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Adaptation amidst Prosperity and Adversity: Insights from Happiness Studies from around the World 繁荣与逆境中的适应:来自世界各地幸福研究的见解
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2011-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKQ004
C. Graham
Some individuals who are destitute report to be happy, while others who are very wealthy report to be miserable. There are many possible explanations for this paradox; the author focuses on the role of adaptation. Adaptation is the subject of much work in economics, but its definition is a psychological one. Adaptations are defense mechanisms; there are bad ones like paranoia, and healthy ones like humor, anticipation, and sublimation. Set point theory-which is the subject of much debate in psychology posits that people can adapt to anything, such as bad health, divorce, and extreme poverty, and return to a natural level of cheerfulness. The author research from around the world suggests that people are remarkably adaptable. Respondents in Afghanistan are as happy as Latin Americans and 20 percent more likely to smile in a day than Cubans. The findings suggest that while this may be a good thing from an individual psychological perspective, it may also shed insights into different development outcomes, including collective tolerance for bad equilibrium. The author provides examples from the economics, democracy, crime, corruption, and health arenas.
一些赤贫的人报告说他们很快乐,而另一些非常富有的人报告说他们很痛苦。对于这个悖论有很多可能的解释;作者着重讨论了适应的作用。适应是许多经济学研究的主题,但它的定义是心理学的。适应是一种防御机制;有坏的,比如偏执,也有健康的,比如幽默、期待和升华。设定点理论是心理学中备受争议的主题,它认为人们可以适应任何事情,比如健康状况不佳、离婚和极度贫困,并恢复到自然的快乐水平。来自世界各地的作者研究表明,人们的适应能力非常强。阿富汗的受访者和拉丁美洲人一样快乐,一天中微笑的可能性比古巴人高20%。研究结果表明,虽然从个人心理学的角度来看,这可能是一件好事,但它也可能为不同的发展结果提供见解,包括对不良平衡的集体容忍。作者列举了经济、民主、犯罪、腐败和健康领域的例子。
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引用次数: 84
Estimation of water demand in developing countries : an overview 发展中国家水需求估算:概述
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP016
Céline Nauges, D. Whittington
A better understanding of household water use in developing countries is necessary to manage and expand water systems more effectively. Several meta-analyzes have examined the determinants of household water demand in industrialized countries, but little effort has been made to synthesize the growing body of literature evaluating household water demand in developing countries. This article reviews what is known and what is missing from that literature thus far. Analysis of demand for water in developing countries is complicated by abundant evidence that, contrary to what is observed in most developed countries, households in developing countries; have access to, and may use more than one of several types of, water sources. The authors describe the different modeling strategies that researchers have adopted to estimate water demand in developing countries and discuss issues related to data collection. The findings from the literature on the main determinants of water demand in these countries suggest that, despite heterogeneity in the places and time periods studied, most estimates of own-price elasticity of water from private connections are in the range from 20.3 to 20.6, close to what is usually reported for industrialized countries. The empirical findings on decisions relating to household water sources are much less robust and should be a high priority for future research.
