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Performance evaluation of commercial bank branches in dynamic competitive conditions: a network DEA model with serial and cross-shared resources 动态竞争条件下商业银行分支机构绩效评价——资源序列交叉共享的网络DEA模型
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/jes-09-2022-0485
Pejman Shabani, Mohsen Akbarpour Shirazi
Purpose This paper aims to evaluate commercial bank branches' performance in dynamic and competitive conditions where decision-making units (DMUs) seek a greater proportion of shared resources as it happens in the real world. By introducing the concepts of cross-shared and serial-shared resources, the authors have emphasized the role of evaluation results of past periods on branches' total efficiency. Design/methodology/approach In this study, a new mixed-integer data envelopment analysis (MI-DEA) model has been proposed to evaluate the performance of a dynamic network in the presence of cross-shared and serial-shared resources. Findings The proposed model helps bank managers to find the source of inefficiencies and establish a connection between the results of the periodic performance of the DMUs and the distribution of serial and cross-shared resources. The results show that the weighting coefficients of the periods do not significantly affect the overall efficiency of commercial bank branches, unlike desirable and undesirable intermediates. Originality/value This paper presents the following factors: (1) A new mixed-integer network data envelopment analysis model is developed under dynamic competitive conditions. (2) For the first time in DEA models, the concept of cross-shared resources is proposed to consider shared resources between DMUs. (3) All controllable, uncontrollable, desirable and undesirable outputs in the model are considered with the possibility to transfer to the next periods. (4) A case study is given for the performance evaluation of 38 branches of an Iranian commercial bank from 2016 to 2020.
本文旨在评估商业银行分支机构在动态竞争条件下的绩效,即决策单元(dmu)在现实世界中寻求更大比例的共享资源。通过引入资源交叉共享和资源序列共享的概念,强调了以往评价结果对分支机构总效率的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究提出了一种新的混合整数数据包络分析(MI-DEA)模型来评估存在交叉共享和串行共享资源的动态网络的性能。该模型有助于银行管理者找到低效率的根源,并在dmu的周期性绩效结果与串行和交叉共享资源的分布之间建立联系。结果表明,不同于理想和不理想的中间产品,不同时期的权重系数对商业银行分支机构的整体效率没有显著影响。本文提出了以下因素:(1)在动态竞争条件下,建立了一种新的混合整数网络数据包络分析模型。(2)首次在DEA模型中提出了考虑dmu间共享资源的交叉共享资源的概念。(3)模型中所有的可控输出、不可控输出、期望输出和不期望输出都考虑有可能转移到下一个周期。(4)以伊朗某商业银行38家分行2016 - 2020年绩效评价为例。
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引用次数: 0
Bank efficiency and competition: bibliometric analysis of concepts and emerging issues 银行效率与竞争:概念与新问题的文献计量分析
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1108/jes-02-2023-0067
James Ntiamoah Doku, Gladys A.A. Nabieu
Purpose This study provides a bibliometric analysis of bank efficiency and competition over the past years (from 1993 to 2022) to (1) discover the past and current state of knowledge on bank competition and efficiency, (2) identify leading and authoritative journals and scholars who made significant contributions to the distribution of knowledge and impact, (3) identify nations that made a significant contribution and impact to the literature and (4) identify the structure of collaboration that exists between scholars in the areas of bank competition and efficiency and key thematic areas. Design/methodology/approach A total number of 868 documents made up of articles, reviews, book chapters, book and conference papers from the Scopus database were gathered. This study used a bibliometric analytic approach. Findings The number of documents on bank competitiveness and efficiency has increased significantly, as have their total publications, citations and national output. Additionally, the most esteemed and prestigious academic journals of eminent academics who have had a significant impact on the dissemination of knowledge on bank efficiency and competition literature champion papers on banking efficiency and competition. In terms of citation performance and collaborative efforts, the United States tops the developed countries, led by China, which is also the most productive. Additionally, single-country publications predominate in the literature, with China ranking first among the top five countries with corresponding authors. While the Lerner index, H-statistic, concentration index and market power were used to measure bank competitive behaviour, the data envelopment analysis approach predominates efficiency estimation techniques that are linked to cost, profit or revenue, scale, technical and productivity indexes. Originality/value This study is one of the first to offer bibliometric evidence of both bank competition and efficiency. It also offers proof of the distribution of knowledge and intellectual structure of the concepts and concerns in bank competition and efficiency.
