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Gauging the dynamic interlinkage level between Fintech and the global blue economy performance 衡量金融科技与全球蓝色经济绩效之间的动态关联水平
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1108/jes-10-2023-0613
Le Thanh Ha

Purpose

We investigate connections between the development of Fintech and the blue economy from September 14th, 2020, to August 11th, 2023.

Design/methodology/approach

In this research, we use a cutting-edge model-free connectedness approach to investigate the relationships between FinTech and blue bond volatility. Our work is the first to investigate the effects of unknown events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine–Russia conflicts, on the interconnection of volatility derived from FinTech development and blue bond volatility.

Findings

Our results highlight the two-way relationship between the development of Fintech and the blue economy during our sample period. The net total connectedness shows that the blue economy index is a net shock receiver, especially in late 2021 and the second half of 2022, while most of the fintech indexes in our sample are mainly net shock transmitters. The Ukraine–Russia tension threatens the development of a sustainable blue economy. The development of Fintech plays an important role in promoting the blue economy.

Practical implications

Our results have important policy implications for investors and governments, as well as methods from the spillovers across the various indicators and their interconnections. Sharp information on the primary contagions among these indicators aids politicians in designing the most appropriate policies.

Originality/value

Our paper contributes to the literature in at least four ways. First, as previously stated, our article is the first to investigate the relationship between FinTech and blue bond volatility. Second, this study presented a framework for studying volatility interconnections between distinct variables that is more suited to analyzing these interconnections. In this research, we use a cutting-edge model-free connectedness approach to investigate the relationships between FinTech and blue bond volatility. Third, our work is the first to investigate the effects of unknown events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine–Russia conflicts on the interconnection of volatility deriving from FinTech development and blue bond volatility. Lastly, our research provides a daily dataset for the BNP Paribas Easy ECPI Global ESG Blue Economy UCITS ETF to analyze 50 businesses from various markets that are at the forefront of the responsible application of ocean resources and other ESG standards. The Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) and the ARK FinTech Innovation ETF (ARKF) seek exposure to companies developing financial technology innovations. The development sectors include insurance, investment, fundraising and third-party lending by utilizing cutting-edge mobile and digital technologies. Our time series runs from September 14th, 2020, to August 11th, 2023. By using this database, we provide a comprehensive an

目的我们研究了 2020 年 9 月 14 日至 2023 年 8 月 11 日期间金融科技发展与蓝色经济之间的联系。设计/方法/途径在这项研究中,我们使用了一种前沿的无模型关联性方法来研究金融科技与蓝色债券波动性之间的关系。我们的研究首次探讨了 COVID-19 大流行病和乌克兰-俄罗斯冲突等未知事件对金融科技发展衍生的波动性与蓝色债券波动性之间相互联系的影响。研究结果我们的研究结果凸显了样本期间金融科技发展与蓝色经济之间的双向关系。总净关联度显示,蓝色经济指数是净冲击接收者,尤其是在 2021 年末和 2022 年下半年,而我们样本中的大多数金融科技指数主要是净冲击传播者。乌克兰与俄罗斯的紧张局势威胁着蓝色经济的可持续发展。我们的研究结果对投资者和政府具有重要的政策意义,同时也能从不同指标的溢出效应及其相互联系中找到方法。关于这些指标之间主要传染性的敏锐信息有助于政治家设计最合适的政策。原创性/价值我们的论文至少在四个方面对文献做出了贡献。首先,如前所述,我们的文章是第一篇研究金融科技与蓝色债券波动性之间关系的文章。其次,本研究提出了一个研究不同变量之间波动性相互联系的框架,该框架更适合分析这些相互联系。在本研究中,我们采用了一种前沿的无模型关联性方法来研究金融科技与蓝色债券波动性之间的关系。第三,我们的研究首次探讨了 COVID-19 大流行病和乌克兰-俄罗斯冲突等未知事件对金融科技发展和蓝色债券波动性之间相互联系的影响。最后,我们的研究为法国巴黎银行 Easy ECPI Global ESG Blue Economy UCITS ETF 提供了每日数据集,以分析来自不同市场的 50 家企业,这些企业在负责任地应用海洋资源和其他 ESG 标准方面处于领先地位。Global X FinTech ETF(FINX)和 ARK FinTech Innovation ETF(ARKF)寻求投资于开发金融技术创新的公司。开发领域包括利用尖端移动和数字技术进行保险、投资、筹款和第三方借贷。我们的时间序列从 2020 年 9 月 14 日到 2023 年 8 月 11 日。通过使用该数据库,我们可以对不同市场产生的波动性之间的联系进行全面分析。
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引用次数: 0
Role of labor market dynamics in influencing global female labor force participation 劳动力市场动态在影响全球女性劳动力参与中的作用
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1108/jes-11-2023-0633
Tanaya Saha, Prakash Singh

