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Asymmetric Good and Bad Volatility Transmission Mechanism: Moderating Role of Global Uncertainties 非对称好坏波动传导机制:全球不确定性的调节作用
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-20 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3158
Umaid A. Sheikh, Mosab I. Tabash, David Roubaud, Emilios Galariotis, Khaled Guesmi

This research article represents the first attempt to quantify good and bad volatility interconnections among the top nine Islamic financial markets, which are classified based on their global share in Islamic finance banking assets by the World Economic Forum. The study employs a time- and frequency-based generalised VAR framework. Additionally, we explore the moderating effects of global financial stress, geopolitical risk, and commodity market shocks on both short-term and long-term good and bad volatility interconnections. The findings suggest that, on average, forecast error variances are more greatly influenced by bad volatility spillovers rather than good ones. In the short term, the equity markets in the UAE, Indonesia, Kuwait, and Qatar exhibit a higher propensity to transmit bad volatility shocks compared to good ones. In the long run, the financial markets in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Kuwait, both conventional and Islamic, contribute more to bad volatility spillovers than to good ones when forecasting volatility over a 10-period horizon for all other markets. Furthermore, in the short term, the financial markets in the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain receive higher bad volatility shocks compared to good ones. However, in the long term, the financial markets in Pakistan, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Kuwait, both conventional and Islamic, are more susceptible to bad volatility spillovers. The findings also indicate that geopolitical risk has a negative moderating effect on overall, short-term, and long-term good volatility interconnections. Conversely, oil price uncertainty and financial stress have a positive moderating impact on overall, short-term, and long-term bad volatility interconnections.

这篇研究文章首次尝试量化前九大伊斯兰金融市场之间的好与坏波动相互关系,这些市场是根据世界经济论坛在伊斯兰金融银行资产中的全球份额进行分类的。本研究采用基于时间和频率的广义VAR框架。此外,我们还探讨了全球金融压力、地缘政治风险和大宗商品市场冲击对短期和长期好与坏波动性相互关系的调节作用。研究结果表明,平均而言,预测误差方差受到负面波动溢出效应的影响比受到正面波动溢出效应的影响更大。在短期内,阿联酋、印度尼西亚、科威特和卡塔尔的股票市场表现出比良好波动冲击更倾向于传递坏波动冲击。从长期来看,印尼、马来西亚和科威特的金融市场,无论是传统金融市场还是伊斯兰金融市场,在预测所有其他市场的10年期波动时,对负面波动溢出的贡献大于对正面波动溢出的贡献。此外,在短期内,阿联酋、卡塔尔和巴林的金融市场受到的负面波动冲击高于正面波动冲击。然而,从长期来看,巴基斯坦、印度尼西亚、马来西亚和科威特的金融市场,无论是传统的还是伊斯兰的,都更容易受到不良波动溢出效应的影响。研究结果还表明,地缘政治风险对整体、短期和长期良好波动相互关系具有负向调节作用。相反,油价不确定性和金融压力对整体、短期和长期不良波动性相互关系都有积极的调节作用。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Market Determinants of Dynamic Herding in North American Energy Equity Market 北美能源股票市场动态羊群效应的金融市场决定因素
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3165
Ghulame Rubbaniy, Shoaib Ali, Sonia Abdennadher, Costas Siriopoulos

This study employs state-space models and the quantile-on-quantile regression technique to examine the dynamics of intentional and fundamental herding in North American energy stocks, together with its non-linear determinants. Our findings reveal persistent herding in North American energy stocks, with no exceptions during the global financial crisis, COVID-19, lockdown and post-lockdown period, which is primarily driven by intentions. In all of these cases, herding is primarily motivated by intentional drivers rather than fundamental factors. Our results also show a herding asymmetry during bullish and bearish market conditions, but herding during bullish (bearish) market condition is mainly driven by the intentions (fundamentals). The findings of our quantile-on-quantile regression show that the effects of macroeconomic variables on time-varying herding are, in fact, regime-specific. We generally find evidence of herding (anti-herding) at the lower (upper) quartiles of energy stocks liquidity, oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty and oil market implied volatility. The investment community engaged in North American energy stocks can benefit from our study, as awareness about regime-specific effects of various market variables on intentional (fundamental) herding can be a useful input in designing asset allocation and hedging strategies. The outcome of our study may provide interesting input to regulators to develop the dynamic legislative framework focusing on policies to encourage investment diversification during regime-specific systemic risk escalation resulting from the dynamic behaviour of herding and macroeconomic variables.

