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The relationship between institutional quality, trust and private savings 机构质量、信任与私人储蓄之间的关系
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1017/S1744137423000346
François Facchini, Sophie Massin, Kevin Brookes
Abstract This paper draws on macroeconomics, the economics of institutions and the economics of trust to explain private savings at the national level for 33 OECD (mostly European) countries from 2002 to 2012. More specifically, it raises two questions: (i) is it the quality of institutions or trust in institutions that drives private savings? (ii) if trust matters, what is the appropriate institutional level at which it operates? To answer these questions, we add to the usual explanatory variables of private savings three measures of institutional quality and six measures of institutional trust, distributed between the following institutional levels, presented in assumed hierarchical order: political, legal, financial and social. We find that trust in political institutions is the most significant driver of private savings. This contributes to the literature underlining the importance of subjectivity in social and economic phenomena and suggests, for private bank savings in countries having highly regulated banking systems, the existence of a hierarchy of trust in which trust in the highest-ranking institutions (political – and to a lesser extent legal – institutions) acts as a substitute for trust in every lower-ranking institution (financial institutions and social trust).
摘要 本文利用宏观经济学、制度经济学和信任经济学来解释 2002 年至 2012 年 33 个经合组织国家(主要是欧洲国家)在国家层面上的私人储蓄情况。更具体地说,本文提出了两个问题:(i) 推动私人储蓄的是机构的质量还是对机构的信任?(ii) 如果信任很重要,那么什么是其运作的适当机构水平?为了回答这些问题,我们在通常的私人储蓄解释变量之外,增加了三个衡量机构质量的指标和六个衡量机构信任度的指标,这些指标按假定的等级顺序分布在以下机构层面:政治、法律、金融和社会。我们发现,对政治体制的信任是私人储蓄最重要的驱动因素。这为强调主观性在社会和经济现象中重要性的文献做出了贡献,并表明,在银行系统高度规范的国家,私人银行储蓄存在信任等级,其中对最高级别机构(政治机构,其次是法律机构)的信任可以替代对每一个较低级别机构(金融机构和社会信任)的信任。
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引用次数: 0
Do human capital and institutional quality contribute to Brazil's long term real convergence/divergence process? A Markov regime-switching autoregressive approach 人力资本和制度质量是否有助于巴西的长期实际趋同/趋异进程?马尔科夫制度转换自回归方法
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000358
Natalia Izelli Doré, Aurora A. C. Teixeira
Abstract This paper assesses Brazil's real convergence (1822–2019) through unit root tests and Markov Regime-Switching (MS) models in three different scenarios: towards (i) other six Latin American countries (LA6); (ii) Portugal; and (iii) the technological frontier country, the US. The extended unit root test results favour Brazil's very long-run real convergence towards LA6 and Portugal, but not the US. The estimated MS models, involving two different regimes, real convergence and real non-convergence/divergence, capture institutional quality's positive effect in promoting Brazil's real convergence.
本文通过单位根检验和马尔可夫时间转换(MS)模型评估了巴西在三种不同情况下的实际趋同(1822-2019 年):(i) 向其他六个拉美国家(LA6)趋同;(ii) 向葡萄牙趋同;(iii) 向技术前沿国家美国趋同。扩展单位根检验结果表明,巴西与拉丁美洲六国和葡萄牙有非常长期的实际趋同,但与美国没有趋同。估计的 MS 模型涉及两种不同的制度,即实际趋同和实际不趋同/趋异,反映了制度质量在促进巴西实际趋同方面的积极作用。
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引用次数: 0
Remittance dependence, support for taxation and quality of public services in Africa 非洲对汇款的依赖、对税收的支持和公共服务质量
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000322
Maty Konte, Gideon Ndubuisi
We explore the heterogeneous effect of migrant remittances on citizens' support for taxation using a sample comprising 45,000 individuals from the Afrobarometer survey round 7 [2016–2018] across 34 African countries. To correct for unobserved heterogeneity, we endogenously identify latent classes/subtypes of individuals that share similar patterns on how their support for taxation is affected by their unobserved and observed characteristics, including remittance dependency. We apply the finite multilevel mixture of regressions approach, a supervised machine learning method to detect hidden classes in the data without imposing a priori assumptions on class membership. Our data are best generated by an econometric model with two classes/subtypes of individuals. In class 1 where more than two-thirds of the citizens belong, we do not find any significant evidence that remittance dependence affects support for taxation. However, in class 2 where the remaining one-third of the citizens belong, we find a significant negative effect of remittance dependence on support for taxation. Furthermore, we find that citizens who have a positive appraisal of the quality of the public service delivery have a lower probability of belonging to the class in which depending on remittance reduces support for taxation. The findings emphasize the need for efficient public services provisioning to counteract the adverse effect of remittances on tax morale.
