首页 > 最新文献

Defence and Peace Economics最新文献

英文 中文
Editorial Introduction 编辑介绍
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-24 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2101747
Todd Sandler
Published in Defence and Peace Economics (Ahead of Print, 2022)
发表于《国防与和平经济学》(2022年印刷前)
{"title":"Editorial Introduction","authors":"Todd Sandler","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2101747","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2101747","url":null,"abstract":"Published in Defence and Peace Economics (Ahead of Print, 2022)","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":"23 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138523936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Role of Stakeholders in Managing Government Research and Development Funding for Defence Industrial Innovation: The Case of Malaysia 利益相关者在管理政府国防工业创新研发资金中的作用:以马来西亚为例
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-22 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2100588
Kogila Balakrishnan, Treesna Nadira Johar
The level of defence industrial innovation success has been modest in Malaysia, despite continuous investment into research and development (R&D). The authors use the Defence Research and Development Stakeholder Engagement Framework (DRDSEF) to argue that strategic colla- borative engagement between stakeholders is critical for successful industrial and technological innovation. This paper has two aims: to describe the role of the stakeholders in managing defence R&D funding and to evaluate the challenges faced by these stakeholders in managing government defence R&D allocation for industrial and technological innovation. This is an explora- tory case study using a combination of interpretivist and pragmatist philoso-phical approaches. Analysed data consists of secondary resources and primary resources included surveys in the form of open-ended semi- structured interviews and participatory observation. This paper concludes that successful defence R&D stakeholder engagement requires an open and independent platform, enhanced industry-academia cross-sector fertilisation and collaborative data analytics management tools to share information.
尽管对研发进行了持续投资,但马来西亚国防工业创新的成功程度并不高。作者使用国防研究与发展利益相关者参与框架(DRDSEF)认为,利益相关者之间的战略协作参与对于成功的工业和技术创新至关重要。本文有两个目的:描述利益相关者在管理国防研发资金方面的作用,并评估这些利益相关者对管理政府国防研发拨款以促进工业和技术创新所面临的挑战。这是一个探索性的案例研究,结合了解释主义和实用主义的哲学方法。分析数据包括二级资源和一级资源,包括以开放式半结构化访谈和参与式观察形式进行的调查。本文得出的结论是,成功的国防研发利益相关者参与需要一个开放和独立的平台,加强行业和学术界的跨部门融合,以及共享信息的协作数据分析管理工具。
{"title":"The Role of Stakeholders in Managing Government Research and Development Funding for Defence Industrial Innovation: The Case of Malaysia","authors":"Kogila Balakrishnan, Treesna Nadira Johar","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2100588","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2100588","url":null,"abstract":"The level of defence industrial innovation success has been modest in Malaysia, despite continuous investment into research and development (R&D). The authors use the Defence Research and Development Stakeholder Engagement Framework (DRDSEF) to argue that strategic colla- borative engagement between stakeholders is critical for successful industrial and technological innovation. This paper has two aims: to describe the role of the stakeholders in managing defence R&D funding and to evaluate the challenges faced by these stakeholders in managing government defence R&D allocation for industrial and technological innovation. This is an explora- tory case study using a combination of interpretivist and pragmatist philoso-phical approaches. Analysed data consists of secondary resources and primary resources included surveys in the form of open-ended semi- structured interviews and participatory observation. This paper concludes that successful defence R&D stakeholder engagement requires an open and independent platform, enhanced industry-academia cross-sector fertilisation and collaborative data analytics management tools to share information.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44442228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Effect of SERVICE-LENGTH Obligations on Occupational Selection: Evidence from West Point Graduates 服役年限义务对职业选择的影响:来自西点军校毕业生的证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2101199
S. Redman, Kyle Greenberg
{"title":"The Effect of SERVICE-LENGTH Obligations on Occupational Selection: Evidence from West Point Graduates","authors":"S. Redman, Kyle Greenberg","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2101199","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2101199","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":"54 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41250163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exposure to Conflict, Migrations and Long-run Education and Income Inequality: Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina 暴露于冲突、移民、长期教育和收入不平等:来自波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2100572
A. Efendic, Dejan Kovac, Jacob N. Shapiro
ABSTRACT We investigate the long-term relationship between conflict-related migration and individual socioeconomic inequality. Looking at the post-conflict environment of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), a former Yugoslav state most heavily impacted by the wars of the early 1990s, the paper focuses on differences in educational performance and income between four groups: migrants, internally displaced persons, former external migrants, and those who did not move. The analysis leverages a municipality-representative survey (n ≈ 6,000) that captured self-reported education and income outcomes as well as migration histories. We find that individuals with greater exposure to conflict had systematically worse educational performance and lower earnings two decades after the war. Former external migrants now living in BiH have better educational and economic outcomes than those who did not migrate, but these advantages are smaller for external migrants who were forced to move. We recommend that policies intended to address migration-related discrepancies should be targeted on the basis of individual and family experiences caused by conflict.