本研究采用状态空间模型和分位数对分位数回归技术来考察北美能源股有意和基本羊群的动态,以及其非线性决定因素。我们的研究结果显示,北美能源股持续走低,在全球金融危机、2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)、封锁和封锁后期间也不例外,这主要是由意向驱动的。在所有这些情况下,羊群主要是由有意的驱动因素而不是基本因素驱动的。我们的研究结果也显示了牛市和熊市条件下的羊群不对称,但牛市(看跌)市场条件下的羊群主要是由意图(基本面)驱动的。我们的分位数对分位数回归的结果表明,宏观经济变量对时变羊群的影响实际上是特定于制度的。我们通常在能源股流动性、油价冲击、经济政策不确定性和石油市场隐含波动率的下(上)四分位数中发现羊群效应(反羊群效应)的证据。参与北美能源股的投资界可以从我们的研究中受益,因为了解各种市场变量对有意(基本)羊群的特定制度影响,可以在设计资产配置和对冲策略时提供有用的输入。我们的研究结果可能为监管机构提供有趣的输入,以制定动态立法框架,重点关注政策,以鼓励在由羊群和宏观经济变量的动态行为导致的特定制度的系统性风险升级期间进行投资多样化。
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引用次数: 0
Changes to Bank Capital Ratios and Their Drivers Prior and During COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From the European Union 银行资本充足率的变化及其驱动因素在COVID-19大流行之前和期间:来自欧盟的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3166
Pavel Jankulár, Zdeněk Tůma

This article contributes to the literature on banks' strategies for increasing capital requirements in the period of 2017–2021. We analysed a sample of 85 European banks and distinguished between subgroups according to bank size, capitalisation, and riskiness. We examined their responses to higher capital requirements following the issuance of the finalised Basel III reforms and increased regulatory and supervisory scrutiny following the COVID-19 outbreak. We found evidence that banks' adjustments towards higher capital ratios were more pronounced and faster in the COVID-19 period and that they depended on banks' specific characteristics and positions. Observed differences between banks and periods were mainly due to the different treatment of risk in banks' books. In particular, higher capitalisation and a lower risk profile allowed banks to take on the risk regardless of the period, while banks with higher risk tended to shift to less risky assets to manage their capital ratios.

本文对2017-2021年期间银行提高资本要求策略的文献做出了贡献。我们分析了85家欧洲银行的样本,并根据银行规模、资本化和风险程度区分了不同的子组。我们考察了它们在发布巴塞尔协议III改革定稿后对更高资本要求的反应,以及在2019冠状病毒病爆发后对加强监管审查的反应。我们发现,有证据表明,在新冠肺炎疫情期间,银行向更高资本充足率的调整更为明显、速度更快,而且这取决于银行的具体特点和头寸。不同银行和不同时期之间的差异主要是由于银行账簿上对风险的不同处理。特别是,较高的资本和较低的风险状况使银行能够在任何时期承担风险,而风险较高的银行往往转向风险较低的资产,以管理其资本比率。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the Concentration of Women in Blue-Collar Occupations: New Insights From China 探讨女性在蓝领职业的集中:来自中国的新见解
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3169
Zhongwu Li, Fengzhi Lu

Tackling the enduring concentration of women in blue-collar occupations, this paper presents a novel study examining the causal relationship between self-esteem and female occupational outcomes. To conduct this analysis, we utilise two extensive and nationally representative datasets: the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) and the National Survey on Women's Social Status of China (NSWSS). Employing various econometric methods such as probit and logit models, nearest-neighbouring matching to counter self-selection bias, and instrument variable techniques to address endogeneity bias, we uncover intriguing findings. The regression results suggest that a lack of self-esteem contributes to the inclination of women toward blue-collar occupations. Remarkably, self-esteem emerges as a more influential factor in determining occupational choices for women in China compared to cognitive ability and the Big Five non-cognitive abilities. This study not only sheds light on interdisciplinary research but also proposes a fresh approach to mitigate occupational segregation, a major challenge hindering women's progress.

