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Growth of Green Total Factor Productivity in China: “Structural Dividend” or “Reform Dividend”? 中国绿色全要素生产率的增长:"结构红利 "还是 "改革红利"?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12736
Wenxing Jia, Shengnan Wu, Yang Yang, Xueliang Zhang

It is critical for promoting high-quality economic development to improve green total factor productivity (GTFP). The “structural dividend” released by the optimization of economic structure and the “reform dividend” brought by market-oriented reform are the two ways to improve GTFP. This paper empirically examines the impact of economic structural changes and marketization progress on GTFP with the spatial dynamic panel model based on the provincial data from 2001 to 2019 in China. The findings are as follows. (1) GTFP is characterized by significant spatial clustering and spatial positive correlation in China. (2) The optimization of economic structure and the improvement of marketization both have significant positive contributions to the improvement of GTFP. (3) The results of effect decomposition show that the optimization of economic structure has a long-term effect on the increase of local GTFP, but only a short-term effect on the surrounding areas. However, the improvement of marketization has a stable short-term and long-term impact on the improvement of local GTFP, while the impact on the surrounding areas is only reflected in the long-term. The results of heterogeneity analysis indicate that the impact of economic structure optimization and market-oriented reform on GTFP is different in different periods and regions, and the corresponding effect decomposition results are also different. Therefore, this paper suggests that it is necessary to optimize the economic structure further and promote market-oriented reforms to release the structural dividends and reform dividends to achieve GTFP growth.

提高绿色全要素生产率(GTFP)是推动经济高质量发展的关键。经济结构优化释放的 "结构红利 "和市场化改革带来的 "改革红利 "是提高全要素生产率的两条途径。本文基于2001-2019年中国各省数据,利用空间动态面板模型实证检验了经济结构变化和市场化进程对GTFP的影响。研究结果如下(1)中国 GTFP 具有显著的空间集聚和空间正相关特征。(2)经济结构的优化和市场化程度的提高都对GTFP的提高有显著的正向促进作用。(3)效应分解结果表明,经济结构优化对当地 GTFP 的提高有长期效应,但对周边地区只有短期效应。然而,市场化程度的提高对当地 GTFP 的提高具有稳定的短期和长期影响,而对周边地区的影响只体现在长期方面。异质性分析结果表明,不同时期、不同地区经济结构优化和市场化改革对GTFP的影响不同,相应的效应分解结果也不同。因此,本文认为有必要进一步优化经济结构,推进市场化改革,释放结构红利和改革红利,实现 GTFP 增长。
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引用次数: 0
Do high housing prices inhibit entrepreneurial activity?—Evidence from Yangtze River Delta cities, China 高房价是否抑制了创业活动?
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12735
Zhang Juanfeng, Lin Yupiaopiao, Han Rui, Li Lele, Zeng Hui

Contrary to the existing literature that suggests the inhibitory or facilitating effect of housing prices on entrepreneurial dynamism, this paper explores the nonlinear effect of housing prices on entrepreneurship and countervailing effect of entrepreneurial dynamism on housing prices, in addition to investigating the spatial interaction between the two. This paper constructs a simultaneous equation model (SEM) to empirically test the interaction and spillover effects between housing prices and entrepreneurial dynamism. The results show that: (1) there is a two-way interaction between housing prices and entrepreneurial dynamism; (2) the estimated coefficients of housing prices and the quadratic square term of housing prices (14.285 and −0.744, respectively) are consistent and significant as expected, indicating an inverted U-shaped effect of housing prices on entrepreneurial dynamism; and (3) in geospatial terms, there are positive spatial spillovers and negative spatial interaction effects for both house prices and entrepreneurial dynamism in Yangtze River Delta cities.

现有文献认为房价对创业活力具有抑制或促进作用,与此相反,本文探讨了房价对创业的非线性影响以及创业活力对房价的反作用,此外还研究了两者之间的空间互动关系。本文构建了一个同步方程模型(SEM),实证检验了住房价格与创业活力之间的相互作用和溢出效应。结果表明(1)房价与创业活力之间存在双向互动;(2)房价与房价二次平方项的估计系数(分别为 14.285 和-0.744)与预期一致且显著,表明房价对创业活力存在倒 U 型效应;(3)从地理空间上看,长三角城市房价与创业活力均存在正的空间溢出效应和负的空间互动效应。
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引用次数: 0
The higher-ranking local officials and local economic growth: Evidence from China 地方高官与地方经济增长:来自中国的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12731
Yuan Li, Chuanjiang Yu, Yue Luo, Xinju He

