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Tax revenue from Pillar One Amount A: country-by-country estimates 来自第一支柱部门 A 的税收收入:逐国估算
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09859-4
Mona Barake, Elvin Le Pouhaër

This paper presents first-round simulations of the tax revenues arising from the Pillar One Amount A proposal of the G20/OECD inclusive framework on base erosion and profit shifting for 2016–2025. Amount A aims at revising taxing rights on multinational enterprises with at least €20 billion in revenue and profitability above 10%. We consider the latest available Pillar One Amount A rules as detailed in the “Multilateral Convention to Implement Amount A of Pillar One” (OECD 2023b). In a first step, we identify the multinationals that would be “covered” under Pillar One Amount A. Then, by combining micro and macro data sources, we create a database that approximates these Covered Groups’ worldwide distribution of destination-based revenues, profits, employees, and tangible assets. Destination-based revenues serve to reallocate Amount A profits across jurisdictions. Finally, we account for double taxation relief to obtain country-level net revenue estimates from Pillar One Amount A. The aggregate additional tax revenue arising from Pillar One Amount A varies from €5.7 billion in 2020 to €10.9 billion in 2022. We provide country-specific estimate ranges and a comparison to digital taxes. The trade-off between Amount A and digital taxes is unclear and may vary from one country to another. Testing for the implications of various provisions of Amount A rules, we observe that the extent of taxing rights redistribution is seriously affected by the Marketing and Distribution Safe Harbour (MDSH), while the profit reallocated to low and lower-middle-income jurisdictions crucially depends on the tail-end revenues provision.

本文对 2016-2025 年 G20/OECD 关于税基侵蚀和利润转移的包容性框架的第一支柱 A 提出的税收收入进行了第一轮模拟。A 法案旨在修订收入至少 200 亿欧元且利润率超过 10%的跨国企业的征税权。我们考虑了《实施第一支柱A额的多边公约》(经合组织,2023b)中详述的最新可用的第一支柱A额规则。第一步,我们首先确定第一支柱 A "涵盖 "的跨国公司。然后,通过结合微观和宏观数据来源,我们创建了一个数据库,近似反映这些 "涵盖集团 "基于目的地的收入、利润、员工和有形资产的全球分布情况。以目的地为基础的收入用于在各管辖区之间重新分配 A 额利润。最后,我们考虑了双重征税减免,以获得第一支柱 A 税收的国家级净收入估算。第一支柱 A 税收带来的额外税收总额从 2020 年的 57 亿欧元到 2022 年的 109 亿欧元不等。我们提供了各国的估计范围以及与数字税的比较。A 额和数字税之间的权衡并不明确,可能因国家而异。通过测试 A 额规则中不同条款的影响,我们发现征税权再分配的程度受到营销和分销安全港(MDSH)的严重影响,而重新分配给低收入和中低收入辖区的利润主要取决于尾端收入条款。
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引用次数: 0
“Public goods, labor supply and benefit taxation” "公共产品、劳动力供给和福利税"
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09865-6
Cristian F. Sepulveda

A benefit tax is a tax whose amount is determined in accordance with the benefits received. It is well-known that an increase in the tax burden reduces individual welfare due to its negative effect on private consumption, but the public finance literature commonly disregards the positive effects that an increase in public goods provision (that follow the increase in taxes) can have on taxpayers’ welfare. This paper first considers an economy in which a proportional labor-income tax is used to finance the provision of (pure) public goods, and describes a “second-best benefit” tax solution to the tax-expenditure problem that is efficient and satisfies the benefit principle of taxation. The analogous “first-best benefit” tax solution can be obtained with the same procedure under lump-sum taxation. The tax burdens under these solutions are set individually to maximize each taxpayer’s surplus given the contributions of all taxpayers and no free riding. The solutions provide natural benchmarks to separate the problems of efficiency and redistribution.

福利税是一种根据所得福利确定税额的税收。众所周知,税收负担的增加会对私人消费产生负面影响,从而降低个人福利,但公共财政文献通常忽视了公共产品供给的增加(随税收增加而增加)对纳税人福利的积极影响。本文首先考虑了一个用按比例征收的劳动收入税来为提供(纯)公共产品提供资金的经济体,并描述了一个解决税收支出问题的 "次优收益 "税收方案,该方案既有效又符合税收的收益原则。类似的 "第一最佳利益 "税收解决方案也可以通过一次性征税的相同程序得到。在所有纳税人都做出贡献且没有搭便车的情况下,这些解决方案下的税负分别设定为每个纳税人的盈余最大化。这些方案为区分效率和再分配问题提供了自然基准。
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引用次数: 0
The marginal value of public funds: a brief guide and application to tax policy 公共资金的边际价值:简要指南及在税收政策中的应用
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09860-x
Spencer Bastani

This paper provides a brief and accessible guide to the Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) and offers some new perspectives on its application to the evaluation of tax policy. Specifically, the paper aims to: (i) bridge the gap between traditional uses of the Marginal Cost of Public Funds and the growing interest in the MVPF approach, (ii) highlight the crucial link between the MVPF and tax policy, (iii) critically discuss empirical quantification, particularly with respect to tax elasticities, and (iv) explore distributional considerations and their connection to the literature on optimal redistributive taxation.

