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Some wars are rational 有些战争是理性的
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13318
Geoffrey Roberts
The Political QuarterlyEarly View Book Review Some wars are rational Geoffrey Roberts, Corresponding Author Geoffrey Roberts [email protected] [email protected]Search for more papers by this author Geoffrey Roberts, Corresponding Author Geoffrey Roberts [email protected] [email protected]Search for more papers by this author First published: 28 September 2023 https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13318Read the full textAboutPDF ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare full text accessShare full-text accessPlease review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article.I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of UseShareable LinkUse the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.Copy URL Share a linkShare onEmailFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditWechat No abstract is available for this article. Early ViewOnline Version of Record before inclusion in an issue RelatedInformation
政治季刊年鉴书评有些战争是理性的杰弗里·罗伯茨,通讯作者杰弗里·罗伯茨[email protected] [email protected]搜索本作者的更多论文[email protected] [email protected]搜索本作者的更多论文首次发表:2023年9月28日https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13318Read全文taboutpdf ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare给予accessShare全文accessShare全文accessShare请查看我们的使用条款和条件,并勾选下面的复选框共享文章的全文版本。我已经阅读并接受了Wiley在线图书馆使用共享链接的条款和条件,请使用下面的链接与您的朋友和同事分享本文的全文版本。学习更多的知识。复制URL共享链接共享一个emailfacebooktwitterlinkedinreddit微信本文无摘要在包含问题之前的早期视图在线记录版本相关信息
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引用次数: 0
Capitalism's feeding frenzy 资本主义的饕餮盛宴
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13325
Alexandre Leskanich
The Political QuarterlyEarly View Book Review Capitalism's feeding frenzy Alexandre Leskanich, Corresponding Author Alexandre Leskanich [email protected] [email protected]Search for more papers by this author Alexandre Leskanich, Corresponding Author Alexandre Leskanich [email protected] [email protected]Search for more papers by this author First published: 28 September 2023 https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13325Read the full textAboutPDF ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare Give accessShare full text accessShare full-text accessPlease review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article.I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of UseShareable LinkUse the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.Copy URL Share a linkShare onEmailFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditWechat No abstract is available for this article. Early ViewOnline Version of Record before inclusion in an issue RelatedInformation
《政治季刊》、《年鉴》、《书评》、《资本主义的狂热》通讯作者亚历山大·列斯卡尼奇[email protected]搜索本作者的更多论文[email protected] [email protected]搜索本作者的更多论文首次发表:2023年9月28日https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-923X.13325Read全文taboutpdf ToolsRequest permissionExport citationAdd to favoritesTrack citation ShareShare给予accessShare全文accessShare全文accessShare请查看我们的使用条款和条件,并勾选下面的复选框共享文章的全文版本。我已经阅读并接受了Wiley在线图书馆使用共享链接的条款和条件,请使用下面的链接与您的朋友和同事分享本文的全文版本。学习更多的知识。复制URL共享链接共享一个emailfacebooktwitterlinkedinreddit微信本文无摘要在包含问题之前的早期视图在线记录版本相关信息
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引用次数: 0
The Politics of England: National Identities and Political Englishness 英国政治:民族认同与政治英语
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13313
John Denham, Lawrence Mckay
Abstract Over two decades, voters who emphasised their English identity played an influential role in the rise of UKIP and the Brexit Party, the Brexit referendum and the election of Conservative governments—a trend overlooked in most electoral analyses. Using twenty years of data from the British Election Study and British Social Attitudes Survey, as well as recent original surveys, the article explores the evolving political behaviour of national identity groups. It finds that ‘more English’ and ‘more British’ identifiers increasingly voted for different parties. The analysis also identifies growing differences in the demographics, social values and immigration attitudes of these groups, which descriptive and regression analysis suggests may underpin these divergent political behaviours. However, a fuller understanding of electoral behaviour must take account of ideas of national democracy and sovereignty. The electoral impact of both the characteristics of English identifying voters and ideas associated with English identity constitute ‘political Englishness’.
