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Unveiling Growth in Nearshoring Regions 揭示近岸地区的增长
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70053
Roberta Capello, Roberto Dellisanti

During recent new challenges, like economic crises, the global pandemic, Ukraine-Russia and Middle East conflicts, Global Value Chains (GVCs) have shown their fragility and vulnerability, prompting authorities to advocate nearshoring for greater security and efficiency. Nearshoring, defined in this paper at the macroeconomic level as a production process of a region which uses again a greater share of foreign inputs produced by neighboring EU regions, appears to be an effective process for preserving the benefits of global production while simultaneously reducing the risks of supply chain disruptions inherent to long-distance offshoring. However, understanding its macroeconomic impact is complex, especially at the regional level. Thanks to an operational definition of nearshoring regions, the study identifies nearshoring regions in Europe and examines the growth premium that these regions gain from this form of GVCs reorganisation using interregional IO trade data. Results are clear. Benefits in terms of growth only arise in those nearshoring regions able to impose favorable terms-of-trade, through command-and-control functions. The geographical selectivity of growth premium from nearshoring risks to exacerbate interregional inequalities.

在最近的新挑战中,如经济危机、全球大流行、乌克兰-俄罗斯和中东冲突,全球价值链(GVCs)显示出其脆弱性和脆弱性,促使当局提倡近岸,以提高安全性和效率。本文在宏观经济层面将近岸(Nearshoring)定义为一个地区的生产过程,该地区再次使用邻近欧盟地区生产的更大份额的外国投入品。近岸(Nearshoring)似乎是一个有效的过程,可以保留全球生产的好处,同时降低长距离离岸外包所固有的供应链中断风险。然而,理解其宏观经济影响是复杂的,特别是在区域一级。得益于对近岸地区的可操作性定义,该研究确定了欧洲的近岸地区,并利用区域间国际贸易数据检查了这些地区从这种形式的全球价值链重组中获得的增长溢价。结果很明显。只有那些能够通过指挥和控制功能强加有利贸易条件的近岸地区才能获得增长方面的利益。增长溢价的地理选择性从近岸风险加剧区域间不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking Regional Economic Resilience With Technological Network Robustness: Evidence From China 用技术网络稳健性解锁区域经济弹性:来自中国的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70065
Xinyu Yan, Hua Xing, Qiliang Mao

This paper elaborates a view on technological network robustness as a capability related to knowledge recombination in times of shocks, so as to explore its effects on regional economic resilience. Based upon panel analyses of technological co-occurrence networks of Chinese prefectures following the 2008–2009 financial crisis, we find that: (1) regions with robust technological networks perform better in economic resilience; (2) the underlying causal mechanism of this positive effect is that robust technological networks, characterized by homogeneously distributed betweenness centrality among nodes, mitigates the risk of regional knowledge connection disruptions during shocks, thereby enhancing the region's ability to develop new growth paths.

本文阐述了技术网络稳健性作为一种与知识重组相关的能力在冲击时期的观点,以探讨其对区域经济弹性的影响。基于2008-2009年金融危机后中国地级技术共现网络的面板分析,我们发现:(1)技术共现网络健全的地区经济弹性更好;(2)这一正向效应的潜在因果机制是,稳健的技术网络以节点间均匀分布的中心性为特征,缓解了冲击期间区域知识连接中断的风险,从而增强了区域发展新增长路径的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Determinants of Product Innovations in Start-Ups Across Urban and Rural Regions in Germany 德国城乡初创企业产品创新的区域决定因素
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70056
Blom Meijering, Torsten Schunder

In this study, we examine how region-level determinants, measured through entrepreneurial ecosystem (EE) elements, influence product innovation in high-tech start-ups differently across urban and rural regions in Germany. This study contributes to the scientific debate by integrating the EE concept into the regional innovation literature, uncovering whether and how regional conditions shape product innovations in start-ups differently in different locations. We differentiate between incremental and radical product innovations using firm-level data from the IAB/ZEW Start-up Panel during 2007–2014. The findings show that while certain region-level determinants may facilitate or hinder innovation, their impact varies depending on the type of region. Policies aimed at fostering product innovations in high-tech start-ups should be aligned with this.

