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Digitalization and cross-border tax fraud: evidence from e-invoicing in Italy 数字化与跨境税务欺诈:意大利电子发票的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09820-x
Marwin Heinemann, Wojciech Stiller

The digitalization of transaction processes through tools such as electronic invoicing (e-invoicing) aims to improve tax compliance and reduce administrative costs. Another important aspect of digitalization is its potential to reduce tax fraud. We exploit the comprehensive introduction of e-invoicing in Italy in 2019 and examine the effect of increased domestic tax enforcement capabilities on cross-border value-added tax (VAT) fraud. As a proxy for this fraud, we make use of the discrepancy in trade data that are double-reported in both the importing and exporting country (trade data gap, TDG). We calculate the TDG for imports to Italy from all other EU countries at the most detailed product level. Our results suggest a significant decline in cross-border fraud in response to the introduction of mandatory e-invoicing, providing an important rationale for the application of this measure by other countries. Furthermore, we estimate that e-invoicing decreased the Italian VAT loss in 2019 by about € 2.2 billion to € 2.6 billion compared to 2018. In this context, we underpin the suitability of the TDG as an approach for the study of anti-fraud measures.

通过电子发票(e-invoicing)等工具实现交易流程的数字化,旨在改善税务合规性并降低行政成本。数字化的另一个重要方面是其减少税务欺诈的潜力。我们利用意大利 2019 年全面引入电子发票的机会,研究国内税收执法能力的提高对跨境增值税(VAT)欺诈的影响。我们利用进口国和出口国重复报告的贸易数据差异(贸易数据差距,TDG)来替代这种欺诈行为。我们计算了从所有其他欧盟国家进口到意大利的最详细产品层面的 TDG。我们的研究结果表明,随着强制性电子发票的引入,跨境欺诈现象大幅减少,这为其他国家采用这一措施提供了重要依据。此外,我们估计,与 2018 年相比,电子发票使 2019 年意大利增值税损失减少了约 22 亿欧元,降至 26 亿欧元。在此背景下,我们强调了 TDG 作为反欺诈措施研究方法的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Internal migration and the effective price of state and local taxes 国内移民与国家和地方税的实际价格
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-024-09828-x
Austin J. Drukker

This paper examines the mobility response of high-income households in the United States to a provision in a 2017 tax law that limited the federal deductibility of state and local taxes. The increase in the effective price of state and local taxes induced by the cap on deductibility caused high-income households to leave high-tax states in favor of low-tax states and to prefer low-tax states to high-tax states conditional on moving. The findings suggest that policymakers should take seriously the prospect that high-income taxpayers may flee states that tax them heavily, which could have long-lasting implications for states’ fiscal positions.

本文研究了美国高收入家庭对 2017 年税法中限制联邦扣除州税和地方税的条款的流动性反应。可抵扣上限导致州税和地方税的实际价格上涨,这使得高收入家庭离开高税率州而选择低税率州,并且在搬迁的条件下更倾向于选择低税率州而不是高税率州。研究结果表明,决策者应认真对待高收入纳税人可能逃离对其征收重税的州这一前景,这可能会对各州的财政状况产生长期影响。
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引用次数: 0
The consequences of the 2017 US international tax reform: a survey of the evidence 2017 年美国国际税制改革的后果:证据调查
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09823-8

Abstract

The 2017 US tax legislation—widely referred to as the Tax Cut and Jobs Act (TCJA)—fundamentally transformed the US system of international taxation. It ostensibly ended worldwide taxation but introduced, for instance, a new tax on “Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income”. This paper surveys the emerging empirical literature on the impact of the TCJA’s international provisions. It documents five robust findings in this empirical literature. First, the TCJA led to a general decline in US MNCs’ foreign acquisitions. Second, the TCJA increased US MNCs’ investment in routine foreign tangible assets. Third, the reform did not lead to any change in profit shifting by US MNCs beyond the magnitude that would be expected based on the TCJA’s tax rate reduction. Fourth, The TCJA appears to have reduced the market value of US MNCs relative to domestic US firms. Fifth, the TCJA does not appear to have had any detectable impact on domestic US investment and wages (although there are some contrary results for capital expenditures). The welfare implications of these findings depend crucially on whether US MNCs’ are viewed as having engaged in too much or too little foreign activity prior to the TCJA. This depends on the choice of theoretical framework and the relevant normative benchmark, and cannot readily be resolved empirically.

