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The Self-Proclaimed Defender of Freedom: The AfD and the Pandemic 《自封自由捍卫者:德国另类选择党与新冠疫情
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2022.5
Pola Lehmann, L. Zehnter
The COVID-19 pandemic has challenged nearly every aspect of life and superseded issues at the core of populist radical right (PRR) parties' ideology, dispossessing them of one of their main narratives. This also challenged the Alternative for Germany (AfD), a relatively young but strong PRR party in opposition. We explore how the party has adjusted its policy supply to this unprecedented situation and how this has affected its popularity among German voters, building our analysis on press releases issued by the AfD between January 2020 and March 2021, vote intention data and recent election results. Initially, the party's reaction was inconsistent, but from autumn 2020 the AfD focused on fuelling discontent with the government's lockdown measures, acting as a supporter of the anti-coronavirus demonstrations. It framed its response as elite critique. So far, its siding with the lockdown protesters, however, has not had any positive effect on support for the party.
新冠肺炎大流行几乎挑战了生活的方方面面,取代了民粹主义极右翼政党意识形态的核心问题,剥夺了他们的主要叙事之一。这也挑战了德国新选择党(AfD),一个相对年轻但强大的反对党。我们通过分析德国新选择党在2020年1月至2021年3月期间发布的新闻稿、投票意向数据和最近的选举结果,探讨了该党如何根据这种前所未有的形势调整其政策供应,以及这如何影响其在德国选民中的受欢迎程度。最初,该党的反应是不一致的,但从2020年秋季开始,德国新选择党专注于煽动对政府封锁措施的不满,充当反冠状病毒示威活动的支持者。它将自己的回应定义为精英批评。然而,到目前为止,它与封锁抗议者站在一起,并没有对该党的支持产生任何积极影响。
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引用次数: 21
Surviving but not thriving: VOX and Spain in times of Covid-19 生存但不繁荣:新冠肺炎时期的VOX和西班牙
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/gvnpe
Lisa Zanotti, S. J. Turnbull-Dugarte
We seek to advance the understanding of how the populist radical right in Spain reacted to Covid-19 in 2020. In particular, our contribution seeks to answer three questions. First, we consider the discursive and rhetorical tools adopted by the party. Second, we analyse how VOX, as an opposition party, has sought to challenge the governing coalition and the mainstream right. Specifically, we analyse the incentives, rationale, process and consequences party’s no confidence measure brought against the governing coalition. Third, we assess to what extent the party’s electoral potential has been influenced by the pandemic by analysing the party’s performance in the polls as well as support for VOX’s leadership amongst the party’s own voter base.
我们试图增进对西班牙民粹主义激进右翼如何应对2020年新冠肺炎的理解。我们的贡献尤其寻求回答三个问题。首先,我们考虑党的话语和修辞工具。其次,我们分析了VOX作为一个反对党是如何试图挑战执政联盟和主流右翼的。具体来说,我们分析了政党对执政联盟采取不信任措施的动机、理由、过程和后果。第三,我们通过分析该党在民意调查中的表现,以及该党在自己的选民基础中对VOX领导层的支持,评估该党的选举潜力在多大程度上受到疫情的影响。
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引用次数: 8
The Social Bases of Populist Domination: Market Reforms and Popular Reactions in Latin America and Post-Communist Europe 民粹主义统治的社会基础:拉丁美洲和后共产主义欧洲的市场改革和民众反应
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2022.11
Binio S. Binev
This article explains why only some post-neoliberal populists successfully keep themselves in power, thereby dominating political systems over the long term. Based on cross-regional dual paired comparisons of ‘crucial’ cases in the Andes and Central Europe, it advances a theory emphasizing societal reactions rooted in prior neoliberal critical junctures. I argue that where well-established and programmatic social democratic parties engaged in bait-and-switch reforms, subsequent populists mobilized extensive electoral coalitions with core support from former leftist constituents, based on which they built organizational capacities for the provision of national public goods that reinforced their popularity over the long term. By contrast, where personalistic leaders politicized regionally based divides through identity-priming appeals and then disproportionately hurt core supporters through bait-and-switch reforms, subsequent populists mobilized more segmented electoral coalitions, built less cohesive parties and provided limited public goods, which undermined their popularity as incumbents. By underscoring parallels in two different world regions, the article challenges institutionalist accounts of populist domination and offers a novel societally focused perspective.