This paper investigates the effect of administrative level on local economic growth from the perspective of officials' rank. We notice an interesting phenomenon that higher-ranking local officials (HRO) serve in cities with lower administrative level, can effectively improve economic performance similar to the effect of promoting administrative level of local government. Based on prefecture-level city data from 2001 to 2019, we find that HRO can significantly promote local economic growth, especially in cities with lower levels of development. The mechanism analysis shows that the HRO cities not only could receive upper-level government's favoritism but also tend to shape good business environment to attract investment. Further, HRO is a softer and shorter way than a formal change of regional administrative level, with less negative impact on the surrounding regions. The results provide new evidence that raising administrative level promotes regional development.

本文从官员级别的角度研究了行政级别对地方经济增长的影响。我们注意到一个有趣的现象,即级别较高的地方官员(HRO)在行政级别较低的城市任职,可以有效改善经济绩效,类似于提升地方政府行政级别的效果。基于 2001 年至 2019 年的地级市数据,我们发现高官办能显著促进地方经济增长,尤其是在发展水平较低的城市。机制分析表明,"人头户 "城市不仅能获得上级政府的青睐,而且往往能塑造良好的营商环境,吸引投资。此外,与正式的地区行政级别变更相比,"高改 "是一种更柔和、更短的方式,对周边地区的负面影响更小。这些结果为提高行政级别促进地区发展提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of regional integration on PM2.5 concentrations—Quasi-natural experimental evidence from city economic coordination committee 区域一体化对 PM2.5 浓度的影响--来自城市经济协调委员会的准自然实验证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12732
Sijia Li, Lihua Wu

It is of great significance to explore the causality between regional integration (RI) and PM2.5 pollution within urban agglomerations in the current pursuit of ecological civilization construction and high-quality development. Using panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2016, this study considers the expansion of the city economic coordination committee in Yangtze River Delta (YRDECC) as a quasi-natural experiment of RI, and use a difference-in difference method to explore the effect and inner mechanisms of RI on PM2.5 concentration. After a descriptive analysis of the spatial-temporal variation trend of the PM2.5 concentration in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, the empirical results show that RI helps to alleviate 4.8% of the PM2.5 concentration overall. For the original cities, the reduction effect on the PM2.5 concentration is 5.2%, for the new cities, however, RI exacerbates 2.1% of the local PM2.5 concentration. A series of robustness tests confirm the validity of the baseline results, and further indicate that the effect of RI remains significant in the long term and starts to increase from the third year. Furthermore, the reduction effect of RI on PM2.5 concentration is more pronounced in cities with larger scales, more developed economies, and higher degrees of marketization. The mechanism analysis shows that industrial transfer, population migration and technological innovation are significant channels of RI that affect PM2.5 concentrations. The conclusions of this paper provide a new path to alleviate PM2.5 pollution and achieve ecological conservation and high-quality development in the city cluster area.

在追求生态文明建设和高质量发展的今天,探讨区域一体化(RI)与城市群内PM2.5污染之间的因果关系具有重要意义。本研究利用2003-2016年中国285个地级市的面板数据,将长三角城市经济协调会扩容作为区域一体化的准自然实验,采用差分法探讨区域一体化对PM2.5浓度的影响及内在机制。在对长三角城市群 PM2.5 浓度的时空变化趋势进行描述性分析后,实证结果表明,RI 整体上有助于缓解 4.8%的 PM2.5 浓度。对原有城市而言,PM2.5浓度的降低效果为5.2%,而对新城市而言,RI则加剧了当地PM2.5浓度的2.1%。一系列稳健性测试证实了基线结果的正确性,并进一步表明,从长期来看,区域一体化的影响仍然显著,并从第三年开始增加。此外,在规模较大、经济较发达、市场化程度较高的城市,区域一体化对 PM2.5 浓度的降低效果更为明显。机理分析表明,产业转移、人口迁移和技术创新是区域一体化影响 PM2.5 浓度的重要渠道。本文的结论为城市群地区缓解PM2.5污染、实现生态保护和高质量发展提供了新的路径。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of tourism on socio-economic well-being and its inter-regional convergence: Evidence from China's 291 cities 旅游业对社会经济福祉的影响及其区域间趋同:来自中国 291 个城市的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12734
Fubiao Zhu, Xiaona Cao, Delin Zhuang, Shengwu Jin, Xueting Yang