为了更有效地管理和扩大供水系统,有必要更好地了解发展中国家的家庭用水情况。几项荟萃分析研究了工业化国家家庭用水需求的决定因素,但很少有人努力综合评估发展中国家家庭用水需求的越来越多的文献。这篇文章回顾了迄今为止这些文献中已知的和缺失的内容。大量证据表明,与大多数发达国家观察到的情况相反,发展中国家的家庭;能够获得并可能使用几种类型中的一种以上的水源。这组作者描述了科学家用来估计发展中国家水需求的不同建模策略,并讨论了与数据收集相关的问题。关于这些国家水需求主要决定因素的文献结果表明,尽管所研究的地点和时间段存在差异,但大多数对私人供水自身价格弹性的估计在20.3至20.6之间,接近工业化国家通常报告的水平。与家庭水源有关的决定的经验调查结果远没有那么有力,应该成为今后研究的高度优先事项。
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引用次数: 250
To Mitigate or to Adapt : Is that the Question? Observations on an Appropriate Response to the Climate Change Challenge to Development Strategies 缓和还是适应:这是一个问题吗?关于适当应对气候变化对发展战略的挑战的意见
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP012
Zmarak Shalizi, F. Lecocq
Climate change is a new and important challenge to development strategies. In light of the current literature a framework for assessing responses to this challenge is provided. The presence of climate change makes it necessary to at least review development strategies--even in apparently nonclimate-sensitive and nonpolluting sectors. There is a need for an integrated portfolio of actions ranging from avoiding emissions (mitigation) to coping with impacts (adaptation) and to consciously accepting residual damages. Proactive (ex ante) adaptation is critical, but subject to risks of regrets when the magnitude or location of damages is uncertain. Uncertainty on location favors nonsite-specific actions, or reactive (ex post) adaptation. However, some irreversible losses cannot be compensated for. Thus, mitigation might be in many cases the cheapest long-term solution to climate change problems and the most important to avoid thresholds that may trigger truly catastrophic consequences. To limit the risks that budget constraints prevent developing countries from financing reactive adaptation--especially since climate shocks might erode the fiscal base--"rainy-day funds" may have to be developed within countries and at the global level for transfer purposes. Finally, more research is required on the impacts of climate change, on modeling the interrelations between mitigation and adaptation, and on operationalizing the framework. Copyright 2010, Oxford University Press.
气候变化是发展战略面临的新的重大挑战。根据目前的文献,提供了一个评估应对这一挑战的框架。气候变化的存在使得至少有必要审查发展战略——即使是在表面上对气候不敏感和无污染的部门。需要采取一系列综合行动,从避免排放(缓解)到应对影响(适应),再到有意识地接受剩余损害。主动(事前)适应是至关重要的,但当损害的程度或地点不确定时,可能会有后悔的风险。地点的不确定性有利于非特定地点的行动,或反应性(事后)适应。然而,有些不可挽回的损失是无法弥补的。因此,在许多情况下,缓解可能是气候变化问题最廉价的长期解决办法,也是避免可能引发真正灾难性后果的阈值的最重要办法。为了限制预算限制阻碍发展中国家为反应性适应提供资金的风险——特别是因为气候冲击可能侵蚀财政基础——可能必须在国家内部和全球一级为转移目的建立“应急基金”。最后,需要对气候变化的影响、对减缓和适应之间相互关系的建模以及框架的实施进行更多的研究。牛津大学出版社版权所有。
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引用次数: 63
Nuclear Power and Sustainable Energy Policy: Promises and Perils 核能与可持续能源政策:承诺与危险
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP010
I. Kessides
The challenges and opportunities of nuclear power in meeting the projected large absolute increase in energy demand, especially electricity, throughout the industrialized and developing world, while helping to mitigate the threat of climate change. A significant global nuclear power deployment would engender serious risks related to proliferation, safety, and waste disposal. Unlike renewable sources of energy, nuclear power is an unforgiving technology because human lapses and errors can have ecological and social impacts that are catastrophic and irreversible. However, according to some analysts, advances in the design of nuclear reactors may have reduced their associated risks and improved their performance. Moreover, while a variety of renewable energy sources (hydro, wind, modern biomass, solar) will play important roles in the transition to a low-carbon economy, some analysts perceive that nuclear power is the only proven technology for generating electricity that is both largely carbon-free, not location specific (as with wind, hydro and solar), and amenable to significant scaling up. Thus given the projections of threats from climate change, and if the considerable strain experienced by world energy markets in recent years is a harbinger of things to come, then there is a rationale for examining the pros and cons of nuclear power as a supply option within low-carbon strategies. It should be noted that despite the emerging centrality of climate change and security of supply in the energy policy debate, nuclear power is still viewed with a great deal of skepticism and in fact continues to elicit considerable opposition. Indeed the views on nuclear power in the context of sustainable energy policy are highly divergent. A thorough evaluation of all aspects of the issue is warranted.