Purpose

The global non-attainment of the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 5 indicates the issue of rising gender inequality. Educated women shying away from the labor force is worsening it. The labor market dynamics might shape the female labor force participation (FLFP). The present study recommends a policy framework by analyzing this dynamism across 125 countries over 1990–2020.

Design/methodology/approach

The Two-step System Generalized Method of Moments is used to address endogeneity bias. Dynamism in policy environment is captured by relaxing the Ceteris Paribus condition in the empirical model.

Findings

Results show that the moderation of labor market factors has increased with the attainment of Secondary and Tertiary Education. Results also highlight that these factors promote FLFP through prospective opportunities but also hinder female participation through employer’s discrimination despite educational attainment.

Originality/value

Studies have examined the role of education on FLFP. However, prior research has not investigated the role of labor market factors in influencing the impact of education on FLFP. The consideration of these factors will help in addressing the global policy lacuna by recommending a policy framework for enhancing FLFP through internalization of the externalities exerted by the labor market factors, and thereby, help the countries attaining the SDG 5 objectives.

目的 全球未实现可持续发展目标(SDG)5 表明性别不平等问题日益严重。受过教育的女性不愿加入劳动力大军的现象正在加剧。劳动力市场动态可能会影响女性劳动力参与率(FLFP)。本研究通过分析 1990-2020 年间 125 个国家的这种动态变化,提出了政策框架建议。结果结果表明,劳动力市场因素的调节作用随着中等教育和高等教育水平的提高而增强。结果还凸显出,这些因素通过前瞻性机会促进了 FLFP,但同时也通过雇主对女性的歧视阻碍了女性的参与,尽管她们的教育程度很高。然而,之前的研究并未调查劳动力市场因素在影响教育对 FLFP 的影响方面所起的作用。对这些因素的考虑将有助于解决全球政策空白问题,通过建议一个政策框架,将劳动力市场因素产生的外部效应内部化,从而提高家庭劳动生产率,帮助各国实现可持续发展目标 5 的各项目标。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of sub-national synchronization on the behavior of national business cycles in emerging economies with inflation targeting 在实行通胀目标制的新兴经济体中,次国家同步对国家商业周期行为的影响
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0682
Alcides J. Padilla, Jorge David Quintero Otero
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to assess sub-national business cycle (BC) synchronization's impact on national cycles in four emerging markets economies with inflation targeting (IT-EMEs): Brazil, Colombia, South Korea and Mexico.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use panel data models with fixed-effects and distributed lags.FindingsThe authors disclosed that sub-national synchronization increased national cycle amplitudes during expansion and recession phases. The authors also noticed that South Korea exhibited a more pronounced effect compared to Latin American countries, and this seemed to be associated with differences in the homogeneity of the production structures in the regions of these countries.Research limitations/implicationsThe authors cautioned that contrasting the findings with prior research on the effects of regional BC synchronization in IT-EMEs or with studies in different geographical contexts, is not possible due to the absence of prior research endeavors with this specific focus.Originality/valueThis study constitutes a first attempt to explain the impact of subnational cycle synchronization on the magnitude of national cycles in four IT-EMEs.
目的本文旨在评估四个以通胀为目标的新兴市场经济体(IT-EMEs)的次国家商业周期(BC)同步化对国家周期的影响:结果作者发现,次国家同步化增加了扩张和衰退阶段的国家周期振幅。作者还注意到,与拉丁美洲国家相比,韩国的影响更为明显,这似乎与这些国家各地区生产结构的同质性差异有关。研究的局限性/意义作者提醒说,由于之前没有专门针对这一问题的研究,因此无法将研究结果与之前关于 IT-EMEs 中区域 BC 同步效应的研究或不同地理背景下的研究进行对比。
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引用次数: 0
Two-way relationship between inequality and growth within the fiscal policy channel: an empirical assessment for European countries 财政政策渠道内不平等与增长之间的双向关系:对欧洲国家的经验评估
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1108/jes-09-2023-0479
José Alves, J. Coelho
