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Does education promote risk-taking? Evidence from Vietnam 教育是否促进冒险?越南的证据
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0656
Dai Binh Tran, Hanh Thi My Tran

Purpose

This study examines the impact of schooling on risk perceptions and the moderation role of a non-cognitive skill, locus of control.

Design/methodology/approach

Using information from the Thailand Vietnam Socio Economic Panel data set, the study employs Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) to address the potential endogeneity problem of the schooling variable.

Findings

The findings indicate that a higher level of willingness to take risks is correlated with additional schooling years. In other words, those with higher levels of education are more prone to take more risks. The result demonstrates that the association between education and risk attitudes is moderated by locus of control.

Originality/value

This study contributes to the growing literature on education in emerging countries by addressing the endogeneity problem of schooling variables using the GMM method. Moreover, this study examines the mediating role of personal non-cognitive skills, namely locus of control, in the relationship between education and risk attitudes.

本研究探讨了学校教育对风险认知的影响,以及非认知技能--控制点--的调节作用。本研究利用泰国越南社会经济面板数据集的信息,采用广义矩方法(GMM)来解决学校教育变量的潜在内生性问题。换句话说,受教育程度越高的人越愿意承担更多风险。本研究利用 GMM 方法解决了学校教育变量的内生性问题,为有关新兴国家教育的日益增多的文献做出了贡献。此外,本研究还探讨了个人非认知技能(即控制力)在教育与风险态度之间关系中的中介作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the determinants of human development in OECD economies: evidence from labor productivity and investment decisions 评估经合组织经济体人类发展的决定因素:来自劳动生产率和投资决策的证据
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1108/jes-10-2023-0596
Olawale Daniel Akinyele

Purpose

Development has been a long-age phenomenon from the millennium to sustainability. This is because the new millennium ushered in the episode of development in the global economy from the role of inputs to the role of productivity and knowledge. Thus, understanding the forefront of initiatives to develop better policies for better lives and to find fact-based answers to social, economic, and environmental problems becomes unavoidable.

Design/methodology/approach

The study therefore assesses the impact of labor productivity and investment decisions on human development. A modified production theory was adopted for OECD economies. To address the problem of endogeneity and cross-sectional dependence, a two-step system generalized method of moments, Driscoll–Kraay estimator, and Panel Corrected Standard Error were used.

Findings

The findings reveal that the impact of labor productivity on human development differs significantly from the impact of investment decisions. The result shows that investment decisions will have a positive impact on human development when there is an insignificant capital fixed formation to boost the productivity of OECD economies. Further, the result shows that the organization governments through the provision of social security and essential services have a positive impact on the OECD human development.

Originality/value

This study has contributed significantly to assessing the drivers of human development within the purview of labor productivity, investment decisions and government expenditure in OECD countries.