本研究对过去几年(1993年至2022年)的银行效率和竞争进行了文献计量分析,以:(1)发现银行竞争和效率知识的过去和现状;(2)确定对知识分布和影响做出重大贡献的领先和权威期刊和学者;(3)确定对文献做出重大贡献和影响的国家;(4)确定在银行竞争和效率以及关键专题领域存在的学者之间的合作结构。设计/方法/方法共收集了来自Scopus数据库的文章、评论、书籍章节、书籍和会议论文共868篇。本研究采用文献计量学分析方法。关于银行竞争力和效率的文件数量显著增加,它们的总出版物、引用和国家产出也显著增加。此外,那些对银行效率和竞争知识的传播产生重大影响的知名学者所撰写的最受尊敬和最负盛名的学术期刊,都会发表关于银行效率和竞争的论文。在引用绩效和合作努力方面,美国在发达国家中排名第一,其次是中国,中国也是生产力最高的国家。此外,单一国家的出版物在文献中占主导地位,中国在通讯作者数量排名前五的国家中排名第一。虽然Lerner指数、h统计量、集中度指数和市场力量被用来衡量银行的竞争行为,但数据包络分析方法在与成本、利润或收入、规模、技术和生产率指数相关的效率估计技术中占主导地位。本研究是第一个提供银行竞争和效率的文献计量证据的研究之一。它还证明了知识的分布和知识结构的概念和关注银行竞争和效率。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of Credit Suisse takeover on Indian banking and financial services sector stocks: an event study analysis 瑞士信贷收购对印度银行和金融服务板块股票的影响:事件研究分析
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1108/jes-06-2023-0316
Priyanka Goyal, Pooja Soni
Purpose The present study aims to comprehensively examine the impact of the Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) takeover of Credit Suisse on the banking and financial services sector in the Indian stock market. To fully comprehend the impact of the event, the study separately investigates the response of private sector banks, public sector banks, overall banking companies and financial services companies to the takeover of the second-largest financial institution in Switzerland. Design/methodology/approach The study employs event study methodology, using the market model, to analyze the event's impact on Indian banking and financial services sector stocks. The data consists of daily closing prices of companies included in the Nifty Private Bank Index, Nifty PSU Bank Index, Nifty Bank Index and Nifty Financial Services Index from the National Stock Exchange (NSE). Furthermore, cross-sectional regression analysis has been conducted to explore the factors that drive abnormal returns. Findings The empirical findings of the study suggest the event had a heterogeneous impact on the stock prices of Indian banks and financial services companies. While public sector banks experienced a significant negative impact on select days within the event window, the overall Indian banking sector and financial services companies also witnessed notable declines. In contrast, Indian private sector banks were relatively resilient, exhibiting minimal effects. However, the cumulative effect is found to be insignificant for all four categories across different event windows. The study also observed that the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) were significantly influenced by certain variables during different event windows. Originality/value To the best of the authors' knowledge, the present study is the earliest attempt that investigates the impact of the UBS takeover of Credit Suisse on the Indian banking and financial services sector using event study methodology and cross-sectional regression model.