为了解决蓝领职业中女性持续集中的问题,本文提出了一项新的研究,探讨自尊与女性职业结果之间的因果关系。为了进行这一分析,我们利用了两个广泛且具有全国代表性的数据集:中国家庭小组研究(CFPS)和中国妇女社会地位全国调查(NSWSS)。采用各种计量经济学方法,如probit和logit模型,最近邻匹配来对抗自我选择偏差,以及工具变量技术来解决内生性偏差,我们发现了有趣的发现。回归结果表明,缺乏自尊是女性倾向于蓝领职业的原因之一。值得注意的是,与认知能力和五大非认知能力相比,自尊成为决定中国女性职业选择的更有影响力的因素。这项研究不仅阐明了跨学科的研究,而且提出了一种新的方法来减轻职业隔离,这是阻碍妇女进步的主要挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Ideological and Political Baptism and Corporate Social Responsibility: Evidence From the Party School Experience of Chinese Executives 思想政治洗礼与企业社会责任:来自中国企业高管党校经历的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3168
Zhifang Zhou, Litian Zhu, Shangjie Han, Huixiang Zeng

To a large extent, the existing literature has not comprehensively explored how the ideological and political baptism of executives in their early years influences corporate decision-making. Based on the imprinting and social identity theories, we investigate whether top executives' experience at Chinese Party schools (hereafter Party schools) significantly affects corporate social responsibility (CSR). Data on the Party school experience of the top executives of A-share listed state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in China from 2010 to 2019 were obtained. The Party school experience of top executives is found to significantly improve CSR performance, and this promotion effect is positively moderated by the level of regional poverty and government intervention. Further analyses show that experience at central-level Party schools has a more significant and positive impact on CSR than experience at local-level Party schools. Top executives' Party school experience is found to improve CSR in all dimensions, leading to the overall promotion of CSR. Moreover, the greater the power of management and the higher the quality of internal control, the more significant the promotion effect of top executive's Party school experience on CSR. This research reveals how internal and external factors influence the effect of top executives' Party school experience on CSR performance and examines the strengthening of executives' ideological imprint and social identity via different regional factors, ultimately contributing to the literature on both Party school experience and CSR.

现有文献在很大程度上没有全面探讨高管早年的思想政治洗礼如何影响企业决策。基于烙印理论和社会认同理论,我们研究了中国党校(以下简称党校)高管的经历是否显著影响企业社会责任(CSR)。本文获取了2010年至2019年中国a股上市国有企业高管的党校经历数据。研究发现,高管的党校经历对企业社会责任绩效有显著的促进作用,且这种促进作用受地区贫困程度和政府干预程度的正向调节。进一步分析表明,与地方党校相比,中央党校的经历对企业社会责任的影响更为显著和积极。研究发现,高管的党校经历对企业社会责任的各个维度都有提升作用,从而促进企业社会责任的整体提升。管理层权力越大,内部控制质量越高,高管党校经历对企业社会责任的促进作用越显著。本研究揭示了内部和外部因素如何影响高管党校经历对企业社会责任绩效的影响,并通过不同的区域因素考察了高管思想印记和社会认同的强化,最终形成了关于党校经历和企业社会责任的文献。
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引用次数: 0
The Transformation of Economic Structure in Developing Countries: Evidence of Financial Development as a Source of Financing 发展中国家经济结构的转型:金融发展作为融资来源的证据
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3159
Bruno Emmanuel Ongo Nkoa, Henri Julien Brice Akeng Meboussa

This article examines the influence of financial development (FD) on the transformation of the economic structure in 89 developing countries (21 low-income countries and 68 middle-income countries) during 1996–2018. Different FD indicators are grouped and ungrouped: FD, financial institutions (FI) and financial markets (FM), each assessed through depth (FID, FMD), access (FIA, FMA) and efficiency (FIE, FME). An Economic Structure Transformation Index (ESTI) encompasses four dimensions: manufacturing, manufacturing trade, innovation and manufacturing employment. Empirical results demonstrate that FD stimulates economic transformation. Moreover, the mediation analysis reveals that FD not only has a direct positive effect on the transformation of the economic structure but also has a positive indirect effect through its impact on agricultural productivity, digitalization of the economy, and commercial openness. To accelerate the positive effects of FD on the transformation of the economic structure, governments should formulate policies aimed at improving productivity in the agricultural sector, thereby encouraging the migration of surplus labour from this sector to the manufacturing sector. Additionally, promoting the digitalization of the economy would be beneficial for fostering the adoption of advanced technologies. Furthermore, encouraging commercial openness aims to enhance the production and quality of goods and services by exploiting comparative advantages between countries.

