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Impacts of Tax and Flavor Tobacco Policies on San Francisco Bay Area Tobacco Prices. 税收和风味烟草政策对旧金山湾区烟草价格的影响。
IF 3 4区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-21 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231164908
Vira Pravosud, Louisa M Holmes, Lauren K Lempert, Pamela M Ling

California Proposition 56 increased the state tobacco tax by $2 per cigarette pack effective April 1, 2017. Between 2015-2020 San Francisco (SF) and some cities in Alameda County enacted local flavored tobacco sales restrictions. SF also increased its Cigarette Litter Abatement Fee, from $0.20/pack in 2015 to $1.00 in 2020. Compare the change in tobacco prices before (2015) and after (2019/20) the implementation of a $2 increase in tobacco excise tax and local flavored tobacco policies in SF and Alameda Counties. Descriptive study of the pre-to-post policy analysis design. We drew a proportional random sample of retailers (N=463) in SF and Alameda Counties, by city. Using multivariable, single- and multiple-level linear regressions, we compared inflation-adjusted average tobacco prices in 2015 vs. 2019/20 by county and by flavor policy, accounting for socio-demographics. Change in inflation-adjusted average tobacco prices in 2015 vs. 2019/20 by county and flavor policy, accounting for socio-demographics. Between 2015-2019/20, the increase in cigarette prices was higher than the $2 tax increase, and higher in SF than Alameda County (+$4.6 vs +$2.5). SF retailers stopped selling Newport menthol cigarettes and Blu brand menthol e-cigarettes in 2019/20. Adjusted average cigarette prices increased significantly more in SF and Alameda County cities with comprehensive or partial flavor policies versus cities without flavor policies (by $3.23 and $2.11). Local flavor policies affected menthol product availability and may have had positive spillover effects and indirectly increased pack prices.

加利福尼亚州第56号提案自2017年4月1日起将州烟草税每包提高2美元。2015-2020年间,旧金山和阿拉米达县的一些城市颁布了当地风味烟草销售限制。SF还提高了其香烟垃圾清除费,从2015年的0.20美元/包提高到2020年的1.00美元。比较SF县和阿拉米达县实施2美元烟草消费税和当地风味烟草政策之前(2015年)和之后(2019/20年)烟草价格的变化。前后政策分析设计的描述性研究。我们按城市对SF县和阿拉米达县的零售商(N=463)进行了比例随机抽样。使用多变量、单水平和多水平线性回归,我们比较了2015年与2019/20年经通胀调整的平均烟草价格,按县和口味政策划分,并考虑了社会人口统计。2015年与2019/20年相比,根据县和口味政策,考虑到社会人口统计,经通胀调整的平均烟草价格的变化。2015-2019/20年间,香烟价格的涨幅高于2美元的增税幅度,旧金山的涨幅高于阿拉米达县(+4.6美元对+2.5美元)。旧金山零售商在2019/20年停止销售纽波特薄荷醇香烟和蓝光牌薄荷醇电子烟。与没有香料政策的城市相比,有全面或部分香料政策的SF和阿拉米达县城市的调整后平均卷烟价格涨幅更大(分别为3.23美元和2.11美元)。当地香料政策影响了薄荷醇产品的供应,可能产生了积极的溢出效应,并间接提高了包装价格。
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引用次数: 0
Expression of Concern: "Analyzing the Nexus Between Geopolitical Risk, Policy Uncertainty, and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence From the United States". 关注表达:“分析地缘政治风险、政策不确定性和游客数量之间的关系:来自美国的证据”。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231176632
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引用次数: 0
Design Parameters for Planning the Sample Size of Individual-Level Randomized Controlled Trials in Community Colleges. 社区大学个体水平随机对照试验样本量规划的设计参数。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X221121236
Marie-Andrée Somers, Michael J Weiss, Colin Hill