PurposeWe investigate the role of fiscal policy, through several measures of government revenues and expenditures and redistribution, on disposable and market income inequality and economic growth as well as the interaction between inequality and growth for 31 European countries from 1995 to 2019.Design/methodology/approachWe use a simultaneous equations model to assess the linkage between economic growth, inequalities and fiscal policy variables.Findings(1) While disposable income inequality has a negative effect on all fiscal policy variables, market income inequality has a mixed effects; (2) for Eastern European countries, public consumption and direct taxation positively influence economic growth; conversely, for Western European countries, the effects are negative; (3) disposable and market income inequality have a positive effect on growth for Eastern European countries, and a negative influence on growth for Western European countries; (4) growth contributes to the increase of disposable and market income inequality for Eastern European countries; for Western European countries, the effects are opposite; and (5) fiscal policy allows for the attenuation of disposable income inequality.Originality/valueThe different results between the role of market and disposable income inequality levels lead us to suggest tax progressivity as an important feature to consider when analyse the trivariate relationship between inequalities, fiscal policy and growth. Furthermore, there are different dynamics between inequality and growth, and the role of fiscal policy, on both Eastern and Western European countries.
目的我们研究了 1995 年至 2019 年 31 个欧洲国家的财政政策对可支配收入和市场收入不平等与经济增长的作用,以及不平等与经济增长之间的相互作用。研究结果(1)可支配收入不平等对所有财政政策变量都有负面影响,而市场收入不平等则有混合影响;(2)对东欧国家而言,公共消费和直接税收对经济增长有积极影响;相反,对西欧国家而言,影响是负面的;(3) 可支配收入和市场收入不平等对东欧国家的经济增长有积极影响,而对西欧国家的经济增长有消极影响;(4) 在东欧国家,经济增长促进了可支配收入和市场收入不平等的增加;而在西欧国家,两者的影响正好相反;(5) 财政政策可以减轻可支配收入不平等。原创性/价值 市场收入不平等和可支配收入不平等水平的不同结果使我们认为,在分析不平等、财政政策和增长之间的三变量关系时,税收累进性是一个需要考虑的重要特征。此外,在东欧和西欧国家,不平等与增长以及财政政策的作用之间存在不同的动态关系。
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引用次数: 0
How does governance quality affect the shadow economy-sustainable development nexus? New insights from a dynamic threshold analysis 治理质量如何影响影子经济与可持续发展的关系?动态门槛分析的新见解
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1108/jes-09-2023-0469
Nadia Assidi, Ridha Nouira, Sami Saafi, Walid Abdelfattah, Sami Ben Mim
Purpose The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of the shadow economy on three sustainable development indicators while considering the moderating effect of the governance quality, and to highlight the non-linearity of the considered relationship.Design/methodology/approach A sample of 82 countries covering the period from 1996 to 2017. The dynamic first-differenced generalized method of moments (FD-GMM) panel threshold model is implemented to control for non-linearity.Findings The shadow economy hinders sustainable development in countries with low-governance quality, while the opposite result holds in countries with high-governance quality. The critical thresholds triggering the switch from one regime to another vary across the sustainable development indicators. Boosting growth requires enhancing the legal system and the economic dimension of governance, while promoting environmental quality requires the implementation and enforcement of specific environment-friendly regulations.Originality/value The study addresses non-linearity and the moderating effect of governance quality. The use of six governance indicators allows to gauge the ability of each governance dimension to curb the negative effects of the shadow economy. Considering the three objectives of sustainable development allows to identify specific policy recommendations for each of them.
目的 本研究旨在评估影子经济对三个可持续发展指标的影响,同时考虑治理质量的调节作用,并强调所考虑关系的非线性。采用动态一阶差分广义矩法(FD-GMM)面板阈值模型来控制非线性。研究结果 在治理质量低的国家,影子经济阻碍了可持续发展,而在治理质量高的国家,结果正好相反。在不同的可持续发展指标中,引发从一种制度转向另一种制度的临界阈值各不相同。促进增长需要加强法律体系和治理的经济层面,而提高环境质量则需要实施和执行具体的环境友好型法规。通过使用六个治理指标,可以衡量每个治理维度遏制影子经济负面影响的能力。考虑到可持续发展的三个目标,可以为每个目标确定具体的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Factors affecting the green economy: the mediating role of foreign direct investment 影响绿色经济的因素:外国直接投资的中介作用
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1108/jes-01-2024-0012
Mahadi Hasan Miraz, Tiffany Sing Mei Soo