在这项研究中,我们考察了区域层面的决定因素,通过创业生态系统(EE)元素来衡量,如何在德国城市和农村地区不同程度地影响高科技初创企业的产品创新。本研究通过将EE概念整合到区域创新文献中,揭示了区域条件是否以及如何在不同地区对初创企业的产品创新产生不同的影响,从而有助于科学辩论。我们使用IAB/ZEW创业小组2007-2014年期间的公司层面数据来区分渐进式和激进式产品创新。研究结果表明,虽然某些区域层面的决定因素可能促进或阻碍创新,但其影响因区域类型而异。旨在促进高科技初创企业产品创新的政策应与此保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Why Is It Possible for China to Reduce Its Dependence on Land Expropriation? An Analysis on the Land-Expropriation Kuznets Curve 中国为什么有可能减少对征地的依赖?土地征收库兹涅茨曲线分析
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70063
Yang Liu, Siliang Wang

Although the growth in developing countries have always been accompanied by large-scale land expropriation, whether there is a standard relationship between the scale of land expropriation and the stage of economic development remains unclear. This paper aims to explore the practice of land expropriation in China, and while there are polarized views around its role in economic growth, inter-provincial differences also mean that it is an excellent sample for clarifying the relationship. By exploring the growth coalition consisting of local bureaucracies, central government and peasants within the land-centered development model, the possible inverted U-shaped trend of land expropriation scale with economic development is theoretically analyzed, from which hypotheses on the Land-expropriation Kuznets Curve (LKC) are proposed. Further, using Chinese provincial panel data, the results not only show the invert-U shaped relationship between economic development and land expropriation and its regional heterogeneity, but also identify four determinants of dependence on land expropriation: internal demands of local bureaucracies to advance urban infrastructure, real estate and manufacturing sectors, horizontal competition among local bureaucracies, vertical supervision by the central government, and external forces from peasants. These conditions combine to expand the scale of land expropriation in the less developed period, leading to the phenomenon of land expropriation dependence. However, with the transformation of China's economic growth and development model, changes in above-mentioned various conditions have made it possible to reduce land expropriation dependence, and the reduction typically occurs when GDP per capita exceeds 50,000 RMB. This paper provides a new perspective for understanding China's land-centered development story based on the Growth Machine Theory and generates policy implications for the land management practices in other developing countries.

虽然发展中国家的经济增长总是伴随着大规模的征地,但征地规模与经济发展阶段之间是否存在标准关系尚不清楚。本文旨在探讨征地在中国的实践,虽然关于征地在经济增长中的作用存在两极分化的观点,但省际差异也意味着它是一个澄清两者关系的绝佳样本。通过探索以土地为中心发展模式下地方官僚、中央政府和农民组成的增长联盟,从理论上分析了征地规模随经济发展可能出现的倒u型趋势,并在此基础上提出了征地库兹涅茨曲线的假设。进一步,利用中国省级面板数据,研究结果不仅显示了经济发展与征地之间的倒u型关系及其区域异质性,而且还发现了土地征收依赖的四个决定因素:地方官僚推进城市基础设施、房地产和制造业的内部需求,地方官僚之间的横向竞争,中央政府的纵向监督,以及来自农民的外部力量。这些条件叠加在一起,扩大了欠发达时期的征地规模,导致征地依赖现象。但随着中国经济增长和发展方式的转变,上述各项条件的变化使得征地依附性降低成为可能,这种降低一般发生在人均GDP超过5万元的时候。本文为理解基于增长机器理论的中国以土地为中心的发展故事提供了新的视角,并为其他发展中国家的土地管理实践提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
A Social Approach to Environmental Sustainability: The Nexus Well-Being, Tourism, Digitalization and Renewable Energy in Scandinavian Countries 环境可持续发展的社会途径:斯堪的纳维亚国家的幸福、旅游、数字化和可再生能源的联系
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70062
Cem Işık, Serdar Ongan, Buket Aydın, Rahman Aydın, İlyas Kays İmamoğlu

This research explores the impact of subjective well-being (SWB) on CO2 emissions in Scandinavian countries based on the need to analyze the effects of social indicators shaping environmental sustainability. The study aims to introduce the Welfare-Based SWB approach to the literature by expanding the classical Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis with the social welfare dimension. SWB is considered in this study to be a social reflection and indirect measure of economic growth, which is the core determinant in the classical EKC hypothesis. The second-generation cointegration test, the Durbin-Hausman, and AMG long-term forecasting methods were used in this context. According to the empirical findings, SWB and digitalization increase carbon emissions, while tourism revenues and renewable energy consumption reduce emissions. The findings indicate that the classical EKC hypothesis is not confirmed and, similarly, an increase in social welfare (SWB) does not automatically lead to environmental improvement. Therefore, policymakers should develop social policies that will increase environmental sensitivity along with an increase in welfare.