二十多年来,强调自己英格兰身份的选民在英国独立党和英国脱欧党的崛起、英国脱欧公投和保守党政府的选举中发挥了重要作用——这一趋势在大多数选举分析中被忽视了。本文利用英国选举研究和英国社会态度调查二十年来的数据,以及最近的原始调查,探讨了民族认同群体不断演变的政治行为。研究发现,“更英国化”和“更英国化”的标识符越来越多地投票给不同的政党。分析还发现,这些群体在人口统计、社会价值观和移民态度方面的差异越来越大,描述性和回归分析表明,这些差异可能是这些不同政治行为的基础。然而,对选举行为的更充分理解必须考虑到国家民主和主权的观念。英语选民的特征和与英语身份相关的思想对选举的影响构成了“政治英语性”。
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引用次数: 0
The Antinomies of Insurgency: The Case of the Scottish National Party 叛乱的二律背反:苏格兰民族党的案例
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13314
James Foley, Tom Montgomery, Ewan Kerr
Abstract The Scottish National Party (SNP) has emerged from generations on the periphery to make a substantial imprint on mainstream British politics. However, in only a matter of months, the foundations of that success have crumbled and, by the admission of its leaders, the SNP is experiencing its greatest crisis in five decades. The roots of this crisis are not well understood, since most recent research has sought to explain the SNP's post‐2014 successes. However, the article argues that these successes have always hinged upon a prior moment of politicisation in 2014 on the one hand, and annual cycles of mobilisation and demobilisation on the other. The article draws attention to the SNP's governing strategy of stabilising itself through a process of strategic depoliticisation on independence, which supplanted activist mobilisation with a politics of spectatorship. It then goes on to suggest that, for the SNP, this depended on a paradox of crisis in the British state and being a governing party of the British state.
苏格兰民族党(SNP)从几代人的边缘崛起,对英国主流政治产生了重大影响。然而,在短短几个月的时间里,这一成功的基础就崩塌了。苏格兰民族党领导人承认,该党正经历着50年来最大的危机。这场危机的根源还没有得到很好的理解,因为最近的研究都试图解释苏格兰民族党2014年后的成功。然而,这篇文章认为,这些成功一方面取决于2014年之前的政治化时刻,另一方面取决于每年的动员和复员周期。这篇文章提请注意苏格兰民族党通过独立的战略非政治化进程来稳定自身的执政战略,这一战略以旁观者政治取代了激进分子的动员。文章接着指出,对于苏格兰民族党来说,这取决于英国国家危机与作为英国执政党之间的矛盾。
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引用次数: 0
On Surprises, Strategy, the Economy and What Comes Next for Scottish Independence 关于意外、战略、经济以及苏格兰独立的下一步
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-21 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13312
Iain Docherty
Abstract Nicola Sturgeon's resignation as First Minister and leader of the SNP has thrown Scottish politics into flux. But beneath the superficial media coverage and frenetic party politics that followed her resignation, the fundamentals of the constitutional debate remain unaltered. One of these fundamentals, the extent to which Scotland is better or worse off being part of the UK political economy, is rarely debated in the depth it deserves. The parlous state of the UK economy and, in particular, the deeply entrenched territorial inequality that results from its extreme core‐periphery structure that safeguards the economic dominance of London and South East England, holds the potential for a surprise shift in the debate over independence to emerge.
尼古拉·斯特金(Nicola Sturgeon)辞去苏格兰首席大臣兼苏格兰民族党(SNP)领袖一职,苏格兰政治陷入动荡。但在她辞职后肤浅的媒体报道和狂热的政党政治背后,宪法辩论的基本原则仍未改变。其中一个基本问题,即苏格兰作为英国政治经济一部分的好处或坏处,很少得到应有的深入讨论。英国经济的危险状态,特别是由于其极端的核心-边缘结构(保护了伦敦和英格兰东南部的经济主导地位)造成的根深蒂固的领土不平等,有可能在关于独立的辩论中出现出人意料的转变。
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引用次数: 0
Politics, the Constitution and the Independence Movement in Scotland since Devolution 苏格兰权力下放以来的政治、宪法和独立运动
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13311
Malcolm Petrie
Abstract This article explores the course of Scottish politics since the establishment of the devolved parliament in 1999. It begins by considering the political roots of devolution before assessing the extent to which the electoral successes of the Scottish National Party (SNP) at the 2007 and 2011 devolved elections indicated a rise in support for Scottish independence. The focus then shifts to the political consequences of the 2014 independence referendum, in particular the relationship between the ‘Yes’ campaign and the SNP, as well as the changing social composition of the SNP's electoral support. The article concludes by examining the attempts of the SNP, and the wider independence movement, to secure a second independence referendum before reviewing recent political developments in Scotland.
