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Passenger valuation of interchanges in urban public transport 城市公共交通换乘站的乘客评价
IF 12.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100089
Menno Yap , Howard Wong , Oded Cats

Understanding how passengers perceive public transport interchanges is important to better explain current public transport mode and route choice behaviour and to better predict future demand levels. In this study we derive how passengers value a public transport interchange in a metropolitan context entirely based on recent, large-scale, Revealed Preference data, explicitly distinguishing between different types and modes of public transport interchanges. For this purpose we estimate three discrete choice models using maximum likelihood estimation, based on over 26,000 passenger route choices observed in June 2023 in the Greater London Area. We find that each public transport interchange is on average valued equivalent to 5 min uncrowded in-vehicle time. Additionally, our model results provide quantitative evidence that cross-platform interchanges between two metro journey legs are valued 20–25 % less negatively than a regular metro interchange where a level change is required. Multimodal bus-metro interchanges and out-of-station interchanges are perceived most negatively by passengers. Passengers value bus-bus interchanges on average about 60 % more negatively than metro-metro interchanges, possibly driven by factors such as comfort, service frequency, reliability and (perceived) safety. Our study results can be used for business case and appraisal purposes, when quantifying the impact of service changes which affect the number or type of interchanges.

了解乘客如何看待公共交通换乘站对于更好地解释当前的公共交通模式和路线选择行为以及更好地预测未来的需求水平非常重要。在本研究中,我们完全根据最近的大规模 "显性偏好 "数据,明确区分不同类型和模式的公共交通换乘站,推导出乘客如何看待大都市中的公共交通换乘站。为此,我们根据 2023 年 6 月在大伦敦地区观察到的 26,000 多条乘客路线选择,采用最大似然估计法估计了三个离散选择模型。我们发现,每个公共交通换乘点的平均价值相当于 5 分钟不拥挤的车内时间。此外,我们的模型结果还提供了定量证据,证明两条地铁线路之间的跨站台换乘比需要平层换乘的普通地铁换乘的负面价值低 20-25%。乘客对公交地铁多式联运换乘站和站外换乘站的负面评价最高。乘客对公共汽车-公共汽车换乘站的负面评价平均比地铁-地铁换乘站高出约 60%,这可能是受舒适度、服务频率、可靠性和(感知)安全性等因素的影响。我们的研究结果可用于商业案例和评估目的,以量化影响换乘站数量或类型的服务变化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the spatial heterogeneity of public transit resilience during and after the COVID-19 Pandemic 揭示 COVID-19 大流行期间和之后公共交通复原力的空间异质性
IF 12.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100091
Xuan Li , Sugie Lee , Chisun Yoo

Even though COVID-19 no longer poses a significant threat to public health, it is crucial to reflect on this large-scale event to design equity and adaptability into services like public transportation systems for cities of the future. The case of Seoul presents a unique opportunity to analyse the pandemic's impact on transit ridership, serving as a natural experiment which is characterized by the implementation of a non-lockdown policy coupled with proactive transit management strategies. This study introduces a resilience index that magnifies the “unaveraged clues” of changes in Origin-Destination (OD) pairs to quantify the spatially unequal response of Seoul public transit use to external shocks from 2020 to 2023. Our findings reveal spatial heterogeneity in the resilience index of OD pairs and the dynamic change of related factors. OD pairs with high resilience during the outbreak were often associated with long-distance and labour-intensive industries, highlighting the need for transit systems to cater to “captive” travellers during the outbreaks. Despite overall ridership recovery in Seoul, factors like car ownership and the diversity of spatial functionality continued to influence patterns, which suggests that transit systems should focus on improving attractiveness to regain lost passengers post-pandemic. These insights are valuable for aligning policy with spatial and temporal dynamics to create equitable and sustainable public transportation systems.

