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Does greater police funding help catch more murderers? 更多的警察资助有助于抓住更多的杀人犯吗?
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12325
David Bjerk

This paper examines the impact of police funding on the fraction of homicides that are cleared by arrest. Using data covering homicides in approximately 50 of the largest US cities from 2007 to 2017, I find no evidence that greater police funding resulted in higher homicide clearance rates. This finding is robust to linear regression and instrumental variable approaches, different ways to measure police budgets, and across victims of different races and in different types of neighborhoods. In summary, the way large city police departments have historically spent their funds, more funding has not helped catch more murderers.

本文考察了警察资金对被逮捕澄清的杀人案比例的影响。利用2007年至2017年美国约50个最大城市的凶杀案数据,我发现没有证据表明更多的警察资金导致更高的凶杀案清除率。这一发现对于线性回归和工具变量方法,衡量警察预算的不同方法,以及不同种族和不同类型社区的受害者都是稳健的。总而言之,大城市警察部门历来使用资金的方式是,更多的资金并没有帮助抓住更多的杀人犯。
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引用次数: 1
The Impact of the Digital Economy on Carbon Emissions: Evidence from China 数字经济对碳排放的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.18488/66.v9i1.3066
Xinying Lyu
To achieve net-zero carbon dioxide emissions, countries including China have taken actions to transform their energy-intensive industries and optimize their energy consumption structure. One possible way is to integrate the development of the digital economy into the green-economy efficiency promotion. This study examines the effects of the development in the digital economy on carbon emissions based on the panel data of 31 provinces in mainland China spanning from 2009 to 2019. The regression results show that there was a negative relationship between the digital economy and carbon emissions, which seems to run counter to the prior hypothesis. This is probably because since the beginning of this period China has already been taking advantages of developments in the digital economy to reduce carbon dioxide pollution. Based on the empirical results, I suggest that the digital economy be used to increase the overall productivity and efficiency of the economy, especially in under-developed areas like the northeastern region.
为实现二氧化碳净零排放,包括中国在内的各国纷纷采取行动,推动高耗能产业转型,优化能源消费结构。一种可能的途径是将数字经济的发展与绿色经济效率的提升相结合。本研究基于2009 - 2019年中国大陆31个省份的面板数据,考察了数字经济发展对碳排放的影响。回归结果显示,数字经济与碳排放之间存在负相关关系,这似乎与之前的假设背道而驰。这可能是因为从这一时期开始,中国就一直在利用数字经济的发展来减少二氧化碳污染。根据实证结果,笔者建议利用数字经济来提高经济的整体生产率和效率,特别是在东北等欠发达地区。
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引用次数: 0
A study of pandemic and stigma effects in removal proceedings 清除过程中大流行和污名效应的研究
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12324
Ian Peacock, Emily Ryo

This study examines how a rapid change in social perceptions of a national-origin group triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic influenced immigration judges' decision-making in US removal proceedings. Using originally compiled court data on removal proceedings decided between 2019 and 2020, we applied a difference-in-differences framework to produce three key findings. First, consistent with theory of event stigma, Chinese respondents experienced a significantly higher removal rate during the early pandemic period. Second, consistent with theory of associative stigma, East and Southeast (E/SE) Asian respondents also experienced a significantly higher removal rate during the early pandemic period. Third, the removal rate declined for both Chinese and E/SE respondents during the later pandemic period, but this decline was more gradual and lagged for E/SE Asian than for Chinese respondents. Finally, increases in the number of cases involving Chinese respondents increased the removal rate for E/SE Asian respondents during the early months of the pandemic. The last two findings suggest that associative or indirect stigmatization may be harder to combat than direct stigmatization owing to the implicit nature of bias underlying associative stigma. This study highlights the socially constructed nature of national origin groups, and the importance of both direct and indirect stigmatization in the production of social inequality.