目的从千年到可持续性,发展是一个长期的现象。这是因为在新千年,全球经济中的发展从投入的作用转向了生产力和知识的作用。因此,了解为改善生活而制定更好政策的前沿举措,以及为社会、经济和环境问题找到基于事实的答案变得不可避免。经合组织经济体采用了修正的生产理论。为解决内生性和横截面依赖性问题,使用了两步系统广义矩法、Driscoll-Kraay 估计器和面板校正标准误差。研究结果研究结果表明,劳动生产率对人类发展的影响与投资决策的影响存在显著差异。结果显示,当经合组织经济体的固定资本形成对提高生产率的作用不显著时,投资决策将对人类发展产生积极影响。此外,研究结果表明,组织政府通过提供社会保障和基本服务对经合组织的人类发展具有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable investing in extreme market conditions: doing well while doing good 极端市场条件下的可持续投资:在做好事的同时做好人
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0626
Abbas Valadkhani, Barry O'Mahony
PurposeThe aim of this study is to identify environmental, social and governance (ESG)-focused funds that can effectively uphold ethical principles while also delivering competitive financial returns by evaluating the performance of 24 well-established exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The study also compares the performance of four widely recognized ETFs representing NASDAQ (ticker: QQQ), S&P500 (SPY), Dow Jones (DIA) and Russell 2000 (IWM) with the sample of 24 ESG funds.Design/methodology/approachThis paper utilizes four complementary measures, namely Sharpe, Sortino, Omega and Calmar ratios, to assess the risk-adjusted return performance of ETFs, with a particular emphasis on extreme downside risk.FindingsThe findings indicate that ESG-focused ETFs can predominantly outperform DIA and IWM in the last five years (1 November 2018–22 March 2023). However, when compared to QQQ and SPY, only ICLN, SUSA and DSI consistently delivered competitive risk-adjusted returns. The performance of DSI and SUSA is almost equivalent to QQQ and SPY even during the last ten years.Practical implicationsThe paper conducts a risk-return analysis of alternative ESG investment funds, suggesting that not all ETFs are created equal and that careful selection is vital for achieving different investment objectives. It is imperative to recognize that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future outcomes, requiring consideration of other factors in the post-evaluation phase.Social implicationsThe study provides evidence to support the “doing well while doing good” hypothesis, indicating that competitive returns are achievable while also engaging in socially responsible investment.Originality/valueThis study fills a vital gap in the literature on ESG investment by highlighting that the choice of funds stands as the primary factor responsible for the conflicting findings by previous studies.
本研究的目的是通过评估 24 种成熟的交易所交易基金(ETF)的表现,找出既能有效坚持道德原则,又能提供有竞争力的财务回报的以环境、社会和治理(ESG)为重点的基金。研究还将纳斯达克(股票代码:QQQ)、标准普尔 500 指数(SPY)、道琼斯指数(DIA)和罗素 2000 指数(IWM)这四种广受认可的 ETF 的表现与 24 种 ESG 基金的样本进行了比较。研究结果研究结果表明,在过去五年(2018 年 11 月 1 日至 2023 年 3 月 22 日)中,ESG 基金的表现主要优于 DIA 和 IWM。然而,与QQQ和SPY相比,只有ICLN、SUSA和DSI持续提供有竞争力的风险调整回报。即使在过去十年中,DSI 和 SUSA 的表现也几乎与 QQQ 和 SPY 相当。本文对另类 ESG 投资基金进行了风险收益分析,指出并非所有 ETF 都是相同的,谨慎选择对于实现不同的投资目标至关重要。必须认识到,过去的业绩并不是未来结果的可靠指标,需要在后评估阶段考虑其他因素。社会意义该研究提供了支持 "做好事的同时做好事 "假设的证据,表明在参与社会责任投资的同时,也可以获得有竞争力的回报。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the basics: mapping the inflation response to fiscal deficit in India with smooth transition autoregressive model 超越基本原理:利用平滑过渡自回归模型绘制印度通货膨胀对财政赤字的响应图
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0664
Asif Tariq, Shahid Bashir, Aadil Amin
PurposeIndia’s historical fiscal performance has featured elevated deficit levels. Driven by the imperative need for fiscal stimulus measures in response to the crisis, efforts toward fiscal consolidation from 2003 to 2008 were reversed in 2008–2009 due to the financial crisis. These stimulus actions are believed to have wielded a notable influence on inflation dynamics. Presumably, a high inflation rate hinders growth and inflicts severe welfare costs. Accordingly, the principal objective of this paper is to scrutinise the threshold effects of fiscal deficit on inflation within the context of the Indian economy.Design/methodology/approachWe employed the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) Model, a robust tool for capturing non-linear relationships, to discern the specific threshold level of fiscal deficit. Our analysis encompasses annual data spanning from 1971 to 2020. Additionally, we have leveraged the Toda-Yamamoto causality test to establish the existence and direction of a causal connection between fiscal deficit and inflation in the Indian economy.FindingsOur analysis pinpointed a critical threshold level of 3.40% for fiscal deficit, a value beyond which inflation dynamics in India undergo a marked transition, signifying the presence of significant non-linear effects. Moreover, the results derived from the Toda-Yamamoto causality test offer substantiating evidence of a causal relationship originating from the fiscal deficit and leading to inflation within the Indian economic framework.Research limitations/implicationsThe findings of our study carry significant implications, particularly for the formulation and execution of both fiscal and monetary policies. Understanding the threshold effects of fiscal deficit on inflation in India provides policymakers with valuable insights into achieving a harmonious balance between these two critical economic variables.Originality/valueTo the best of our knowledge, this study is the first of its kind to empirically investigate threshold effects of fiscal deficit on inflation in India from a non-linear perspective using the Smooth Transition Autoregression (STAR) model.