{"title":"Exposure to Conflict, Migrations and Long-run Education and Income Inequality: Evidence from Bosnia and Herzegovina","authors":"A. Efendic, Dejan Kovac, Jacob N. Shapiro","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2100572","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2100572","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT We investigate the long-term relationship between conflict-related migration and individual socioeconomic inequality. Looking at the post-conflict environment of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH), a former Yugoslav state most heavily impacted by the wars of the early 1990s, the paper focuses on differences in educational performance and income between four groups: migrants, internally displaced persons, former external migrants, and those who did not move. The analysis leverages a municipality-representative survey (n ≈ 6,000) that captured self-reported education and income outcomes as well as migration histories. We find that individuals with greater exposure to conflict had systematically worse educational performance and lower earnings two decades after the war. Former external migrants now living in BiH have better educational and economic outcomes than those who did not migrate, but these advantages are smaller for external migrants who were forced to move. We recommend that policies intended to address migration-related discrepancies should be targeted on the basis of individual and family experiences caused by conflict.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48206248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Dividend Policy and Earnings Management: Evidence from the U.S. Aerospace and Defence Industry 股利政策和盈余管理:来自美国航空航天和国防工业的证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2079282
Andreas G. Koutoupis, Leonidas G. Davidopoulos
This study provides evidence on how dividend policy affects earnings management. Our goal is to contribute to the literature by employing data from a sector (aerospace and defence) that to the best of our knowledge has never been studied before in terms of the relationship between earnings management and dividend policy. Our sample consists of 17 listed companies in the U.S. Stock Exchanges, examined for the 2012-2019 period. We employ panel data linear regression to conclude that the dividend policy positively affects the management’s practice of discretionary accruals manipulation. Consequently, our results support the signalling hypothesis that points to the importance of a stable dividend policy. Specifically, we provide relevant and robust information on management decision making regarding value return to the shareholders of U.S. aerospace and defence companies. Finally, we provide future research proposals that may shed more light on this obscure relationship. © 2022 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
这项研究为股利政策如何影响盈余管理提供了证据。我们的目标是通过使用一个行业(航空航天和国防)的数据来为文献做出贡献,据我们所知,该行业以前从未在盈余管理和股息政策之间的关系方面进行过研究。我们的样本包括美国证券交易所的17家上市公司,在2012-2019年期间进行了调查。我们采用面板数据线性回归得出结论,股息政策对管理层自由支配应计项目操纵的实践产生了积极影响。因此,我们的研究结果支持了信号假说,该假说指出了稳定股息政策的重要性。具体而言,我们向美国航空航天和国防公司的股东提供有关价值回报的管理决策的相关和可靠信息。最后,我们提供了未来的研究建议,可能会对这种模糊的关系有更多的了解。©2022 Informa UK Limited,交易名称为Taylor&Francis Group。
{"title":"Dividend Policy and Earnings Management: Evidence from the U.S. Aerospace and Defence Industry","authors":"Andreas G. Koutoupis, Leonidas G. Davidopoulos","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2079282","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2079282","url":null,"abstract":"This study provides evidence on how dividend policy affects earnings management. Our goal is to contribute to the literature by employing data from a sector (aerospace and defence) that to the best of our knowledge has never been studied before in terms of the relationship between earnings management and dividend policy. Our sample consists of 17 listed companies in the U.S. Stock Exchanges, examined for the 2012-2019 period. We employ panel data linear regression to conclude that the dividend policy positively affects the management’s practice of discretionary accruals manipulation. Consequently, our results support the signalling hypothesis that points to the importance of a stable dividend policy. Specifically, we provide relevant and robust information on management decision making regarding value return to the shareholders of U.S. aerospace and defence companies. Finally, we provide future research proposals that may shed more light on this obscure relationship. © 2022 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47483048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Scientometric Analysis of the Relationship between Expenditure on Defence and Economic Growth: Current Situation and Future Perspectives 国防支出与经济增长关系的科学计量分析:现状与未来展望
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-27 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2091191
Paula Gómez-Trueba Santamaría, Alfredo Arahuetes García, Aurora García Domonte
ABSTRACT This article aims to identify the main studies that research the relationship between defence spending and economic growth in a region, carried out on a large sample of 162 articles obtained from the Web of Science database, published between 1995 and 2019. By carrying out three analyses, descriptive, scientometric and content, the results have made it possible to identify the most outstanding characteristics of this relationship along with the main schools of thought. Furthermore, these can be grouped into one of the four proposed categories: positive relationship, negative, bidirectional or no relation at all. The state of the art has been evaluated and synthesized, establishing trends and areas for future research in this broad field.