Purpose

The objective of this study is to examine the various factors that exert an influence on the green economy. This study also investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the Malaysian economy, specifically focusing on its position as a mediator. This research also examines the correlation between FDI and its influence on the contemporary green economy.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors employed quantitative methodologies and a self-administered survey to evaluate data and derive a definitive conclusion. The result was constructed using SPSS and SEM-PLS as the analytical software.

Findings

The study reveals that technological advancement, investment country and government policy significantly and positively affect the green economy, catalyse SDG goals and restructure the economy in better shape.

Originality/value

The current empirical research bridges the research gap in the context of technology advancement in government policy from emerging economies by exploring important factors, proposing their impact on the performance of the green economy, and empirically testing those hypothesized relationships. This study deciphers that FDI influences the green economy, where the investment country plays a significant role. Also, for a graphical presentation of this abstract, see the online appendix.

目的 本研究旨在探讨影响绿色经济的各种因素。本研究还探讨了外国直接投资(FDI)对马来西亚经济的影响,特别关注其作为中介的地位。本研究还探讨了外国直接投资与其对当代绿色经济影响之间的相关性。作者采用定量方法和自填式调查来评估数据并得出明确结论。研究结果本研究揭示了技术进步、投资国和政府政策对绿色经济、可持续发展目标(SDG)目标和经济结构调整具有显著的积极影响。本研究揭示了外国直接投资对绿色经济的影响,其中投资国发挥着重要作用。此外,有关本摘要的图表展示,请参见在线附录。
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引用次数: 0
Financial inclusion and sustainable development of banks: the place of organization of Islamic cooperation (OIC) in emerging markets 金融包容性和银行的可持续发展:伊斯兰合作组织在新兴市场中的地位
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1108/jes-10-2023-0555
Hasan Tekin
PurposeThis study examines the impact of financial inclusion on the corporate sustainability of banks in both Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) and non-OIC emerging economies, considering the COVID-19 pandemic.Design/methodology/approachThe research utilizes data from 3,159 bank-years from 2007 to 2021 across 33 emerging markets.FindingsEmpirical findings indicate that firms operating in higher financial inclusion developing countries tend to exhibit higher levels of sustainable development. This positive relationship has become even more pronounced during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting the importance of financial inclusion in fostering corporate sustainability, especially in times of economic challenges. Interestingly, while the positive correlation between financial inclusion and sustainable development remains consistent across both OIC and non-OIC countries, firms in OIC countries do not show significant changes during the pandemic.Practical implicationsThis observation suggests that the pandemic’s impact on corporate sustainability may vary between the two groups of countries. This study highlights the significance of financial inclusion in promoting corporate sustainability in developing economies. In times of recessions when accessing finance becomes expensive, policymakers in OIC countries should identify firms that adhere to Islamic principles, such as those sensitive to interest rates, and provide them with targeted support. This assistance can enable these companies to compete effectively and achieve their financial sustainability objectives.Originality/valueThere has been no attempt to investigate the effect of financial inclusion and the pandemic on the sustainable development of banks in developing countries.
本研究探讨了金融包容性对伊斯兰合作组织(OIC)和非伊斯兰合作组织新兴经济体银行的企业可持续性的影响,并考虑了 COVID-19 大流行病。在 COVID-19 大流行期间,这种正相关关系变得更加明显,这表明金融包容性在促进企业可持续发展方面的重要性,尤其是在面临经济挑战的时期。有趣的是,虽然金融包容性与可持续发展之间的正相关关系在伊斯兰会议组织国家和非伊斯兰会议组织国家之间保持一致,但伊斯兰会议组织国家的企业在大流行期间并未出现显著变化。本研究强调了金融包容性对促进发展中经济体企业可持续发展的重要意义。在经济衰退时期,获取资金的成本变得很高,伊斯兰会议组织国家的政策制定者应确定那些坚持伊斯兰原则的企业,如那些对利率敏感的企业,并向它们提供有针对性的支持。这种援助可以使这些公司有效地参与竞争,并实现其金融可持续发展的目标。原创性/价值目前还没有人尝试研究金融包容性和大流行病对发展中国家银行可持续发展的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does government spending cointegrate with bank lending? Evidence from Eurozone panel data 政府支出与银行贷款是否存在协整关系?来自欧元区面板数据的证据
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0733
Eleni Dalla, Stephanos Papadamou, Erotokritos Varelas, Athanasios Argyropoulos