本研究旨在全面考察瑞士联合银行(UBS)收购瑞士信贷对印度股票市场银行和金融服务部门的影响。为了充分理解这一事件的影响,该研究分别调查了私营部门银行、公共部门银行、整体银行公司和金融服务公司对瑞士第二大金融机构被收购的反应。本研究采用事件研究方法,使用市场模型,分析事件对印度银行和金融服务业股票的影响。数据包括NSE的Nifty私人银行指数,Nifty PSU银行指数,Nifty银行指数和Nifty金融服务指数中包含的公司的每日收盘价。通过横断面回归分析,探讨了驱动异常收益的因素。研究的实证结果表明,这一事件对印度银行和金融服务公司的股价产生了异质影响。虽然公共部门银行在活动窗口内的特定日子遭受了严重的负面影响,但整个印度银行业和金融服务公司也出现了明显的下滑。相比之下,印度私营部门银行相对有弹性,受到的影响微乎其微。然而,在不同的事件窗口中,发现累积效应对于所有四类都是不显著的。研究还发现,在不同的事件窗口期间,累积异常收益(CARs)受到某些变量的显著影响。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究是最早尝试使用事件研究方法和横截面回归模型调查瑞银收购瑞士信贷对印度银行和金融服务部门的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Russia–Ukraine war and the impact on Indian economy 俄乌战争及其对印度经济的影响
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1108/jes-03-2023-0136
Anindita Bhattacharjee, Dolly Gaur, Kanishka Gupta
PurposeIndia is not geographically close to either Russia or Ukraine. However, India's trade relations with them make it vulnerable to the consequences of the war between these countries. Thus, the present study aims to examine the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on various sectoral indices of the Indian economy.Design/methodology/approachEvent study methodology has been used in this study for analysis. The date of the war announcement is the event day. The sample studied includes ten sectors of the Indian economy listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). Results correspond to the period of −167 days to +20 days of the announcement of the war, i.e. from June 25, 2021, to March 28, 2022.FindingsAlmost all the sample sectors earned significantly positive abnormal returns in the post-event period. The metal industry has led this group by showcasing the highest abnormal returns. Though Indian sectors made overall positive returns, the market soon corrected itself and abnormal returns were wiped out.Practical implicationsThese results can benefit portfolio managers, analysts, investors and policymakers in hedging risks and selecting suitable investments during increased global uncertainty. The study's conclusions help policymakers establish an institutional and supervisory framework that will make it easier to spot systematic risks and reduce them by putting countercyclical measures in place.Originality/valueIndia has no geographical proximity or trade relations with Russia or Ukraine, as strong as any other European country. However, Russia has remained a strong ally to India in the trade of defense equipment. Similar is the case with Ukraine, a significant global partner for India. Thus, the impact of conflict between these two countries has not been limited to Europe only but has also engulfed related economies. Hence, the present study is one of the first attempts to examine the burns sustained by the Indian economy due to this war.
印度在地理上既不靠近俄罗斯也不靠近乌克兰。然而,印度与这些国家的贸易关系使其容易受到这些国家之间战争的影响。因此,本研究旨在考察俄乌战争对印度经济各部门指数的影响。设计/方法/方法本研究采用事件研究方法进行分析。战争公告的日期是事件日。所研究的样本包括在国家证券交易所(NSE)上市的印度经济的十个部门。结果对应于战争宣布后的- 167天到+20天,即从2021年6月25日到2022年3月28日。几乎所有的样本行业在事件发生后都获得了显著的正异常回报。金属行业的异常回报率最高,在这一领域处于领先地位。尽管印度各板块总体上实现了正回报,但市场很快就进行了自我修正,异常回报被消除了。这些结果可以使投资组合经理、分析师、投资者和政策制定者在全球不确定性增加的情况下对冲风险和选择合适的投资。该研究的结论有助于政策制定者建立一个制度和监管框架,使其更容易发现系统性风险,并通过实施反周期措施来减少风险。印度与俄罗斯或乌克兰没有地理邻近或贸易关系,不像其他欧洲国家那样强大。然而,在国防装备贸易方面,俄罗斯仍然是印度的强大盟友。印度重要的全球合作伙伴乌克兰也是如此。因此,这两个国家之间的冲突的影响不仅限于欧洲,而且还吞没了相关经济体。因此,本研究是第一次尝试检查印度经济因这场战争而遭受的损失。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetry in the prices of crude oil and diesel and gasoline prices in Brazil 巴西原油、柴油和汽油价格的不对称
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1108/jes-08-2022-0437
Gerrio Barbosa, Daniel Sousa, Cássio da Nóbrega Besarria, Robson Lima, Diego Pitta de Jesus
Purpose The aim of this study was to determine if there are asymmetries in the pass-through of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices to its derivatives (diesel and gasoline) in the Brazilian market. Design/methodology/approach Initially, the future WTI oil price series was analyzed using the self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) and logistic smooth transition autoregressive (LSTAR) non-linear models. Subsequently, the threshold autoregressive error-correction model (TAR-ECM) and Markov-switching model were used. Findings The findings indicated high prices throughout 2008 due to the subprime crisis. The findings indicated high prices throughout 2008 due to the subprime crisis. The results indicated that there is long-term pass-through of oil prices in both methods, suggesting an equilibrium adjustment in the prices of diesel and gasoline in the analyzed period. Regarding the short term, the variations in contemporary crude oil prices have positive effects on the variations in fuel prices. Lastly, this behavior can partly be explained by the internal price management structure adopted during almost all of the analyzed period. Originality/value This paper contributes to the literature at some points. The first contribution is the modeling of the oil price series through non-linear models, further enriching the literature on the recent behavior of this time series. The second is the simultaneous use of the TAR-ECM and Markov-switching model to capture possible short- and long-term asymmetries in the pass-through of prices, as few studies have applied these methods to the future price of oil. The third and main contribution is the investigation of whether there are asymmetries in the transfer of oil prices to the price of derivatives in Brazil. So far, no work has investigated this issue, which is very relevant to the country.