本研究探讨了COVID-19大流行引发的对原籍群体的社会观念的快速变化如何影响移民法官在美国遣返程序中的决策。利用最初汇编的2019年至2020年期间决定的搬迁诉讼的法庭数据,我们采用了差异中的差异框架,得出了三个关键发现。首先,与事件污名化理论一致,中国应答者在大流行早期的去除率明显较高。第二,与联想病耻感理论一致,东亚和东南亚(E/SE)受访者在大流行早期也经历了明显更高的去除率。第三,在大流行后期,中国和东南欧受访者的去除率均有所下降,但与中国受访者相比,东南欧受访者的去除率下降更为缓慢和滞后。最后,在大流行的最初几个月,涉及中国应答者的病例数量的增加提高了东亚/东南亚应答者的清除率。最后两项研究结果表明,联想或间接污名化可能比直接污名化更难对抗,因为联想污名化背后隐含的偏见性质。这项研究强调了民族起源群体的社会建构性质,以及直接和间接污名化在社会不平等产生中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Do doctors prescribe antibiotics out of fear of malpractice? 医生开抗生素是因为害怕玩忽职守吗?
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-05-30 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12316
Sebastian Panthöfer

This paper studies whether doctors prescribe antibiotics to protect themselves against potential malpractice claims. Using data from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey on a representative sample of doctor visits from 1993 to 2011, I find that doctors are significantly less likely to prescribe antibiotics following tort reforms that reduce malpractice pressure. The changing prescribing patterns appear to have no adverse effects on patient health outcomes over the same time period. Almost 100 million hospital records from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample reveal little to no effects of tort reforms on hospital stays involving conditions that can potentially be avoided through the timely use of antibiotics. Taken together, these findings suggest that malpractice pressure induces doctors to prescribe antibiotics that are medically unnecessary, thereby contributing to the rise in antibiotic resistance.

本文研究医生是否开抗生素以保护自己免受潜在的医疗事故索赔。利用1993年至2011年全国门诊医疗调查的代表性样本数据,我发现,在侵权改革减少了医疗事故压力后,医生开抗生素的可能性显著降低。在同一时期,不断变化的处方模式似乎对患者的健康结果没有不利影响。来自全国住院病人样本的近1亿份医院记录显示,侵权改革对住院病人的影响很小,甚至没有影响,这些住院病人可能通过及时使用抗生素来避免。综上所述,这些发现表明,医疗事故的压力促使医生开出医学上不必要的抗生素,从而导致抗生素耐药性上升。
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引用次数: 0
Does judicial foreclosure procedure help delinquent subprime mortgage borrowers? 司法止赎程序是否有助于拖欠次级抵押贷款的借款人?
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-30 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12314
Aidong Adam Ding, Shaonan Tian, Yan Yu, Xinlei Zhao

We conduct comprehensive analyses on whether and how the judicial foreclosure procedure helps subprime mortgage borrowers to reinstate their delinquent loans outside foreclosure liquidation. Even though the transition rates of various exit types are all higher in non-judicial states, we argue such higher rates can be mechanically driven by the faster shrinking pool of delinquent mortgages in non-judicial states over time. Based on the cumulative proportions of various exit types during a period of up to 5 years post the mortgage first become 90 days past due, we find that judicial states offer more opportunities for delinquent borrowers to reinstate their loans outside foreclosure liquidation, especially during a housing market downturn. Cures, modifications, and paid-offs were all important alternative ways to resolve serious delinquencies during 2007–2008. After modifications became widely available in 2009, loan modifications became the most important alternative for subprime borrowers to reinstate their delinquent mortgages outside foreclosure liquidation. The lion's share of the judicial foreclosure benefit shows up after the start of the foreclosure process.

我们对司法止赎程序是否以及如何帮助次级抵押贷款借款人在止赎清算之外恢复其拖欠贷款进行了全面分析。尽管在非司法州,各种退出类型的过渡率都更高,但我们认为,随着时间的推移,非司法州拖欠抵押贷款的数量减少得更快,这可能会机械地推动这种更高的比率。基于在抵押贷款首次逾期90天之后长达5年的时间内各种退出类型的累积比例,我们发现司法州为拖欠借款人提供了更多的机会,使其在止赎清算之外恢复贷款,特别是在住房市场低迷期间。在2007-2008年期间,治愈、修改和偿还都是解决严重拖欠的重要替代方法。在2009年修改条款被广泛使用后,贷款修改条款成为次级借款人在取消抵押品赎回权清算之外恢复其拖欠抵押贷款的最重要选择。司法止赎利益的最大份额出现在止赎程序开始之后。
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引用次数: 0
Framing negligence 框架的疏忽
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-28 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12315
Shoham Choshen-Hillel, Ehud Guttel, Alon Harel

