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Understanding Migration Dynamics in Taiwan's New Town Development: The Role of Housing Affordability and Infrastructure 台湾新城发展中的移民动态:住房负担能力与基础设施的作用
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70073
Chien-Wen Peng, Yong-Jyun Tu, Chien-Hao Fu

As suburbanization accelerates globally, large-scale developments—such as new towns and redevelopment zones—are increasingly used by policymakers to alleviate urban congestion and promote spatially balanced growth. While theoretically offering superior infrastructure and living environments, such projects are complex, capital-intensive, and exposed to political and market uncertainties that can lead to misalignment between planning goals and outcomes. This study offers the first empirical analysis of population migration dynamics within the context of a large-scale new town development project. Focusing on Taiwan's National Taipei University Special District (NTPUSD), this study examines inter-district migration patterns using administrative data, with particular attention to the role of housing prices, commute times, and infrastructure access. The findings show that lower housing prices—especially when combined with shorter commutes—are significant drivers of migration. High-income households are more sensitive to price differences, while middle-income households move from moderately priced areas to upgrade housing. The price effect is minimal in low-income districts. Migration patterns also evolved over time: early migrants were predominantly young households seeking affordability, whereas later waves were influenced more by improved amenities and transport. These results offer important insights for urban planners and policymakers managing suburban growth and integration.

随着全球郊区化的加速,政策制定者越来越多地利用大型开发项目(如新城和重建区)来缓解城市拥堵和促进空间平衡增长。虽然从理论上讲,这些项目提供了优越的基础设施和生活环境,但这些项目非常复杂,是资本密集型的,并且容易受到政治和市场不确定性的影响,可能导致规划目标与结果之间的不一致。本研究首次对大型新市镇发展项目背景下的人口迁移动态进行实证分析。​研究结果表明,较低的房价——尤其是与较短的通勤时间相结合——是移民的重要驱动因素。高收入家庭对价格差异更为敏感,而中等收入家庭则从价格适中的地区搬到升级住房。在低收入地区,价格效应最小。移民模式也随着时间的推移而演变:早期移民主要是寻求负担能力的年轻家庭,而后来的移民浪潮更多地受到改善的设施和交通的影响。这些结果为城市规划者和政策制定者管理郊区增长和一体化提供了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
High-Speed Railway, Knowledge Complexity and Regional Inequalities 高速铁路、知识复杂性与区域不平等
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70069
Zhaoyingzi Dong, Jiayan Shi, Yuanshuo Xu

The high-speed railway (HSR) in China has brought tremendous economic development for cities across the country. Utilizing a dataset of over 3.9 million authorized innovated patents from 324 cities between 2000 and 2022, this study investigates the impacts of HSR on technological diversity and complexity. Employing a staggered difference-in-difference (DID), Propensity Score Matching (PSM) model and instrumental variable (IV) model, the analysis reveals that the introduction of HSR enables cities to diversify into new, less related, and more complex technological domains, thereby enhancing both the complexity and diversity of a city's knowledge base. However, our heterogeneity analysis suggests that HSR fosters breakthrough advancements and the adoption of more complex technologies in developed cities, but it mainly facilitates access to more related but less complex technologies in underdeveloped cities. This study underscores HSR as a crucial strategic tool for promoting technology diversification and knowledge complexity, while also highlighting the potential of HSR for exacerbating knowledge inequality among cities. The findings deepen our understanding of how regional inequality might be shaped as by technological evolution and transportation development.

中国的高速铁路(HSR)为全国各地的城市带来了巨大的经济发展。利用2000 - 2022年324个城市的390多万项授权创新专利数据,研究了高铁对技术多样性和复杂性的影响。采用交错差中差(DID)、倾向得分匹配(PSM)模型和工具变量(IV)模型,分析表明,高铁的引入使城市能够进入新的、不太相关的、更复杂的技术领域,从而提高城市知识基础的复杂性和多样性。然而,我们的异质性分析表明,高铁促进了发达城市的突破性进步和更复杂技术的采用,但它主要促进了欠发达城市获得更相关但不太复杂的技术。本研究强调高铁是促进技术多样化和知识复杂性的重要战略工具,同时也强调了高铁加剧城市间知识不平等的潜力。这些发现加深了我们对技术进化和交通发展如何塑造区域不平等的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Does Transportation Infrastructure Alleviate Urbanization Imbalance: The Perspective of Urban Spatial Structure 交通基础设施能否缓解城市化失衡:城市空间结构的视角
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70070
Pin Lv, Tongbin Yang, Xuexu Piao