本文考察了1996-2018年间89个发展中国家(21个低收入国家和68个中等收入国家)金融发展对经济结构转型的影响。不同的FD指标分为分组和未分组:FD,金融机构(FI)和金融市场(FM),每个指标都通过深度(FID, FMD),准入(FIA, FMA)和效率(FIE, FME)进行评估。经济结构转型指数(ESTI)包含制造业、制造业贸易、创新和制造业就业四个维度。实证结果表明,FD促进了经济转型。此外,通过中介分析,FD不仅对经济结构的转型具有直接的积极作用,而且通过对农业生产力、经济数字化和商业开放度的影响也具有积极的间接作用。为了加速FD对经济结构转型的积极作用,政府应制定旨在提高农业部门生产率的政策,从而鼓励农业部门的剩余劳动力向制造业转移。此外,推动经济数字化将有利于促进先进技术的采用。此外,鼓励商业开放旨在通过利用国家间的比较优势来提高商品和服务的生产和质量。
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引用次数: 0
Audit Quality and CSR Decoupling: An International Perspective 审计质量与企业社会责任脱钩:一个国际视角
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3162
Asif Saeed, Muhammad Usman Khurram, Riadh Manita, Thanarerk Thanakijsombat

CSR decoupling practices undermine the legitimacy of corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports, prompting a desire to use legitimacy-enhancing techniques, like external assurance (BIG4) of CSR reports. Our study uses the international sample of 34 countries from 2006 to 2019, and results indicate that good audit quality (BIG4) can significantly reduce the CSR performance and disclosure gap (CSR decoupling practices). Further, these results still hold even when using the alternate proxies of CSR decoupling (i.e., SUM) and audit quality (i.e., audit fee), and they emerge mainly in unqualified audit reports. Additionally, we use the GMM and PSM regression analysis to control endogeneity concerns, and the results are still consistent. Overall, our findings suggest that BIG4 auditors assure the legitimacy and dependability of their auditees' non-financial disclosures (CSR disclosure), as evidenced by their stringent auditing practices. Finally, our study's key implications are that companies are prone to a lower level of CSR decoupling when their external auditor is one of the BIG4 auditing firms. Our findings are particularly apparent to scholars, regulatory agencies and corporate practices.

企业社会责任脱钩的做法削弱了企业社会责任(CSR)报告的合法性,促使人们希望使用增强合法性的技术,如企业社会责任报告的外部保证(BIG4)。我们的研究采用2006 - 2019年34个国家的国际样本,结果表明良好的审计质量(BIG4)可以显著降低企业社会责任绩效和披露差距(企业社会责任脱钩实践)。此外,即使使用CSR解耦(即SUM)和审计质量(即审计费用)的替代代理,这些结果仍然成立,并且它们主要出现在不合格的审计报告中。此外,我们使用GMM和PSM回归分析来控制内生性问题,结果仍然是一致的。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,BIG4审计师确保其被审计单位的非财务披露(CSR披露)的合法性和可靠性,其严格的审计实践证明了这一点。最后,我们的研究的主要含义是,当公司的外部审计师是四大审计公司之一时,公司的社会责任脱钩水平往往较低。我们的研究结果对学者、监管机构和企业实践来说尤其明显。
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引用次数: 0
CSR Governance Committee and Carbon Emission Performance: Does Committee Composition Matter? 企业社会责任治理委员会与碳排放绩效:委员会组成是否重要?
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3164
Rasmi Meqbel, Mohammad Alta'any, Mohammad Abweny, Habiba Al-Shaer

This study examines the effect of corporate social responsibility (CSR) committee characteristics, namely the committee size, independence, chairperson independence, and meeting frequency, on firms' carbon emission performance. The authors test the hypotheses through a panel data analysis for a sample of non-financial firms listed on the Bloomberg World Large and Mid-Index from 2010 to 2020. Using data from Refinitiv Eikon and Bloomberg databases, the findings show that the CSR committee's presence is positively linked with carbon emission performance, suggesting that these committees play a crucial role in diminishing firms' carbon footprints. Moreover, the results indicate that larger committee size, the independence of the CSR committee chairperson, and increased meeting frequencies are positively associated with carbon emission performance. Our study underlines the importance of CSR committee in elevating firms' awareness and management of their carbon footprint, encouraging their adoption as a strategic measure against the rising concerns over carbon emissions. It highlights that the structure of these committees is necessary for their effectiveness, offering actionable insights for firms and policy considerations for regulators globally.