核电在满足整个工业化和发展中国家预计的能源需求,特别是电力需求的绝对大幅增长方面的挑战和机遇,同时有助于减轻气候变化的威胁。大规模的全球核电部署将带来与扩散、安全和废物处理相关的严重风险。与可再生能源不同,核能是一项不可原谅的技术,因为人类的失误和错误可能会对生态和社会造成灾难性的、不可逆转的影响。然而,一些分析人士认为,核反应堆设计的进步可能已经降低了相关风险,并提高了性能。此外,尽管各种可再生能源(水力、风能、现代生物质能、太阳能)将在向低碳经济转型的过程中发挥重要作用,但一些分析人士认为,核能是唯一一种经过验证的发电技术,它在很大程度上是无碳的,不像风能、水力和太阳能那样是特定于某个地区的,而且可以大幅扩大规模。因此,考虑到对气候变化威胁的预测,如果近年来世界能源市场所经历的巨大压力预示着未来的事情,那么就有理由研究核能作为低碳战略供应选择的利弊。应该指出的是,尽管气候变化和供应安全在能源政策辩论中处于中心地位,但核能仍然受到极大的怀疑,实际上继续引起相当大的反对。事实上,在可持续能源政策的背景下,对核能的看法是高度分歧的。有必要对这个问题的各个方面进行彻底的评估。
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引用次数: 18
Scale economies and cities 规模经济与城市
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP022
I. Gill, C. Goh
This is summarizes the policy-relevant insights of a generation of research on scale economies. Scale economies in production are of three types: internal economies associated with large plants, localization economies that come from sharing of inputs and infrastructure and from greater competition among firms, and urbanization economies that are generated through diversity and knowledge spillovers. The benefits (and costs) of localization and urbanization are together called 'external (dis) economies' because they arise due to factors outside any single household, farm or firm. The empirical literature yields some stylized facts. Internal scale economies are low in light industries and high in heavy industries. External scale economies are amplified by economic density and dissipate with distance from places where economic activity is concentrated. Scale economies are most visibly manifest in towns and cities. To simplify somewhat, towns allow firms and farms to exploit internal scale economies, medium-sized cities help firms in an industry exploit localization economies, and large cities and metropolises provide urbanization economies to those who locate within or nearby. Scale economies have implications for policy makers. The first is that because urban settlements rise and thrive because market agents demand their services, they should be seen as creatures of the market, not creations of the state. The second is that because settlements of different sizes provide differing services, towns, cities, and metropolises are more often complements for one another, not substitutes. Third, as a corollary, policymakers should aim to improve the functioning of urban settlements, and not become preoccupied with their size.
这是对一代规模经济研究中与政策相关的见解的总结。生产中的规模经济有三种类型:与大型工厂有关的内部经济,来自共享投入和基础设施以及公司之间更激烈竞争的本地化经济,以及通过多样性和知识溢出产生的城市化经济。地方化和城市化的收益(和成本)统称为“外部(非)经济”,因为它们是由任何单一家庭、农场或公司以外的因素产生的。经验文献产生了一些程式化的事实。内部规模经济表现为轻工业低,重工业高。外部规模经济因经济密度而放大,并随着与经济活动集中地的距离而消散。规模经济在城镇最为明显。简单地说,城镇允许公司和农场利用内部规模经济,中等城市帮助行业中的公司利用本地化经济,大城市和大都市为那些位于内部或附近的公司提供城市化经济。规模经济对政策制定者也有影响。首先,由于城市住区的兴起和繁荣是因为市场主体需要它们的服务,它们应该被视为市场的产物,而不是国家的产物。其次,由于不同规模的定居点提供不同的服务,城镇、城市和大都市往往是相互补充的,而不是替代的。第三,作为必然结果,政策制定者应该致力于改善城市住区的功能,而不是全神贯注于它们的规模。
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引用次数: 37
Agricultural Growth and Poverty Reduction: Additional Evidence 农业增长与减贫:更多证据
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP015
A. Janvry, E. Sadoulet
Agricultural growth has long been recognized as an important instrument for poverty reduction. Yet, measurements of this relationship are still scarce and not always reliable. The authors present additional evidence at both the sectoral and household levels based on recent data. Results show that rural poverty reduction has been associated with growth in yields and in agricultural labor productivity, but that this relation varies sharply across regional contexts. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth originating in agriculture induces income growth among the 40 percent poorest, which is on the order of three times larger than growth originating in the rest of the economy. The power of agriculture comes not only from its direct poverty reduction effect but also from its potentially strong growth linkage effects on the rest of the economy. Decomposing the aggregate decline in poverty into a rural contribution, an urban contribution, and a population shift component shows that rural areas contributed more than half the observed aggregate decline in poverty. Finally, using the example of Vietnam, the authors show that rapid growth in agriculture has opened pathways out of poverty for farming households. While the effectiveness of agricultural growth in reducing poverty is well established, the effectiveness of public investment in inducing agricultural growth is still incomplete and conditional on context.