{"title":"Scientometric Analysis of the Relationship between Expenditure on Defence and Economic Growth: Current Situation and Future Perspectives","authors":"Paula Gómez-Trueba Santamaría, Alfredo Arahuetes García, Aurora García Domonte","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2091191","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2091191","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This article aims to identify the main studies that research the relationship between defence spending and economic growth in a region, carried out on a large sample of 162 articles obtained from the Web of Science database, published between 1995 and 2019. By carrying out three analyses, descriptive, scientometric and content, the results have made it possible to identify the most outstanding characteristics of this relationship along with the main schools of thought. Furthermore, these can be grouped into one of the four proposed categories: positive relationship, negative, bidirectional or no relation at all. The state of the art has been evaluated and synthesized, establishing trends and areas for future research in this broad field.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46057884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Dynamics of the Global Arms Trade Network: States’ Stability and Instability 全球武器贸易网络的动态:各国的稳定与不稳定
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2091610
Yeongkyun Jang, Jae-Suk Yang
ABSTRACT This study identifies security-related factors affecting the formation of the global arms trade network. This empirical analysis using a quantitative approach includes data from multiple sources (the Global Peace Index, Political Stability Index, Democracy Index, Global Terrorism Index, Fragile State Index, and military expenditure as a percentage of GDP) and multiple states analyzed using the ERGM. Arms trade data related to six attributes of states representing their (in)stability is collected and analyzed for 2012-2018. Our findings are as follows: (1) states with greater internal stability import more arms, which affects the formation of the global arms trade network; (2) states with greater external instability import more arms, which also affects the formation of the global arms trade network. This study makes two academic contributions, as follows. First, we analyze factors that form the global arms trade network from a holistic or systemic perspective. Second, we analyze those factors empirically and statistically from a security perspective.