本文简要介绍了公共资金边际价值(MVPF),并对其在税收政策评估中的应用提出了一些新的观点。具体而言,本文旨在:(i) 弥合公共资金边际成本的传统用法与人们对 MVPF 方法日益增长的兴趣之间的差距;(ii) 强调 MVPF 与税收政策之间的重要联系;(iii) 批判性地讨论经验量化,尤其是税收弹性;(iv) 探讨分配方面的考虑因素及其与最优再分配税收文献之间的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Misreporting in the Norwegian business cash support scheme 挪威企业现金支助计划中的误报问题
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09857-6
Dinara Alpysbayeva, Annette Alstadsæter, Wojciech Kopczuk, Simen Markussen, Oddbjørn Raaum

We analyze the reporting response to an ambitiously targeted government support scheme for Norwegian businesses at the very start of the Coronavirus crisis in 2020. Our empirical design is based on cross-checking self-reported data in the applications for support with administratively reported data used for VAT. We find strong evidence that strategic misreporting was present but conclude that its remaining quantitative extent after enforcement actions already taken by the tax authorities was relatively small. Firms tend to misreport 4% more often than expected, and the actual support paid out was 5% higher than it should have been. We discuss possible reasons for the relatively limited extent of non-compliance and more general lessons for the design of transfer programs.

我们分析了在 2020 年冠状病毒危机伊始,挪威企业对一项目标明确的政府支持计划的报告反应。我们的实证设计基于交叉检查申请支持时的自我报告数据和增值税使用的行政报告数据。我们发现了策略性虚报存在的有力证据,但得出的结论是,在税务机关采取执法行动后,其剩余的数量范围相对较小。企业虚报的频率往往比预期高出 4%,而实际支付的支持比应支付的高出 5%。我们讨论了不合规程度相对有限的可能原因,以及在设计转移支付项目时应吸取的更普遍的教训。
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引用次数: 0
The determinants of the financial distress of Italian municipalities: How much is it due to inadequate resources? 意大利市政当局财政困难的决定因素:有多少是由于资源不足造成的?
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09856-7
Emanuele Padovani, Francesco Porcelli, Alberto Zanardi

The key question addressed in this work is whether financial distress recently experienced by several Italian municipalities can be at least partially imputed to the inadequacy of the financial resources they suffer compared to the needs of their populations and their territories. Starting from a multidimensional definition of financial distress, we investigate this issue by exploiting the variability across municipalities revealed by two different occurrences recently involving the intergovernmental fiscal relations in Italy: on the one hand, the large cuts in vertical transfers carried out by the central government as part of the fiscal consolidation strategy in the period 2014–2015 which affected single municipalities to varying degrees; and, on the other hand, the introduction of a new mechanism of equalization transfers at municipal level which showed how the gap between available financial resources to local needs is differentiated across municipalities. Exploiting these sources of variability across local authorities, the estimation results show that the Italian municipalities which suffer a level of resources lower than that necessary to provide public services at a standard level are, ceteris paribus, more likely to run into financial difficulties. By the same token, large cuts in central government transfers have a statistically significant effect on financial vulnerability at municipal level.

这项工作要解决的关键问题是,意大利几个市镇最近经历的财政困难是否至少可以部分归咎于它们所遭受的财政资源与其人口和地区需求相比不足。从财政困难的多维定义出发,我们通过利用意大利政府间财政关系最近发生的两起不同事件所揭示的各市之间的差异性来研究这一问题:一方面,作为 2014-2015 年财政整顿战略的一部分,中央政府对纵向转移支付进行了大幅削减,这对各市造成了不同程度的影响;另一方面,在市一级引入了新的均衡转移支付机制,这显示了可用财政资源与地方需求之间的差距在各市之间是如何被区分开来的。利用地方当局之间的这些差异来源,估算结果表明,如果意大利各市的资源水平低于提供标准公共服务所需的水平,那么这些市就更有可能陷入财政困难。同样,中央政府大幅削减转移支付也会对市政当局的财政脆弱性产生显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Tax redistribution offset? Effect of marital choices on income inequality 税收再分配的抵消?婚姻选择对收入不平等的影响
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09847-8
Melanie Häner-Müller, Michele Salvi, Christoph A. Schaltegger