这篇文章解释了为什么只有一些后新自由主义民粹主义者成功地掌权,从而长期统治政治制度。基于安第斯山脉和中欧“关键”案例的跨区域双重配对比较,它提出了一种理论,强调植根于先前新自由主义关键时刻的社会反应。我认为,在成熟的、纲领性的社会民主党进行诱饵式改革的地方,随后的民粹主义者在前左翼选民的核心支持下动员了广泛的选举联盟,在此基础上,他们建立了提供国家公共产品的组织能力,从长远来看,这增强了他们的受欢迎程度。相比之下,个人化的领导人通过身份引发的呼吁将基于地区的分歧政治化,然后通过诱饵和转换改革不成比例地伤害核心支持者,随后的民粹主义者动员了更为分裂的选举联盟,建立了凝聚力较低的政党,并提供了有限的公共产品,这削弱了他们作为现任者的受欢迎程度。通过强调两个不同世界地区的相似性,这篇文章挑战了制度主义对民粹主义统治的描述,并提供了一个新颖的以社会为中心的视角。
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引用次数: 3
GOV volume 57 issue 2 Cover and Front matter GOV第57卷第2期封面和封面问题
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2022.8
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引用次数: 0
Increased DNA methylation, cellular senescence and premature epigenetic aging in guinea pigs and humans with tuberculosis. 豚鼠和人类结核病患者的 DNA 甲基化增加、细胞衰老和表观遗传学过早衰老。
2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-07 DOI: 10.18632/aging.203936
Carly A Bobak, Abhimanyu, Harini Natarajan, Tanmay Gandhi, Sandra L Grimm, Tomoki Nishiguchi, Kent Koster, Santiago Carrero Longlax, Qiniso Dlamini, Jacquiline Kahari, Godwin Mtetwa, Jeffrey D Cirillo, James O'Malley, Jane E Hill, Cristian Coarfa, Andrew R DiNardo

Background: Tuberculosis (TB) is the archetypical chronic infection, with patients having months of symptoms before diagnosis. In the two years after successful therapy, survivors of TB have a three-fold increased risk of death.

Methods: Guinea pigs were infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) for 45 days, followed by RRBS DNA methylation analysis. In humans, network analysis of differentially expressed genes across three TB cohorts were visualized at the pathway-level. Serum levels of inflammation were measured by ELISA. Horvath (DNA methylation) and RNA-seq biological clocks were used to investigate shifts in chronological age among humans with TB.

Results: Guinea pigs with TB demonstrated DNA hypermethylation and showed system-level similarity to humans with TB (p-value = 0.002). The transcriptome in TB in multiple cohorts was enriched for DNA methylation and cellular senescence. Senescence associated proteins CXCL9, CXCL10, and TNF were elevated in TB patients compared to healthy controls. Humans with TB demonstrate 12.7 years (95% CI: 7.5, 21.9) and 14.38 years (95% CI: 10.23-18.53) of cellular aging as measured by epigenetic and gene expression based cellular clocks, respectively.

Conclusions: In both guinea pigs and humans, TB perturbs epigenetic processes, promoting premature cellular aging and inflammation, a plausible means to explain the long-term detrimental health outcomes after TB.

背景:肺结核(TB)是典型的慢性感染,患者在确诊前有数月的症状。在成功治疗后的两年内,结核病幸存者的死亡风险增加了三倍:方法:豚鼠感染结核分枝杆菌(Mtb)45 天,然后进行 RRBS DNA 甲基化分析。在人类中,对三个结核病队列的差异表达基因进行了通路级可视化网络分析。血清中的炎症水平是通过酶联免疫吸附试验测定的。利用 Horvath(DNA 甲基化)和 RNA-seq 生物钟研究了结核病患者的年龄变化:结果:豚鼠肺结核患者表现出 DNA 甲基化过高,与人类肺结核患者表现出系统水平的相似性(p 值 = 0.002)。多个队列中结核病的转录组富含 DNA 甲基化和细胞衰老。与健康对照组相比,结核病患者的衰老相关蛋白CXCL9、CXCL10和TNF升高。根据基于表观遗传学和基因表达的细胞时钟测量,结核病患者的细胞衰老时间分别为 12.7 年(95% CI:7.5-21.9 年)和 14.38 年(95% CI:10.23-18.53 年):在豚鼠和人类中,结核病扰乱了表观遗传过程,促进了细胞过早衰老和炎症,这是解释结核病对健康造成长期不利影响的一种合理手段。
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引用次数: 0
Cabinet Formation and Coalition Governance: The Effect of Portfolio Allocation on Coalition Agreements 内阁组建与联盟治理:组合配置对联盟协议的影响
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-02 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2021.68
S. Krauss, H. Kluever
Abstract While coalition agreements are significant in structuring government behaviour, their comprehensiveness varies considerably across cabinets. We argue that the average correspondence between parties' priorities and portfolio allocation is important in explaining the comprehensiveness of coalition agreements because coalition parties that have obtained their preferred portfolios have less incentive to negotiate a detailed coalition agreement. We test our argument by combining newly collected data on coalition agreements drafted by 218 cabinets in 24 Western and Eastern European countries from 1945 to 2014 with data on the distribution of ministerial portfolios. We find that the shorter and less comprehensive the agreements, the higher the correspondence between parties' priorities and portfolio allocation. Our results have important implications for our understanding of coalition governments and the relationship between government formation and cabinet governance.