摘要 2017 年美国税收立法--被广泛称为《减税与就业法案》(TCJA)--从根本上改变了美国的国际税收体系。该法案表面上结束了全球征税,但却引入了 "全球无形低税收入 "等新税种。本文对有关 TCJA 国际条款影响的新兴实证文献进行了调查。它记录了这些实证文献中的五个有力发现。首先,TCJA 导致美国跨国公司的海外收购普遍下降。第二,TCJA 增加了美国跨国公司对国外常规有形资产的投资。第三,改革并没有导致美国跨国公司利润转移的任何变化,超出了根据 TCJA 降低税率的预期幅度。第四,相对于美国本土企业,TCJA 似乎降低了美国跨国公司的市场价值。第五,TCJA 似乎没有对美国国内投资和工资产生任何可察觉的影响(尽管在资本支出方面有一些相反的结果)。这些研究结果对福利的影响主要取决于美国跨国公司在 TCJA 颁布之前是从事了过多还是过少的对外活动。这取决于理论框架和相关规范基准的选择,无法通过经验轻易解决。
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引用次数: 0
Teach to comply? Evidence from a taxpayer education program in Rwanda 教人守法?卢旺达纳税人教育计划的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09809-6
Giulia Mascagni, Fabrizio Santoro, Denis Mukama

There is virtually no evidence on the role of taxpayer education to improve tax compliance. We address this gap by providing the first evaluation of a taxpayer education program on compliance behavior, as well as taxpayer knowledge and perceptions. Using a unique dataset of administrative and survey data, we show that training new taxpayers leads to a large and significant improvement on three compliance outcomes: the probability to file declarations, to report a zero-tax amount, and tax due. These results are robust to three estimation strategies: a simple regression exploiting baseline balance across a wide set of observable variables, propensity score matching, and an IV strategy using random assignment to take part in our survey. We identify reduced compliance costs as the key mechanism at play in explaining the relationship between tax education and compliance—particularly increased knowledge and better perceptions on complexity. The effects we document persist over time, beyond the year of implementation.

关于纳税人教育在提高纳税遵从度方面的作用,几乎没有任何证据。为了弥补这一空白,我们首次对纳税人教育项目的纳税遵从行为以及纳税人的知识和观念进行了评估。通过使用一个独特的行政和调查数据集,我们表明对新纳税人进行培训可显著改善三种纳税遵从结果:申报概率、零税额申报概率和应纳税额。这些结果在三种估计策略下都是稳健的:利用广泛的可观测变量基线平衡的简单回归、倾向得分匹配以及利用随机分配参与调查的 IV 策略。我们发现,降低遵从成本是解释税收教育与遵从之间关系的关键机制,尤其是增加知识和提高对复杂性的认识。我们所记录的效果在实施当年之后仍会长期存在。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal commodity taxation when households earn multiple incomes 家庭获得多种收入时的最优商品税
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09826-5
Kevin Spiritus

I characterize the optimal linear commodity taxes when households differ in multiple characteristics and earn multiple incomes, in presence of an optimal non-linear tax schedule on the taxpayers’ labour incomes. The government should tax a commodity more heavily if, conditional on labour income, more deserving taxpayers consume larger quantities of that commodity. Furthermore, the government wishes to tax commodities at different rates to the extent that doing so reduces the distortions caused by the labour income tax. This is the case when households with different incomes have different consumption preferences, or when households with different labour supplies also have different consumption patterns.

我描述了当家庭有多种特征和多种收入时,在对纳税人的劳动收入有最优非线性税表的情况下,最优线性商品税的特征。如果以劳动收入为条件,更值得纳税的纳税人消费了更多的商品,那么政府就应该对该商品征收更重的税。此外,政府希望以不同的税率对商品征税,只要这样做能减少劳动收入税造成的扭曲。当不同收入的家庭有不同的消费偏好,或不同劳动力供给的家庭也有不同的消费模式时,就会出现这种情况。
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引用次数: 0
The regressivity of CIT exemptions in Africa 非洲企业所得税豁免的累退性
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09825-6
Alou Adessé Dama, Grégoire Rota-Graziosi, Fayçal Sawadogo
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引用次数: 0
On the effects of intergovernmental grants: a survey 关于政府间赠款的影响:一项调查
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09816-7
Manuel E. Lago, Santiago Lago-Peñas, Jorge Martinez-Vazquez

This paper offers a comprehensive and updated review of the effects of intergovernmental grants. We focus on the main findings in the existing literature on the effects of intergovernmental grants on tax policy and choices, expenditure decisions, fiscal stability and behavioral choices, and political economy. The intricate nature of the subject, intrinsically, does not allow for an all-inclusive survey, but we aim to provide a thorough examination and update of the most salient effects of intergovernmental grants, while indicating areas for further research.