This paper examines the relationship between marital sorting and income inequality in Switzerland using individual tax data. We find that assortative mating intensifies at the tails of the income distribution. High and low earners specifically tend to marry alike. This pattern is exacerbating household income inequality—the Gini coefficient increases by more than 10% and the top 1% share by around 5% compared to random matching. By comparison, we show that the redistributive impact of marital sorting offsets the effect induced by taxation for most of the top income quintile. However, tax dominates the opposing mating redistribution from the top 5% income share.

本文利用个人税收数据研究了瑞士婚姻排序与收入不平等之间的关系。我们发现,在收入分布的尾部,同类交配现象会加剧。高收入者和低收入者的婚姻趋于一致。与随机匹配相比,这种模式加剧了家庭收入不平等--基尼系数增加了 10%以上,收入最高的 1%的比例增加了约 5%。通过比较,我们发现婚姻排序的再分配影响抵消了税收对大多数收入最高的五分之一人口的影响。然而,税收主导了来自收入最高 5%人群的对立匹配再分配。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth survey calibration using income tax data 利用所得税数据进行财富调查校准
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09849-6
Daniel Kolář

Wealth surveys tend to underestimate wealth concentration at the top due to the “missing rich” problem. I propose a new way of improving the credibility of wealth surveys by making them consistent with tabulated income tax data. This is possible with the harmonized triannual Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS), which collects data on both income and wealth. I achieve consistency by calibrating survey weights using the income part of HFCS. I apply the calibration method of Blanchet et al. (J Econ Inequal 20(1):119–150, 2022b) in a new context and propose a new, intuitive way to determine the merging point where the calibration starts. I then use the calibrated weights with HFCS wealth values. Tested on Austria, calibration aligns the survey totals closer to the National Accounts, with wealth inequality increasing in the second and third survey waves. I also find a strong downward bias in the Austrian HFCS income distribution. Following the calibration, I test other top tail adjustments: replacing the survey top tail with a Pareto distribution and combining the data with a magazine rich list.

由于 "富人失踪 "问题,财富调查往往会低估财富集中在顶端的情况。我提出了一种提高财富调查可信度的新方法,即让财富调查与表列所得税数据保持一致。统一的三年期家庭金融和消费调查(HFCS)收集了收入和财富数据,因此可以做到这一点。我通过使用 HFCS 的收入部分校准调查权重来实现一致性。我将 Blanchet 等人(J Econ Inequal 20(1):119-150,2022b)的校准方法应用到新的环境中,并提出了一种新的、直观的方法来确定校准开始的合并点。然后,我将校准后的权重与 HFCS 财富值一起使用。通过对奥地利的测试,校准使调查总数更接近国民账户,财富不平等在第二和第三波调查中加剧。我还发现奥地利 HFCS 收入分布存在强烈的向下偏差。在校准之后,我还测试了其他顶尾调整:用帕累托分布代替调查顶尾,并将数据与杂志富豪榜相结合。
{"title":"Wealth survey calibration using income tax data","authors":"Daniel Kolář","doi":"10.1007/s10797-024-09849-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-024-09849-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Wealth surveys tend to underestimate wealth concentration at the top due to the “missing rich” problem. I propose a new way of improving the credibility of wealth surveys by making them consistent with tabulated income tax data. This is possible with the harmonized triannual Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS), which collects data on both income and wealth. I achieve consistency by calibrating survey <i>weights</i> using the income part of HFCS. I apply the calibration method of Blanchet et al. (J Econ Inequal 20(1):119–150, 2022b) in a new context and propose a new, intuitive way to determine the merging point where the calibration starts. I then use the calibrated weights with HFCS wealth values. Tested on Austria, calibration aligns the survey totals closer to the National Accounts, with wealth inequality increasing in the second and third survey waves. I also find a strong downward bias in the Austrian HFCS income distribution. Following the calibration, I test other top tail adjustments: replacing the survey top tail with a Pareto distribution and combining the data with a magazine rich list.</p>","PeriodicalId":47518,"journal":{"name":"International Tax and Public Finance","volume":"76 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141189103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimal fiscal policy under finite planning horizons 有限规划视野下的最优财政政策
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09845-w
Euiyoung Jung, Chul-In Lee

We propose a novel framework that revisits the seminal Chamley-Judd zero capital taxation result in light of bounded rationality stemming from a finite policy planning horizon and structural frictions in fiscal institutions. We show a mechanism that generates positive optimal capital taxation in the long run. Our numerical results indicate that the current tax system in the United States could be near-optimal in a constrained environment where policymakers exhibit limited policy planning horizons and imperfect altruism toward household welfare under subsequent governments.