尽管 COVID-19 已不再对公众健康构成重大威胁,但对这一大规模事件进行反思对于未来城市公共交通系统等服务的公平性和适应性设计至关重要。首尔的情况为分析大流行病对公交乘客的影响提供了一个独特的机会,它是一个自然实验,其特点是实施了非封锁政策和积极的公交管理策略。本研究引入了一种弹性指数,该指数放大了起始站-目的地(OD)对变化的 "非平均线索",以量化 2020 年至 2023 年首尔公共交通使用对外部冲击的空间不平等响应。我们的研究结果揭示了始发站对复原力指数的空间异质性以及相关因素的动态变化。疫情爆发期间复原力较高的OD对通常与长途和劳动密集型产业相关,这凸显了公交系统在疫情爆发期间满足 "被俘 "旅客需求的必要性。尽管首尔的乘客量总体上有所恢复,但汽车拥有量和空间功能多样性等因素仍在影响着乘客模式,这表明公交系统应注重提高吸引力,以挽回疫情后流失的乘客。这些见解对于根据时空动态调整政策,创建公平、可持续的公共交通系统非常有价值。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the intra-day and intra-week ridership patterns of urban rail transit stations in London using a fuzzy clustering approach 利用模糊聚类法了解伦敦城市轨道交通车站日内和周内的乘客数量模式
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100099
Yan Cheng , Thomas Hatzichristos , Anastasia Kostellou , Taku Fujiyama , Konstantina Argyropoulou , Ioanna Spyropoulou

The needs for transit station classification are ever-growing as the planning process, be it at a strategic or operational level, becomes increasingly automated, data-oriented, and short-cycled. Whilst most existing models have used binary methods, this study applied a fuzzy clustering approach and examined cluster memberships (i.e., to what degree a station belongs to each cluster) of London rail transit stations by using entry and exit data with intra-day and intra-week variations. A method of hyperparameter selection in fuzzy clustering considering the context of transportation and a framework of ridership variation analysis was proposed. The results suggest that fuzzy clustering can maximise the information from high-resolution temporal passenger flow data of urban rail transit. The membership breakdowns allow users to have a better understanding of station characteristics and help to avoid inadequate plans by treating the stations belonging to multiple clusters in a different manner from the binary clustering, where each station only belongs to one cluster. Furthermore, fuzzy clustering can capture the ridership variation patterns and reveal special clusters. The results can be potentially applied in operation planning, such as service timetabling, station staff working-hour designs and fare strategy designs, etc.

