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Factors affecting the green economy: the mediating role of foreign direct investment 影响绿色经济的因素:外国直接投资的中介作用
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1108/jes-01-2024-0012
Mahadi Hasan Miraz, Tiffany Sing Mei Soo

Purpose

The objective of this study is to examine the various factors that exert an influence on the green economy. This study also investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the Malaysian economy, specifically focusing on its position as a mediator. This research also examines the correlation between FDI and its influence on the contemporary green economy.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors employed quantitative methodologies and a self-administered survey to evaluate data and derive a definitive conclusion. The result was constructed using SPSS and SEM-PLS as the analytical software.

Findings

The study reveals that technological advancement, investment country and government policy significantly and positively affect the green economy, catalyse SDG goals and restructure the economy in better shape.

Originality/value

The current empirical research bridges the research gap in the context of technology advancement in government policy from emerging economies by exploring important factors, proposing their impact on the performance of the green economy, and empirically testing those hypothesized relationships. This study deciphers that FDI influences the green economy, where the investment country plays a significant role. Also, for a graphical presentation of this abstract, see the online appendix.

目的 本研究旨在探讨影响绿色经济的各种因素。本研究还探讨了外国直接投资(FDI)对马来西亚经济的影响,特别关注其作为中介的地位。本研究还探讨了外国直接投资与其对当代绿色经济影响之间的相关性。作者采用定量方法和自填式调查来评估数据并得出明确结论。研究结果本研究揭示了技术进步、投资国和政府政策对绿色经济、可持续发展目标(SDG)目标和经济结构调整具有显著的积极影响。本研究揭示了外国直接投资对绿色经济的影响,其中投资国发挥着重要作用。此外,有关本摘要的图表展示,请参见在线附录。
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引用次数: 0
Does government spending cointegrate with bank lending? Evidence from Eurozone panel data 政府支出与银行贷款是否存在协整关系?来自欧元区面板数据的证据
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0733
Eleni Dalla, Stephanos Papadamou, Erotokritos Varelas, Athanasios Argyropoulos

Purpose

Our purpose is the examination of the effects of fiscal policy on private lending for the Eurozone countries. The emphasis is on the identification of the time path of government spending and bank lending.

Design/methodology/approach

Fiscal policy is a main factor of macroeconomic stability for the euro area economy. This paper, investigates the impact of government spending on bank lending. For this reason, we present a dynamic theoretical model with a perfectly competitive banking sector, estimated using panel cointegration for the Eurozone countries from 2000Q1 to 2022Q2.

Findings

Our findings highlight that, in the long run, consistent management of government spending can have a beneficial multiplicative impact on bank lending for housing and business reasons. This finding is stronger in magnitude for business versus housing lending. The high level of homogeneity of our results across Eurozone countries has positive implications for a common fiscal policy in the future. Finally, authorities should know that policy adjustments are quicker in housing lending when compared to business lending.

Originality/value

In this paper, we contribute to the existing literature, concentrating on the investigation of any existence of long-run and short-run relationships between government spending and bank lending. Additionally, our analysis allows one to investigate the contribution of each Eurozone member state in the short-run and long-run model’s dynamics, providing significant outcomes for the implementation of economic policy and the need for fiscal discipline in the Eurozone.

目的我们的目的是研究欧元区国家的财政政策对私人借贷的影响。设计/方法/途径财政政策是欧元区宏观经济稳定的主要因素。本文研究了政府支出对银行贷款的影响。为此,我们提出了一个具有完全竞争银行业的动态理论模型,并利用面板协整对欧元区国家 2000Q1 至 2022Q2 的情况进行了估计。研究结果我们的研究结果突出表明,从长期来看,政府支出的持续管理会对银行的住房和商业贷款产生有益的乘数影响。与住房贷款相比,商业贷款的影响更大。我们在欧元区各国得出的结果具有高度的同质性,这对未来制定共同的财政政策具有积极意义。最后,有关当局应该知道,与商业贷款相比,住房贷款的政策调整速度更快。 原创性/价值本文是对现有文献的贡献,重点研究了政府支出与银行贷款之间是否存在长期和短期关系。此外,通过我们的分析,可以研究欧元区各成员国在短期和长期模型动态中的贡献,为欧元区经济政策的实施和财政纪律的必要性提供重要成果。
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引用次数: 0
A study on comparison of economic and scientific performances of BRICS countries 关于金砖国家经济和科技表现比较的研究
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0714
Hasan Tutar, Hakan Eryüzlü, Ahmet Tuncay Erdem, Teymur Sarkhanov

Purpose

This study investigates the correlation between economic development and scientific knowledge production indicators in the BRICS countries from 2000 to 2020, highlighting the importance of human resources, natural resources, and innovation. Addressing a gap in the existing literature, this study aims to contribute significantly to understanding this relationship.

