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Intensified support for juvenile offenders on probation: Evidence from Germany 加强对缓刑少年犯的支持:来自德国的证据
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-19 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12311
Christoph Engel, Sebastian J. Goerg, Christian Traxler

This paper studies a probation program in Cologne, Germany. The program, which has a clear rehabilitative focus, offers intensified personal support to serious juvenile offenders over the first 6 months of their probation period. To evaluate the program's impact on recidivism, we draw on two research designs. Firstly, a small-scale randomized trial assigns offenders to probation with regular or intensified support. Secondly, a regression discontinuity design exploits a cutoff that defines program eligibility. The results suggest that the program reduces recidivism. The effect seems persistent over at least 3 years. Our evidence further indicates that the drop in recidivism is strongest among less severe offenders.

本文对德国科隆的一个缓刑项目进行了研究。该项目以明确的改造为重点,在缓刑的前6个月为严重的少年犯提供强化的个人支持。为了评估该项目对累犯的影响,我们采用了两种研究设计。首先,一个小规模的随机试验将罪犯分配到缓刑,并给予定期或强化的支持。其次,回归不连续设计利用了定义程序合格性的截止。结果表明,该计划减少了再犯。这种效果似乎持续了至少3年。我们的证据进一步表明,重犯率的下降在较轻的罪犯中最为明显。
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引用次数: 2
Appellate court assignments as a natural experiment: Gender panel effects in sex discrimination cases 作为自然实验的上诉法庭分配:性别歧视案件中的性别专家组效应
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12312
Robert S. Erikson

This paper argues that estimating causal effects on US Appellate Court panels can be advanced by analyzing the data as a series of natural experiments, fully exploiting the as-if random assignment of judges to cases. As a template, this paper reanalyzes Boyd et al.'s data on sex-discrimination cases. The question is the impact on the votes by male judges from having a female judge on their panel. Leverage from as-if random assignment can be exploited only by restricting comparisons of treatments cases (in the example, female co-panelist) exclusively to control cases (all-male panels) from the same period and time period from which the treatment cases are drawn. With as-if random assignment reducing the possibility of a biased estimate, the results confirms a gender panel effect similar in size to the claim by Boyd et al. Restricting comparisons to within the same circuit and time period further advances understanding of the causal mechanism. When male or female judges side with female plaintiffs, the females are more persuasive at swaying the votes of their male co-panelists' votes.

本文认为,通过将数据作为一系列自然实验来分析,充分利用法官对案件的随机分配,可以进一步估计对美国上诉法院小组的因果影响。作为模板,本文重新分析了Boyd等人关于性别歧视案例的数据。问题是,在男性法官的评委会中加入一名女性法官会对他们的投票产生什么影响。只有将治疗病例(在本例中为女性小组成员)与对照病例(全部为男性小组成员)的比较限制在同一时期和抽取治疗病例的时间段内,才能利用类似随机分配的杠杆作用。由于随机分配减少了有偏差估计的可能性,结果证实了性别面板效应,其大小与Boyd等人的说法相似。将比较限制在同一回路和时间段内,进一步促进了对因果机制的理解。当男性或女性法官站在女性原告一边时,女性在影响男性陪审员的投票方面更有说服力。
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引用次数: 0
Introducing twin corpora of decisions for the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and the Permanent Court of International Justice (PCIJ) 为国际法院(ICJ)和国际常设法院(PCIJ)引入双决定语料库
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12313
Seán Fobbe

In this article I present the first two of a new series of open and high-quality international legal data sets: comprehensive, fully reproducible, human- and machine-readable open access collections covering one hundred years of case law of the primary judicial organs of the United Nations and the League of Nations: the Corpus of Decisions: International Court of Justice (CD-ICJ) and the Corpus of Decisions: Permanent Court of International Justice (CD-PCIJ). Each corpus is designed to capture in its entirety the published case law of its eponymous Court, including majority opinions (judgments, advisory opinions and orders), but also the minority opinions annexed to each decision (declarations, separate opinions and dissenting opinions). The corpora are enriched with useful metadata to enhance text-as-data research and enable stand-alone metadata analyses. While each corpus can stand on its own, the twin corpora are designed to be perfectly interoperable for the purposes of analyses that wish to treat the ICJ and PCIJ as a continuous entity. The most recent versions of the corpora will always be available open access at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3826444 (CD-ICJ) and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3840479 (CD-PCIJ).