随着规划过程(无论是战略层面还是运营层面)日益自动化、数据化和短周期化,对公交站点分类的需求也与日俱增。现有模型大多采用二进制方法,而本研究则采用模糊聚类方法,通过使用日内和周内变化的进出站数据,对伦敦轨道交通车站的聚类成员(即车站在多大程度上属于每个聚类)进行了研究。研究提出了一种考虑交通背景的模糊聚类超参数选择方法和乘客数量变化分析框架。结果表明,模糊聚类可以最大限度地利用城市轨道交通高分辨率时间客流数据的信息。与二进制聚类(每个车站只属于一个聚类)不同,模糊聚类通过对属于多个聚类的车站进行处理,可以让用户更好地了解车站的特征,有助于避免不适当的规划。此外,模糊聚类还能捕捉乘客的变化模式,并揭示特殊的聚类。研究结果可应用于运营规划,如服务时间安排、车站员工工作时间设计和票价策略设计等。
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引用次数: 0
Air pollution hindering a transit-oriented city: Examining the association of particulate matter concentration with public transit ridership and road traffic in Seoul, South Korea 空气污染阻碍了公交导向型城市的发展:研究韩国首尔颗粒物浓度与公共交通乘客和道路交通的关系
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100111
Seung-Nam Kim , Sunwoo Jung , Youngha Joo , Hyungkyoo Kim
In high-density metropolitan areas prone to air pollution, public transit may be less preferred when air quality is poor due to the difficulty of avoiding outdoor air exposure during their use. By applying seemingly unrelated regression models, we examined the association of particulate matter (PM) with both public transit ridership and, as an alternative to sharing vehicular traffic demands, private car road traffic in Seoul from 2015 to 2018. To control for fluctuations in ridership and road traffic associated with seasonalities such as the day of the week, we used nine-term moving averages transformed into residual form. Results show that higher PM concentration was negatively associated with not only transit ridership, but also road traffic volume and congestion level; yet, the reduction in subway ridership was found to be larger than that in road traffic. This suggests that (1) when PM concentration is severe, people could reduce overall travel rather than change travel modes from public transit to private cars, thus implying that both modes are complementary rather than substitutionary in terms of responding to air pollution; and (2) public transit still seems more susceptible to air pollution than private cars. The findings help us understand the adverse effects of air pollution on public transit use as well as better predict and respond to demand for public transit in poor atmospheric conditions, thereby providing future policy directions for sustainable transportation planning.
在易受空气污染影响的高密度大都市地区,当空气质量较差时,公共交通可能不太受欢迎,因为在使用过程中很难避免接触室外空气。通过应用看似无关的回归模型,我们研究了颗粒物(PM)与公共交通乘客人数的关系,以及作为共享车辆交通需求的替代方案,2015 年至 2018 年首尔私家车道路交通量的关系。为了控制与星期等季节性因素相关的乘客量和道路交通量的波动,我们使用了转化为残差形式的九期移动平均值。结果显示,较高的 PM 浓度不仅与公交乘客人数呈负相关,还与道路交通量和拥堵程度呈负相关;然而,地铁乘客人数的减少幅度大于道路交通量的减少幅度。这表明:(1) 当可吸入颗粒物浓度严重时,人们可以减少总体出行,而不是将出行方式从公共交通改为私家车,从而意味着两种出行方式在应对空气污染方面是互补而非替代的;(2) 公共交通似乎仍然比私家车更容易受到空气污染的影响。这些发现有助于我们了解空气污染对公共交通使用的不利影响,以及更好地预测和应对恶劣大气条件下的公共交通需求,从而为可持续交通规划提供未来的政策方向。
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引用次数: 0
A critical review of analytical approaches in public bus transit network design and operations planning with focus on emerging technologies and sustainability 以新兴技术和可持续性为重点,对公共汽车运输网络设计和运营规划的分析方法进行批判性审查
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100100
Reza Mahmoudi, Saeid Saidi, S.C. Wirasinghe

The Public Bus Transit Network Design and Operations Planning Problem (PBTNDOPP) is a complex transportation problem. Analytical approaches are one of the key approaches to studying this problem, often leading to optimal or near-optimal solutions with reduced computational complexity compared to mathematical programming. This article leverages the Critical Path Method (CPM) to visualize the historical applications of analytical approaches in PBTNDOPP. Then, it reviews the applications of these approaches to some of the recently emerged sub-problems identified via CPM, i.e., sustainable public bus transit network design and introducing emerging transportation technologies to these systems. Our review aims to shed light on the current state of the literature and its future direction in the selected sub-problems by analyzing published studies in the last decade from various angles, such as the problems investigated, modeling methods, decision variables, network structures, and findings. The review shows that the existing body of literature on the application of analytical approaches to the selected problems is immature and at an early stage of development. For example, most of the studies on sustainable PBTNDPPP have not included all dimensions of sustainability and have only focused on environmental sustainability, while considering social criteria such as fairness and equity in PBTNDOPP is crucial for designing a sustainable PBTS. Another important gap is related to hybrid methods based on analytical approaches that take realistic assumptions and uncertainty in various problem parameters and variables into account.