长期以来,农业增长一直被认为是减少贫困的重要手段。然而,对这种关系的测量仍然很少,而且并不总是可靠的。作者根据最近的数据在部门和家庭两级提出了更多的证据。结果表明,农村减贫与产量和农业劳动生产率的增长有关,但这种关系在不同地区差异很大。源于农业的国内生产总值(GDP)增长带动了40%最贫困人口的收入增长,这一增长大约是其他经济领域增长的三倍。农业的力量不仅来自其直接的减贫效果,还来自其对经济其他领域潜在的强大增长联动效应。将总体贫困下降分解为农村贡献、城市贡献和人口转移组成部分,可以发现农村地区贡献了所观察到的总体贫困下降的一半以上。最后,作者以越南为例表明,农业的快速增长为农户摆脱贫困开辟了道路。虽然农业增长在减少贫困方面的有效性是公认的,但公共投资在促进农业增长方面的有效性仍然是不完整的,并且取决于具体情况。
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引用次数: 412
Agricultural Employment Trends in Asia and Africa: Too Fast or Too Slow? 亚洲和非洲农业就业趋势:太快还是太慢?
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP028
D. Headey, D. Bezemer, P. Hazell
Contrary to conventional economic theories, the relationship between income growth and agricultural employment is extremely diverse, even among regions starting from similar levels of development, such as Asia and Africa. Due to its labor-intensive green revolution and strong farm-nonfarm linkages, Asia's development path is mostly characterized by fast growth with relatively slow agricultural exits. In contrast to Asia, urban biased policies, low rural population density, and high rates of population growth have led a number of African countries down a path of slow economic growth with surprisingly rapid agricultural exits. Despite this divergence both continents now face daunting employment problems. Asia appears to be increasingly vulnerable to rising inequality, slower job creation, and shrinking farm sizes, suggesting that Asian governments need to refocus on integrating smallholders and lagging regions into increasingly commercialized rural and urban economies. Africa, in contrast, has yet to achieve its own green revolution, which would still be a highly effective tool for job creation and poverty reduction. However, the diversity of its endowments and its tighter budget constraints mean that agricultural development strategies in Africa need to be highly context specific, financially sustainable, and more evidence- based.