Purpose

Our purpose is the examination of the effects of fiscal policy on private lending for the Eurozone countries. The emphasis is on the identification of the time path of government spending and bank lending.

Design/methodology/approach

Fiscal policy is a main factor of macroeconomic stability for the euro area economy. This paper, investigates the impact of government spending on bank lending. For this reason, we present a dynamic theoretical model with a perfectly competitive banking sector, estimated using panel cointegration for the Eurozone countries from 2000Q1 to 2022Q2.

Findings

Our findings highlight that, in the long run, consistent management of government spending can have a beneficial multiplicative impact on bank lending for housing and business reasons. This finding is stronger in magnitude for business versus housing lending. The high level of homogeneity of our results across Eurozone countries has positive implications for a common fiscal policy in the future. Finally, authorities should know that policy adjustments are quicker in housing lending when compared to business lending.

Originality/value

In this paper, we contribute to the existing literature, concentrating on the investigation of any existence of long-run and short-run relationships between government spending and bank lending. Additionally, our analysis allows one to investigate the contribution of each Eurozone member state in the short-run and long-run model’s dynamics, providing significant outcomes for the implementation of economic policy and the need for fiscal discipline in the Eurozone.

目的我们的目的是研究欧元区国家的财政政策对私人借贷的影响。设计/方法/途径财政政策是欧元区宏观经济稳定的主要因素。本文研究了政府支出对银行贷款的影响。为此,我们提出了一个具有完全竞争银行业的动态理论模型,并利用面板协整对欧元区国家 2000Q1 至 2022Q2 的情况进行了估计。研究结果我们的研究结果突出表明,从长期来看,政府支出的持续管理会对银行的住房和商业贷款产生有益的乘数影响。与住房贷款相比,商业贷款的影响更大。我们在欧元区各国得出的结果具有高度的同质性,这对未来制定共同的财政政策具有积极意义。最后,有关当局应该知道,与商业贷款相比,住房贷款的政策调整速度更快。 原创性/价值本文是对现有文献的贡献,重点研究了政府支出与银行贷款之间是否存在长期和短期关系。此外,通过我们的分析,可以研究欧元区各成员国在短期和长期模型动态中的贡献,为欧元区经济政策的实施和财政纪律的必要性提供重要成果。
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引用次数: 0
A study on comparison of economic and scientific performances of BRICS countries 关于金砖国家经济和科技表现比较的研究
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1108/jes-12-2023-0714
Hasan Tutar, Hakan Eryüzlü, Ahmet Tuncay Erdem, Teymur Sarkhanov

Purpose

This study investigates the correlation between economic development and scientific knowledge production indicators in the BRICS countries from 2000 to 2020, highlighting the importance of human resources, natural resources, and innovation. Addressing a gap in the existing literature, this study aims to contribute significantly to understanding this relationship.

Design/methodology/approach

Employing a descriptive statistical approach, this study utilizes GDP and per capita income as economic indicators and scientific data from WoS and SCOPUS databases, focusing on scientific document production and citations per document.

Findings

The analysis reveals a strong correlation between economic development and scientific performance within the BRICS nations during the specified period. It emphasizes the interdependence of economic progress and scientific prowess, underscoring that they cannot be considered independently.

Research limitations/implications

However, limitations exist, notably the reliance on specific databases that might not cover the entire scientific output and the inability to capture all factors influencing economic and scientific development.