公共汽车交通网络设计与运营规划问题(PBTNDOPP)是一个复杂的交通问题。分析方法是研究该问题的关键方法之一,与数学编程相比,分析方法往往能找到最优或接近最优的解决方案,并降低计算复杂度。本文利用关键路径法 (CPM),直观展示了分析方法在 PBTNDOPP 中的历史应用。然后,文章回顾了这些方法在 CPM 确定的一些近期出现的子问题中的应用,即可持续公共汽车交通网络设计和将新兴交通技术引入这些系统。我们的综述旨在通过分析过去十年中已发表的研究,从调查问题、建模方法、决策变量、网络结构和研究结果等不同角度,阐明所选子问题的文献现状及其未来发展方向。审查结果表明,关于将分析方法应用于所选问题的现有文献尚不成熟,处于早期发展阶 段。例如,大多数关于可持续 PBTNDPPP 的研究都没有包括可持续发展的所有方面,而只是侧重于环境的可持续发展,而考虑 PBTNDOPP 中的公平和公正等社会标准对于设计可持续 PBTS 至关重要。另一个重要差距与基于分析方法的混合方法有关,这些方法考虑了各种问题参数和变量的现实假设和不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Fare inspection in proof-of-payment transit networks: A review 支付证明公交网络中的票价检查:综述
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100101
Benedetto Barabino , Martina Carra , Graham Currie

In proof-of-payment transit systems worldwide, fare inspection is the most widely adopted strategy against fare evasion from transit authorities and public transport companies. Although these actors attempt to make the inspectors’ work as easy, effective, and equitable as possible, several issues need to be analysed according to a unifying approach, i.e., “How, where and when to inspect”, “Who and why evades the fare”, “How many and how to distribute inspectors” as well as improve the inspectors’ effectiveness. Since no study exists in the literature investigating all these issues together, this paper aims to fill this gap with a review of several key papers that covered the full spectrum of relevant literature which, whole or partially, focused on fare inspection. Results show fare inspection is a beneficial strategy against fare evasion, but there are still many challenges and research limits that should be overcome in the years ahead. A possible research agenda is provided. It calls for specific options (i.e., data collection and fare evasion risk in hotspot definition, digital support and bottom-up approaches, size of inspection staff and scheduling of inspectors under realistic conditions and follower responses, effectiveness of actions focused on the visibility of fare inspection, managing interactions between fare inspectors and passengers) and integrated approaches (i.e., linking the planning, organisation, and activities of fare inspection with who and why evade). Nevertheless, even if this review may not be conclusive, these results support a unifying literature development on fare inspection.

在世界各地的付费证明公交系统中,票价检查是公交当局和公共交通公司最广泛采用的打击逃票策略。尽管这些行为者试图让检查员的工作尽可能轻松、有效和公平,但仍有几个问题需要根据统一的方法进行分析,即""、""、""以及改进""。 由于文献中没有将所有这些问题放在一起进行调查的研究,本文旨在通过对几篇主要论文的综述来填补这一空白,这些论文涵盖了全部或部分关注票价检查的相关文献。研究结果表明,票价检查是打击逃票的有效策略,但仍存在许多挑战和研究局限,需要在未来几年内加以克服。本文提供了一个可能的研究议程。它需要具体的选择方案(即,热点定义中的数据收集和逃票风险、数字支持和自下而上的方法、现实条件下检查人员的规模和检查时间安排以及追随者的反应、注重票价检查可见度的行动的有效性、管理票价检查员和乘客之间的互动)和综合方法(即,将票价检查的规划、组织和活动与逃票者和逃票原因联系起来)。尽管如此,即使本次审查可能并不具有结论性,但这些结果支持了关于票价检查的统一文献发展。
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引用次数: 0
A microscopic public transportation simulation framework based on machine learning 基于机器学习的微观公共交通模拟框架
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2024.100103
Younes Delhoum, Olivier Cardin, Maroua Nouiri, Mounira Harzallah

The evaluation of performance of public transportation, such as bus lines for example, is a major issue for operators. To be able to integrate specific and local behaviors, microscopic simulations of the lines, modelling each buses on a daily basis, brings an actual added value in terms of precision and quality. A scientific deadlock then appears regarding the parameterization of the simulation model. In order to be able to gather relevant performance indicators on a potential evolution of the configuration of the line, validated and modifiable simulation models need to be developed. This study aims at proposing a model development methodology based on a multi-agent simulation framework and data inputs extracted by a hybrid approach combining machine learning (ML) trained on actual bus data to predict travel times and probabilistic distributions to accurately estimate travel time variability. It also aims to propose a two-step validation framework that exhibits the performance of the obtained model on a case study based on actual data. The results of the proposed approach are validated by a real case study of three bus lines, including a number of simulation scenarios, to study the impacts of bus recovery time and bus control strategies on bus punctuality. The results obtained show that proposed hybrid approach combining ML with probabilistic distributions outperforms probabilistic distributions on average. Overall, the results show a good fit with the actual Key Performance Indicator (KPI) used by bus operators.