在本文中,我介绍了一系列新的开放和高质量的国际法律数据集的前两个:全面的、完全可复制的、人类和机器可读的开放获取集,涵盖了联合国和国际联盟主要司法机关的百年判例法:《判决语料:国际法院》(CD-ICJ)和《判决语料:国际法院》(CD-PCIJ)。每一个语料的目的都是完整地收录其同名法院公布的判例法,包括多数意见(判决书、咨询意见和命令),但也包括每项判决所附的少数意见(声明、单独意见和反对意见)。该语料库丰富了有用的元数据,以增强文本即数据研究并支持独立元数据分析。虽然每个语料库都可以独立存在,但为了将ICJ和PCIJ视为连续实体的分析目的,双语料库被设计为完全可互操作。语料库的最新版本将始终在https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3826444 (CD-ICJ)和https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3840479 (CD-PCIJ)上开放获取。
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引用次数: 1
U.S. Copyright Termination Notices 1977–2020: Introducing New Datasets 美国版权终止声明1977-2020:引入新的数据集
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12310
Joshua Yuvaraj, Rebecca Giblin, Daniel Russo-Batterham, Genevieve Grant

Copyright termination laws in the United States allow creators to end their copyright assignments and licences after various time periods and regain their rights. These laws are designed to protect authors and their heirs by giving them a second opportunity to profit from their works, where they might have assigned them initially for relatively little. Similar laws are in force and being recommended for implementation around the world. However, there is little data on how these laws are being used. Such data is vital because it provides insights into the pros and cons of different systems. We fill this gap by providing the first large-scale study of copyright termination notice records from the U.S. Copyright Office. Utilising data scraping and manipulation techniques in the Python programming language, we have created two brand new datasets for scholars, copyright experts, creators, publishers, and other industry stakeholders to examine. In our accompanying paper, we document some preliminary trends from the data and how it might be used for further analysis.

美国的版权终止法允许创作者在不同时期后终止其版权转让和许可,并重新获得他们的权利。这些法律旨在保护作者和他们的继承人,给他们第二次机会从他们的作品中获利,而他们最初可能会以相对较低的价格转让这些作品。类似的法律正在生效,并被建议在世界各地实施。然而,关于这些法律如何被使用的数据很少。这些数据至关重要,因为它提供了对不同系统优缺点的洞察。我们通过提供美国版权局版权终止通知记录的首次大规模研究来填补这一空白。利用Python编程语言中的数据抓取和操作技术,我们创建了两个全新的数据集,供学者、版权专家、创作者、出版商和其他行业利益相关者检查。在我们的论文中,我们从数据中记录了一些初步趋势,以及如何将其用于进一步分析。
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引用次数: 0
Powerful CEOs and Corporate Governance 强势ceo与公司治理
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-06 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12305
Mark Humphery-Jenner, Emdad Islam, Lubna Rahman, Jo-Ann Suchard

Excessive CEO power is often regarded as value-destroying. We use a quasi-exogenous regulatory shock to analyze whether improved governance helps to channel firms with powerful CEOs toward more value-enhancing corporate policies. We use the Sarbanes-Oxley Act and NYSE/NASDAQ listing rules and focus on firms that were required to improve governance. We find that postregulation firms led by powerful CEOs increase innovation inputs (Research and Development expenditures) and produce more innovation outputs (patents) that are scientifically more important (citations) and economically more valuable (market value of patents). Investment quality also improves, manifesting in better takeover performance and improvements in firm performance and corporate value. Our results suggest that improved governance can mitigate value destruction in powerful CEO-managed firms. We take steps to mitigate econometric concerns and ensure our results are robust to various combinations of fixed effects and control variables.