The last two decades have seen a dramatic increase in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) conducted in community colleges. Yet, there is limited empirical information on the design parameters necessary to plan the sample size for RCTs in this context. For a blocked student-level random assignment research design, key design parameters for the minimum detectable true effect (MDTE) are the within-block outcome standard deviation (σ|S) and the within-block outcome variance explained by baseline covariates like student characteristics (R|S2). We provide empirical estimates of these key design parameters, discussing the pattern of estimates across outcomes (enrollment, credits earned, credential attainment, and grade point average), semesters, and studies. The main analyses use student-level data from 8 to 14 RCTs including 5,649-7,099 students (depending on the outcome) with follow-up data for 3 years. The following patterns are observed: the within-block standard deviation (σ|S) and therefore the MDTE can be much larger in later semesters for enrollment outcomes and cumulative credits earned; there is substantial variation across studies in σ|S for degree attainment; and baseline covariates explain less than 10% of the variation in student outcomes. These findings indicate that when planning the sample size for a study, researchers should be mindful of the follow-up period, use a range of values to calculate the MDTE for outcomes that vary across studies, and assume a value of R|S2 between 0 and 0.05. A public database created for this paper includes parameter estimates for additional RCTs and students.

在过去的二十年里,在社区大学进行的随机对照试验(rct)急剧增加。然而,在这种情况下,关于规划随机对照试验样本量所需的设计参数的经验信息有限。对于分组学生水平随机分配研究设计,最小可检测真效应(MDTE)的关键设计参数是分组内结果标准差(σ|S)和分组内结果方差(R|S2),如学生特征(R|S2)。我们提供了这些关键设计参数的实证估计,讨论了结果(入学、获得的学分、获得的证书和平均绩点)、学期和研究的估计模式。主要分析使用8至14项随机对照试验的学生水平数据,包括5,649-7,099名学生(取决于结果),随访数据为3年。观察到以下模式:块内标准差(σ|S),因此,在以后的学期中,入学结果和累积学分的MDTE可能会大得多;在不同的研究中,学位获得的σ|S有很大的差异;而基线协变量只能解释不到10%的学生成绩差异。这些发现表明,在规划研究的样本量时,研究人员应注意随访期,使用一个范围的值来计算不同研究结果的MDTE,并假设R|S2在0到0.05之间。为本文创建的公共数据库包括额外随机对照试验和学生的参数估计。
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引用次数: 0
Facilitate or Inhibit: Corporate Environmental Performance and Financing Costs. 促进或抑制:企业环境绩效与融资成本。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231175579
Zongrun Wang, Lili Yang, Xiaohang Ren, Duong Phuong Thao Pham

The proposed carbon peak and carbon neutralization goals have ushered China into an era of emissions reduction and a climate-oriented economy. With the proposed double carbon goal, China has formulated many environmental protection and green credit policies. This paper aims to assess the impact of corporate environmental performance (CEP) on financing costs, using a panel dataset of companies in China's heavily polluting industries from 2010 to 2019. We employed fixed-effect models, moderating-effect models, and panel quantile regression (PQR) to analyze the impact, underlying mechanisms, and asymmetric features of CEP on financing costs. Our results indicate that CEP has an inhibitory effect on financing costs, with political connections strengthening this effect and GEA weakening it. Moreover, the impact exhibits asymmetry at different levels of financing costs, wherein lower financing costs see a greater weakening effect from CEP. Improved CEP helps to optimize the financing performance of companies and reduce financing costs. Therefore, policy makers and regulatory authorities should work to unblock financing channels for companies, encourage environmental investment, and remain flexible in implementing environmental policies.

碳峰值和碳中和目标的提出,使中国进入了减排和气候导向型经济时代。随着双碳目标的提出,中国制定了许多环保和绿色信贷政策。本文旨在利用 2010 年至 2019 年中国重污染行业企业的面板数据集,评估企业环境绩效(CEP)对融资成本的影响。我们采用固定效应模型、调节效应模型和面板量化回归(PQR)分析了企业环境绩效对融资成本的影响、内在机制和非对称特征。我们的研究结果表明,CEP 对融资成本具有抑制作用,其中政治联系会加强这种作用,而 GEA 则会削弱这种作用。此外,这种影响在不同的融资成本水平上表现出不对称性,即融资成本越低,《共同环境协议》的削弱作用越大。改进 CEP 有助于优化企业的融资绩效,降低融资成本。因此,政策制定者和监管部门应努力疏通企业的融资渠道,鼓励环保投资,并在执行环保政策时保持灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Outcome Evaluation of a Transnational Postgraduate Capacity-Building Program Using the Objective Structured Clinical Examination. 利用客观结构化临床考试对跨国研究生能力建设项目进行成果评估。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231160805
Kye-Yeung Park, Hoon-Ki Park, Jwa-Seop Shin, Taejong Kim, Youngjoo Jung, Min Young Seo, Ketsomsouk Bouphavanh, Sourideth Sengchanh, Ketmany Inthachack