Design/methodology/approach

Employing a descriptive statistical approach, this study utilizes GDP and per capita income as economic indicators and scientific data from WoS and SCOPUS databases, focusing on scientific document production and citations per document.

Findings

The analysis reveals a strong correlation between economic development and scientific performance within the BRICS nations during the specified period. It emphasizes the interdependence of economic progress and scientific prowess, underscoring that they cannot be considered independently.

Research limitations/implications

However, limitations exist, notably the reliance on specific databases that might not cover the entire scientific output and the inability to capture all factors influencing economic and scientific development.

Originality/value

Understanding this interdependence has crucial originality. Policymakers and stakeholders in BRICS countries can leverage these insights to prioritize investments in human capital development and scientific research. This approach can foster sustainable economic growth by reducing reliance on natural resources.

目的 本研究探讨了 2000 年至 2020 年金砖国家经济发展与科学知识生产指标之间的相关性,强调了人力资源、自然资源和创新的重要性。本研究采用描述性统计方法,将国内生产总值和人均收入作为经济指标,并利用 WoS 和 SCOPUS 数据库中的科学数据,重点研究科学文献的产量和每篇文献的引用情况。研究结果分析表明,在特定时期内,金砖国家的经济发展与科学绩效之间存在密切的相关性。研究局限性/影响然而,研究也存在局限性,特别是依赖于特定的数据库,可能无法涵盖全部科学产出,也无法捕捉影响经济和科学发展的所有因素。金砖国家的政策制定者和利益相关者可以利用这些见解,优先考虑对人力资本开发和科学研究的投资。这种方法可以减少对自然资源的依赖,从而促进可持续经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
From data to decisions: enhancing financial forecasts with LSTM for AI token prices 从数据到决策:用 LSTM 提高人工智能代币价格的金融预测能力
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1108/jes-01-2024-0022
Rizwan Ali, Jin Xu, Mushahid Hussain Baig, Hafiz Saif Ur Rehman, Muhammad Waqas Aslam, Kaleem Ullah Qasim

Purpose

This study aims to endeavour to decode artificial intelligence (AI)-based tokens' complex dynamics and predictability using a comprehensive multivariate framework that integrates technical and macroeconomic indicators.

Design/methodology/approach

In this study we used advance machine learning techniques, such as gradient boosting regression (GBR), random forest (RF) and notably long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, this research provides a nuanced understanding of the factors driving the performance of AI tokens. The study’s comparative analysis highlights the superior predictive capabilities of LSTM models, as evidenced by their performance across various AI digital tokens such as AGIX-singularity-NET, Cortex and numeraire NMR.

Findings

This study finding shows that through an intricate exploration of feature importance and the impact of speculative behaviour, the research elucidates the long-term patterns and resilience of AI-based tokens against economic shifts. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis results show that technical and some macroeconomic factors play a dominant role in price production. It also examines the potential of these models for strategic investment and hedging, underscoring their relevance in an increasingly digital economy.

Originality/value

According to our knowledge, the absence of AI research frameworks for forecasting and modelling current aria-leading AI tokens is apparent. Due to a lack of study on understanding the relationship between the AI token market and other factors, forecasting is outstandingly demanding. This study provides a robust predictive framework to accurately identify the changing trends of AI tokens within a multivariate context and fill the gaps in existing research. We can investigate detailed predictive analytics with the help of modern AI algorithms and correct model interpretation to elaborate on the behaviour patterns of developing decentralised digital AI-based token prices.