我们使用非洲晴雨表调查第 7 轮[2016-2018 年]中来自 34 个非洲国家的 45000 个样本,探讨了移民汇款对公民税收支持的异质性影响。为了校正未观察到的异质性,我们内生地识别出个人的潜在类别/亚类,这些类别/亚类在税收支持如何受其未观察到和观察到的特征(包括汇款依赖性)影响方面具有相似的模式。我们采用有限多层次混合回归方法,这是一种有监督的机器学习方法,用于检测数据中的隐藏类别,而无需对类别成员资格进行先验假设。我们的数据最好由具有两类/亚类个体的计量经济学模型生成。在超过三分之二的公民属于的类别 1 中,我们没有发现汇款依赖性影响税收支持的显著证据。然而,在剩下的三分之一公民所属的第二类中,我们发现汇款依赖对税收支持有显著的负面影响。此外,我们还发现,对公共服务质量有积极评价的公民属于依赖汇款降低税收支持率的阶层的概率较低。研究结果强调,需要提供高效的公共服务来抵消汇款对纳税士气的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Location choice and Indian outward foreign direct investment: institutional thresholds and differentiating between institutional quality and institutional distance 区位选择与印度对外直接投资:制度门槛与区分制度质量和制度距离
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000292
Rishika Nayyar, John M. Luiz
Institutions matter as regards foreign location investment decisions, but how they matter and in what ways, is still unsettled. We differentiate between absolute and relative institutional effects on both location choice and on the size of the FDI and do so by examining India's outward FDI flows between 2008 and 2020. We find that absolute and relative institutional measures have different effects, and these are noticeable at different stages. We show that the quality of institutions affects location choice, but once they have made that decision then the scale of the investment is impacted by institutional threshold effects and institutional distance, and we explain why this could be the case. We provide further nuance to studies on the asymmetrical effects of institutions on outward FDI. We provide empirical evidence that the effects of absolute institutions matter more where host countries lie at the lower end of the institutional profile distribution. Likewise with institutional distance—it might not be the direction of the difference that matters so much as where the host country is located along the institutional profile distribution. This has substantial consequences from both a managerial and a policy perspective.
制度对外国区位投资决策很重要,但制度如何重要、以何种方式重要,仍未确定。我们通过研究 2008 年至 2020 年印度对外直接投资流量,区分了制度对区位选择和外国直接投资规模的绝对和相对影响。我们发现,绝对和相对制度措施会产生不同的影响,而且这些影响在不同阶段都很明显。我们表明,制度质量会影响区位选择,但一旦他们做出了决定,投资规模就会受到制度门槛效应和制度距离的影响,我们解释了为什么会出现这种情况。我们为有关制度对外直接投资非对称效应的研究提供了进一步的细微差别。我们提供的经验证据表明,当东道国处于制度分布的低端时,绝对制度效应的影响更大。同样,在制度距离方面,重要的可能不是差异的方向,而是东道国在制度分布中的位置。从管理和政策的角度来看,这都会产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of social norms I – the role of geography 社会规范的决定因素 I--地理的作用
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000310
Stefan Voigt
It is now abundantly clear that social norms channel behaviour and impact economic development. This insight leads to the question: How do social norms evolve? This survey examines research that relies on geography to explain the development of social norms. It turns out that many social norms are either directly or indirectly determined by geography broadly conceived and can, hence, be considered largely time invariant. Given that successful economic development presupposes the congruence between formal institutions and social norms, this insight is highly relevant for all policy interventions designed to foster economic development. In a companion paper, the role of religion and family organization as potential mediators between geography and social norms assumes centre stage.