目的本研究的目的是确定是否有不对称在传递西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格到其衍生品(柴油和汽油)在巴西市场。设计/方法/方法最初,使用自激阈值自回归(SETAR)和logistic平滑过渡自回归(LSTAR)非线性模型分析未来WTI原油价格序列。随后,采用阈值自回归误差校正模型(TAR-ECM)和马尔可夫切换模型。调查结果表明,由于次贷危机,2008年的房价一直居高不下。调查结果显示,由于次贷危机,2008年房价一直居高不下。结果表明,两种方法都存在油价的长期传递,表明柴油和汽油价格在分析期间存在均衡调整。从短期来看,当代原油价格的变化对燃料价格的变化有积极的影响。最后,这种行为可以部分地解释为几乎所有分析期间采用的内部价格管理结构。本文在某些方面对文献有所贡献。第一个贡献是通过非线性模型对石油价格序列进行建模,进一步丰富了关于该时间序列近期行为的文献。第二个是同时使用TAR-ECM和马尔可夫转换模型来捕捉价格传递中可能的短期和长期不对称,因为很少有研究将这些方法应用于未来的石油价格。第三个也是最主要的贡献是对巴西石油价格向衍生品价格的转移是否存在不对称的调查。到目前为止,还没有研究这个问题的工作,这是一个非常相关的国家。
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引用次数: 0
Poverty and financial development: an asymmetric and nonlinear ARDL analysis for India 贫困与金融发展:印度的非对称非线性ARDL分析
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1108/jes-03-2023-0129
Ishfaq Nazir Khanday, Md. Tarique, Inayat Ullah Wani, Muzffar Hussain Dar
Purpose The primary objective of the paper is to examine the asymmetric Cointegration and asymmetric causality between financial development and poverty alleviation on annual data in Indian context over the period from 1980 to 2019. Design/methodology/approach First nonlinearity test by Brooks et al . (1999) is applied to ascertain the nonlinear behavior of the variables used. Once the nonlinear behavior of variables is confirmed, asymmetric and nonlinear unit root tests by Kapetanios and Shin (2008) are applied to check for the order of integration of selected variables. Next, nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model (NARDL) is employed to analyze the asymmetric Cointegration. Finally, Hatemi-j- asymmetric causality tests is applied to work out the direction of asymmetric causality. Findings The empirical findings document the existence of asymmetries in the short-run as well as long-run between poverty and financial development. The asymmetry reveals that negative financial development shocks leave a more profound impact on poverty alleviation than their positive equivalents. The findings of Wald's test also confirm the presence of asymmetric Cointegration. The asymmetric cumulative dynamic multipliers used to examine the behavior of asymmetries and adjustments with respect to time lend credence to the results calculated using NARDL estimator. This result exhibits the robustness of the model. Furthermore, the result emanating from recently introduced asymmetric causality test reveals a unidirectional asymmetric causality between negative shocks in financial development and poverty. The findings of the present study necessitate the need for investigating asymmetric and nonlinear effects in finance–poverty nexus, which existent literature has completely neglected, in order to have relevant policy conclusions. Research limitations/implications The study used “Per capita consumption expenditure” as a measure for poverty due to lack of continuous time series data on headcount ratio. In future, researchers can extend this study by incorporating headcount ratio as a measure of poverty in their respective works. There is further scope of research on this issue by finding out the impact of formal and informal sources of credit on poverty separately. A panel data study for developing countries over a period of time could further confirm/negate the findings of the present study. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge none of the studies in Indian context has scrutinized asymmetric and nonlinear impact of financial development on poverty. To dredge up asymmetric structures at work, the authors have used the highly celebrated NARDL estimator. To enrich the existent body of knowledge along the lines of asymmetric (nonlinear) linkages, the authors have also used recently introduced asymmetric causality test by Hatemi-j-(2012) to find out the direction asymmetric causality.