虽然联盟协议在构建政府行为方面具有重要意义,但其全面性在各内阁之间差异很大。我们认为,政党优先事项和投资组合分配之间的平均对应关系对于解释联盟协议的全面性很重要,因为已经获得其首选投资组合的联盟政党没有多少动力来谈判详细的联盟协议。我们通过将新收集的24个西欧和东欧国家的218个内阁从1945年到2014年起草的联盟协议数据与部长职位分布数据相结合,来验证我们的论点。我们发现,协议越短、越不全面,各方优先级和投资组合分配之间的对应程度越高。我们的研究结果对我们理解联合政府以及政府组建与内阁治理之间的关系具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 2
Government Formation and the Radical Right: A Swedish Exception? 政府组建与激进右翼:瑞典的例外?
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-03-02 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2022.1
Anders Backlund
Abstract This article tests the claim that government cooperation between mainstream parties and radical right parties can be explained by coalition theory. It does so by analysing three Swedish cases of coalition formation where the radical right Sweden Democrats (SD) have remained excluded despite holding a pivotal position in the parliament. It argues that, with the right analytical tools, this exclusion can be explained by coalition theory: cooperation with the SD has been unattractive in terms of policy, and unnecessary because the mainstream parties have been able to form viable minority governments. This argument requires three things: first, that we consider the two-dimensional nature of Swedish politics; second, that we shift the focus from majority government to viable government; and third, that we acknowledge strategic time horizons that extend well into the future. The findings contribute to our understanding of coalition formation and of how mainstream parties respond strategically to the radical right.
摘要本文检验了主流政党与极右翼政党之间的政府合作可以用联合执政理论来解释的论断。这是通过分析瑞典的三个联合组阁案例得出的结论,在这些案例中,激进右翼的瑞典民主党(SD)尽管在议会中占据关键地位,但仍被排除在外。它认为,使用正确的分析工具,这种排斥可以用联合理论来解释:与民主党的合作在政策方面没有吸引力,而且没有必要,因为主流政党已经能够组建可行的少数党政府。这个论点需要三个条件:首先,我们要考虑瑞典政治的二维本质;第二,我们将重点从多数政府转向可行的政府;第三,我们承认战略的时间跨度可以延伸到未来。这些发现有助于我们理解联合政府的形成,以及主流政党如何在战略上应对激进右翼。
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引用次数: 1
More Power, Less Support: The Fidesz Government and the Coronavirus Pandemic in Hungary 权力越大,支持越少:匈牙利的青民盟政府和冠状病毒大流行
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-22 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2022.3
Agnes Batory
Conventional wisdom suggests that populists thrive in times of crisis. However, for populist radical right parties in government, managing a genuine calamity is both an opportunity and a challenge. On the one hand, crises provide the opportunity to project leadership and quell opposition to their rule. On the other hand, crisis response requires competence. Probably the most successful governing populist radical right party in the European Union, Viktor Orbán's Fidesz in Hungary, did not resolve this tension entirely adequately in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. While the party consolidated its grip on power, the high human and economic costs of mismanaging the second and third waves of the pandemic started to erode its popular support. In ideational terms, the COVID-19 pandemic accentuated the populist, nativist and authoritarian tendencies that had long characterized the party.