Previous studies have applied interview-oriented self-reported or peer-centered evaluation methods, rather than an objective and quantitative method, to evaluate outcome of a postgraduate capacity-building program and have mainly focused on the cognitive level. To investigate the feasibility of the objective structured clinical examination (OSCE) in an international setting and report the results of the outcome evaluation for the behavioral aspect. A case-control study. Ninety examinees divided into 2 case-control groups: 17 program-experienced doctors and 17 control doctors in the first group, and 28 mentees of the program-experienced doctors and 28 control doctors in the second group. A six-station OSCE was implemented. The OSCE scores were measured to evaluate (1) the direct educational effect regarding learning in the first group and (2) the indirect educational effects regarding transfer in the second group. Written questionnaire and interview data were collected for qualitative analysis. The quantitative results of the overall or subcomponent OSCE scores indicated no significant differences in the comparisons of the first and second case-control groups. The qualitative data indicated that the program improved participants' medical knowledge, skills, and self-confidence, however, it also revealed limited learning environment provided by the program. This transnational study has demonstrated the process for introducing and successfully completing the testing of an OSCE in Laos. Discrepancy in the goals of the OSCE and the education program limited the usefulness of OSCE as an assessment tool, leading to the lack of significant differences in its results.

以往的研究采用以访谈为导向的自我报告或以同伴为中心的评估方法,而不是客观的定量方法来评估研究生能力建设项目的成果,而且主要集中在认知层面。调查客观结构化临床考试(OSCE)在国际环境中的可行性,并报告行为方面的成果评估结果。病例对照研究。将 90 名受试者分为 2 个病例对照组:第一组为 17 名项目经验丰富的医生和 17 名对照组医生,第二组为项目经验丰富医生的 28 名被指导者和 28 名对照组医生。实施了六站 OSCE。通过测量 OSCE 分数来评估 (1) 第一组学习方面的直接教育效果,以及 (2) 第二组转移方面的间接教育效果。收集的书面问卷和访谈数据用于定性分析。OSCE 总分或分项分数的定量结果显示,第一组和第二组病例对照组的比较没有显著差异。定性数据表明,该项目提高了参与者的医学知识、技能和自信心,但也揭示了该项目提供的学习环境有限。这项跨国研究展示了在老挝引入并成功完成 OSCE 测试的过程。OSCE 与教育计划目标的不一致限制了 OSCE 作为评估工具的实用性,导致其结果缺乏显著差异。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics and Co-movements Between the COVID-19 Outbreak and the Stock Market in Latin American Countries: An Evaluation Based on the Wavelet-Partial Wavelet Coherence Model. 基于小波-偏小波相干模型的新冠肺炎疫情与拉美国家股市动态及协同运动分析
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X221134847
Faik Bilgili, Emrah Koçak, Sevda Kuşkaya

The COVID-19 outbreak and the global uncertainty it causes produce an apparent panic in stock markets. Efforts to explain the economic spillover effects of COVID-19 can guide authorities to design a control policy against the financial impacts of pandemics. The paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 cases on the stock markets in the emerging Latin American countries of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. The paper employs a continuous partial wavelet methodology to observe lead-lag relations between the daily variables of new COVID-19 cases and the stock market index for each Latin American country. Brazilian new COVID-19 cases led the Bovespa (BVSP) index to decline during the whole period, except February and June 2020, at one month-two month-frequency band. The wavelet and phase difference analyses indicate that, except for Brazil, COVID-19 cases did not affect the stock market indexes adversely during the whole sample period but did affect the stock exchange markets negatively during some sub-sample periods of the entire sample of each country. Dynamics of Latin American stock exchange markets in the short and long run can be explained by some other parameters of real and financial sectors and COVID-19 cases.