过度的CEO权力通常被认为是破坏价值的。我们使用准外生监管冲击来分析改善治理是否有助于引导拥有强大ceo的公司采取更具价值提升性的公司政策。我们使用萨班斯-奥克斯利法案和纽交所/纳斯达克上市规则,重点关注需要改善治理的公司。我们发现,由强大的ceo领导的后监管企业增加了创新投入(研发支出),并产生了更多的创新产出(专利),这些创新产出在科学上更重要(引用),在经济上更有价值(专利的市场价值)。投资质量也有所提高,表现为收购绩效的提高、企业绩效和企业价值的提高。我们的研究结果表明,改善治理可以减轻强大的ceo管理公司的价值破坏。我们采取措施减轻计量经济学的担忧,并确保我们的结果对固定效应和控制变量的各种组合是稳健的。
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引用次数: 3
Currency Mismatches and Public Debt Management: What is Effective Strategy for Developing Country? 货币错配与公共债务管理:发展中国家的有效策略是什么?
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-04 DOI: 10.18488/66.v9i1.2917
Scott Regifere Mouandat
Developing countries are often confronted with debt problems because of the risks of over-indebtedness and especially the heavy default history. In such a context, debt management must be rigorous and guarantee a stable debt. However, such management is difficult in an environment marked by liabilities denominated in foreign currencies and assets denominated in domestic currencies, i.e., an environment of currency mismatches. The objective of this paper is then to determine, from a partial equilibrium model, an effective strategy for managing public debt in the presence of currency mismatches. We conclude that it is preferable to arbitrate between a debt denominated in foreign currency and a debt denominated in domestic currency. We also find that this arbitation depends on the financing conditions, i.e. the domestic interest rate and the risk premium on foreign debt. More precisely, when the government's objective is to minimize the interest burden, it is preferable to issue more local currency debt and less foreign currency debt, as long as the domestic interest rate is lower than the risk premium on foreign debt.
发展中国家经常面临债务问题,因为它们有过度负债的危险,特别是有严重的违约历史。在这种情况下,必须严格债务管理,保证债务稳定。但是,在以外币计价的负债和以本币计价的资产,即货币错配的环境下,这种管理是困难的。本文的目标是从部分均衡模型中确定在存在货币错配的情况下管理公共债务的有效策略。我们的结论是,在以外币计价的债务和以本币计价的债务之间进行仲裁更为可取。我们还发现,这种仲裁取决于融资条件,即国内利率和外债风险溢价。更确切地说,当政府的目标是尽量减少利息负担时,只要国内利率低于外债的风险溢价,就可以多发行本币债,少发行外币债。
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引用次数: 1
Transnational Litigation in U.S. Courts: A Theoretical and Empirical Reassessment 美国法院的跨国诉讼:理论与实证的再评估
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-03 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12306
Christopher A. Whytock

It is widely claimed that the level of transnational litigation in U.S. courts is high and increasing, primarily due to forum shopping by foreign plaintiffs. This “transnational forum shopping claim” reflects the conventional wisdom among transnational litigation scholars. Lawyers use the claim in briefs; judges use it in court opinions; and interest groups use it to promote law reform. This article reassesses the transnational forum shopping claim theoretically and empirically. It argues that despite globalization, there are reasons to doubt the claim. Changes in procedural and substantive law have made the U.S. legal system less attractive to plaintiffs than it supposedly once was. Meanwhile, other legal systems have been adopting features similar to those that are said to have made the United States a “magnet forum” for foreign plaintiffs, and arbitration is growing as an alternative to transnational litigation. Empirically, using data on approximately 8 million civil actions filed in the U.S. district courts since 1988, the article shows that transnational diversity cases represent only a small portion of overall litigation, their level has decreased overall, and U.S., not foreign, plaintiffs file most of them. The data also reveal that federal question filings by foreign resident plaintiffs are not extensive or increasing either. These findings challenge the transnational forum shopping claim and law reforms based on it, and suggest that it should no longer be used by lawyers, judges, and scholars—at least not without supporting data. The article’s analysis also suggests new directions for transnational litigation as a field of scholarship that would move it beyond its current focus on U.S. courts toward a focus on understanding the dynamics of transnational litigation in global context.

人们普遍认为,美国法院的跨国诉讼水平很高,而且还在不断提高,这主要是由于外国原告在法庭上购物。这种“跨国法庭购物主张”反映了跨国诉讼学者的传统智慧。律师在辩护状中使用索赔;法官在法庭意见中使用它;利益集团利用它来推动法律改革。本文从理论和实证两方面对跨国论坛购物索赔进行了重新评估。它认为,尽管全球化,但有理由怀疑这种说法。程序法和实体法的变化使美国法律体系对原告的吸引力不如从前。与此同时,其他法律体系也在采用类似的特征,据说这些特征使美国成为吸引外国原告的“磁铁论坛”,仲裁作为跨国诉讼的一种替代方案正在增长。从经验上看,本文使用了1988年以来在美国地方法院提起的大约800万起民事诉讼的数据,结果表明,跨国多样性案件仅占全部诉讼的一小部分,其水平总体上有所下降,而且大多数案件是由美国而非外国原告提起的。数据还显示,外国居民原告提交的联邦问题数量并不多,也没有增加。这些发现对跨国论坛购物主张和基于此的法律改革提出了挑战,并建议律师、法官和学者不应该再使用这种说法——至少在没有数据支持的情况下是这样。本文的分析还为跨国诉讼作为一个学术领域提出了新的方向,这将使其超越目前对美国法院的关注,转而关注全球背景下跨国诉讼的动态。
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引用次数: 1
Does Group Familiarity Improve Deliberations in Judicial Teams? Evidence from the German Federal Court of Justice 群体熟悉是否能提高司法团队的审议效率?证据来自德国联邦法院
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-02-03 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12308
Tilko Swalve