目的印度历史上的财政表现以赤字水平较高为特点。在为应对危机而采取财政刺激措施的迫切需要的推动下,2003 年至 2008 年期间的财政整顿努力在 2008-2009 年期间因金融危机而发生逆转。据信,这些刺激行动对通货膨胀动态产生了显著影响。据推测,高通胀率会阻碍经济增长,并造成严重的福利损失。因此,本文的主要目的是在印度经济的背景下仔细研究财政赤字对通货膨胀的临界效应。我们采用了平滑过渡自回归模型(STAR)--一种捕捉非线性关系的可靠工具--来识别财政赤字的具体临界水平。我们的分析涵盖 1971 年至 2020 年的年度数据。此外,我们还利用 Toda-Yamamoto 因果检验来确定印度经济中财政赤字与通货膨胀之间是否存在因果关系以及因果关系的方向。研究结果我们的分析确定了财政赤字的临界水平为 3.40%,超过这一数值,印度的通货膨胀动态会发生明显的转变,这表明存在显著的非线性效应。此外,Toda-Yamamoto 因果检验的结果提供了确凿证据,证明在印度经济框架内,财政赤字与通货膨胀之间存在因果关系。了解财政赤字对印度通货膨胀的临界效应为政策制定者在这两个关键经济变量之间实现和谐平衡提供了宝贵的见解。原创性/价值据我们所知,本研究是首次使用平滑过渡自回归(STAR)模型,从非线性角度对财政赤字对印度通货膨胀的临界效应进行实证研究。
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引用次数: 0
Ethnic minorities and income inequality: the Albanian community in Italy 少数族裔与收入不平等:意大利的阿尔巴尼亚社区
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1108/jes-01-2024-0014
Lucia Errico, Andrea Mosca, Sandro Rondinella
PurposeThis study explores whether ethnic minorities exhibit varying levels of income inequality compared to the host population.Design/methodology/approachThe research leverages a unique immigration event in Italy, specifically the settlement of multiple Albanian groups in southern Italy during the 16th century. This historical occurrence enables an investigation into the role of cultural traits in income inequality, as these groups are situated in the same geographical region and often share borders.FindingsThe results, which remain consistent after undergoing various robustness checks, indicate that Albanian villages, while still preserving their identity and tradition, tend to experience an approximately 2% lower level of income concentration compared to similar Italian municipalities.Originality/valueOur findings aim to provide supporting evidence for future policy considerations regarding the long-term impact of immigration on income inequality.
目的本研究探讨了与东道国人口相比,少数民族是否表现出不同程度的收入不平等。研究利用了意大利独特的移民事件,特别是 16 世纪多个阿尔巴尼亚群体在意大利南部定居的事件。由于这些群体位于同一地理区域,且经常共享边界,因此这一历史事件有助于调查文化特征在收入不平等中的作用。研究结果经过各种稳健性检验后,结果保持一致,表明阿尔巴尼亚村庄虽然仍保留着自己的身份和传统,但其收入集中程度往往比类似的意大利城市低约 2%。
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引用次数: 0
Is cryptocurrency a new digital gold? Evidence from the macroeconomic shocks in selected emerging economies 加密货币是新的数字黄金吗?部分新兴经济体宏观经济冲击的证据
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1108/jes-08-2023-0410
S. Majumder
PurposeThe purpose of the study is to analyze the hedging abilities of the cryptocurrencies vis-à-vis gold against macroeconomic shocks in four emerging economies, India, China, Brazil and Russia.Design/methodology/approachUsing the monthly data from January 2013 to April 2023, the paper analyses the response of Cryptocurrencies vis-à-vis gold prices to three different macroeconomic shocks, namely, the economic policy uncertainty shock, the financial uncertainty shock and the inflation shock, within a VAR framework with the help of the Generalized Impulse Response Function.FindingsBoth gold and cryptocurrencies have limited hedging abilities against macroeconomic shocks across countries. In India, bitcoin has become the new digital gold, while in China, it is not bitcoin but rather gold that retains its hedging abilities. Neither bitcoin nor gold, Binance Coin or Cardano, are found to be the new digital gold in Brazil and Russia.Originality/valueThe paper compares the top nine cryptocurrencies with the traditional asset gold in terms of their hedging potential against macroeconomic shocks in emerging countries.
目的本研究旨在分析印度、中国、巴西和俄罗斯四个新兴经济体的加密货币相对于黄金对宏观经济冲击的对冲能力。设计/方法/途径本文利用 2013 年 1 月至 2023 年 4 月的月度数据,在广义脉冲响应函数(Generalized Impulse Response Function)的帮助下,在 VAR 框架内分析了加密货币相对于黄金价格对三种不同宏观经济冲击(即经济政策不确定性冲击、金融不确定性冲击和通货膨胀冲击)的响应。在印度,比特币已成为新的数字黄金,而在中国,保持对冲能力的不是比特币,而是黄金。在巴西和俄罗斯,无论是比特币还是黄金、Binance Coin 或 Cardano,都没有成为新的数字黄金。 原创性/价值 本文比较了九大加密货币与传统资产黄金在新兴国家对冲宏观经济冲击的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
How do financial inclusion and bank stability explain agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa? 金融包容性和银行稳定性如何解释撒哈拉以南非洲的农业生产力?
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1108/jes-09-2023-0526
Isaac Kofi Bekoe, Joshua Abor, Samuel Sekyi