新冠肺炎疫情及其引发的全球不确定性在股市引发了明显的恐慌。解释COVID-19的经济溢出效应的努力可以指导当局设计针对大流行金融影响的控制政策。本文考察了新冠肺炎疫情对阿根廷、巴西、智利、哥伦比亚、墨西哥和秘鲁等拉美新兴国家股市的影响。本文采用连续偏小波方法观察了每个拉美国家新冠肺炎病例日变量与股市指数之间的超前滞后关系。除2020年2月和6月外,巴西新增COVID-19病例导致Bovespa (BVSP)指数在整个期间以一个月-两个月频带下降。小波和相位差分析表明,除巴西外,COVID-19病例在整个样本期内对股票市场指数没有不利影响,但在每个国家的整个样本的一些子样本期内确实对证券交易所市场产生了负面影响。拉美证券交易所市场的短期和长期动态可以通过实体和金融部门以及COVID-19病例的其他一些参数来解释。
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引用次数: 2
The Design of Making Pre-K count and High Fives: Two-Stage, Multiyear Random Assignment at Different Levels. 让学前班发挥作用和击掌庆祝活动的设计:不同级别的两阶段、多年期随机分配。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-04 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X231159472
Shira Mattera, Marie-Andree Somers, Robin Jacob, Pamela Morris-Perez

The Making Pre-K Count and High 5s studies represent a recent application of a phased two-stage, multi-level design, which was used to examine the effects of two aligned math programs implemented in early childhood settings. The purpose of this paper is to describe the challenges encountered in implementing this two-stage design and to describe approaches to resolving them. We then present a set of sensitivity analyses the study team used to examine the robustness of the findings. During the pre-K year, pre-K centers were randomly assigned either to receive an evidence-based early math curriculum and associated professional development (Making Pre-K Count) or to a pre-K-as-usual control condition. In the kindergarten year, students who had been in Making Pre-K Count program classrooms in pre-K were then individually randomly assigned within schools to small-group supplemental math clubs that were designed to sustain the gains from the pre-K program, or to a business-as-usual kindergarten experience. Making Pre-K Count took place in 69 pre-K sites, comprising 173 classrooms across New York City. High 5s took place in the 24 sites that were part of the public school treatment arm of the Making Pre-K Count study and included 613 students. The study focuses on the effect of the Making Pre-K Count and High 5s programs on children's math skills at the end of kindergarten as measured by two instruments, the Research-Based Early Math Assessment-Kindergarten (REMA-K) and the Woodcock-Johnson Applied Problems test. The multi-armed design, while logistically and analytically challenging, balanced multiple considerations of power, the number of research questions that could be answered, and efficiency of resources. Robustness checks suggest that the design created groups that were both meaningfully and statistically equivalent. Decisions to use a phased multi-armed design should consider both its strengths and weaknesses. While the design allows for a more flexible, expansive research study, it also introduces complexities that need to be addressed both logistically and analytically.

让学前班发挥重要作用 "和 "High 5s 研究 "是分阶段、两阶段、多层次设计的最新应用。本文旨在描述在实施这种两阶段设计时遇到的挑战,并介绍解决这些挑战的方法。然后,我们介绍了研究小组用来检验研究结果稳健性的一系列敏感性分析。在学前班学年,学前班中心被随机分配到接受循证早期数学课程和相关专业发展("学前班有价值")或学前班照常对照组。在幼儿园学年,曾经在 "学前班有价值 "项目教室学习过学前班课程的学生被随机分配到学校内的小组补充数学俱乐部,该俱乐部旨在维持学前班课程的成果,或照常上课。让学前班更有价值 "活动在纽约市 69 个学前班学校进行,共有 173 间教室。High 5s 在 "学前班有价值 "研究的公立学校治疗部分的 24 个地点进行,包括 613 名学生。研究的重点是 "学前班有价值 "和 "High 5s 计划 "对儿童在幼儿园结束时数学技能的影响,这两种测试工具分别是 "基于研究的早期数学评估--幼儿园"(REMA-K)和 "伍德科克-约翰逊应用问题测试"(Woodcock-Johnson Applied Problems Test)。虽然多臂设计在后勤和分析方面具有挑战性,但它平衡了多方面的考虑,包括力量、可回答的研究问题数量和资源效率。稳健性检验表明,该设计所创建的小组在意义上和统计上都是等同的。决定使用分阶段多臂设计时,应同时考虑其优点和缺点。虽然这种设计允许进行更灵活、更广泛的研究,但它也带来了在后勤和分析方面需要解决的复杂问题。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Role of Information and Communication Technologies, Economic Growth, and Foreign Direct Investment in the Mitigation of Ecological Damages for Achieving Sustainable Development Goals. 调查信息和通信技术、经济增长和外国直接投资在减轻生态破坏以实现可持续发展目标中的作用。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X221135673
Atif Jahanger, Muhammad Usman