现在已经非常清楚,社会规范会引导行为并影响经济发展。这一观点引出了一个问题:社会规范是如何演变的?本调查探讨了依靠地理来解释社会规范发展的研究。结果发现,许多社会规范直接或间接地由广义的地理环境决定,因此可以认为它们在很大程度上具有时间不变性。鉴于成功的经济发展以正式制度和社会规范之间的一致性为前提,这一观点对于所有旨在促进经济发展的政策干预措施都具有重要意义。在另一篇论文中,宗教和家庭组织作为地理和社会规范之间的潜在中介所发挥的作用占据了中心位置。
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引用次数: 0
List of Referees 推荐人名单
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000309
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引用次数: 0
Global economic freedom during the second year of the pandemic 大流行第二年的全球经济自由
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000280
Vincent J. Miozzi, Benjamin Powell
Abstract This note updates a measure of lockdown regulatory freedom for 2021 and then uses it to adjust countries' 2021 economic freedom scores to account for pandemic regulations that impact economic freedom but otherwise would go unmeasured. We directly follow Miozzi and Powell's (2023a, Journal of Institutional Economics 19 (2), 229–250) methods to measure lockdown regulations and adjust 2020 economic freedom scores. Thus, when paired with those findings we provide a data set that consistently measures coronavirus disease 2019 regulations and economic freedom over the course of the pandemic that can be used in other research. We find that lockdown regulatory freedom increased as countries scaled back pandemic regulations, while other areas of economic freedom continued declining. We also find that adjusting for lockdown regulatory freedom continues to significantly impact countries' relative ranking in economic freedom.
本文更新了2021年的封锁监管自由度指标,然后用它来调整各国2021年的经济自由度得分,以考虑影响经济自由的流行病法规,否则这些法规将无法衡量。我们直接遵循Miozzi和Powell (2023a, Journal of Institutional Economics 19(2), 229-250)的方法来衡量封锁法规并调整2020年经济自由得分。因此,当与这些发现相结合时,我们提供了一个数据集,该数据集可以在大流行期间持续衡量2019年冠状病毒病的法规和经济自由,可用于其他研究。我们发现,随着各国缩减流行病监管,封锁监管自由度有所增加,而其他领域的经济自由度继续下降。我们还发现,对封锁监管自由度进行调整继续显著影响各国在经济自由度方面的相对排名。
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引用次数: 0
Shocking resilience? Effects of extreme events on constitutional compliance 令人震惊的韧性呢?极端事件对遵守宪法的影响
2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000279
Abishek Choutagunta, Jerg Gutmann, Stefan Voigt
Abstract It is often argued that governments take advantage of extreme events to expand their power to the detriment of the political opposition and citizens at large. Violations of constitutional constraints are a clear indication of such opportunistic behaviour. We study whether natural disasters, conflicts and other extreme events systematically diminish governments' compliance with constitutional constraints. Our results indicate that governments are most likely to overstep their competences or disregard their responsibilities during civil conflicts, at the onset of international sanctions or following successful coups d’état. Interestingly, Cold War interventions by the United States that installed or supported a political leader led to a decrease in constitutional compliance in the target country, whereas Soviet interventions had no such effect. In contrast, banking crises and natural disasters, which threaten societies at large, but not necessarily the political elite, do not cause a significant decline in constitutional compliance.
人们经常认为,政府利用极端事件扩大权力,损害政治反对派和广大公民的利益。违反宪法限制就是这种机会主义行为的明显表现。我们研究自然灾害、冲突和其他极端事件是否系统性地削弱了政府对宪法约束的遵守。我们的研究结果表明,在国内冲突、国际制裁开始或成功的政变之后,政府最有可能超越自己的权限或无视自己的责任。有趣的是,美国在冷战期间的干预,如果扶植或支持一个政治领袖,会导致目标国家的宪法遵从度下降,而苏联的干预则没有这种效果。相比之下,银行危机和自然灾害对整个社会构成威胁,但不一定会威胁到政治精英,它们不会导致遵守宪法的程度显著下降。
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引用次数: 0
Elinor Ostrom on choice, collective action and rationality: a Senian analysis 埃莉诺·奥斯特罗姆论选择、集体行动和理性:一个塞尼亚式的分析
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000255
Paul Lewis, Matias Petersen
This paper explores Elinor Ostrom's account of practical reason through the conceptual lens provided by a typology of dimensions of rational conduct advanced by Amartya Sen. On Sen's view, self-interested behaviour has three independent, and separable, features: self-centred welfare, self-welfare goal and self-goal choice. We suggest that Ostrom is committed to a version of rational choice theory that retains the assumptions of self-welfare goal and self-goal choice but, by acknowledging that people's welfare is affected by factors beyond their material consumption, departs from the assumption of self-welfare goal. We argue that this departure is not necessarily driven by an acknowledgement, along Senian lines, that people may have reasons for action other than the single-minded pursuit of their own goals, but rather by Ostrom's belief that the decision problem people face is so complex that maximising behaviour is rendered impossible. We illustrate this argument by analysing how Elinor Ostrom's position differs not only from Sen's but also from that of her husband and long-time collaborator Vincent Ostrom, who in his analysis of the covenantal aspects of rule-making seems to depart from the assumptions of instrumental rationality and preference-satisfaction.