Originality/value

Understanding this interdependence has crucial originality. Policymakers and stakeholders in BRICS countries can leverage these insights to prioritize investments in human capital development and scientific research. This approach can foster sustainable economic growth by reducing reliance on natural resources.

目的 本研究探讨了 2000 年至 2020 年金砖国家经济发展与科学知识生产指标之间的相关性,强调了人力资源、自然资源和创新的重要性。本研究采用描述性统计方法,将国内生产总值和人均收入作为经济指标,并利用 WoS 和 SCOPUS 数据库中的科学数据,重点研究科学文献的产量和每篇文献的引用情况。研究结果分析表明,在特定时期内,金砖国家的经济发展与科学绩效之间存在密切的相关性。研究局限性/影响然而,研究也存在局限性,特别是依赖于特定的数据库,可能无法涵盖全部科学产出,也无法捕捉影响经济和科学发展的所有因素。金砖国家的政策制定者和利益相关者可以利用这些见解,优先考虑对人力资本开发和科学研究的投资。这种方法可以减少对自然资源的依赖,从而促进可持续经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
From data to decisions: enhancing financial forecasts with LSTM for AI token prices 从数据到决策:用 LSTM 提高人工智能代币价格的金融预测能力
IF 1.7 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1108/jes-01-2024-0022
Rizwan Ali, Jin Xu, Mushahid Hussain Baig, Hafiz Saif Ur Rehman, Muhammad Waqas Aslam, Kaleem Ullah Qasim

Purpose

This study aims to endeavour to decode artificial intelligence (AI)-based tokens' complex dynamics and predictability using a comprehensive multivariate framework that integrates technical and macroeconomic indicators.

Design/methodology/approach

In this study we used advance machine learning techniques, such as gradient boosting regression (GBR), random forest (RF) and notably long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, this research provides a nuanced understanding of the factors driving the performance of AI tokens. The study’s comparative analysis highlights the superior predictive capabilities of LSTM models, as evidenced by their performance across various AI digital tokens such as AGIX-singularity-NET, Cortex and numeraire NMR.

Findings

This study finding shows that through an intricate exploration of feature importance and the impact of speculative behaviour, the research elucidates the long-term patterns and resilience of AI-based tokens against economic shifts. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis results show that technical and some macroeconomic factors play a dominant role in price production. It also examines the potential of these models for strategic investment and hedging, underscoring their relevance in an increasingly digital economy.

Originality/value

According to our knowledge, the absence of AI research frameworks for forecasting and modelling current aria-leading AI tokens is apparent. Due to a lack of study on understanding the relationship between the AI token market and other factors, forecasting is outstandingly demanding. This study provides a robust predictive framework to accurately identify the changing trends of AI tokens within a multivariate context and fill the gaps in existing research. We can investigate detailed predictive analytics with the help of modern AI algorithms and correct model interpretation to elaborate on the behaviour patterns of developing decentralised digital AI-based token prices.

设计/方法/方法在本研究中,我们使用了先进的机器学习技术,如梯度提升回归(GBR)、随机森林(RF)和显著的长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,这项研究提供了对推动人工智能代币表现的因素的细微理解。该研究的比较分析凸显了 LSTM 模型的卓越预测能力,其在 AGIX-singularity-NET、Cortex 和 numeraire NMR 等各种人工智能数字代币中的表现也证明了这一点。该研究结果表明,通过对特征重要性和投机行为影响的深入探索,该研究阐明了人工智能代币的长期模式和抵御经济变化的能力。SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)分析结果表明,技术因素和一些宏观经济因素在价格产生中起着主导作用。它还研究了这些模型在战略投资和套期保值方面的潜力,强调了它们在日益数字化的经济中的相关性。原创性/价值据我们所知,目前显然缺乏用于预测和模拟当前领先人工智能代币的人工智能研究框架。由于缺乏对人工智能代币市场与其他因素之间关系的研究,预测的要求非常高。本研究提供了一个强大的预测框架,可在多元背景下准确识别人工智能代币的变化趋势,填补现有研究的空白。我们可以借助现代人工智能算法和正确的模型解释,研究详细的预测分析,阐述基于去中心化数字人工智能代币价格发展的行为模式。
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引用次数: 0
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JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STUDIES
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