Purpose

This study aims to examine the impact of financial inclusion and bank stability on agricultural productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

Design/methodology/approach

The study used 38 countries in the SSA with data spanning between 2004 and 2021. The data were analyzed using the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) and the panel-corrected standard error (PCSE) model.

Findings

The study found a positive effect of financial inclusion and bank stability on agricultural productivity. The study also discovered that while the access component of financial inclusion has a negative influence on agricultural productivity, the usage dimension has a positive impact.

Research limitations/implications

The study suggests to policymakers that an inclusive and stable financial system improves agricultural productivity. The findings recommend that policymakers should empower farmers to leverage financial inclusion.

Originality/value

This study provides insightful discussion on the impact of financial inclusion and its various dimensions and bank stability on agricultural productivity in SSA.

目的本研究旨在探讨金融包容性和银行稳定性对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)农业生产率的影响。研究结果研究发现,金融包容性和银行稳定性对农业生产率有积极影响。研究还发现,虽然金融包容性的获取部分对农业生产率有负面影响,但使用维度却有积极影响。研究局限性/启示研究向政策制定者建议,包容性和稳定的金融体系可提高农业生产率。研究结果表明,政策制定者应增强农民利用普惠金融的能力。原创性/价值本研究深入探讨了普惠金融及其各个层面以及银行稳定性对撒哈拉以南非洲农业生产率的影响。
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引用次数: 0
War! Good news for defense firms? Analysis of the impact of Russia–Ukraine conflict 战争国防公司的好消息?俄乌冲突影响分析
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0667
António Miguel Martins, Pedro Correia, Ricardo Gouveia

Purpose

This paper examines the short-term market impact of the beginning of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine (February 24, 2022) on the world’s largest defense firms.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors examine the world’s 100 largest listed defense firms at and around the beginning of the military conflict between Russia and Ukraine using an event-study methodology.

Findings

We observe a positive and statistically significant stock price reaction at and around the beginning of the military conflict. These results are consistent with the asset-pricing perspective/expected cash flow hypothesis. Consistent with the captured regulator theory, we find superior market returns for the two portfolios with a greater weight of defense sales. Superior market returns are also found for defense firms with higher R&D and capital expenditure intensity. Finally, these reactions are reinforced or mitigated by other firm-specific characteristics such as size, profitability and institutional ownership.

Originality/value

The effect of the war on stock markets has been relatively little examined in the financial theory. This study intends to fill this gap in the literature.