本文的主要目的是检验1980年至2019年印度背景下年度数据的金融发展与减贫之间的非对称协整和非对称因果关系。设计/方法/方法布鲁克斯等人的第一个非线性测试。(1999)用于确定所使用变量的非线性行为。一旦确定了变量的非线性行为,就采用Kapetanios和Shin(2008)的非对称和非线性单位根检验来检验所选变量的积分顺序。其次,采用非线性自回归分布滞后模型(NARDL)分析非对称协整。最后,应用hatsemi -j-不对称因果关系检验,确定了不对称因果关系的方向。实证结果表明,贫困与金融发展之间存在着短期和长期的不对称性。这种不对称性表明,消极的金融发展冲击比积极的金融发展冲击对减贫的影响更深远。Wald检验的结果也证实了不对称协整的存在。用于检查不对称行为的非对称累积动态乘数以及与时间相关的调整为使用NARDL估计器计算的结果提供了可信度。结果表明了模型的鲁棒性。此外,最近引入的非对称因果检验的结果揭示了金融发展负面冲击与贫困之间的单向非对称因果关系。本文的研究结果表明,有必要对现有文献完全忽视的金融-贫困关系中的不对称和非线性效应进行研究,以得出相关的政策结论。由于缺乏关于人数比率的连续时间序列数据,该研究使用“人均消费支出”作为贫穷的衡量标准。未来,研究者可以在各自的研究中,将人口比率作为衡量贫困的指标,进一步扩展这一研究。通过分别找出正式和非正式信贷来源对贫困的影响,可以进一步研究这一问题。对发展中国家进行一段时间的小组数据研究可以进一步证实/否定本研究的结论。据作者所知,没有一项印度背景下的研究仔细研究了金融发展对贫困的不对称和非线性影响。为了挖掘起作用的不对称结构,作者使用了非常著名的NARDL估计器。为了沿着不对称(非线性)联系的思路丰富现有的知识体系,作者还使用了Hatemi-j-(2012)最近引入的不对称因果检验来找出不对称因果关系的方向。
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引用次数: 3
The gender pay gap in the Visegrad Groups 维谢格拉德集团的性别薪酬差距
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1108/jes-02-2023-0072
Jakub Harman, Lucia Bartůsková
Purpose The gender pay gap is a well-documented phenomenon in labor economics. Based on the 2018 Structure of Earnings Survey (SES), the authors estimate the impact of observable characteristics on the gender pay gap in Visegrad Group countries and provide policy recommendations on reducing the gender pay gap. Design/methodology/approach The Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition is applied to estimate the values of explained and unexplained parts of the gender pay gap. Gender pay gap in unadjusted as well as adjusted form is estimated using data on the individual level. Findings The results show that unadjusted gender pay gap proved to be stable at more than 20%. The authors found evidence that education widens gender pay gap implying that men have higher returns on education than women. Tertiary education proved to be the highest contributor to widening of gender pay gap. Results also show that there is strong sectoral and occupational segregation. Decomposition proved that only 21% of gender pay gap could be explained by observed characteristics. The unexplained part showed negative values, meaning women would have higher wages, if they had characteristics like men. Research limitations/implications Structure of Earnings Survey data are published every four years; therefore the authors’ dataset from year 2018 might not completely reflect today's reality. Unfortunately, newer data are note available yet. Second, Structure of Earning Survey data do not contain variables representing social factors of respondents like marital status, number of children or labour market absence due to birth or childcare. Third, data used for this study do not contain firms that have less than 10 employees; therefore, considerable portion of the labour market is omitted. Originality/value Results of this study will help policymakers understand the roots and causes of the gender pay gap in Visegrad Group countries but addressing this issue requires further research.