本研究确定了影响全球武器贸易网络形成的安全相关因素。这种使用定量方法的实证分析包括来自多个来源(全球和平指数、政治稳定指数、民主指数、全球恐怖主义指数、脆弱国家指数和军费开支占GDP的百分比)和使用ERGM分析的多个州的数据。收集并分析了2012-2018年与代表国家稳定的六个国家属性有关的武器贸易数据。我们的研究结果如下:(1)国内稳定程度较高的国家进口更多的武器,这影响了全球武器贸易网络的形成;(2) 外部不稳定程度更高的国家进口更多的武器,这也影响了全球武器贸易网络的形成。本研究有以下两个学术贡献。首先,我们从整体或系统的角度分析了构成全球武器贸易网络的因素。其次,我们从安全角度对这些因素进行了实证和统计分析。
{"title":"The Dynamics of the Global Arms Trade Network: States’ Stability and Instability","authors":"Yeongkyun Jang, Jae-Suk Yang","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2091610","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2091610","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This study identifies security-related factors affecting the formation of the global arms trade network. This empirical analysis using a quantitative approach includes data from multiple sources (the Global Peace Index, Political Stability Index, Democracy Index, Global Terrorism Index, Fragile State Index, and military expenditure as a percentage of GDP) and multiple states analyzed using the ERGM. Arms trade data related to six attributes of states representing their (in)stability is collected and analyzed for 2012-2018. Our findings are as follows: (1) states with greater internal stability import more arms, which affects the formation of the global arms trade network; (2) states with greater external instability import more arms, which also affects the formation of the global arms trade network. This study makes two academic contributions, as follows. First, we analyze factors that form the global arms trade network from a holistic or systemic perspective. Second, we analyze those factors empirically and statistically from a security perspective.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":"34 1","pages":"914 - 930"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49310410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Technological Emergence and Military Technology Innovation 技术涌现与军事技术创新
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2076339
Jon Schmid
ABSTRACT To what extent is military technology innovation emergent? This study answers this question by applying an emergence detection algorithm to roughly 300,000 technical terms extracted from military technology patents granted from 1980 to 2019. Emergence – instances of sudden and rapid growth of a technical term within the military patent corpus – is found to vary greatly over time. Military technology innovation during the period of 1996-2008 is found to be highly emergent. This period was found to be characterized by high organization-type diversity; non-traditional vendors, traditional defense contractors, large civilian-facing firms, and individuals generated military patents containing many novel emergent technical terms. However, in recent years, military technology innovation has exhibited markedly less emergence. The period of low emergence is characterized by reduced contributions by non-traditional vendors, defense prime contractors, and individual inventors to military patents containing emergent terms. These observations suggest that policies attempting to ensure a healthy defense innovation ecosystem should seek organization-type diversity and may benefit from employing promotion strategies targeted at distinct organization types.
{"title":"Technological Emergence and Military Technology Innovation","authors":"Jon Schmid","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2076339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2076339","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT To what extent is military technology innovation emergent? This study answers this question by applying an emergence detection algorithm to roughly 300,000 technical terms extracted from military technology patents granted from 1980 to 2019. Emergence – instances of sudden and rapid growth of a technical term within the military patent corpus – is found to vary greatly over time. Military technology innovation during the period of 1996-2008 is found to be highly emergent. This period was found to be characterized by high organization-type diversity; non-traditional vendors, traditional defense contractors, large civilian-facing firms, and individuals generated military patents containing many novel emergent technical terms. However, in recent years, military technology innovation has exhibited markedly less emergence. The period of low emergence is characterized by reduced contributions by non-traditional vendors, defense prime contractors, and individual inventors to military patents containing emergent terms. These observations suggest that policies attempting to ensure a healthy defense innovation ecosystem should seek organization-type diversity and may benefit from employing promotion strategies targeted at distinct organization types.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42042942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Economic Consequences of National Security Threats: The Case of the Korean Peninsula 国家安全威胁的经济后果:以朝鲜半岛为例
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-29 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2074629
W. Qian
ABSTRACT This paper examines the impact of national security threats on a nation’s economic growth and fiscal policy based on a case study of the Korean peninsula. I construct four measures of provocations using a newly-assembled list of North Korean provocative events going back to 1960. The results show that the overall impact of North Korean provocations on South Korea’s short-run economic growth is negligible. Since inter-Korean relations have gone through four phases, this paper also estimates the impact of provocations over each subperiod. Provocations had a significant impact on South Korea’s economic growth during 1960-1970 and 1992-1997 when inter-Korean tensions were high, but the effects took on different signs. While provocations decreased South Korea’s economic growth during 1992-1997, it had a positive impact on South Korea’s macroeconomy before 1970. This paper provides evidence that the effect of national security threats may vary with the responses from the government and political factors such as the relation between the targeted country and the country that inflicts the threat.