本文研究了俄罗斯与乌克兰之间军事冲突开始(2022 年 2 月 24 日)对全球最大国防公司的短期市场影响。作者采用事件研究法,对俄罗斯与乌克兰之间军事冲突开始时及前后的全球 100 家最大国防上市公司进行了研究。这些结果符合资产定价视角/预期现金流假说。与俘获调节器理论一致,我们发现国防销售比重较大的两个投资组合的市场回报率较高。我们还发现,研发和资本支出强度较高的国防企业的市场回报率也较高。最后,规模、盈利能力和机构所有权等公司特有的其他特征会强化或减轻这些反应。 原创性/价值 金融理论界对战争对股市的影响研究相对较少。本研究旨在填补这一文献空白。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of public health efficiency on well-being in Italian provinces 意大利各省公共卫生效率对福祉的影响
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1108/jes-06-2023-0306
Rostand Arland Yebetchou Tchounkeu
PurposeThis work aims to analyse the relationship between public health efficiency and well-being considering a panel of 102 Italian provinces from 2000 to 2016 and evaluates if there are omitted variable biases and endogeneity biases and also evaluates if there are heterogeneous effects among provinces with different income levels.Design/methodology/approachWe use a multi-input and output bootstrap data envelopment analysis to assess public health efficiency. Then, we measure well-being indices using the min-max linear scaling transformation technique. A two-stage least squares model is used to identify the causal effect of improving public health efficiency on well-being to account for time-invariant heterogeneity, omitted variable bias and endogeneity bias.FindingsAfter controlling for important economic factors, the results show a significant effect of an accountable and efficient public health system on well-being. Those effects are concentrated in the North, the most economically, geographically and environmentally advantageous areas.Research limitations/implicationsThe use of the sample mean, probably the oldest and most used method for aggregating the indicators, could be affected by variable compensation, with consequent misleading results in the process of constructing the well-being index. Another limitation is the use of lagged values of the main predictor as an instrument in the instrumental variables setting because it could lead to information loss. Finally, the availability of data over a long period of time.Practical implicationsThe findings could help policymakers adopt measures to strengthen the public health system, encourage private providers and inspire countries worldwide.Social implicationsThese results draw the attention of local authorities, who play an important role in designing and implementing policies to stimulate local public health efficiency, which puts individuals in the conditions of achieving overall well-being in their communities.Originality/valueFor the first time in Italy, a panel of well-being indices was constructed by developing new methodologies based on microeconomic theory. Furthermore, for the first time, the assessment of the relationship between public health efficiency and well-being is carried out using a panel of 102 Italian provinces.
目的本研究以 2000 年至 2016 年的 102 个意大利省份为研究对象,分析公共卫生效率与福祉之间的关系,评估是否存在遗漏变量偏差和内生性偏差,并评估不同收入水平的省份之间是否存在异质性影响。然后,我们使用最小-最大线性比例转换技术来衡量福利指数。我们使用两阶段最小二乘法模型来确定提高公共卫生效率对幸福感的因果效应,以考虑时变异质性、遗漏变量偏差和内生性偏差。这些影响主要集中在北部地区,即经济、地理和环境条件最优越的地区。研究局限性/意义样本平均值的使用可能是最古老、最常用的指标汇总方法,可能会受到变量补偿的影响,从而在构建幸福指数的过程中产生误导性结果。另一个限制因素是在工具变量设置中使用主要预测因子的滞后值作为工具,因为这可能导致信息丢失。社会影响这些结果引起了地方当局的注意,他们在设计和实施提高地方公共卫生效率的政策方面发挥着重要作用,这将使个人在其社区内实现整体福祉。原创性/价值在意大利,通过开发基于微观经济理论的新方法,首次构建了福祉指数面板。此外,还首次使用意大利 102 个省的面板对公共卫生效率与福祉之间的关系进行了评估。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of older people labour market decision in Ghana 加纳老年人劳动力市场决策的决定因素
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1108/jes-07-2023-0345
Kwadwo Opoku, G. Domfe, Emmanuel Adu Boahen
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the prevalence of labour force participation and the factors affecting labour supply among older persons in Ghana. Both the extensive and intensive margins of older persons’ labour supply were analysed.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses nationally representative samples of household and individual data in 2016–2017 – Ghana Living Standard Survey (GLSS 7) data – for the analysis. Heckman’s sample selection model is used to analyse both the extensive and intensive margins of older persons’ labour supply.FindingsThe study found that older persons in Ghana who are pensioners, widowed, have high levels of education, poor health status and live in urban areas are less likely to participate actively in the labour market. On the other hand, being head of a household, married and owning certain assets increase the likelihood of an older person to work. Furthermore, pensions, household headship and post-secondary education have negative effects on the labour supply as having them make older persons work fewer hours per week compared to their counterparts.Originality/valueThis research is the first study to examine the prevalence of old age employment and factors that affect labour market decisions of older persons in Ghana. It also adds to the limited literature on pension and retirement decisions in developing countries.
本文旨在研究加纳老年人劳动力参与的普遍程度以及影响劳动力供给的因素。本文采用 2016-2017 年具有全国代表性的家庭和个人样本数据--加纳生活水平调查(GLSS 7)数据--进行分析。研究发现,在加纳,领取养老金、丧偶、受教育程度高、健康状况差和居住在城市地区的老年人不太可能积极参与劳动力市场。另一方面,作为户主、已婚和拥有某些资产的老年人则更有可能工作。此外,养老金、户主身份和大专以上学历对劳动力供应也有负面影响,因为与同龄人相比,拥有这些条件的老年人每周工作时间较少。它还为发展中国家养老金和退休决定方面的有限文献增添了新的内容。
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引用次数: 0
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