This article uncovers the role of framing in the determination of negligence. Negligence disputes fall into two categories: cases in which injurers inflicted harm while seeking to avoid a loss to themselves (loss frame) and those in which they were seeking to obtain a personal gain (gain frame). We develop a theoretical framework whereby the frame of the injurer's behavior shapes negligence determinations in two ways. First, people are less likely to find an injurer negligent in a loss than in a gain frame. This is because, due to loss aversion, they find behavior more reasonable if done to avoid a loss than to obtain a gain. Second, people accord greater weight to the efficiency of the injurer's behavior in a loss frame than in a gain frame. This is because a comparison between the victim's harm and the injurer's benefit is more salient when both parties face a loss (loss frame). A series of experiments supported both hypotheses as well as the underlying mechanism. We discuss the implications of our findings and suggest that they may relate to the seemingly inconsistent case law on the role of efficiency considerations in negligence cases.

本文揭示了框架在过失认定中的作用。过失纠纷分为两类:伤害人为避免自身损失而造成伤害的案件(损失框架)和寻求个人利益的案件(利益框架)。我们发展了一个理论框架,据此,加害人的行为框架以两种方式塑造过失判定。首先,人们不太可能在损失中发现伤害者的疏忽,而不是在获得框架中。这是因为,由于损失厌恶,他们认为避免损失的行为比获得收益的行为更合理。其次,在损失框架中,人们比在获得框架中更重视加害人行为的效率。这是因为当双方都面临损失(损失框架)时,受害者的伤害和加害人的利益之间的比较更为突出。一系列的实验支持了这两种假设以及潜在的机制。我们讨论了我们的研究结果的含义,并建议他们可能涉及似乎不一致的判例法在疏忽案件中效率考虑的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Intensified support for juvenile offenders on probation: Evidence from Germany 加强对缓刑少年犯的支持:来自德国的证据
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-19 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12311
Christoph Engel, Sebastian J. Goerg, Christian Traxler

This paper studies a probation program in Cologne, Germany. The program, which has a clear rehabilitative focus, offers intensified personal support to serious juvenile offenders over the first 6 months of their probation period. To evaluate the program's impact on recidivism, we draw on two research designs. Firstly, a small-scale randomized trial assigns offenders to probation with regular or intensified support. Secondly, a regression discontinuity design exploits a cutoff that defines program eligibility. The results suggest that the program reduces recidivism. The effect seems persistent over at least 3 years. Our evidence further indicates that the drop in recidivism is strongest among less severe offenders.

本文对德国科隆的一个缓刑项目进行了研究。该项目以明确的改造为重点,在缓刑的前6个月为严重的少年犯提供强化的个人支持。为了评估该项目对累犯的影响,我们采用了两种研究设计。首先,一个小规模的随机试验将罪犯分配到缓刑,并给予定期或强化的支持。其次,回归不连续设计利用了定义程序合格性的截止。结果表明,该计划减少了再犯。这种效果似乎持续了至少3年。我们的证据进一步表明,重犯率的下降在较轻的罪犯中最为明显。
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引用次数: 2
Appellate court assignments as a natural experiment: Gender panel effects in sex discrimination cases 作为自然实验的上诉法庭分配:性别歧视案件中的性别专家组效应
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12312
Robert S. Erikson

This paper argues that estimating causal effects on US Appellate Court panels can be advanced by analyzing the data as a series of natural experiments, fully exploiting the as-if random assignment of judges to cases. As a template, this paper reanalyzes Boyd et al.'s data on sex-discrimination cases. The question is the impact on the votes by male judges from having a female judge on their panel. Leverage from as-if random assignment can be exploited only by restricting comparisons of treatments cases (in the example, female co-panelist) exclusively to control cases (all-male panels) from the same period and time period from which the treatment cases are drawn. With as-if random assignment reducing the possibility of a biased estimate, the results confirms a gender panel effect similar in size to the claim by Boyd et al. Restricting comparisons to within the same circuit and time period further advances understanding of the causal mechanism. When male or female judges side with female plaintiffs, the females are more persuasive at swaying the votes of their male co-panelists' votes.