性别工资差距是劳动经济学中一个有据可查的现象。基于2018年收入结构调查(SES),作者估计了维谢格拉德集团国家可观察到的特征对性别工资差距的影响,并提供了减少性别工资差距的政策建议。设计/方法/方法应用瓦哈卡-布林德分解来估计性别工资差距中已解释和未解释部分的值。使用个人层面的数据估计未调整和调整形式的性别工资差距。结果显示,未经调整的性别薪酬差距稳定在20%以上。作者发现,有证据表明,教育扩大了性别收入差距,这意味着男性的教育回报高于女性。高等教育被证明是性别收入差距扩大的最大因素。结果还表明,存在很强的部门和职业隔离。分解证明,只有21%的性别薪酬差距可以用观察到的特征来解释。未解释的部分显示为负值,这意味着如果女性具有与男性相似的特征,她们将获得更高的工资。《盈余结构调查》数据每四年公布一次;因此,作者2018年的数据集可能无法完全反映当今的现实。不幸的是,目前还没有更新的数据。其次,收入结构调查数据不包含代表受访者的社会因素的变量,如婚姻状况、子女数量或因生育或育儿而缺席劳动力市场。第三,本研究使用的数据不包含员工少于10人的公司;因此,忽略了劳动力市场的相当一部分。本研究的结果将有助于决策者了解维谢格拉德集团国家性别薪酬差距的根源和原因,但解决这一问题需要进一步的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Shirking and capital accumulation under oligopolistic competition 寡头竞争下的逃避与资本积累
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2022-0647
Haiwen Zhou, Ruhai Zhou
Purpose The purpose of the paper is to study how technology choice is affected by capital accumulation when there is unemployment and firms engage in oligopolistic competition. Design/methodology/approach In this infinite horizon model, unemployment results from the existence of efficiency wages. Consumers choose saving optimally, and there is capital accumulation. Firms producing intermediate goods engage in oligopolistic competition and choose technologies to maximize profits. A more advanced technology has a higher fixed cost but a lower marginal cost of production. Findings In the steady state, it is shown that an increase in population size or a decrease in the discount rate leads intermediate good producers to choose more advanced technologies and the wage rate increases. Interestingly, the equilibrium unemployment rate decreases with the size of the population. Originality/value In this model, unemployment results from the existence of efficiency wages and firms engage in oligopolistic competition. One difficulty with efficiency wage models is that saving is not allowed. However, in this model, consumers choose saving optimally, and capital accumulation is allowed. With oligopolistic competition, the authors show that an increase in population size or a decrease in the discount rate leads intermediate good producers to choose more advanced technologies and the wage rate increases. The equilibrium unemployment rate decreases with the size of the population.
本文的目的是研究在存在失业和企业寡头竞争的情况下,资本积累对技术选择的影响。在这个无限视界模型中,失业源于效率工资的存在。消费者最优地选择储蓄,这就产生了资本积累。生产中间产品的企业参与寡头垄断竞争,并选择技术以实现利润最大化。技术越先进,固定成本越高,边际生产成本越低。在稳定状态下,人口规模的增加或贴现率的降低会导致中间产品生产者选择更先进的技术,工资率也会上升。有趣的是,均衡失业率随着人口规模的增加而降低。在这个模型中,失业源于效率工资的存在和企业参与寡头垄断竞争。效率工资模式的一个难点是不允许储蓄。然而,在这个模型中,消费者选择储蓄是最优的,资本积累是允许的。在寡头垄断竞争中,人口规模的增加或贴现率的降低会导致中间产品生产者选择更先进的技术,从而导致工资率上升。均衡失业率随人口数量的增加而降低。
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引用次数: 0
Property tax incentives to divorce strategically 财产税对离婚的激励策略
Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1108/jes-05-2023-0226
Raffaella Santolini
Purpose The paper aims to examine the role played by property tax in influencing strategic decisions regarding marital separation and divorce in Italian municipalities. Design/methodology/approach The empirical analysis is conducted on a sample of 6,458 Italian municipalities by applying the ordinary least squares (OLS) and instrumental variables (IVs) approaches. Findings The estimation results show a small increase in marital separations and divorces as the difference between the municipal secondary and primary home tax rate increases. Specifically, an increase of 1‰ in the property tax rate differentials is accompanied by an increase of six marital separations and four divorces per 1,000 inhabitants. Research limitations/implications The main limitation of the analysis is that the strategic behavior of the married couple is inferred from econometric analysis with data aggregated at the municipal level. To investigate this phenomenon more precisely, it would be useful to have individual data collected by surveys on strategic divorce decisions due to property tax incentives. Originality/value This study contributes to the scant existing literature on the tax incentives for strategic divorce. It is the first study to empirically investigate the effects of property tax on separation and divorce decisions by investigating the Italian context. In Italy, a property tax was introduced in 1993, encouraging “false” divorces by spouses with a second home since the tax on the secondary home was set at a rate higher than that on the primary residence. Moreover, there were no tax deductions and no additional tax breaks on the secondary home, while they were established on the primary one. Higher property taxes and the absence of tax breaks on the secondary home may have encouraged a strategic behavior whereby many married couples filed for false separation and divorce in order to recover part of property tax rebates.