本研究考察了企业社会责任委员会特征(即委员会规模、独立性、主席独立性和会议频率)对企业碳排放绩效的影响。作者通过对2010年至2020年在彭博世界大中型指数(Bloomberg World Large and mid index)上市的非金融公司样本进行面板数据分析,对这些假设进行了检验。利用Refinitiv Eikon和Bloomberg数据库的数据,研究结果表明,企业社会责任委员会的存在与碳排放绩效呈正相关,这表明这些委员会在减少企业的碳足迹方面发挥着至关重要的作用。此外,研究结果表明,委员会规模越大、委员会主席的独立性越强、会议频率越高与碳排放绩效呈正相关。我们的研究强调了企业社会责任委员会在提高企业对其碳足迹的认识和管理方面的重要性,鼓励企业将其作为一项战略措施来应对对碳排放日益增长的担忧。报告强调,这些委员会的结构对于其有效性是必要的,为公司提供可操作的见解,并为全球监管机构提供政策考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Exchange Rate Risk and Deviations From Purchasing Power Parity 汇率风险与偏离购买力平价
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-06 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3160
Michael G. Arghyrou, Wenna Lu, Panayiotis M. Pourpourides

This paper proposes a new solution to the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzles, arguing that investors' higher-order risk attitudes, combined with higher-order uncertainty about nominal exchange rates, as reflected by skewness and kurtosis, drive a risk premium that leads to deviations from PPP. Analysing US dollar exchange rates against the currencies of three major net exporting countries to the US – Canada, Japan, and the European Union – we find that the skewness of the expected nominal exchange rate is the most significant and statistically robust moment-based factor influencing these deviations. Our estimates further suggest that only low to moderate exchange rate risks generate risk premia that contribute to these PPP deviations.

本文提出了一种新的解决购买力平价(PPP)难题的方法,认为投资者的高阶风险态度,加上名义汇率的高阶不确定性,如偏度和峰度所反映的那样,驱动了导致偏离购买力平价的风险溢价。通过分析美元对美国三个主要净出口国(加拿大、日本和欧盟)货币的汇率,我们发现,预期名义汇率的偏度是影响这些偏差的最显著和统计上最稳健的时刻因素。我们的估计进一步表明,只有低至中等汇率风险才会产生导致这些购买力平价偏差的风险溢价。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Social Media Activities on Stock Price Informativeness 社交媒体活动对股价信息性的影响
IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-04-03 DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.3155
Wansu Hu, Frank Kwabi, Samuel Fulgence, Agyenim Boateng, Bolaji Iyiola

This study investigates the influence of social media activities on stock price informativeness. Using a panel of 49 countries with 231,462 balance-panel firm-year observations from 2010 to 2020, we find that social media activities increase stock price informativeness. Furthermore, social media engagement for political and civil activities reduces information asymmetries that are linked to greater stock price informativeness. We further evidence that the intensity of the impact of social media activities varies between economic development and sectors, which implies that while some of the social media activities proxies are more pronounced in developed countries, others are more pronounced in emerging economies. The same applies to the services and non-services sectors. The result is more pronounced when varying offline political actions are most commonly mobilised on social media. For identification, we employ principal component analysis, difference-in-difference, and propensity score matching.

本研究探讨社交媒体活动对股价资讯性的影响。使用49个国家的面板,从2010年到2020年,我们发现社交媒体活动增加了股价的信息性。此外,社交媒体对政治和公民活动的参与减少了信息不对称,而信息不对称与更高的股价信息性有关。我们进一步证明,社交媒体活动的影响强度因经济发展和行业而异,这意味着,虽然一些社交媒体活动在发达国家更为明显,但其他社交媒体活动在新兴经济体更为明显。这同样适用于服务业和非服务业。当各种线下政治行动最常在社交媒体上动员时,结果更为明显。为了识别,我们采用了主成分分析、差异中差异和倾向评分匹配。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Finance & Economics
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