The unbalanced pattern of population urbanization lagging behind land urbanization constrains the sustainable development of cities. Enhancing transportation infrastructure emerges as a viable strategy to mitigate urbanization imbalance. This study investigates how HSR and subway can address urbanization imbalance in Chinese cities, which have witnessed the most intensive urbanization and transportation infrastructure development in the 21st century. Employing panel data of 279 cities from 2006 to 2021 and utilizing a DID methodology, the empirical analysis reveals that HSR operation significantly promotes population inflow and enhances land use efficiency, effectively mitigating urbanization imbalance. The mechanism stems from HSR-induced polycentric spatial restructuring, which expands population agglomeration spaces. Critically, subway networks functionally integrate emerging subcenters with primary urban cores, creating synergistic effects with HSR to optimize urban spatial structures. However, peripheral cities, hampered by the lack of subway connectivity, fail to leverage HSR to alleviate urbanization imbalance. These findings underscore that multimodal transport systems are essential for enhancing cooperative accessibility and achieving urbanization rebalance.

人口城镇化滞后于土地城镇化的不平衡格局制约着城市的可持续发展。加强交通基础设施建设是缓解城市化失衡的可行策略。中国是21世纪城市化和交通基础设施发展最为密集的国家,本研究探讨了高铁和地铁如何解决中国城市的城市化失衡问题。利用2006 - 2021年279个城市的面板数据,运用DID方法进行实证分析,发现高铁运营显著促进了人口流入,提高了土地利用效率,有效缓解了城市化失衡。其机制源于高铁引发的多中心空间重构,扩大了人口集聚空间。至关重要的是,地铁网络在功能上整合了新兴副中心与主要城市核心,与高铁产生协同效应,优化城市空间结构。然而,由于缺乏地铁连接,周边城市未能利用高铁来缓解城市化失衡。这些研究结果强调,多式联运系统对于提高合作可达性和实现城市化再平衡至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Urban Informality, Housing Insecurity and “Bulldozer Urbanism” in Global South Cities: Evidence From Selected Slum Communities in Accra, Ghana 全球南方城市的城市非正式性、住房不安全感和“推土机式城市主义”:来自加纳阿克拉贫民窟社区的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70072
Reforce Okwei, Elmond Bandauko, Desmond Adjaison, Lina Adeetuk, Thelma Akyea, Godwin Arku

In Accra, state-led eviction mirrors ongoing processes of socio-spatial inequality and exclusion. While evictions are rooted in neoliberal ideals, the outcomes of such processes have been particularly devastating for residents of slums and informal settlements. This paper uses Cernea's Risk and Reconstruction Model to examine the impacts of bulldozer urbanism on three selected slum communities in Accra. Bulldozer urbanism is rationalized by municipal authorities as an approach to sanitize urban environments by removing what is perceived as filth, dirt, and a looming environmental hazard. While Cernea's model was valuable in uncovering the multiple impacts of evictions on our study communities, the findings reveal outcomes that extend beyond its scope by situating the findings within the broader discussion of state power, neoliberal governance, and urban dispossession. The paper highlights the urgent need for policymakers to embrace and recognize slums and informal communities as integral contributors rather than obstacles to urban development. Based on the findings, the study advocates for a shift from “bulldozing” to upholding the housing rights of slum dwellers as an important step for realizing just, equitable and inclusive cities.

在阿克拉,国家主导的驱逐反映了社会空间不平等和排斥的持续进程。虽然驱逐植根于新自由主义理想,但这种过程的结果对贫民窟和非正式定居点的居民来说尤其具有破坏性。本文采用Cernea的风险与重建模型,考察了推土机城市化对阿克拉三个贫民窟社区的影响。推土机城市主义被市政当局合理化,作为一种通过清除被认为是污秽、污垢和迫在眉睫的环境危害来净化城市环境的方法。虽然Cernea的模型在揭示驱逐对我们研究社区的多重影响方面很有价值,但研究结果显示,通过将研究结果置于国家权力、新自由主义治理和城市强占的更广泛讨论中,结果超出了其范围。报告强调,决策者迫切需要接受并认识到贫民窟和非正式社区是城市发展不可或缺的贡献者,而不是障碍。根据调查结果,该研究主张从“推平”转向维护贫民窟居民的住房权利,这是实现公正、公平和包容城市的重要一步。
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引用次数: 0
Interconnected Cities, Integrated Markets: Exploring the Impact of Transport Networks on Labor Market Integration in the Yangtze River Delta, China 城市互联、市场整合:交通网络对长三角地区劳动力市场整合的影响
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70068
Xueqing Liu, Ben Derudder, Bo Wang, Frank Witlox

This paper examines the impact of cities' network connections on regional labor market integration in megacity-regions. By applying a panel model to data for the Yangtze River Delta between 2014 and 2021, we analyze the impact of transport networks on labor market integration and explore the (potential) mechanisms in terms of network externalities. Our empirical analysis suggests a positive association between connectivity in transport networks and labor market integration. We also observe evidence of indirect effects: transport networks allow cities to benefit from network externalities associated with effective labor matching, specifically by reducing geographical distance restrictions and lowering matching costs, thus contributing to the increased integration of labor markets. We reflect on the broader implications of our empirical findings for regional development strategies and discuss possible avenues for further research.