传统观点认为,民粹主义者在危机时期会得势。然而,对于执政的民粹主义极右翼政党来说,应对一场真正的灾难既是机遇,也是挑战。一方面,危机提供了展现领导力和平息反对其统治的机会。另一方面,危机应对需要能力。可能是欧盟最成功的民粹主义极右翼执政党,维克多Orbán的匈牙利青民盟(Fidesz),在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间没有完全解决这种紧张关系。虽然中共巩固了对权力的控制,但对第二波和第三波疫情管理不善造成的高昂人力和经济成本开始侵蚀其民众支持。从理念上讲,新冠肺炎疫情加剧了该党长期以来的民粹主义、本土主义和威权主义倾向。
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引用次数: 6
Party Institutionalization and Partisan Mobilization 政党制度化和党派动员
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2021.67
A. Ponce, S. Scarrow
Abstract This article investigates the relationship between levels of party institutionalization and individual-level partisan mobilization. Levels of party institutionalization have been linked to macro-level outcomes such as party system stability, but little is known about the micro-level underpinnings of such patterns. This article investigates one set of mechanisms through which party institutionalization might affect electoral outcomes. Specifically, we ask how routinization and value infusion – two central dimensions of party institutionalization – shape partisans’ political mobilization. We investigate these relationships by matching data on individual-level behaviour (taken from the International Social Survey Program (ISSP) 2014 wave) with data on party attributes commonly associated with levels of institutionalization (taken from the Democratic Accountability and Linkages Project – DALP). We find that while value infusion encourages relatively greater participation from non-member supporters, party routinization depresses non-member participation but may mobilize otherwise inactive members. These findings suggest that to understand the effects of party institutionalization on a macro-level phenomenon such as electoral volatility, it may be necessary to study how parties institutionalize, rather than just asking how much they institutionalize.
摘要本文研究政党制度化水平与个人层面的党派动员之间的关系。政党制度化的水平与政党制度稳定性等宏观层面的结果有关,但对这种模式的微观层面基础知之甚少。本文研究了政党制度化可能影响选举结果的一套机制。具体地说,我们询问常规化和价值灌输——政党制度化的两个核心维度——如何塑造党派的政治动员。我们通过将个人层面的行为数据(来自国际社会调查计划(ISSP) 2014年浪潮)与通常与制度化水平相关的政党属性数据(来自民主问责和联系项目- DALP)相匹配来调查这些关系。我们发现,虽然价值灌输鼓励非成员支持者相对更多地参与,但党的常规化抑制了非成员的参与,但可能会动员其他不活跃的成员。这些发现表明,要理解政党制度化对选举波动等宏观层面现象的影响,可能有必要研究政党如何制度化,而不仅仅是问他们制度化了多少。
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引用次数: 2
How Do Voters Evaluate Performance in Opposition? 选民如何评价反对党的表现?
IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-19 DOI: 10.1017/gov.2021.63
D. Stiers
Abstract Recent scholarship on retrospective voting has shown that when they go to the polls, voters evaluate not only incumbent performance, but also the performance of parties in opposition. So far, however, these studies have not been able to identify how voters evaluate the performance of parties in opposition. The answers to a unique open-ended question included in a Belgian electoral survey in 2019 provide new insights into voters' minds. First, this study investigates what voters think about when they evaluate a party's performance in opposition. Second, it tests whether voters hold opposition parties responsible for the state of affairs in the country. The results show that voters are most concerned with opposition parties' competence in scrutinizing the government and providing constructive criticism, and dislike unconstructive and overly negative opposition. Furthermore, voters hold opposition parties accountable for the state of affairs in their country, albeit to a lesser extent than incumbent parties.
最近关于回溯性投票的研究表明,选民在投票时不仅会评价现任总统的表现,还会评价反对党的表现。然而,到目前为止,这些研究还无法确定选民是如何评价反对党的表现的。2019年比利时一项选举调查中包含了一个独特的开放式问题的答案,为了解选民的想法提供了新的视角。首先,这项研究调查了选民在评估一个政党在反对党中的表现时的想法。其次,它检验了选民是否认为反对党对国家事务负责。结果显示,选民最关心的是反对党审查政府和提供建设性批评的能力,而不喜欢非建设性和过于消极的反对党。此外,选民要求反对党对他们国家的事务负责,尽管程度不如现任政党。
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引用次数: 3
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Government and Opposition
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