本研究在分析社会指标对环境可持续性影响的基础上,探讨了主观幸福感(SWB)对斯堪的纳维亚国家二氧化碳排放的影响。本研究旨在通过将经典的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设扩展到社会福利维度,将基于福利的主观幸福感方法引入文献。本研究认为SWB是对经济增长的社会反映和间接衡量,而经济增长是经典EKC假设的核心决定因素。本研究采用了第二代协整检验、Durbin-Hausman和AMG长期预测方法。实证发现,SWB和数字化增加了碳排放,而旅游收入和可再生能源消费减少了碳排放。研究结果表明,经典的EKC假设没有得到证实,同样,社会福利(SWB)的增加不会自动导致环境改善。因此,决策者应该制定社会政策,在提高福利的同时提高环境敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
Is Seoul the Pound-for-Pound Champion of Information and Communication Service Growth?: A New Size-Free Shift-Share Approach 首尔是名副其实的信息通信服务增长冠军吗?:一种新的无规模转移分享方法
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70059
WooPyeong Yi

As ICT has emerged as a general-purpose technology, interest in fostering the industry has also grown in non-capital areas. Consequently, the growth rate of the regional ICT service industry has become an important indicator for regional industrial policy. However, when comparing industrial growth across regions, conventional indicators are affected by initial size, making it difficult to assess whether a region's growth is relatively higher than that of others. To address this limitation, this study proposes a size-free shift-share analysis (SSA) and applies the method to Korean ICT service data. The analysis confirms that, while the ICT service industry is indeed quantitatively concentrated in the capital region, such as Seoul, adjusting for initial size reveals that many non-capital regions have achieved ICT service growth surpassing that of the capital region.

随着信息和通信技术作为一种通用技术的出现,非首都地区对培育该行业的兴趣也在增加。因此,区域信息通信技术服务业的发展速度已成为区域产业政策的重要指标。然而,在比较地区间工业增长时,常规指标受到初始规模的影响,难以评估一个地区的增长是否相对高于其他地区。为了解决这一限制,本研究提出了一种无规模转移份额分析(SSA),并将该方法应用于韩国ICT服务数据。分析结果表明,虽然信息通信技术(ICT)服务业在数量上确实集中在首尔等首都地区,但根据初始规模进行调整后发现,许多非首都地区的ICT服务增长速度超过了首都地区。
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引用次数: 0
How the Digital Economy Reshaped the Economic Geography: Evidence From 284 Cities in China 数字经济如何重塑经济地理:来自中国284个城市的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70061
Bianjiang Ma, Qing Wang, Zhangqi Zhong

China exhibits notable regional disparities, with inland cities generally trailing behind their coastal counterparts—a gap strongly linked to their distance to core ports. Drawing on data from 284 prefecture-level and higher cities, this study provides evidence that the digital economy significantly alleviates the geographical disadvantage faced by inland cities remote from core ports. Inland cities boasting a robust digital economy have narrowed the per capita GDP gap with coastal cities. Mechanistically, the digital economy weakens the correlation between trade costs and geographical distance, expands the import-export volumes of inland cities, attracts more foreign direct investment, and enables them to reap the benefits of agglomeration effects. This research provides a novel perspective for coordinating regional development in the digital era.

中国表现出明显的地区差异,内陆城市普遍落后于沿海城市,这种差距与它们与核心港口的距离密切相关。利用284个地级市及以上城市的数据,本研究提供了证据,证明数字经济显著缓解了远离核心港口的内陆城市所面临的地理劣势。数字经济蓬勃发展的内陆城市缩小了与沿海城市的人均GDP差距。在机制上,数字经济削弱了贸易成本与地理距离的相关性,扩大了内陆城市的进出口规模,吸引了更多的外国直接投资,使其能够获得集聚效应的好处。该研究为数字时代区域协调发展提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Local Government Proliferation and Fiscal Efficiency: Evidence From Ghana 地方政府扩张与财政效率:来自加纳的证据
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70058
Zurikanen Iddrisu, Abdul-Salam Jahanfo Abdulai, Erfan Kefayat, Mandela Gadri

In many active decentralized nations in the developing world, the number of sub-national administrative units has continued to increase over the past few decades. In most cases, this churning of more decentralized units does not go without contestation, with critics arguing that they are not done in the true spirit of decentralization but rather a political gesture to palliate constituents and increase popularity among seemingly under-represented groups. Even though studies have attempted to study the impacts of proliferation, we observe a huge swing toward the newly created administrative units, with few studies dedicated to the impacts of proliferation on the parent unit from which the split occurred. In this study, we look at the impact of splitting of districts on the Internal Revenue Generation performance of the parent district (split from) in Ghana. Using year-on-year inflation-adjusted Internally Generated Fund (IGF) for the period 2014–2022, we employed a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) research design, which was operationalized as an Ordinary Least Squares model with robust standard errors. The results show that holding other factors constant, the splitting of the districts in 2018 resulted in an increase in internal revenue generation performance (p < 0.05). We argue that the desire to meet pre-split revenue targets is among the key driving factors. Our results challenge existing notions that administrative unit proliferation is an entirely political activity with no positive recourse to the fiscal potential of the parent unit. Given that this study is only the first in the Ghanaian context, we believe deeply contextual studies are further needed to enhance understanding of the factors that could underline revenue improvements.