我们提出了一个新颖的框架,根据有限的政策规划期限和财政机构的结构性摩擦所产生的有界理性,重新审视了开创性的 Chamley-Judd 零资本税结果。我们展示了一种在长期内产生正向最优资本税的机制。我们的数值结果表明,在政策制定者表现出有限的政策规划视野和对后续政府下家庭福利的不完全利他主义的受限环境中,美国现行税制可能接近最优。
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引用次数: 0
The relation between corporate social responsibility and profit shifting of multinational enterprises 企业社会责任与跨国企业利润转移之间的关系
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09850-z
Michael Overesch, Sina Willkomm

We examine the relation between corporate social responsibility [CSR] and international profit shifting. We find consistent evidence that CSR is adversely related to profit shifting within European and US multinational firms. Additional results document that less profit shifting occurs in multinational firms that show high performance in the social or corporate governance dimensions. For US multinational firms, we find that the CSR performance is negatively related to profit shifting, particularly if a multinational firm faces fewer reputational concerns or competitive threats. Our findings point to a corporate culture in which, for international tax planning through profit shifting, CSR and tax payments complement each other.

我们研究了企业社会责任与国际利润转移之间的关系。我们发现一致的证据表明,在欧洲和美国的跨国公司中,企业社会责任与利润转移存在不利关系。其他结果表明,在社会或公司治理方面表现出色的跨国公司的利润转移较少。对于美国跨国公司,我们发现企业社会责任表现与利润转移呈负相关,尤其是在跨国公司面临较少声誉问题或竞争威胁的情况下。我们的研究结果表明,在通过利润转移进行国际税收筹划的企业文化中,企业社会责任和纳税是相辅相成的。
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引用次数: 0
How a French corporate tax reform raised wages: evidence from an innovative method 法国公司税改革如何提高了工资:创新方法提供的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09846-9
Nicolas Yol

This paper documents the effect on wages of one of the most far-reaching French economic reforms of the past decade. The reform, implemented between 2013 and 2018, provided a corporate tax credit proportional to the payroll for those employees paid no more than 2.5 times the French minimum legal wage. The aim of the reform was to increase competitiveness and employment by reducing labor costs through a corporate tax credit. It is shown here that a significant part of the tax credit paid to firms actually increased wages, missing the reform’s initial target. Insofar as almost all companies were affected by the reform, an innovative evaluation method is used here to simulate a counterfactual scenario for wages using branch data from France’s national accounts. This method successfully estimates the specific impact of the reform on wages and it is robust to several checks, such as placebo estimates. The present contribution to the literature is threefold. First, we propose a novel methodology of policy evaluation specially designed for the absence of a counterfactual. Second, and unlike most public policy evaluation studies, national accounts data are used instead of firm-data. Third, the partial equilibrium results presented in the article are particularly relevant for calibrating a macroeconomic model accounting for general equilibrium effects. Indeed, the reform amounted to a cut in corporate taxes equivalent to 1% of GDP, therefore constituting a sizable macroeconomic shock.

本文记录了过去十年中影响最深远的法国经济改革之一对工资的影响。这项改革在 2013 年至 2018 年间实施,为工资不超过法国法定最低工资 2.5 倍的员工提供与工资成正比的企业税收抵免。改革的目的是通过企业税收抵免降低劳动力成本,从而提高竞争力,增加就业。本文显示,支付给企业的税收抵免中有很大一部分实际上增加了工资,这与改革的最初目标相去甚远。由于几乎所有企业都受到了改革的影响,因此本文采用了一种创新的评估方法,利用法国国民账户的分支数据来模拟工资的反事实情况。这种方法成功地估算出了改革对工资的具体影响,而且对一些检查(如安慰剂估算)是稳健的。本研究对文献的贡献有三方面。首先,我们提出了一种专为缺乏反事实而设计的新颖政策评估方法。其次,与大多数公共政策评估研究不同,我们使用了国民账户数据而非企业数据。第三,文章中提出的局部均衡结果对于校准考虑一般均衡效应的宏观经济模型尤为重要。事实上,改革相当于削减了相当于国内生产总值 1%的企业税,因此对宏观经济造成了巨大冲击。
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引用次数: 0
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International Tax and Public Finance
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