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A Bayesian View on the Dr. Evil Scenario. 从贝叶斯角度看 "邪恶博士 "事件。
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-022-00536-8
Feraz Azhar, Alan H Guth, Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

In Defeating Dr. Evil with Self-Locating Belief, Adam Elga proposes and defends a principle of indifference for self-locating beliefs: if an individual is confident that his world contains more than one individual who is in a state subjectively indistinguishable from his own, then he should assign equal credences to the hypotheses that he is any one of these individuals. Through a sequence of thought experiments, Elga in effect claims that he can derive the credence function that should apply in such situations, thus justifying his principle of indifference. Here we argue, using a Bayesian approach, that Elga's reasoning is circular: in analyzing the third of his thought experiments, he uses an assertion that is justifiable only if one assumes, from the start, the principle of indifference that he is attempting to justify. We agree with Elga that the assumption of equal credences is a very reasonable principle, in the absence of any reason to assign unequal credences, but we do not agree that the equality of credences can be so derived.

在《用自我定位信念打败邪恶博士》一书中,亚当-埃尔加(Adam Elga)提出并捍卫了自我定位信念的漠视原则:如果一个人确信他的世界中有不止一个人处于主观上与他自己无异的状态,那么他就应该对他是其中任何一个人的假设赋予同等的可信度。通过一系列思想实验,埃尔加实际上声称他可以推导出适用于这种情况的可信度函数,从而证明他的冷漠原则是正确的。在这里,我们用贝叶斯方法论证了埃尔加的推理是循环论证:在分析他的第三个思想实验时,他使用了一个论断,而这个论断只有在人们从一开始就假设他试图证明的冷漠原则时才是合理的。我们同意埃尔加的观点,即在没有任何理由赋予不平等可信度的情况下,假定可信度相等是一个非常合理的原则,但我们不同意可信度相等可以这样推导出来。
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引用次数: 0
A Higher-Order Account of the Phenomenology of Particularity 关于特殊性现象学的高级论述
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00764-6
Jacob Berger
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引用次数: 0
The Practical Bearings of Truth as Correspondence 作为对应物的真理的实际意义
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00765-5
Tom Kaspers
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引用次数: 0
Interrogatives, inquiries, and exam questions 询问、调查和考试问题
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00758-4
Grzegorz Gaszczyk
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引用次数: 0
Why are Actions but not Emotions Done Intentionally, if both are Reason-Responsive Embodied Processes? 既然行为和情感都是理性反应的体现过程,为什么行为是有意为之,而情感不是?
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00756-6
Anders Nes
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引用次数: 0
Spectral Reflectances and Commensurateness 光谱反射率和相似性
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00762-8
William A. Sharp
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引用次数: 0
The Relation Between Moral Reasons and Moral Requirement 道德理由与道德要求之间的关系
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00755-7
Brendan de Kenessey
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引用次数: 0
Conceivability, Kripkean Identity, and S5: A Reply to Jonathon VandenHombergh 可设想性、克里普克同一性和 S5:对 Jonathon VandenHombergh 的答复
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00759-3
Peter Marton
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引用次数: 0
Moving Past Conventionalism About Multilevel Selection 超越关于多层次选择的传统观念
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00749-5
Pierrick Bourrat
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引用次数: 0
Taste Fragmentalism 品味碎片主义
IF 0.9 2区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10670-023-00754-8
Giuseppe Spolaore, S. Iaquinto, G. Torrengo
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引用次数: 0
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