在发展中世界许多积极实行权力下放的国家,地方行政单位的数量在过去几十年中不断增加。在大多数情况下,这种更加分散的单位并非没有争议,批评人士认为,这样做并不是出于真正的分散精神,而是一种政治姿态,旨在缓和选民的情绪,并在看似代表性不足的群体中增加人气。尽管有研究试图研究扩散的影响,但我们观察到新创建的行政单位出现了巨大的转变,很少有研究专门研究扩散对分裂的母单位的影响。在本研究中,我们着眼于地区分裂对加纳母区(从)的国内收入产生绩效的影响。使用2014-2022年期间经通货膨胀调整的年度内部生成基金(IGF),我们采用了差分中的差分(DiD)研究设计,并将其作为具有稳健标准误差的普通最小二乘模型进行操作。结果显示,在保持其他因素不变的情况下,2018年地区划分导致内部创收绩效增加(p < 0.05)。我们认为,实现分拆前收入目标的愿望是关键驱动因素之一。我们的研究结果挑战了现有的观念,即行政单位的扩散完全是一种政治活动,对母单位的财政潜力没有积极的求助。鉴于这项研究只是加纳背景下的第一个研究,我们认为需要进一步深入的背景研究,以加强对可能强调收入改善的因素的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Regional Economic Resilience: The Cases of Brazil, Chile and Colombia 区域经济弹性:巴西、智利和哥伦比亚的案例
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70060
Cristian Delgado-Bello, Andres Maroto, Miguel Atienza

This article analyses regional economic resilience from different perspectives and examines its relationship with regional dynamics and disparities. The labor markets of the regions of Brazil, Chile and Colombia were analyzed in the context of one of the most significant global recessionary shocks for South America, the Asian crisis. The study uses cycle dating methodology and a dynamic algorithm for the endogenous identification of structural breaks. The least resilient regions, according to different approaches, were concentrated in Chile and Colombia. These regions experienced prolonged recovery phases, which in some cases led to structural breaks and amplified regional disparities.

本文从不同角度分析了区域经济弹性,并考察了其与区域动态和差异的关系。在亚洲金融危机这一南美洲最严重的全球经济衰退冲击背景下,对巴西、智利和哥伦比亚地区的劳动力市场进行了分析。该研究使用周期定年方法和动态算法进行结构断裂的内生识别。根据不同的方法,恢复力最低的地区集中在智利和哥伦比亚。这些地区经历了漫长的恢复阶段,在某些情况下导致结构性断裂,扩大了区域差距。
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引用次数: 0
Land Use Transition and City Desirability: Case Study of Cache County Over Two Decades 土地利用转型与城市宜居性——以Cache县20多年为例
IF 2.1 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70057
Megh Bahadur KC

This study analyzes two decades of land use changes in Cache County, Utah, focusing on the shift from agricultural land to urban areas using publicly available National Land Cover database, demographic and parcel datasets. Through GIS-based change detection, raster image analysis and integration of population and employment statistics, we reveal varying urbanization insights across selected municipalities. We introduced a development index, combining land transition, population growth and employment prospects, to assess the desirability of cities. Results highlight that housing demand from population increase does not hold a direct linear relationship to farmland conversion and supports urban densification. Smithfield was identified as the regional development hotspot in Cache County. The study highlights the need for proactive land use planning to balance growth with farmland preservation and demonstrates a replicable GIS-based approach for monitoring urbanization. Our findings offer valuable insights for regional urban planners and policymakers aiming for sustainable growth and informed land use decisions.

本研究分析了犹他州卡什县20年来的土地利用变化,重点关注从农业用地到城市地区的转变,使用了公开的国家土地覆盖数据库、人口统计和地块数据集。通过基于gis的变化检测、光栅图像分析以及人口和就业统计数据的整合,我们揭示了选定城市不同的城市化见解。我们引入了一个综合土地转型、人口增长和就业前景的发展指数,以评估城市的可取性。结果表明,人口增长带来的住房需求与耕地非农化不存在直接的线性关系,支持城市密度化。史密斯菲尔德被确定为卡什县的区域发展热点。该研究强调了积极的土地利用规划的必要性,以平衡增长与农田保护,并展示了一种可复制的基于gis的城市化监测方法。我们的研究结果为旨在实现可持续增长和明智的土地利用决策的区域城市规划者和政策制定者提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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