Big socio-economic well-being gap is common across countries and regions. This study examines the impact of tourism on socio-economic well-being and its convergence from a comprehensive and inter-regional convergence perspective. Using panel data of 291 cities during the period 2005–2019, we provide the comprehensive evaluation of socio-economic well-being at the city scale in China. Considering the dynamic characteristics of socio-economic well-being, we therefore estimate the impact using the system generalized method of moments. The result indicates that tourism significantly enhances local socio-economic well-being and is found to be robust. We also find the dominance of domestic tourism, the positive moderator effects of general budget expenditure, GDP per capita and urbanization, and a greater driving force in cities with higher socio-economic well-being. Since both β- and σ-convergence hold, we confirm the positive effect of tourism on the convergence of inter-regional socio-economic well-being. We emphasize policies support for tourism development in underdeveloped regions through fiscal expenditure, financial transfer payments, intellectual support, urbanization, and infrastructure construction. We suggest incorporating tourism into frameworks such as rural revitalization and regional coordinated development. We also recommend accelerating the expansion of tourism in underdeveloped regions and enhancing the quality of tourism in developed regions as spatial strategies, while emphasizing inter-regional tourism coordination and cooperation.

巨大的社会经济福祉差距是各国和各地区的普遍现象。本研究从综合和区域间趋同的角度,考察了旅游业对社会经济福祉的影响及其趋同性。利用 2005-2019 年间 291 个城市的面板数据,对中国城市尺度的社会经济福利进行综合评价。考虑到社会经济福利的动态特征,我们采用系统广义矩法对其影响进行了估计。结果表明,旅游业极大地提升了当地的社会经济福利,并且具有稳健性。我们还发现,国内旅游占据主导地位,一般预算支出、人均 GDP 和城市化具有正向调节效应,社会经济福利较高的城市具有更大的推动力。由于 β 趋同和 σ 趋同均成立,我们证实了旅游业对区域间社会经济福利趋同的积极影响。我们强调通过财政支出、金融转移支付、智力支持、城市化和基础设施建设等政策支持欠发达地区的旅游业发展。我们建议将旅游业纳入乡村振兴和区域协调发展等框架。我们还建议将加快欠发达地区旅游业扩张和提升发达地区旅游业质量作为空间战略,同时强调区域间旅游业协调与合作。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation and wage inequalities: Evidence from Brazilian regions 创新与工资不平等:巴西各地区的证据
IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12733
Bianca Villamarim de Oliveira, Eduardo Gonçalves, Juliana Gonçalves Taveira

Innovation can lead to wage inequalities through different channels. This paper explores this relationship, focusing on the direct and spillover (indirect) effects of these channels on personal wage inequalities in Brazilian regions. Product and process innovation are measured by patents and the acquisition of foreign technology through imports of capital goods respectively. Based on data that covers 482 regions from 2003 to 2014, we use the Spatial Durbin Model with spatial fixed effects to control spatial dependence and heterogeneity across regions. The results point to a positive association between our measures of innovation and wage inequalities. However, as we found a non-linear relationship between imports of capital goods and wage inequality, an increase in imports of capital goods may reduce wage inequality. Other variables may also cause inequality to fall, such as the share of the population with a higher education degree and social skills. Drivers behind an increase in inequality are female participation in the workforce and the level of GDP per capita.

创新可通过不同渠道导致工资不平等。本文探讨了这种关系,重点是这些渠道对巴西各地区个人工资不平等的直接和溢出(间接)效应。产品创新和流程创新分别通过专利和通过进口资本货物获取外国技术来衡量。基于 2003 年至 2014 年覆盖 482 个地区的数据,我们使用空间杜宾模型和空间固定效应来控制各地区的空间依赖性和异质性。结果表明,我们的创新措施与工资不平等之间存在正相关。然而,由于我们发现资本货物进口与工资不平等之间存在非线性关系,资本货物进口的增加可能会减少工资不平等。其他变量也可能导致不平等现象的减少,如拥有高等教育学位和社会技能的人口比例。不平等加剧的驱动因素是女性劳动力参与率和人均国内生产总值水平。
{"title":"Innovation and wage inequalities: Evidence from Brazilian regions","authors":"Bianca Villamarim de Oliveira,&nbsp;Eduardo Gonçalves,&nbsp;Juliana Gonçalves Taveira","doi":"10.1111/grow.12733","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.12733","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Innovation can lead to wage inequalities through different channels. This paper explores this relationship, focusing on the direct and spillover (indirect) effects of these channels on personal wage inequalities in Brazilian regions. Product and process innovation are measured by patents and the acquisition of foreign technology through imports of capital goods respectively. Based on data that covers 482 regions from 2003 to 2014, we use the Spatial Durbin Model with spatial fixed effects to control spatial dependence and heterogeneity across regions. The results point to a positive association between our measures of innovation and wage inequalities. However, as we found a non-linear relationship between imports of capital goods and wage inequality, an increase in imports of capital goods may reduce wage inequality. Other variables may also cause inequality to fall, such as the share of the population with a higher education degree and social skills. Drivers behind an increase in inequality are female participation in the workforce and the level of GDP per capita.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"55 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141639613","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using big data to study small places: Small-town voting patterns in the 2020 U.S. presidential election 用大数据研究小地方:2020 年美国总统大选中的小镇投票模式
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12730
Jennifer Mapes