本文通过阿马蒂亚·森(Amartya Sen)提出的理性行为维度类型学提供的概念视角,探讨了埃莉诺·奥斯特罗姆(Elinor Ostrom)对实践理性的解释。在森的观点中,自利行为具有三个独立且可分离的特征:自我中心福利、自我福利目标和自我目标选择。我们认为,奥斯特罗姆致力于理性选择理论的一个版本,它保留了自我福利目标和自我目标选择的假设,但通过承认人们的福利受到物质消费以外的因素的影响,背离了自我福利目标的假设。我们认为,这种背离并不一定是因为人们承认,除了一心一意地追求自己的目标之外,人们可能有行动的理由,而是因为奥斯特罗姆认为,人们面临的决策问题是如此复杂,以至于行为最大化是不可能的。我们通过分析埃莉诺·奥斯特罗姆的立场不仅与森的立场不同,而且与她的丈夫和长期合作伙伴文森特·奥斯特罗姆的立场不同来说明这一论点,文森特·奥斯特罗姆在分析规则制定的契约方面似乎偏离了工具理性和偏好满足的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Shock me like a Hurricane: how Hurricane Katrina changed Louisiana's formal and informal institutions 像飓风一样震撼我:卡特里娜飓风如何改变路易斯安那州的正式和非正式机构
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1017/s1744137423000267
Veeshan Rayamajhee, Raymond J March, Corbin C. T. Clark
Institutions matter for postdisaster recovery. Conversely, natural disasters can also alter a society's institutions. Using the synthetic control method, this study examines the effects that Hurricane Katrina (2005) had on the formal and informal institutions in Louisiana. As measures of formal institutions, we employ two economic freedom scores corresponding to government employment (GE) (as a share of total employment at the state-level) and property tax (PT). These measures serve as proxies for the level of governmental interference into the economy and the protection of private property rights respectively. To assess the impact on informal institutions, we use state-level social capital data. We find that Hurricane Katrina had lasting impacts on Louisiana's formal institutions. In the post-Katrina period, we find that actual Louisiana had persistently higher economic freedom scores for both GE and PT than the synthetic Louisiana that did not experience the hurricane. These findings imply that the hurricane led to a reduction in both PTs and GE, which indicates a decrease in the relative size of the public sector as a share of the state's economy. On the other hand, we find no impact on our chosen measure of informal institution.
制度对灾后恢复至关重要。相反,自然灾害也会改变一个社会的制度。本研究采用综合控制方法,考察了卡特里娜飓风(2005)对路易斯安那州正式和非正式机构的影响。作为正式制度的衡量标准,我们采用了两个经济自由分数,分别对应于政府就业(GE)(作为州一级总就业的一部分)和财产税(PT)。这些措施分别代表了政府对经济的干预程度和对私有产权的保护程度。为了评估对非正式制度的影响,我们使用了国家级的社会资本数据。我们发现卡特里娜飓风对路易斯安那州的正式机构产生了持久的影响。在卡特里娜飓风后的时期,我们发现实际路易斯安那州在GE和PT方面的经济自由得分持续高于没有经历飓风的合成路易斯安那州。这些发现表明,飓风导致了PTs和GE的减少,这表明公共部门在国家经济中所占份额的相对规模有所下降。另一方面,我们发现对我们选择的非正式制度的衡量标准没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Institutional Economics
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