与传统的经济理论相反,收入增长和农业就业之间的关系是极其多样化的,即使在亚洲和非洲等从类似发展水平开始的地区也是如此。由于其劳动密集型的绿色革命和强大的农业-非农联系,亚洲的发展道路主要是快速增长和相对缓慢的农业退出。与亚洲相比,偏向城市的政策、低农村人口密度和高人口增长率导致许多非洲国家走上了经济增长缓慢的道路,而农业出口却出人意料地迅速。尽管存在这种差异,但两大洲现在都面临着严峻的就业问题。亚洲似乎越来越容易受到不平等加剧、就业增长放缓和农场规模缩小的影响,这表明亚洲政府需要重新关注将小农和落后地区纳入日益商业化的农村和城市经济。相比之下,非洲尚未实现自己的绿色革命,而绿色革命仍将是创造就业和减少贫困的有效工具。然而,其捐赠的多样性和更严格的预算限制意味着非洲的农业发展战略需要高度具体,在财政上可持续,并且更多地以证据为基础。
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引用次数: 71
Policy Reforms Affecting Agricultural Incentives: Much Achieved, Much Still Needed 影响农业激励的政策改革:已取得很大成就,但仍有很大需要
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP014
K. Anderson
For decades, earnings from farming in many developing countries have been depressed by a pro-urban bias in own-country policies, as well as by governments of richer countries favoring their farmers with import barriers and subsidies. Both sets of policies reduce national and global economic welfare and inhibit agricultural trade and economic growth. They almost certainly add to inequality and poverty in developing countries, since three-quarters of the world's billion poorest people depend on farming for their livelihood. During the past two decades, however, numerous developing country governments have reduced their sectoral and trade policy distortions, while some high-income countries also have begun reducing market-distorting aspects of their farm policies. The author surveys the changing extent of policy distortions to prices faced by developing country farmers over the past half century, and provides a summary of new empirical estimates from a global economy-wide model that yield estimates of how much can be gained by removing the interventions remaining as of 2004. The author concludes by pointing to the scope and prospects for further pro-poor policy reform in both developing and high-income countries.
几十年来,许多发展中国家的农业收入一直受到本国政策中对城市的偏爱,以及富裕国家政府通过进口壁垒和补贴来支持农民的影响。这两套政策都降低了国家和全球的经济福利,抑制了农业贸易和经济增长。它们几乎肯定会加剧发展中国家的不平等和贫困,因为全球最贫困人口中有四分之三依靠农业为生。然而,在过去二十年中,许多发展中国家政府已经减少了其部门和贸易政策的扭曲,而一些高收入国家也开始减少其农业政策中扭曲市场的方面。作者调查了过去半个世纪中发展中国家农民所面临的政策扭曲对价格的影响程度,并提供了一份来自全球经济范围模型的新经验估计的摘要,该模型估计了截至2004年取消剩余干预措施可以获得多少收益。作者最后指出了发展中国家和高收入国家进一步进行有利于穷人的政策改革的范围和前景。
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引用次数: 6
growth and institutions 增长与制度
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.1057/9780230280823_16
D. Acemoglu
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引用次数: 46
Instructional Time Loss in Developing Countries: Concepts, Measurement, and Implications 发展中国家的教学时间损失:概念、测量和影响
IF 8.1 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2009-08-01 DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP008
H. Abadzi
Students in developing countries are often taught for only a fraction of the intended number of school hours. Time is often wasted due to informal school closures, teacher absenteeism, delays, early departures, and poor use of classroom time. Since the 1970s, attempts have been made in several countries to measure the use of instructional time in schools and its impact on student achievement. Studies have been of variable quality and have used different definitions and methods. However, they have consistently shown that significant amounts of time are lost and that the amount of time spent engaged in learning tasks is related to student performance. The large losses in many countries raise issues of governance, monitoring, and validity of economic analyses. It is important to take instructional time wastage into account when considering public sector expenditures on education, teacher salary rates, unit costs, and the rates of return from graduates. Refining time-loss measurement methods and disseminating policy implications may improve the efficiency of educational systems worldwide.
发展中国家的学生通常只接受预定学时数的一小部分。由于非正规学校关闭、教师缺勤、延误、早退和课堂时间利用不当,时间往往被浪费。自20世纪70年代以来,一些国家一直试图衡量学校教学时间的使用及其对学生成绩的影响。研究质量参差不齐,使用了不同的定义和方法。然而,他们一直表明,大量的时间被浪费了,花在学习任务上的时间与学生的表现有关。许多国家的巨额损失引发了治理、监测和经济分析有效性等问题。在考虑公共部门的教育支出、教师工资率、单位成本和毕业生回报率时,把教学时间浪费考虑进去是很重要的。改进时间损失的测量方法和传播政策影响可以提高全世界教育系统的效率。
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引用次数: 76
期刊
World Bank Research Observer
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