本文研究了特大城市区域中城市网络连接对区域劳动力市场一体化的影响。通过对长三角2014 - 2021年数据的面板模型分析,我们分析了交通网络对劳动力市场整合的影响,并从网络外部性的角度探讨了(潜在的)机制。我们的实证分析表明,运输网络的连通性与劳动力市场一体化之间存在正相关关系。我们还观察到间接效应的证据:交通网络允许城市从与有效劳动力匹配相关的网络外部性中受益,特别是通过减少地理距离限制和降低匹配成本,从而促进劳动力市场的整合。我们反思了我们的实证研究结果对区域发展战略的更广泛影响,并讨论了进一步研究的可能途径。
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引用次数: 0
Are College Towns Really Recession Proof? 大学城真的能抵御经济衰退吗?
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70064
Reese Manternach, Aakansha Jain, Peter F. Orazem, Levi Soborowicz

Labor markets in college towns have been viewed as more resilient to national recessions. This study examines that presumption, using monthly data on county unemployment and employment rates from 1990 through 2019. We find that counties housing college students have lower unemployment rates in response to increases in national unemployment rates than their neighboring non-college counties, consistent with the view that college towns are less exposed to national business cycles. However, college county employment rates also fall more rapidly during national economic downturns, casting doubt on college town labor market resilience. The puzzling result appears to be related to the use of new claims for unemployment benefits in measuring county unemployment rates. Low unemployment rates in college counties are related to a lower probability that unemployed college students would qualify for unemployment benefits due to insufficient job tenure and earnings.

大学城的劳动力市场一直被认为对全国性的经济衰退更有弹性。本研究使用1990年至2019年各县失业率和就业率的月度数据来检验这一假设。我们发现,在全国失业率上升的情况下,有大学生居住的县的失业率比邻近的无大学生居住的县低,这与大学城受全国经济周期影响较小的观点是一致的。然而,在全国经济低迷时期,大学城的就业率下降得更快,这让人们对大学城劳动力市场的弹性产生了怀疑。这个令人困惑的结果似乎与使用新的失业救济申请来衡量县失业率有关。大学县的低失业率与失业大学生由于工作年限和收入不足而获得失业救济金的可能性较低有关。
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引用次数: 0
Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Inhibit or Promote Firm Financialization? New Perspective on Financial Motivation 经济政策的不确定性是抑制还是促进企业金融化?金融动机的新视角
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70066
Yanwei Lyu, Zewei Zhang, Yangyang Bai, Jinning Zhang

From the perspective of financialization motivation, this study empirically investigates the impact and mechanism of economic policy uncertainty on firm financialization using data from China's A-share listed firms from 2010 to 2021. The results show that economic policy uncertainty has a positive effect on firm financialization, and the effect is more significant when uncertainty is high. Moreover, economic policy uncertainty promotes firm financialization by enhancing the “precautionary saving” motivation and inhibits firm financialization by alleviating the “profit chasing” motivation, and the “precautionary saving” motivation has a greater impact. Both financing constraints and executive financial experience play a positive moderation role. And there is heterogeneity in financial asset categories and marketization degree.

本文从金融化动机的视角,利用2010 - 2021年中国a股上市公司数据,实证考察了经济政策不确定性对企业金融化的影响及其机制。研究结果表明,经济政策不确定性对企业金融化具有正向影响,且不确定性高时影响更为显著。经济政策不确定性通过增强“预防性储蓄”动机促进企业金融化,通过缓解“逐利”动机抑制企业金融化,且“预防性储蓄”动机的影响更大。融资约束条件和高管财务经验对企业财务绩效均有正向调节作用。金融资产类别和市场化程度存在异质性。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling Growth in Nearshoring Regions 揭示近岸地区的增长
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70053
Roberta Capello, Roberto Dellisanti