摘要本文以朝鲜半岛为例,考察了国家安全威胁对国家经济增长和财政政策的影响。我使用一份新收集的朝鲜1960年挑衅事件清单,构建了四种挑衅措施。结果显示,朝鲜挑衅对韩国短期经济增长的总体影响微乎其微。由于朝韩关系经历了四个阶段,本文还估计了挑衅在每个子阶段的影响。在1960-1970年和1992-1997年朝韩关系高度紧张期间,挑衅对韩国的经济增长产生了重大影响,但其影响呈现出不同的迹象。虽然挑衅行为在1992-1997年间降低了韩国的经济增长,但在1970年之前,它对韩国的宏观经济产生了积极影响。本文提供的证据表明,国家安全威胁的影响可能因政府的反应和政治因素而异,例如目标国家和造成威胁的国家之间的关系。
{"title":"The Economic Consequences of National Security Threats: The Case of the Korean Peninsula","authors":"W. Qian","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2074629","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2074629","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper examines the impact of national security threats on a nation’s economic growth and fiscal policy based on a case study of the Korean peninsula. I construct four measures of provocations using a newly-assembled list of North Korean provocative events going back to 1960. The results show that the overall impact of North Korean provocations on South Korea’s short-run economic growth is negligible. Since inter-Korean relations have gone through four phases, this paper also estimates the impact of provocations over each subperiod. Provocations had a significant impact on South Korea’s economic growth during 1960-1970 and 1992-1997 when inter-Korean tensions were high, but the effects took on different signs. While provocations decreased South Korea’s economic growth during 1992-1997, it had a positive impact on South Korea’s macroeconomy before 1970. This paper provides evidence that the effect of national security threats may vary with the responses from the government and political factors such as the relation between the targeted country and the country that inflicts the threat.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":"34 1","pages":"963 - 980"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41408270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Economic Growth’s Catalyzing Effect on War 经济增长对战争的催化作用
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-05-29 DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2022.2073428
Charles R. Boehmer, David H. Sacko
ABSTRACT This paper explains the circumstances where economic growth increases the likelihood of interstate war. Optimism created by high and sustained economic expansion permeates a state, increasing elite and mass optimism for the use of deadly force. Without relief, such unbridled sanguinity can lead states to war. However, other forces reduce the probability of war. Regional democracy, bilateral trade, and trade openness slow down the process where states go to war. This paper hypothesizes that key factors raise the temperature of disputes, increasing the likelihood of a political dispute combusting to war, while other attributes inhibit the process to war. Economic growth catalyzes such reactions, while regional and joint democracy impede the probability that a war sparks. This paper produces monadic and dyadic results demonstrating that economic growth increases the likelihood of war, while other factors such as interstate trade openness, bilateral trade, dyadic democracy, and regional democracy slow down the process of war, making war less likely.
摘要本文解释了经济增长增加州际战争可能性的情况。高度持续的经济扩张所产生的乐观情绪渗透到一个国家,增加了精英和大众对使用致命武力的乐观情绪。如果没有救济,这种肆无忌惮的乐观情绪可能会导致国家陷入战争。然而,其他力量降低了战争的可能性。区域民主、双边贸易和贸易开放减缓了国家发动战争的进程。本文假设,关键因素提高了争端的温度,增加了政治争端演变成战争的可能性,而其他因素则抑制了战争的进程。经济增长催化了这种反应,而地区和联合民主阻碍了战争爆发的可能性。本文得出的一元和二元结果表明,经济增长增加了战争的可能性,而其他因素,如州际贸易开放、双边贸易、二元民主和地区民主,减缓了战争的进程,降低了战争的可能。
{"title":"Economic Growth’s Catalyzing Effect on War","authors":"Charles R. Boehmer, David H. Sacko","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2022.2073428","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10242694.2022.2073428","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper explains the circumstances where economic growth increases the likelihood of interstate war. Optimism created by high and sustained economic expansion permeates a state, increasing elite and mass optimism for the use of deadly force. Without relief, such unbridled sanguinity can lead states to war. However, other forces reduce the probability of war. Regional democracy, bilateral trade, and trade openness slow down the process where states go to war. This paper hypothesizes that key factors raise the temperature of disputes, increasing the likelihood of a political dispute combusting to war, while other attributes inhibit the process to war. Economic growth catalyzes such reactions, while regional and joint democracy impede the probability that a war sparks. This paper produces monadic and dyadic results demonstrating that economic growth increases the likelihood of war, while other factors such as interstate trade openness, bilateral trade, dyadic democracy, and regional democracy slow down the process of war, making war less likely.","PeriodicalId":47477,"journal":{"name":"Defence and Peace Economics","volume":"34 1","pages":"931 - 962"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44747319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Defence and Peace Economics
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1