Differences between urban, suburban, and rural voting outcomes in U.S. presidential elections is a common area of both academic research and news media analysis. Most scrutiny and mapping of the geography of the presidential vote is done at the county scale, with counties described as either urban, suburban, or rural. Small towns are often assumed to mirror surrounding rural areas, with little research examining election results and historic patterns in these places. This is understandable: Accurate spatial data at a fine scale for national elections is difficult and, in some states, impossible, to obtain. Research presented here (in states where precinct-level data is readily available) indicates that while most small towns indeed voted Republican in the 2020 U.S. election, a closer inspection indicates that they are more Democratic-leaning than surrounding rural areas. This research indicates the value of studying these fine-scale data as well as the challenges faced in acquiring these data and resulting lack of research and visualization of these differences.

美国总统选举中城市、郊区和农村投票结果的差异是学术研究和新闻媒体分析的一个常见领域。对总统选举投票地域的研究和测绘大多以县为单位进行,县被描述为城市、郊区或农村。小城镇通常被认为是周边农村地区的写照,很少有人研究这些地方的选举结果和历史模式。这是可以理解的:很难获得精确的全国选举空间数据,在某些州甚至根本无法获得。本文介绍的研究(在可轻易获得选区级数据的各州)表明,虽然大多数小城镇在 2020 年美国大选中确实投了共和党票,但仔细观察会发现,与周边农村地区相比,这些小城镇更倾向于民主党。这项研究表明了研究这些精细数据的价值,以及在获取这些数据时所面临的挑战,以及由此导致的对这些差异缺乏研究和可视化的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Cluster heterogeneity and efficiency of innovation network—Evidence from Shanghai and Taizhou in China 集群异质性与创新网络效率--来自中国上海和台州的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12729
Guodong Yan, Lin Zou

There are debates about cluster heterogeneity, network structures, and innovations. The difference in the degree to which firms joined in the internal and external networks of heterogeneous clusters can affect innovation performance. There is still a lack of empirical evidence on how networks or spatial factors can differentially affect innovation efficiency due to cluster heterogeneity. China has endogenous clusters formed by small and medium-sized firms and numerous clusters mainly based on government planning instrument, such as industrial zones and high-tech parks. There are controversies over these planned cluster, such as insufficient firm connections and weak innovation effectiveness.Cluster innovation is a complex socio-economic process that combines endogenous context, exogenous factors and interacts with multi-spatial relationships. This perspective may explain the differences in which heterogeneous clusters improve efficiency. This paper draws on first-hand data obtained from 188 questionnaires. The Lingang Equipment Manufacturing Cluster in Shanghai and the Taizhou Machine Tool Manufacturing Cluster in Zhejiang serve as examples of heterogeneous clusters. We combine the cluster's endogenous and exogenous characteristics, network size and strength of network ties, and local and non-local innovation spaces to discuss the impact on innovation efficiency. Expecting to provide a reference for improving the innovation efficiency of heterogeneous clusters in developing economies. The results suggest that regardless of local or non-local scales, exogenous clusters have a more pronounced effect of local network size and non-local tie strength on innovation performance based on demand for proximity to customers and suppliers.