设计/方法/方法在本研究中,我们使用了先进的机器学习技术,如梯度提升回归(GBR)、随机森林(RF)和显著的长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,这项研究提供了对推动人工智能代币表现的因素的细微理解。该研究的比较分析凸显了 LSTM 模型的卓越预测能力,其在 AGIX-singularity-NET、Cortex 和 numeraire NMR 等各种人工智能数字代币中的表现也证明了这一点。该研究结果表明,通过对特征重要性和投机行为影响的深入探索,该研究阐明了人工智能代币的长期模式和抵御经济变化的能力。SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)分析结果表明,技术因素和一些宏观经济因素在价格产生中起着主导作用。它还研究了这些模型在战略投资和套期保值方面的潜力,强调了它们在日益数字化的经济中的相关性。原创性/价值据我们所知,目前显然缺乏用于预测和模拟当前领先人工智能代币的人工智能研究框架。由于缺乏对人工智能代币市场与其他因素之间关系的研究,预测的要求非常高。本研究提供了一个强大的预测框架,可在多元背景下准确识别人工智能代币的变化趋势,填补现有研究的空白。我们可以借助现代人工智能算法和正确的模型解释,研究详细的预测分析,阐述基于去中心化数字人工智能代币价格发展的行为模式。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond borders: investigating the impact of the 2023 Israeli–Palestinian conflict on global equity markets 超越边界:研究 2023 年以巴冲突对全球股市的影响
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-20 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0729
Priyanka Goyal, Pooja Soni
<h3>Purpose</h3><p>The present research study aims to explore the impact of the most recent Israeli–Palestinian conflict, which unfolded in October 2023, on global equity markets, including a wide range of both emerging and developed markets (as per the Morgan Stanley Capital Investment country classification).</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3><p>The market model of event study methodology, with an estimation window of 200 days and 28-day event window (including event day, i.e. October 7, 2023), has been employed to investigate the event’s impact on the stock markets of different countries, with 24 emerging countries and 23 developed countries. The daily closing prices of the prominent indices of all 47 countries have been analyzed to examine the impact of the conflict on emerging markets, developed markets and overall global equity markets. Additionally, cross-sectional regression analysis has been performed to investigate the possible explanations for abnormal returns.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Findings</h3><p>The findings of the study suggest the heterogeneous impact of the selected event on different markets. Notably, emerging markets and the overall global equity landscape exhibited substantial negative responses on the event day, as reflected in average abnormal returns of −0.47% and −0.397%, respectively. In contrast, developed markets displayed resilience, with no significant negative impact observed on the day of the event. A closer examination of individual countries revealed diverse reactions, with Poland, Egypt, Greece, Denmark and Portugal standing out for their positive or resilient market responses. Poland, in particular, demonstrated significantly positive cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) of 7.16% in the short-term and 8.59% in the long-term event windows (−7, +7 and −7, +20, respectively), emphasizing its robust performance amid the geopolitical turmoil. The study also found that, during various event windows, specific variables had a significant impact on the CARs.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Practical implications</h3><p>The study suggests diversification and monitoring of geopolitical risks are key strategies for investors to enhance portfolio resilience during the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. This study identifies countries such as Poland, Egypt, Greece, Denmark and Portugal with positive or resilient market reactions, providing practical insights for strategic investment decisions. Key takeaways include identifying resilient markets, leveraging opportunistic strategies and navigating market dynamics during geopolitical uncertainties.</p><!--/ Abstract__block --><h3>Originality/value</h3><p>As per the authors’ thorough investigation and review of the literature, the present study is the earliest attempt to explore the short-term and long-term impact of the 2023 Israeli–Palestinian conflict on equity markets worldwide using the event study approach and cross-sectional regres
本研究旨在探讨最近于 2023 年 10 月发生的以色列-巴勒斯坦冲突对全球股市的影响,包括新兴市场和发达市场(根据摩根士丹利资本投资公司的国家分类)。设计/方法/途径采用事件研究法的市场模型,以 200 天为估算窗口,28 天为事件窗口(包括事件日,即 2023 年 10 月 7 日),研究事件对不同国家(24 个新兴国家和 23 个发达国家)股票市场的影响。对所有 47 个国家的主要指数的每日收盘价进行了分析,以研究冲突对新兴市场、发达市场和全球整体股票市场的影响。此外,还进行了横截面回归分析,以研究异常回报的可能原因。研究结果研究结果表明,所选事件对不同市场的影响各不相同。值得注意的是,新兴市场和全球整体股票市场在事件发生当日表现出大幅负面反应,平均异常回报率分别为-0.47%和-0.397%。相比之下,发达市场表现出了韧性,在事件发生当天没有观察到明显的负面影响。对个别国家的仔细研究表明,这些国家的反应各不相同,其中波兰、埃及、希腊、丹麦和葡萄牙的市场反应积极或有弹性。尤其是波兰,在短期事件窗口(分别为-7,+7 和-7,+20)和长期事件窗口(分别为-7,+7 和-7,+20)中,累计异常回报率(CAR)分别达到 7.16% 和 8.59%,显示出其在地缘政治动荡中的强劲表现。研究还发现,在不同的事件窗口期,特定变量对资本充足率有显著影响。研究表明,在以巴冲突期间,分散投资和监控地缘政治风险是投资者增强投资组合弹性的关键策略。本研究确定了波兰、埃及、希腊、丹麦和葡萄牙等市场反应积极或有弹性的国家,为战略投资决策提供了实用的见解。主要启示包括识别弹性市场、利用机会主义策略以及在地缘政治不确定性期间驾驭市场动态。原创性/价值根据作者的深入调查和文献综述,本研究是利用事件研究方法和横截面回归分析探讨 2023 年以巴冲突对全球股市的短期和长期影响的最早尝试。
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引用次数: 0
The parental role in intergenerational educational persistence: an empirical investigation with cross-country panel data 父母在代际教育持续性中的作用:利用跨国面板数据进行的实证调查
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1108/jes-05-2023-0246
Francesco Salomone Marino, Maria Berrittella