At the present time, information and communication technology (ICT) has played a vital role in socio-economic development such as economic growth, literacy, life expectancy, and employment levels in societies, however, such development has come with various environmental damages perspectives. This study scrutinizes the impact of ICT, economic growth, and foreign direct investment (FDI) on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the 44 One Belt and Road Initiative (OBRI) countries split into sub-region from 1991 to 2019. This study applied various econometrics approaches such as cross-sectional dependence, second-generation unit root, and Westerlund panel cointegration techniques are executed to analyze the panel data set. The full modified ordinary lease square and dynamic ordinary lease square estimators are applied to investigate the long-term influence of ICT development, GDP (economic growth), and FDI on CO2 emissions. The empirical analysis was performed at a disaggregated level to assess the possible environmental influences across the OBRI countries. Overall, the results reported that broadband and mobile development have an adverse effect on CO2 emissions. The finding further reveals that the broadband indicator negatively affects CO2 emissions in all OBRI regions except South Asia. Similarly, the mobile use indicator protects the environmental quality in all OBRI regions except MENA (Middle East and North Africa) and Central Asia. Regarding country-wise analysis, broadband has alleviated the pollution level in 21 countries, while mobile has alleviated it in 15 countries. Moreover, economic growth is responsible to increase pollution levels in all panels and regions except Europe. Besides, the results highlight that higher FDI reduces environmental pollution whereby, the pollution halo hypothesis is supported to hold for all OBRI panels and regions except MENA countries. Based on the empirical findings, the policymakers and governments of these economies should design policies to grow smarter cities, transportation systems, electrical grids, industrial processes, and energy-saving production through ICT development on a macro level.

目前,信息通信技术(ICT)在经济增长、识字率、预期寿命和社会就业水平等社会经济发展中发挥了至关重要的作用,然而,这种发展伴随着各种环境损害的观点。本研究考察了信息通信技术、经济增长和外国直接投资(FDI)对“一带一路”倡议44个分区域国家1991年至2019年二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究采用了多种计量经济学方法,如横断面相关性、第二代单位根和Westerlund面板协整技术来分析面板数据集。采用完全修正的普通租赁平方和动态普通租赁平方估计来研究ICT发展、GDP(经济增长)和FDI对CO2排放的长期影响。在分类层面上进行了实证分析,以评估“一带一路”沿线国家可能产生的环境影响。总体而言,研究结果表明,宽带和移动发展对二氧化碳排放有不利影响。这一发现进一步表明,宽带指标对除南亚以外的所有一带一路地区的二氧化碳排放都产生了负面影响。同样,移动使用指标保护了除中东和北非和中亚以外的所有“一带一路”区域的环境质量。就国别分析而言,宽带缓解了21个国家的污染水平,而移动缓解了15个国家的污染水平。此外,除欧洲外,经济增长导致所有面板和地区的污染水平上升。此外,研究结果强调,较高的FDI减少了环境污染,因此,除中东和北非国家外,所有一带一路面板和区域都支持污染光环假说。根据实证研究结果,这些经济体的政策制定者和政府应制定政策,通过宏观层面的信息通信技术发展,发展更智能的城市、交通系统、电网、工业流程和节能生产。
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引用次数: 12
Key Attributes of a Medical Learning Community Mentor at One Medical School: The Mentee Perspective. 一所医学院医学学习社区导师的关键属性:学员视角。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X221144338
Waqas Zia Haque, Jennifer Coias, E Whitney Pollio, Rana Yazdani, James M Wagner, Carol S North, David E Pollio