本文探讨了自1999年苏格兰分权议会成立以来,苏格兰政治的发展历程。它首先考虑权力下放的政治根源,然后评估苏格兰民族党(SNP)在2007年和2011年权力下放选举中的选举成功程度,这表明对苏格兰独立的支持有所增加。然后,焦点转移到2014年独立公投的政治后果,特别是“赞成”运动与苏格兰民族党之间的关系,以及苏格兰民族党选举支持的社会构成的变化。在回顾苏格兰最近的政治发展之前,文章最后考察了苏格兰民族党和更广泛的独立运动,以确保第二次独立公投。
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引用次数: 0
Raising the Pension Age 提高领取养老金的年龄
3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1111/1467-923x.13268
Deborah Mabbett
WHILE PRESIDENT Emmanuel Macron faced street protests over raising the pension age from 62 to 64 in France, the UK government quietly shelved a plan to bring forward an increase in the State Pension age (SPA) to 68 into the 2030s. Major increases have already been implemented. For men the SPA has increased from 65 to 66 and an increase to 67 is going ahead over the period 2026–2028. For women there has been a steeper path (60 in 2010, 66 in 2020 and henceforth in line with men). There has been some protest from women who argued that there was insufficient notice of the steep rise in the 2010s, but otherwise the government faced little resistance. Why has it been rather easy to raise the pension age in the UK? Is it that we have been pummelled into passivity by relentless austerity? Perhaps younger Britons do not protest because they do not think that there will be a state pension for them anyway, so there is no intergenerational contract to maintain. The policy of subsidising private provision pursued by successive governments has produced very large inequalities in the experience of retirement and aging, and these suppress political mobilisation. The protests in France suggest that some idea of solidarity survives there; silence in the UK signifies that it's everyone for themselves. But doesn't this mean that the UK is better placed to respond to the exigencies of an aging population, while the French struggle to adjust to the new reality? We are relentlessly primed in expert commentaries to think that raising the pension age is an appropriate and effective response to longer life expectancy. In 2014 the government legislated for periodic expert reviews of the SPA which would implement the rule that individuals spend on average around one-third of their adult lives in receipt of the state pension. The decision not to proceed with an accelerated rise invoked this logic: life expectancy has not increased as expected, so the pension age should be held accordingly. Framing the pension age as a technical problem is well understood as a way of trying to remove the policy from political contestation. But it is also a way of defining, or redefining, what the pension is for. The link to life expectancy communicates that state pensions insure against the risk of