公共交通(例如公交线路)的性能评估是运营商面临的一个重要问题。为了能够整合特定的本地行为,对线路进行微观模拟,每天对每辆公交车进行建模,可以在精度和质量方面带来实际的附加值。因此,在仿真模型的参数化方面出现了科学上的僵局。为了能够收集线路配置潜在演变的相关性能指标,需要开发经过验证且可修改的仿真模型。本研究旨在提出一种基于多代理仿真框架的模型开发方法,以及通过混合方法提取的数据输入,该方法结合了在实际公交数据上训练的机器学习(ML)来预测旅行时间,并结合概率分布来准确估计旅行时间的变化。它还旨在提出一个两步验证框架,在基于实际数据的案例研究中展示所获模型的性能。通过对三条公交线路的实际案例研究验证了所提方法的结果,包括一些模拟场景,以研究公交恢复时间和公交控制策略对公交准点率的影响。研究结果表明,结合了 ML 和概率分布的混合方法平均优于概率分布。总体而言,结果显示与公交运营商实际使用的关键绩效指标(KPI)非常吻合。
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引用次数: 0
University students’ adoption of mobility as a service with respect to user preferences and group differences 从用户偏好和群体差异看大学生将移动作为一种服务的采用情况
IF 12.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2023.100079
Willy Kriswardhana , Domokos Esztergár-Kiss

Mobility as a Service (MaaS) integrates various transport modes into a single comprehensive service; thus, decrease in the inconvenience of using multiple mobility services is expected. This research focuses on the students of Budapest University of Technology and Economics (BME) and aims to complete a background study on MaaS, which offers a vision of how future MaaS studies could be designed and conducted. The research work investigates the influencing factors in BME students’ acceptance of MaaS. The preferences are categorized into two groups based on the travel captivity and the usage of shared mobility services. An online survey was conducted where a total of ca. 700 valid responses were collected. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was performed to examine the causal relationship between the variables. This study identifies effort expectancy as the most influential factor that affects BME students’ behavioral intention to adopt MaaS. On the other hand, there is no significant effect of group differences on the students’ MaaS acceptance, except for individual innovation for travel captivity and tech-savviness regarding the usage of shared mobility. Conducting MaaS studies with samples obtained from the general population is advised thus resolving the generalizability issue of current research.

移动即服务(MaaS)将各种交通方式整合为单一的综合服务,从而减少了使用多种移动服务带来的不便。本研究以布达佩斯技术经济大学(BME)的学生为研究对象,旨在完成一项关于 MaaS 的背景研究,为未来如何设计和开展 MaaS 研究提供一个愿景。研究工作调查了布达佩斯科技经济大学学生接受 MaaS 的影响因素。根据出行方式和共享移动服务的使用情况,将学生的偏好分为两类。研究进行了在线调查,共收集到约 700 份有效回复。研究采用结构方程模型(SEM)来检验变量之间的因果关系。本研究发现,努力期望是影响商学院学生采用 MaaS 的行为意向的最大影响因素。另一方面,群体差异对学生接受 MaaS 没有显著影响,除了个人创新对旅行囚禁的影响,以及对使用共享移动设备的技术热衷程度。建议从普通人群中抽取样本进行 MaaS 研究,从而解决当前研究的普遍性问题。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing public transport loyalty in a car-dominated society: The case of Luxembourg 在汽车主导的社会中评估公共交通的忠诚度:卢森堡的案例
IF 12.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2023.100061
Monika Maciejewska , Kobe Boussauw , Wojciech Kębłowski , Veronique Van Acker