关于集群异质性、网络结构和创新的争论不绝于耳。企业加入异质集群内部和外部网络的程度不同,会影响创新绩效。关于网络或空间因素如何因集群异质性而对创新效率产生不同影响,目前仍缺乏实证证据。中国有由中小型企业形成的内生集群,也有众多主要基于政府规划手段的集群,如工业园区和高科技园区。集群创新是一个复杂的社会经济过程,它结合了内生环境、外生因素并与多空间关系相互作用。这一视角可以解释异质集群在提高效率方面的差异。本文利用了从 188 份问卷调查中获得的第一手数据。上海临港装备制造业集群和浙江台州机床制造业集群是异质集群的典范。我们将集群的内生和外生特征、网络规模和网络联系强度、本地和非本地创新空间结合起来,探讨其对创新效率的影响。期望为提高发展中经济体异质集群的创新效率提供参考。结果表明,无论本地规模还是非本地规模,基于对接近客户和供应商的需求,外生集群的本地网络规模和非本地纽带强度对创新绩效的影响更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
State-led urbanization and technological innovation: A quasi-natural experiment from county-to-district conversion in China 国家主导的城市化与技术创新:中国县改区的准自然实验
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12728
Chong Wang, Lei Wang

Different from the market-led urbanization in western countries, China's urbanization process has the characteristics of being state-led, in which county-to-district conversion (CTDC) policy plays a key role in promoting urbanization. Our study uses the data of 279 cities as a simple to explore the effect of the state-led urbanization of CTDC on technological innovation. We find that CTDC significantly promote innovation, and this promoting effect is enhanced with the improvement of urban innovation ability. The mechanism test shows that financial expenditure on education and science, population agglomeration, information and communication technology industry are three channels for CTDC to boost technological innovation. We also find that this promotion effect is more obvious in eastern cities and the cities with higher administrative hierarchy, and is weakest in western cities, however, CTDC adjustment in northeastern cities significantly inhibited technological innovation. Further research shows that when the distance between merged county and city administrative center within 20 km, the effect is negative, after the distance is more than 20 km, with the increase of distance, the promoting effect of CTDC increases.

与西方国家以市场为主导的城市化不同,中国的城市化进程具有国家主导的特点,其中县改区(CTDC)政策在推动城市化进程中发挥了关键作用。我们的研究以 279 个城市的数据为基础,探讨了国家主导的县改区城镇化对技术创新的影响。我们发现,CTDC 对创新有明显的促进作用,并且这种促进作用随着城市创新能力的提高而增强。机理检验表明,财政科教支出、人口集聚、信息与通信技术产业是 CTDC 促进技术创新的三个渠道。我们还发现,这种促进作用在东部城市和行政级别较高的城市更为明显,在西部城市最弱,而东北城市的 CTDC 调整则显著抑制了技术创新。进一步的研究表明,当合并后的县市与行政中心的距离在 20 千米以内时,这种效应为负,当距离超过 20 千米后,随着距离的增加,CTDC 的促进效应增加。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial collaborative agglomeration and green economic efficiency—Based on the intermediary effect of technical change 产业协同集聚与绿色经济效率--基于技术变革的中介效应
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/grow.12727
Haichao Yu, Shangze Dai, Haiqian Ke

Industry upgrading and structure transformation are important methods for the green and sustainable development. This paper utilizes urban panel data from China spanning the years 2009–2022 to investigate the impact of manufacturing and producer services collaborative agglomeration on green economy efficiency. Additionally, it examines the mediating effect of three modes of technical change: domestic technological stock, international technology transfer, and innovation absorptive capacity. The key findings are summarized as follows: (1) The impact of Industrial collaborative agglomeration (ICA) on green economy efficiency follows a U-shaped curve relationship, when the degree of ICA is below the inflection point (1.4022), it negatively affects green economy efficiency. However, when the degree surpasses that point, it demonstrates a positive impact. (2) Domestic technological stock and international technology transfer act as mediating variables between ICA and green economy efficiency. Advancements in domestic technology innovation and increased international technology transfer contribute to a positive effect of ICA on green economic efficiency.

产业升级和结构转型是实现绿色可持续发展的重要途径。本文利用 2009-2022 年中国城市面板数据,研究制造业和生产性服务业协同集聚对绿色经济效率的影响。此外,本文还考察了国内技术存量、国际技术转让和创新吸收能力三种技术变革模式的中介效应。主要结论总结如下(1)产业协同集聚(ICA)对绿色经济效率的影响呈 U 型曲线关系,当产业协同集聚程度低于拐点(1.4022)时,会对绿色经济效率产生负面影响。然而,当 ICA 度超过该拐点时,则会对绿色经济效率产生积极影响。(2)国内技术存量和国际技术转移是 ICA 与绿色经济效率之间的中介变量。国内技术创新的进步和国际技术转移的增加有助于国际科 学合作对绿色经济效率产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
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