Collegiality plays a central role in judicial decision-making. However, we still lack empirical evidence about the effects of collegiality on judicial decision-making. In this article, I argue familiarity, an antecedent to collegiality, improves judicial deliberations by encouraging minority dissent and a more extensive debate of different legal viewpoints. Relying on a novel dataset of 21,613 appeals in criminal cases at the German Federal Court of Justice between 1990 and 2016, I exploit quasi-random assignment of cases to decision-making groups to show that judges' pairwise familiarity substantially increases the probability that judges schedule a main hearing after first-stage deliberations. Group familiarity also increases the length of the justification of the ruling. The findings have implications for the way courts organize the assignment of judges to panels.

合议制在司法决策中发挥着核心作用。然而,我们仍然缺乏关于合议制对司法决策影响的经验证据。在这篇文章中,我认为熟悉度是合议的先决条件,通过鼓励少数异议和对不同法律观点进行更广泛的辩论来改善司法审议。根据1990年至2016年间德国联邦法院21,613起刑事案件上诉的新数据集,我利用案件准随机分配给决策小组的方法,表明法官的成对熟悉度大大增加了法官在第一阶段审议后安排主要听证会的可能性。群体熟悉度也增加了裁决的正当性。这些发现对法院安排法官进入小组的方式具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 3
Do Firearm Markets Comply with Firearm Restrictions? How the Massachusetts Assault Weapons Ban Enforcement Notice Changed Registered Firearm Sales 枪支市场是否遵守枪支限制?马萨诸塞州攻击性武器禁令执行通知如何改变注册枪支销售
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-01-27 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12307
Meenakshi Balakrishna, Kenneth C. Wilbur

How well do firearm markets comply with firearm restrictions? The Massachusetts Attorney General issued an Enforcement Notice in 2016 to announce a new interpretation of the key phrase “copies and duplicates” in the state's assault weapons ban. The Enforcement Notice increased assault rifle sales by 1349 (+560%) within 5 days, followed by a reduction of 211 (−58%) over the next 3 weeks. Assault rifle sales were 64%–66% lower in 2017 than in comparable earlier periods, suggesting that the Enforcement Notice reduced assault weapon sales but also that many banned weapons continued to be sold.

枪支市场在多大程度上遵守了枪支限制?马萨诸塞州总检察长于2016年发布了一份执行通知,宣布了对该州攻击性武器禁令中关键短语“副本和副本”的新解释。执行通知在5天内增加了1349支突击步枪的销量(+560%),随后在接下来的3周内减少了211支(- 58%)。2017年突击步枪的销量比同期下降了64%-66%,这表明执行通知减少了突击武器的销量,但许多被禁武器仍在继续销售。
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引用次数: 0
Leases as Forms 租赁表格
IF 1.7 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2022-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/jels.12309
David A. Hoffman, Anton Strezhnev

We offer the first large-scale descriptive study of residential leases, based on a novel dataset of ~170,000 residential leases filed in support of over ~200,000 Philadelphia eviction proceedings from 2005 through 2019. These leases are highly likely to contain unenforceable terms, and their pro-landlord tilt has increased sharply over time. Matching leases with individual tenant characteristics, and to 16,261 unique owner-landlords, we show that unenforceable terms are likely to be associated with more expensive leaseholds in richer, whiter parts of the city. This result is linked to particular landlords' growing adoption of shared forms, originally created by nonprofit landlord associations, and more recently available online for a nominal fee. Generally, such shared form leases contain worse rules for tenants than the proprietary leases they replace. Over time, it has become easier and cheaper for landlords to adopt such common forms, meaning that access to justice for landlords strips tenants of rights.

我们提供了第一个大规模的住宅租赁描述性研究,该研究基于一个新的数据集,该数据集包含约17万份住宅租赁,以支持2005年至2019年期间超过20万份费城驱逐诉讼。这些租约极有可能包含无法执行的条款,而且随着时间的推移,它们的亲房东倾向急剧增加。我们将租赁与个人租户特征相匹配,并对16,261个独特的业主-房东进行了分析,结果表明,在城市中较富裕、白人较多的地区,不可执行的条款可能与租金较高有关。这一结果与某些房东越来越多地采用共享表格有关,共享表格最初是由非营利房东协会创建的,最近在网上以象征性的费用提供。一般来说,这种共享形式的租赁包含比它们所取代的专有租赁更糟糕的规则。随着时间的推移,房东采用这种常见形式变得越来越容易,成本也越来越低,这意味着房东诉诸司法剥夺了房客的权利。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Empirical Legal Studies
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