Public transport (PT) systems face the challenge of retaining users and preventing a shift towards individual transport modes. While satisfaction is recognized as a key factor in user loyalty, there is a need to understand the specific PT attributes that contribute to passenger satisfaction and foster loyalty. This study aims to assess the impact of PT service attributes on user loyalty, controlling for socio-demographic characteristics. Data from an online survey conducted in the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, a country with high car dependency, were analysed using logistic regression models. The findings highlight the importance of attributes such as reliable service, in-vehicle travel time, number of transfers, and feeling safe, while also identifying differences in attribute importance between bus and train loyalty. The study provides valuable insights for transport agencies and policymakers to enhance user loyalty and develop effective ridership retention strategies. These findings are particularly relevant in the post-pandemic scenario and can contribute to addressing car dependency challenges in diverse metropolitan areas. The paper concludes with policy recommendations to improve PT services based on the identified attributes.

公共交通系统面临着留住用户和防止向单独交通方式转变的挑战。虽然满意度被认为是用户忠诚度的关键因素,但有必要了解有助于乘客满意度和培养忠诚度的特定PT属性。本研究旨在评估PT服务属性对用户忠诚度的影响,控制社会人口统计特征。使用逻辑回归模型分析了在汽车依赖度较高的卢森堡大公国进行的一项在线调查的数据。研究结果强调了可靠服务、车内旅行时间、接送次数和安全感等属性的重要性,同时也确定了公交车和火车忠诚度之间属性重要性的差异。该研究为交通机构和政策制定者提高用户忠诚度和制定有效的乘客保持策略提供了宝贵的见解。这些发现在疫情后的情况下尤其重要,有助于解决不同大都市地区的汽车依赖挑战。论文最后提出了基于已识别属性改进PT服务的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
A data driven approach to update public transport service elasticities 更新公共交通服务弹性的数据驱动方法
IF 12.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubtr.2023.100066
Howard Wong , Menno Yap

Understanding the passenger demand impacts of public transport service changes is a fundamental aspect of transport planning. The main objective of this study is to derive an updated Generalised Journey Time (GJT) elasticity for urban and metropolitan public transport networks, by applying a revealed preference approach using individual passenger journey data. Based on more than 25 million empirical journeys subject to 9 different service interventions within the Greater London area, we find an average GJT elasticity of −0.61. The value implies that for every 1% increase in generalised journey time, on average public transport demand is expected to reduce by 0.61%, and vice versa. We also find that the demand response to service changes is most elastic during the midday period between the peak hours and most inelastic during the AM peak and early morning, possibly caused by a higher share of mandatory journeys. Our study results confirm the existence of a build-up rate from the initial short-run elasticity to a somewhat stronger longer-run elasticity. Besides, we find that at least within the short- and medium-term demand is more elastic to service degradations compared to service improvements. Our findings imply that it requires more time for demand to increase in response to a service quality improvement, compared to demand to decrease after a service quality reduction.

了解公共交通服务变化对乘客需求的影响是交通规划的一个基本方面。本研究的主要目的是通过使用个人乘客行程数据应用揭示偏好方法,得出城市和大都市公共交通网络的最新广义行程时间(GJT)弹性。基于大伦敦地区超过2500万次接受9种不同服务干预的经验旅行,我们发现平均GJT弹性为-0.61。该值意味着,一般出行时间每增加1%,公共交通需求预计平均将减少0.61%,反之亦然。我们还发现,对服务变化的需求反应在高峰时段之间的中午时段最具弹性,在上午高峰和凌晨时段最缺乏弹性,这可能是由于强制性出行的比例较高所致。我们的研究结果证实了从最初的短期弹性到更强的长期弹性的积累率的存在。此外,我们发现,至少在中短期内,与服务改善相比,需求对服务退化的弹性更大。我们的研究结果表明,与服务质量降低后需求减少相比,服务质量提高后需求增加需要更多的时间。
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引用次数: 0
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