目的本文旨在研究房产税所扮演的角色影响战略决策对于婚姻分居和离婚在意大利城市。通过应用普通最小二乘(OLS)和工具变量(IVs)方法,对6,458个意大利城市的样本进行了实证分析。结果表明,随着城市二级住房和一级住房税率差异的增加,婚姻分居和离婚的数量略有增加。具体来说,增加房产税1‰的利差是伴随着增加六个婚姻分离和四个离婚每1000名居民。该分析的主要局限性在于,已婚夫妇的战略行为是从计量经济学分析中推断出来的,数据汇集在城市一级。为了更准确地调查这一现象,通过对财产税激励措施导致的战略性离婚决定的调查收集个人数据将是有用的。独创性/价值本研究对现有的关于策略性离婚的税收激励的文献有所贡献。这是第一个通过调查意大利的背景来实证调查财产税对分居和离婚决定的影响的研究。在意大利,1993年开始征收房产税,鼓励拥有第二套住房的配偶“假”离婚,因为第二套住房的税率高于第一套住房的税率。此外,没有税收减免和没有额外的税收优惠在二级家里,当他们建立在主要的一个。更高的财产税和缺乏对第二套住房的税收减免可能鼓励了一种战略行为,即许多已婚夫妇申请虚假分居和离婚,以收回部分财产税退税。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting expenditure components in Nigeria 预测尼日利亚的支出组成部分
IF 1.7 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1108/jes-02-2023-0087
Afees A. Salisu, D. Omotor
PurposeThis study forecasts the government expenditure components in Nigeria, including recurrent and capital expenditures for 2021 and 2022, based on data from 1981 to 2020.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs statistical/econometric problems using the Feasible Quasi Generalized Least Squares approach. Expenditure forecasts involve three simulation scenarios: (1) do nothing where the economy follows its natural path; (2) an optimistic scenario, where the economy grows by specific percentages and (3) a pessimistic scenario that defines specific economic contractions.FindingsThe estimation model is informed by Wagner's law specifying a positive link between economic activities and public spending. Model estimation affirms the expected positive relationship and is relevant for generating forecasts. The out-of-sample results show that a higher proportion of the total government expenditure (7.6% in 2021 and 15.6% in 2022) is required to achieve a predefined growth target (5%).Originality/valueThis study offers empirical evidence that specifically requires Nigeria to invest a ratio of 3 to 1 or more in capital expenditure to recurrent expenditure for the economy to be guided on growth.
本研究基于1981年至2020年的数据,预测了尼日利亚政府支出的组成部分,包括2021年和2022年的经常性支出和资本支出。设计/方法/方法本研究采用可行准广义最小二乘方法的统计/计量经济学问题。支出预测涉及三种模拟情景:(1)在经济遵循自然路径的情况下什么都不做;(2)乐观情景,经济以特定百分比增长;(3)悲观情景,经济出现特定收缩。发现估算模型是根据瓦格纳的法律,该法律规定了经济活动和公共支出之间的积极联系。模型估计确认了预期的正相关关系,并且与生成预测相关。样本外结果显示,要实现预定的增长目标(5%),需要更高的政府总支出比例(2021年为7.6%,2022年为15.6%)。原创性/价值本研究提供了经验证据,明确要求尼日利亚在资本支出与经常性支出方面的投资比例为3:1或更多,以引导经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
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