To assess the elements necessary to be a successful learning community (ClinCalc) mentor to medical students from the mentee's perspective. Few such studies have utilized the in-depth and richness of detail obtained in qualitative studies. This qualitative study analyzed four focus group discussions lasting 45-90 min conducted at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical School, which has an established LC, in the year 2018. The groups included 14 pre-clerkship and 8 clerkship students. Investigators evaluated transcriptions of the focus group discussions using ATLAS.ti software. Three overarching categories of discussion emerged from the group discussions: (1) Relationship Competence, (2) Teaching Competence, and (3) Ethical and Compassionate Medical Practice Competence. Relationship Competence themes included "walk with me," relationship is most important, and one-on-one. Teaching Competence themes included above and beyond, recognize and address mentor limitations, and safe and enriching environment. Ethical and Compassionate Medical Practice Competence themes included ethical decision making and compassionate care for diverse patient populations. Mentees focused on various aspects of the mentor-mentee relationship as the single most essential competence. Themes mentees discussed as important qualities of a successful mentor may denote qualities to be prioritized in faculty development and mentor recruitment. Future studies could investigate how the LC environment informs former medical students and promotes patient outcomes.

从被指导者的角度评估成为一个成功的学习社区(ClinCalc)医学生导师所必需的要素。这类研究很少利用定性研究中获得的深度和丰富的细节。本定性研究分析了2018年在德克萨斯大学西南医学院进行的四次持续45-90分钟的焦点小组讨论,该大学有一个既定的LC。小组包括14名见习学生和8名见习学生。研究者使用ATLAS评估焦点小组讨论的转录。ti的软件。小组讨论中出现了三个主要的讨论类别:(1)关系能力,(2)教学能力,(3)道德和富有同情心的医疗实践能力。关系能力的主题包括“和我一起走”、“关系最重要”和“一对一”。教学能力主题包括超越和超越,认识和解决导师的局限性,安全和丰富的环境。道德和富有同情心的医疗实践能力主题包括对不同患者群体的道德决策和富有同情心的护理。学员们将师徒关系的各个方面视为最基本的能力。学员们讨论的作为成功导师的重要品质的主题,可能表明在教师发展和导师招聘中应优先考虑的品质。未来的研究可以调查LC环境如何告知前医学生并促进患者预后。
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引用次数: 0
The Dynamic Nexus Between International Tourism and Environmental Degradation in Top Twenty Tourist Destinations: New Insights From Quantile-on-Quantile Approach. 国际旅游与前20大旅游目的地环境退化之间的动态联系:来自分位数对分位数方法的新见解。
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/0193841X221149809
Ilhan Ozturk, Arshian Sharif, Danish Iqbal Godil, Adnan Yousuf, Iram Tahir

Tourism is one of the important factors that can affect the environmental and economic situation of any economy. This study investigates the relationship between tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in the top 20 tourist destinations using data from quarterly observations from 1995 to 2018. A unique technique via quantile-on-quantile regression and Granger causality in quantiles was used. In particular, how the quantiles of tourist arrivals impact quantiles of CO2 emission was analyzed. The empirical results suggest a combination of both positive and negative effects of tourist arrivals and CO2 emission in most tourist destinations. Predominantly, at both high and low tails, in the USA, Spain, Hong Kong, and Austria, tourist arrival has a positive effect on CO2 emission, whereas in the case of Canada, France, Germany, Mexico, and Malaysia, the association was negative. On the other hand, China, Greece, Russia, Japan, Italy, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey have both positive and negative effects of tourism on CO2 emissions at low and high tails. Tourism can be an important factor while formulating policy for environmental and climate aspects.

旅游业是影响任何经济体的环境和经济状况的重要因素之一。本研究利用1995年至2018年的季度观测数据,调查了前20个旅游目的地的游客人数与二氧化碳排放之间的关系。采用了分位数对分位数回归和分位数格兰杰因果关系的独特技术。特别分析了游客到达分位数对二氧化碳排放分位数的影响。实证结果表明,在大多数旅游目的地,游客数量和二氧化碳排放既有正效应,也有负效应。在美国、西班牙、香港和奥地利,无论是高尾还是低尾,游客到达对二氧化碳排放都有显著的正向影响,而在加拿大、法国、德国、墨西哥和马来西亚,这种关联为负。另一方面,中国、希腊、俄罗斯、日本、意大利、韩国、泰国和土耳其在低尾和高尾的CO2排放上既有正效应,也有负效应。在制定环境和气候方面的政策时,旅游业可以是一个重要因素。
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引用次数: 5
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Evaluation Review
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