本文对政府间赠款的影响进行了全面和最新的综述。我们将重点放在现有文献中关于政府间赠款对税收政策和选择、支出决策、财政稳定性和行为选择以及政治经济学影响的主要研究成果上。从本质上讲,这一主题错综复杂,不可能进行包罗万象的调查,但我们的目标是对政府间赠款最突出的影响进行彻底审查和更新,同时指出有待进一步研究的领域。
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引用次数: 0
The pass-through of temporary VAT rate cuts: evidence from German supermarket retail 临时性增值税税率下调的传递:来自德国超市零售业的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09824-7
Clemens Fuest, Florian Neumeier, Daniel Stöhlker

We study the price effects of a temporary VAT reduction in Germany using a web-scraped dataset of daily prices of more than 60000 supermarket products. For causal identification, we compare the development of German prices to those in Austria. We find that the reduction of VAT rates led to a price decrease of 1.3%, implying that 70% of the tax cut were passed on to consumers. Moreover, the pass-through is higher for vertically integrated products (private label) than for independent brands. This is consistent with menu cost theories and theories predicting that price markups act as a buffer for cost shocks.

我们使用网络抓取的 60000 多种超市产品的每日价格数据集,研究了德国临时降低增值税对价格的影响。为了确定因果关系,我们将德国与奥地利的价格发展情况进行了比较。我们发现,增值税税率的降低导致价格下降了 1.3%,这意味着 70% 的减税被转嫁给了消费者。此外,垂直整合产品(自有品牌)的转嫁率高于独立品牌。这与菜单成本理论和价格加价对成本冲击起到缓冲作用的理论预测是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Grandparental childcare, family allowances and retirement policies 祖父母育儿、家庭津贴和退休政策
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09822-9
Giam Pietro Cipriani, Tamara Fioroni

The paper uses an OLG model to study the interaction between policies designed to ensure the sustainability of the pension system, i.e. child allowances and pensions policies, and grandparental childcare. We find that the rise in grandparenting negatively affects the elderly labour supply hampering the impact of pension policies designed to raise the retirement age and lengthen working lives. Then, we introduce child allowances and find that the impact of child allowances on the fertility rate is influenced by the efficiency of grandparenting in reducing child-rearing costs. Child benefits have a positive impact on fertility only if grandparenting is not very effective at reducing childcare costs. This suggests that the role of grandparents in various countries may partly explain the inconsistency in empirical evidence on the relationship between child benefits and fertility rates. The study also finds that child benefits have a positive impact on the elderly labour supply when grandparenting is efficient.

本文使用 OLG 模型研究了旨在确保养老金制度可持续性的政策(即子女津贴和养老金政策)与祖父母育儿之间的相互作用。我们发现,祖父母育儿率的上升对老年人劳动力供给产生了负面影响,阻碍了旨在提高退休年龄和延长工作年限的养老金政策的效果。然后,我们引入了儿童津贴,并发现儿童津贴对生育率的影响受到祖辈育儿在降低育儿成本方面的效率的影响。只有当祖辈抚养在降低育儿成本方面不是很有效时,子女津贴才会对生育率产生积极影响。这表明,各国祖父母的作用可能部分解释了儿童福利与生育率之间关系的经验证据的不一致性。研究还发现,当祖父母养育子女的效率高时,子女福利对老年人的劳动力供给有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
The long way to tax transparency: lessons from the early publishers of country-by-country reports 实现税收透明的漫长道路:逐国报告早期发布者的经验教训
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s10797-023-09818-5
Sarah Godar, Giulia Aliprandi, Tommaso Faccio, Petr Janský, Katia Toledo Ruiz

In this paper, we analyse a sample of voluntarily published country-by-country reports (CbCRs) of 35 multinational enterprises (MNEs). We assess the value added and the limitations of qualitative and quantitative information provided in the reports based on a comparison to individual MNEs’ annual financial reports and aggregate CbCR data provided by the OECD. In terms of data quality, we find that the inclusion of intra-company dividends and equity-accounted profits are a minor concern on average but that for individual MNEs corrections might be substantial. Our sample MNEs seem to pay higher effective tax rates than the global average and many of them report relatively little profit in tax havens. We only find a very weak correlation of the location of profits and effective tax rates. This might indicate that more tax transparent MNEs avoid taxes less aggressively. However, our assessment of different tax risk indicators reveals important variations between companies.

本文分析了 35 家跨国企业(MNEs)自愿发布的国别报告(CbCRs)样本。我们将报告中提供的定性和定量信息与单个跨国企业的年度财务报告和经济合作与发展组织(OECD)提供的国别报告汇总数据进行比较,评估了报告的附加值和局限性。在数据质量方面,我们发现纳入公司内部股息和股权核算利润的问题平均而言并不严重,但对个别跨国企业而言,校正问题可能很大。我们的样本跨国企业实际税率似乎高于全球平均水平,其中许多企业报告的避税地利润相对较少。我们只发现利润所在地与实际税率的相关性很弱。这可能表明,税收透明度较高的跨国企业避税的积极性较低。然而,我们对不同税务风险指标的评估显示,不同公司之间存在很大差异。
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引用次数: 0
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International Tax and Public Finance
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