Purpose

The main aim of this study is to investigate the role of fathers and mothers in the intergenerational educational persistence for sons and daughters under two dimensions that characterize the clusters of countries: redistributive policy and governance.

Design/methodology/approach

Data from the Global Database of Intergenerational Mobility (GDIM), hierarchical cluster analysis on principal components and panel regression are used in this study to estimate intergenerational educational correlation and to investigate its determinants related to the parents’ and descendants’ education variables in 93 countries grouped in four clusters. The empirical analysis is differentiated by gender combinations of parents and descendants.

Findings

In the clusters of countries characterized by high inequalities and poor governance, our findings show that the role of the fathers is stronger than that of the mothers in educational transmission; fathers and mothers are more influential for the daughters rather than for the sons; parental educational privilege is the main driver of intergenerational educational persistence; there is an inverse U-curve in the association between educational inequality of the parents and educational correlation for the sons. Differently, in the countries characterized by high income, low redistributive conflict and better governance, the role of the mothers is stronger and education mobility for the daughters is higher than that for the sons.

Social implications

The authors’ results remark on the importance of social welfare policies aimed to expand a meritocratic public education system including schooling transfers for lower social class students and narrowing the gender gap in educational mobility between daughters and sons. Social welfare policies should also be oriented to spread high quality child care systems that help to foster greater women equality in the labor market, because the strength of educational persistence depends on the position of the mother in the economic hierarchy.

Originality/value

The distinctiveness of the paper can be found in the fact that this study investigates the parental role differentiating by gender and coupling hierarchical cluster analysis on principal components with panel regression models. This allows us to have a sample of 93 countries aggregated in four groups defined in two dimensions: redistributive policy and governance. Amongst the determinants of educational transmission, we consider not only education’s years of the parents but also other determinants, such as educational inequality and privilege of the parents. We also identify the effects of investment in human capital and educational inequalities for the descendants on education mobility.

