政策制定者提供了有益的见解，帮助他们理解在路线分析层面上选择的公交服务可靠性措施与公交客流量之间的关系。

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