本文认为,通过将数据作为一系列自然实验来分析,充分利用法官对案件的随机分配,可以进一步估计对美国上诉法院小组的因果影响。作为模板,本文重新分析了Boyd等人关于性别歧视案例的数据。问题是,在男性法官的评委会中加入一名女性法官会对他们的投票产生什么影响。只有将治疗病例(在本例中为女性小组成员)与对照病例(全部为男性小组成员)的比较限制在同一时期和抽取治疗病例的时间段内,才能利用类似随机分配的杠杆作用。由于随机分配减少了有偏差估计的可能性,结果证实了性别面板效应,其大小与Boyd等人的说法相似。将比较限制在同一回路和时间段内,进一步促进了对因果机制的理解。当男性或女性法官站在女性原告一边时,女性在影响男性陪审员的投票方面更有说服力。
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引用次数: 0
Introducing twin corpora of decisions for the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and the Permanent Court of International Justice (PCIJ) 为国际法院(ICJ)和国际常设法院(PCIJ)引入双决定语料库
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12313
Seán Fobbe

In this article I present the first two of a new series of open and high-quality international legal data sets: comprehensive, fully reproducible, human- and machine-readable open access collections covering one hundred years of case law of the primary judicial organs of the United Nations and the League of Nations: the Corpus of Decisions: International Court of Justice (CD-ICJ) and the Corpus of Decisions: Permanent Court of International Justice (CD-PCIJ). Each corpus is designed to capture in its entirety the published case law of its eponymous Court, including majority opinions (judgments, advisory opinions and orders), but also the minority opinions annexed to each decision (declarations, separate opinions and dissenting opinions). The corpora are enriched with useful metadata to enhance text-as-data research and enable stand-alone metadata analyses. While each corpus can stand on its own, the twin corpora are designed to be perfectly interoperable for the purposes of analyses that wish to treat the ICJ and PCIJ as a continuous entity. The most recent versions of the corpora will always be available open access at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3826444 (CD-ICJ) and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3840479 (CD-PCIJ).

在本文中,我介绍了一系列新的开放和高质量的国际法律数据集的前两个:全面的、完全可复制的、人类和机器可读的开放获取集,涵盖了联合国和国际联盟主要司法机关的百年判例法:《判决语料:国际法院》(CD-ICJ)和《判决语料:国际法院》(CD-PCIJ)。每一个语料的目的都是完整地收录其同名法院公布的判例法,包括多数意见(判决书、咨询意见和命令),但也包括每项判决所附的少数意见(声明、单独意见和反对意见)。该语料库丰富了有用的元数据,以增强文本即数据研究并支持独立元数据分析。虽然每个语料库都可以独立存在,但为了将ICJ和PCIJ视为连续实体的分析目的,双语料库被设计为完全可互操作。语料库的最新版本将始终在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3826444 (CD-ICJ)和https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3840479 (CD-PCIJ)上开放获取。
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引用次数: 1
U.S. Copyright Termination Notices 1977–2020: Introducing New Datasets 美国版权终止声明1977-2020:引入新的数据集
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12310
Joshua Yuvaraj, Rebecca Giblin, Daniel Russo-Batterham, Genevieve Grant

Copyright termination laws in the United States allow creators to end their copyright assignments and licences after various time periods and regain their rights. These laws are designed to protect authors and their heirs by giving them a second opportunity to profit from their works, where they might have assigned them initially for relatively little. Similar laws are in force and being recommended for implementation around the world. However, there is little data on how these laws are being used. Such data is vital because it provides insights into the pros and cons of different systems. We fill this gap by providing the first large-scale study of copyright termination notice records from the U.S. Copyright Office. Utilising data scraping and manipulation techniques in the Python programming language, we have created two brand new datasets for scholars, copyright experts, creators, publishers, and other industry stakeholders to examine. In our accompanying paper, we document some preliminary trends from the data and how it might be used for further analysis.

美国的版权终止法允许创作者在不同时期后终止其版权转让和许可,并重新获得他们的权利。这些法律旨在保护作者和他们的继承人,给他们第二次机会从他们的作品中获利,而他们最初可能会以相对较低的价格转让这些作品。类似的法律正在生效,并被建议在世界各地实施。然而,关于这些法律如何被使用的数据很少。这些数据至关重要,因为它提供了对不同系统优缺点的洞察。我们通过提供美国版权局版权终止通知记录的首次大规模研究来填补这一空白。利用Python编程语言中的数据抓取和操作技术,我们创建了两个全新的数据集,供学者、版权专家、创作者、出版商和其他行业利益相关者检查。在我们的论文中,我们从数据中记录了一些初步趋势,以及如何将其用于进一步分析。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Empirical Legal Studies
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