目的 本研究的主要目的是调查父亲和母亲在再分配政策和治理这两个国家集群特征的维度下,在儿子和女儿的代际教育持续性方面所起的作用。本研究利用代际流动全球数据库(GDIM)的数据、主成分分层聚类分析和面板回归来估算代际教育相关性,并研究其与父母和后代教育变量相关的决定因素,这些变量分布在分为四个组群的 93 个国家中。在以不平等程度高和治理不善为特征的国家组中,我们的研究结果显示,父亲在教育传承中的作用强于母亲;父亲和母亲对女儿的影响大于对儿子的影响;父母的教育特权是代际教育持续性的主要驱动力;父母的教育不平等与儿子的教育相关性之间存在反 U 型曲线。与此不同的是,在收入高、再分配冲突少和治理较好的国家,母亲的作用更大,女儿的教育流动性高于儿子。社会福利政策还应以推广高质量的儿童保育系统为导向,这有助于促进妇女在劳动力市场中的更大平等,因为教育持续性的强弱取决于母亲在经济等级中的地位。 原创性/价值 本文的独特之处在于,本研究调查了父母在不同性别中的角色,并将主成分分层聚类分析与面板回归模型相结合。这样,我们就有了一个 93 个国家的样本,这些国家按再分配政策和治理两个维度分为四组。在教育传承的决定因素中,我们不仅考虑了父母的受教育年限,还考虑了其他决定因素,如教育不平等和父母的特权。我们还确定了人力资本投资和后代教育不平等对教育流动性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Networks, ownership and productivity does firm age play a moderating role? 网络、所有权和生产率 企业年龄是否起调节作用?
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1108/jes-10-2023-0547
Francesco Aiello, Paola Cardamone, Lidia Mannarino, Valeria Pupo

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to investigate whether and how inter-firm cooperation and firm age moderate the relationship between family ownership and productivity.

Design/methodology/approach

We first estimate the total factor productivity (TFP) of a large sample of Italian firms observed over the period 2010–2018 and then apply a Poisson random effects model.

Findings

TFP is, on average, higher for non-family firms (non-FFs) than for FF. Furthermore, inter-organizational cooperation and firm age mitigate the negative effect of family ownership. In detail, it is found that belonging to a network acts as a moderator in different ways according to firm age. Indeed, young FFs underperform non-FF peers, although the TFP gap decreases with age. In contrast, the benefits of a formal network are high for older FFs, suggesting that an age-related learning process is at work.

Practical implications

The study provides evidence that FFs can outperform non-FFs when they move away from Socio-Emotional Wealth-centered reference points and exploit knowledge flows arising from high levels of social capital. In the case of mature FFs, networking is a driver of TFP, allowing them to acquire external resources. Since FFs often do not have sufficient in-house knowledge and resources, they must be aware of the value of business cooperation. While preserving the familiar identity of small companies, networks grant FFs the competitive and scale advantages of being large.

Originality/value

Despite the wide but ambiguous body of research on the performance gap between FFs and non-FFs, little is known about the role of FFs’ heterogeneity. This study has proven successful in detecting age as a factor in heterogeneity, specifically to explain the network effect on the link between ownership and TFP. Based on a representative sample, the study provides a solid framework for FFs, policymakers and academic research on family-owned companies.

本研究旨在探讨企业间合作和企业年龄是否以及如何缓和家族所有权与生产率之间的关系。我们首先估算了 2010-2018 年期间观察到的大量意大利企业样本的全要素生产率(TFP),然后应用泊松随机效应模型进行分析。此外,组织间合作和公司年龄也减轻了家族所有权的负面影响。具体而言,研究发现,企业年龄不同,其网络归属的调节作用也不同。事实上,尽管全要素生产率的差距随着年龄的增长而缩小,但年轻的家族所有制企业的表现不如非家族所有制企业。这项研究提供的证据表明,当外商投资企业摆脱以社会情感财富为中心的参照点,并利用高水平社会资本带来的知识流动时,它们的表现会优于非外商投资企业。就成熟的外商投资企业而言,网络是全要素生产率的推动力,使它们能够获得外部资源。由于外商投资企业往往没有足够的内部知识和资源,它们必须意识到商业合作的价值。尽管关于外商直接投资企业与非外商直接投资企业之间绩效差距的研究很多,但含糊不清,人们对外商直接投资企业异质性的作用知之甚少。事实证明,本研究成功地发现了年龄这一异质性因素,特别是解释了所有权与全要素生产率之间联系的网络效应。基于代表性样本,该研究为家族企业、政策制定者和家族企业学术研究提供了一个坚实的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Does the inflow of remittances diminish unemployment? The role of political stability in MENA countries 汇款流入会减少失业吗?中东和北非国家政治稳定的作用
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1108/jes-08-2023-0453
Khaled Elorabi, Suryati Ishak, Mohamed Maher

Purpose

Previous literature has investigated the connection amongst remittances, political stability and unemployment in remittance-receiving economies separately. Besides, they did not cover the Middle East and North African (MENA) region.

Design/methodology/approach

To this end, this research uses the pooled mean group (PMG) method.