living a long life and running out of savings (longevity risk). But the old age pension has always had another purpose, which is to insure against the risk of forced retirement. The age-based pension provides cover for a number of contingencies that may mean having to stop work: declining health, limited job opportunities, the need to care for aging relatives or partners. Unlike disability and unemployment benefits, eligibility is straightforward and can be relied upon in planning. There is flexibility: the age-based pension provides a kind of basic income to which earnings can be added if the opportunity arises. Understanding the old age pension as providing protection against a bundle of risks h
工作年龄人口的基本福利率还不到国家养老金水平的一半。在2023/24年度,单层国家养老金(STP)将为每周203.75英镑,而25岁以上的单一通用信贷受益人的标准津贴将为每周85英镑。即使是一个健康状况非常差的人,通过了所有符合严重丧失工作能力保险费资格的条件,也只能得到超过年龄门槛的人应得金额的四分之三。虽然被迫退休对那些终身收入较低的人影响最大,但健康状况不佳或医疗义务不佳的风险确实也影响到中产阶级。福利国家的很大一部分依赖于一种有利选择,即那些发生坏事的风险较低,但对风险的容忍度也较低的富人,准备好付出高于赔率的代价,以确保福利国家为他们服务。对NHS的政治支持受益于这种逻辑,尽管如果服务标准继续下滑,更多有能力的人寻求私人替代方案,这种支持将被削弱。在养老保险方面,养老金私有化已经严重破坏了有利选择。从55岁起,可以免费领取私人养老金。(这一数字将上升到57,但计划是与SPA保持10年的差距,这为政府期望如何使用私人养老金提供了线索。)许多养老基金规模太小,无法保障一个舒适的晚年生活,但它们往往足够填补退休和领取国家养老金之间的缺口。换句话说,乔治·奥斯本(George Osborne)在2014年引入的“养老金自由”,完美地缓解了中等收入选民可能对提高SPA的担忧。支持提高SPA的人可能会反对说,该政策的主要目的是改变有关退休的惯例,以确保人们计划工作更长时间。虽然提高退休年龄也是福利制度的倒退改革,但这是一个不幸的副作用,而不是主要问题。的确,在国际上,关于退休的规范在某种程度上与领取养老金的年龄是一致的,人们经常把退休年龄和领取养老金的年龄混为一谈。然而,有理由怀疑过去的证据是否能作为未来行为的可靠指南。当领取养老金的年龄在很长一段时间内固定时,养老金和退休年龄之间的最紧密联系就出现了(在英国,从1948年引入国民保险到2010年,女性的年龄为60岁,男性为65岁,持续了60年)。领取养老金年龄的变化可能伴随着相当严重的失调。尽管决策者重视提前通知提高领取养老金年龄,但提前宣布提高妇女领取养老金年龄对退休规范的影响不大。从2010年开始将女性领取养老金的年龄提高到65岁的计划于1995年宣布并立法,但2006年对50岁以上人群的一项调查发现,受访者平均认为女性“年龄太大,不能工作”,年龄为61.1岁。民调数据还表明,人们的观点对政策变化并不十分敏感。YouGov的国家养老金年龄追踪显示,明显多数(约40%)的受访者认为年龄应该是65岁,尽管2020年每个人的养老金年龄都达到66岁,但自2019年开始追踪以来,这一数字仅略有下降。在人口老龄化的背景下,对于那些担心养老金可持续性的人来说,将领取养老金年龄与预期寿命挂钩的规则仍然具有直观的意义。人们认为,如果不遵守这一规定,就意味着处于工作年龄的人将因支付当前养老金的成本而负担过重,从而加剧了代际不公平。如果政府依赖国民保险(NI)作为主要资金来源,这确实会发生,因为NI只由工作年龄的人支付。它建立在一个冗余的模型之上,在这个模型中,工资和薪金是家庭收入的唯一来源。一个更公平的模式是利用老年人的非工资收入和资产财富,现在老年人的收入差距与工作年龄的人一样大。现在发生的对年轻一代的真正背叛来自于令人惊讶的累退决策,比如提高养老金的税收减免上限,并承诺通过对NI征收健康和社会护理税来保护住房财富免受护理成本的影响(这一改革在Kwarteng预算中被取消,此后一直没有恢复)。就连约翰逊政府也注意到,护理改革对年轻一代和未成年人极不公平,但具有重要象征意义的是,政府决定将征税范围扩大到领取养老金的老年人的工资收入,尽管他们的非工资收入毫发无损。 提高SPA的政策是由保守党于1995年发起的,并在工党执政时得到了工党的支持,两党都赞成专家审查,以实施与养老金年龄挂钩的预期寿命。在科尔宾的领导下,这种情况得到了扭转,但我们还没有看到斯塔默政权将带来什么。在一个理想的世界里,老年人不能在社会福利计划中工作的困境会引起更广泛的关注,让人们关注到工作年龄福利制度的无情无情。与此同时,人口老龄化意味着更多的人应该工作更长时间,但许多最适合这样做的人有充足的储蓄和资产,可以忽略SPA。目前最紧迫的劳动力供应问题是,50-66岁人群的劳动参与率正在下降,提高最低工资标准对这个问题毫无帮助。要解决这个问题,就意味着要修复健康和社会保障体系:这是一项比提高领取养老金年龄困难得多的紧迫任务。如果政府只有马克龙那样的阵痛需要应对,那将是幸运的。
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Political Quarterly
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