During recent new challenges, like economic crises, the global pandemic, Ukraine-Russia and Middle East conflicts, Global Value Chains (GVCs) have shown their fragility and vulnerability, prompting authorities to advocate nearshoring for greater security and efficiency. Nearshoring, defined in this paper at the macroeconomic level as a production process of a region which uses again a greater share of foreign inputs produced by neighboring EU regions, appears to be an effective process for preserving the benefits of global production while simultaneously reducing the risks of supply chain disruptions inherent to long-distance offshoring. However, understanding its macroeconomic impact is complex, especially at the regional level. Thanks to an operational definition of nearshoring regions, the study identifies nearshoring regions in Europe and examines the growth premium that these regions gain from this form of GVCs reorganisation using interregional IO trade data. Results are clear. Benefits in terms of growth only arise in those nearshoring regions able to impose favorable terms-of-trade, through command-and-control functions. The geographical selectivity of growth premium from nearshoring risks to exacerbate interregional inequalities.

在最近的新挑战中,如经济危机、全球大流行、乌克兰-俄罗斯和中东冲突,全球价值链(GVCs)显示出其脆弱性和脆弱性,促使当局提倡近岸,以提高安全性和效率。本文在宏观经济层面将近岸(Nearshoring)定义为一个地区的生产过程,该地区再次使用邻近欧盟地区生产的更大份额的外国投入品。近岸(Nearshoring)似乎是一个有效的过程,可以保留全球生产的好处,同时降低长距离离岸外包所固有的供应链中断风险。然而,理解其宏观经济影响是复杂的,特别是在区域一级。得益于对近岸地区的可操作性定义,该研究确定了欧洲的近岸地区,并利用区域间国际贸易数据检查了这些地区从这种形式的全球价值链重组中获得的增长溢价。结果很明显。只有那些能够通过指挥和控制功能强加有利贸易条件的近岸地区才能获得增长方面的利益。增长溢价的地理选择性从近岸风险加剧区域间不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking Regional Economic Resilience With Technological Network Robustness: Evidence From China 用技术网络稳健性解锁区域经济弹性:来自中国的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70065
Xinyu Yan, Hua Xing, Qiliang Mao

This paper elaborates a view on technological network robustness as a capability related to knowledge recombination in times of shocks, so as to explore its effects on regional economic resilience. Based upon panel analyses of technological co-occurrence networks of Chinese prefectures following the 2008–2009 financial crisis, we find that: (1) regions with robust technological networks perform better in economic resilience; (2) the underlying causal mechanism of this positive effect is that robust technological networks, characterized by homogeneously distributed betweenness centrality among nodes, mitigates the risk of regional knowledge connection disruptions during shocks, thereby enhancing the region's ability to develop new growth paths.

本文阐述了技术网络稳健性作为一种与知识重组相关的能力在冲击时期的观点,以探讨其对区域经济弹性的影响。基于2008-2009年金融危机后中国地级技术共现网络的面板分析,我们发现:(1)技术共现网络健全的地区经济弹性更好;(2)这一正向效应的潜在因果机制是,稳健的技术网络以节点间均匀分布的中心性为特征,缓解了冲击期间区域知识连接中断的风险,从而增强了区域发展新增长路径的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Determinants of Product Innovations in Start-Ups Across Urban and Rural Regions in Germany 德国城乡初创企业产品创新的区域决定因素
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70056
Blom Meijering, Torsten Schunder

In this study, we examine how region-level determinants, measured through entrepreneurial ecosystem (EE) elements, influence product innovation in high-tech start-ups differently across urban and rural regions in Germany. This study contributes to the scientific debate by integrating the EE concept into the regional innovation literature, uncovering whether and how regional conditions shape product innovations in start-ups differently in different locations. We differentiate between incremental and radical product innovations using firm-level data from the IAB/ZEW Start-up Panel during 2007–2014. The findings show that while certain region-level determinants may facilitate or hinder innovation, their impact varies depending on the type of region. Policies aimed at fostering product innovations in high-tech start-ups should be aligned with this.

在这项研究中,我们考察了区域层面的决定因素,通过创业生态系统(EE)元素来衡量,如何在德国城市和农村地区不同程度地影响高科技初创企业的产品创新。本研究通过将EE概念整合到区域创新文献中,揭示了区域条件是否以及如何在不同地区对初创企业的产品创新产生不同的影响,从而有助于科学辩论。我们使用IAB/ZEW创业小组2007-2014年期间的公司层面数据来区分渐进式和激进式产品创新。研究结果表明,虽然某些区域层面的决定因素可能促进或阻碍创新,但其影响因区域类型而异。旨在促进高科技初创企业产品创新的政策应与此保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
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