Findings

The findings suggest that the influence of remittances on lowering unemployment accelerates in recipient economies with high levels of political stability.

Practical implications

Policymakers in MENA countries should vigorously pursue political stability, which plays a crucial role in boosting the influence of inward remittances on unemployment alleviation. This is accomplished by establishing solid institutions that contribute to ensuring fair politics, increasing citizens' trust in the government, enhancing the rule of law and protecting investors and prioritizing policies and programs that promote political stability.

Originality/value

This paper, therefore, aspires to empirically examine the impacts of inward remittances on unemployment via the moderating role of political stability in thirteen MENA-receiving countries from 1996 to 2020.

目的以往的文献分别研究了汇款经济体的汇款、政治稳定和失业之间的联系。研究结果研究结果表明,在政治高度稳定的收汇经济体中,侨汇对降低失业率的影响加快。因此,本文希望通过实证研究 1996 年至 2020 年间 13 个中东和北非接收国的政治稳定对失业率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A three-period extension of the CAPM CAPM 的三期扩展
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0640
Helga Habis

Purpose

Our result of this paper aims to indicate that the beta pricing formula could be applied in a long-term model setting as well.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, we show that the capital asset pricing model can be derived from a three-period general equilibrium model.

Findings

We show that our extended model yields a Pareto efficient outcome.

Practical implications

The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) model can be used for pricing long-lived assets.

Social implications

Long-term modelling and sustainability can be modelled in our setting.

Originality/value

Our results were only known for two periods. The extension to 3 periods opens up a large scope of applicational possibilities in asset pricing, behavioural analysis and long-term efficiency.

设计/方法/途径本文表明,资本资产定价模型可以从三期一般均衡模型中推导出来。实际意义资本资产定价模型(CAPM)可用于为长期资产定价。社会意义长期建模和可持续性可在我们的设置中建模。我们的结果只适用于两个时期,而扩展到三个时期则为资产定价、行为分析和长期效率的应用开辟了广阔的空间。
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引用次数: 0
Tourist perceptions of health-safety risks in a time of pandemic 大流行病时期游客对健康安全风险的看法
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1108/jes-09-2023-0506
Chiara Dalle Nogare, Raffaele Scuderi

Purpose

The COVID-19 pandemic has induced tourism destinations to reconsider organisational aspects related to health safety measures, as perceptions of health safety may have become particularly important for tourists. Using data from summer 2020, the period immediately after the outbreak of the pandemic, we investigate the factors that affected tourist perceptions of health safety.

Design/methodology/approach

Data come from a survey of tourist-card holders in Trentino, an Italian mountain destination. Through regressions, we assess the conditional correlation between health safety measure evaluations following a holiday and a set of covariates related to the features of the tourist area and the tourists themselves, as well as COVID-19 incidence in their province of residence in the months before the holiday.

Findings

Tourist-related features seem not to impact on perceived health safety, whereas some destination- and accommodation-related elements do. In particular, the number of tourist beds affects it negatively, and staying at a hotel does it in a positive way. COVID-19 incidence in one’s home province does not affect perceptions of health safety measures, which suggests a possible sample selection effect and/or the need for more fine-grained data.

Originality/value

This paper is one of the few on the immediate effects of the COVID-19 pandemic using data from a large sample of actual tourists. Our findings point out the importance of the intrinsic features of some places and accommodation in influencing perceptions of safety. We discuss implications for scholars and destination managers.

目的 COVID-19大流行促使旅游目的地重新考虑与健康安全措施相关的组织方面,因为健康安全感对游客来说可能变得尤为重要。我们利用 2020 年夏季(即大流行病爆发后不久)的数据,对影响游客健康安全感的因素进行了调查。通过回归分析,我们评估了游客度假后对健康安全措施的评价与一组协变量之间的条件相关性,这些协变量与旅游区的特征、游客本身以及度假前几个月居住省份的 COVID-19 发生率有关。特别是,旅游床位的数量对健康安全感有负面影响,而住在酒店则有正面影响。本省的 COVID-19 发生率并不影响人们对健康安全措施的看法,这表明可能存在样本选择效应和/或需要更精细的数据。我们的研究结果表明,一些地方和住宿的固有特征对安全感的影响非常重要。我们讨论了对学者和目的地管理者的启示。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES
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